Tapi lama2 pasar bisa udah ga sensitif lg kok sama berita negatif begini :)

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to become a predator rather than a victim." - Tom Williams 
 
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-----Original Message-----
From: Musicallypso <[email protected]>
Sender: [email protected]
Date: Sat, 8 Oct 2011 10:10:16 
To: <[email protected]>
Reply-To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [saham] Italy, Spain Ratings Cut by Fitch; Belgi
        um on Review by Moody’s

ya memang gitu bro namanya jg mainan org byk duit keluarin berita ad
settingan nya

On Sat, Oct 8, 2011 at 10:06 AM, Dimas Yoga <[email protected]>wrote:

> **
>
>
>
> Setelah S&P, sekarang gantian Fitch yang downgrade, emang kayaknya band
> news-nya dikeluarin pelan2 ya dimasa bearish ini. Kalau dari kacamata
> monthly news, saya penasaran kenapa ngga sekalian saja keluarin news Yunani,
> Spain, dan Italy *Default* pas Dow lagi rally beberapa bulan yang lalu?
> Biar ambruknya cepet, mentalnya juga cepet...
>
> Atau kalau mau dilihat secara daily news, Kenapa sih Fitch berita downgrade
> rating ngga dikeluarin pas Dow dan Eropa ijo tebel 2-3 hari lalu? Kenapa
> timing beritanya dikeluarin setelah 2-3 hari ijo lalu keluarin news
> downgrade? Nanti kalo sudah 2-3 hari merah tebel kira-kira good newsnya apa
> ya buat tarik nafas dikit dimasa bearish ini? Mohon bimbingan senior disini.
>
>
> Salam,
> Dimas
>
>
>
> 2011/10/8 Bagya <[email protected]>
>
>>
>>  Oct. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Fitch Ratings downgraded Italy and Spain on concern
>> they will struggle to improve their finances as Europe’s debt crisis
>> intensifies, while Moody’s Investors Service put Belgium on review for a
>> possible cut.
>>
>>  Spain had its foreign and local currency long-term issuer default ratings
>> cut to AA- from AA+, while Italy had the same set of ratings lowered to A+
>> from AA-, Fitch said in statements yesterday. The outlook for both countries
>> is negative. Fitch also maintained Portugal’s rating at BBB-, saying it
>> would complete a review of that ranking in the fourth quarter.
>>
>>  Belgium’s Aa1 local- and foreign-currency ratings were placed under
>> review for a downgrade by Moody’s because of rising funding risks for euro
>> region nations with high levels of debt and additional bank support measures
>> which are likely to be needed.
>>
>>  The downgrades for Spain and Italy reflect “the intensification of the
>> euro zone crisis,” Fitch said, citing risks to Spain’s
>> “fiscal-consolidation” efforts. “A credible and comprehensive solution to
>> the crisis is politically and technically complex and will take time to put
>> in place and to earn the trust of investors,” Fitch said of Spain.
>>
>>  Italy and Spain, the third- and fourth-largest economies respectively in
>> the 17-nation euro area, are scrambling to avoid the fallout from the debt
>> crisis as Greece moves closer to default. Borrowing costs for both nations
>> surged to euro-era record highs in August, prompting the European Central
>> Bank to prop up their bonds on the secondary market.
>>
>>  International Credibility
>>
>>  “There are two things Italy needs to do. One is to work on reacquiring a
>> sufficient level of international credibility to maintain its financial
>> house in order,” Fiat SpA Chief Executive Officer Sergio Marchionne said
>> after a speech in Montreal yesterday. “The other thing that you need is to
>> increase the purchasing capability of the Italian public.”
>>
>>  Fitch’s cut of Italy was its first since October 2006. It follows
>> downgrades of Italy by Moody’s on Oct. 4 and Standard & Poor’s on Sept. 19,
>> which both cited concerns that the country’s weak economic growth means it
>> will struggle to reduce Europe’s second-largest debt, at about 120 percent
>> of gross domestic product.
>>
>>  Spain’s rating, which was AAA until 2010, has now been lowered twice by
>> Fitch as the deepest austerity measures in three decades fail to convince
>> investors the nation can stem the surge in its debt burden. Moody’s also
>> warned “all but the strongest euro-area sovereigns” are likely to see
>> further downgrades, when it cut Italy’s rating for the first time in almost
>> two decades.
>>
>>  Spanish Growth
>>
>>  Fitch said it expects Spanish growth to remain below 2 percent a year
>> through 2015. Still, the nation’s debt burden will peak at 72 percent of GDP
>> in 2013, below the forecast for the euro area on average, the company said.
>>
>>  Italy gave final approval last month to a 54 billion-euro ($72 billion)
>> austerity plan aimed at balancing the budget in 2013 that convinced the ECB
>> to start buying the nation’s and Spanish bonds on Aug. 8. Italy’s 10-year
>> borrowing costs, which fell as low as 4.87 percent on Aug. 18, were at 5.52
>> percent yesterday. Spain’s 10-year bond yield was at 4.99 percent.
>>
>>  “The crisis has adversely impacted financial stability and growth
>> prospects across the region,” Fitch said. “However, the high level of public
>> debt and fiscal financing requirement along with the low rate of potential
>> growth rendered Italy especially vulnerable to such an external shock.”
>>
>>  U.S. Rating
>>
>>  The decision also comes after Standard & Poor’s stripped the U.S. of its
>> AAA credit rating for the first time. While the Aug. 5 move roiled global
>> markets, bond investors ignored S&P’s warnings about U.S. creditworthiness
>> and piled into Treasuries. The yield on the benchmark U.S. government bond
>> fell to a record 1.6714 on Sept. 23.
>>
>>  Spain’s Socialist government, which faces a general election on Nov. 20,
>> has said the country may miss its 2011 growth forecast of 1.3 percent as the
>> recovery slows. Unemployment remains above 21 percent and the manufacturing
>> industry contracted the most in more than two years in September. Regional
>> governments, which are responsible for health and education and hire half of
>> Spain’s public workers, are behind schedule to meet their deficit targets,
>> preliminary data showed on Sept. 8.
>>
>>  The People’s Party, which polls indicate may win an outright majority in
>> the vote, has pledged a stricter budget law, spending limits for the
>> regional governments, and tax breaks to encourage companies to hire workers
>> and become more competitive. PP leader Mariano Rajoy said on Sept. 15 he
>> would send a “strong signal” to markets and wouldn’t deviate from the
>> budget-deficit goal of 4.4 percent of gross domestic product in 2012 “under
>> any circumstances.”
>>
>>  To contact the reporter on this story: Lorenzo Totaro in Rome at
>> [email protected]
>>
>>  To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling at
>> [email protected]
>>
>> ===
>> Sent from Bloomberg for Blackberry. Download it from the Blackberry App
>> World!
>> Thanks,
>> Bagya
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>>
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