This ship has probably sailed, but imho "predict_proba" is a much more common 
method to use... I would call the current "predict_proba" just "predict", and 
rename "predict" something like "predict_thresholded", "predict_discrete" or 
"predict_labels". (This was my very first experience with sklearn... I used 
predict, noticed the discrete labels, and had to go "hunting" for 
predict_proba.) (It was a short hunt. =P)




You are technically still in 0.x so this could be changed, but it might be 
extremely painful so I understand if this gets immediately shot down.

On Fri, Feb 20, 2015 at 9:00 AM, Andy <t3k...@gmail.com> wrote:

> You give the roc_auc_score the result of "predict". You should give it 
> the result of "predict_proba".
> This came up already quite a bit, not sure how we can avoid people 
> making this mistake.
> On 02/19/2015 04:56 AM, Tim Head wrote:
>> Hi Gilles,
>>
>> On Thu Feb 19 2015 at 8:35:35 AM Gilles Louppe <g.lou...@gmail.com 
>> <mailto:g.lou...@gmail.com>> wrote:
>>
>>     Hi Tim,
>>
>>     By default, cross_val_score uses on StratifiedKFold(shuffle=False) to
>>     create the train/test folds while train_test_split uses ShuffleSplit.
>>     The discrepancy you observe might therefore come from either
>>     shuffling, the stratification of the labels or both of them.
>>
>>     Can you set the CV parameter in cross_val_score to
>>     - ShuffleSplit(n_folds=3, shuffle=True)
>>     - ShuffleSplit(n_folds=3, shuffle=False)
>>     - StratifiedKFold(n_folds=3, shuffle=True)
>>     - StratifiedKFold(n_folds=3, shuffle=False)
>>     and then try to determine in which cases scores are consistent?
>>
>>
>> The two classes are pretty balanced ("mean" label value = 0.529 with 
>> labels 0 and 1) so naively the stratification should not change anything.
>>
>> Below what I get for four options I tried:
>>
>> cv=3
>> [ 0.77333168 0.77171963 0.77402341]
>> ------------------------------------------
>> cv=ShuffleSplit(670000, n_iter=3, test_size=0.33, random_state=None)
>> [ 0.7745969 0.77283909 0.77140412]
>> ------------------------------------------
>> cv=sklearn.cross_validation.KFold(n=670000, n_folds=3, shuffle=False, 
>> random_state=None)
>> [ 0.77326581 0.77155045 0.77374548]
>> ------------------------------------------
>> cv=sklearn.cross_validation.KFold(n=670000, n_folds=3, shuffle=True, 
>> random_state=None)
>> [ 0.77298131 0.77332662 0.77225896]
>> ------------------------------------------
>>
>> Conclusion they all give the same answer, which is what I'd expect 
>> given that the dataset is balanced and already in random order :-/ and 
>> still splitting X_dev "by hand" with train_test_split() gives me a 
>> different answer.
>>
>> For the moment I think there must be an (obvious) bug in my script 
>> that I need to find.
>>
>> T
>> p.s I posted a minimal script here 
>> https://gist.github.com/betatim/a31777c36e3b4b6f21bb it uses the first 
>> million samples from this dataset which is quite large: 
>> http://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/HIGGS
>>
>>
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