Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-16 Thread John Sage

On 2/15/21 10:02 PM, Mark Tinka wrote:



On 2/16/21 07:49, Matthew Petach wrote:



Isn't that a result of ERCOT stubbornly refusing to interconnect with 
the rest of the national grid, out of an irrational fear of coming 
under federal regulation?


Yes. This has been widely documented in numerous articles, both very 
recently and previously.



I suspect that trying to be self-sufficient works most of the 
time--but when you get to the edges of the bell curve locally, your 
ability to be resilient and survive depends heavily upon your ability 
to be supported by others around you.  This certainly holds true for 
individual humans; I suspect power grids aren't that different.


If there was a state-wide blackout, they'd need to restart from the 
national grid anyway. Why not have some standing interconnection 
agreement with them anyway, that gets activated in cases such as these?


Sorry, unfamiliar with U.S. politics in this regard, so just doing 1+1.



"Sorry, unfamiliar with U.S. politics in this regard, so just doing 1+1"

You don't understand Texas politics relative to the United States at large.

Which is fine, but this is a state that had deliberately prevented 
interconnects (see: ERCOT, above) into any extended national grid, 
principally to evade the resulting exposure to Federal regulation.


Texas [politicians] are constantly threatening to secede.


- John
--



Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-16 Thread Rod Beck
I agree. Germany spent well over 200 billion Euros on wind and solar subsidies 
and over 85% of the country's energy consumption is still non-renewable. Wind 
power is randomly generated. I really don't to depend it for either personal or 
business needs.


From: NANOG  on behalf 
of Robert Jacobs 
Sent: Tuesday, February 16, 2021 5:17 AM
To: Mark Tinka ; nanog@nanog.org 
Subject: RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

How about letting us Texans have more natural gas power plants or even let the 
gas be delivered to the plants we have so they can provide more power in an 
emergency. Did not help that 20% of our power is now wind which of course in an 
ice storm like we are having is shut off... Lots of issues and plenty of 
politics involved here..

Robert Jacobs​
 |  Data Center Manager
[http://www.pslightwave.com/emailsig/plwlogo.jpg]<http://www.pslightwave.com/>
Direct: 832-615-7742
Mobile: 281-830-2092
Main:   832‑615‑8000
Fax:713-510-1650
5959 Corporate Dr. Suite 3300; Houston, TX 77036
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 [http://www.pslightwave.com/emailsig/plw-wbenc.jpg] A Certified 
Woman‑Owned Business
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​This electronic message contains information from PS Lightwave which may be 
privileged and confidential. The information is intended to be for the use of 
individual(s) or entity named above. If you are not the intended recipient, any 
disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this information is 
prohibited. If you have received this electronic message in error, please 
notify me by telephone or e-mail immediately.
-Original Message-
From: NANOG  On Behalf Of Mark 
Tinka
Sent: Monday, February 15, 2021 10:06 PM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts



On 2/16/21 04:14, Sean Donelan wrote:
>
> Poweroutage.us posted a terrific map, showing the jurisdictional
> borders of the Texas power outages versus the storm related power
> outages elsewhere in the country.
>
> https://twitter.com/PowerOutage_us/status/1361493394070118402
>
>
> Sometimes infrastructure planning failures are not due to "natural
> hazards."

I suppose having some kind of home backup solution wouldn't be too bad right 
now, even though you may still not get access to services. But at least, you 
can brew some coffee, and charge your pulse oximetre.

Mark.



Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-16 Thread Rod Beck
The problems with renewables is that you can't switch on or off and there is no 
good storage solution.

However, the issue in Texas is probably exposed power cables. In Europe they 
are buried and we have far milder weather than the States.

Anyone wants to provide some details on where the system has faltered? It is 
transmission? Or generation? Or just everything in general? 


From: NANOG  on behalf 
of Cory Sell via NANOG 
Sent: Tuesday, February 16, 2021 5:34 AM
To: Robert Jacobs ; Mark Tinka ; 
nanog@nanog.org 
Subject: RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

Ercot has already released actual documentation of the outputs. Wind is NOT the 
biggest loss here. Even if wind was operating at 100% capacity, we’d be in the 
same boat due to gas and fossil fuel-related generation being decimated. 
Estimated 4GW lost for wind doesn’t make up for the 30GW+ estimated being lost 
from fossil fuels.

I only interject because people are already pointing their fingers at 
renewables being the cause here and trying to pawn off the blame to wind/solar 
to further their agendas to reduce renewable energy R and adoption. Sure, 
wind isn’t perfect, but looks like solution relied on failed in a massive way.

Sent from ProtonMail Mobile


On Mon, Feb 15, 2021 at 10:17 PM, Robert Jacobs 
mailto:rjac...@pslightwave.com>> wrote:
How about letting us Texans have more natural gas power plants or even let the 
gas be delivered to the plants we have so they can provide more power in an 
emergency. Did not help that 20% of our power is now wind which of course in an 
ice storm like we are having is shut off... Lots of issues and plenty of 
politics involved here..

Robert Jacobs​
 |  Data Center Manager
[http://www.pslightwave.com/emailsig/plwlogo.jpg]<http://www.pslightwave.com/>
Direct: 832-615-7742
Mobile: 281-830-2092
Main:   832‑615‑8000
Fax:713-510-1650
5959 Corporate Dr. Suite 3300; Houston, TX 77036
[Facebook]<https://www.facebook.com/pslightwave/>
[LinkedIn]<https://www.linkedin.com/company/pslightwave>
[Twitter]<https://twitter.com/PSLightwave>
[http://www.pslightwave.com/emailsig/2020TopWorkplace.png]<http://www.pslightwave.com/>
 [http://www.pslightwave.com/emailsig/plw-wbenc.jpg] A Certified 
Woman‑Owned Business
24x7x365 Customer Support: 832-615-8000 | supp...@pslightwave.com

​This electronic message contains information from PS Lightwave which may be 
privileged and confidential. The information is intended to be for the use of 
individual(s) or entity named above. If you are not the intended recipient, any 
disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this information is 
prohibited. If you have received this electronic message in error, please 
notify me by telephone or e-mail immediately.
-Original Message-
From: NANOG  On Behalf Of Mark 
Tinka
Sent: Monday, February 15, 2021 10:06 PM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts



On 2/16/21 04:14, Sean Donelan wrote:
>
> Poweroutage.us posted a terrific map, showing the jurisdictional
> borders of the Texas power outages versus the storm related power
> outages elsewhere in the country.
>
> https://twitter.com/PowerOutage_us/status/1361493394070118402
>
>
> Sometimes infrastructure planning failures are not due to "natural
> hazards."

I suppose having some kind of home backup solution wouldn't be too bad right 
now, even though you may still not get access to services. But at least, you 
can brew some coffee, and charge your pulse oximetre.

Mark.





Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-16 Thread Rod Beck
Are the power lines buried like in Europe where I live?

I really think using poles is crazy and global warming guarantees enough 
atmospheric turbulence to make it untenable. Florida is moving to bury power 
lines.


From: NANOG  on behalf 
of Mikael Abrahamsson via NANOG 
Sent: Tuesday, February 16, 2021 9:06 AM
To: Sean Donelan 
Cc: nanog@nanog.org 
Subject: RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

On Mon, 15 Feb 2021, Sean Donelan wrote:

> Strange the massive shortages and failures are only in one state.
>
> The extreme cold weather extends northwards across many states, which aren't
> reporting rolling blackouts.

https://www.texastribune.org/2011/02/08/texplainer-why-does-texas-have-its-own-power-grid/

Going at it alone can be beneficial sometimes, sometimes it's not.

--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se


Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-16 Thread Jared Mauch
Almost exactly 4 years ago we were out up here in Michigan for over 120 hours 
after a wind storm took out power to 1 million homes. Large scale restoration 
takes time. When the load and supply are imbalanced it can make things worse as 
well. 

I'm hoping things return to normal soon but also am reminded it can take some 
time. 

We now have a large generator with automatic switchover after that event. 
Filling gas cans every 12 hours to feed the generator is no fun. 

Sent from my TI-99/4a

> On Feb 15, 2021, at 11:54 PM, Cory Sell via NANOG  wrote:
> 
>  Total population is a pretty big difference as you go north, as is how well 
> infrastructure is actually prepared for snow/ice and cold temperatures in 
> general.
> 
> I’ve been without power all day and have no doubt I’ll cross the 24-hour mark 
> here in a handful of hours.
> 
> Sent from ProtonMail Mobile
> 
> 
>> On Mon, Feb 15, 2021 at 10:42 PM, Sean Donelan  wrote:
>> 
>> 
>> On Tue, 16 Feb 2021, Cory Sell via NANOG wrote:
>> > adoption. Sure, wind isn’t perfect, but looks like solution relied on 
>> > failed
>> > in a massive way.
>> 
>> Strange the massive shortages and failures are only in one state.
>> 
>> The extreme cold weather extends northwards across many states, which
>> aren't reporting rolling blackouts.
> 
> 


RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-16 Thread Mikael Abrahamsson via NANOG

On Mon, 15 Feb 2021, Sean Donelan wrote:


Strange the massive shortages and failures are only in one state.

The extreme cold weather extends northwards across many states, which aren't 
reporting rolling blackouts.


https://www.texastribune.org/2011/02/08/texplainer-why-does-texas-have-its-own-power-grid/

Going at it alone can be beneficial sometimes, sometimes it's not.

--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se


Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Mark Tinka



On 2/16/21 07:49, Matthew Petach wrote:



Isn't that a result of ERCOT stubbornly refusing to interconnect with 
the rest of the national grid, out of an irrational fear of coming 
under federal regulation?


I suspect that trying to be self-sufficient works most of the 
time--but when you get to the edges of the bell curve locally, your 
ability to be resilient and survive depends heavily upon your ability 
to be supported by others around you.  This certainly holds true for 
individual humans; I suspect power grids aren't that different.


If there was a state-wide blackout, they'd need to restart from the 
national grid anyway. Why not have some standing interconnection 
agreement with them anyway, that gets activated in cases such as these?


Sorry, unfamiliar with U.S. politics in this regard, so just doing 1+1.

Mark.


Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Matthew Petach
On Mon, Feb 15, 2021 at 8:50 PM Sean Donelan  wrote:

>
>
> On Tue, 16 Feb 2021, Cory Sell via NANOG wrote:
> > adoption. Sure, wind isn’t perfect, but looks like solution relied on
> failed
> > in a massive way.
>
> Strange the massive shortages and failures are only in one state.
>
> The extreme cold weather extends northwards across many states, which
> aren't reporting rolling blackouts.
>

Isn't that a result of ERCOT stubbornly refusing to interconnect with the
rest of the national grid, out of an irrational fear of coming under
federal regulation?

I suspect that trying to be self-sufficient works most of the time--but
when you get to the edges of the bell curve locally, your ability to be
resilient and survive depends heavily upon your ability to be supported by
others around you.  This certainly holds true for individual humans; I
suspect power grids aren't that different.

Matt


Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Yang Yu
On Mon, Feb 15, 2021 at 10:49 PM Sean Donelan  wrote:
> Strange the massive shortages and failures are only in one state.

sounds familiar, even connected to a much bigger grid
http://www.caiso.com/Documents/Final-Root-Cause-Analysis-Mid-August-2020-Extreme-Heat-Wave.pdf


RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Cory Sell via NANOG
Total population is a pretty big difference as you go north, as is how well 
infrastructure is actually prepared for snow/ice and cold temperatures in 
general.

I’ve been without power all day and have no doubt I’ll cross the 24-hour mark 
here in a handful of hours.

Sent from ProtonMail Mobile

On Mon, Feb 15, 2021 at 10:42 PM, Sean Donelan  wrote:

> On Tue, 16 Feb 2021, Cory Sell via NANOG wrote:
>> adoption. Sure, wind isn’t perfect, but looks like solution relied on failed
>> in a massive way.
>
> Strange the massive shortages and failures are only in one state.
>
> The extreme cold weather extends northwards across many states, which
> aren't reporting rolling blackouts.

RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Sean Donelan




On Tue, 16 Feb 2021, Cory Sell via NANOG wrote:

adoption. Sure, wind isn’t perfect, but looks like solution relied on failed
in a massive way.


Strange the massive shortages and failures are only in one state.

The extreme cold weather extends northwards across many states, which 
aren't reporting rolling blackouts.


Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Sean Donelan



Electric prices on the Texas spot market are $9,000/MWh.  Normally they 
are less than $15/MWh. During the summer months, Texas spot market prices 
have gone to zero because it has excess summertime wind turbine capacity. 
I suspect those are computer generated artificial prices, because there 
is no excess capacity for sale.  Sorta like the fake Amazon maketplace 
prices on out-of-stock products.


Netblocks is now reporting Internet outages (about 70% availability) have 
expanded across northern Mexico due to Natural Gas shortages for power 
plants in Mexico because of the demand in Texas.




Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Mark Tinka




On 2/16/21 06:34, Cory Sell wrote:

Ercot has already released actual documentation of the outputs. Wind 
is NOT the biggest loss here. Even if wind was operating at 100% 
capacity, we’d be in the same boat due to gas and fossil fuel-related 
generation being decimated. Estimated 4GW lost for wind doesn’t make 
up for the 30GW+ estimated being lost from fossil fuels.


I only interject because people are already pointing their fingers at 
renewables being the cause here and trying to pawn off the blame to 
wind/solar to further their agendas to reduce renewable energy R and 
adoption. Sure, wind isn’t perfect, but looks like solution relied on 
failed in a massive way.


That much generation loss from a wind farm would surprise me.

Mark.


Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Mark Tinka




On 2/16/21 06:17, Robert Jacobs wrote:

How about letting us Texans have more natural gas power plants or even 
let the gas be delivered to the plants we have so they can provide 
more power in an emergency. Did not help that 20% of our power is now 
wind which of course in an ice storm like we are having is shut off... 
Lots of issues and plenty of politics involved here..


Did I see somewhere that gas lines also got frozen, or was that just the 
windmills?


I feel for you and the rest of Texas. Cold weather has never been my thing.

Mark.


RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Cory Sell via NANOG
Ercot has already released actual documentation of the outputs. Wind is NOT the 
biggest loss here. Even if wind was operating at 100% capacity, we’d be in the 
same boat due to gas and fossil fuel-related generation being decimated. 
Estimated 4GW lost for wind doesn’t make up for the 30GW+ estimated being lost 
from fossil fuels.

I only interject because people are already pointing their fingers at 
renewables being the cause here and trying to pawn off the blame to wind/solar 
to further their agendas to reduce renewable energy R and adoption. Sure, 
wind isn’t perfect, but looks like solution relied on failed in a massive way.

Sent from ProtonMail Mobile

On Mon, Feb 15, 2021 at 10:17 PM, Robert Jacobs  wrote:

> How about letting us Texans have more natural gas power plants or even let 
> the gas be delivered to the plants we have so they can provide more power in 
> an emergency. Did not help that 20% of our power is now wind which of course 
> in an ice storm like we are having is shut off... Lots of issues and plenty 
> of politics involved here..
>
> Robert Jacobs​
> | Data Center Manager
>
> http://www.pslightwave.com/
>
> Direct:   [832-615-7742](tel:832-615-7742)
> Mobile:   [281-830-2092](tel:281-830-2092)
> Main: 832‑615‑8000
> Fax:  713-510-1650
>
> 5959 Corporate Dr. Suite 3300; Houston, TX 77036
>
> [Facebook](https://www.facebook.com/pslightwave/)
> [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/company/pslightwave)
> [Twitter](https://twitter.com/PSLightwave)
>
> http://www.pslightwave.com/   A Certified Woman‑Owned Business
> 24x7x365 Customer Support: 832-615-8000 | supp...@pslightwave.com
>
> ​This electronic message contains information from PS Lightwave which may be 
> privileged and confidential. The information is intended to be for the use of 
> individual(s) or entity named above. If you are not the intended recipient, 
> any disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this 
> information is prohibited. If you have received this electronic message in 
> error, please notify me by telephone or e-mail immediately.
>
> -Original Message-
> From: NANOG  On Behalf Of 
> Mark Tinka
> Sent: Monday, February 15, 2021 10:06 PM
> To: nanog@nanog.org
> Subject: Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts
>
> On 2/16/21 04:14, Sean Donelan wrote:
>>
>> Poweroutage.us posted a terrific map, showing the jurisdictional
>> borders of the Texas power outages versus the storm related power
>> outages elsewhere in the country.
>>
>> https://twitter.com/PowerOutage_us/status/1361493394070118402
>>
>>
>> Sometimes infrastructure planning failures are not due to "natural
>> hazards."
>
> I suppose having some kind of home backup solution wouldn't be too bad right 
> now, even though you may still not get access to services. But at least, you 
> can brew some coffee, and charge your pulse oximetre.
>
> Mark.

RE: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Robert Jacobs
How about letting us Texans have more natural gas power plants or even let the 
gas be delivered to the plants we have so they can provide more power in an 
emergency.  Did not help that 20% of our power is now wind which of course in 
an ice storm like we are having is shut off... Lots of issues and plenty of 
politics involved here..


Robert Jacobs
 | Data Center Manager
Direct: 832-615-7742
Mobile: 281-830-2092
Main: 832-615-8000
Fax: 713-510-1650
5959 Corporate Dr. Suite 3300; Houston, TX 77036
A Certified Woman-Owned Business
24x7x365 Customer Support: 832-615-8000 | supp...@pslightwave.com

​This electronic message contains information from PS Lightwave which may be 
privileged and confidential. The information is intended to be for the use of 
individual(s) or entity named above. If you are not the intended recipient, any 
disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this information is 
prohibited. If you have received this electronic message in error, please 
notify me by telephone or e-mail immediately.
-Original Message-
From: NANOG  On Behalf Of Mark 
Tinka
Sent: Monday, February 15, 2021 10:06 PM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts



On 2/16/21 04:14, Sean Donelan wrote:
>
> Poweroutage.us posted a terrific map, showing the jurisdictional
> borders of the Texas power outages versus the storm related power
> outages elsewhere in the country.
>
> https://twitter.com/PowerOutage_us/status/1361493394070118402
>
>
> Sometimes infrastructure planning failures are not due to "natural
> hazards."

I suppose having some kind of home backup solution wouldn't be too bad right 
now, even though you may still not get access to services. But at least, you 
can brew some coffee, and charge your pulse oximetre.

Mark.



Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Mark Tinka




On 2/16/21 04:14, Sean Donelan wrote:


Poweroutage.us posted a terrific map, showing the jurisdictional 
borders of the Texas power outages versus the storm related power 
outages elsewhere in the country.


https://twitter.com/PowerOutage_us/status/1361493394070118402


Sometimes infrastructure planning failures are not due to "natural 
hazards."


I suppose having some kind of home backup solution wouldn't be too bad 
right now, even though you may still not get access to services. But at 
least, you can brew some coffee, and charge your pulse oximetre.


Mark.



Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Sean Donelan



Poweroutage.us posted a terrific map, showing the jurisdictional borders 
of the Texas power outages versus the storm related power outages 
elsewhere in the country.


https://twitter.com/PowerOutage_us/status/1361493394070118402


Sometimes infrastructure planning failures are not due to "natural 
hazards."




Re: Texas internet connectivity declining due to blackouts

2021-02-15 Thread Eric Kuhnke
See also, regional maps here. Thanks to CAIDA and the IODA project.

https://ioda.caida.org/ioda/dashboard

On Mon, Feb 15, 2021, 5:54 PM Sean Donelan  wrote:

> Not as bad as Myanmar (14%), Internet connectivity in Texas has been
> declining today.  According to NetBlocks, which normally monitors
> government imposed outages, reports network connectivity at 68% in Texas.
>
> https://netblocks.org/
>
> Texas operates a separate electric grid, with limited interconnections
> to the rest of North America.  For political reasons
>
> For those with long memories, ENRON a Texas based corporation, once upon a
> time drove rolling blackouts across California in order to make billions.
>


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