[geo] SRM = bandaid, CDR = cure

2013-02-18 Thread Rau, Greg
http://www.skepticalscience.com/print.php?n=1785
No alternative to atmospheric CO2 draw-down

This article suggests that the current atmospheric CO2 level is already 
triggering amplifying feedbacks from the Earth system and therefore, in 
themselves, efforts at reduction in atmospheric CO2-emission are no longer 
sufficient to prevent further global warming. For this reason, along with sharp 
reductions in carbon emissions, efforts need to be undertaken in an attempt to 
reduce atmospheric CO2 levels from their current level of near-400 ppm to well 
below 350 ppm. NASA-applied outer space-shade technology may buy time for such 
planetary defense effort.

The scale and rate of modern climate change have been greatly underestimated. 
The release to date of a total of over 560 billion ton of carbon through 
emissions from  industrial and transport sources, land clearing and fires, has 
raised CO2 levels from about 280 parts per million (ppm) in pre-industrial 
periods to 397-400 ppm and near 470 ppm CO2-equivalent (a value which includes 
the CO2-equivalent effect of methane), reaching a current CO2 growth rate of 
about 2 ppm per yearhttp://www.globalcarbonproject.org/

[http://www.skepticalscience.com/pics/glikson_figure1.gif]

Figure 1: Part A. Mean CO2 level from ice cores, Mouna Loa observatory and 
marine sites; Part B (inset). Climate forcing 1880 - 
2003http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha06510a.html. Aerosol forcing includes all 
aerosol effects, including indirect effects on clouds and snow albedo. GHGs 
include ozone (O3) and stratospheric H2O, in addition to well-mixed greenhouse 
gases.

[http://www.skepticalscience.com/pics/glikson_figure2.gif]

Figure 2: Relations between CO2 rise rates and mean global temperature rise 
rates during warming periodshttp://cci.anu.edu.au/files/download/?id=4951, 
including the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, Oligocene, Miocene, glacial 
terminations, Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles and the post-1750 period.

These developments are shifting the Earth's climate toward Pliocene-like (5.2 - 
2.6 million years-ago; mean global temperatures of +2-3oC above pre-industrial 
temperatures) and possibly toward mid-Miocene-like (approximately 16 million 
years-ago; mean global temperatures +4oC above pre-industrial 
temperatureshttp://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v4/n7/fig_tab/ngeo1186_ft.html)
 conditions within a few centuries--a geological blink of an eye.

The current CO2 level generates amplifying feedbacks, including the reduced 
capacity of warming water to absorb CO2 from the atmosphere, CO2 released from 
fires, droughts, loss of vegetation cover, disintegration of methane released 
from bogs, permafrost and methane-bearing ice particles and methane-water 
molecules.

With CO2 atmospheric residence times in the order of thousands to tens of 
thousands 
yearshttp://www.pnas.org/content/early/2009/01/28/0812721106.abstract, 
protracted reduction in emissions, either flowing from human decision or due to 
reduced economic activity in an environmentally stressed world, may no longer 
be sufficient to arrest the feedbacks.

Four of the large mass extinction of species events in the history of Earth 
(end-Devonian, Permian-Triassic, end-Triassic, K-T boundary) have been 
associated with rapid perturbations of the carbon, oxygen and sulphur cycles, 
on which the biosphere depends, at rates to which species could not 
adapthttp://theconversation.edu.au/is-another-mass-extinction-event-on-the-way-5397.

Since the 18th century, and in particular since about 1975, the Earth system 
has been shifting away from Holocene (approximately 10,000 years to the 
pre-industrial time) conditions, which allowed agriculture, previously hindered 
by instabilities in the climate and by extreme weather events. The shift is 
most clearly manifested by the loss of polar 
icehttp://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2011GL046583.shtml. Sea level rises 
have been accelerating, with a total of more than 20 cm since 1880 and about 6 
cm since 
1990http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/indicators/sea-level-rise-1/assessment.

For temperature rise of 2.3oC, to which the climate is committed if sulphur 
aerosol emission discontinueshttp://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha06510a.html (see 
Figure 1), sea levels would reach Pliocene-like levels of 25 meters plus or 
minus 12 meters, with lag effects due to ice sheet hysteresis (system inertia).

With global atmospheric CO2-equivalent (a value which includes the effect of 
methane) above 470 ppm, just under the upper stability limit of the Antarctic 
ice sheethttp://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2008/TargetCO2_20080407.pdf, with 
current rate of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion, cement production, 
land clearing and fires of ~9.7 billion ton of carbon in 
2010http://www.science.org.au/natcoms/nc-ess/documents/GEsymposium.pdf, 
global civilization faces the following alternatives:

  1.  With carbon reserves sufficient to raise atmospheric CO2 levels to above 
1000 

Re: [geo] Brief Summary Marine Geoengineering Techniques

2013-02-18 Thread rongretlarson

Chris and list: 

1. Thanks for forwarding your interesting 4-pager on marine engineering. I 
respond here only from the perspective of biochar. 

2. On your p 2, the word biochar appears this way: 
Depositing crop wastes on the deep seabed – Strand and Benford (2009) have 
proposed depositing bales of terrestrial crop wastes on 
the deep seabed and this could potentially be extended to include depositing 
biochar/charcoal or other organic remains. 
I have seen once an oblique reference (I might not be able to find now) to 
biochar possibly being beneficial when planting mangroves. But in general, I 
think the biochar community would recommend placing biochar in soil - perhaps 
the most seriously degraded coming first. The benefit would be centuries or 
millennia (?) of continuing productivity improvement that it is not obvious 
could also occur in the oceans 
Have you seen any citations to similar out-year productivity (or other) 
benefits if biochar was deposited in the ocean? 

3. I liked very much your method of directing readers to links. However for the 
first (Belter and Seidel, 2013), I was unsuccessful finding anything at the 
WIREs ste. Can you/anyone help? 

4. The second citation directed us to a small part of a Keith AGU 2011 lecture 
was a little disappointing as the citation history ended with 2010. Can anyone 
update that history - and/or describe how to get something from Google or other 
? 

5. Most interesting to me was the first half of the same AGU lecture - a talk 
by Ken Caldera comparing several CDR approaches. This is the topic of my next 
note - as Ken's talk had relatively little to do with oceans - and I have seen 
so few CDR comparisons. 

6. I hope next time you can write something about harvesting ocean biomass 
(macroalgae and other) for use on land as input for such CDR approaches as 
BECCS and biochar. I believe the energy and soil benefits of such a direction 
of biomass movement will nicely complement the potential CDR benefits of ocean 
biomass. 

Again thanks for bringing your concise marine/oceans/geoengineering survey to 
our attention. 

Ron 
- Original Message -
From: Chris Vivian chris.viv...@cefas.co.uk 
To: geoengineering@googlegroups.com 
Sent: Monday, February 18, 2013 4:22:19 AM 
Subject: [geo] Brief Summary Marine Geoengineering Techniques 



For your information, see the attached leaflet on marine geoengineering 
techniques that has been submitted to the IMO as a UK information paper for the 
forthcoming London Convention/Protocol Scientific Groups meeting. The leaflet 
is also on the Cefas website at: 
http://www.cefas.defra.gov.uk/publications/files/20120213-Brief-Summary-Marine-Geoeng-Techs.pdf
 

Best wishes 
Chris. 



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Re: [geo] SRM = bandaid, CDR = cure

2013-02-18 Thread Andrew Lockley
As previously pointed out on this list, monsoon disruption and ocean
acidification are not widely accepted as being the certainties claimed
below.

A
 On Feb 18, 2013 6:13 PM, Rau, Greg r...@llnl.gov wrote:

  http://www.skepticalscience.com/print.php?n=1785 No alternative to
 atmospheric CO2 draw-down

 This article suggests that the current atmospheric CO2 level is already
 triggering amplifying feedbacks from the Earth system and therefore, in
 themselves, efforts at reduction in atmospheric CO2-emission are no
 longer sufficient to prevent further global warming. For this reason, along
 with sharp reductions in carbon emissions, efforts need to be undertaken in
 an attempt to reduce atmospheric CO2 levels from their current level of
 near-400 ppm to well below 350 ppm. NASA-applied outer space-shade
 technology may buy time for such planetary defense effort.

 The scale and rate of modern climate change have been greatly
 underestimated. The release to date of a total of over 560 billion ton of
 carbon through emissions from  industrial and transport sources, land
 clearing and fires, has raised CO2 levels from about 280 parts per
 million (ppm) in pre-industrial periods to 397-400 ppm and near 470 ppm CO
 2-equivalent (a value which includes the CO2-equivalent effect of
 methane), reaching a current CO2 growth rate of about 2 ppm per 
 yearhttp://www.globalcarbonproject.org/

 *Figure 1: Part A. Mean CO2 level from ice cores, Mouna Loa observatory
 and marine sites; Part B (inset). Climate forcing 1880 - 
 2003http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha06510a.html.
 Aerosol forcing includes all aerosol effects, including indirect effects on
 clouds and snow albedo. GHGs include ozone (O3) and stratospheric H2O, in
 addition to well-mixed greenhouse gases.*

 *Figure 2: Relations between CO2 rise rates and mean global temperature
 rise rates during warming 
 periodshttp://cci.anu.edu.au/files/download/?id=4951
 *, including the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, Oligocene, Miocene,
 glacial terminations, Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles and the post-1750 period.

 These developments are shifting the Earth's climate toward Pliocene-like
 (5.2 - 2.6 million years-ago; mean global temperatures of +2-3oC above
 pre-industrial temperatures) and possibly toward mid-Miocene-like
 (approximately 16 million years-ago; mean global temperatures +4oC above
 pre-industrial 
 temperatureshttp://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v4/n7/fig_tab/ngeo1186_ft.html)
 conditions within a few centuries--a geological blink of an eye.

 The current CO2 level generates amplifying feedbacks, including the
 reduced capacity of warming water to absorb CO2 from the atmosphere, CO2 
 released
 from fires, droughts, loss of vegetation cover, disintegration of methane
 released from bogs, permafrost and methane-bearing ice particles and
 methane-water molecules.

 With CO2 atmospheric residence times in the order of thousands to tens of
 thousands 
 yearshttp://www.pnas.org/content/early/2009/01/28/0812721106.abstract,
 protracted reduction in emissions, either flowing from human decision or
 due to reduced economic activity in an environmentally stressed world, may
 no longer be sufficient to arrest the feedbacks.

 Four of the large mass extinction of species events in the history of
 Earth (end-Devonian, Permian-Triassic, end-Triassic, K-T boundary) have
 been associated with rapid perturbations of the carbon, oxygen and sulphur
 cycles, on which the biosphere depends, at rates to which species could
 not 
 adapthttp://theconversation.edu.au/is-another-mass-extinction-event-on-the-way-5397
 .

 Since the 18th century, and in particular since about 1975, the Earth
 system has been shifting away from Holocene (approximately 10,000 years to
 the pre-industrial time) conditions, which allowed agriculture, previously
 hindered by instabilities in the climate and by extreme weather events. The
 shift is most clearly manifested by the loss of polar 
 icehttp://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2011GL046583.shtml.
 Sea level rises have been accelerating, with a total of more than 20 cm
 since 1880 and about 6 cm since 
 1990http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/indicators/sea-level-rise-1/assessment
 .

 For temperature rise of 2.3oC, to which the climate is committed if sulphur
 aerosol emission discontinueshttp://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha06510a.html 
 (see
 Figure 1), sea levels would reach Pliocene-like levels of 25 meters plus or
 minus 12 meters, with lag effects due to ice sheet hysteresis (system
 inertia).

 With global atmospheric CO2-equivalent (a value which includes the effect
 of methane) above 470 ppm, just under the upper stability limit of the
 Antarctic ice 
 sheethttp://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2008/TargetCO2_20080407.pdf,
 with current rate of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion, cement
 production, land clearing and fires of ~9.7 billion ton of carbon in 
 2010http://www.science.org.au/natcoms/nc-ess/documents/GEsymposium.pdf,
 global 

[geo] CDR: Stanford weighs in

2013-02-18 Thread Rau, Greg
http://planetsave.com/2013/02/18/stanford-scientists-aim-to-remove-co2-from-atmosphere/
Stanford Scientists Aim To Remove CO2 From Atmosphere
Joshua S Hill
[http://c1planetsavecom.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/plugins/repostus/repostus_bttn_lng_repost.png]


Turn the clock back a decade and we had all sorts of grand plans for reducing 
our greenhouse gas emissions levels, hoping that by 2020 we would be on the 
path to saving our planet.

[Reducing Carbon Means Destroying 
Carbon]http://c1planetsavecom.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/files/2013/02/750px-Cwall99_lg.jpg

Image Credit: Wikimediahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Cwall99_lg.jpg

Welcome to 2013 and … not so much.

Unsurprisingly, scientists at Stanford University have recently come out and 
said that curbing our CO2 emissions may simply not be enough any more. Instead 
of simply hoping the long-tail of emissions reductions do something, they 
believe we need to start looking at carbon-negative technologies that actively 
remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

“To achieve the targeted cuts, we would need a scenario where, by the middle of 
the century, the global economy is transitioning from net positive to net 
negative CO2 emissions,” said report co-author Chris Field, a professor of 
biology and of environmental Earth system science at Stanford. “We need to 
start thinking about how to implement a negative-emissions energy strategy on a 
global scale.”

The Stanford scientists findings are summarised in a report by Stanford’s 
Global Climate and Energy Project (GCEP), which describe a suite of emerging 
carbon-negative solutions to global warming.

BECCS

“Net negative emissions can be achieved when more greenhouse gases are 
sequestered than are released into the atmosphere,” explained Milne, an energy 
assessment analyst at GCEP. “One of the most promising net-negative 
technologies is BECCS, or bioenergy with carbon capture and storage.”

For example, a BECCS system could convert woody biomass, grass, and other 
vegetation into electricity, chemical products, or fuels such as ethanol, 
leaving the CO2 emissions released during the process to be captured and stored.

Estimates show that by 2050 BECCS technologies could sequester 10 billion 
metric tonnes of industrial CO2 emissions from installations like power plants, 
paper mills, ethanol processors, and other manufacturing facilities. But we 
have a ways to go before we are technologically able to manage this.

Biochar

Biochar is a plant byproduct similar to charcoal that is made from lumber 
waste, dried corn stalks, and other plant residues. A process called pyrolysis 
— which heats the vegetation slowly without oxygen — produces carbon rich 
chunks of biochar that can be placed in the soil as a fertiliser, which locks 
the CO2 underground instead of letting the CO2 re-enter the atmosphere as the 
plant decomposes as it naturally would.

EHowever, long-term sequestration “would require high biochar stability,” they 
wrote. “Estimates of biochar half‐life vary greatly from 10 years to more than 
100 years. The type of feedstock also contributes to stability, with wood being 
more stable than grasses and manure.”

Net-negative Farming

Another option included in the GCEP report is the idea of net-negative farming. 
The authors cited research done by Jose Moreira of the University of Sao Paulo 
who found that from 1975 to 2007, ethanol production from sugar cane in Brazil 
resulted in a net-negative capture of 1.5 metric tons of CO2 per cubic meter of 
ethanol produced.

“In this model, the system took 18 years to recoup carbon emissions, with most 
reductions coming from soil replenishment from root growth and replacement of 
gasoline with ethanol,” the GCEP authors wrote.

However, questions remain about the long-term effects of ethanol combustion on 
climate.

Other Options

The report also explored other options, such as sequestering carbon in the 
ocean, specifically the problem of ocean acidification. Currently, the more CO2 
the oceans absorb the more acidic they become, resulting in algae blooms often 
seen in locations throughout Asia as well as the Gulf of Mexico in the US.

However, research by David Keith of Harvard University suggests that adding 
magnesium carbonate and other minerals to the ocean to reduce acidity would 
also sequester atmospheric CO2 in absorbed in seawater.

For more information on these options, check out the full report 
herehttp://gcep.stanford.edu/events/workshops_negemissions2012.html.

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Re: [geo] Brief Summary Marine Geoengineering Techniques

2013-02-18 Thread rongretlarson


List (cc Ken) 

1. This note is to draw attention to a nice April 2011 comparison of different 
CDR approaches that I had not seen before being sent to it by Chris Vivian.(see 
below). For about 25 minutes of Ken Caldeira comparing most of the CDR 
alternatives at an American Meteorological Society meeting, see 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KbNDG2xFOVg 

2. Quicker is to view only Ken's roughly 25 slides at: 
http://www.ametsoc.org/atmospolicy/climatebriefing/Caldeira.pdf 

3. Here is Ken's final slide, after 1 slide each on most CDR options, broken 
into 3 subgroupings 

Main conclusions 
• Avoiding carbon dioxide emissions is key to reducing climate risk and damage 
• Carbon Dioxide Removal removes cause of climate change and ocean 
acidification 
• There are many approaches to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere 
• No approach is obviously both cheap and scalable 
• Best introduce no new kinds of risks 
• May be opportunities for some low-cost mitigation 
• Some could be deployed today or soon 
• Many are understudied 

4. I would have mostly agreed two years ago, and still of course do agree with 
the three main bullets. But now I would modify Ken's last five sub-bullets 
(speaking only for biochar) as follows (and hoping other CDR practitioners will 
similarly append) 

• No approach is obviously both cheap and scalable, but biochar could/might be 
both - because of energy and on-going soil benefits, as well as CDR benefits 
• Best introduce no new kinds of risks, and biochar is in the best category - 
no major unavoidable risks have yet been ident ified in any peer-reviewed 
publication 
• May be opportunities for some low-cost mitigation , especially since biochar 
can be coupled with afforestation/refores tation - and costs must be in 
comparison to other options 
• Some could be deployed today or soon, with afforestation and biochar 
especially - as much is happening today even w ithout carbon credits - on every 
continent. 
• Many are understudied, but biochar is rapidly overcoming that hurdle - in 
many countries , through dozens of national and sub-national interest groups, 
and more than 100 University degree programs. 

5. Ken also showed a ranking slide from the Royal Society report - where 
biochar got mostly a 2 out of possible high of 5. I believe most active 
biochar researchers today would give about a 4 on the four ranking 
categories. As near as I can tell, there was no biochar researcher in the 
expert group doing the rankings. I would like to see a new 2013 ranking, with a 
balanced panel. 

6. This is not to say that Ken was in error on anything in his 2011 
presentation. It is just that CDR needs more discussion - especially on 
scenarios with the large (urgency-driven) scales that are becoming more common. 
For new information on biochar costs and market readiness, not available two 
years ago, I hope Ken and others will look at these websites: 
www.coolplanetbiofuels.com and www.biochar-international.org 

Ron 

- Original Message -
From: rongretlar...@comcast.net 
To: Chris Vivian chris.viv...@cefas.co.uk 
Cc: geoengineering@googlegroups.com 
Sent: Monday, February 18, 2013 1:27:24 PM 
Subject: Re: [geo] Brief Summary Marine Geoengineering Techniques 



Chris and list: 

snip 

5. Most interesting to me was the first half of the same AGU lecture - a talk 
by Ken Caldera comparing several CDR approaches. This is the topic of my next 
note - as Ken's talk had relatively little to do with oceans - and I have seen 
so few CDR comparisons. 


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[geo] Brief Summary Marine Geoengineering Techniques - MVB points

2013-02-18 Thread John Latham
Hello Chris et al.

I think this is a very interesting paper.

With respect to Marine Cloud Brightening (MCB), outlined therein, I would like 
to add a couple of points:-

If MCB is found to function as assumed in our modeling studies – which remains 
to be determined – it could
possibly:-

(1) inhibit or prohibit further coral reef damage by cooling ocean surface 
waters in selected areas – as with the
hurricane weakening possibility mentioned in the article. 

(2) maintain sea-ice cover at around current values, at least up to the 
CO2-doubling point.

Best Wishes, John lat...@ucar.edu

Papers relevant to the above points are listed below:-

Philip J Rasch, John Latham  Chih-Chieh (Jack) Chen, Geoengineering by cloud 
seeding: 
 influence on sea ice and climate system. Environ. Res. Lett. 4 (2009) 045112 
(8pp) 
  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045112

John Latham, Keith Bower, Tom Choularton, Hugh Coe, Paul Connolly, Gary 
Cooper,Tim Craft, Jack Foster,  Alan Gadian, Lee Galbraith, Hector Iacovides, 
David Johnston, Brian Launder, Brian Leslie, John Meyer, Armand   Neukermans, 
Bob Ormond, Ben Parkes, Philip Rasch, John Rush, Stephen Salter, Tom Stevenson, 
Hailong Wang, Qin Wang  Rob Wood, 2012, Marine Cloud Brightening, 
Phil.Trans.Roy. Soc. A . 2012, 370, 4217-4262. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2012.0086

Ben Parkes, Alan Gadian  John Latham, 2012.
Investigation into the effects of Geoengineering on Seasonal Polar Temperatures 
and the Meridional Heat Flux. 
ISRN Geophysics. Volume 2012 (2012), Article ID 142872, doi:10.5402/2012/142872

John Latham, Ben Parkes, Alan Gadian,Stephen Salter, 2012. 
Weakening of Hurricanes via Marine Cloud Brightening (MCB), 
Atmospheric Science Letters, DOI: 10.1002/asl.402




John Latham
Address: P.O. Box 3000,MMM,NCAR,Boulder,CO 80307-3000
Email: lat...@ucar.edu  or john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk
Tel: (US-Work) 303-497-8182 or (US-Home) 303-444-2429
 or   (US-Cell)   303-882-0724  or (UK) 01928-730-002
http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/latham

From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [geoengineering@googlegroups.com] on 
behalf of Chris Vivian [chris.viv...@cefas.co.uk]
Sent: 18 February 2013 11:22
To: geoengineering@googlegroups.com
Subject: [geo] Brief Summary Marine Geoengineering Techniques

For your information, see the attached leaflet on marine geoengineering 
techniques that has been submitted to the IMO as a UK information paper for the 
forthcoming London Convention/Protocol Scientific Groups meeting. The leaflet 
is also on the Cefas website at: 
http://www.cefas.defra.gov.uk/publications/files/20120213-Brief-Summary-Marine-Geoeng-Techs.pdf

Best wishes

Chris.



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Re: [geo] CDR: Stanford weighs in

2013-02-18 Thread Oliver Tickell


It is frankly somewhat amazing that this review contains no mention at 
all of what appears to be the single lowest cost and lowest impact way 
of removing excess CO2 from the atmosphere, namely the accelerated 
weathering of magnesium silicate bearing rock by spreading the 
pulverised rock at land and littoral zones.


Given that this system is now quite widely published, such ignorance is 
surely deliberate. How is it to be explained? Oliver.


On 18/02/2013 23:31, Rau, Greg wrote:



  
http://planetsave.com/2013/02/18/stanford-scientists-aim-to-remove-co2-from-atmosphere/


  Stanford Scientists Aim To Remove CO2 From Atmosphere

Joshua S Hill
*
*

Turn the clock back a decade and we had all sorts of grand plans for 
reducing our greenhouse gas emissions levels, hoping that by 2020 we 
would be on the path to saving our planet.


Reducing Carbon Means Destroying Carbon 
http://c1planetsavecom.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/files/2013/02/750px-Cwall99_lg.jpg 



Image Credit: Wikimedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Cwall99_lg.jpg

Welcome to 2013 and … not so much.

Unsurprisingly, scientists at Stanford University have recently come 
out and said that curbing our CO2 emissions may simply not be enough 
any more. Instead of simply hoping the long-tail of emissions 
reductions do /something/, they believe we need to start looking at 
carbon-negative technologies that actively remove carbon dioxide from 
the atmosphere.


“To achieve the targeted cuts, we would need a scenario where, by the 
middle of the century, the global economy is transitioning from net 
positive to net negative CO2 emissions,” said report co-author Chris 
Field, a professor of biology and of environmental Earth system 
science at Stanford. “We need to start thinking about how to implement 
a negative-emissions energy strategy on a global scale.”


The Stanford scientists findings are summarised in a report 
by Stanford’s Global Climate and Energy Project (GCEP), which describe 
a suite of emerging carbon-negative solutions to global warming.



BECCS

“Net negative emissions can be achieved when more greenhouse gases are 
sequestered than are released into the atmosphere,” explained Milne, 
an energy assessment analyst at GCEP. “One of the most promising 
net-negative technologies is BECCS, or bioenergy with carbon capture 
and storage.”


For example, a BECCS system could convert woody biomass, grass, and 
other vegetation into electricity, chemical products, or fuels such as 
ethanol, leaving the CO2 emissions released during the process to be 
captured and stored.


Estimates show that by 2050 BECCS technologies could sequester 10 
billion metric tonnes of industrial CO2 emissions from installations 
like power plants, paper mills, ethanol processors, and other 
manufacturing facilities. But we have a ways to go before we are 
technologically able to manage this.



Biochar

Biochar is a plant byproduct similar to charcoal that is made from 
lumber waste, dried corn stalks, and other plant residues. A process 
called pyrolysis — which heats the vegetation slowly without oxygen — 
produces carbon rich chunks of biochar that can be placed in the soil 
as a fertiliser, which locks the CO2 underground instead of letting 
the CO2 re-enter the atmosphere as the plant decomposes as it 
naturally would.


EHowever, long-term sequestration “would require high biochar 
stability,” they wrote. “Estimates of biochar half‐life vary greatly 
from 10 years to more than 100 years. The type of feedstock also 
contributes to stability, with wood being more stable than grasses and 
manure.”



Net-negative Farming

Another option included in the GCEP report is the idea of net-negative 
farming. The authors cited research done by Jose Moreira of the 
University of Sao Paulo who found that from 1975 to 2007, ethanol 
production from sugar cane in Brazil resulted in a net-negative 
capture of 1.5 metric tons of CO2 per cubic meter of ethanol produced.


“In this model, the system took 18 years to recoup carbon emissions, 
with most reductions coming from soil replenishment from root growth 
and replacement of gasoline with ethanol,” the GCEP authors wrote.


However, questions remain about the long-term effects of ethanol 
combustion on climate.



Other Options

The report also explored other options, such as sequestering carbon in 
the ocean, specifically the problem of ocean acidification. Currently, 
the more CO2 the oceans absorb the more acidic they become, resulting 
in algae blooms often seen in locations throughout Asia as well as the 
Gulf of Mexico in the US.


However, research by David Keith of Harvard University suggests that 
adding magnesium carbonate and other minerals to the ocean to reduce 
acidity would also sequester atmospheric CO2 in absorbed in seawater.


For more information on these options, check out the full report here 
http://gcep.stanford.edu/events/workshops_negemissions2012.html.


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