Re: National sales tax (was: Re: Neutral taxation?)

2003-01-16 Thread AdmrlLocke

In a message dated 1/16/03 8:47:15 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>This brings to mind an historical point which has been tugging at me -
>perhaps someone here will know the answer offhand. Has there *ever* been
>an instance where one type of tax has entirely replaced another, or even
>replaced in some 'revenue-neutral' fashion for even a few years, the tax
>it is proposed to 'replace'?

Well I won't say "never," but I know of no such case in American history.  
Typically Congress passes some new tax or taxes during a war, then sometimes 
the new taxes persisted after the orginal justification for them had passed.  
During the Civil War Congress raised tarrifs drastically, and imposed an 
income tax and an inheritance tax.  After the war it let the income and 
inheritance taxes lapse, but kept the higher tariffs.  The new tax regime was 
weighted much more heavily toward tariffs than the previous system, which 
relied proportionately more on "internal" excises, but Congress had used both 
types to a fair degree before, and tariffs did not replace excises.  

Likewise during World War I the income tax of 1913, which had raised little 
revenue at its inception, replaced tariffs as the single largest source of 
federal revenue, but it didn't replace tariffs, and indeed, during the 1920s 
shrunk back below 50% of federal revenue.  While the income tax burst onto 
the scene rather suddenly as a major source of revenue (as it had during the 
Civil War) it just didn't replace another source of revenue entirely. Even 
today the federal government still collects revenue from tariffs (and 
excises).  

So Susan raises an excellent historical point I hadn't really considered in 
discussing alternatives to the income tax: there's never been a sudden 
wholesale replacement of one major source of federal revenue for another.  
I've always thought it was an unlikely prospect anyway, and now I'm clearer 
as to why.

DBL




Re: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Susan Hogarth
<>

I don't understand this. Could you expand it a bit, please?

Susan Hogarth 
Triangle Beagle Rescue of NC
www.tribeagles.org [EMAIL PROTECTED]





National sales tax (was: Re: Neutral taxation?)

2003-01-16 Thread Susan Hogarth
DBL:

<>

This brings to mind an historical point which has been tugging at me -
perhaps someone here will know the answer offhand. Has there *ever* been
an instance where one type of tax has entirely replaced another, or even
replaced in some 'revenue-neutral' fashion for even a few years, the tax
it is proposed to 'replace'?

I am curious because of all the talk of a national sales tax floating
around. Besides the black market issue, I have a hard time believing any
new tax would replace the federal income tax, and a harder time yet
believing the combined burden of both would be lighter than that of one.

I would like to see a healthy black market, though! :) I could really
get behind a national sales tax if I really thought the feds would have
the balls to try to extract 20-30% at the point of sale - especially in
a 'progressive' fashion. Would poor people be issued tax-exemption cards?

Susan Hogarth 
Triangle Beagle Rescue of NC
www.tribeagles.org [EMAIL PROTECTED]





RE: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Susan Hogarth
SH:
> > I suppose there *could* be a neutral tax, but what would be the
point?
> > It would be something like taking five dollars from everyone and
giving
> > them back five dollars worth of 'services'.

FF:
> The whole point is to provide collective services.
> If you join a club and pay dues to get some services, do you then
> complain
> that you paid money and got services?

SH:
<>

FF:
<>

SH:
Actually, no. I asked what the point was in collecting an amount of
money whose only purpose was to provide 'services' equal to the amount
of money collected. And then I reflected that a government never could
do such a thing, anyway (that was the part you snipped out in your
reply). A taxpayer could *never* get his five dollars' worth of services
for his five dollars taxation - if only for the reason that he has to
pay the overhead cost of having the money extracted from him, costs he
would not incur when obtaining those services through a business.

FF:
<>

SH:
I'm not sure I understand this paragraph. Are you saying that we have
taxes to give people 'services' they don't want? Or to keep people from
obtaining services they *may*, in fact, want?

FF:
<>

SH:
My apologies for straying off with the 'what would be the point?'
comment. I was thinking out-loud a bit and following the thought to the
logical conclusion that in fact there *can* be no such thing as a
neutral tax, unless of course the government could have perfect
knowledge of what people wanted and could provide it - which is clearly
impossible.

Is my thinking off on that? I was simply agreeing with a previous
statement that a truly neutral tax was an impossibility. It seems
reasonable to me to make such a statement. Isn't the idea that there
could be such a thing as a neutral tax simply a belief that central
planning *can*, in fact, provide a better value on 'services' than the
marketplace?

But perhaps I don't understand the term 'neutral taxation'. I took it to
mean a tax which would - in the end - produce no net loss (or gain, I
suppose) for the entity being taxed. Is there some more technical sense
of the term which I don't understand?

Susan Hogarth 
Triangle Beagle Rescue of NC
www.tribeagles.org [EMAIL PROTECTED]





Re: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
> I find some appeal in the notion of 
> having to pay some small poll tax in order to vote. 
> David B. Levenstam

If there is no penalty in not paying the poll tax, and it is required for
voting, then it is not really a poll tax but a tax on voting.
Since the probability of my vote being decisive in large elections is
epsilon, I would be very happy to have a voting tax and avoid voting.
I just wonder how many people would pay the price of voting.
Fred Foldvary 


=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
>> A tax on economic rent is neutral, since by definition, economic rent 
>> is income not necessary in order to put a factor to its most 
>> productive use.
>> Fred Foldvary >>
 
> I'm not sure if I'm following this, but it sounds like you're saying 
> that it's okay to tax "non-productive" income because that's bad. 

I'm surprised that it "sounds" like this, because I see nothing in my
statement that implies it.  From what do you infer a "bad"?

> That sounds
> very much again like a Progressive notion of taxation,

Do you mean progressive as in the tax rate increasing with income?
The rationale for taxing rent has nothing to do with this, and the tax rate
would be flat.

> Incidentally, you talked earlier about taxing land value rather than rent

Taxing land rent is the same as taxing land value.
The price or value of land is based on the expected future rent.  
The simplified formula is: p = r / i, where
p is the price of land, r the annual unchanging rent, and i the real
interest rate.  Given a tax rate t based on p, the equation is
p = r / (i+t).  The fraction f of rent taxed is thus
f = t/(i+t)
So for example if i=.05 and t=.20, the tax rate is 20% of the price of
land, and the percent of rent taxed = .20/.25 or 80%.

> which might, as sometimes happens with existing real 
> estate taxes, force the owner to sell his or her land just to pay the
> tax.  That seems like one of the greatest wrongs of all.

If that happens, the title holder is underusing his land.
Otherwise, it would fetch a market rental higher than the tax on the rent.
If the user holds idle land, then it is socially efficient for him to
transfer the site to someone who puts it to a more optimal use.

Fred Foldvary

=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Neutral taxation?/was Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread AdmrlLocke

In a message dated 1/16/03 11:57:03 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>AdmrlLocke wrote:
>
>
>
>> The farmer felt no compunction at all about complaining that while 
>
>under the income tax system he pays no tax, under a sales tax he'd pay
>
>
>a hefty tax.  He pays nothing and he thinks he's entitled to pay 
>
>nothing while everyone else pays something.)
>
>
>
>This kind of rhetoric never seizes to amaze me. Why do people get away
>
>
>with it?

I'm tempted to say that it's because America is dominated by WASP culture, 
and WASP culture promotes polite and confict-aversion over confrontational 
truth.  I don't really think, however, that that fully explains why such 
people don't get confronted more, although it might explain much of that 
particular story, since I was sitting in a WASPy country club in small-town 
Iowa.  :)

I think that in America certain groups of people have gotten benefits 
because, deservedly so or not, many other Americans believed that the 
beneficiaries deserved the benefits.  Much of the Great Society--occasional 
liberal protestations to the contrary notwithstanding--appealed to 
urban/suburban Northern white middle-income guilt over the treatment of 
blacks in America, particularly (but not exclusively) during slavery.  These 
voters believed (rightfully so) that blacks had been oppressed (slavery, Jim 
Crow, etc.) and that therefore someone should pay them, or their descendants, 
something (a rather tenuous conclusion, I'll admit, and the one behind the 
'reparations' movement these days).  These voters also saw having the 
government make these payments as an easy, cost-free way (a decidedly false 
assumption) to expiate their guilt for evils perpetrated by other people.  
Until the Great Society's heavy costs (inflation, welfare-dependence, 
destruction of black neighborhoods and families) started to appear clearly in 
the 1970s, very few of these voters felt any desire to criticize the 
programs, or the recipients who developed an entitlement mentality, or feared 
to express such criticizms for fear of being branded "racist," as the 
Democrats routinely do and have done since the 1960s.

In the farmer's case, there's a centuries'-long American love-affair with 
rurality and the famer.  We start with the early colonial stories of America 
as a great garden, the Jeffersonian ideal of the sturdy yeoman farming his 
land, the American notion of the farmer as the "salt of the earth," the 
non-economic notion that the farmer "feeds us" (as though out of the goodness 
of his heart for us poor, starving urban dwellers).  Indeed a hostility 
toward the sick, polluted, direct city and preference for the clean, growing 
countryside goes back to pre-colonial English (and Continental) roots.  
Farmers in America tried for decades starting in the late 19th century to get 
various types of government benefits, but only when their relative numbers 
had declined to less than half the population could they actually manage to 
start squeezing out some small benefits in the 1920s.  Now that less than 
half of a percent of the US population engages in full-time farming, 
taxpayers can afford to exempt farmers entirely from federal income taxation, 
pay then individually tens and sometimes hundreds of thousands of dollars, 
and yet barely notice.  For decades it hardly seemed worth the effort to 
debunk the noble farming myth in order to cut agricultural price subsidies, 
although in the mid-1990s the Democrats' allies in the media made cutting ag 
subsidies the key test of whether Republians were really serious about 
cutting entitlements.  (Note: Republicans did phase out the notorious ag 
price supports [though not all federal ag subsidies] but got not credit from 
the news media, whose members conveniently forgot they'd set up ag subsidies 
as the key test).

Civil War veterans, however, stand out as the first group to create a sense 
among the voters that they deserved to feed at the federal trough, and for 
the next half-century or so got increasingly large and wide benefits.  
Eventually Congress passed what some have called a "Sneeze Clause" or 
something like that:  if a Civil War veteran ever sneezed in your direction 
you got veteran benefits.  I understand that veterans today still get 
substantial, wide-ranging federal benefits, thought I'm not at all sure that 
having a separate, completely-socialized medical system doesn't hurt them 
much more than it helps.

>
>
>
>Here in Denmark, we often hear similar rhetoric on welfare benefits. If
>
>
>someone in the media is advocating a reduction (or more likely, 
>
>advocating a lower increase) in welfare benefits, the interviewer will
>
>
>gladly turn to someone, who will say: “I actually receive welfare 
>
>benefits, and I think they are too low”. That’s it – end of 
>
>discussion!! 
>
>
>
>The general feeling is: “Well, this guy actually receives benefits, so
>
>
>he’s gotta be the expert, right?” – “on the other hand, the idiot who 
>

Re: Neutral taxation?/was Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread AdmrlLocke
Dear Tom,

I hope I got your definition of "neutral" right in the last post.  As I 
indicated, I'd support a poll tax (so long as I'm an armchair intellectual 
and not running for office, which with my abrasive personality would be a 
joke anyway).  I also support a flatter income tax. In fact  I'd like to see 
something along the lines of the Forbes flat tax with a single rate above the 
exemption.  I've got a master's degree in taxation and used to work as a tax 
practioner, and so saw first-hand some of the heavy cost of complying with 
the complex income tax.  A simpler system would reduce the compliance costs.

I don't really want to replace all the tax revenue generated by the current 
income tax; personally I'd like to see the federal government spend a fifth 
to a fourth of what it does now.  I agree that much of the problem comes on 
the benefit side, with almost everyone (except Democratic politicians in the 
federal government--I wonder why they lost the Senate?) supporting some sort 
of tax cuts but nobody wanting their own benefits cut.  I'd love to hear some 
good (or even some mediocre) suggestions on how to overcome the problem.

Under Gramm-Rudman, which lasted basically covered Reagan's second term, 
discretionary federal non-defense spending grew at its slowest rate since the 
1920s, so it may be that the threat of automatic across-the-board cuts have 
the most success by forcing competing interests to fight with each other 
rather than cooperate to raise federal spending in the aggregate.  It didn't 
last very long and only happened under the threat of huge deficits and indeed 
broke down when the "automatic" cuts got large, so I'm not actually too 
optimistic about the success of such things.

DBL

In a message dated 1/16/03 5:20:18 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>Dan,
>
>even more than direct/indirect, you need to specify what is "neutral".
>
>Given democracy, one (adult) person, one vote, a strong case can be made
>
>for a "neutral" poll tax.  
>
>Of course it is not "progressive" like most income taxes.  Flat rate
>
>taxes, sales/VAT taxes, even land taxes, affect some more than others.
>
>
>
>My own preferences are more towards a flat(er) tax, with a large (poverty
>
>level) deduction, and rates tending down (to zero?); a land tax, split
>
>
>between local, state, and federal (1/3 each? 50-25-25?); and ever increasing
>
>taxes on pollution.  I am constantly annoyed at the greens wanting huge
>
>regulation but unwilling to support higher pollution taxes.  
>
>Um, to get rid of the last 5% of income taxes, I'd even support deficit
>spending
>
>printing money (inflation, another fairly "neutral" tax, 
>
>of about 2-3% per year).
>
>
>
>But of the course the MAIN problem is on the benfit side -- so many voters
>
>want, claim, demand, and only-vote-for those politicos who offer their
>
>favorite benefits.  The demand for benefits drives the demand for tax
>
>revenue.
>
>
>
>And the coming (2020) Social Security baby boomer elephant-sized funding
>gap 
>
>is gonna be a HUGE increase in benefit demand.  
>
>Europe is even more vulnerable than the US or the UK.
>
>Sigh.  "What is to be done?"  (someone said that... I know, what's is name
>
>the commie!)  
>
>
>
>Tom Grey




RE: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
> SH:
> > I suppose there *could* be a neutral tax, but what would be the point?
> > It would be something like taking five dollars from everyone and giving
> > them back five dollars worth of 'services'.
> 
> FF:
> < If you join a club and pay dues to get some services, do you then
> complain
> that you paid money and got services?>>
> 
> Of course not. How does that apply to governments and taxation, though?

You asked what is the point in collecting taxes and providing services.
For most services, voluntary action can do the job fine.
But many folks would not want to have private armies around, so the point
in having government collect taxes and providing defense is to prevent
private parties from doing so.

But the relevant issue was neutral taxation, not the desirability of
government per se.  The tax issue needs to be addressed GIVEN that
government exists and takes revenue.

Fred Foldvary

=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread AdmrlLocke

In a message dated 1/16/03 3:31:03 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

<< --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> I can't imagine any tax that would be "neutral"

A tax on economic rent is neutral, since by definition, economic rent is
income not necessary in order to put a factor to its most productive use.

Fred Foldvary >>

I'm not sure if I'm following this, but it sounds like you're saying that 
it's okay to tax "non-productive" income because that's bad.  That sounds 
very much again like a Progressive notion of taxation, and in any case 
doesn't seem neutral among different types of incomes/activities.  I'm 
probably not understanding your argument fully, but I do think part of the 
confusion comes from the (at least) two different definitions of 
"neutrality."  Maybe taxing rent is justified because rent is "bad" income, 
but that doesn't make it neutral across different types of income.

Incidentally, you talked earlier about taxing land value rather than rent 
(I'm presuming because we expect the value of land in a free market to 
capitalize the rent), which might, as sometimes happens with existing real 
estate taxes, force the owner to sell his or her land just to pay the tax.  
That seems like one of the greatest wrongs of all.

DBL




Re: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread AdmrlLocke

In a message dated 1/16/03 3:31:01 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

<< > Given democracy, one (adult) person, one vote, a strong case can be made
> for a "neutral" poll tax.  
> Tom Grey

Fred writes:  <>

It seems to me that we have a problem with the meaning of "neutrality" here.  
Tom seems to see it as meaning that we each pay the same amount regardless of 
circumstances, while Fred seems to see it as meaning that people in different 
circumstances should  not pay the same amount.  If I've come close with the 
apparent definitions here, it seems to me that Fred's meaning contains a 
value taken from Progressive thinking, which I find rather surprising.

In colonial and early republican America, some colonies/states imposed poll 
taxes, and some made paying the poll tax a requirement for voting.  I'm not 
sure what, if any, other penalties the states had for failure to pay the poll 
tax.  Even though I've been relatively poor (by American standards) most of 
my adult life and yet have always voted, I find some appeal in the notion of 
having to pay some small poll tax in order to vote.  If every adult had to 
pay a quarterly federal poll tax of merely $25, (an assuming for the sake of 
argument that most of them paid), the federal government would raise roughly 
$15 billion dollars.  While that's only a percent of annual federal spending, 
it's still a sizable chunk of change (which I'd be happy to take if everybody 
else thinks it's too small).  I couldn't replace the income tax of course, 
but it could be the keystone to a different, lighter federal tax system.  
Frankly I don't want to see the federal government take a third of the 
nation's income by any method.

I do like the idea, however, that to vote for who runs the legal system you 
have to contribute at least something to the running of the system.  I'm not 
sure that such a small tax would actually discourage net beneficiaries of 
government benefits from voting themselves more of other peoples' incomes, 
but it might discourage some of the core supports of socialist programs not 
to bother voting at all.  It would also allow the libertarians (and 
independents) who don't want to vote to op out of paying for at least a share 
of the system they don't support (assuming no other penalty for non-payment 
besides not being able to vote).

As I understand it, Thatcher allowed the local governments in the UK to 
impose the poll tax in the ways that they saw fit, and with Labour stronger 
in many of the local governments, they ensured that the poll tax got imposed 
in the nastiest possible way in order to discredit Thatcher.  I do think, 
however, that the notion of poll taxes at least used to have a powerful 
negative connotation in American politics so that it might easily be a loser 
politically here, and of course if a Republican proposed it no doubt the 
Democrats and their allies in the news media would castigate it as another 
attempt to tax and disenfranchise the poor, etc.  I think though that decades 
of liberal-dominated public education has so vitiated the historical 
education of most American students that by now almost nobody under the age 
of 40 even knows what a poll tax is, much less that, for instance, Southern 
racists once used it to disenfranchise blacks, so it might not receive as 
chilly a reception as it would have 20 or 25 years ago.

Still, as an intellectual participating in a discussion with other 
intellectual I have some expectation that someone will bash me for saying I 
find some merit the idea of poll taxes; as a politician running for office 
I'd avoid it like the plague.  :)

David B. Levenstam




Re: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread AdmrlLocke
I have to agree with Susan.  Health clubs are voluntary organizations which, 
unlike governments, lack the ability to legitimately threaten or employ force 
to get me to join.  

I have seen, furthermore, members of my old health club in Iowa complain 
bitterly at the provision or increase of services they didn't want, or the 
cutting of or failure to provide or increase services they didn't want.  I 
know that I didn't want them to raise my rate in order to refurbish the men's 
locker room, which seemed just fine to me as it was.  Some people complained 
bitterly about the club renting out the pool, tennis courts or other areas 
for parties and thus cutting down the hours during which general members 
could use the pool or tennis courts, etc.

In a message dated 1/16/03 3:30:34 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

<< SH:
> I suppose there *could* be a neutral tax, but what would be the point?
> It would be something like taking five dollars from everyone and giving
> them back five dollars worth of 'services'.

FF:
<>

<>





Fw: economic projections of the IPCC

2003-01-16 Thread Alypius Skinner



 
 
 
 http://www.webace.com.au/~wsh/cool4.htm
 
  

     
  Issue 4 November/ December 
  2002
  
  


Concise and comprehensive paper by Dr Chris de Freitas 
pointing out myths and fallacies in the entire IPCC position. Dowloadable pdf 
file just over 1 Mb. 



CSIRO and the greenhouse game: player yes, umpire 
no 
by Bob Foster1 bclim10, 
14/12/2002 
1.  A REPUTATION WORTH PROTECTING A 
review by Paul Adam in The ANZAAS Mercury (September 2002, p 5) of “Fields of 
Discovery: Australia’s CSIRO” by Brad Collis (Allen & Unwin, 520 p) begins: 
 The CSIRO is one of the jewels in Australia’s crown.  It is an 
extraordinarily diverse  and productive research organization, and the 
national public face of science.  In  many countries public statements 
from government scientists tend automatically to be  regarded with 
suspicion and scepticism.  In Australia CSIRO is a trusted umpire, 
and  endorsement by the organization is a high accolade. 
It takes decades to earn a reputation like this. 
2.  CSIRO’S TEMPERATURE PROJECTIONS FOR 
AUSTRALIA CSIRO’s website www.dar.csiro.au/impacts/future tells 
us that: By 2070, annual average temperatures are increased by 1.0 to 6.0 
OC over most of Australia ... because of 
human-caused greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.  For the “inland”, the new 
(8/5/2001) projection is an even-more-remarkable 1.0-6.8 OC – cf ‘only’ 0.7-3.8 OC 
in CSIRO’s last (1996) report. 
I promise I am not making this up: now, CSIRO has Darwin going from the 
present one December-February day per year over 35 OC on average, to a whopping 5-79 days by 2070.  CSIRO 
could be quite right, of course; but no-one today has any way of knowing.  
Think the unthinkable: is CSIRO snowing us on future Australian warming? 
3.  CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE NATURAL SCIENCES 
 3.1 Did the ‘Greenhouse Effect’ cause 20th-Century warming? 
In the 20th Century, 0.6 OC of 
global-average surface warming from all causes occurred in two episodes: from 
the 1920s to the mid-40s, with the balance from 1976 onward - and with a return 
to slightly cooler conditions in the interim.  Figure 1 compares world 
consumption of carbon-based fuels (a good surrogate for GHG emissions) with the 
observed increase of globally-averaged surface temperature.  Clearly, the 
first warming episode from the 20s largely predates the growth of human-caused 
GHG emissions to the atmosphere. 
The Great Pacific Climate Shift of 1976/77 was the climatic event of the 
century.  This Shift coincided with an abrupt reduction in the 
upwelling of cold water in the eastern Pacific, as recorded by the Pacific 
Decadal Oscillation (PDO) Index (Figure 2) - which 
shows reductions during the 1920s-40s and 1977-98.  The impact of the 76/77 
Shift extended far beyond PDO and the Pacific; and its global influence on 
atmosphere and oceans is illustrated in Figure 3.  
Selected examples of its physical and biological influence are given in Figure 4,---Figure 5,---Figure 6,---Figure  7,---Figure 8, and Figure 9. 

1.  Phone (61.3) 9525 6335, fax 6345, email 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]  Bob is a director of the Lavoisier Group 
www.lavoisier.com.au which is putting a contrarian view on climate change to 
that of the UN’s IPCC.  Like-minded Australian sites are 
www.webace.com.au/~wsh and the comprehensive www.john-daly.com. 

But could the renewed warming from the late 70s be the greenhouse 
effect?  The human-caused ‘greenhouse effect’ is a phenomenon of the 
atmosphere.  GHG emissions, of which carbon dioxide (CO2) from 
fossil fuels is by far the most influential constituent, are supposed to trap 
extra heat in the lower troposphere – which warms as a consequence.  
Instead of escaping to Space as before, some of this trapped heat should return 
to the earth’s surface – causing ‘greenhouse effect’ warming.  
Concurrently, less heat than before escapes to Space. 
We now have 23 years of global coverage from satellite-derived observations 
to supplement the weather balloon record (top graph in Figure 3), which is only 
adequate in the Northern Hemisphere - better over land, best over Europe and 
North America.  There are two surprising findings.  The lower 
troposphere is only warming a quarter as fast as is the surface, and (in the 
tropics, at least) more – not less – heat is leaving the top of the atmosphere 
for Space.  The simplest explanation for these findings is that most of the 
measured surface temperature increase over the past 23 years is something other 
than ‘greenhouse effect’ warming. 
During this period, the lower troposphere of the Southern Hemisphere appears 
not to have warmed (Figure 10---Figure 11).  In 
fact, most warming in the lower troposphere is north of 30ON; and south of 45 OS is 
cooling.  Therefore, any human-caused greenhouse warming (i.e. at the 
surface) to date, would be largely confined to the extra-tropical 
Northern Hemisphere. 
And yet, CSIRO is warning us that Australia could warm ten times as much by 

RE: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Susan Hogarth
SH:
> I suppose there *could* be a neutral tax, but what would be the point?
> It would be something like taking five dollars from everyone and giving
> them back five dollars worth of 'services'.

FF:
<>

Of course not. How does that apply to governments and taxation, though?

Susan Hogarth 
Triangle Beagle Rescue of NC
www.tribeagles.org [EMAIL PROTECTED]





RE: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Grey Thomas <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> My own preferences are more towards a flat(er) tax, with a large (poverty
> level) deduction, and rates tending down (to zero?); a land tax, split 
> between local, state, and federal (1/3 each? 50-25-25?); and ever
> increasing taxes on pollution.

Given a tax on land value and on pollution, plus user fees, why would we
also need a flat tax on income?  It seems to me the former would be
sufficient.
Fred Foldvary

=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> I can't imagine any tax that would be "neutral"

A tax on economic rent is neutral, since by definition, economic rent is
income not necessary in order to put a factor to its most productive use.

Fred Foldvary

=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
> Given democracy, one (adult) person, one vote, a strong case can be made
> for a "neutral" poll tax.  
> Tom Grey

The poll tax is what got Maggie Thatcher thrown out of office in the UK.

The problem is that different people benefit differently from government
services, and so the poll tax is not well correlated with benefits.

The poll tax also amounts to forced labor.  The poll tax is how the
colonial governments in Africa got the natives to work in the fields.

So the poll tax is not really neutral:
1) it is not related to benefits, hence it subsidizes some and penalizes
others.
2) it forces workers to work extra to pay the tax in order to get some
amount of net income.

Fred Foldvary

=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Neutral taxation

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary

--- Susan Hogarth <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> < Larry Sechrest here -- viz., there are no neutral taxes.  (Sechrest's
> position is laid out in his "Rand, Anarchy, and Taxes" in _The Journal
> of Ayn Rand Studies_ 1(2).)
> 
> Do any of you agree?>>
> 
> I suppose there *could* be a neutral tax, but what would be the point?
> It would be something like taking five dollars from everyone and giving
> them back five dollars worth of 'services'.
> 
> Hmm, I guess that's truly not possible, though. Yes, I agree :)
> 
> Susan Hogarth 
> Triangle Beagle Rescue of NC
> www.tribeagles.org [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> 
> 


=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Neutral taxation?

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
> I suppose there *could* be a neutral tax, but what would be the point?
> It would be something like taking five dollars from everyone and giving
> them back five dollars worth of 'services'.
> Susan Hogarth 

The whole point is to provide collective services.
If you join a club and pay dues to get some services, do you then complain
that you paid money and got services?

Fred Foldvary

=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Jacob W Braestrup <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> an income is a certain payment at a certain date, subject to a 
> formal or informal contract,

That is income from an accounting view, but not from the economic
perspective.  Economic income has no regard for contracts.  In economics,
income equals consumption plus the change in net worth during some time.

> while a capital gain is uncertain and not guaranteed to be positive.  

The ex-ante uncertainty is irrelevant.  Dividends are also uncertain
ex-ante.  For income, we take some time period, such as a year, and
calculate the change in actual net worth.  If the change in net worth is
negative, it gets subtracted from consumption.  It is possible for income
to be negative.

Fred Foldvary

=
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Neutral taxation?/was Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread Jacob W Braestrup
AdmrlLocke wrote:

> The farmer felt no compunction at all about complaining that while 
under the income tax system he pays no tax, under a sales tax he'd pay 
a hefty tax.  He pays nothing and he thinks he's entitled to pay 
nothing while everyone else pays something.)

This kind of rhetoric never seizes to amaze me. Why do people get away 
with it?

Here in Denmark, we often hear similar rhetoric on welfare benefits. If 
someone in the media is advocating a reduction (or more likely, 
advocating a lower increase) in welfare benefits, the interviewer will 
gladly turn to someone, who will say: “I actually receive welfare 
benefits, and I think they are too low”. That’s it – end of 
discussion!! 

The general feeling is: “Well, this guy actually receives benefits, so 
he’s gotta be the expert, right?” – “on the other hand, the idiot who 
proposed the cut (lower increase) doesn’t receive them, so who is he to 
say anything about how high they should be…”

Whenever the similar line of argumentation is presented in tax 
matters: “Hey, let’s ask the top income earners whether they think 
rates are too high” (63 percent at the moment here) – the opinion of 
such “fascist pigs” is dismissed out of hand as biased…

Is this experience shared by people outside the Scandinavian 
countries? – how about the US?

sorry if this is off-topic

Jacob Braestrup
Danish Taxpayers Association




RE: Neutral taxation?/was Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread Susan Hogarth
<>

I suppose there *could* be a neutral tax, but what would be the point?
It would be something like taking five dollars from everyone and giving
them back five dollars worth of 'services'.

Hmm, I guess that's truly not possible, though. Yes, I agree :)

Susan Hogarth 
Triangle Beagle Rescue of NC
www.tribeagles.org [EMAIL PROTECTED]





Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread Jacob W Braestrup
Fred Foldvary wrote:

> If there are zero taxes on corporate profits, but taxes on dividends, 
then the incentive is to retain earnings rather than pay dividends, and 
the shareholders get the profits tax-free until the shares are sold for 
capital gains.  The shares might never be sold, but passed on to heirs.
> 
> For tax fairness, given the income tax, all income should be taxed 
equally, and for efficiency, the tax system should minimize the impact 
on decisions.
> So it is better to tax corporate profits and then credit that against 
tax liabilities of dividend income.  To achieve neutrality, unrealized 
gains should be taxed annually, and then we can forget about capital 
gains.
> 
> That being said, the income tax is inherently unjust, complex, and
> burdensome, but that is another story.

I disagree (not with your last point of course ¡V and it is partly 
because I agree with you on this point, I disagree with you on the rest)

Below is an extract (rather lengthy, sorry) from my 
publication "Simpler Taxes - A guide to the simplification of the 
british tax system" (the whole publication may be downloaded free of 
charge here: 
http://www.adamsmith.org/policy/publications/pdf-files/simpler-
taxes.pdf)

¡§The first problem when taxing personal income is determining what it 
is, most importantly distinguishing it from capital gains.  Some will 
find such a distinction impossible and even unwanted, believing that 
any capital gain should be taxed as income.  To those it could be 
argued that:

„h There is a big difference between income and capital gains, and
„h While the former is easily identified and taxed, the latter is not.

The difference between income and capital gains is, in theory, clear 
enough: an income is a certain payment at a certain date, subject to a 
formal or informal contract, while a capital gain is uncertain and not 
guaranteed to be positive.  Thus work wages or interests on bank 
deposits are clearly incomes, while increases in house prices or shares 
are clearly capital gains.  The former are certain and guarantied by 
contracts, while the latter are uncertain and could just as well be 
negative.  Dr. Barry Bracewell-Milnes described the difference thus :

¡§It is rather like the difference between night and day.  Certainly 
there is a dusky time in the evening where it is difficult to say 
confidently whether night has fallen or not.  But at most moments 
within any 24-hour period, everyone is perfectly well aware whether it 
is night or day¡K If the otherwise insignificant boundary becomes 
important in some context, then we set an arbitrary cut-off point ¡V as 
we do with ¡§lighting up time¡¨, a convention to prevent people driving 
unsafely while the night is still deepening¡¨

But what about these borderline cases?  Clearly the problem of 
separating income from capital gains, and the possibility of 
transforming the first to the latter, have been the main driving forces 
behind treating capital gains as personal incomes subject to taxation.  
The problem overlooked by those who find the border between the two 
hard to police is, however, that the inclusion of capital gains as an 
income opens up a host of other boundaries to be policed.

To what extent should capital losses be deductible, if at all?  Should 
all capital losses in one¡¦s entire lifetime be deductible from any 
capital gains, or only those from within the same year as any gains?  
What about inflation in that period?  To what extent should running 
investments in physical capital, or the opposite as the case might be, 
be included in calculations of capital gains?  If a house is sold after 
20 years of decay for the same price as it was bought, indexed for 
inflation, then surely some capital gain must have been materialised 
along the way by the owner.  Should this gain be taxed?  How is it 
calculated?  If the same house is sold for twice the original price 
after being vigorously kept and refurbished, should this investment not 
be deductible?  What if the bottom has gone out of the housing market 
and the house, despite investments, is still only worth the original 
price?  Should the investments still be deductible?  

The list of questions is never-ending, and I shall not attempt to 
answer any of them.  Neither shall I attempt to answer the other 
question faced when including capital gains as taxable incomes: which 
capital gains should be taxed and which should not.  If policing the 
boundary between income and capital gains is difficult, this new 
boundary is even more so.  As interns or trainees, many young people 
work for low wages in the anticipation that their value as workers will 
rise from the experience, and other young people spend years in 
universities hoping the same.  Clearly these increases in ¡§personal¡¨ 
values are capital gains, but neither are taxed.  Only the part of 
personal values actually materialised as income (if any) is being 
taxed.  The capital gain itself is not, a

RE: Neutral taxation?/was Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread Jacob W Braestrup
To Tom Grey (and others)

2 points:

1: why not retain land tax as a local tax, as this would ensure tax-
payers the possibility of voting with ther feet, end thus ensure some 
degree of fiscal competition between neigbouring counties / 
municipalities?

2: I believe Austrain Economic Theory does noit regard inflation as a 
neutral tax, as one of it's main beliefs is that the earlier you get 
your hands on new money, the more you benefit - and vice-versa. I don't 
know whether this holds true for constant (that is: expected) inflation 
as you are descibing as well - anyone?

Jacob Braestrup
Danish Taxpayers Association




> Dan,
> even more than direct/indirect, you need to specify what is "neutral".
> Given democracy, one (adult) person, one vote, a strong case can be 
made
> for a "neutral" poll tax.  
> Of course it is not "progressive" like most income taxes.  Flat rate
> taxes, sales/VAT taxes, even land taxes, affect some more than others.
> 
> My own preferences are more towards a flat(er) tax, with a large 
(poverty
> level) deduction, and rates tending down (to zero?); a land tax, 
split 
> between local, state, and federal (1/3 each? 50-25-25?); and ever 
increasing
> taxes on pollution.  I am constantly annoyed at the greens wanting 
huge
> regulation but unwilling to support higher pollution taxes.  
> Um, to get rid of the last 5% of income taxes, I'd even support 
deficit spending
> printing money (inflation, another fairly "neutral" tax, 
> of about 2-3% per year).
> 
> But of the course the MAIN problem is on the benfit side -- so many 
voters
> want, claim, demand, and only-vote-for those politicos who offer their
> favorite benefits.  The demand for benefits drives the demand for tax
> revenue.
> 
> And the coming (2020) Social Security baby boomer elephant-sized 
funding gap 
> is gonna be a HUGE increase in benefit demand.  
> Europe is even more vulnerable than the US or the UK.
> Sigh.  "What is to be done?"  (someone said that... I know, what's is 
name
> the commie!)  
> 
> Tom Grey
> 
> 
> > But this assumes that taxes can be neutral.  I would tend to 
> > agree with
> > Larry Sechrest here -- viz., there are no neutral taxes.  
(Sechrest's
> > position is laid out in his "Rand, Anarchy, and Taxes" in _The 
Journal
> > of Ayn Rand Studies_ 1(2).)
> > 
> > Do any of you agree?
> > 
> > Cheers!
> > 
> > Dan
> > http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/
> > 
> > 
> > 
> 
> 

-- 
NeoMail - Webmail




RE: Neutral taxation?/was Re: questions about dividend tax cut

2003-01-16 Thread Grey Thomas
Dan,
even more than direct/indirect, you need to specify what is "neutral".
Given democracy, one (adult) person, one vote, a strong case can be made
for a "neutral" poll tax.  
Of course it is not "progressive" like most income taxes.  Flat rate
taxes, sales/VAT taxes, even land taxes, affect some more than others.

My own preferences are more towards a flat(er) tax, with a large (poverty
level) deduction, and rates tending down (to zero?); a land tax, split 
between local, state, and federal (1/3 each? 50-25-25?); and ever increasing
taxes on pollution.  I am constantly annoyed at the greens wanting huge
regulation but unwilling to support higher pollution taxes.  
Um, to get rid of the last 5% of income taxes, I'd even support deficit spending
printing money (inflation, another fairly "neutral" tax, 
of about 2-3% per year).

But of the course the MAIN problem is on the benfit side -- so many voters
want, claim, demand, and only-vote-for those politicos who offer their
favorite benefits.  The demand for benefits drives the demand for tax
revenue.

And the coming (2020) Social Security baby boomer elephant-sized funding gap 
is gonna be a HUGE increase in benefit demand.  
Europe is even more vulnerable than the US or the UK.
Sigh.  "What is to be done?"  (someone said that... I know, what's is name
the commie!)  

Tom Grey


> But this assumes that taxes can be neutral.  I would tend to 
> agree with
> Larry Sechrest here -- viz., there are no neutral taxes.  (Sechrest's
> position is laid out in his "Rand, Anarchy, and Taxes" in _The Journal
> of Ayn Rand Studies_ 1(2).)
> 
> Do any of you agree?
> 
> Cheers!
> 
> Dan
> http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/
> 
> 
>