[geo] CBD Secretariat Invites Parties’ Submissions on Geo-Engineering-Related Measures - Climate Change Policy Practice

2013-11-20 Thread Andrew Lockley
http://climate-l.iisd.org/news/cbd-secretariat-invites-parties-submissions-on-geo-engineering-related-measures/

CBD Secretariat Invites Parties’ Submissions on Geo-Engineering-Related
Measures

12 November 2013: The Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity
(CBD) has invited parties to submit information on any measures they have
undertaken to ensure that no climate-related geo-engineering activities
that may affect biodiversity take place, and to address the exception for
small-scale scientific research studies contained in CBD Decision X/33,
subparagraph 8(w) on geo-engineering.

Information on measures to ensure that no climate-related geo-engineering
activities that may affect biodiversity take place until there is an
adequate scientific basis to justify such activities and appropriate
consideration of the associated risks for the environment and biodiversity
and associated social, economic and cultural impacts, as well as on
measures that address the exception for small-scale scientific research
studies, is to be submitted by 15 February 2014.

The notification provides additional information related to agreed language
on geo-engineering in the contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, as well
as an amendment to the London Protocol of the London Convention on the
Prevention of Marine Pollution by Dumping of Wastes and Other Matter,
agreed on 18 October 2013.

The amendment is structured to allow other marine geo-engineering
activities to be considered and listed in a new annex in the future, if
they fall within the scope of the London Protocol and have the potential to
harm the marine environment. It will enter into force 60 days after
two-thirds of the Parties to the London Protocol accept it.

http://climate-l.iisd.org/news/cbd-secretariat-invites-parties-submissions-on-geo-engineering-related-measures/

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Re: [geo] CBD Secretariat Invites Parties¹ Submissions on Geo-Engineering-Related Measures - Climate Change Policy Practice

2013-11-20 Thread Rau, Greg
Agree.  What are the consequences/risks to biodiversity of not
evaluating/considering GE in the face of rising CO2?
Greg

On 11/20/13 9:01 AM, Stephen Salter s.sal...@ed.ac.uk wrote:

Hi All

Should they also ask for a list of inactivities such as NOT doing a form
geoengineering which could have helped biodiversity.   I am thinking
things such as not reducing sea surface temperatures to the east of the
Philippines.

Stephen

-
Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design School of Engineering
University of Edinburgh Mayfield Road Edinburgh EH9 3JL Scotland
s.sal...@ed.ac.uk Tel +44 (0)131 650 5704 Cell 07795 203 195
WWW.see.ed.ac.uk/~shs

On 20/11/2013 16:44, Andrew Lockley wrote:

 
http://climate-l.iisd.org/news/cbd-secretariat-invites-parties-submission
s-on-geo-engineering-related-measures/

 CBD Secretariat Invites Parties¹ Submissions on
 Geo-Engineering-Related Measures

 12 November 2013: The Secretariat of the Convention on Biological
 Diversity (CBD) has invited parties to submit information on any
 measures they have undertaken to ensure that no climate-related
 geo-engineering activities that may affect biodiversity take place,
 and to address the exception for small-scale scientific research
 studies contained in CBD Decision X/33, subparagraph 8(w) on
 geo-engineering.

 Information on measures to ensure that no climate-related
 geo-engineering activities that may affect biodiversity take place
 until there is an adequate scientific basis to justify such activities
 and appropriate consideration of the associated risks for the
 environment and biodiversity and associated social, economic and
 cultural impacts, as well as on measures that address the exception
 for small-scale scientific research studies, is to be submitted by 15
 February 2014.

 The notification provides additional information related to agreed
 language on geo-engineering in the contribution of Working Group I to
 the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
 Change, as well as an amendment to the London Protocol of the London
 Convention on the Prevention of Marine Pollution by Dumping of Wastes
 and Other Matter, agreed on 18 October 2013.

 The amendment is structured to allow other marine geo-engineering
 activities to be considered and listed in a new annex in the future,
 if they fall within the scope of the London Protocol and have the
 potential to harm the marine environment. It will enter into force 60
 days after two-thirds of the Parties to the London Protocol accept it.

 
http://climate-l.iisd.org/news/cbd-secretariat-invites-parties-submission
s-on-geo-engineering-related-measures/

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Re: [geo] Re: biochar as CDR and related nomenclature issues: CDRS = CDR + S (carbon dioxide removal + storage)

2013-11-20 Thread Keith Henson
On Tue, Nov 19, 2013 at 9:22 PM, Ronal W. Larson
rongretlar...@comcast.net wrote:
 Keith  cc list

1.  Since this is a thread with a biochar theme, I thought we should 
 compare a hypothetical biochar scenario with your solar power satellite (SPS) 
 scenario.

2.  Because char is lighter than oil  (I assume relative density of 1/3), 
 I got 1200 km3 of char, assuming 400 Gt of carbon needing to be removed for a 
 100 ppm drop in CO2.  This assumes almost as much has to come out of the 
 ocean as the atmosphere.  Was your assumption similar on ocean CO2 release?

No.  From the notes here:  http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5485

The area of the earth is ~5.1 x 1014 square meters; air pressure is
~100,000 N/m2. The force would be ~5.1 x 1019 and the mass
(force/acceleration of 9.8 m/sec2) is ~5.2 x 1018kg or 5.2 x 1015 t.
One ppm would be 5.2 x 109 t and 100 ppm would be ~520 billion
tonnes.  I agree that if the CO2 came down 100 ppm, the oceans would
be giving up that much again.

Call it a 1000 B tons of CO2.  Carbon is 12/44 of CO2, or about 270
billion tons of carbon.  Amorphous carbon has a density around 2 tons
per cubic meter so the volume would be around135 B cubic meters, about
1/t0th of your estimate but that's close enough for this kind of
thought experiment.

   3.  To achieve the 1200 km3 of char, and an assumed depth of a uniform char 
 layer of 2.5 cm  (roughly an inch) requires spreading over about 20% (2.4 
 Gha) of the global land area.  Yours would be a thinner layer of course, but 
 an oil would have to be deep underground to avoid conversion back to CO2.  
 Also a despoil sequestration can provide no out-year benefits.

Right. Oil on the surface would be a bad idea of course.  Oil has the
advantage that you can pump it where char has to be moved around as a
solid.  On the other hand, you make char as close as you can to the
fields where you are going to bury it.

   4.  Assuming that about half of biomass carbon will go to char and half to 
 energy (at 30 GJ/tonne C), means that the 2.5 cm layer (400 Gt C) will also 
 provide a beneficial (carbon neutral) release of about 12,000 EJ.

That's tricky.  Biomass is a relatively expensive kind of energy and
hard to scale up to an efficient size.  Gail Tverberg makes a case
that for economic reasons energy need to be not only environmentally
friendly, but really cheap.
http://theenergycollective.com/gail-tverberg/266116/oil-prices-lead-hard-financial-limits
 At a conference in Baltimore couple of weeks ago she put it as 1-2
cent per kWh power or (same thing) synthetic oil at $30-50 per bbl.  I
don't think biomass can do that on either cost or the needed quantity.
David MacKay has a lot to say about this in his book
http://withouthotair.com/

5.  You estimate about 300 TWyrs for the SPS scenario.  I calculate (using 
 5 kWh = 18 MJ [about the energy in 1 kg wood] and 3600 seconds in an hour) 
 about 1 TWyr = 30 EJ  (we are globally using near 600 EJ/yr in 2013), so the 
 12,000 EJ is about 400 TWyr to compare to your 300 TWyrs.  The difference is 
 that the biochar scenario supplies 1/3 more (not requires that much more).  
 This is also handling the required ocean carbon - I am not sure of your 
 “ocean” assumption.You suggest a new 15 TW for 20 years; this is 8 TW for 
 50 years.

We are essentially in agreement.

 From here on is an extension of the SPS scenario

6.  If we accomplish the 400 Gt C transfer at about today’s fossil input 
 rate of 8Gt C/yr (about 1% removal rate), all with biochar only) this would 
 supply in a carbon neutral sense about 240 EJ/yr = about 40% of today’s total 
 supply.  (The SPS scenario would also be carbon neutral.)  But biochar also 
 supplies out-year carbon negative benefits from increased above and 
 below-ground living matter.  This augmentation is not well known at all, but 
 assuming 2 Gt C per year of afforestation, and placed-char having this 
 assumed eventual out-year doubling potential, then 3 Gt C/yr of placed-char 
 would be sufficient to meet the 8 Gt C/yr goal (this assumes zero fossil and 
 land disturbance positive contributions).

7.  Because of this projected doubling of char impact,  we are down to 
 3*30 =  90 EJ/yr of supplied energy - about 15% of today’s supply - which is 
 in addition to today’s approximately 10% through biomass of 60 GJ/yr.  
 Biomass contributions in the neighborhood of 25% appear in some projections 
 for 2050.

8.  The above was to try to get an annual average biomass tonnage of 
 carbon, with each tonne of carbon in wood supplying 1/2 tonne of carbon in 
 biochar and 9 GJ.  So 3 Gt C/yr of biochar sequestration requires 6 Gt of C 
 in wood-input (or about 12 Gt dry biomass or 24 Gt of wet biomass). This 
 amount of input wood provides a new 54 EJ to be added to today’s roughly 60 - 
 approaching a needed doubling in wood supply going to energy.

9.  The total needed added supply is 2 (afforestation) + 2*3 (biochar) = 8 
 Gt C, which 

[geo] On Geoengineering, More Research Needed to Answer Looming Policy Questions | Center for a New American Security

2013-11-20 Thread Andrew Lockley
http://www.cnas.org/blog/on-geoengineering-more-research-needed-to-answer-looming-policy-questions-6769

With international climate negotiations underway in Cancun, I wanted to
address an aspect of the climate debate that is not as likely to make
headlines this week (except of course for this report in today's Washington
Post): geoengineering.Geoengineering, the intentional manipulation of the
global climate in an effort to halt climate change, is gaining a lot of
interest in the policy community. Yet to date, the implications of
engineering the climate are shrouded in mystery because the science has not
provided much fidelity as to exactly what side effects the global community
could experience. “There might be geopolitical consequences as well,” warns
Brian Palmer, writing in today’s Washington Post. “Some countries, such as
Russia, stand to gain a relative advantage from a little global warming.
They might not be happy if another country unilaterally dimmed the sun,”
Palmer explains. The United Nations issued a moratorium on
geoengineering in October at the UN Convention on Biological Diversity
until the science is clear and international agreements on managing these
activities are put in place. But how do we improve the science around
geoengineering? In October, the House Committee on Science and Technology
released a report, Engineering the Climate: Research Needs and Strategies
for International Coordination, that explores the research gap around
geoengineering and the need to address this gap in order to get answers to
many unanswered policy questions. As this subject becomes the focus of
more serious consideration and scrutiny within the scientific and policy
communities, Chairman Bart Gordon wrote in the foreword, it is important
to acknowledge that climate engineering carries with it not only possible
benefits, but also an enormous range of uncertainties, ethical and
political concerns, and the potential for harmful environmental and
economic side effects.The report is the synthesis of a year-long effort by
the committee, which held three public hearings to better understand
research efforts around geoengineering – referenced in the report as
climate engineering.  Chairman Bart Gordon argued in favor of using the
term climate engineering because geoengineering “does not accurately or
fully convey the scale and intent of the proposals, and it may simply be
confusing to many stakeholders unfamiliar with the subject.”The report,
which is intended to provide contributions “to the evolving global
conversation on climate engineering and help guide government and academic
structures for research and development activities in this field,”
according to Chairman Gordon, is the third in a series of reports
commissioned by the committee to explore climate engineering. The two other
reports were written by the Congressional Research Service (covered here on
the blog) and the Government Accountability Office.Indeed, in making its
contribution to the conversation on climate engineering, the report
identified key research needs and U.S. research capacities. On key research
needs, the committee identified areas such as: greenhouse gas monitoring,
accounting and verification; risk assessment and risk management; weather
systems (including monsoon cycles); and terrestrial carbon sequestration.
Yet despite these research needs, “there is virtually no federal funding
explicitly dedicated to ‘climate engineering’ or ‘geoengineering’
research,” according to the committee.To support climate engineering
research, the committee emphasized the need to leverage existing tools and
competencies within the federal government in order to meet these research
needs. According to Chairman Gordon, “any federal climate engineering
research program should leverage existing facilities, instruments, skills,
and partnerships within the federal agencies,” including the National
Science Foundation, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
the Department of Energy, NASA, the EPA, the U.S. Department of
Agriculture, and other federal agencies. (The report described in detail
how each of these federal agencies’ research capacities could be leveraged
for domestic and international climate engineering research.)Given that our
blog focuses on national security and defense policy issues, the “other
federal agencies” heading drew my attention and is instructive for how the
committee views the role of the Departments of Defense and State. In a
report we published in April, Broadening Horizons: Climate Change and the
U.S. Armed Forces, one of the recommendations we made to the Department of
Defense in the report’s capstone chapter was to get involved in the
geoengineering debate: “A lingering but critical policy question for DOD is
what its role should be in discussions concerning geoengineering.” And
while the Congressional report does not get at many of the policy questions
we raised in our April report, it recognized that the 

Re: [geo] Re: biochar as CDR and related nomenclature issues: CDRS = CDR + S (carbon dioxide removal + storage)

2013-11-20 Thread Ronal W. Larson
Keith etal

Thanks for the added material.  It seems we understand the differences well, so 
I will keep this short.

1.  Re my #2:   You found 1 ppm CO2 as 5.20 Gt CO2.  Multiplying by 12/44 would 
give 1.42 Gt C, whereas I had 2.13 Gt C ( a number I have seen many times - 
such as at
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/pns/convert.html
   http://www.skepticalscience.com/print.php?n=908 )

2.   Re #4:   I think we can live with electricity prices appreciably higher 
than 2 c/kWh.Coal has an environmental cost sometimes reported at 15 c/kWh. 
 Nuclear seems unlikely to ever get anywhere near (is on a negative learning 
curve).  I like your two cites, but think we can only get 2c with energy 
efficiency (but good luck on proving you can do it with SPS)
   Biochar has a chance at good economics when used with CHP - where smallness 
is a virtue.

Other (re your final added material):   I have followed the SPS concept since 
the early 1970s, after hearing Dr.  Peter Glaser of AD Little.  I am in no 
position to comment on it now, but certainly hope that you can achieve the 2 
c/kWh target.  That would be wonderful.  In a little googling today I was 
reminded that the Japanese have made a major commitment -which must be very 
satisfying to you.
   Using that electricity, with CO2,  to create a “disposable” carbon negative 
liquid for deep underground storage was a new CDR concept to me. This 
presumably could really be called storage - as it could be pumped back out 
presumably.  I found one Spanish company doing something similar - but  with an 
intent to consume, not store that oil.  On this list there has been some 
important contributions from Prof. Socolow on the costs of air capture  -  apt 
to be appreciably higher than given in your reference.  
I look forward to following this concept - but it still seems pretty far 
away.  Unfortunately, no out-year continuing benefits;  rather like BECCS, but 
with a different liquid/

Your last paragraph created an opportunity to offer a few additional CDR 
comments.  
  -The largest (partly) biochar company (see www.coolplanet.com) is 
producing a liquid fuel with a process that can also involve extra hydrogen, 
but is not at all like Fischer-Tropsch.  They are projecting the lowest liquid 
biofuel prices I have seen  (not $50/barrel - but under $100) , and support 
from major oil companies
 - There is at least one firm using electricity to make char - with a 
microwave system.  Possibly some (magnetron) parallels with SPS there?   In 
general, the fact that pyrolysis is exothermic could keep most biochar coming 
from strictly thermal approaches.

Ron
   

On Nov 20, 2013, at 1:59 PM, Keith Henson hkeithhen...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Tue, Nov 19, 2013 at 9:22 PM, Ronal W. Larson
 rongretlar...@comcast.net wrote:
 Keith  cc list
 
   1.  Since this is a thread with a biochar theme, I thought we should 
 compare a hypothetical biochar scenario with your solar power satellite 
 (SPS) scenario.
 
   2.  Because char is lighter than oil  (I assume relative density of 1/3), 
 I got 1200 km3 of char, assuming 400 Gt of carbon needing to be removed for 
 a 100 ppm drop in CO2.  This assumes almost as much has to come out of the 
 ocean as the atmosphere.  Was your assumption similar on ocean CO2 release?
 
 No.  From the notes here:  http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5485
 
 The area of the earth is ~5.1 x 1014 square meters; air pressure is
 ~100,000 N/m2. The force would be ~5.1 x 1019 and the mass
 (force/acceleration of 9.8 m/sec2) is ~5.2 x 1018kg or 5.2 x 1015 t.
 One ppm would be 5.2 x 109 t and 100 ppm would be ~520 billion
 tonnes.  I agree that if the CO2 came down 100 ppm, the oceans would
 be giving up that much again.
 
 Call it a 1000 B tons of CO2.  Carbon is 12/44 of CO2, or about 270
 billion tons of carbon.  Amorphous carbon has a density around 2 tons
 per cubic meter so the volume would be around135 B cubic meters, about
 1/t0th of your estimate but that's close enough for this kind of
 thought experiment.
 
  3.  To achieve the 1200 km3 of char, and an assumed depth of a uniform char 
 layer of 2.5 cm (roughly an inch) requires spreading over about 20% (2.4 
 Gha) of the global land area.  Yours would be a thinner layer of course, but 
 an oil would have to be deep underground to avoid conversion back to CO2.  
 Also a despoil sequestration can provide no out-year benefits.
 
 Right. Oil on the surface would be a bad idea of course.  Oil has the
 advantage that you can pump it where char has to be moved around as a
 solid.  On the other hand, you make char as close as you can to the
 fields where you are going to bury it.
 
  4.  Assuming that about half of biomass carbon will go to char and half to 
 energy (at 30 GJ/tonne C), means that the 2.5 cm layer (400 Gt C) will also 
 provide a beneficial (carbon neutral) release of about 12,000 EJ.
 
 That's tricky.  Biomass is a relatively expensive kind of energy and
 hard to scale up to an 

Re: [geo] Re: biochar as CDR and related nomenclature issues: CDRS = CDR + S (carbon dioxide removal + storage)

2013-11-20 Thread Keith Henson
 On Wed, Nov 20, 2013 at 6:33 PM, Ronal W. Larson
rongretlar...@comcast.net wrote:
 Keith etal

 Thanks for the added material.  It seems we understand the differences well,
 so I will keep this short.

 1.  Re my #2:   You found 1 ppm CO2 as 5.20 Gt CO2.  Multiplying by 12/44
 would give 1.42 Gt C, whereas I had 2.13 Gt C ( a number I have seen many
 times - such as at
 http://cdiac.ornl.gov/pns/convert.html
http://www.skepticalscience.com/print.php?n=908 )

Ah, fundamental misunderstanding on my part.  ppm is by volume and not
mass.  So your number is right.

 2.   Re #4:   I think we can live with electricity prices appreciably higher
 than 2 c/kWh.Coal has an environmental cost sometimes reported at 15
 c/kWh.  Nuclear seems unlikely to ever get anywhere near (is on a negative
 learning curve).  I like your two cites, but think we can only get 2c with
 energy efficiency (but good luck on proving you can do it with SPS)

It's not so much whether or not we can live with high energy costs,
it's a question of if we can live well in a vibrant economy. Of
course, if energy goes high enough we can no longer ship food and then
comes the great die off when a crop fails.

Biochar has a chance at good economics when used with CHP - where
 smallness is a virtue.

 Other (re your final added material):   I have followed the SPS concept
 since the early 1970s, after hearing Dr.  Peter Glaser of AD Little.  I am
 in no position to comment on it now, but certainly hope that you can achieve
 the 2 c/kWh target.  That would be wonderful.  In a little googling today I
 was reminded that the Japanese have made a major commitment -which must be
 very satisfying to you.

Post Fukushima the Japanese canceled their power satellite plans.

snip

  - There is at least one firm using electricity to make char - with
 a microwave system.  Possibly some (magnetron) parallels with SPS there?
 In general, the fact that pyrolysis is exothermic could keep most biochar
 coming from strictly thermal approaches.

If it will burn, you can make char out of it.  But depending on how
wet it is, it can be hard.

Where with really cheap external energy it doesn't much matter.

Keith

 Ron


 On Nov 20, 2013, at 1:59 PM, Keith Henson hkeithhen...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Tue, Nov 19, 2013 at 9:22 PM, Ronal W. Larson
 rongretlar...@comcast.net wrote:

 Keith  cc list

   1.  Since this is a thread with a biochar theme, I thought we should
 compare a hypothetical biochar scenario with your solar power satellite
 (SPS) scenario.

   2.  Because char is lighter than oil  (I assume relative density of 1/3),
 I got 1200 km3 of char, assuming 400 Gt of carbon needing to be removed for
 a 100 ppm drop in CO2.  This assumes almost as much has to come out of the
 ocean as the atmosphere.  Was your assumption similar on ocean CO2 release?


 No.  From the notes here:  http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5485

 The area of the earth is ~5.1 x 1014 square meters; air pressure is
 ~100,000 N/m2. The force would be ~5.1 x 1019 and the mass
 (force/acceleration of 9.8 m/sec2) is ~5.2 x 1018kg or 5.2 x 1015 t.
 One ppm would be 5.2 x 109 t and 100 ppm would be ~520 billion
 tonnes.  I agree that if the CO2 came down 100 ppm, the oceans would
 be giving up that much again.

 Call it a 1000 B tons of CO2.  Carbon is 12/44 of CO2, or about 270
 billion tons of carbon.  Amorphous carbon has a density around 2 tons
 per cubic meter so the volume would be around135 B cubic meters, about
 1/t0th of your estimate but that's close enough for this kind of
 thought experiment.

  3.  To achieve the 1200 km3 of char, and an assumed depth of a uniform char
 layer of 2.5 cm (roughly an inch) requires spreading over about 20% (2.4
 Gha) of the global land area.  Yours would be a thinner layer of course, but
 an oil would have to be deep underground to avoid conversion back to CO2.
 Also a despoil sequestration can provide no out-year benefits.


 Right. Oil on the surface would be a bad idea of course.  Oil has the
 advantage that you can pump it where char has to be moved around as a
 solid.  On the other hand, you make char as close as you can to the
 fields where you are going to bury it.

  4.  Assuming that about half of biomass carbon will go to char and half to
 energy (at 30 GJ/tonne C), means that the 2.5 cm layer (400 Gt C) will also
 provide a beneficial (carbon neutral) release of about 12,000 EJ.


 That's tricky.  Biomass is a relatively expensive kind of energy and
 hard to scale up to an efficient size.  Gail Tverberg makes a case
 that for economic reasons energy need to be not only environmentally
 friendly, but really cheap.
 http://theenergycollective.com/gail-tverberg/266116/oil-prices-lead-hard-financial-limits
 At a conference in Baltimore couple of weeks ago she put it as 1-2
 cent per kWh power or (same thing) synthetic oil at $30-50 per bbl.  I
 don't think biomass can do that on either cost or the needed quantity.
 David MacKay has a