[geo] Re: Public perceptions paper

2011-08-24 Thread Oliver Tickell
This CF question is actually quite complex. You can have a CF of 0.7 for 
a nuke but actually that's because it's working 70% of the time and for 
30% it is broken or undergoing maintenance (often for longish periods of 
days / weeks / months). A CCGT with a CF of 0.7 would most likely be 
modulating its output to meet actual demand and the 30% of 
non-generation would mainly represent times of low demand, with routine 
maintenance timed to take place during low demand periods.


This means that the CCGT is making a far more valuable contribution to 
electricity supply than the nuke: there are times while the nuke is down 
when additional fossil supply will be needed to make good the shortfall 
(adding to the nuke's effective emissions); and there are periods when 
the nuke is generating when the CCGT would be on standby or shut down 
for the night (reducing the nuke's effective emissions reductions). So a 
KWh from a nuke does not directly compare to a KWh from a CCGT either in 
terms of value, or in terms of CO2 emissions. This needs to be taken 
into account.


Yes, can you contact the authors for their view? Oliver.

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On 23/08/2011 14:32, Stephen Salter wrote:

Oliver

Actual output for nuclear is typically around 0.7 but the carbon debt 
was all incurred before operation and turning them off does not reduce 
it.  The carbon for the plant is all released before operation and if 
this is delayed we may ask if there is a carbon equivalent of interest.


Let's ask Storm van Leeuwen.

Stephen

Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
Institute for Energy Systems
School of Engineering
Mayfield Road
University of Edinburgh EH9  3JL
Scotland
Tel +44 131 650 5704
Mobile 07795 203 195
www.see.ed.ac.uk/~shs

On 23/08/2011 13:36, Oliver Tickell wrote:

Stephen, I was interested to see your recent post, below.

Reading the paper, there is something I am not clear about. A nuclear 
power station is typically on full blast all the time giving a 
capacity factor of 1 (except when it has to go off). However a gas 
plant will modulate its output according to demand, giving I would 
guess a typical capacity factor of say 0.6 (guess).


So, when the authors compare nuclear power and CCGT emissions, are 
they forcing the CCGT to have a CF of 1 like nuclear? If so this is 
to greatly exaggerate the actual CO2 emissions that you would expect 
from a CCGT.


Another factor to consider is that as we get more intermittent 
renewables like wind and solar PV on the grid, the effect will be to 
further reduce the CF of gas plant - since when wind is generating 
strongly, CCGTs will scale back their output. This will further 
reduce the CCGT's CO2 emissions


Regards, Oliver.


==

Stephen Salter s.sal...@ed.ac.uk Aug 23 11:58AM +0100 ^ 
mailbox:///C%7C/Documents%20and%20Settings/Oliver/Application%20Data/Thunderbird/Profiles/s4tkdjyp.Oliver/Mail/Local%20Folders/Inbox?number=128158075#digest_top


Hi All

While a nuclear power station is working normally the main CO2 emissions
are the plant operators driving to work or slipping out for a smoke.
However quite a lot of oil is needed for more... 
http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering/msg/6c0b24968aac4022



The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in
Scotland, with registration number SC005336.

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[geo] Re: Public perceptions paper

2011-08-23 Thread Stephen Salter

 Oliver

Actual output for nuclear is typically around 0.7 but the carbon debt 
was all incurred before operation and turning them off does not reduce 
it.  The carbon for the plant is all released before operation and if 
this is delayed we may ask if there is a carbon equivalent of interest.


Let's ask Storm van Leeuwen.

Stephen

Emeritus Professor of Engineering Design
Institute for Energy Systems
School of Engineering
Mayfield Road
University of Edinburgh EH9  3JL
Scotland
Tel +44 131 650 5704
Mobile 07795 203 195
www.see.ed.ac.uk/~shs


On 23/08/2011 13:36, Oliver Tickell wrote:

Stephen, I was interested to see your recent post, below.

Reading the paper, there is something I am not clear about. A nuclear 
power station is typically on full blast all the time giving a 
capacity factor of 1 (except when it has to go off). However a gas 
plant will modulate its output according to demand, giving I would 
guess a typical capacity factor of say 0.6 (guess).


So, when the authors compare nuclear power and CCGT emissions, are 
they forcing the CCGT to have a CF of 1 like nuclear? If so this is to 
greatly exaggerate the actual CO2 emissions that you would expect from 
a CCGT.


Another factor to consider is that as we get more intermittent 
renewables like wind and solar PV on the grid, the effect will be to 
further reduce the CF of gas plant - since when wind is generating 
strongly, CCGTs will scale back their output. This will further reduce 
the CCGT's CO2 emissions


Regards, Oliver.


==

Stephen Salter s.sal...@ed.ac.uk Aug 23 11:58AM +0100 ^ 
mailbox:///C%7C/Documents%20and%20Settings/Oliver/Application%20Data/Thunderbird/Profiles/s4tkdjyp.Oliver/Mail/Local%20Folders/Inbox?number=128158075#digest_top


Hi All

While a nuclear power station is working normally the main CO2 emissions
are the plant operators driving to work or slipping out for a smoke.
However quite a lot of oil is needed for more... 
http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering/msg/6c0b24968aac4022
The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in
Scotland, with registration number SC005336.
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