Re: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Charlie Bell


On 24/10/2006, at 12:05 PM, Andrew Crystall wrote:



Well point us at it, because while you may disagree with their
conclusions, they are indeed scientists. It's possible to disagree
with an analysis without casting someone as a lackey of whatever
conspiracy you want, Especially without providing evidence.


Charlie, it's a long argument across newsgroups and blogs.
RealClimate ITSELF is not the issue, it's an blog. The problem is
with the bias of individual articles, and a lot of them are ghost-
written by PR flacks. (Don't buy the "spare time" thing for 2
seconds).

Collectively, they trash "junk science", which means anything the
consensus of the authors doesn't like. Take something like
http://www.climateaudit.org/, where you can get useful data, by
comparison.

If you're looking to debunk Crichton's pseudo-science, then sure,
read RealClimate. But for the rest...
(http://www.google.co.uk/search?hl=en&q=realclimate+comment+censorship
&meta=)


Thanks, that's all I was asking for.



Every single climate model developed without global dimming is, as
things stand, a waste of processing time. There is good science to
say that cleaning up our atmosphere might be nothing short of
dangerous - the data on what would cause a runaway heat reaction is
looking gloomier and gloomier as time goes on.


But again, the levels and effects are still not fully understood.
Dismissing entirely a source just because a two year old article
disagrees with your current thinking doesn't seem rational.


"Not understood" in this case means "there are fairly broad margins
of confidence as to the magnitude of the effect", NOT "this is not
significant".


Fair enough.


The data in most cases which is criticised was not considered
especially significant for over 50 years, and was accepted. As soon
as its significant, there are new ways dreamed up to attack it. (From
people who formerly had no issues with it)


That happens. I'll have a trundle about later. Cheers for the link  
and pointer...


Charlie
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 24 Oct 2006 at 11:05, Charlie Bell wrote:

> 
> On 24/10/2006, at 10:32 AM, Andrew Crystall wrote:
> 
> > On 23 Oct 2006 at 17:11, Dan Minette wrote:
> >
> >>> Meanwile, other - very well documented - research is showing that
> >>> less light has been hitting the Earth. By a degree, on average, of
> >>> some 22% in Israel - with comparative figures elsewhere.
> >>>
> >>
> >> Let me offer a fairly good and balanced website's take on this:
> >>
> >> http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=105
> >
> > Heh. Try elsewhere for anything LIKE balanced. I'm NOT going to go
> > into
> > the entire flamewar about why. (Hint: PR flacks, not scientists)
> 
> Well point us at it, because while you may disagree with their  
> conclusions, they are indeed scientists. It's possible to disagree  
> with an analysis without casting someone as a lackey of whatever  
> conspiracy you want, Especially without providing evidence.

Charlie, it's a long argument across newsgroups and blogs. 
RealClimate ITSELF is not the issue, it's an blog. The problem is 
with the bias of individual articles, and a lot of them are ghost-
written by PR flacks. (Don't buy the "spare time" thing for 2 
seconds).

Collectively, they trash "junk science", which means anything the 
consensus of the authors doesn't like. Take something like 
http://www.climateaudit.org/, where you can get useful data, by 
comparison.

If you're looking to debunk Crichton's pseudo-science, then sure, 
read RealClimate. But for the rest... 
(http://www.google.co.uk/search?hl=en&q=realclimate+comment+censorship
&meta=)

> > Every single climate model developed without global dimming is, as
> > things stand, a waste of processing time. There is good science to
> > say that cleaning up our atmosphere might be nothing short of
> > dangerous - the data on what would cause a runaway heat reaction is
> > looking gloomier and gloomier as time goes on.
> 
> But again, the levels and effects are still not fully understood.  
> Dismissing entirely a source just because a two year old article  
> disagrees with your current thinking doesn't seem rational.

"Not understood" in this case means "there are fairly broad margins 
of confidence as to the magnitude of the effect", NOT "this is not 
significant".

The data in most cases which is criticised was not considered 
especially significant for over 50 years, and was accepted. As soon 
as its significant, there are new ways dreamed up to attack it. (From 
people who formerly had no issues with it)

AndrewC


Dawn Falcon

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Charlie Bell


On 24/10/2006, at 10:32 AM, Andrew Crystall wrote:


On 23 Oct 2006 at 17:11, Dan Minette wrote:


Meanwile, other - very well documented - research is showing that
less light has been hitting the Earth. By a degree, on average, of
some 22% in Israel - with comparative figures elsewhere.



Let me offer a fairly good and balanced website's take on this:

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=105


Heh. Try elsewhere for anything LIKE balanced. I'm NOT going to go
into
the entire flamewar about why. (Hint: PR flacks, not scientists)


Well point us at it, because while you may disagree with their  
conclusions, they are indeed scientists. It's possible to disagree  
with an analysis without casting someone as a lackey of whatever  
conspiracy you want, Especially without providing evidence.



We know from the post-9/11 shutdown and the data gathered then the
high significance of vapour trails. Each and every study done comes
up with consistant results.


Yes, and there's still honest debate about the long-term implications  
of this.


Every single climate model developed without global dimming is, as
things stand, a waste of processing time. There is good science to
say that cleaning up our atmosphere might be nothing short of
dangerous - the data on what would cause a runaway heat reaction is
looking gloomier and gloomier as time goes on.


But again, the levels and effects are still not fully understood.  
Dismissing entirely a source just because a two year old article  
disagrees with your current thinking doesn't seem rational.


They may well be wrong. And there certainly is a crisis - the  
acceleration of the Greenland melt is testament to that, as are the  
worsening conditions here in Australia and elsewhere.


Charlie
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RE: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 23 Oct 2006 at 17:11, Dan Minette wrote:

> > Meanwile, other - very well documented - research is showing that
> > less light has been hitting the Earth. By a degree, on average, of
> > some 22% in Israel - with comparative figures elsewhere.
> > 
> 
> Let me offer a fairly good and balanced website's take on this:
> 
> http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=105

Heh. Try elsewhere for anything LIKE balanced. I'm NOT going to go 
into
the entire flamewar about why. (Hint: PR flacks, not scientists)

> Basically, it shoots down the long term implications that were given by the
> strongest advocates of the global dimming theory:

It's absolute rubbish. There has been no serious criticism of the 
data used in the studies, which show a consistant fall - in ALL parts 
of the world. Yes, there are problems with a few individual issues 
with the data, setting them aside makes less than 0.1% of a 
difference in the result.

We know from the post-9/11 shutdown and the data gathered then the 
high significance of vapour trails. Each and every study done comes 
up with consistant results.

Every single climate model developed without global dimming is, as 
things stand, a waste of processing time. There is good science to 
say that cleaning up our atmosphere might be nothing short of 
dangerous - the data on what would cause a runaway heat reaction is 
looking gloomier and gloomier as time goes on.

AndrewC
Dawn Falcon

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RE: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Dan Minette


> -Original Message-
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
> Behalf Of Andrew Crystall
> Sent: Wednesday, October 18, 2006 2:13 PM
> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> Subject: Re: Apostates!
> 
> On 18 Oct 2006 at 6:07, John W Redelfs wrote:
> 
> > On 10/17/06, Charlie Bell <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > >
> > >
> > > On 18/10/2006, at 2:31 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:
> > >
> > > > (Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at
> > > > Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)
> > >
> > > Global warming... just a theory...
> > >
> >
> > I've read that Mars and Jupiter are also warming, and that it has
> something
> > to do with the output of the sun.  Is that true?  If so, then why should
> we
> 
> I've never heard serious discussion of it.
> 
> Okay, here's a little factiod: 9/11 might have saved the Earth.
> Why?
> 
> Because America did something after 9/11. It grounded aircraft. And
> without the water vapour in atmosphere, something very interesting
> came of the data analysis - it was hotter than it should of been,
> during that period. And some scientists started drawing together
> other evidence.
> 
> Meanwile, other - very well documented - research is showing that
> less light has been hitting the Earth. By a degree, on average, of
> some 22% in Israel - with comparative figures elsewhere.
> 

Let me offer a fairly good and balanced website's take on this:

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=105

Basically, it shoots down the long term implications that were given by the
strongest advocates of the global dimming theory:



Does this all have either an implication for the global climate sensitivity
(how much warming would result from a doubling of CO2) or the scenarios used
by IPCC to project climate changes out to 2100? This is where I have to
disagree most strongly with the commentary in the program. First, if we were
trying to estimate climate sensitivity purely from the response over the
20th century, we would need to know a number of things quite exactly:
chiefly the magnitude of all the relevant forcings. However, the
uncertainties in the different aerosol effects in particular, preclude an
accurate determination from the instrumental period alone. While it is true
that, holding everything else equal, an increase in how much cooling was
associated with aerosols would lead to an increase in the estimate of
climate sensitivity, the error bars are too large for this to be much of a
constraint. The estimate of 3+/-1 deg C (for doubled CO2) based on
paleo-data and model studies is therefore still valid, even after this
program. 



FWIW, IMHO, the gues at realclimate.org sound like scientists in their
writing.  There is a particular "voice" that scientists use when writing
about their own field, and this site's writings are almost always in that
voice.


Dan M.


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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro
Deborah Harrell wrote:
>
> I recently re-watched a DVD with 'Buffy The Musical'
> --bloody brilliant, that.
>
It was the first complete Buffy Episode I ever watched. Until
then, I had the idea that Buffy-the-series was as idiot as
Buffy-the-movie.

The humour surprised me. I could never get rid of the addiction
of watching Buffy.

Alberto Monteiro
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More on Dimming (was: Apostates!)

2006-10-23 Thread Deborah Harrell
> Deborah Harrell <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Andrew Crystall <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> > ...Global Dimming, caused by particulate and other
> > emissions fom Human 
> > industry has hidden much of the effect of global
> > warming - to the 
> > tune of 5C or even more.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sn/tvradio/programmes/horizon/dimming_prog_summary.shtml

> I'd heard about this from someone consulting at an
> Arizona solar power plant (not sure if it was
> experimental or fully operational) several years
> agoI'll see if I can get
> more info from my source.

From
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/03oct_novarupta.htm?list91324

In June 1912, Novarupta—one of a chain of volcanoes on
the Alaska Peninsula—erupted in what turned out to be
the largest blast of the twentieth century. It was so
powerful that it drained magma from under another
volcano, Mount Katmai, six miles east, causing the
summit of Katmai to collapse to form a caldera half a
mile deep. Novarupta also expelled three cubic miles
of magma and ash into the air, which fell to cover an
area of 3,000 square miles more than a foot deep...

[there's a pic at the site, also a graph]

...When a volcano anywhere erupts, it does more than
spew clouds of ash, which can shadow a region from
sunlight and cool it for a few days. It also spews
sulfur dioxide. If the eruption is strongly vertical,
it shoots that sulfur dioxide high into the
stratosphere more than 10 miles above Earth. 

Up in the stratosphere, sulfur dioxide reacts with
water vapor to form sulfate aerosols. Because these
aerosols float above the altitude of rain, they don't
get washed out. They linger, reflecting sunlight and
cooling Earth's surface.

This can create a kind of nuclear winter (a.k.a.
"volcanic winter") for a year or more after an
eruption. In April 1815, for instance, the Tambora
volcano in Indonesia erupted. The following year,
1816, was called "the year without a summer," with
snow falling across the United States in July... 

...But both those volcanoes as well as Krakatau were
in the tropics; Novarupta is just south of the Arctic
Circle... 

...This bottling up of Novarupta's aerosols in the
north would make itself felt, strangely enough, in
India. According to the computer model, the Novarupta
blast would have weakened India's summer monsoon,
producing "an abnormally warm and dry summer over
northern India," says Robock...

...Robock and colleagues are examining weather and
river flow data from Asia, India, and Africa in 1913,
the year after Novarupta. They are also investigating
the consequences of other high-latitude eruptions in
the last few centuries...

Debbi
who fortuitously read that NASA mewsletter today

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Deborah Harrell
> Andrew Crystall <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

 
> ...Global Dimming, caused by particulate and other
> emissions fom Human 
> industry has hidden much of the effect of global
> warming - to the 
> tune of 5C or even more. As Europe works to clean up
> its factories, 
> temperatures have noticeably edged upwards.
> 
> The crisis is here, is now, and is far far worse
> than the predictions of 2000.
> 
>
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sn/tvradio/programmes/horizon/dimming_prog_summary.shtml

"...The effect was first spotted by Gerry Stanhill, an
English scientist working in Israel. Comparing Israeli
sunlight records from the 1950s with current ones,
Stanhill was astonished to find a large fall in solar
radiation. "There was a staggering 22% drop in the
sunlight, and that really amazed me," he says.

Intrigued, he searched out records from all around the
world, and found the same story almost everywhere he
looked, with sunlight falling by 10% over the USA,
nearly 30% in parts of the former Soviet Union, and
even by 16% in parts of the British Isles. Although
the effect varied greatly from place to place, overall
the decline amounted to 1-2% globally per decade
between the 1950s and the 1990s. 

Gerry called the phenomenon global dimming, but his
research, published in 2001, met with a sceptical
response from other scientists. It was only recently,
when his conclusions were confirmed by Australian
scientists using a completely different method to
estimate solar radiation, that climate scientists at
last woke up to the reality of global dimming..."

I'd heard about this from someone consulting at an
Arizona solar power plant (not sure if it was
experimental or fully operational) several years ago;
IIRC it was a 17% reduction they'd noticed, but I'm
not sure over what time-frame.  I'll see if I can get
more info from my source.

Debbi
So *That's* Why The Bushies Didn't Want To Reduce
Particulates In Air Pollution! Maru  >:/

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RE: Apostates!

2006-10-23 Thread Deborah Harrell
> "Horn, John" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > On Behalf Of Charlie Bell
 
> > Global warming... just a theory...
> 
> Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...

The bane of vengeance demons everywhere...  ;)

I recently re-watched a DVD with 'Buffy The Musical'
--bloody brilliant, that.

Debbi
Missing Giles Maru :(

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-19 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 11:23 AM Thursday 10/19/2006, Julia Thompson wrote:

Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

At 11:11 PM Wednesday 10/18/2006, Julia Thompson wrote:

Charlie Bell wrote:

On 19/10/2006, at 1:50 PM, Julia Thompson wrote:



... and won't mess up your tires with their blood & guts.

:)


Julia

who probably shouldn't post after a margarita, really...

Too right you shouldn't.



Go drink a pitcherful, THEN post.
Charlie
Bad Influence Maru


Frak, my system won't tolerate a whole pitcherful.

I'll try to get to the computer sooner after the next one, I promise.  :D

(If I have more than 2.7 "standard" drinks in a day, the next day 
my intestines feel like, well, I could say crap  Anyway, it's 
not pleasant.  And determining that it's 2.7 was an odd adventure 
over the course of many months.


Are you sure it's not 2.718281828459045...?

Euler Up Maru


Um, I don't want to Oiler, really.  :D




Not even with the Houston Eulers?



No, I'm not sure it's not, and that would make as much sense as 
anything else right now!


Julia




E-gad!


Milking A Joke For All It's Worth Maru


-- Ronn!  :)



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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-19 Thread Julia Thompson

Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

At 11:11 PM Wednesday 10/18/2006, Julia Thompson wrote:

Charlie Bell wrote:

On 19/10/2006, at 1:50 PM, Julia Thompson wrote:



... and won't mess up your tires with their blood & guts.

:)


Julia

who probably shouldn't post after a margarita, really...

Too right you shouldn't.



Go drink a pitcherful, THEN post.
Charlie
Bad Influence Maru


Frak, my system won't tolerate a whole pitcherful.

I'll try to get to the computer sooner after the next one, I promise.  :D

(If I have more than 2.7 "standard" drinks in a day, the next day my 
intestines feel like, well, I could say crap  Anyway, it's not 
pleasant.  And determining that it's 2.7 was an odd adventure over the 
course of many months.




Are you sure it's not 2.718281828459045...?


Euler Up Maru


Um, I don't want to Oiler, really.  :D

No, I'm not sure it's not, and that would make as much sense as anything 
else right now!


Julia

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 10:49 PM Wednesday 10/18/2006, Julia Thompson wrote:

Dave Land wrote:

On Oct 18, 2006, at 7:56 AM, Julia Thompson wrote:


Horn, John wrote:


On Behalf Of Charlie Bell

Global warming... just a theory...


Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...


Don't swerve for the bunnies.  If you hit one and it dies, at least
whatever genes it was carrying for stupidity won't be transmitted by
that particular bunny to any more in the next generation.

Some people think that this rule applies to humans as well, though
not necessarily with respect to hitting them with your car... Others
think that there is some inherent value in each and every human life,
no matter how stupid.


Well, the other thing is that you risk your own life if you swerve 
for the bunnies in some areas.


Absolutely do not swerve for the bunnies on the way to Burning Man, 
I've heard.




On the way to the Playboy Club, however . . .


Hippity Hop Maru


-- Ronn!  :)



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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 11:11 PM Wednesday 10/18/2006, Julia Thompson wrote:

Charlie Bell wrote:

On 19/10/2006, at 1:50 PM, Julia Thompson wrote:



... and won't mess up your tires with their blood & guts.

:)


Julia

who probably shouldn't post after a margarita, really...

Too right you shouldn't.



Go drink a pitcherful, THEN post.
Charlie
Bad Influence Maru


Frak, my system won't tolerate a whole pitcherful.

I'll try to get to the computer sooner after the next one, I promise.  :D

(If I have more than 2.7 "standard" drinks in a day, the next day my 
intestines feel like, well, I could say crap  Anyway, it's not 
pleasant.  And determining that it's 2.7 was an odd adventure over 
the course of many months.




Are you sure it's not 2.718281828459045...?


Euler Up Maru


-- Ronn!  :)



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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Julia Thompson

Charlie Bell wrote:


On 19/10/2006, at 1:50 PM, Julia Thompson wrote:



... and won't mess up your tires with their blood & guts.


:)


Julia

who probably shouldn't post after a margarita, really...



Too right you shouldn't.






Go drink a pitcherful, THEN post.

Charlie
Bad Influence Maru


Frak, my system won't tolerate a whole pitcherful.

I'll try to get to the computer sooner after the next one, I promise.  :D

(If I have more than 2.7 "standard" drinks in a day, the next day my 
intestines feel like, well, I could say crap  Anyway, it's not 
pleasant.  And determining that it's 2.7 was an odd adventure over the 
course of many months.  I might be able to get my tolerance back up 
again at some point, but it sure isn't happening this year.)


Julia

and dang, I'd better go to bed, have to be up in less than 7 hours...
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Charlie Bell


On 19/10/2006, at 1:50 PM, Julia Thompson wrote:



... and won't mess up your tires with their blood & guts.


:)


Julia

who probably shouldn't post after a margarita, really...



Too right you shouldn't.






Go drink a pitcherful, THEN post.

Charlie
Bad Influence Maru
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Julia Thompson

Charlie Bell wrote:


On 19/10/2006, at 12:56 AM, Julia Thompson wrote:


Horn, John wrote:

On Behalf Of Charlie Bell

Global warming... just a theory...

Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...
  - jmh


Don't swerve for the bunnies.  If you hit one and it dies, at least 
whatever genes it was carrying for stupidity won't be transmitted by 
that particular bunny to any more in the next generation.


...and we'll breed super-bunnies that'll take over...


... and won't mess up your tires with their blood & guts.

Julia

who probably shouldn't post after a margarita, really...
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Julia Thompson

Dave Land wrote:

On Oct 18, 2006, at 7:56 AM, Julia Thompson wrote:


Horn, John wrote:


On Behalf Of Charlie Bell

Global warming... just a theory...


Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...


Don't swerve for the bunnies.  If you hit one and it dies, at least
whatever genes it was carrying for stupidity won't be transmitted by
that particular bunny to any more in the next generation.


Some people think that this rule applies to humans as well, though
not necessarily with respect to hitting them with your car... Others
think that there is some inherent value in each and every human life,
no matter how stupid.


Well, the other thing is that you risk your own life if you swerve for 
the bunnies in some areas.


Absolutely do not swerve for the bunnies on the way to Burning Man, I've 
heard.  (You get this pounded into your head via mailing list every year 
for 5 years, you start walking around like a zombie chanting, "Don't 
swerve for the bunnies.  Don't swerve for the bunnies.  Don't swerve for 
the bunnies."  So I don't even swerve for the bunnies here.  Haven't hit 
one yet, but other folks have.  Vultures are a nice part of the 
ecosystem, I have to say that.)


Julia


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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Charlie Bell


On 19/10/2006, at 12:56 AM, Julia Thompson wrote:


Horn, John wrote:

On Behalf Of Charlie Bell

Global warming... just a theory...

Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...
  - jmh


Don't swerve for the bunnies.  If you hit one and it dies, at least  
whatever genes it was carrying for stupidity won't be transmitted  
by that particular bunny to any more in the next generation.


...and we'll breed super-bunnies that'll take over...

Charlie
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Charlie Bell


On 19/10/2006, at 12:07 AM, John W Redelfs wrote:


On 10/17/06, Charlie Bell <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:



On 18/10/2006, at 2:31 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

> (Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at
> Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)

Global warming... just a theory...



I've read that Mars and Jupiter are also warming, and that it has  
something

to do with the output of the sun.  Is that true?


I don't know.

The point I was making is that knowing that something is happening  
and knowing all the details of exactly how and why it happens are two  
different things, and both creationists and global warming denialists  
use the same conflation of these two to sow doubt.


The Earth has warmed recently. That's a fact.

The Earth has warmed in a way that seems to be outside of any of the  
short and long term cycles that we are aware of. This warming seems  
to correlate very well with human activity. That's the theory part.  
The details of this and the precise component of human influence are  
still not totally understood, but the science is pretty convincing.


I noticed this article that Ronn posted used all the same crank  
tropes that the Discovery Institute uses - accusations of orthodoxy,  
a list of "top scientist defectors". It paints the people in a bad  
light, but it does not actually deal with any of the actual science,  
or explain the data in another way that actually supports the data.


Charlie
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 18 Oct 2006 at 6:07, John W Redelfs wrote:

> On 10/17/06, Charlie Bell <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >
> >
> > On 18/10/2006, at 2:31 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:
> >
> > > (Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at
> > > Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)
> >
> > Global warming... just a theory...
> >
> 
> I've read that Mars and Jupiter are also warming, and that it has something
> to do with the output of the sun.  Is that true?  If so, then why should we

I've never heard serious discussion of it.

Okay, here's a little factiod: 9/11 might have saved the Earth.
Why?

Because America did something after 9/11. It grounded aircraft. And 
without the water vapour in atmosphere, something very interesting 
came of the data analysis - it was hotter than it should of been, 
during that period. And some scientists started drawing together 
other evidence.

Meanwile, other - very well documented - research is showing that 
less light has been hitting the Earth. By a degree, on average, of 
some 22% in Israel - with comparative figures elsewhere.

This is known as Global Dimming.

Global Dimming, caused by particulate and other emissions fom Human 
industry has hidden much of the effect of global warming - to the 
tune of 5C or even more. As Europe works to clean up its factories, 
temperatures have noticeably edged upwards.

The crisis is here, is now, and is far far worse than the predictions 
of 2000.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sn/tvradio/programmes/horizon/dimming_prog_summar
y.shtml
Dawn Falcon

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 18, 2006, at 7:56 AM, Julia Thompson wrote:


Horn, John wrote:


On Behalf Of Charlie Bell

Global warming... just a theory...


Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...


Don't swerve for the bunnies.  If you hit one and it dies, at least
whatever genes it was carrying for stupidity won't be transmitted by
that particular bunny to any more in the next generation.


Some people think that this rule applies to humans as well, though
not necessarily with respect to hitting them with your car... Others
think that there is some inherent value in each and every human life,
no matter how stupid.

Dave

Darwin Awards Maru

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Julia Thompson

Horn, John wrote:

On Behalf Of Charlie Bell

Global warming... just a theory...


Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...

  - jmh


Don't swerve for the bunnies.  If you hit one and it dies, at least 
whatever genes it was carrying for stupidity won't be transmitted by 
that particular bunny to any more in the next generation.


Julia

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread dcaa
But what about the areas that become desertified? Or countries like Bangladesh 
that are low lying? It's very easy to say "just move" away from the water, but 
much more difficult when this means massive economic and personal displacement 
of people. 

So yes, perhaps it will balance out. It may even be BENEFICIAL but only if it 
does not progress too far. If we get substantial melting of the icecaps, 
diseruption of the gulf stream, human misery can only increase in those cases...

Damon.



Damon Agretto
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum."
http://www.geocities.com/garrand.geo/index.html
Now Building: Trumpeter's Marder I auf GW 38(h)
Sent from my BlackBerry wireless handheld.

Sent from my BlackBerry wireless handheld.  

-Original Message-
From: "John W Redelfs" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Wed, 18 Oct 2006 06:07:42 
To:"Killer Bs Discussion" 
Subject: Re: Apostates!

On 10/17/06, Charlie Bell <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
>
> On 18/10/2006, at 2:31 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:
>
> > (Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at
> > Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)
>
> Global warming... just a theory...
>

I've read that Mars and Jupiter are also warming, and that it has something
to do with the output of the sun.  Is that true?  If so, then why should we
suppose that human activity is responsible for global warming here on
earth?  I mean, we aren't responsible for the global warming that is
happening on Mars and Jupiter are we?  If the globe warms up, just move
further north.  If the seas rise, just live farther away from the coast.
Isn't that what people did the last time the globe warmed up as it did at
the end of the last ice age?  Sure some currently productive agricultural
areas will no longer be as well suited for agriculture as they are now.  But
as the globe warms up, won't areas that are not productive now because the
weather is too cool become more productive?  It ought to balance out
shouldn't it.   Somehow agonizing over global warming reminds me of a fairy
tale I once read in which the king had his courtiers take his throne down to
the edge of the sea at low tide.  As the tide came in he commanded the water
to stay back and not wet his feet as he sat upon the throne.  Guess what?
The tide came in anyway completely oblivious to the king's law, and this was
supposed to show his sycophantic followers how silly they were to keep
flattering him about how much power he had.

John W. Redelfs [EMAIL PROTECTED]
***
Do you play World of Warcraft?  Let me know.  Maybe
we can play together.
***
All my opinions are tentative pending further data. --JWR
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RE: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread Horn, John
> On Behalf Of Charlie Bell
> 
> Global warming... just a theory...

Bunnies... I think it's bunnies...

  - jmh


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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-18 Thread John W Redelfs

On 10/17/06, Charlie Bell <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:



On 18/10/2006, at 2:31 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

> (Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at
> Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)

Global warming... just a theory...



I've read that Mars and Jupiter are also warming, and that it has something
to do with the output of the sun.  Is that true?  If so, then why should we
suppose that human activity is responsible for global warming here on
earth?  I mean, we aren't responsible for the global warming that is
happening on Mars and Jupiter are we?  If the globe warms up, just move
further north.  If the seas rise, just live farther away from the coast.
Isn't that what people did the last time the globe warmed up as it did at
the end of the last ice age?  Sure some currently productive agricultural
areas will no longer be as well suited for agriculture as they are now.  But
as the globe warms up, won't areas that are not productive now because the
weather is too cool become more productive?  It ought to balance out
shouldn't it.   Somehow agonizing over global warming reminds me of a fairy
tale I once read in which the king had his courtiers take his throne down to
the edge of the sea at low tide.  As the tide came in he commanded the water
to stay back and not wet his feet as he sat upon the throne.  Guess what?
The tide came in anyway completely oblivious to the king's law, and this was
supposed to show his sycophantic followers how silly they were to keep
flattering him about how much power he had.

John W. Redelfs [EMAIL PROTECTED]
***
Do you play World of Warcraft?  Let me know.  Maybe
we can play together.
***
All my opinions are tentative pending further data. --JWR
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-17 Thread Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro
Charlie Bell wrote:
>
> Chicken soup? Is that a reference to my cold of over a month ago? :-D
> Thanks Ronn for bringing up (ewww) old material...
>
What cold? Cold fusion?

Alberto Monteiro
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-17 Thread Charlie Bell


On 18/10/2006, at 10:57 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


In a message dated 10/17/2006 5:41:07 P.M. US Mountain Standard Time,
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:


 (Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at
Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)


Global  warming... just a theory...


You need a more accurate reading.





Stand further away from the chicken soup.


Chicken soup? Is that a reference to my cold of over a month ago? :-D  
Thanks Ronn for bringing up (ewww) old material...


Charlie

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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-17 Thread Medievalbk
In a message dated 10/17/2006 5:41:07 P.M. US Mountain Standard Time,  
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

>  (Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at   
> Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)

Global  warming... just a theory...


You need a more accurate reading.





Stand further away from the chicken soup.
 
Vilyehm
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Re: Apostates!

2006-10-17 Thread Charlie Bell


On 18/10/2006, at 2:31 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

(Printed in the local paper this morning.  I found it on-line at  
Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)


Global warming... just a theory...

Charlie
Deja Vu Maru
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Apostates!

2006-10-17 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
(Printed in the local paper this morning.  I 
found it on-line at Jewish World Review Oct. 16, 2006 / 24 Tishrei, 5767)


Inhofe, the apostate

By Debra J. Saunders


http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | Global warming 
is a religion, not science. That's why acolytes 
in the media attack global-warming critics not 
with scientific arguments, but for their 
apostasy. Then they laud global-warming believers 
not for reducing greenhouse gases, but simply for 
believing global warming is a coming catastrophe 
caused by man. The important thing is to have 
faith in those who warn: The end is near.



So a New York Times editorial Thursday took after 
Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla., not for being a 
Doubting Thomas, but as the headline read, a 
"Doubting Inhofe." The brunt of the editorial was 
not a scientific refutation of Inhofe's arguments 
against the global-warming craze ­ other than to 
cite a National Academy of Sciences report that 
warned that the Earth is approaching the warmest 
temperatures in 12,000 years ­ a short blip in time to your average geologist.



The Times' focus was on Inhofe's refusal to bow 
to "the consensus among mainstream scientists and 
the governments of nearly every industrialized 
nation concerning manmade climate change." That 
is, Inhofe has had the effrontery to challenge 
elite orthodoxy. Or, as the editorial put it, 
Inhofe "has really buttressed himself with the will to disbelieve."



Get thee away, Satan.


"I see a sense of desperation that I haven't seen 
before," Inhofe told me by phone Thursday, "and 
frankly I'm enjoying it." CNN's Miles O'Brien 
also challenged Inhofe in a similar vein. O'Brien 
cited the NAS study, then assailed Inhofe with 
quotes from notable Republicans ­ President Bush, 
Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and Rep. Chris Shays 
of Connecticut ­ who recognize global warming. 
Note that Schwarzenegger gets into global-warming 
heaven just for believing, despite his four Hummers and use of a private jet.



Global warming even has a martyr, NASA scientist 
James Hansen, who told O'Brien in January that 
under the Bushies, "you're not free to speak your 
own mind." It's amazing that a scientist can 
complain that he is being muzzled ­ while appearing on CNN and "60 Minutes."



Be it noted that Hansen endorsed Sen. John Kerry 
for president in 2004 and received a $250,000 
award from a foundation run by Teresa Heinz Kerry 
in 2001. At the time, Hansen told The New York 
Times, the award had "no impact on my evaluation 
of the climate problem or on my political leanings." I believe that.



I also believe we should all be so muzzled.


What does Inhofe make of the NAS finding? Inhofe 
recognizes that the Earth is warming, but sees 
this as part of the natural cycle. Inhofe 
mentioned the Medieval Warm Period ­ the year 
1000 to 1270, when the Vikings grew crops in 
Greenland. So he doesn't buy this 12,000-year 
high. His office referred me to a piece 
University of Oklahoma geology professor David 
Deming penned for the Normal Transcript that 
noted, "The fact that the thermometer wasn't 
invented until the year 1714 ought to give us 
pause when evaluating this remarkable claim."



I remain agnostic on global warming, as I've seen 
good arguments on both sides. I know, however, 
that I never will be convinced that global 
warming is a scientific threat as long as 
believers put most of their energy into 
establishing orthodoxy and denying that reputable 
global-warming skeptics exist.



The Times' "mainstream scientists" line 
undermines the editorial's credibility, as it 
ignores the likes of MIT climate scientist 
Richard S. Lindzen, who argues that clouds and 
water vapor will counteract greenhouse-gas 
emissions. Ditto the 60 Canadian scientists who 
wrote to Prime Minister Stephen Harper that there 
is no "'consensus' among climate scientists."



Let me add the Copenhagen Consensus, a group of 
Nobel Prize-winning scientists and economists 
that looks at the best way to spend a 
hypothetical $50 billion to benefit mankind, 
rated fighting global warming as a "bad" use of 
money. That's amazing, when you consider the 
pressure that is put upon scientists to conform.



"Consensus" is another word for clique science. 
The good people are true believers, the bad 
people exhibit a "will to disbelieve." Editors 
used to salute healthy skepticism. Now some are global-warming Torquemadas.



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