[EVDL] UCD's EV co$t comparison calculator tool is not that great ...

2014-08-05 Thread brucedp5 via EV


[ref
http://electric-vehicle-discussion-list.413529.n4.nabble.com/EVLN-UCDavis-EV-Explorer-shows-how-a-Plug-in-Save-You-Money-td4670803.html
EVLN: UCDavis' EV-Explorer shows how a Plug-in Save$ You Money
]

Summary: Again a supposed tool for the public to use that has errors at
best, and was not written by/for plugin drivers living in the real world.

When you bring up their web site
http://gis.its.ucdavis.edu/evexplorer/

It first asks for a starting point (city, state or zip code), then for the
destination. It comes up with some figures based on their assumptions of
what vehicle you would want. 

But what public EVSE at what cost any where along the commute route, what
vehicle you can afford, and options to not charge at level2 but level3 where
not considered.

Different parts of the U.S. have different amounts, types and brands of EVSE
(different EVSE brands with the same capabilities will cost differently,
eVgo vs Blink, etc.).


My first pass at using this tool was to consider a person working in Silicon
Valley (Palo Alto, CA), and 96mi commute from the coast (lives in Aptos, CA)
http://goo.gl/maps/2TDOq

I chose this route not so much as typical but as one example (other
scenarios will vary everything: SF or East-bay to Silicon Valley, etc.).

By expanding the Annual Vehicle Energy Costs box and selecting the Car
Manager button, I also changed out all the preselected vehicles to ones that
a better paid Silicon Valley person could likely afford (what 2014 models
they might compare). I chose (in order of their purchase price):
-2014 Prius hev 50mpg
-2014 iMiev EV, selected 8hour/3kW L2 charging
-2014 Leaf EV, selected 4hour/6kW L2 charging
-2014 I3 EV (not the pih), selected 4hour/6kW L2 charging

I purposely did not choose a Tesla because not everyone can afford one, and
even their lowest cost trim could easily do the commute without ever needing
a charge.

When I played around with the L2 EVSE cost$, some curious errors showed up.

When I set the cost of the L2 charging to free (blank), the 5day/week
commute costs were:
-$1897 Prius hev
-$525  iMiev EV
-$525  Leaf EV
-$425  I3 EV

!Hang-on! 
? How is it possible that the i3 EV costs less than the other two EVs if the
cost of charging is free? I am not going to claim they have a built-in bias
for the i3, but something is wrong there.

When trying to know what price/gal cost the tool uses for the gasoline the
Prius used: 
96mi-roundtrip-commute*5days*52weeks= 24960mi/year
24960mi/55mpg= 453.82 gallons of gas
$1897/453.82gal= $4.18/gal
which is close to a Palo Alto, CA price for regular gas
http://www.sanjosegasprices.com/map_gas_prices.aspx?z=11lat=37.425849long=-122.147584sid=2330ft=A

But nearer to the driver's Aptos, CA home and on the driver's route, they
can stop off at Freedom and get it for $3.69/gal
http://www.californiagasprices.com/map_gas_prices.aspx?z=11lat=36.940418long=-121.769323sid=164053ft=A

Using plugshare.com I found both the typical L2 cost per hour ($1, from
either eVgo/NRG's or Blink/CCG's payment plans
http://www.nrgevgo.com/san-francisco-bay-area/
https://getsatisfaction.com/blink/topics/blink_dc_fast_charger_fees
There are other EVSe brands and cheaper plans to use, but I chose these as
an example).

When I set the cost of L2 charging to $1/hr, the costs were:
-$1897 Prius @ $4.18/gal
-$2085 iMiev 
-$1305 Leaf 
-$1252 I3 

Again the i3 EV was shown as costing less, even though the range of each is
very close (Leaf 84mi vs i3 81mi). If anything the i3 EV's commute cost
should be a hair more costly.

UCD's calculator does not let the driver compare if they were to use L3
EVSE. Perhaps they assume it is less likely for the driver to have the vast
amount of L3 that Silicon Valley has. But many production EV driver use L3
on a daily basis. 

-Trying to figure L3 costs-
Commuting from Aptos (on the Pacific coast) to Palo Alto (up over the Santa
Cruz Mountains, down into the valley toward the S. SF Bay using major
highways) is enough of a chore in its self, and the driver is likely will to
use L3 EVSE to save time. On that commute I would likely use:
http://www.plugshare.com/?location=45217
eVgo @Whole Foods 
 or
http://api.plugshare.com/view/location/7346
Blink @Library

At a $0.10 per minute L3 Quick charge plan, and taking about 15 minutes to
charge (packs were likely not totally drained/empty), that would cost about
$1.50 per L3 charge. That seems low, when other L3 cost $7 a pop. I will use
$7. To try to use this sites' calculator, I have to translate the $7 cost to
a 4 hour L2 cost ($7/4= ) $1.75/hr@L2. 

When I set the cost of L2 charging to $1.75/hr, the costs were:
-$1897 Prius @ $4.18/gal
-$3255 iMiev 
-$1890 Leaf 
-$1837 I3 

The i3 cost still seems wrong. The last two EVs with about the same range,
and the i3 costs less to commute even when the charging is free?


With both CA  OR states the focus of automakers so that they can garner
credits toward selling their ice in those states, those automakers are
offering their 

Re: [EVDL] UCD's EV co$t comparison calculator tool is not that great ...

2014-08-05 Thread Robert Bruninga via EV
I would disagree that these are real-world examples.  ANyone who would
purchase an EV for a daily commute that needs daily public charging either
has too much time on their hands, spends hours a day at starbucks or bought
the wrong car.  An EV is optimum when it can meet the routine daily needs
with only routine charging at home and while parked (and plugged-in) at
work.

Any routine daily intended use of public charging along the way is simply
gas-tank/gas-station legacy thinking that perpetuates the inconvenience of
refueling stations and overlooks the value promise of the EV which is
independence from refueling anywhere not at home or at work.

Yes, public charging IS NEEDED for the non-routine, non-daily needs, but
that is not the purpose of this site.

Bob


On Tue, Aug 5, 2014 at 3:55 AM, brucedp5 via EV ev@lists.evdl.org wrote:



 [ref

 http://electric-vehicle-discussion-list.413529.n4.nabble.com/EVLN-UCDavis-EV-Explorer-shows-how-a-Plug-in-Save-You-Money-td4670803.html
 EVLN: UCDavis' EV-Explorer shows how a Plug-in Save$ You Money
 ]

 Summary: Again a supposed tool for the public to use that has errors at
 best, and was not written by/for plugin drivers living in the real world.

 When you bring up their web site
 http://gis.its.ucdavis.edu/evexplorer/

 It first asks for a starting point (city, state or zip code), then for the
 destination. It comes up with some figures based on their assumptions of
 what vehicle you would want.

 But what public EVSE at what cost any where along the commute route, what
 vehicle you can afford, and options to not charge at level2 but level3
 where
 not considered.

 Different parts of the U.S. have different amounts, types and brands of
 EVSE
 (different EVSE brands with the same capabilities will cost differently,
 eVgo vs Blink, etc.).


 My first pass at using this tool was to consider a person working in
 Silicon
 Valley (Palo Alto, CA), and 96mi commute from the coast (lives in Aptos,
 CA)
 http://goo.gl/maps/2TDOq

 I chose this route not so much as typical but as one example (other
 scenarios will vary everything: SF or East-bay to Silicon Valley, etc.).

 By expanding the Annual Vehicle Energy Costs box and selecting the Car
 Manager button, I also changed out all the preselected vehicles to ones
 that
 a better paid Silicon Valley person could likely afford (what 2014 models
 they might compare). I chose (in order of their purchase price):
 -2014 Prius hev 50mpg
 -2014 iMiev EV, selected 8hour/3kW L2 charging
 -2014 Leaf EV, selected 4hour/6kW L2 charging
 -2014 I3 EV (not the pih), selected 4hour/6kW L2 charging

 I purposely did not choose a Tesla because not everyone can afford one, and
 even their lowest cost trim could easily do the commute without ever
 needing
 a charge.

 When I played around with the L2 EVSE cost$, some curious errors showed up.

 When I set the cost of the L2 charging to free (blank), the 5day/week
 commute costs were:
 -$1897 Prius hev
 -$525  iMiev EV
 -$525  Leaf EV
 -$425  I3 EV

 !Hang-on!
 ? How is it possible that the i3 EV costs less than the other two EVs if
 the
 cost of charging is free? I am not going to claim they have a built-in bias
 for the i3, but something is wrong there.

 When trying to know what price/gal cost the tool uses for the gasoline the
 Prius used:
 96mi-roundtrip-commute*5days*52weeks= 24960mi/year
 24960mi/55mpg= 453.82 gallons of gas
 $1897/453.82gal= $4.18/gal
 which is close to a Palo Alto, CA price for regular gas

 http://www.sanjosegasprices.com/map_gas_prices.aspx?z=11lat=37.425849long=-122.147584sid=2330ft=A

 But nearer to the driver's Aptos, CA home and on the driver's route, they
 can stop off at Freedom and get it for $3.69/gal

 http://www.californiagasprices.com/map_gas_prices.aspx?z=11lat=36.940418long=-121.769323sid=164053ft=A

 Using plugshare.com I found both the typical L2 cost per hour ($1, from
 either eVgo/NRG's or Blink/CCG's payment plans
 http://www.nrgevgo.com/san-francisco-bay-area/
 https://getsatisfaction.com/blink/topics/blink_dc_fast_charger_fees
 There are other EVSe brands and cheaper plans to use, but I chose these as
 an example).

 When I set the cost of L2 charging to $1/hr, the costs were:
 -$1897 Prius @ $4.18/gal
 -$2085 iMiev
 -$1305 Leaf
 -$1252 I3

 Again the i3 EV was shown as costing less, even though the range of each is
 very close (Leaf 84mi vs i3 81mi). If anything the i3 EV's commute cost
 should be a hair more costly.

 UCD's calculator does not let the driver compare if they were to use L3
 EVSE. Perhaps they assume it is less likely for the driver to have the vast
 amount of L3 that Silicon Valley has. But many production EV driver use L3
 on a daily basis.

 -Trying to figure L3 costs-
 Commuting from Aptos (on the Pacific coast) to Palo Alto (up over the Santa
 Cruz Mountains, down into the valley toward the S. SF Bay using major
 highways) is enough of a chore in its self, and the driver is likely will
 to
 use L3 EVSE to save time. On