Re: Professionals, Educated being Decimated in Iraq

2004-02-08 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Saturday, February 07, 2004 11:45 PM
Subject: Re: Professionals, Educated being Decimated in Iraq


 Dan wrote:


  I guess it was the post-script about the evils of the Bush
administration
  that triggered my ironic sense. Since I've never called the Bush
  administration evil, I can just differ with them on the practicality of
  regime change; not the morality of it. The Fool's posting of this
article
  makes them sound, at worst,  like naive do-goodders. ;-)  Its ironic
that
  he undercuts his own point, Bush and company are evil; even as he
  buttressed the argument that Iraq is a lot more difficult than the
  optimistic hard liners could ever believe.

 I thing naive do-gooders is the best face you could put on it, and
frankly
 having people that are at best naive do-gooders at the helm at such a
 critical juncture continues to scare the living bejesus out of me.

I think that reflects the polarization of the US.  The record on post-Iraq
is mixed; it is not as bad as I feared it might be.  Some of the positive
consequences that the US government expected did take place; others didn't.
Some of the negative consequences feared by those opposed to the war have
taken place, others have not.

For example, Ritu stated as a truism that the US would just  be increasing
the number of terrorists by going into Iraq.  Yet, after the actions, two
countries opened up concerning the WMD potential.  While both were in the
works beforehand, I don't believe that much in coincidence.  I don't care
for it as an explanation for why the economy performs better, to several
SD, under Democratic presidents than under Republicans, so I won't use it
here.  It does not strain credibility to think that dictators look at Iraq
and say we can't be sure the US won't use force against us, so the
cost-benefit of having WMD has now tilted towards cost.

Bin Laden said people prefer a strong horse.  I think perception of the
chances of beating an adversary has as much or more to do with terrorism
than oppression.  For example, Russia is less oppressive than the USSR, yet
it faces much more terrorism.

Looking at Iraq itself, it appears that there are a lot of political
maneuverings; not all of which are set against the US's goals. I'm not sure
how it will turn out, but the signals there are mixed.

 Bush continues to make decisions based not on the best information, but
on
what he wishes the best information was.

I think that is often a fair criticism.  One of the problems with rock
solid certitude is that it can stand, even in the face of facts.


Dan M.


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Re: Professionals, Educated being Decimated in Iraq

2004-02-07 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: The Fool [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: xBrin-L [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Saturday, February 07, 2004 2:40 PM
Subject: Professionals, Educated being Decimated in Iraq



http://www.nytimes.com/2004/02/07/international/middleeast/07ASSA.html?e

i=5062en=f2848e5dfb0a2326ex=1076734800adxnnl=1partner=GOOGLEadxnnlx=1
 076156328-xcqmhKZ8n045KtdVUSBIYA

 In an instant, he became one of hundreds of intellectuals and midlevel
 administrators who Iraqi officials say have been assassinated since May
 in a widening campaign against Iraq's professional class.

 They are going after our brains, said Lt. Col. Jabbar Abu Natiha, head
 of the organized crime unit of the Baghdad police. It is a big
 operation. Maybe even a movement.

So, you've demonstrated that some rather despicable people are trying to
stop the transformation of Iraq into a better place to live.  Are you now
arguing for the administrations position?

Dan M.


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Re: Professionals, Educated being Decimated in Iraq

2004-02-07 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan wrote:

So, you've demonstrated that some rather despicable people are trying to
stop the transformation of Iraq into a better place to live.  Are you now
arguing for the administrations position?
I think he's pointing out, as you did prior to the invasion, that Iraq 
isn't going to be an easy gig.

--
Doug
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Re: Professionals, Educated being Decimated in Iraq

2004-02-07 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan wrote:


I guess it was the post-script about the evils of the Bush administration
that triggered my ironic sense. Since I've never called the Bush
administration evil, I can just differ with them on the practicality of
regime change; not the morality of it. The Fool's posting of this article
makes them sound, at worst,  like naive do-goodders. ;-)  Its ironic that
he undercuts his own point, Bush and company are evil; even as he
buttressed the argument that Iraq is a lot more difficult than the
optimistic hard liners could ever believe.
I thing naive do-gooders is the best face you could put on it, and frankly 
having people that are at best naive do-gooders at the helm at such a 
critical juncture continues to scare the living bejesus out of me.  Bush 
continues to make decisions based not on the best information, but on what 
he wishes the best information was.   This is apparent in the 
miscalculations in Iraq, and perhaps even more ominously, in his voodoo 
economics.  See http://tinyurl.com/2vn5n for a recent discussion by Brad 
DeLong on the budget deficits.

What I find troubling is that there will, in all probability, not be a 
good plus-delta discussion on Iraq.
Here, you mean?  Why not.

I was thinking about doing a yes-but to
Ritu's post  (hi Ritu) on Culture but as someone else point out, it's too
monocultural a place for that discussion to take place.
The question she put to Jack Straw?  Perhaps we can get her to post a note 
about it here?

--
Doug
GCU If She's Feeling Better, Maybe...
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