Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-13 Thread Mervyn Lobo
---
 http://www.GOANET.org 
---
  2008 International Goan Convention
Toronto, Canada

http://www.2008goanconvention.com
---
Mario Goveia wrote:
 How does a clean energy bill do anything to increase
 oil supplies and gasoline refining capacity?  Doesn't
 it just add more expensive regulations that our
 competitors in Mexico, Venezuela, Nigeria and the
 middle-east are not burdened with?

 
 
 
Mario,
The easiest way to increase oil supplies is to invade a country, establish a 
puppet regime and award all the oil contracts in that country to companies from 
your country. In this regard, the Cheney/Bush team have done the USA a great 
favour. 
 
Once the oil supplies have been cornered, the next step is to increase the 
price of the commodity. I am presently conducting all my trades on the 
premise that the Cheney/Bush team will strike Iran before they leave office. 
When this happens, oil will take about thirty minutes of trading to reach $200 
a barrel.
 
Mervyn3.0
PS. I find that one of the biggest advantages of high oil prices is that some 
people are now forced to take public transport to work. This means that there 
is a possibility that traffic jams are going to be a thing of the past..


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Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-08 Thread Mervyn Lobo
Marlon,

 One only has
 to look at the richer tar sands in Alberta. They are
 profitable only when oil prices are greater than
 80-100$ as is the case now. 
 
 
 
Some minor corrections. Some oil sands projects will turn a profit if they can 
sell oil above $35. The newer projects need oil prices to be above $55. The 
problem is that these projects burn natural gas, a clean fuel, to produce 
petrol, a polluting fuel. California is already passing laws that would 
effectively ban oil from Alberta.
 
Secondly, the Japanese Govt has been subsidizing the development of hybrid cars 
for the past twelve years. The US car manufactures have, during the same 
period, lobbied the US govt not to increase the fuel efficiency of US cars. The 
result is that the US is now producing cars with dinosaur engines that no one 
wants to buy. 
 
Third, with fuel at $140 a barrel, the cost of transporting China's products to 
the US is becoming so expensive that it may soon become cheaper to manufacture 
some products in America. Cheney/Bush are to be thanked for bringing 
some Chinese jobs to America. 
 
 
Mervyn3.0


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Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-08 Thread George Pinto
--- On Mon, 7/7/08, Chris Vaz [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Exactly as some ideologues like to lament, it is warped
 ideology that has driven this argument.  The people standing
 in the way of increased domestic production of oil are the
 Democrats and their fundraisers the extreme
 environmentalist cabal which includes the Sierra Club. 


Absolute Republican nonsense from Rush Limbagh's fantasies. Carter, a Democrat, 
proposed moving to solar energy (20% of our needs), a policy which Reagan 
gutted. Carter was right then on conservation, etc. Reagan and the Republicans 
wrong since. The Republican fat-cats have lived well off government energy 
subsidies while pretending to be free-market.

See http://www.energybulletin.net/node/9657

and http://www.commondreams.org/views05/0503-22.htm

Regards,
George






Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-07 Thread Marlon Menezes
Both Chris and Ralph totally miss the point or don't
have a point.

First of all, wrt America's oil reserves, it was not
the whacko environmentalists who put in the current
restrictions on oil drilling. California's off shore
bans were placed by the then governor Ronald Reagan -
a republican. Florida's anti oil laws were in part set
by Jeb Bush, the brother of the current president.
Lastly, the national bans oil drilling in places like
Alaska were set in place by G.Bush Sr, the current
president's father. Anyone who calls these guys whako
environmentalists, is probably a bigger whako himself!

As far as some of the so called oil reserves such as
shale oil, the issue is cost and yield. One only has
to look at the richer tar sands in Alberta. They are
profitable only when oil prices are greater than
80-100$ as is the case now.  Current world oil
consumption today is around 88 million barrels per
day, while actual production from these tar sands is
in the hundreds of thousands range - a drop in the
barrel so to speak. These marginal sources will not
make much of an impact in overall prices.

WRT Ralph's comments on the US suffering from high oil
prices, one needs to realize that the US economy is
extremely dynamic and will adjust to this shock. There
is no need for government policy for it to change. In
just a year and half, US oil demand has dropped by 1/2
a million barrels a day. This rate of decrease is more
than the increase in production that is being
generated in places such as the tar sands in Alberta.
If prices remain high, we can expect this trend to
continue. I can also assure you that the seeds for the
next technological revolution in alternative energy
are being set in the US, and specifically in the
Silicon Valley right now. This is all inspite of the
anti-technological policies emanating from
Washtington, such as its recent attempt to halt the
construction of new solar energy facilities as well as
its failure to pass the clean energy bill, while still
supporting a $18 billion tax subsidy for the poor and
suffering oil industry.

The real issue with the US economy is not oil, but its
three pillars of deficits - much of it caused by big
government. 

The first pillar is the large federal deficit, thanks
to a government that went on a largest increase in
spending in over 40 years. This year, the budget
deficit is due to cross 500 billion dollars and it
does not include the cost of the poorly executed wars
in Afghanistan and Iraq, which when done will have
cost the US tax payers approximately 2 trillion
dollars.

Next, there is the trade deficit, which this year will
be around 800 billion dollars. The VP Dick Cheney once
commented that deficits do not matter. With the dollar
down by 40%, I wonder what this jackass would say now!

Lastly, there is consumer debt. In 2006, the US
savings rate reached a negative value for the first
time in recent memory. 

With all these deficits, the fundamental cause was
excess money in the system - either the government
(treasury) injecting too much of money into the system
(low interest rates), or the federal government
spending too much money, leading to bubbles such as
the property bubbles, excessive consumer spending etc.
Net result: high inflation and a rapidly deflating
dollar. 

As far as I am concerned the US political system in
broken and it does not matter which of the two parties
come into power. For all practical purposes, the two
parties have morphed into one giant immobile morrase.
The US federal government which sucks in around 70% of
its citizens taxes, needs to have its powers and
spending severely curtailed. The departments of the
treasury, education, energy, defence need to be
slashed. Social security, medicaid and other
unsustainable services that future generations will
not be able to use, need to slashed, if not totally
eliminated. It is absolutely ridiculous that the
present generation has to pay for these services that
it will never get to use. The biggest enemy of the US
is its own federal government.


Marlon

--- Chris Vaz [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 In oil shale deposits, there is more than 1 trillion
 barrels of oil. --  
 about four times the total reserves of Saudi Arabia!
  And if estimates of 
 shale reserves as high as 2 trillion barrels are
 true, that would be a 
 300-year supply of oil just from shale.
 
 In addition, according to the American Petroleum
 Institute, Federal lands 
 hold 651 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, enough
 to fuel 60 million 
 households for 160 years.  It is pure politics by
 the irresponsible Democrat 
 Party to please their environmental wacko lobby that
 these resources remain 
 untapped and the country remains vulnerable to
 pariah petrostates 

 As far as the remark that  America will become
 poorer and therefore have 
 less to squander on invading the rest of the world 
 -- a reminder.  It was 
 the liberation of Europe by the United States that
 all of Europe doesn't 
 speak German as their 

Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-07 Thread Santosh Helekar
Marlon,

Thanks for keeping a keen eye to counter the bogus ideological propaganda on 
Goanet.

Cheers,

Santosh


--- On Mon, 7/7/08, Marlon Menezes [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Anyone who calls these guys whako environmentalists, is probably a bigger 
 whako himself!
 
 As far as some of the so called oil reserves such as
 shale oil, the issue is cost and yield. One only has
 to look at the richer tar sands in Alberta. They are
 profitable only when oil prices are greater than
 80-100$ as is the case now.  Current world oil
 consumption today is around 88 million barrels per
 day, while actual production from these tar sands is
 in the hundreds of thousands range - a drop in the
 barrel so to speak. These marginal sources will not
 make much of an impact in overall prices.
 


Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-07 Thread Gabe Menezes
2008/7/7 Marlon Menezes [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 Both Chris and Ralph totally miss the point or don't
 have a point.

RESPONSE: For once, I bought your story, lock, stock and barrel!

-- 
DEV BOREM KORUM.

Gabe Menezes.
London, England


Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-06 Thread Chris Vaz



For the record, conservative estimates put the total amount of recoverable 
oil  in the U.S. in conventional deposits at about 39 billion barrels. 
Offshore there is another 89 billion or thereabouts.  In ANWR, 10 billion 
barrels.


In oil shale deposits, there is more than 1 trillion barrels of oil. --  
about four times the total reserves of Saudi Arabia!  And if estimates of 
shale reserves as high as 2 trillion barrels are true, that would be a 
300-year supply of oil just from shale.


In addition, according to the American Petroleum Institute, Federal lands 
hold 651 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, enough to fuel 60 million 
households for 160 years.  It is pure politics by the irresponsible Democrat 
Party to please their environmental wacko lobby that these resources remain 
untapped and the country remains vulnerable to pariah petrostates like 
Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Libya, Iran and others who wish the U.S. ill (17 of 
the 9/11 suicide bombers were Saudi).  But there is currently strong 
pressure from the U.S. public to proceed with drilling in previously 
unexploited areas.


As far as the remark that  America will become poorer and therefore have 
less to squander on invading the rest of the world  -- a reminder.  It was 
the liberation of Europe by the United States that all of Europe doesn't 
speak German as their universal language.  And fifty million Iraqis and 
Afghans also call it liberation not invasion as has been suggested





- Original Message - 
From: Gabe Menezes [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Goa's premiere mailing list, estb. 1994! 
goanet@lists.goanet.org

Sent: Saturday, July 05, 2008 4:53 PM
Subject: Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel



2008/7/5 ralph rau [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

There are some definite benefits including:

(1) America will become poorer and therefor have less wealth to squander 
on invading the rest of the world.


(2) America and the rest of the world will just have to use less oil. 
This means less CO2 emmissions. Humankind will get some relief from 
global warming.


(3) The world will finally be incentivised to develop alternate 
technologies which have been postponed for too long due to dirt cheap oil 
which just 7 odd years ago was below $ 20. After all,t oil production has 
peaked and the world will run out of oil in less than 100 years - maybe 
in 50 or 75 years.


Oil at $ 200? Yes...bring it on.

Ralph Rau
Dubai


RESPONSE: You might be out of a job, oil in the ground is no good to 




Re: [Goanet] Advantages of Oil @ $ 200 a barrel

2008-07-05 Thread Gabe Menezes
2008/7/5 ralph rau [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 There are some definite benefits including:

 (1) America will become poorer and therefor have less wealth to squander on 
 invading the rest of the world.

 (2) America and the rest of the world will just have to use less oil. This 
 means less CO2 emmissions. Humankind will get some relief from global warming.

 (3) The world will finally be incentivised to develop alternate technologies 
 which have been postponed for too long due to dirt cheap oil which just 7 odd 
 years ago was below $ 20. After all,t oil production has peaked and the world 
 will run out of oil in less than 100 years - maybe in 50 or 75 years.

 Oil at $ 200? Yes...bring it on.

 Ralph Rau
 Dubai

RESPONSE: You might be out of a job, oil in the ground is no good to
the Oil producing Nations!

The sooner Countries like India and China stop subsidies the sooner we
shall have a curb on oil consumption.

Politics will be played in India and our resident BJP stalwarts will
cry hoarse...foul! The bottom line is, someone has to pick up the tab
for the subsidies and in India it is the poor people who have to do
so, through increases in prices of staple foods.

India was shining, during BJP rule, or was it really? Today it is
about tanked out. If the Sensex gets to 12,000 buy like mad, sell your
mother-in-law. If Stg/Inr gets to 90, fill yer boots up man! If there
are any perpetual or first class Bonds in India including Govt. debt
yielding above 10 percent, again fill yer boots up man.

-- 
DEV BOREM KORUM.

Gabe Menezes.
London, England