Re: [Marxism] CNN report: US reviews strategy to fight IS

2014-11-14 Thread Michael Karadjis via Marxism

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Hagel has immediately clarified that that was essentially CNN 
misinformation, though, to be fair to CNN, probably a large part of it 
is simply journalists there too thick to really get it:


Hagel Discounts Targeting Assad Now in Islamic State Fight
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-13/hagel-discounts-expanding-islamic-state-fight-to-include-assad.html

Highlights:

U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said the Obama administration doesn’t 
plan to extend the fight against Islamic State to Syrian President 
Bashar al-Assad’s regime now, saying countering Islamic extremists in 
Iraq is the priority.
“Because we do not have a partner government to work with, or regular 
military partners as we do in Iraq, in the near term, our military aims 
in Syria are limited to isolating and destroying ISIL’s safe havens,” he 
said in testimony to the House Armed Services Committee. He referred to 
the militant group by an acronym of one of its former names.
Hagel denied a CNN report yesterday that the administration is looking 
at a shift in tactics to include new actions against the Syrian regime.

“There is no change, and there is no different direction,” Hagel said.

In his testimony, Hagel rebuffed calls by some U.S. lawmakers and 
anti-Islamic State coalition partners such as Saudi Arabia and France to 
move more quickly to arm moderate Syrian opposition fighters and take 
other measures against the Assad regime, such as creating a no-fly zone 
to protect civilians and rebels.
“Our strategy in Syria will demand time, patience, and perseverance to 
deliver results,” Hagel said. “We cannot accomplish our objectives in 
Syria all at once.”
Hagel said it will take at least eight to 12 months for U.S. training 
and equipping of Syrian rebel fighters to “begin making a difference on 
the ground,” first against Islamic militants and later against Assad’s 
forces.
“We know the opposition will continue to face intense pressure in a 
multi-front battle space, and we are considering options for how U.S. 
and coalition forces can further support these forces once they are 
trained and equipped,” he said. He urged Congress to approve the 
administration’s request for $5.6 billion to fight the extremist 
militants.


The longer-term U.S. goal is a negotiated end to the Assad regime, not a 
military solution to Syria’s civil war, he said.
“You can change Assad today, and that’s not gonna change all the 
dynamics quickly,” he said. “Who are you going to replace Assad with, 
and what kind of army will take on ISIL?”
The threats Islamic State poses are “right now,” Hagel added. “That’s 
why we’re dealing with that component first because we must.”


-Original Message- 
From: Marv Gandall via Marxism


Below is a link to an interesting report from an unlikely source, CNN, 
about the contradictions and strategic choices facing the US as it 
scrambles to halt the rise of the Islamic State and other jihadist 
forces threatening to destabilize Iraq, Jordan, Egypt, and other 
friendly regimes in the Middle East.


The Obama administration has not had much success enlisting the Iraqi 
government and armed forces as its main bulwark against ISIS, which is 
forcing it to refocus on the Syrian theatre, where the left-wing Kurdish 
militias in the north of the country have been the most effective ground 
forces engaging the radical Islamists in combat.


The administration's central objective, however, is to draw the Turkish 
army into the fight. This will necessarily require concessions to the 
Erdogan government which wants to eliminate both the Assad regime and 
the Kurdish independence movement.


According to CNN, the Obama administration is stepping up diplomatic 
efforts with Russia, Iran, and the Gulf states to ease Assad from power, 
and, more ominously, is considering giving the Turks a free hand to 
invade the autonomous Kurdish regions inside Syria and establish a 
protectorate in the guise of a no-fly zone.


http://www.cnn.com/2014/11/12/politics/obama-syria-strategy-review/index.html?utm_source=Sailthruutm_medium=emailutm_term=%2ASituation%20Reportutm_campaign=Sit%20Rep%20November%2013%2C%202014
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Re: [Marxism] CNN report: US reviews strategy to fight IS

2014-11-14 Thread Marv Gandall via Marxism
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On Nov 14, 2014, at 8:33 AM, Michael Karadjis mkarad...@gmail.com wrote:

 Hagel has immediately clarified that that was essentially CNN misinformation, 
 though, to be fair to CNN, probably a large part of it is simply journalists 
 there too thick to really get it:
 
 Hagel Discounts Targeting Assad Now in Islamic State Fight
 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-13/hagel-discounts-expanding-islamic-state-fight-to-include-assad.html
 
 Hagel denied a CNN report yesterday that the administration is looking at a 
 shift in tactics to include new actions against the Syrian regime.
 “There is no change, and there is no different direction,” Hagel said.

I’ve reread the CNN report, and it doesn’t anywhere suggest a “change” in US 
policy is underway so much as a revival of the existing policy to remove Assad 
through a negotiated settlement which would be accompanied by the integration 
of some respectable pro-Western elements of the opposition into the regime. As 
the report states: “Now officials and diplomats said Kerry has in recent months 
intensified discussions with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Turkey and 
Russia about the possibility of a diplomatic tract to transition al-Assad and 
his inner circle out of power, while maintaining large parts of the regime and 
institutions of the state.”

I’m not surprised to see the defence secretary denying there has been a change. 
The Pentagon is very likely divided on where to concentrate the military effort 
because of the political and military complexities surrounding the 
intervention. Dempsey, for example, has publicly spoken out in favour of 
strengthening the Iraq front. I’m equally no fan of CNN, but its headline did 
refer to a strategy “review” and covered both sides of the debate in quite some 
detail. There may not be a “formal” review of the strategy underway, according 
to the deputy national security director, Ben Rhodes, but that leaves plenty of 
room for an informal consensus to have emerged about a shift in tactics, based 
on the testimony of most of those interviewed.

The report rings true to me because ISIS has created more favourable conditions 
to bridge the differences between the outside powers, and made it more 
imperative for the US to get Turkish boots on the ground, which seems to 
require Assad’s removal or relegation to a figurehead as a precondition. This 
may not at all be possible because the situation is so fraught with 
contradictions, but this would not preclude the US from wishfully rethinking 
its presently stumbling strategy. 


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[Marxism] CNN report: US reviews strategy to fight IS

2014-11-13 Thread Marv Gandall via Marxism
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Below is a link to an interesting report from an unlikely source, CNN, about 
the contradictions and strategic choices facing the US as it scrambles to halt 
the rise of the Islamic State and other jihadist forces threatening to 
destabilize Iraq, Jordan, Egypt, and other friendly regimes in the Middle East.

The Obama administration has not had much success enlisting the Iraqi 
government and armed forces as its main bulwark against ISIS, which is forcing 
it to refocus on the Syrian theatre, where the left-wing Kurdish militias in 
the north of the country have been the most effective ground forces engaging 
the radical Islamists in combat.

The administration's central objective, however, is to draw the Turkish army 
into the fight. This will necessarily require concessions to the Erdogan 
government which wants to eliminate both the Assad regime and the Kurdish 
independence movement. 

According to CNN, the Obama administration is stepping up diplomatic efforts 
with Russia, Iran, and the Gulf states to ease Assad from power, and, more 
ominously, is considering giving the Turks a free hand to invade the autonomous 
Kurdish regions inside Syria and establish a protectorate in the guise of a 
no-fly zone.

http://www.cnn.com/2014/11/12/politics/obama-syria-strategy-review/index.html?utm_source=Sailthruutm_medium=emailutm_term=%2ASituation%20Reportutm_campaign=Sit%20Rep%20November%2013%2C%202014
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