Re: An interesting response

2008-05-04 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan wrote:



 My argument is that we shouldn't think of green energy as merely a test of
 our will.  It is also dependant on the lay of the land.  Past behavior
 doesn't guarantee future behavior, but it's much more likely that, in 10
 years, we will have a 1 terabyte drive for $100 than have a plane that can
 carry 1500 passengers that flies for the same price (not price per
 passenger but total price) as a plane that carries 100.


10 years?  You can get one for $200 now: *http://tinyurl.com/62bmep

The way prices for hard drives change, I doubt it will be much more than
one.

Doug
*
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Re: An interesting response

2008-05-04 Thread [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Original Message:
-
From: Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Sun, 4 May 2008 11:10:57 -0800
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Subject: Re: An interesting response


Dan wrote:



 My argument is that we shouldn't think of green energy as merely a test of
 our will.  It is also dependant on the lay of the land.  Past behavior
 doesn't guarantee future behavior, but it's much more likely that, in 10
 years, we will have a 1 terabyte drive for $100 than have a plane that can
 carry 1500 passengers that flies for the same price (not price per
 passenger but total price) as a plane that carries 100.


10 years?  You can get one for $200 now: *http://tinyurl.com/62bmep

The way prices for hard drives change, I doubt it will be much more than
one.

I stand corrected. :-)

How about 10 Tbytes in 10 years for $100? I suppose that might seem
expensive in 10 years, unless there is a lot of inflation between now and
then and the minimum wage goes to $100/hour.  

When I first looked at the price of disk space, in 1978, the HEP department
was paying $2.50 per week per Mbyte for its use of disk space.  

So, it's fair to say that I've understated my point. :-)

Dan M. 

Dan M. 


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