RE: [agi] Thinking may be overrated.

2002-12-30 Thread Ben Goertzel


Kevin Copple wrote:
 I do not want to say that random trial and error is the ultimate form of
 intelligent thought.  Far from it.  But given what nature and
 humankind have
 achieved with it to date, and that we may not even recognize the extent to
 which it is involved in our own thought, it seems to be an intriguing
 ingredient.  Perhaps artificial trial and error systems can lead
 us to pure
 intelligence.  That is, if pure intelligence is not an illusion,
 a mirage,
 an unachievable holy grail.

Well, I agree with you that random trial and error is an intriguing
ingredient and an important ingredient of cognition.  Evolutionary
programming is a key aspect of Novamente's procedure learning module,
which is one of Novamente's most important components.

But regarding artificial trial and error can lead us to pure
intelligence -- I think it can, but only after a long time.  I don't
think this is anywhere near the shortest path...

I don't think a mind based primarily on trial and error could run on
viable hardware.  I think that a digital evolution process based on trial
and error could lead to the evolution of a mind, but this would take a while
!!




-- Ben

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RE: [agi] Thinking may be overrated.

2002-12-29 Thread Ben Goertzel

Kevin Copple wrote:
 Thinking in humans, much like genetic evolution, seems to involve
 predominately trial and error.  Even the logic we like to use is more
 often than not faulty, but can lead us to try something different.  And
 example of popular logic that is invariably faulty is reasoning
 by analogy.
 It is attractive, but always breaks down on close examination.  But this
 type of reasoning will lead to a trial that may succeed, possibly
 because of
 the attractive similarities, but more likely in spite of them.

I don't agree with this paragraph, although I see some truth in it.

I think that trial and error based idea-evolution is one important aspect
of human cognition, but not the *predominant* aspect.  It may predominate in
some circumstances, but these would be unusual ones where there was little
pertinent background knowledge

Analogical inference can be formulated rigorously in probabilistic terms.
It does have a guesswork aspect to it, but it's a well-organized way of
managing conditional probabilities... in my view ;_)

In Novamente, we have an EvolutionaryConceptCreation MindAgent which
explicitly uses trial and error to create new ideas.  But it is intended for
use together with other MindAGents, including those implementing
probabilistic inference   If you set the parameters of the system so
that evolutionary concept creation predominated, I think you'd find a system
with far below optimal functionality..

Traditional logic-based AI has badly underemphasized the role of trial and
error, but I'm afraid you're swinging to the opposite extreme !!

-- Ben

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RE: [agi] Thinking may be overrated.

2002-12-29 Thread Kevin Copple
Ben Goertzel wrote:
 Traditional logic-based AI has badly underemphasized the role of trial and
error, but I'm afraid you're swinging to the opposite extreme !!

It has been said that it is easier to bring a wild idea under control than
to give life into a lame idea, so considering an extreme position may not be
a bad tactic.

In further defense of trial and error, I would point out that much or most
of our human knowledge and progress has been the result of countless random
trials and errors of others.  If the pre-Columbian Native Americans had a
strong value for seeking advancement through trial and error, I imagine they
would have discovered much better archery techniques that would have
dramatically altered human history.  Would those countless archers have met
the criteria for AGI?  Surely they would have.  But they apparently lacked
respect for random trial and error in the pursuit of progress.  Clearly they
WANTED their arrows to have three times the range, speed and power.  Seems
this is an obvious case of an AGI (minus the artificial) that desperately
needed the random trial and error problem solving method.

In my life, I have found that various forms of negative feedback often
taught me an effective lesson, even though I intellectually KNEW the lesson
beforehand.  As in, I knew that was a bad idea, tried it anyway, and will
never again.  I have seen this behavior many times in others as well.  This
is the type of observation that makes me wonder the extent to which emotion
is the real driver in our intelligent behavior.  WANTING to succeed often
seems to be the real factor in success at solving problems.

What is the pattern matching that occurs in our biological neural nets?  Is
it not a simple trial and error, with more dimensions?  To me, seeing a
pattern in a series of words, images, or numbers in an IQ test is a type of
trial and error.   I am getting beyond my ability to express myself, at
least without more energy and time than I have at the moment, but it occurs
to me that what we perceive as logic in our brains is actually massively
parallel trial and error processes with emotional reinforcement for success
or failure.

I do not want to say that random trial and error is the ultimate form of
intelligent thought.  Far from it.  But given what nature and humankind have
achieved with it to date, and that we may not even recognize the extent to
which it is involved in our own thought, it seems to be an intriguing
ingredient.  Perhaps artificial trial and error systems can lead us to pure
intelligence.  That is, if pure intelligence is not an illusion, a mirage,
an unachievable holy grail.

Cheers,

Kevin Copple

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