Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Wayne Tyson

Ecolog:

I know I won't convince Me that while public safety concerns about falling 
trees (and dropping branches) might sometimes be exaggerated, the truth is 
that trees do fall and break and people die from it, and it is only prudent 
to get the dangerous ones down before they fall down.  Me's point is also 
irrational, on this basis, and using straw-man arguments does not advance 
the issue, it only adds an emotional component. He knows damned well I did 
not imply that every tree that falls is going to kill someone; thankfully, 
even in heavily-used areas such deaths are somewhat rare, but that does not 
mean that dangerous trees should not be removed. Talk to the families of the 
victims and tell them you stopped the tree that killed their loved one from 
being removed. In my area, a public protest prevented a severely leaning 
large tree that showed clear signs of root failure opposite the direction of 
the lean from being removed. Those people should have to face the families 
of the victims, but God will be blamed, as usual. What poppycock!


WT

PS: I have lost one friend to a falling tree, almost another, and several 
people have been killed over the years in my community by falling trees and 
branches. While running a tree survey strip when I was in the Forest 
Service, I was narrowly missed by a big widowmaker, and I saw a logger's 
body being carried out with his flattened hard hat where his head used to 
be. A widowmaker. That's how frequently falling branches kill people in the 
forest--there's even been a name for them for years.


- Original Message - 
From: Me gwpatt...@yahoo.com

To: Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net
Cc: ECOLOG-L@LISTSERV.UMD.EDU
Sent: Saturday, January 19, 2013 8:20 PM
Subject: Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area


Omg. The moment it falls, someone is in the perfect position to be fatally 
injured. That's the reason there is a war on trees in the Washington DC 
area. There is this unreasonable perception that something that looms over 
us is out to kill us. Parks here have trees near paths cut for the same 
irrational fear.  Yet you can go to other states like NY or ME and find that 
there is no such rampant tree culling. There is a distorted perception of 
risk to me versus averaged risk to populations.


Geoff Patton
Wheaton, MD

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 19, 2013, at 12:23 PM, Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net wrote:

Good idea in the wild, but in a place where there are lots of people, one 
has to think of what it hits when it falls after the roots rot 
enough--it's just fine until that instant when the last bit of rot or 
burrowing rodent or whatever cuts the last bit of dead tissue--and BAM! 
Somebody's dead. Drawing birds and other creatures into the urban context 
is wonderful, but I worry about the populations of predators like domestic 
and feral cats and the lack of understory for laddering fledglings up off 
the ground when they make their first hard landing. Context is everything.


WT

- Original Message - From: eann e...@gsinet.net
To: ECOLOG-L@LISTSERV.UMD.EDU
Sent: Saturday, January 19, 2013 7:02 AM
Subject: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area



Rather than worry about stump removal, why not cut the tree off higher up
and leave it for cavity birds?

Ann
~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~
E. Ann Poole, NH-CWS
Poole Ecological Consultancy
PO Box 890, 741 Beard Rd
Hillsborough, NH  03244
(603)478-1178
e...@gsinet.net
www.eannpoole.com
~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~


-
No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 10.0.1430 / Virus Database: 2639/5543 - Release Date: 01/19/13



-
No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 10.0.1430 / Virus Database: 2639/5543 - Release Date: 01/19/13


Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Me
Omg. The moment it falls, someone is in the perfect position to be fatally 
injured. That's the reason there is a war on trees in the Washington DC area. 
There is this unreasonable perception that something that looms over us is out 
to kill us. Parks here have trees near paths cut for the same irrational fear.  
Yet you can go to other states like NY or ME and find that there is no such 
rampant tree culling. There is a distorted perception of risk to me versus 
averaged risk to populations. 

Geoff Patton
Wheaton, MD

Sent from my iPhone

On Jan 19, 2013, at 12:23 PM, Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net wrote:

 Good idea in the wild, but in a place where there are lots of people, one has 
 to think of what it hits when it falls after the roots rot enough--it's just 
 fine until that instant when the last bit of rot or burrowing rodent or 
 whatever cuts the last bit of dead tissue--and BAM! Somebody's dead. Drawing 
 birds and other creatures into the urban context is wonderful, but I worry 
 about the populations of predators like domestic and feral cats and the lack 
 of understory for laddering fledglings up off the ground when they make their 
 first hard landing. Context is everything.
 
 WT
 
 - Original Message - From: eann e...@gsinet.net
 To: ECOLOG-L@LISTSERV.UMD.EDU
 Sent: Saturday, January 19, 2013 7:02 AM
 Subject: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area
 
 
 Rather than worry about stump removal, why not cut the tree off higher up
 and leave it for cavity birds?
 
 Ann
 ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~
 E. Ann Poole, NH-CWS
 Poole Ecological Consultancy
 PO Box 890, 741 Beard Rd
 Hillsborough, NH  03244
 (603)478-1178
 e...@gsinet.net
 www.eannpoole.com
 ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~  ~*~
 
 
 -
 No virus found in this message.
 Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
 Version: 10.0.1430 / Virus Database: 2639/5543 - Release Date: 01/19/13


[ECOLOG-L] graduate undergraduate RA positions in environmental psychology

2013-01-20 Thread michael drescher
Funded graduate and undergraduate student RA positions in en
Hi All,

Funded graduate and undergraduate student RA positions in environmental 
psychology are available at University of Waterloo, Canada. The research is 
focused on an investigation of the motives for conservation behavior in private 
landowners. Most of the land in southern Ontario is in private hand and 
therefore the behavior of private landowners is critical for conservation 
initiatives. The work takes place in cooperation with the Ontario Ministry of 
Natural Resources, which is interested in using the study results for 
evaluating and improving conservation incentive programs.

Student RAs will be affiliated with the School of Planning in the Faculty of 
Environment at University of Waterloo. Faculty collaborators to the research 
are members of the departments of Environmental Resource Studies and Sociology 
 Legal Studies. Criteria for eligibility include the right to work in Canada 
(i.e., residency, work permit, Canadian citizenship or such). The expected 
start date for the graduate RA is September 2013 (or sooner) and for the 
undergraduate RAs summer 2013.

Applications should include a cv, letter of intent, university transcripts and 
a list of 3 references. Please direct inquiries to: Michael Drescher, School of 
Planning, Faculty of Environment, University of Waterloo, 200 University Avenue 
West, Waterloo, ON, N2L 3G1, Canada. Email: mdresche-at-uwaterloo.ca.


[ECOLOG-L] Seeking radio collar advice

2013-01-20 Thread =?ISO-8859-1?Q?Paul_Kapfer?=
Dear All:

I am interested in purchasing radio-collars that weigh ~200g to place on
leopard cats. We are leaning towards VHF collars, but are curious whether
anyone has had positive experiences with GPS collars in this weight range?
We welcome any advice provided regarding manufacturers/models for VHF or GPS
collars.

Please respond via email (kapf0...@umn.edu), and thank you for your time.

Best,

Paul


[ECOLOG-L] Call for Abstracts: International Association for Great Lakes Research Annual Conference

2013-01-20 Thread Carolyn Foley
IAGLR 2013 - Call for Papers
56th Annual Conference on Great Lakes Research

The International Association for Great Lakes Research invites you to 
participate in IAGLR’s annual conference, June 2 – 6, 2013, at  Purdue 
University in West Lafayette, Indiana.  Abstract submissions for both oral 
and poster presentations are welcome. 

Deadline: January 25, 2013   

Proposed sessions highlight the conference theme, Great Lakes Restoration 
and Resiliency, and include invasive species, climate change, land-use and 
eutrophication, contaminants, nearshore health, fisheries, data management 
and modeling, foodweb and ecosystem ecology, physical processes and 
stakeholder engagement. 

To view the complete call for papers, visit 
http://iaglr.org/iaglr2013/abstracts/call-for-papers/. To submit an 
abstract, visit http://iaglr.org/iaglr2013/abstracts/
Further information about the conference is available online at 
http://iaglr.org/iaglr2013/.


Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Nirmalya Chatterjee
Sorry to contradict you here Wayne, but your argument is anecdotal and
seems to be as straw-manly as GWPatton's - people who work in the Forest
Service are likely to get injured by trees, (lethally or otherwise) from
falling branches, trees etc. - there's a term for that - occupational
hazard. That doesn't necessarily mean that the general populace has the
same odds of facing such an injury.

2010 CDC data indicate 4.88% accidental deaths (at #5 reason), and ~80% of
those were due to poisoning, accidental falling and motor vehicle related,
that pushes other reasons to sub-1% levels. Wind related tree failures
caused 31 deaths/year from 1995-2007.
http://www.bama.ua.edu/~jcsenkbeil/gy4570/schmidlin%20tree%20fatalities.pdf.

That's 407 people in 12 years, don't blame the trees here. Blame human
carelessness, thoughtlessness and Nature's unmitigated fury (the last
cannot be controlled). Trees would be the means here, not the cause. My
point being, yes there are some activities which cause people to be injured
- but this always begs the question of what the odds are. As for the
irrational fear of urban people to dying from tree-related as related by
GWPatton - in my anecdotal experience, yes such fears exist. And trees are
easy to pin the blame on, they aren't vocal about it, and with urban areas
heavily paved and a whole gamut of underground disturbances related to
utility lines etc., it is expected trees don't really find the unfettered
access to the soil to stabilize themselves as evolution and Nature
intended. The solution lies in learning to think more holistically instead
of knee-jerk reactions, which many tend to do.

And talking to victims of tree-fall injuries or their family members to
get your ideas about its dangers is not proper science, neither is hearing
anecdotes from of the likes of you, both would be called biased sources. I
am yet to hear families and victims of auto accidents stopping riding or
driving cars (in significant numbers), post-accident. Or people stopping
use of household poisons because some one they knew mistakenly drank rat
poison. As scientists it behooves us to keep emotion out of science.

NC

On 19 January 2013 23:11, Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net wrote:

 Ecolog:

 I know I won't convince Me that while public safety concerns about
 falling trees (and dropping branches) might sometimes be exaggerated, the
 truth is that trees do fall and break and people die from it, and it is
 only prudent to get the dangerous ones down before they fall down.  Me's
 point is also irrational, on this basis, and using straw-man arguments does
 not advance the issue, it only adds an emotional component. He knows damned
 well I did not imply that every tree that falls is going to kill someone;
 thankfully, even in heavily-used areas such deaths are somewhat rare, but
 that does not mean that dangerous trees should not be removed. Talk to the
 families of the victims and tell them you stopped the tree that killed
 their loved one from being removed. In my area, a public protest prevented
 a severely leaning large tree that showed clear signs of root failure
 opposite the direction of the lean from being removed. Those people should
 have to face the families of the victims, but God will be blamed, as
 usual. What poppycock!

 WT

 PS: I have lost one friend to a falling tree, almost another, and several
 people have been killed over the years in my community by falling trees and
 branches. While running a tree survey strip when I was in the Forest
 Service, I was narrowly missed by a big widowmaker, and I saw a logger's
 body being carried out with his flattened hard hat where his head used to
 be. A widowmaker. That's how frequently falling branches kill people in the
 forest--there's even been a name for them for years.

 - Original Message - From: Me gwpatt...@yahoo.com
 To: Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net
 Cc: ECOLOG-L@LISTSERV.UMD.EDU
 Sent: Saturday, January 19, 2013 8:20 PM
 Subject: Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area



 Omg. The moment it falls, someone is in the perfect position to be fatally
 injured. That's the reason there is a war on trees in the Washington DC
 area. There is this unreasonable perception that something that looms over
 us is out to kill us. Parks here have trees near paths cut for the same
 irrational fear.  Yet you can go to other states like NY or ME and find
 that there is no such rampant tree culling. There is a distorted perception
 of risk to me versus averaged risk to populations.

 Geoff Patton
 Wheaton, MD

 Sent from my iPhone

 On Jan 19, 2013, at 12:23 PM, Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net wrote:

  Good idea in the wild, but in a place where there are lots of people, one
 has to think of what it hits when it falls after the roots rot enough--it's
 just fine until that instant when the last bit of rot or burrowing rodent
 or whatever cuts the last bit of dead tissue--and BAM! Somebody's dead.
 Drawing birds and other creatures into 

[ECOLOG-L] 2012 annual report La MICA

2013-01-20 Thread La MICA Biological Station
For those of you have followed the development and pr
Hello everyone -

For those of you have followed the development and progression of La MICA 
Biological Station (El Cope, Cocle, Panama), our 2012 annual report is now 
available on our Website at http://www.lamica.org/files/2012_Annual_Report.pdf. 
Please take a moment to check out our accomplishments in 2012 and what we hope 
to do in 2013.

Thank you to everyone who has provided comments, suggestions, donations, and 
general support!

Julie
 
Dr. Julie M. Ray
Director
La MICA Biological Station
US Address: Julie Ray, 12458 132nd Street, Chippewa Falls, WI 54729Fundación 
Centro de Investigación Biológica El Copé, S.A. (Panama)
El Cope-La Pintada. Provincia de Cocle. Republica de Panama
http//www.lamica.org


[ECOLOG-L] Faculty Positions Open

2013-01-20 Thread Eric L. Peters
The Department of Biological Sciences at Chicago State University 
seeks applications for three tenure-track Assistant Professor 
positions. Appointments begin in August 2013. All areas of biology 
will be considered, but preference will be given to candidates in 
microbiology, cell biology, zoology, urban agriculture/aquaponics and 
secondary education. Selected individuals are expected to establish a 
research program involving undergraduate and graduate students, 
supported by extramural funding. Ph.D. in Biology or related fields 
required, post-doctoral and/or teaching experience preferred.


Only electronic applications will be accepted. Instructions are 
available at https://chicagostate.peopleadmin.com/postings. Review of 
applications will begin immediately and will continue until February 
28, 2013. Reference letters (3) will be accepted via e-mail at 
bh...@csu.edu. CSU is an Equal Opportunity/ Affirmative Action 
Employer.

--

Eric L. Peters, Ph.D.
Professor of Ecology and Environmental Science
Department of Biological SciencesVoice: (773)995-2421
Chicago State University
9501 S. King Drive   mailto:e-pet...@csu.edu
Chicago, IL 60628-1598http://fiercereptiles.org

 Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.
-Aldous Huxley


Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Thomas J. Givnish
Thanks, Nirmalya! For comparison, tree failures cause about half as many deaths 
in the US as lightning in any or all contexts. Very sad if it happens to you or 
someone you know, but not worth a whole lot of worry.

--
Thomas J. Givnish
Henry Allan Gleason Professor of Botany
University of Wisconsin

givn...@wisc.edu
http://botany.wisc.edu/givnish/Givnish/Welcome.html







On 01/20/13, Nirmalya Chatterjee  wrote:
 Sorry to contradict you here Wayne, but your argument is anecdotal and
 seems to be as straw-manly as GWPatton's - people who work in the Forest
 Service are likely to get injured by trees, (lethally or otherwise) from
 falling branches, trees etc. - there's a term for that - occupational
 hazard. That doesn't necessarily mean that the general populace has the
 same odds of facing such an injury.
 
 2010 CDC data indicate 4.88% accidental deaths (at #5 reason), and ~80% of
 those were due to poisoning, accidental falling and motor vehicle related,
 that pushes other reasons to sub-1% levels. Wind related tree failures
 caused 31 deaths/year from 1995-2007.
 http://www.bama.ua.edu/~jcsenkbeil/gy4570/schmidlin%20tree%20fatalities.pdf.
 
 That's 407 people in 12 years, don't blame the trees here. Blame human
 carelessness, thoughtlessness and Nature's unmitigated fury (the last
 cannot be controlled). Trees would be the means here, not the cause. My
 point being, yes there are some activities which cause people to be injured
 - but this always begs the question of what the odds are. As for the
 irrational fear of urban people to dying from tree-related as related by
 GWPatton - in my anecdotal experience, yes such fears exist. And trees are
 easy to pin the blame on, they aren't vocal about it, and with urban areas
 heavily paved and a whole gamut of underground disturbances related to
 utility lines etc., it is expected trees don't really find the unfettered
 access to the soil to stabilize themselves as evolution and Nature
 intended. The solution lies in learning to think more holistically instead
 of knee-jerk reactions, which many tend to do.
 
 And talking to victims of tree-fall injuries or their family members to
 get your ideas about its dangers is not proper science, neither is hearing
 anecdotes from of the likes of you, both would be called biased sources. I
 am yet to hear families and victims of auto accidents stopping riding or
 driving cars (in significant numbers), post-accident. Or people stopping
 use of household poisons because some one they knew mistakenly drank rat
 poison. As scientists it behooves us to keep emotion out of science.
 
 NC
 
 On 19 January 2013 23:11, Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net wrote:
 
  Ecolog:
 
  I know I won't convince Me that while public safety concerns about
  falling trees (and dropping branches) might sometimes be exaggerated, the
  truth is that trees do fall and break and people die from it, and it is
  only prudent to get the dangerous ones down before they fall down. Me's
  point is also irrational, on this basis, and using straw-man arguments does
  not advance the issue, it only adds an emotional component. He knows damned
  well I did not imply that every tree that falls is going to kill someone;
  thankfully, even in heavily-used areas such deaths are somewhat rare, but
  that does not mean that dangerous trees should not be removed. Talk to the
  families of the victims and tell them you stopped the tree that killed
  their loved one from being removed. In my area, a public protest prevented
  a severely leaning large tree that showed clear signs of root failure
  opposite the direction of the lean from being removed. Those people should
  have to face the families of the victims, but God will be blamed, as
  usual. What poppycock!
 
  WT
 
  PS: I have lost one friend to a falling tree, almost another, and several
  people have been killed over the years in my community by falling trees and
  branches. While running a tree survey strip when I was in the Forest
  Service, I was narrowly missed by a big widowmaker, and I saw a logger's
  body being carried out with his flattened hard hat where his head used to
  be. A widowmaker. That's how frequently falling branches kill people in the
  forest--there's even been a name for them for years.
 
  - Original Message - From: Me gwpatt...@yahoo.com
  To: Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net
  Cc: ECOLOG-L@LISTSERV.UMD.EDU
  Sent: Saturday, January 19, 2013 8:20 PM
  Subject: Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area
 
 
 
  Omg. The moment it falls, someone is in the perfect position to be fatally
  injured. That's the reason there is a war on trees in the Washington DC
  area. There is this unreasonable perception that something that looms over
  us is out to kill us. Parks here have trees near paths cut for the same
  irrational fear. Yet you can go to other states like NY or ME and find
  that there is no such rampant tree culling. There is a distorted perception
  of risk to me 

[ECOLOG-L] Tree hazards and their management Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Wayne Tyson

Nirmalya and Ecolog:

Contradict what?

People get killed and injured by falling trees and branches--true or false? 
The victims don't give a damn about the statistics and they and their loved 
ones don't care about how small the odds are. (Anecdote: A year or so ago a 
tree fell on a woman walking her dog, so humans are not the only casualties. 
Park officials were not blamed for failing to remove a potentially dangerous 
tree in a high-traffic area and they got away with blaming God again. The 
truth is that such bureaucracies refuse to scientifically analyze tree 
hazard potential, largely because it is politically risky. The lawyers 
[perhaps realistically] cynically point out that if an assessment program is 
in place, the responsible entity is more likely to lose in court, where if 
they do nothing the victims get nothing because it was God's fault.)


Chatterjee knows that I am not advocating wholesale tree slaughter and 
blaming the trees--if those implications aren't a straw-man army, I don't 
know what is. He knows that I am restricting my point to the original issue 
(but openly and properly generalizing as to how similar cases should be 
handled) of whether or not it would be a good idea to leave a dead tree 
standing where it could cause damage, while acknowledging the value of snags 
to cavity-nesting birds.


In the forest, by all means leave the snags where the probability of damage 
is infinitesimally low, but take down trees that have a higher likelihood of 
falling or shedding branches than their healthier brethren, such as private 
gardens, public parks, and streets where the probability of damage is 
higher. This is not restricted to wind-related falls and limb-shedding, but 
certainly the probability is high under windy conditions--the laws of 
physics cannot be violated, and are not subject to legislative or 
administrative, or political veto. Trees with compromised root systems or 
branches do not require wind to fall.


I never did blame the trees and Chatterjee knows it--or if he doesn't know 
it . . .


In fact, the whole point IS human incompetence (NOT blaming the trees), 
and incompetence is knowing that a hazard exists and doing nothing about it. 
And leaving a snag (or other structurally compromised tree) standing until 
it falls in an area where the probability of its doing damage when it does 
is high, should fall into the category of criminal negligence, particularly 
in cases where the tree in question is under human management. That may or 
may not be the case with the tree presently in question or not.


Maybe what we have here is a failure to communicate. Assuming the worst in 
the absence of evidence does not advance communication--it tends to cut it 
off. Let us try first to find common ground rather than resort to divisive 
devices. I look forward to discussing THE ISSUE to a reasoned conclusion, 
and leaving the personalities out of it.


WT

Anecdote is the singular of data. --Author forgotten

PS: I hope that Chatterjee will delineate his alternative to hazardous tree 
management clearly.


- Original Message - 
From: Nirmalya Chatterjee buba...@gmail.com

To: ECOLOG-L@LISTSERV.UMD.EDU
Sent: Sunday, January 20, 2013 12:32 PM
Subject: Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area



Sorry to contradict you here Wayne, but your argument is anecdotal and
seems to be as straw-manly as GWPatton's - people who work in the Forest
Service are likely to get injured by trees, (lethally or otherwise) from
falling branches, trees etc. - there's a term for that - occupational
hazard. That doesn't necessarily mean that the general populace has the
same odds of facing such an injury.

2010 CDC data indicate 4.88% accidental deaths (at #5 reason), and ~80% of
those were due to poisoning, accidental falling and motor vehicle related,
that pushes other reasons to sub-1% levels. Wind related tree failures
caused 31 deaths/year from 1995-2007.
http://www.bama.ua.edu/~jcsenkbeil/gy4570/schmidlin%20tree%20fatalities.pdf.

That's 407 people in 12 years, don't blame the trees here. Blame human
carelessness, thoughtlessness and Nature's unmitigated fury (the last
cannot be controlled). Trees would be the means here, not the cause. My
point being, yes there are some activities which cause people to be 
injured

- but this always begs the question of what the odds are. As for the
irrational fear of urban people to dying from tree-related as related by
GWPatton - in my anecdotal experience, yes such fears exist. And trees are
easy to pin the blame on, they aren't vocal about it, and with urban areas
heavily paved and a whole gamut of underground disturbances related to
utility lines etc., it is expected trees don't really find the unfettered
access to the soil to stabilize themselves as evolution and Nature
intended. The solution lies in learning to think more holistically instead
of knee-jerk reactions, which many tend to do.

And talking to victims of tree-fall injuries 

Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Jane Shevtsov
The number of people killed by falling trees each year isn't really the
information we need. That number could be low because few decayed trees
kill (or severely injure) people or because there are few such trees in
populated areas.

What we really want to know is the probability that a decayed tree will
fall on somebody (or come close) when it eventually falls, given that it is
in an area frequented by people. We can guesstimate this by finding out
what fraction of the time there are people in the tree's fall zone,
adjusting for any inaccessible areas/directions. (Yes, this ignores things
like weather, but that's what makes it a back-of-the envelope estimate.)
Suppose there are no inaccessible areas around the tree and there are
people near it about 1/4 of the time. Then the probability of a hit or near
miss when the tree eventually falls is 1/4 -- quite substantial in my eyes.
Adjusting for weather and time of day or treefall may reduce it to 5% or
10%, which is not small considering the stakes.

Some might object to this calculation, saying that it could be used to
justify the removal of any urban trees. But the chances of a randomly
chosen urban tree falling in the near future are very small and we can
generally detect the conditions that make a tree likely to fall. The
estimate above only makes sense for a tree that we know is likely to fall
in the near future. If you wanted to, you could multiply the probability by
an estimate of the probability of the tree falling in the next ten years
(or whatever the time horizon of interest is), which the calculation above
assumes to be 100%.

Jane Shevtsov


On Sun, Jan 20, 2013 at 12:32 PM, Nirmalya Chatterjee buba...@gmail.comwrote:

 Sorry to contradict you here Wayne, but your argument is anecdotal and
 seems to be as straw-manly as GWPatton's - people who work in the Forest
 Service are likely to get injured by trees, (lethally or otherwise) from
 falling branches, trees etc. - there's a term for that - occupational
 hazard. That doesn't necessarily mean that the general populace has the
 same odds of facing such an injury.

 2010 CDC data indicate 4.88% accidental deaths (at #5 reason), and ~80% of
 those were due to poisoning, accidental falling and motor vehicle related,
 that pushes other reasons to sub-1% levels. Wind related tree failures
 caused 31 deaths/year from 1995-2007.
 http://www.bama.ua.edu/~jcsenkbeil/gy4570/schmidlin%20tree%20fatalities.pdf
 .

 That's 407 people in 12 years, don't blame the trees here. Blame human
 carelessness, thoughtlessness and Nature's unmitigated fury (the last
 cannot be controlled). Trees would be the means here, not the cause. My
 point being, yes there are some activities which cause people to be injured
 - but this always begs the question of what the odds are. As for the
 irrational fear of urban people to dying from tree-related as related by
 GWPatton - in my anecdotal experience, yes such fears exist. And trees are
 easy to pin the blame on, they aren't vocal about it, and with urban areas
 heavily paved and a whole gamut of underground disturbances related to
 utility lines etc., it is expected trees don't really find the unfettered
 access to the soil to stabilize themselves as evolution and Nature
 intended. The solution lies in learning to think more holistically instead
 of knee-jerk reactions, which many tend to do.

 And talking to victims of tree-fall injuries or their family members to
 get your ideas about its dangers is not proper science, neither is hearing
 anecdotes from of the likes of you, both would be called biased sources. I
 am yet to hear families and victims of auto accidents stopping riding or
 driving cars (in significant numbers), post-accident. Or people stopping
 use of household poisons because some one they knew mistakenly drank rat
 poison. As scientists it behooves us to keep emotion out of science.

 NC

 On 19 January 2013 23:11, Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net wrote:

  Ecolog:
 
  I know I won't convince Me that while public safety concerns about
  falling trees (and dropping branches) might sometimes be exaggerated, the
  truth is that trees do fall and break and people die from it, and it is
  only prudent to get the dangerous ones down before they fall down.
  Me's
  point is also irrational, on this basis, and using straw-man arguments
 does
  not advance the issue, it only adds an emotional component. He knows
 damned
  well I did not imply that every tree that falls is going to kill someone;
  thankfully, even in heavily-used areas such deaths are somewhat rare, but
  that does not mean that dangerous trees should not be removed. Talk to
 the
  families of the victims and tell them you stopped the tree that killed
  their loved one from being removed. In my area, a public protest
 prevented
  a severely leaning large tree that showed clear signs of root failure
  opposite the direction of the lean from being removed. Those people
 should
  have to face the families of 

[ECOLOG-L] Graduate student postdoc positions: beetle evolution

2013-01-20 Thread Jiri Hulcr
Several PhD student, Maters student, and postdoc positions available in bark 
beetle evolution, systematics  symbiology

Students seriously interested in any or all of the following should apply:
• molecular phylogenetics
• hi-tech morphological systematics
• bark beetles, their ecology and evolution
• symbioses among insects, fungi and bacteria
• citizen science, science communication

Join our growing Forest Entomology and Symbiology team at the University of 
Florida on a new NSF-funded project. Feel free to call for more info (352-273-
0299), or simply send your CV and a short summary of your accomplishments to 
Jiri Hulcr, hu...@ufl.edu.
Application deadline: February 15, 2013.
Start date: flexible, ideally Summer 2013.


Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Jesse Howley
So much talk. 

There is a reason that trees are designated as hazard trees.  Sometimes, we 
have to take a tree down. I don't even know why there is a discussion about 
this. Chances are that there aren't more people killed/injured by falling trees 
because we REMOVE trees when they are deemed unsafe. 

Talk to a good arborist sometime. They aren't all about removal... In fact it 
is a last resort.

I think I may unsubscribe to this list. 

Jesse

On Jan 20, 2013, at 8:02 PM, Jane Shevtsov jane@gmail.com wrote:

 The number of people killed by falling trees each year isn't really the
 information we need. That number could be low because few decayed trees
 kill (or severely injure) people or because there are few such trees in
 populated areas.
 
 What we really want to know is the probability that a decayed tree will
 fall on somebody (or come close) when it eventually falls, given that it is
 in an area frequented by people. We can guesstimate this by finding out
 what fraction of the time there are people in the tree's fall zone,
 adjusting for any inaccessible areas/directions. (Yes, this ignores things
 like weather, but that's what makes it a back-of-the envelope estimate.)
 Suppose there are no inaccessible areas around the tree and there are
 people near it about 1/4 of the time. Then the probability of a hit or near
 miss when the tree eventually falls is 1/4 -- quite substantial in my eyes.
 Adjusting for weather and time of day or treefall may reduce it to 5% or
 10%, which is not small considering the stakes.
 
 Some might object to this calculation, saying that it could be used to
 justify the removal of any urban trees. But the chances of a randomly
 chosen urban tree falling in the near future are very small and we can
 generally detect the conditions that make a tree likely to fall. The
 estimate above only makes sense for a tree that we know is likely to fall
 in the near future. If you wanted to, you could multiply the probability by
 an estimate of the probability of the tree falling in the next ten years
 (or whatever the time horizon of interest is), which the calculation above
 assumes to be 100%.
 
 Jane Shevtsov
 
 
 On Sun, Jan 20, 2013 at 12:32 PM, Nirmalya Chatterjee 
 buba...@gmail.comwrote:
 
 Sorry to contradict you here Wayne, but your argument is anecdotal and
 seems to be as straw-manly as GWPatton's - people who work in the Forest
 Service are likely to get injured by trees, (lethally or otherwise) from
 falling branches, trees etc. - there's a term for that - occupational
 hazard. That doesn't necessarily mean that the general populace has the
 same odds of facing such an injury.
 
 2010 CDC data indicate 4.88% accidental deaths (at #5 reason), and ~80% of
 those were due to poisoning, accidental falling and motor vehicle related,
 that pushes other reasons to sub-1% levels. Wind related tree failures
 caused 31 deaths/year from 1995-2007.
 http://www.bama.ua.edu/~jcsenkbeil/gy4570/schmidlin%20tree%20fatalities.pdf
 .
 
 That's 407 people in 12 years, don't blame the trees here. Blame human
 carelessness, thoughtlessness and Nature's unmitigated fury (the last
 cannot be controlled). Trees would be the means here, not the cause. My
 point being, yes there are some activities which cause people to be injured
 - but this always begs the question of what the odds are. As for the
 irrational fear of urban people to dying from tree-related as related by
 GWPatton - in my anecdotal experience, yes such fears exist. And trees are
 easy to pin the blame on, they aren't vocal about it, and with urban areas
 heavily paved and a whole gamut of underground disturbances related to
 utility lines etc., it is expected trees don't really find the unfettered
 access to the soil to stabilize themselves as evolution and Nature
 intended. The solution lies in learning to think more holistically instead
 of knee-jerk reactions, which many tend to do.
 
 And talking to victims of tree-fall injuries or their family members to
 get your ideas about its dangers is not proper science, neither is hearing
 anecdotes from of the likes of you, both would be called biased sources. I
 am yet to hear families and victims of auto accidents stopping riding or
 driving cars (in significant numbers), post-accident. Or people stopping
 use of household poisons because some one they knew mistakenly drank rat
 poison. As scientists it behooves us to keep emotion out of science.
 
 NC
 
 On 19 January 2013 23:11, Wayne Tyson landr...@cox.net wrote:
 
 Ecolog:
 
 I know I won't convince Me that while public safety concerns about
 falling trees (and dropping branches) might sometimes be exaggerated, the
 truth is that trees do fall and break and people die from it, and it is
 only prudent to get the dangerous ones down before they fall down.
 Me's
 point is also irrational, on this basis, and using straw-man arguments
 does
 not advance the issue, it only adds an emotional component. He knows
 damned
 well I 

[ECOLOG-L] Tree Hazards and Their Management Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Wayne Tyson

Ecolog:

Quite! Thank you Jane, for putting it in better (and more neutral) words 
than I.


I have a photograph of a hazardous tree as an example, but don't know how to 
send it to all Ecologgers efficiently. If someone knows how to post it where 
everybody can see it, I'll send it to them. I'll send one or two to Jane, 
and she can feel free to share it if she wishes.


I've inserted a few comments into Jane's text [[thus]].

WT


- Original Message - 
From: Jane Shevtsov jane@gmail.com

To: ECOLOG-L@LISTSERV.UMD.EDU
Sent: Sunday, January 20, 2013 5:05 PM
Subject: Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area


The number of people killed by falling trees each year isn't really the
information we need. That number could be low because few decayed trees
kill (or severely injure) people or because there are few such trees in
populated areas.

What we really want to know is the probability that a decayed tree will
fall on somebody (or come close) when it eventually falls, given that it is
in an area frequented by people. We can guesstimate this by finding out
what fraction of the time there are people in the tree's fall zone [[some 
fraction of 360 degrees? WT]], adjusting for any inaccessible 
areas/directions. (Yes, this ignores things

like weather, but that's what makes it a back-of-the envelope estimate.)
Suppose there are no inaccessible areas around the tree and there are
people near it about 1/4 of the time. Then the probability of a hit or near
miss when the tree eventually falls is 1/4 -- quite substantial in my eyes.
Adjusting for weather and time of day or treefall may reduce it to 5% or
10%, which is not small considering the stakes. [[There are lots of factors 
to be considered in tree hazard potential assessment, but this is an 
excellent start. The task is to decide which tree is definitely hazardous 
and which trees are not obviously hazardous, and back-of-the-envelope WAGs 
and SWAGs will do for starters. The objective of tree hazard assessment is 
to get the low-hanging fruit (yuk, yuk!) or top priorities first, then 
work on the more marginally-hazardous ones next, and so on . . . WT]]


Some might object to this calculation, saying that it could be used to
justify the removal of any urban trees. But the chances of a randomly
chosen urban tree falling in the near future are very small and we can
generally detect the conditions [[Yes, but sometimes the reasons are so 
well-hidden that no one could have detected the defect. I used to do 
post-mortems on urban trees, and one that looked normal turned out to 
have been planted years in the past (by a famous horticulturist) in a 
rootbound condition--a major root had wound around the other main 
structural or tap root at the bole and in effect squeezed it (prevented 
its lateral expansion) to the point that it could no longer support the tree 
and it broke off more than a foot below the soil surface. WT]] that make a 
tree likely to fall. The

estimate above only makes sense for a tree that we know is likely to fall
in the near future. If you wanted to, you could multiply the probability by
an estimate of the probability of the tree falling in the next ten years
(or whatever the time horizon of interest is), which the calculation above
assumes to be 100%. [[Some trees are obviously going to fall sooner rather 
than later; for example when there is excessive lean, or when stress cracks 
appear in the soil. No one can know when the tree will fall because we have 
no present means of which I am aware that can measure the stress on roots 
without increasing the failure potential. But if tree managers were allowed 
to follow a kind of triage system where those considered most likely to fall 
were preemptively removed, the number of falling trees, and thus the total 
hazard, could be reduced, not eliminated. WT]]


Jane Shevtsov


On Sun, Jan 20, 2013 at 12:32 PM, Nirmalya Chatterjee 
buba...@gmail.comwrote:



Sorry to contradict you here Wayne, but your argument is anecdotal and
seems to be as straw-manly as GWPatton's - people who work in the Forest
Service are likely to get injured by trees, (lethally or otherwise) from
falling branches, trees etc. - there's a term for that - occupational
hazard. That doesn't necessarily mean that the general populace has the
same odds of facing such an injury.

2010 CDC data indicate 4.88% accidental deaths (at #5 reason), and ~80% of
those were due to poisoning, accidental falling and motor vehicle related,
that pushes other reasons to sub-1% levels. Wind related tree failures
caused 31 deaths/year from 1995-2007.
http://www.bama.ua.edu/~jcsenkbeil/gy4570/schmidlin%20tree%20fatalities.pdf
.

That's 407 people in 12 years, don't blame the trees here. Blame human
carelessness, thoughtlessness and Nature's unmitigated fury (the last
cannot be controlled). Trees would be the means here, not the cause. My
point being, yes there are some activities which cause people to be 
injured

- but this 

[ECOLOG-L] The impact of changing seasonality of rainfall on plant growth and water relations

2013-01-20 Thread Aaron Phillips
A full time PhD Scholarship is available in the Department of Biological 
Sciences associated with Dr Melanie Zeppel's ARC DECRA on plant responses to 
changing patterns of rainfall under future climates (DE120100518). 
http://www.hdr.mq.edu.au/information_about/scholarships/hdr_scholarships_dom
estic_candidates_only
Please quote reference 'ARC Plant Responses to Extreme Precipitation PhD 
Scholarship' on your application form.
Project Name: Plant responses to extreme precipitation: tree growth and 
water use
This project is part of an ARC DECRA on plant responses to changing patterns 
of rainfall under future climates. The seasonality of rainfall is projected 
to change in future climates. Additionally, rainfall is likely to become 
more intense, with larger rain events and longer periods between rain, i.e. 
floods followed by droughts. Plants are expected to have different growth 
rates and water relations. Overseas studies have shown that grasses have 
different growth rates and levels of water stress. However, no published 
research has demonstrated how trees will respond to more intense timing of 
rainfall.
This exciting project will fill a crucial research gap by measuring how 
Australian trees respond to changes in the timing of rainfall, while the 
volume of rainfall remains constant. The project will involve field work, 
experiments in glasshouses and a modelling component. Field work and 
glasshouse components of the project will involve growing and measuring 
various attributes of different tree species. The project will use process-
based modelling to quantify how tree water and carbon fluxes will respond to 
future climates. The successful applicant will be expected to work outdoors 
with a team of International researchers on nationally funded facilities. A 
knowledge of plant biology, enthusiastic attitude and self-motivation are 
required.
Current drivers licence and willingness to work under field conditions are 
essential.
Applicants should be either Australian citizens or permanent residents of 
Australia and should have a first class Honors degree in plant sciences 
(particularly plant physiology) or equivalent qualifications and/or 
experience. The project will be supervised by Professor Lesley Hughes, and 
Dr Melanie Zeppel.
This PhD scholarship is funded in line with the Australian Postgraduate 
Award rate at $23,728 pa tax exempt - for 3 years. Project funds for 
equipment and conference travel are available from the Department of 
Biological Sciences. There may be opportunities for the student to travel to 
the United States to work with International partners.
Interested prospective applicants should contact, in the first instance, 
Melanie Zeppel to discuss the project, at email:melanie.zep...@mq.edu.au or 
phone 02 9850 9256
Prospective PhD applicants should have a first class Honours degree or 
equivalence, and forscholarship holders, additional relevant research 
experience and/or qualifications in line with the University's scholarship 
rating guidelines. Refer to Scholarship Requirements for further information 
about this.
Applicants will need to complete a candidature/scholarship application form 
and arrange for two academic referee reports to be submitted to the Higher 
Degree Research Office. Refer to the Applications page for further 
application instructions. Macquarie University will advise the successful 
applicant of entitlements at the time of scholarship offer.


Re: [ECOLOG-L] Tree stump removal in sensitive area

2013-01-20 Thread Eric Davis
Jesse,

I couldn't agree with you more. In fact, you took the words right out of my
mouth, specifically in regards to unsubscribing from this list.

While faced with an ecological crisis that threatens the very survival of
our species, some are debating the probability of being killed by a falling
tree.

TALK ABOUT MISSING THE FOREST FOR THE TREES!

It is time to get out into the streets, and if you happen to be struck by a
fallen tree, I'm truly sorry about that. But crusading against falling
trees is like crusading against evolution or gravity.

Eric