saya masih terus beli ASII sesuai kemampuan ... the lower the price
the better ... one of the best performing issuers over the last 5
years ... jangan lupa PTBA juga tuh ...

On 6/3/11, positif01 <[email protected]> wrote:
> Reasonable profitable trading/investing prospect of 2011, ASII and Banks?
> (look at the bottom of this note).
>
> The major US market averages finished June 1 near their worst levels of the
> session, with all three losing close to 2.3%.
>
> *Financial shares lagged the broader market, and were the worst performing
> sector* within the S&P 500. As a whole the group *lost 3.5%*, *with US
> leading bank index (KBW Bank Index) slumped -4,11%*. Even though, there was
> a fractional improvement this morning of US financial sector market average
> for +0,2%, it was a little tiny recoup compared the loss on Wed. Meanwhile,
> *NASDAQ OMX Global Coal Index*, consisting of 29 coal producers
> worldwide, *only
> dropped -0,62%* during the US harsh down slide on Wed. Its decline added
> this morning simply due to adjustment of non-US coal producers to the US
> down slide the day before.
>
> *Past weeks diary:*
>
> -May 26, Goldman Sachs: Lower US S&P 500 year-end 2011 price target to 1450
> from 1500, and emphasize at sector level the largest changes in earnings
> estimates for $2 *increase in Energy* 2012 EPS and a $2 *decrease in
> Financials *earnings and a *smaller negative revision to Consumer
> Discretionary*.
>
> -May 27, Morgan Stanley: Downgrade Indonesian equities to UW (underweight)
> or commonly known as "Sell" following the same status for Thai equities on
> May 25. At the same time, Morgan Stanley announced to include Indonesian
> coal producer, PT Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG) replacing Perusahaan Gas
> Negara (PGN), into its Equity Strategy Focus List for GEMs (Global Emerging
> Markets) and APxJ (Asia Pacific ex Japan), each consists of 20 tight
> selected stock only. GEMs is based on MSCI Emerging Market Index covering 21
> countries, while APxJ is based on MSCI AC (All Country) Asia ex Japan Index
> covering 10 developed and emerging market country.
>
> May 27, Goldman Sachs: Upgrade Indonesian-led ASEAN coal industry to Neutral
> from Cautious. At the same time, Goldman Sachs raised all Indonesian coal
> producers target prices.
>
> *Target Price (TP)*
> *
> *
> Trading houses set fundamental target price to be reached within 12-month.
> The target describes if there is upside or downside potential within a year.
> If a stock price is under the TP, potential upside remains. If a stock price
> is above the TP, no potential upside left, downside is expected. If a stock
> price is precisely or at narrow band of TP, significant gain potential
> percentage should be set for the remainder 6 months, waiting period of 2011
> trading year.
>
> *ASII*
>
> -Goldman Sachs TP in our previous posting (
> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/saham/message/118287): IDR49,000, as seen at
> the following chart. ASII latest closing price IDR, June 1, IDR59,100.
> Objectively *expensive*, OR reasonably profitably *cheap* for holding?
>
> [image: GS-ASII TP (March 2011).png]
>
>
> *Banks*
> *
> *
> We do not go specific with each Indo bank, but careful insight into majority
> of listed banks has long alerted a shaky ground. As you can see in the
> comparison chart below between MSCI Emerging Markets Banks (*orange line*)
> versus MSCI Indonesian Financial (*green line*), which consists nothing but
> Indo Banks, you will find that historically these two major indices have
> never decoupled or disparate quite long more than 2 or 3 months. Find which
> direction, MSCI Indo Banks will take the coming weeks, up or down? Is it a
> gap up or gap down with MSCI Emerging Markets Banks?
>
> [image: MSCI Emerging Bank vs MSCI Indo Finance (May 2011).JPG]
>
> '+'
>


------------------------------------

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