[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-10 Terurut Topik tirta858
RSI positive divergence, Crispy it is.



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 If DJIA friday low doesn't go lower than thrusday low then it's buy signal. 
 Let's hope the support hold.
 
 
 http://img404.imageshack.us/img404/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  To break or not to break
  
  http://img147.imageshack.us/img147/5749/djia.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   Let's hope the support holds.
   
   
   http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/5749/djia.gif
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
   
DJIA almost crispy wait a little until macd and rsi show positive
divergence then its ready to serve.


http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/5749/djia.gif





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:

 DJIA another view:
 
 http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
   a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to
get us 
   prepared.
   
   
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
   wrote:
   
Resistance resistance

DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB

http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:

 Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan
bisa 
naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
   bottom 
ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
 
 Disclaimer,
 Regards,
 
 Teguh Riswono
 Sent from my BlackBerry®
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
 
 Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
 
 Artinya masih bahaya pak?
 
  
 
 Best regards,
 
  
 
  
 
 Budi Raharjo
 
 www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
  
 
 Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif

   
  
 

   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-10 Terurut Topik tirta858
Chart for tuesday

http://img158.imageshack.us/img158/8136/djiad.gif





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 RSI positive divergence, Crispy it is.
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  If DJIA friday low doesn't go lower than thrusday low then it's buy signal. 
  Let's hope the support hold.
  
  
  http://img404.imageshack.us/img404/5749/djia.gif
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   To break or not to break
   
   http://img147.imageshack.us/img147/5749/djia.gif
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
   
Let's hope the support holds.


http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/5749/djia.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:

 DJIA almost crispy wait a little until macd and rsi show positive
 divergence then its ready to serve.
 
 
 http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  DJIA another view:
  
  http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
   wrote:
   
Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and 
its 
a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to
 get us 
prepared.


http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
wrote:

 Resistance resistance
 
 DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
 
  Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan
 bisa 
 naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun 
 ke 
bottom 
 ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
  
  Disclaimer,
  Regards,
  
  Teguh Riswono
  Sent from my BlackBerry®
  powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
  
  -Original Message-
  From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
  
  Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
  
  Artinya masih bahaya pak?
  
   
  
  Best regards,
  
   
  
   
  
  Budi Raharjo
  
  www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of tirta858
  Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
   
  
  Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
 

   
  
 

   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] You must be Mad to buy Citigroup stock. Re: peraturan delisting NYSE mengenai

2009-03-09 Terurut Topik tirta858
Did a simple DCF when you take WFC ttm FCF, assuming k = 11% , 1-5 years g = 
8%, 6-10 years g = 7%, Terminal g = 3%, you come out with IV= $12.74, discount 
it 40% for margin of safety, you will have = $7.64 vs $ 7.80(52wk low) :P

Did a simple TP using ttm P/E estimate, you come out with $35 :)









--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, cendrawira cendraw...@... wrote:

 Baiklah, saya akan lebih detil menjelaskan tentang pendapat saya ttg pilihan 
 saya. 
 pertama saya sangat menganjurkan saudara2 untuk membaca ini:
 
 http://iamthewitness.com/books/Andrew.Carrington.Hitchcock/The.History.of.the.Money.Changers.htm
 
 it is a very very good and long read, saya sangat menikmati setiap detik dari 
 artikel tersebut, saya berani jamin saudara2 yang blum membaca artikel itu 
 akan membuka pikiran anda. Baca dan cerna dengan hikmah. 
 
 saya akan memulai dengan introduction,
 Kalau kita belajar dari sejarah, United States as much as I hate to admit it, 
 it is a country fills with great spirit. Amerika sejak independent sudah 
 mengalami badai dan krisis yang menempa Amerika menjadi United States of 
 America today, the Global financial and military superpower.
 
 anda bisa melihat krisis2 sekilas dari sini 
 http://www.cnbc.com/id/28993790/
 
 apa yang didapatin saya, despite of what most people said the crisis today is 
 different, I beg to differ bahwa ini hanyalah salah satu crisis2 yang akan 
 berlalu dan membuat Amerika lebih cemerlang. Buat yang awam, sebenarnya 
 crisis itu hanyalah manipulasi2 dan di-engineered oleh segelintir2 group2 
 elite yg dikenal sebagai ILLUMINATI atau orang2 yang hendak mendorong agenda 
 GLOBAL WORLD ORDER. anyway enough of that la, bagi yang tidak mau melihat 
 gambaran besar dari cara dunia ini bekerja gpp, let's get back to fundamental.
 intinya, US economy will be the first to recoup. The question is, do you want 
 to ride with it? stupid question yes? kita harus berpikir satu langkah ke 
 depan yes? the real question is, HOW DO I TAKE ADVANTAGE OF AMERICAN ECONOMIC 
 RECOVERY?? kita harus berpikir satu langkah ke depan yes?  
 
 i will spare all the financial calculation, tapi saya akan bagi pikiran saja 
 skenarionya. pada waktu US economy recover, sektor mana yang paling cepat 
 recover along with it. Saudara2 tau, bisnis itu bagai perang, perang 
 memerlukan resources, seperti bisnis memerlukan cash, credit untuk expansion 
 dll. Sekarang saya nanya saudara, sektor mana yang paling banyak koneksi dan 
 power untuk menghimpun duit dari masyarakat paling cepet? correct, BANKS 
 HOLDING. Most people will go with commodities and energy sector, that is 
 correct too, ga ada yang salah. saya juga mikir dengan recovery ekonomi 
 amerika, inflasi akan sangat tinggi sehingga lbh bonafit menyimpan bahan2 
 darpada uang kertas. tapi yang most people didn't realise, harga2 energy, 
 commodities itu sebenarnya sangat suka dimanipulasi. honestly speaking, yang 
 'menjatuhkan' harga minyak sekarang juga siapa? dan siapa yg punya duit, 
 power, bargain power untuk menjatuhkan harga tsb suka2? kita mikir paling 
 gampang saja, amerika sebagai negara kapitalis akan tetap membutuhkan BANK. 
 kenapa saya memilih Bank karena sekarang sektor2 finansial yang sudah sengaja 
 di attack dan di short oleh bandar2 pasar sehingga valuasi mrk paling murah 
 dan lbh bisa disesuaikan. saya jujur masih tidak berani memvaluasi sektor2 
 energi seperti minyak karena itu bidang yg tidak kelihatan, kita tidak tahu 
 percis berapa banyak sisa cadangan mrk dan resiko di nasionalisasi pemerintah 
 daerah tsb. 
 
 saya tertantang untuk membawa topik ini karena saya tidak mau saudara2 
 tergiur ttg saham citigroup yang menyesatkan. saya juga tidak berani melarang 
 saudara2 yang tertarik untuk membeli citigroup, tapi memangnya bank2 di 
 amerika hanya ada citigroup? Saya adalah seorang investor, saya membeli 
 perusahaan yang saya suka dan bangga kalau saya memiliki perusahaan yang 
 sebagai captain of the industry, berkualitas apalagi ketika saya mendapatkan 
 harganya paling murah dalam 20 tahun lagi. betul sekali2 bapak2, Bank yang 
 saya bet dengan 1/2 harta saya ada WELLS FARGO.
 http://www.cnbc.com/id/29511488?slide=12
 
 saya dan kolega2 saya sependapat kalau bidang yg paling bagus dijalankan di 
 amerika sekarang ada bisnis perbankan. Bank2 yang baru dan bersih di buku mrk 
 akan make a killing di jaman krisis ini skrng karena mrk mempunyai bargaining 
 power yg kuat terhadap nasabah2 amerika. Mrk bisa memanfaatkan FED rate 
 0-0.25% dan menyalurkan kredit dengan rate 4%-5%. Bayangkan saja berapa 
 banyak untungnya NET INTEREST MARGINNYA! duh saya mikir, betapa enakya kalau 
 saya bisa bisa dan mampu membuka bank di amerika juga skrng. loh?? WHY NOT? 
 setelah saya membaca dan riset ttg bidang perbankan di amerika, saya seperti 
 mendapat EUREKA ! DOH??? tidak perlu effort yg banyak untuk riset2 di 
 www.sec.gov dan email2/telpon2 ke investor relations US banks. wong hanya 
 duit interlokal. 

[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-05 Terurut Topik tirta858
To break or not to break

http://img147.imageshack.us/img147/5749/djia.gif







--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 Let's hope the support holds.
 
 
 http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  DJIA almost crispy wait a little until macd and rsi show positive
  divergence then its ready to serve.
  
  
  http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/5749/djia.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   DJIA another view:
   
   http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
   
Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:

 Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
 a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to
  get us 
 prepared.
 
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Resistance resistance
  
  DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
  
   Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan
  bisa 
  naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
 bottom 
  ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
   
   Disclaimer,
   Regards,
   
   Teguh Riswono
   Sent from my BlackBerry®
   powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
   
   -Original Message-
   From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
   
   Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
   
   
   Artinya masih bahaya pak?
   

   
   Best regards,
   

   

   
   Budi Raharjo
   
   www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
   

   

   

   
   From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
  ban...@yahoogroups.com]
   On Behalf Of tirta858
   Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
   

   
   Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
   
   http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
  
 

   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-05 Terurut Topik tirta858
IF DJIA friday nite low doesn't go lower than thrusday low, than DJIA iis 
pretty much crispy and ready to serve. Let's hope the support holds.

http://img404.imageshack.us/img404/5749/djia.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 To break or not to break
 
 http://img147.imageshack.us/img147/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Let's hope the support holds.
  
  
  http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/5749/djia.gif
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   DJIA almost crispy wait a little until macd and rsi show positive
   divergence then its ready to serve.
   
   
   http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/5749/djia.gif
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
   
DJIA another view:

http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:

 Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
  a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to
   get us 
  prepared.
  
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Resistance resistance
   
   DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
   
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
   
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
   
Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan
   bisa 
   naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
  bottom 
   ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.

Disclaimer,
Regards,

Teguh Riswono
Sent from my BlackBerry®
powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT

-Original Message-
From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@

Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today


Artinya masih bahaya pak?

 

Best regards,

 

 

Budi Raharjo

www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com

 

 

 

From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
   ban...@yahoogroups.com]
On Behalf Of tirta858
Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today

 

Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.

http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
   
  
 

   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-05 Terurut Topik tirta858
If DJIA friday low doesn't go lower than thrusday low then it's buy signal. 
Let's hope the support hold.


http://img404.imageshack.us/img404/5749/djia.gif



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 To break or not to break
 
 http://img147.imageshack.us/img147/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Let's hope the support holds.
  
  
  http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/5749/djia.gif
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   DJIA almost crispy wait a little until macd and rsi show positive
   divergence then its ready to serve.
   
   
   http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/5749/djia.gif
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
   
DJIA another view:

http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:

 Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
  a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to
   get us 
  prepared.
  
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Resistance resistance
   
   DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
   
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
   
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
   
Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan
   bisa 
   naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
  bottom 
   ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.

Disclaimer,
Regards,

Teguh Riswono
Sent from my BlackBerry®
powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT

-Original Message-
From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@

Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today


Artinya masih bahaya pak?

 

Best regards,

 

 

Budi Raharjo

www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com

 

 

 

From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
   ban...@yahoogroups.com]
On Behalf Of tirta858
Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today

 

Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.

http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
   
  
 

   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-04 Terurut Topik tirta858
Let's hope the support holds.


http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/5749/djia.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 DJIA almost crispy wait a little until macd and rsi show positive
 divergence then its ready to serve.
 
 
 http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  DJIA another view:
  
  http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
   
Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to
 get us 
prepared.


http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
wrote:

 Resistance resistance
 
 DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
 
  Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan
 bisa 
 naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
bottom 
 ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
  
  Disclaimer,
  Regards,
  
  Teguh Riswono
  Sent from my BlackBerry®
  powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
  
  -Original Message-
  From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
  
  Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
  
  Artinya masih bahaya pak?
  
   
  
  Best regards,
  
   
  
   
  
  Budi Raharjo
  
  www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of tirta858
  Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
   
  
  Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
 

   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
 a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to get us 
 prepared.
 
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Resistance resistance
  
  DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
  
   Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan bisa 
  naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
 bottom 
  ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
   
   Disclaimer,
   Regards,
   
   Teguh Riswono
   Sent from my BlackBerry®
   powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
   
   -Original Message-
   From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
   
   Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
   
   
   Artinya masih bahaya pak?
   

   
   Best regards,
   

   

   
   Budi Raharjo
   
   www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
   

   

   

   
   From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
  ban...@yahoogroups.com]
   On Behalf Of tirta858
   Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
   

   
   Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
   
   http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA another view:

http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
  a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to get us 
  prepared.
  
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Resistance resistance
   
   DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
   
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
   
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
   
Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan bisa 
   naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
  bottom 
   ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.

Disclaimer,
Regards,

Teguh Riswono
Sent from my BlackBerry®
powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT

-Original Message-
From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@

Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today


Artinya masih bahaya pak?

 

Best regards,

 

 

Budi Raharjo

www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com

 

 

 

From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
   ban...@yahoogroups.com]
On Behalf Of tirta858
Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today

 

Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.

http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA almost crispy wait a little until macd and rsi show positive
divergence then its ready to serve.


http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/5749/djia.gif





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 DJIA another view:
 
 http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Be prepared for bear case scenario guys.
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
  
   Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
   a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to
get us 
   prepared.
   
   
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
   wrote:
   
Resistance resistance

DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB

http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:

 Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan
bisa 
naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
   bottom 
ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
 
 Disclaimer,
 Regards,
 
 Teguh Riswono
 Sent from my BlackBerry®
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
 
 Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
 
 Artinya masih bahaya pak?
 
  
 
 Best regards,
 
  
 
  
 
 Budi Raharjo
 
 www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
  
 
 Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif

   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-03-01 Terurut Topik tirta858
Volume rising even stronger, break or bounce.

http://img141.imageshack.us/img141/5749/djia.gif






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Still heading lower!
 
 http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, yuliawati_tan05@ wrote:
 
  Pak JT,
  Support dow di 7200 ? If itu jebol bisa benjol2 ya pak? 
  
  Yulia
  Sent from my BlackBerry®
  powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
  
  -Original Message-
  From: JT jsxtrader@
  
  Date: Sat, 21 Feb 2009 00:31:46 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today
  
  
  At 00.28, Saya liat volume expand dengan cepat, biasanya jam 
segini 
 masih
  kecil.., mudah-mudahan volume blow off dan candle membentuk 
 hammer.., the
  party will begin 30 minutes before closing bell..
  
   
  
  JT
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  -Original Message-
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of tirta858
  Sent: 21 Februari 2009 0:16
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today
  
   
  
  Still heading lower. Multiple support failure. No sign of 
positive 
  
  divergence from MACD and RSI, BUT the 10 years chart showing a 
 little 
  
  different. Supports are at even number. Watch out around 3:00 pm 
 EST 
  
  that's when the action start.
  
   
  
   
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/8339/djiacr8.gif
  
   
  
  Bear case scenario :
  
   
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  
  wrote:
  
   
  
   DJIA Thrusday closing
  
   
  
   http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/7795/djia3jz5.gif
  
   
  
   Probable breaking of the rectangle.
  
   
  
   
  

  
   
  
   
  
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  
   wrote:
  
   
  
Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and 
 its 
  
a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to 
 get 
  
   us 
  
prepared.
  

  

  
http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  

  

  

  

  
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  
wrote:
  

  
 Resistance resistance
  
 
  
 DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
  
 
  
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
  
 
  
  Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini 
 kemungkinan 
  
   bisa 
  
 naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun 
 ke 
  
bottom 
  
 ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
  
  
  
  Disclaimer,
  
  Regards,
  
  
  
  Teguh Riswono
  
  Sent from my BlackBerryR
  
  powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
  
  
  
  -Original Message-
  
  From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
  
  
  
  Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
  
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  
  Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
  
  
  
  
  Artinya masih bahaya pak?
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  Best regards,
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  Budi Raharjo
  
  
  
  www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
  
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  
  On Behalf Of tirta858
  
  Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
  
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
  
  
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
  
 
  

  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  + +
  
  + + + + +
  
  Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
  
  kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
  
  + + + + +
  
  + +Yahoo! Groups Links
  
   
  
  http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/
  
   
  
  Individual Email | Traditional
  
   
  
  http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/join
  
  (Yahoo! ID required)
  
   
  
  mailto:obrolan-bandar-dig...@yahoogroups.com 
  
  mailto:obrolan-bandar-fullfeatu...@yahoogroups.com
  
   
  
  obrolan-bandar-unsubscr...@yahoogroups.com
  
   
  
  http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
  
   
  
  No virus found in this incoming message.
  
  Checked by AVG - www.avg.com 
  
  Version: 8.0.237 / Virus Database: 270.11.0/1959 - Release Date: 
 02/19/09
  18:45:00
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: NOW IDX 1298. Next??

2009-03-01 Terurut Topik tirta858
JSX 1266 reach, next level 1240???




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 JSX 1266 sounds good to me :P
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JT jsxtrader@ wrote:
 
  Good., ntar kalau lari baru sibuk cari entry level hehehe  
  
   
  
  JT
  
   
  
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of Kevin Hogan
  Sent: 20 Februari 2009 15:37
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] NOW IDX 1298. Next??
  
   
  
  JUAL...JUALLL..KABUR
  
  2009/2/20 Iwan Heryanto iwan.ob@
  
  As per 15:31 malah udah 1296
  *cemas*
  
  Iwan
  
  Thomas Frederick wrote:
  
  
  
   *Thank You! *
   ** 
   *ThomaS FredericK*
  
  
   
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  No virus found in this incoming message.
  Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
  Version: 8.0.237 / Virus Database: 270.11.0/1959 - Release Date: 
 02/19/09
  18:45:00
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-24 Terurut Topik tirta858
Volume rising near the bottom. Could have temporary rally with 
resistance around 7500


http://img242.imageshack.us/img242/5749/djia.gif







--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Still heading lower!
 
 http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/5749/djia.gif
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, yuliawati_tan05@ wrote:
 
  Pak JT,
  Support dow di 7200 ? If itu jebol bisa benjol2 ya pak? 
  
  Yulia
  Sent from my BlackBerry®
  powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
  
  -Original Message-
  From: JT jsxtrader@
  
  Date: Sat, 21 Feb 2009 00:31:46 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today
  
  
  At 00.28, Saya liat volume expand dengan cepat, biasanya jam 
segini 
 masih
  kecil.., mudah-mudahan volume blow off dan candle membentuk 
 hammer.., the
  party will begin 30 minutes before closing bell..
  
   
  
  JT
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  -Original Message-
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of tirta858
  Sent: 21 Februari 2009 0:16
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today
  
   
  
  Still heading lower. Multiple support failure. No sign of 
positive 
  
  divergence from MACD and RSI, BUT the 10 years chart showing a 
 little 
  
  different. Supports are at even number. Watch out around 3:00 pm 
 EST 
  
  that's when the action start.
  
   
  
   
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/8339/djiacr8.gif
  
   
  
  Bear case scenario :
  
   
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  
  wrote:
  
   
  
   DJIA Thrusday closing
  
   
  
   http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/7795/djia3jz5.gif
  
   
  
   Probable breaking of the rectangle.
  
   
  
   
  

  
   
  
   
  
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  
   wrote:
  
   
  
Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and 
 its 
  
a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to 
 get 
  
   us 
  
prepared.
  

  

  
http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  

  

  

  

  
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  
wrote:
  

  
 Resistance resistance
  
 
  
 DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
  
 
  
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
  
 
  
  Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini 
 kemungkinan 
  
   bisa 
  
 naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun 
 ke 
  
bottom 
  
 ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
  
  
  
  Disclaimer,
  
  Regards,
  
  
  
  Teguh Riswono
  
  Sent from my BlackBerryR
  
  powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
  
  
  
  -Original Message-
  
  From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
  
  
  
  Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
  
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  
  Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
  
  
  
  
  Artinya masih bahaya pak?
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  Best regards,
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  Budi Raharjo
  
  
  
  www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
  
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  
  On Behalf Of tirta858
  
  Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
  
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
  
  
   
  
  
  
  Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
  
  
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
  
 
  

  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  
  
   
  
  + +
  
  + + + + +
  
  Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
  
  kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
  
  + + + + +
  
  + +Yahoo! Groups Links
  
   
  
  http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/
  
   
  
  Individual Email | Traditional
  
   
  
  http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/join
  
  (Yahoo! ID required)
  
   
  
  mailto:obrolan-bandar-dig...@yahoogroups.com 
  
  mailto:obrolan-bandar-fullfeatu...@yahoogroups.com
  
   
  
  obrolan-bandar-unsubscr...@yahoogroups.com
  
   
  
  http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
  
   
  
  No virus found in this incoming message.
  
  Checked by AVG - www.avg.com 
  
  Version: 8.0.237 / Virus Database: 270.11.0/1959 - Release Date: 
 02/19/09
  18:45:00
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-23 Terurut Topik tirta858
Still heading lower!

http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/5749/djia.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, yuliawati_ta...@... wrote:

 Pak JT,
 Support dow di 7200 ? If itu jebol bisa benjol2 ya pak? 
 
 Yulia
 Sent from my BlackBerry®
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
 
 -Original Message-
 From: JT jsxtra...@...
 
 Date: Sat, 21 Feb 2009 00:31:46 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today
 
 
 At 00.28, Saya liat volume expand dengan cepat, biasanya jam segini 
masih
 kecil.., mudah-mudahan volume blow off dan candle membentuk 
hammer.., the
 party will begin 30 minutes before closing bell..
 
  
 
 JT
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 -Original Message-
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 Sent: 21 Februari 2009 0:16
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today
 
  
 
 Still heading lower. Multiple support failure. No sign of positive 
 
 divergence from MACD and RSI, BUT the 10 years chart showing a 
little 
 
 different. Supports are at even number. Watch out around 3:00 pm 
EST 
 
 that's when the action start.
 
  
 
  
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/8339/djiacr8.gif
 
  
 
 Bear case scenario :
 
  
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 
 wrote:
 
  
 
  DJIA Thrusday closing
 
  
 
  http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/7795/djia3jz5.gif
 
  
 
  Probable breaking of the rectangle.
 
  
 
  
 
   
 
  
 
  
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 
  wrote:
 
  
 
   Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and 
its 
 
   a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to 
get 
 
  us 
 
   prepared.
 
   
 
   
 
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
 
   
 
   
 
   
 
   
 
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 
   wrote:
 
   
 
Resistance resistance
 

 
DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
 

 
http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
 

 

 

 

 

 

 
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
 

 
 Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini 
kemungkinan 
 
  bisa 
 
naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun 
ke 
 
   bottom 
 
ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
 
 
 
 Disclaimer,
 
 Regards,
 
 
 
 Teguh Riswono
 
 Sent from my BlackBerryR
 
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
 
 
 
 -Original Message-
 
 From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
 
 
 
 Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 
 Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
 
 
 
 
 Artinya masih bahaya pak?
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 Best regards,
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 Budi Raharjo
 
 
 
 www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 
 Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
 
 
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
 

 
   
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 + +
 
 + + + + +
 
 Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
 
 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
 
 + + + + +
 
 + +Yahoo! Groups Links
 
  
 
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/
 
  
 
 Individual Email | Traditional
 
  
 
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/join
 
 (Yahoo! ID required)
 
  
 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar-dig...@yahoogroups.com 
 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar-fullfeatu...@yahoogroups.com
 
  
 
 obrolan-bandar-unsubscr...@yahoogroups.com
 
  
 
 http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
 
  
 
 No virus found in this incoming message.
 
 Checked by AVG - www.avg.com 
 
 Version: 8.0.237 / Virus Database: 270.11.0/1959 - Release Date: 
02/19/09
 18:45:00





[obrolan-bandar] Re: NOW IDX 1298. Next??

2009-02-20 Terurut Topik tirta858
JSX 1266 sounds good to me :P




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JT jsxtra...@... wrote:

 Good., ntar kalau lari baru sibuk cari entry level hehehe  
 
  
 
 JT
 
  
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of Kevin Hogan
 Sent: 20 Februari 2009 15:37
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] NOW IDX 1298. Next??
 
  
 
 JUAL...JUALLL..KABUR
 
 2009/2/20 Iwan Heryanto iwan...@...
 
 As per 15:31 malah udah 1296
 *cemas*
 
 Iwan
 
 Thomas Frederick wrote:
 
 
 
  *Thank You! *
  ** 
  *ThomaS FredericK*
 
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 No virus found in this incoming message.
 Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
 Version: 8.0.237 / Virus Database: 270.11.0/1959 - Release Date: 
02/19/09
 18:45:00





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-20 Terurut Topik tirta858
Still heading lower. Multiple support failure. No sign of positive 
divergence from MACD and RSI, BUT the 10 years chart showing a little 
different. Supports are at even number. Watch out around 3:00 pm EST 
that's when the action start.


http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/8339/djiacr8.gif

Bear case scenario :

http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 DJIA Thrusday closing
 
 http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/7795/djia3jz5.gif
 
 Probable breaking of the rectangle.
 
 
  
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
  a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to get 
 us 
  prepared.
  
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Resistance resistance
   
   DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
   
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
   
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
   
Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan 
 bisa 
   naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
  bottom 
   ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.

Disclaimer,
Regards,

Teguh Riswono
Sent from my BlackBerry®
powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT

-Original Message-
From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@

Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today


Artinya masih bahaya pak?

 

Best regards,

 

 

Budi Raharjo

www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com

 

 

 

From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
   ban...@yahoogroups.com]
On Behalf Of tirta858
Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today

 

Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.

http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: CItigroup

2009-02-20 Terurut Topik tirta858
Pemerintah suntik dana, jadi BUMN, tapi bukan berarti sahamnya gak bisa 
naek lagi, bisa aja naek lagi tapi butuh waktu, tunggu sampe duit yang 
diturunin pemerintah balik dan start making a profit ada kemungkinan 
sahamnya naek cuma gak dalam waktu dekat soalnya Bank bank rusak berat 
di CDO, cuma Citi belom realiaze lostnya jadi masi di tahan posisinya 
dan kita tau kalau economic recover dalam 2 taon, posisinya bisa jadi 
duit lagi plus segala cost cutting etc sedang dalam proses(cut dividen, 
pecat org dll). Nasionalisasi harusnya dilakukan kalau sudah dilakukan 
orang gak terlalu takut lagi terhadap financial service dan ini akan 
remove the hang over. Check aja saham saham GE, MSFT dll turunnya mayan 
cuma gak parah parah koq yang parah financial aja.




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Vaulstrad vaulst...@... 
wrote:

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Vaulstrad vaulstrad@ wrote:
 
  Gila yah.. Citigroup tinggal 2 dollar.. emang bener katanya bisa di
  bawah 1 dollar
 
 
 
 apa yah efek dari nasionalisasi?? ga bisa jual saham nya lagi?





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-20 Terurut Topik tirta858
Problemnya DJIA susah bangkit kalo gak ada super capitulation, DJIA 
terjengkang dengan super volume biasanya 2 hari best kalo hari 
keduanya lownya roughly equal to low hari ke 1, orang orang nungguin 
itu last november cuma gak kejadian. Kalo kejadian hari ini dan besok 
sih asik juga, bisa relieve DJIA hang over :P





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JT jsxtra...@... wrote:

 At 00.28, Saya liat volume expand dengan cepat, biasanya jam segini 
masih
 kecil.., mudah-mudahan volume blow off dan candle membentuk 
hammer.., the
 party will begin 30 minutes before closing bell..
 
  
 
 JT
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 -Original Message-
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 Sent: 21 Februari 2009 0:16
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today
 
  
 
 Still heading lower. Multiple support failure. No sign of positive 
 
 divergence from MACD and RSI, BUT the 10 years chart showing a 
little 
 
 different. Supports are at even number. Watch out around 3:00 pm 
EST 
 
 that's when the action start.
 
  
 
  
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/8339/djiacr8.gif
 
  
 
 Bear case scenario :
 
  
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 
 wrote:
 
  
 
  DJIA Thrusday closing
 
  
 
  http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/7795/djia3jz5.gif
 
  
 
  Probable breaking of the rectangle.
 
  
 
  
 
   
 
  
 
  
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 
  wrote:
 
  
 
   Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and 
its 
 
   a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to 
get 
 
  us 
 
   prepared.
 
   
 
   
 
   http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
 
   
 
   
 
   
 
   
 
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 
   wrote:
 
   
 
Resistance resistance
 

 
DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
 

 
http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
 

 

 

 

 

 

 
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
 

 
 Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini 
kemungkinan 
 
  bisa 
 
naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun 
ke 
 
   bottom 
 
ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
 
 
 
 Disclaimer,
 
 Regards,
 
 
 
 Teguh Riswono
 
 Sent from my BlackBerryR
 
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
 
 
 
 -Original Message-
 
 From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
 
 
 
 Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 
 Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
 
 
 
 
 Artinya masih bahaya pak?
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 Best regards,
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 Budi Raharjo
 
 
 
 www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 
 Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
 
 
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
 

 
   
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 + +
 
 + + + + +
 
 Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
 
 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
 
 + + + + +
 
 + +Yahoo! Groups Links
 
  
 
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/
 
  
 
 Individual Email | Traditional
 
  
 
 http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/join
 
 (Yahoo! ID required)
 
  
 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar-dig...@yahoogroups.com 
 
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 No virus found in this incoming message.
 
 Checked by AVG - www.avg.com 
 
 Version: 8.0.237 / Virus Database: 270.11.0/1959 - Release Date: 
02/19/09
 18:45:00





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-19 Terurut Topik tirta858
Resistance resistance

DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB

http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_...@... wrote:

 Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan bisa 
naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke bottom 
ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
 
 Disclaimer,
 Regards,
 
 Teguh Riswono
 Sent from my BlackBerry®
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Budi Raharjo budi_w...@...
 
 Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
 
 Artinya masih bahaya pak?
 
  
 
 Best regards,
 
  
 
  
 
 Budi Raharjo
 
 www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
  
 
 Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-19 Terurut Topik tirta858
Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to get us 
prepared.


http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Resistance resistance
 
 DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
 
  Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan bisa 
 naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
bottom 
 ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
  
  Disclaimer,
  Regards,
  
  Teguh Riswono
  Sent from my BlackBerry®
  powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
  
  -Original Message-
  From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
  
  Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
  
  Artinya masih bahaya pak?
  
   
  
  Best regards,
  
   
  
   
  
  Budi Raharjo
  
  www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of tirta858
  Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
  
   
  
  Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-19 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA Thrusday closing

http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/7795/djia3jz5.gif

Probable breaking of the rectangle.


 


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Just scrutinized DJIA further after 2 days ago gap down, and its 
 a pretty disturbing finding. Another bearish scenario just to get 
us 
 prepared.
 
 
 http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/2810/djia2cq0.gif
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Resistance resistance
  
  DJIA 19 FEB 10:30 WIB
  
  http://img153.imageshack.us/img153/4070/djiacs2.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, shiro_rex@ wrote:
  
   Kalo ngikuti chart, double bottom, jadi hari ini kemungkinan 
bisa 
  naik dulu, tp tidak menutup kemungkinan untuk kembali turun ke 
 bottom 
  ketiga or lanjut reversal ke resistance berikutnya.
   
   Disclaimer,
   Regards,
   
   Teguh Riswono
   Sent from my BlackBerry®
   powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
   
   -Original Message-
   From: Budi Raharjo budi_wang@
   
   Date: Thu, 19 Feb 2009 08:32:03 
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
   
   
   Artinya masih bahaya pak?
   

   
   Best regards,
   

   

   
   Budi Raharjo
   
   www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
   

   

   

   
   From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
  ban...@yahoogroups.com]
   On Behalf Of tirta858
   Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
   

   
   Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
   
   http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today

2009-02-18 Terurut Topik tirta858
Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.


http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif







[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-18 Terurut Topik tirta858
Tergantung, makin lama DJIA berada dibawah garis semakin bearish dan 
mostly likely hit 7400. Kalo dia bisa loncat lewati resistance ya 
lumayan bagus.





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Budi Raharjo budi_w...@... 
wrote:

 Artinya masih bahaya pak?
 
  
 
 Best regards,
 
  
 
  
 
 Budi Raharjo
 
 www.kinggeneraltrading.blogspot.com
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of tirta858
 Sent: Thursday, February 19, 2009 8:24 AM
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today
 
  
 
 Hitting resistance, they didn't let it go over the line.
 
 http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4784/djiaca1.gif





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA for today

2009-02-17 Terurut Topik tirta858
Still heading lower???

http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/9338/djiadp6.gif

Silver lining could be that DJIA making falling wedge.

here is the definition of falling wedge :

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?
id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:falling_wedge_revers








[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA for today

2009-02-17 Terurut Topik tirta858
Another beautiful play by our comrades at NYSE, take a look 
yourself :)


http://img413.imageshack.us/img413/6858/djia940nu7.gif

now bounce bounce





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Still heading lower???
 
 http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/9338/djiadp6.gif
 
 Silver lining could be that DJIA making falling wedge.
 
 here is the definition of falling wedge :
 
 http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?
 id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:falling_wedge_revers





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 12Feb Opening

2009-02-12 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/678/djia12febtu6.gif

Still heading lower





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA 12Feb Opening

2009-02-12 Terurut Topik tirta858
Beautifully executed. People over dow jones really know how to play 
their games.

http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4582/djiatb9.gif





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/678/djia12febtu6.gif
 
 Still heading lower





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA 12Feb Closing

2009-02-12 Terurut Topik tirta858
Beautifully executed. People over dow jones know how to play their 
games. Here is the proof.

http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/4582/djiatb9.gif







--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/678/djia12febtu6.gif
 
 Still heading lower





[obrolan-bandar] For chart lovers. DJIA 5 FEB

2009-02-04 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA looking lower


http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/8858/djia5janym7.gif



[obrolan-bandar] Re: For chart lovers. DJIA 5 FEB

2009-02-04 Terurut Topik tirta858
Iya embah emang pusing kalo di ikutin terus, mending biarin IHSG n 
DJIA jalan jalan sendiri aja deh :)




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, jsx_consultant jsx-
consult...@... wrote:

 Embah puyeng kalo liat grafik DJIA...
 
 Sebaliknya kalo liat Capital Flow, seminggu ini NETRAL, artinya
 Investor yg keluar = Investor yg masuk, artinya BD dengan mudah
 bisa MENGANGKAT IHSG.
 
 Tapi karena DJIA ini terpaksa embah potong Kerbau...
 
 Mudah mudahan BUMI bisa jadi GANTINYA karena BUMI bergerak
 berlawanan arah dengan IHSG...
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  DJIA looking lower
  
  
  http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/8858/djia5janym7.gif
 





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 28jan

2009-01-28 Terurut Topik tirta858
11:25 ETA

http://img222.imageshack.us/img222/5084/djia28janig9.gif

Need a stronger close today to break off the trendline resistance and 
20 EMA. Once free DJIA heading right to 50 EMA. RSI centerline and MACD 
cross over could also be helpfull.








[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA 28jan

2009-01-28 Terurut Topik tirta858
16:00 EST

We did have stronger close(compare volume 11:25 vs 16:00), RSI and MACD 
showed it too. 

http://img136.imageshack.us/img136/1404/djia28jancn8.gif







--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 11:25 ETA
 
 http://img222.imageshack.us/img222/5084/djia28janig9.gif
 
 Need a stronger close today to break off the trendline resistance and 
 20 EMA. Once free DJIA heading right to 50 EMA. RSI centerline and 
MACD 
 cross over could also be helpfull.





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 27jan for chart lovers

2009-01-26 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://img222.imageshack.us/img222/1452/djia27janow6.gif

break that or trailing down.







[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA16jan for chart lovers. Earthlink resistance is futile.

2009-01-15 Terurut Topik tirta858
Update: 

http://img133.imageshack.us/img133/7214/djiaupdatesa3.gif

Sweeett DJIA just hit the righttt spottt, as predicted down with 
expanding volume, damage was contained as DJIA climb back to positive 
teritory. Start collecting people, we might have a bounce.


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Forgot the link
 
 http://img67.imageshack.us/img67/7375/djia15janom0.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  DJIA drop with accelerating volume, if tonite DJIA drops to 
around 
 8000 
  level especially with huge and bigger volume than yesterday it 
could 
 be 
  a buy signal since DJIA already shed around 10% in 6 days.
 





[obrolan-bandar] Ilmu saham TERTINGGI dibursa....Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF -

2009-01-14 Terurut Topik tirta858
Detail coming out, northstar convert to BNBR or BUMI. Ada yang bisa 
confirm



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 DEBT EQUITY SWAP in EFFECTT
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Rumour has it BUMI debt for equity swap will dilute the share 
  significantly. 
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JsxTrader jsxtrader@ 
  wrote:
  
   Untuk very short term trading, Average down bisa dilakukan 
dengan 
  success
   rate cukup tinggi asal dilakukan dengan syarat-syarat teknis 
  tertentu..,
   contoh pgas.., sebelum digebuk sampai AR 2 kali (yg terakhir) 
 saya 
  masuk di
   2025, alasannya wkt itu, karena itu adalah level support, 
 ternyata 
  digebukin
   abis2an sehingga saya ngga sempet exit.., melihat volume dan 
 detail
   transaksi, saya wkt itu optimis dan mengamati dengan seksama 
clue 
  pembalikan
   arah..., saat hari ketiga gap down dan harga mulai berbalik 
arah, 
  saya
   segera jump in di 1750'an (lupa tepatnya brp)..., dan 
 Alhamdulilah 
  berhasil
   keluar dengan selamat di 2100.
   
   Ave down yg sebaiknya tidak dilakukan adalah saat harga terus-
  terusan bikin
   higher low dan lower low tampa ada perlawanan sama sekali. Jadi 
  menurut saya
   meskipun tidak disarankan oleh para pakar trading, tapi kalau 
  kondisi
   mendukung, ave down masih ok dilakukan..., buat saya (mungkin 
tdk 
  buat orang
   lain) key-nya adalah position size.., saat initial entry saya 
sdh 
  siapkan
   dana untuk ave down jika harga digebuk, dan ave up jika harga 
 lari.
   
   Rgrds,
   JT
   
   -Original Message-
   From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
  ban...@yahoogroups.com]
   On Behalf Of jsx_consultant
   Sent: 11 Januari 2009 12:47
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Ilmu saham TERTINGGI dibursaRe: 
  Iseng2x
   kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF -
   
   Secara itungan STATISTIK/PROBABILITAS:
   - Melakukan AVERAGE DOWN secara ilmiah adalah BENAR.
   - Melakukan BUY sesudah saham turun berturut turut beberapa
 hari adalah BENAR.
   - Melakukan BUY sesudah saham turun banyak adalah BENAR.
   
   Inikan TAKTIK pak SB, sang legendaris prof Ho kie...
   
   LALU YG SALAH seperti dibilang pak Dizz dan pak DE dimana ?.
   
   Coba kita bahas ini, karena embah merasa: Ada yg belum
   nangkep ?.
   
   Pak Dizz, mau jadi yg pertama bantu jelasin ?.
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, y_dizz y_dizz@ wrote:
   
In my opinion sih, dalam semua game, pertandingan, balapan, 
  bisnis, 
dsb KALAH itu WAJIB. Seseorang tidak layak disebut WINNER 
kalo 
   belum 
pernah merasakan sakitnya kalah.

Yang membedakan WINNER  LOSSER itu bukan seberapa banyak dia 
   menang, 
atau seberapa banyak cuannya tapi pada akhirnya apakah dia 
bisa 
SURVIVE atau tidak. Menang 20x berturut2 tidak ada artinya 
kalo 
   pada 
game yang ke-21 akhirnya semuanya ludes, itu tandanya dia OUT 
 OF 
   THE 
GAME.

Yang penting kita harus selalu sadar diri. Kalo kalah kita 
 terima 
kekalahan dan nggak usah cari pembenaran (misalnya dengan 
  menambah 
jumlah taruhan atau average down). Kita mulai lagi dari awal. 
  Kalo 
menang pun nggak usah lupa diri.

Sebab, MENANG itu berkat Tuhan, kalo KALAH pasti salah kita 
  sendiri.



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, wintama 
 winarto.rudy@ 
wrote:

 Saya setuju dengan trading style pak Dean kalau mau masuk 
 dalam 
group
 trader yg 5% itu (ga tahu berapa persen yg konsisten 
profit). 
  Dan 
pasti
 juga ada style lainnya yg profit yang disesuaikan dg 
caranya 
   masing
 masing.
 
 Tapi dg gambler yg menang di casino consistently, saya 
sangat 
   yakin
 TIDAK ADA, biarpun pakai methode, sistem dan modal 
berapapun 
   (modal 
akan
 mentok di limit yg ditentukan di casino). Bisa jadi selama 
   setahun 
dg
 modal dan sistem yg konsisten dia menang terus, tapi bisa 
 jadi, 
   di 
tahun
 ke 11 semuanya akan habis (profit dan modal). Atau yg lebih 
   canggih
 lagi? 20 tahun menang terus, di thn ke 21 habis juga 
 semuanya. 
   Hal 
ini
 sdh dibuktikan dg program yg dulu saya tulis untuk 
permainan 
Roulette
 dengan historical data dari casino di Eropa.
 Hasil dari bikin program itu:  TIDAK AKAN BISA MENANG DI 
CASINO...!, di
 Casino hanya murni gambling... taroh uang, menang atau 
kalah 
tergantung
 keberuntungan masing masing. Jadi dg kenyataan ini, siapa 
yg 
   ngotot 
mau
 menang di casino PASTI malah akan BANGKRUT.
 

   
   
   
   
   
   
   + +
   + + + + +
   Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
   kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
   + + + + +
   + +Yahoo! Groups Links
   
   
   
   No virus found in this incoming message

[obrolan-bandar] DJIA15jan for chart lovers. Earthlink resistance is futile.

2009-01-14 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA drop with accelerating volume, if tonite DJIA drops to around 8000 
level especially with huge and bigger volume than yesterday it could be 
a buy signal since DJIA already shed around 10% in 6 days.






[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA15jan for chart lovers. Earthlink resistance is futile.

2009-01-14 Terurut Topik tirta858
Forgot the link

http://img67.imageshack.us/img67/7375/djia15janom0.gif






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 DJIA drop with accelerating volume, if tonite DJIA drops to around 
8000 
 level especially with huge and bigger volume than yesterday it could 
be 
 a buy signal since DJIA already shed around 10% in 6 days.





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 14jan for chart lovers

2009-01-13 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://img60.imageshack.us/img60/9931/djiavu7.gif




[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 14jan for chart lovers

2009-01-13 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://img60.imageshack.us/img60/9931/djiavu7.gif




[obrolan-bandar] Ilmu saham TERTINGGI dibursa....Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF -

2009-01-13 Terurut Topik tirta858
DEBT EQUITY SWAP in EFFECTT






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Rumour has it BUMI debt for equity swap will dilute the share 
 significantly. 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JsxTrader jsxtrader@ 
 wrote:
 
  Untuk very short term trading, Average down bisa dilakukan dengan 
 success
  rate cukup tinggi asal dilakukan dengan syarat-syarat teknis 
 tertentu..,
  contoh pgas.., sebelum digebuk sampai AR 2 kali (yg terakhir) 
saya 
 masuk di
  2025, alasannya wkt itu, karena itu adalah level support, 
ternyata 
 digebukin
  abis2an sehingga saya ngga sempet exit.., melihat volume dan 
detail
  transaksi, saya wkt itu optimis dan mengamati dengan seksama clue 
 pembalikan
  arah..., saat hari ketiga gap down dan harga mulai berbalik arah, 
 saya
  segera jump in di 1750'an (lupa tepatnya brp)..., dan 
Alhamdulilah 
 berhasil
  keluar dengan selamat di 2100.
  
  Ave down yg sebaiknya tidak dilakukan adalah saat harga terus-
 terusan bikin
  higher low dan lower low tampa ada perlawanan sama sekali. Jadi 
 menurut saya
  meskipun tidak disarankan oleh para pakar trading, tapi kalau 
 kondisi
  mendukung, ave down masih ok dilakukan..., buat saya (mungkin tdk 
 buat orang
  lain) key-nya adalah position size.., saat initial entry saya sdh 
 siapkan
  dana untuk ave down jika harga digebuk, dan ave up jika harga 
lari.
  
  Rgrds,
  JT
  
  -Original Message-
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of jsx_consultant
  Sent: 11 Januari 2009 12:47
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Ilmu saham TERTINGGI dibursaRe: 
 Iseng2x
  kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF -
  
  Secara itungan STATISTIK/PROBABILITAS:
  - Melakukan AVERAGE DOWN secara ilmiah adalah BENAR.
  - Melakukan BUY sesudah saham turun berturut turut beberapa
hari adalah BENAR.
  - Melakukan BUY sesudah saham turun banyak adalah BENAR.
  
  Inikan TAKTIK pak SB, sang legendaris prof Ho kie...
  
  LALU YG SALAH seperti dibilang pak Dizz dan pak DE dimana ?.
  
  Coba kita bahas ini, karena embah merasa: Ada yg belum
  nangkep ?.
  
  Pak Dizz, mau jadi yg pertama bantu jelasin ?.
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, y_dizz y_dizz@ wrote:
  
   In my opinion sih, dalam semua game, pertandingan, balapan, 
 bisnis, 
   dsb KALAH itu WAJIB. Seseorang tidak layak disebut WINNER kalo 
  belum 
   pernah merasakan sakitnya kalah.
   
   Yang membedakan WINNER  LOSSER itu bukan seberapa banyak dia 
  menang, 
   atau seberapa banyak cuannya tapi pada akhirnya apakah dia bisa 
   SURVIVE atau tidak. Menang 20x berturut2 tidak ada artinya kalo 
  pada 
   game yang ke-21 akhirnya semuanya ludes, itu tandanya dia OUT 
OF 
  THE 
   GAME.
   
   Yang penting kita harus selalu sadar diri. Kalo kalah kita 
terima 
   kekalahan dan nggak usah cari pembenaran (misalnya dengan 
 menambah 
   jumlah taruhan atau average down). Kita mulai lagi dari awal. 
 Kalo 
   menang pun nggak usah lupa diri.
   
   Sebab, MENANG itu berkat Tuhan, kalo KALAH pasti salah kita 
 sendiri.
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, wintama 
winarto.rudy@ 
   wrote:
   
Saya setuju dengan trading style pak Dean kalau mau masuk 
dalam 
   group
trader yg 5% itu (ga tahu berapa persen yg konsisten profit). 
 Dan 
   pasti
juga ada style lainnya yg profit yang disesuaikan dg caranya 
  masing
masing.

Tapi dg gambler yg menang di casino consistently, saya sangat 
  yakin
TIDAK ADA, biarpun pakai methode, sistem dan modal berapapun 
  (modal 
   akan
mentok di limit yg ditentukan di casino). Bisa jadi selama 
  setahun 
   dg
modal dan sistem yg konsisten dia menang terus, tapi bisa 
jadi, 
  di 
   tahun
ke 11 semuanya akan habis (profit dan modal). Atau yg lebih 
  canggih
lagi? 20 tahun menang terus, di thn ke 21 habis juga 
semuanya. 
  Hal 
   ini
sdh dibuktikan dg program yg dulu saya tulis untuk permainan 
   Roulette
dengan historical data dari casino di Eropa.
Hasil dari bikin program itu:  TIDAK AKAN BISA MENANG DI 
   CASINO...!, di
Casino hanya murni gambling... taroh uang, menang atau kalah 
   tergantung
keberuntungan masing masing. Jadi dg kenyataan ini, siapa yg 
  ngotot 
   mau
menang di casino PASTI malah akan BANGKRUT.

   
  
  
  
  
  
  
  + +
  + + + + +
  Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
  kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
  + + + + +
  + +Yahoo! Groups Links
  
  
  
  No virus found in this incoming message.
  Checked by AVG - http://www.avg.com 
  Version: 8.0.176 / Virus Database: 270.10.5/1886 - Release Date: 
 1/10/2009
  6:01 PM
 





[obrolan-bandar] Ilmu saham TERTINGGI dibursa....Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF -

2009-01-11 Terurut Topik tirta858
Rumour has it BUMI debt for equity swap will dilute the share 
significantly. 


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JsxTrader jsxtra...@... 
wrote:

 Untuk very short term trading, Average down bisa dilakukan dengan 
success
 rate cukup tinggi asal dilakukan dengan syarat-syarat teknis 
tertentu..,
 contoh pgas.., sebelum digebuk sampai AR 2 kali (yg terakhir) saya 
masuk di
 2025, alasannya wkt itu, karena itu adalah level support, ternyata 
digebukin
 abis2an sehingga saya ngga sempet exit.., melihat volume dan detail
 transaksi, saya wkt itu optimis dan mengamati dengan seksama clue 
pembalikan
 arah..., saat hari ketiga gap down dan harga mulai berbalik arah, 
saya
 segera jump in di 1750'an (lupa tepatnya brp)..., dan Alhamdulilah 
berhasil
 keluar dengan selamat di 2100.
 
 Ave down yg sebaiknya tidak dilakukan adalah saat harga terus-
terusan bikin
 higher low dan lower low tampa ada perlawanan sama sekali. Jadi 
menurut saya
 meskipun tidak disarankan oleh para pakar trading, tapi kalau 
kondisi
 mendukung, ave down masih ok dilakukan..., buat saya (mungkin tdk 
buat orang
 lain) key-nya adalah position size.., saat initial entry saya sdh 
siapkan
 dana untuk ave down jika harga digebuk, dan ave up jika harga lari.
 
 Rgrds,
 JT
 
 -Original Message-
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of jsx_consultant
 Sent: 11 Januari 2009 12:47
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Ilmu saham TERTINGGI dibursaRe: 
Iseng2x
 kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF -
 
 Secara itungan STATISTIK/PROBABILITAS:
 - Melakukan AVERAGE DOWN secara ilmiah adalah BENAR.
 - Melakukan BUY sesudah saham turun berturut turut beberapa
   hari adalah BENAR.
 - Melakukan BUY sesudah saham turun banyak adalah BENAR.
 
 Inikan TAKTIK pak SB, sang legendaris prof Ho kie...
 
 LALU YG SALAH seperti dibilang pak Dizz dan pak DE dimana ?.
 
 Coba kita bahas ini, karena embah merasa: Ada yg belum
 nangkep ?.
 
 Pak Dizz, mau jadi yg pertama bantu jelasin ?.
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, y_dizz y_dizz@ wrote:
 
  In my opinion sih, dalam semua game, pertandingan, balapan, 
bisnis, 
  dsb KALAH itu WAJIB. Seseorang tidak layak disebut WINNER kalo 
 belum 
  pernah merasakan sakitnya kalah.
  
  Yang membedakan WINNER  LOSSER itu bukan seberapa banyak dia 
 menang, 
  atau seberapa banyak cuannya tapi pada akhirnya apakah dia bisa 
  SURVIVE atau tidak. Menang 20x berturut2 tidak ada artinya kalo 
 pada 
  game yang ke-21 akhirnya semuanya ludes, itu tandanya dia OUT OF 
 THE 
  GAME.
  
  Yang penting kita harus selalu sadar diri. Kalo kalah kita terima 
  kekalahan dan nggak usah cari pembenaran (misalnya dengan 
menambah 
  jumlah taruhan atau average down). Kita mulai lagi dari awal. 
Kalo 
  menang pun nggak usah lupa diri.
  
  Sebab, MENANG itu berkat Tuhan, kalo KALAH pasti salah kita 
sendiri.
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, wintama winarto.rudy@ 
  wrote:
  
   Saya setuju dengan trading style pak Dean kalau mau masuk dalam 
  group
   trader yg 5% itu (ga tahu berapa persen yg konsisten profit). 
Dan 
  pasti
   juga ada style lainnya yg profit yang disesuaikan dg caranya 
 masing
   masing.
   
   Tapi dg gambler yg menang di casino consistently, saya sangat 
 yakin
   TIDAK ADA, biarpun pakai methode, sistem dan modal berapapun 
 (modal 
  akan
   mentok di limit yg ditentukan di casino). Bisa jadi selama 
 setahun 
  dg
   modal dan sistem yg konsisten dia menang terus, tapi bisa jadi, 
 di 
  tahun
   ke 11 semuanya akan habis (profit dan modal). Atau yg lebih 
 canggih
   lagi? 20 tahun menang terus, di thn ke 21 habis juga semuanya. 
 Hal 
  ini
   sdh dibuktikan dg program yg dulu saya tulis untuk permainan 
  Roulette
   dengan historical data dari casino di Eropa.
   Hasil dari bikin program itu:  TIDAK AKAN BISA MENANG DI 
  CASINO...!, di
   Casino hanya murni gambling... taroh uang, menang atau kalah 
  tergantung
   keberuntungan masing masing. Jadi dg kenyataan ini, siapa yg 
 ngotot 
  mau
   menang di casino PASTI malah akan BANGKRUT.
   
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 + +
 + + + + +
 Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
 + + + + +
 + +Yahoo! Groups Links
 
 
 
 No virus found in this incoming message.
 Checked by AVG - http://www.avg.com 
 Version: 8.0.176 / Virus Database: 270.10.5/1886 - Release Date: 
1/10/2009
 6:01 PM





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF

2009-01-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
Just out today 8 jan 09  downgrade by Macquarie PT to Rp 500 and JP 
Morgan downgrade 6 jan 09 TP to 620.




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 GS BUMI research 1 dec 08
 
 http://www.mediafire.com/?
 sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9a91b20cc0d07ba4d2e376198bdd471662
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  
  CLSA 26nov research report
  
  http://www.mediafire.com/?
sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9ad2db6fb9a8902bda
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Barusan saja saya kalkulasi BUMI using simple DCF calculation.
   
   Datanya saya ambil dari
   
   http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?
   stmtType=INCperType=ANNsymbol=BUMI.JK
   
   Saya pakai angka yang agak conservative saja.
   
   Net income saya ambil dari permulaan tahun 2004(first positive 
   earning) lalu net income growth saya pakai tahun 2004 dan 2005 
  yaitu 
   12.2%(pre comodity euphoria). FV net income(2008) = 1.122^4 x 
 108.8 
  = 
   $172.42mil (sangat conservative compare to actual 2007 $789mil)
   
   Assumptionnya :
   
   Exchange rate = Rp 10,000
   Net income 2008 = $172.42 mil
   1-5 year growth = 12.2% 
   Terminal = 3%
   Shares out = 19,404 mil 
   WACC = 17%
   
   Plug in the numbers: 
   
   IV = Rp 922
   IV with 40% margin of safety = Rp 553
   
   Comments are welcome :)
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Menyentuh Upper Extreme 1462

2009-01-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
PLizz plizz pli everyone :P





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Elaine Sui elainesu...@... 
wrote:

 *Dum dum dee dum dumm... yeeah [?]
 
 Elaine**
 *
 2009/1/7 Wachjudi, Ferry ferry.wachj...@...
 
   Property??
 
 
 
  *From:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:
  obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com] *On Behalf Of *Elaine Sui
  *Sent:* Wednesday, January 07, 2009 8:59 AM
  *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  *Subject:* Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Menyentuh Upper Extreme 1462
 
 
 
  *Embah dari kemarin saja ajak sell terus... harus di jewer..!! 
semua
  techies kasih chart with lines, waves n stuff, warnings, etc, 
kata nya mau
  lihat IDX 3000? Elaine mau tanya sekali saja lagi, is it 
confirmed bullish
  or not?
 
  masa tidak berani jawab? come on.. Anyway, another grossly 
undervalued
  sector: housing. Dare to enter? I expect (obviously) the global 
market
  shows some optimism today as investors are hoping that economy 
will recover
  in this very year.
 
  But again it's up to you guys.
 
  Elaine*
 
  2009/1/6 jsx_consultant jsx-consult...@...
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Smart Investor
 
  isx_trader@ wrote:
  
   kalo mbah menggunakan TA klasik, maka saya pake TA modern.
   hasilnya sih sama.
  
 
  Engga MASALAH pake TA klasik atau modern, YANG PENTING harus
  diingat:
 
  - Indikator YG TERBAIK adalah GRAFIK HARGA ITU SENDIRI !!!
 
  Kalo anda menilai seorang wanita cantik atau tidak, LIAT LANGSUNG
  saja orangnya...
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
  
http://picasaweb.google.com/isxstocktrader/Rekomen6Jan09#5288033556764
  530466
  
  
  
  
   
 
   From: anru dadaq anru.sing@
 
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Sent: Tuesday, January 6, 2009 11:04:10 AM
   Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: Menyentuh Upper Extreme 1462
  
  
   ok mbah... sdh out... ditunggu perintah selanjutnya. ..
  
  
   2009/1/6 jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ centrin.net. id
  
   --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, jsx_consultant jsx-
   consultant@ .. wrote:
   
Menyentuh Upper Extreme 1462
   
http://www.obrolanb andar.com/ piwsanta. htm
   
  
   Turun ke 1452.
  
   Perhatikan bila terbentuk FRACTAL V TERBALIK YG RUNCING.
  
   Jika tidak RUNCING, masih aman
  
 
 
 
  
 
  + +
  + + + + +
  Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
  kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
  + + + + +
 
  + +Yahoo! Groups Links
 
 
 
 
 
 
   
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF

2009-01-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
BUMI approaching greatness = Buntung Untung Makan Indomie



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 GS BUMI research 1 dec 08
 
 http://www.mediafire.com/?
 sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9a91b20cc0d07ba4d2e376198bdd471662
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  
  CLSA 26nov research report
  
  http://www.mediafire.com/?
sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9ad2db6fb9a8902bda
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Barusan saja saya kalkulasi BUMI using simple DCF calculation.
   
   Datanya saya ambil dari
   
   http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?
   stmtType=INCperType=ANNsymbol=BUMI.JK
   
   Saya pakai angka yang agak conservative saja.
   
   Net income saya ambil dari permulaan tahun 2004(first positive 
   earning) lalu net income growth saya pakai tahun 2004 dan 2005 
  yaitu 
   12.2%(pre comodity euphoria). FV net income(2008) = 1.122^4 x 
 108.8 
  = 
   $172.42mil (sangat conservative compare to actual 2007 $789mil)
   
   Assumptionnya :
   
   Exchange rate = Rp 10,000
   Net income 2008 = $172.42 mil
   1-5 year growth = 12.2% 
   Terminal = 3%
   Shares out = 19,404 mil 
   WACC = 17%
   
   Plug in the numbers: 
   
   IV = Rp 922
   IV with 40% margin of safety = Rp 553
   
   Comments are welcome :)
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 9 jan

2009-01-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://img71.imageshack.us/img71/9899/djia9janjq0.gif

Still holding, let see, we should have a bounce tonite.






[obrolan-bandar] Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF

2009-01-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
PDF dari Dana,JP,Macq  silakan di cermati, enjoy

http://www.mediafire.com/?sharekey=45598714bb145019d2db6fb9a8902bda







--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Just out today 8 jan 09  downgrade by Macquarie PT to Rp 500 and JP 
 Morgan downgrade 6 jan 09 TP to 620.
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  GS BUMI research 1 dec 08
  
  http://www.mediafire.com/?
  sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9a91b20cc0d07ba4d2e376198bdd471662
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   
   CLSA 26nov research report
   
   http://www.mediafire.com/?
 sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9ad2db6fb9a8902bda
   
   
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
   wrote:
   
Barusan saja saya kalkulasi BUMI using simple DCF calculation.

Datanya saya ambil dari

http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?
stmtType=INCperType=ANNsymbol=BUMI.JK

Saya pakai angka yang agak conservative saja.

Net income saya ambil dari permulaan tahun 2004(first 
positive 
earning) lalu net income growth saya pakai tahun 2004 dan 
2005 
   yaitu 
12.2%(pre comodity euphoria). FV net income(2008) = 1.122^4 x 
  108.8 
   = 
$172.42mil (sangat conservative compare to actual 2007 
$789mil)

Assumptionnya :

Exchange rate = Rp 10,000
Net income 2008 = $172.42 mil
1-5 year growth = 12.2% 
Terminal = 3%
Shares out = 19,404 mil 
WACC = 17%

Plug in the numbers: 

IV = Rp 922
IV with 40% margin of safety = Rp 553

Comments are welcome :)
   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Trio Macan

2009-01-07 Terurut Topik tirta858
Bep beep beepp beeepp 

INCO lon term resistance, BOW






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, rad10 ru54k tv.k...@... 
wrote:

 Trio Macan hari ini dangdutan lagi.
 
 Tp, INCO yang paling dahsyat. blom siang udah AR kanan.
 
 Ada info apa yahh dengan INCO? 
 
  
 
 sm;)e
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com]
 On Behalf Of PositiveThinker84
 Sent: Wednesday, January 07, 2009 10:30 AM
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Beep beep sell signal 1470!
 
  
 
 chartnya mana pak?
 
 2009/1/7 tirta858 tirta...@...
 
 careful here





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Trio Macan

2009-01-07 Terurut Topik tirta858
Chopsticks on yesterday and today jsx chart.




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Bep beep beepp beeepp 
 
 INCO lon term resistance, BOW
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, rad10 ru54k tv.kun0@ 
 wrote:
 
  Trio Macan hari ini dangdutan lagi.
  
  Tp, INCO yang paling dahsyat. blom siang udah AR kanan.
  
  Ada info apa yahh dengan INCO? 
  
   
  
  sm;)e
  
   
  
   
  
   
  
  From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-
 ban...@yahoogroups.com]
  On Behalf Of PositiveThinker84
  Sent: Wednesday, January 07, 2009 10:30 AM
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Beep beep sell signal 1470!
  
   
  
  chartnya mana pak?
  
  2009/1/7 tirta858 tirta858@
  
  careful here
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Beep beep sell signal 1470!

2009-01-07 Terurut Topik tirta858
taking profitt.


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 careful here





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA for chart lovers, will this hold???

2009-01-07 Terurut Topik tirta858
Will trendline support and 20EMA holds, lets find out tonite.

http://img210.imageshack.us/img210/5264/djia8jansf6.gif









[obrolan-bandar] Re: INDF

2009-01-06 Terurut Topik tirta858
KZ yang beliin dari pagi ampe jam 2an total 100rban lot mulai jam 3
buang ampe net sell by 3.30 sadis





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Vincent Chase
chase.vinc...@... wrote:

 juragan mie lagi mo bertahan gasss
 
 Ian Mahendra ian.mahen...@... wrote: 
 Ha ha ha  juragan mie suka grogi kalau disorakin. Mangkenye laen
kali diem-diem saja :-)
 
  
   
 -
  From: Hutan Lebat hutanle...@...
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Sent: Tuesday, 6 January 2009 3:14:40
 Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] INDF
 
buset dari 1110 ke 1000 lag
   
  capee dehh
 
  
  On 1/6/09, Steven Tan suts...@... wrote:   tukang indomie
akhirnya naik panggung juga. Ayo om BD, mentokin atas dong, jangan mau
kalah sama UNTR kemarin.
 Traktor aja bisa dilempar sampai plafon, masa ngelempar indomie aja
nggak bisa? he he he ... Becanda om.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
 
  
  
 
 
   
 -
  Search. browse and book your hotels and flights through Yahoo! Travel





[obrolan-bandar] Beep beep sell signal 1470!

2009-01-06 Terurut Topik tirta858
careful here



[obrolan-bandar] Re: Beep beep sell signal 1470!

2009-01-06 Terurut Topik tirta858
Today advance doesn't advance significantly from yesterday bisa di
consider sell signal, at least take partial profit here :)







--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, PositiveThinker84
vividtra...@... wrote:

 chartnya mana pak?
 
 2009/1/7 tirta858 tirta...@...
 
careful here
 
   
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Cut Rate, Last Weapon?

2009-01-05 Terurut Topik tirta858
Tax cut it is.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/28501386





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Mustinya masi bisa tax cut, khususnya capital gain tax cut untuk 
 saham dan dividen :)
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, dario kurniawan 
 darioamran1976@ wrote:
 
  Apakah cut rate adalah senjata terakhir untuk meredakan gejolak 
 market dan menuju kestabilan (belum menuju pemulihan)??...bener2 
gak 
 tau deh..bukan ekonom juga..tapi yang jelas suku bunga rendah 
adalah 
 acuan terakhir yang dilihat market..gak mempan juga ya sudah 
depresi, 
 resesi aja deh..better tunggu laporan Q4 dow biar ketauan manjur 
 tidaknya cut rate...
  
  
  

 
__
 _
  Nama baru untuk Anda! 
  Dapatkan nama yang selalu Anda inginkan di domain baru @ymail dan 
 @rocketmail. 
  Cepat sebelum diambil orang lain!
  http://mail.promotions.yahoo.com/newdomains/id/
 





[obrolan-bandar] The yield curve

2009-01-05 Terurut Topik tirta858
Decrypt the chart and it can help you in the next 50 years of your 
investing career by predicting the next upturn or downturn. Study the 
chart around August 2006 till may 2007 right before bear stearns hedge 
fund blew up as the first sign of casualities then study the latest 
present chart.

http://www.smartmoney.com/investing/bonds/the-living-yield-curve-7923/








[obrolan-bandar] Suspend

2009-01-05 Terurut Topik tirta858
XX penggelapan dana mungkin.






[obrolan-bandar] Re: Prediksi Saham tgl 5 Januari 2009

2009-01-03 Terurut Topik tirta858
 f. yield curve

Biar tambah seru :)




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Elaine Sui elainesu...@... 
wrote:

 *Answer this, noob. [?] Which one is commonly used to measure 
**future
 economic growth:
 a. Copper spot price
 b. Crude Oil
 c. Consumer price index
 d. GDP
 e. none above
 
 I bet you can't answer that.
 
 Elaine
 **
 *2009/1/3 FromBuitenzorg frombuitenz...@...
 
  I'd like to appreciate your views dan comments honey, but I'm 
still
  newbie on my nov first posting :)
 
  Btw, Have a Nice weekend.
 
  Regards
 
 
  Elaine Sui elainesui83@ wrote:
  
   *You're not new around here, are you? well whoever you were,
  welcome back
   but you don't have to play noob lol fgod sake.. [?]
  
   Elaine**
   *
   2009/1/3 FromBuitenzorg frombuitenzorg@
  
Ic honey, I actually use both, TA  FA, plus learning more 
macro-
econ, global commodties  market trend ...
   
   
Regards
   
   
Elaine Sui elainesui83@ wrote:

 *You know, most ppl is actually losing money by using 
technical
because they
 don't really know how to use it. Technical is like a hand 
gun,
  it
can save
 your life, or make yourself killed.

 It's the man behind the gun.. (lol now where did I ever hear
  that
before..)

 Elaine**
 *
 2009/1/3 FromBuitenzorg frombuitenzorg@

  Benar Pak gak usah takut dikatakan bodo, pede aja walau 
kalah
  sama
  senior2, namanya belajar, kalo meleset wajar
 
  Mungkin saya termasuk 'Newbie' ya karena pertama kali 
posting
  baru
  mulai tgl 24 nop 2008, salah biasa :)
 
  Peace
 
  Regards
 
 
 
  ruzli indeksbei3000@ wrote:
  
   Namanya belajar sih ga ada bodo nya Pak Y, sy jg mau 
post
  chart
  sektor
   banking tp takut kelihatan bodonya sm senior2 
disini : .
  Kalau
di
   chart sy, BBRI dan BMRI ada Divergence Negatif antara 
Price
  
  Volume,
   kalau BBNI dan BDMN Divergence Positif. Kemungkinan akan
  koreksi
  tgl 7
   Jan 09, sesi 2, setelah pengumuman BI Rate. Untuk tgl 5 
Jan
  sy
jg
   optimis ijo Pak Y.
  
   On 1/3/09, y_dizz y_dizz@ wrote:
Chart DJIA udah diposting sama Pak Tirta. Santa Claus
  wave-nya
  IHSG
juga udah diposting sama Embah. Saya nggak usah 
posting
  lagi
lah,
nanti malah keliatan bodonya.
   
Yang jelas saya masih yakin sama chart yang dulu saya
  post. 5
  Januari
akan jadi hari pembuktian.
   
   
   
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, ruzli
  indeksbei3000@
wrote:
   
Semua orang bisa bikin prediksi.
Tidak begitu penting hasilnya benar atau salah.
Yg penting ada reason/alasan nya.
Kalau pakai TA, mohon disertakan chartnya, baik itu
candlestick,
stochastic,dll.
Kalau pakai FA, mohon data-datanya, baik itu analisa
  laporan
keuangan,
maupun yg lainnya.
Data + analisa = konklusi
Kalau cuma pakai feelingmology, berarti sm seperti 
mama
loren,
  cuma
ho ki te it
Di tahun 09, milis OB harus lebih OK.
Mbah, New Year Resolution milis OB apa nih. Mungkin 
ada
saran,
masukan
buat ke depan?
   
   
Regards
   
On 1/3/09, y_dizz y_dizz@ wrote:
 Kalo versi saya IHSG 5 Januari 150% UP. DJIA  oil
  breakout
trendline-
 nya, very2 awesome signal. Saatnya kita gas pol, 
1430
  here
we
come...



 --- In obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com, FromBuitenzorg
 frombuitenzorg@ wrote:

 Boleh gak ya test prediksi ? Untuk membuktikan
  sulitnya
memprediksi
 masa depan. Bukan mo nyaingin mama loren yg
  ngeramal,  ini
prediksi
 pasti banyak mleset, . Kalo salah wajar, kalo 
tepat
  pasti
kita
 cepat
 kaya :)

 Berikut test prediksi utk tgl 5 januari 2009, 
Pliz. ..
mohon
jangan
 diikuti. Gunakan keyakinan masing2 berbasis TA 
atau
  FA.
Ini
  hanya
 test yg akan dibandingkan dg hasilnya pada akhir 
sesi
  tgl
5,
HANYA
 ingin membuktikan bhw sangat SULIT sekali 
memprediksi
masa
depan.

 Disclaimer banget

 ISAT 55 % UP 45% DOWN
 UNVR 60% UP 40% DOWN
 PGAS UP 60% UP 40% DOWN
 INDF 40% UP 60 % DOWN
 BUMI 51% UP 49% DOWN

 Makin tinggi %tase UP adalah besaran kemungkinan 
up,
  selisihnya
 merupakan faktor2 unpredictable. Cek tgl 5 januari
melesetnya.

 Regards




   
--
Sent from my mobile device
   
   
   
   
  
   --
   Sent from my mobile device
  
 
 
 
  
 
  + +
  + + + 

[obrolan-bandar] Re: Prediksi Saham tgl 5 Januari 2009

2009-01-03 Terurut Topik tirta858
 f. Gold rally
 g. Gold standard back again
 h. WW3 since it will reset everything

Iseng aja biar tambah rame :P




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Elaine Sui elainesu...@... 
wrote:

 *And by the wwyy The mega safe haven so called US 10years 
treasury
 notes has CRASHED. What effect will happen to stock markets?
 a. The stock markets will rally
 b. Rally
 c. Yup, it's a rally okay?
 d. omfg lol it's a rally dumb ass
 e. none of above
 
 
 Elaine**
 *
 2009/1/3 Elaine Sui elainesu...@...
 
  *Answer this, noob. [?] Which one is commonly used to measure 
**future
  economic growth:
  a. Copper spot price
  b. Crude Oil
  c. Consumer price index
  d. GDP
  e. none above
 
  I bet you can't answer that.
 
  Elaine
  **
  *2009/1/3 FromBuitenzorg frombuitenz...@...
 
  I'd like to appreciate your views dan comments honey, but I'm 
still
  newbie on my nov first posting :)
 
  Btw, Have a Nice weekend.
 
  Regards
 
 
  Elaine Sui elainesui83@ wrote:
  
   *You're not new around here, are you? well whoever you were,
  welcome back
   but you don't have to play noob lol fgod sake.. [?]
  
   Elaine**
   *
   2009/1/3 FromBuitenzorg frombuitenzorg@
  
Ic honey, I actually use both, TA  FA, plus learning more 
macro-
econ, global commodties  market trend ...
   
   
Regards
   
   
Elaine Sui elainesui83@ wrote:

 *You know, most ppl is actually losing money by using 
technical
because they
 don't really know how to use it. Technical is like a hand 
gun,
  it
can save
 your life, or make yourself killed.

 It's the man behind the gun.. (lol now where did I ever 
hear
  that
before..)

 Elaine**
 *
 2009/1/3 FromBuitenzorg frombuitenzorg@

  Benar Pak gak usah takut dikatakan bodo, pede aja walau 
kalah
  sama
  senior2, namanya belajar, kalo meleset wajar
 
  Mungkin saya termasuk 'Newbie' ya karena pertama kali 
posting
  baru
  mulai tgl 24 nop 2008, salah biasa :)
 
  Peace
 
  Regards
 
 
 
  ruzli indeksbei3000@ wrote:
  
   Namanya belajar sih ga ada bodo nya Pak Y, sy jg mau 
post
  chart
  sektor
   banking tp takut kelihatan bodonya sm senior2 
disini : .
  Kalau
di
   chart sy, BBRI dan BMRI ada Divergence Negatif antara 
Price
  
  Volume,
   kalau BBNI dan BDMN Divergence Positif. Kemungkinan 
akan
  koreksi
  tgl 7
   Jan 09, sesi 2, setelah pengumuman BI Rate. Untuk tgl 
5 Jan
  sy
jg
   optimis ijo Pak Y.
  
   On 1/3/09, y_dizz y_dizz@ wrote:
Chart DJIA udah diposting sama Pak Tirta. Santa Claus
  wave-nya
  IHSG
juga udah diposting sama Embah. Saya nggak usah 
posting
  lagi
lah,
nanti malah keliatan bodonya.
   
Yang jelas saya masih yakin sama chart yang dulu saya
  post. 5
  Januari
akan jadi hari pembuktian.
   
   
   
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, ruzli
  indeksbei3000@
wrote:
   
Semua orang bisa bikin prediksi.
Tidak begitu penting hasilnya benar atau salah.
Yg penting ada reason/alasan nya.
Kalau pakai TA, mohon disertakan chartnya, baik itu
candlestick,
stochastic,dll.
Kalau pakai FA, mohon data-datanya, baik itu analisa
  laporan
keuangan,
maupun yg lainnya.
Data + analisa = konklusi
Kalau cuma pakai feelingmology, berarti sm seperti 
mama
loren,
  cuma
ho ki te it
Di tahun 09, milis OB harus lebih OK.
Mbah, New Year Resolution milis OB apa nih. Mungkin 
ada
saran,
masukan
buat ke depan?
   
   
Regards
   
On 1/3/09, y_dizz y_dizz@ wrote:
 Kalo versi saya IHSG 5 Januari 150% UP. DJIA  oil
  breakout
trendline-
 nya, very2 awesome signal. Saatnya kita gas pol, 
1430
  here
we
come...



 --- In obrolan-
ban...@yahoogroups.com, FromBuitenzorg
 frombuitenzorg@ wrote:

 Boleh gak ya test prediksi ? Untuk membuktikan
  sulitnya
memprediksi
 masa depan. Bukan mo nyaingin mama loren yg
  ngeramal,  ini
prediksi
 pasti banyak mleset, . Kalo salah wajar, kalo 
tepat
  pasti
kita
 cepat
 kaya :)

 Berikut test prediksi utk tgl 5 januari 2009, 
Pliz. ..
mohon
jangan
 diikuti. Gunakan keyakinan masing2 berbasis TA 
atau
  FA.
Ini
  hanya
 test yg akan dibandingkan dg hasilnya pada akhir 
sesi
  tgl
5,
HANYA
 ingin membuktikan bhw sangat SULIT sekali 
memprediksi
masa
depan.

 Disclaimer banget

 ISAT 55 % UP 45% DOWN
 UNVR 60% UP 40% DOWN
 PGAS UP 60% UP 40% DOWN
 INDF 40% UP 60 % DOWN
 BUMI 51% UP 49% DOWN

 Makin tinggi %tase UP adalah 

[obrolan-bandar] Re: Houston we might have a lift off!!!!

2009-01-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
Chart update 2 Jan 09 11:40 pm

YEEEHAAA!

http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/2734/djia2janej7.gif











--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Chart update
 
 http://img361.imageshack.us/img361/5615/djia1jangf3.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Let see the closing today. If DJIA can break those trendline 
  resistance, we might have a rally soon enuf.
  
  
  http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/8531/djia31dec12pmmu0.gif
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Houston we might have a lift off!!!!

2009-01-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
Chart update 03 Jan Zoom zoom zoomm!

http://img379.imageshack.us/img379/4668/djia3janiu4.gif

First time DJIA close above 9000 and above 50EMA since 5 nov although 
volumes are light. Let see if this is a real rally when everyone back 
for work next week. 






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Chart update 2 Jan 09 11:40 pm
 
 YEEEHAAA!
 
 http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/2734/djia2janej7.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Chart update
  
  http://img361.imageshack.us/img361/5615/djia1jangf3.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Let see the closing today. If DJIA can break those trendline 
   resistance, we might have a rally soon enuf.
   
   
   http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/8531/djia31dec12pmmu0.gif
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA last day, can we break this???

2008-12-31 Terurut Topik tirta858

http://img528.imageshack.us/img528/694/djia31decmv0.gif



[obrolan-bandar] Houston we might have a lift off!!!!

2008-12-31 Terurut Topik tirta858
Let see the closing today. If DJIA can break those trendline 
resistance, we might have a rally soon enuf.


http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/8531/djia31dec12pmmu0.gif



[obrolan-bandar] Re: Houston we might have a lift off!!!!

2008-12-31 Terurut Topik tirta858
Chart update

http://img361.imageshack.us/img361/5615/djia1jangf3.gif









--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 Let see the closing today. If DJIA can break those trendline 
 resistance, we might have a rally soon enuf.
 
 
 http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/8531/djia31dec12pmmu0.gif





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 23 DEC

2008-12-22 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://img211.imageshack.us/img211/95/djia23decac9.gif






[obrolan-bandar] Re: traders do not break this

2008-12-16 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA Chart update Dec 17, break this or break that.

http://img249.imageshack.us/img249/5769/djia17dectx1.gif






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... wrote:

 http://img249.imageshack.us/img249/401/djia6monthny7.gif





[obrolan-bandar] Re: BANDARMOLOGIST

2008-12-14 Terurut Topik tirta858
www.investopedia.com/university/electronictrading/trading8.asp

Specialist see not the Level 2 but Level 3 Quote.  

There are a variety of ways in which Nasdaq quotes security prices to 
the public. These levels vary on the amount of information and access 
they provide to investors. 

 
Level I 
This type of quote is most often published on the net as a real-time 
quote. Level I consists of real-time bid/ask quotes for securities 
trading on the Nasdaq stock market. This type of access does not 
disclose who is bidding or asking for the stock, and it does not show 
how many shares the market maker is looking for. Real-time quotes 
show the current quote, but it may be from a different lot than what 
you are trading. Market makers love clients with this type of access 
because it doesn't show you the order sizes, and therefore your order 
may be passed around or held until market makers can profit from your 
order. 

Level II 
This type of quotation system is a step up from the Level I. Level II 
access provides real-time access to the quotations of individual 
market makers registered in every Nasdaq-listed security as well as 
the offering or bidding lots that they are looking for. This level of 
access also gives the name of the market maker looking to trade the 
stock. It allows traders to see what market makers are showing the 
most interest in a stock and to identify the patterns for each market 
maker. Level II access is available over the internet - but at a 
cost. This can range in the hundreds of dollars per month depending 
on the company. For clients placing a large number of trades, the 
firm may waive the access fee because they will make up the costs on 
your commissions. 

Level III 
This is a trading service consisting of everything in Level II plus 
the ability to enter quotes, execute orders and send information. 
This service is restricted to NASD member firms that function as 
registered market makers. Level III allows you to enter bid/ask 
quotes as the trades are being executed right in front of you. It is 
the fastest way to execute a trade and is typically found only on the 
trading floors of brokerage firms and market makers. 

1. The Specialist :


What's the difference between a Nasdaq market maker and a NYSE 
specialist? 

--
--
 
What's the main difference between a specialist and a market maker? 
Not much. Both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) specialist and the 
Nasdaq market maker try to increase the liquidity on the exchange and 
provide more fluid and efficient trading. 

  
A specialist is a dealer representing a NYSE specialist firm - one of 
the main facilitators of trade on the exchange. A market maker is a 
broker-dealer who facilitates the trading of shares by posting bid 
and ask prices along with maintaining an inventory of shares. It is 
important to note that a specialist is a type of market maker. The 
NYSE has seven specialist firms while the Nasdaq has nearly 300 
market makers. The NYSE is an auction-based market where traders meet 
on the floor of the exchange, using person-to-person, telephone 
orders or electronic orders. The Nasdaq, on the other hand, is 
strictly an electronic exchange.

NYSE
Specialists working on the NYSE have four roles to fulfill in order 
to ensure a fair and orderly market: 

Auctioneer - because the NYSE is an auction market, bids and asks are 
competitively forwarded by investors. These bids and asks must be 
posted for the entire market to see to make certain that the best 
price is always maintained. It is the job of the specialist to ensure 
that all bids and asks are reported in an accurate and timely manner, 
that all marketable trades are executed and that order is maintained 
on the floor. Along with posting the daily bid and ask prices, the 
specialist must also set the opening price for the stock every 
morning. This price can greatly differ from the previous day's 
closing price based on after-hours news and events. The role of the 
specialist is to find the correct market price based on supply and 
demand.

Agent - the specialist can also accept limit orders relayed by 
investors through brokers or electronic trading. It is the 
responsibility of the specialist to ensure the order is transacted 
appropriately on behalf of others, using the same fiduciary care as 
the brokers themselves once the price of the stock has reached the 
limit criteria. 

Catalyst - as the specialists are in direct contact with the bidders 
and sellers of particular securities, it is their responsibility that 
enough interest exists for a particular stock. This is carried out by 
specialists seeking out recently active investors in cases where the 
bids and asks can't be matched. This aspect of the specialist's job 
helps to induce trades that may not of happened if the specialist had 
not been there to bring buyers and sellers together.

Principal - in the 

[obrolan-bandar] Re: BANDARMOLOGIST

2008-12-14 Terurut Topik tirta858
Di Indonesia, Quotenya level berapa yah buat bandar since RTI dan 
IQPlus etc cuma Level 1 :P








--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 www.investopedia.com/university/electronictrading/trading8.asp
 
 Specialist see not the Level 2 but Level 3 Quote.  
 
 There are a variety of ways in which Nasdaq quotes security prices 
to 
 the public. These levels vary on the amount of information and 
access 
 they provide to investors. 
 
  
 Level I 
 This type of quote is most often published on the net as a real-
time 
 quote. Level I consists of real-time bid/ask quotes for securities 
 trading on the Nasdaq stock market. This type of access does not 
 disclose who is bidding or asking for the stock, and it does not 
show 
 how many shares the market maker is looking for. Real-time quotes 
 show the current quote, but it may be from a different lot than 
what 
 you are trading. Market makers love clients with this type of 
access 
 because it doesn't show you the order sizes, and therefore your 
order 
 may be passed around or held until market makers can profit from 
your 
 order. 
 
 Level II 
 This type of quotation system is a step up from the Level I. Level 
II 
 access provides real-time access to the quotations of individual 
 market makers registered in every Nasdaq-listed security as well as 
 the offering or bidding lots that they are looking for. This level 
of 
 access also gives the name of the market maker looking to trade the 
 stock. It allows traders to see what market makers are showing the 
 most interest in a stock and to identify the patterns for each 
market 
 maker. Level II access is available over the internet - but at a 
 cost. This can range in the hundreds of dollars per month depending 
 on the company. For clients placing a large number of trades, the 
 firm may waive the access fee because they will make up the costs 
on 
 your commissions. 
 
 Level III 
 This is a trading service consisting of everything in Level II plus 
 the ability to enter quotes, execute orders and send information. 
 This service is restricted to NASD member firms that function as 
 registered market makers. Level III allows you to enter bid/ask 
 quotes as the trades are being executed right in front of you. It 
is 
 the fastest way to execute a trade and is typically found only on 
the 
 trading floors of brokerage firms and market makers. 
 
 1. The Specialist :
 
 
 What's the difference between a Nasdaq market maker and a NYSE 
 specialist? 
 
 
--
 --
  
 What's the main difference between a specialist and a market maker? 
 Not much. Both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) specialist and 
the 
 Nasdaq market maker try to increase the liquidity on the exchange 
and 
 provide more fluid and efficient trading. 
 
   
 A specialist is a dealer representing a NYSE specialist firm - one 
of 
 the main facilitators of trade on the exchange. A market maker is a 
 broker-dealer who facilitates the trading of shares by posting bid 
 and ask prices along with maintaining an inventory of shares. It is 
 important to note that a specialist is a type of market maker. The 
 NYSE has seven specialist firms while the Nasdaq has nearly 300 
 market makers. The NYSE is an auction-based market where traders 
meet 
 on the floor of the exchange, using person-to-person, telephone 
 orders or electronic orders. The Nasdaq, on the other hand, is 
 strictly an electronic exchange.
 
 NYSE
 Specialists working on the NYSE have four roles to fulfill in order 
 to ensure a fair and orderly market: 
 
 Auctioneer - because the NYSE is an auction market, bids and asks 
are 
 competitively forwarded by investors. These bids and asks must be 
 posted for the entire market to see to make certain that the best 
 price is always maintained. It is the job of the specialist to 
ensure 
 that all bids and asks are reported in an accurate and timely 
manner, 
 that all marketable trades are executed and that order is 
maintained 
 on the floor. Along with posting the daily bid and ask prices, the 
 specialist must also set the opening price for the stock every 
 morning. This price can greatly differ from the previous day's 
 closing price based on after-hours news and events. The role of the 
 specialist is to find the correct market price based on supply and 
 demand.
 
 Agent - the specialist can also accept limit orders relayed by 
 investors through brokers or electronic trading. It is the 
 responsibility of the specialist to ensure the order is transacted 
 appropriately on behalf of others, using the same fiduciary care as 
 the brokers themselves once the price of the stock has reached the 
 limit criteria. 
 
 Catalyst - as the specialists are in direct contact with the 
bidders 
 and sellers of particular securities, it is their responsibility 
that 
 enough interest exists for a particular stock. This is carried out

[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA HNS for chart lover

2008-12-12 Terurut Topik tirta858
Tested then back above 8600, as long as the shoulders hold and we 
break those bull pennant, we wil see 9500 with strong support around 
8300. DO we have conviction :)

http://img88.imageshack.us/img88/2515/djia2monthxe4.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta...@... 
wrote:

 DJIA update 11 DEC
 
 Pull back to 8600 level would be a good sign for a stronger 
 conviction before 9500
 
 http://img266.imageshack.us/img266/8975/djia11deczx7.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  DJIA updated 08 dec, crossing 9000
  
  http://img262.imageshack.us/img262/289/djia08decrl4.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Inggih pak.
   
   Sekalian tambahan dari post sebelumnya
   
   DJIA one year chart:

 http://img377.imageshack.us/img377/8166/djia1decrx5.gif

 DJIA 10 years chart:

 
http://img399.imageshack.us/img399/7435/djia10yearsdec1uo2.gif
   
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Dean Earwicker 
   dean.earwicker@ wrote:
   
Inverted HNS kali (-- bullish signal)

Regards,
DE

2008/12/3 tirta858 tirta858@



 http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/4053/djia2monthsns6.gif




 

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 + + + + +
 Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
 + + + + +
 + +Yahoo! Groups Links




   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] traders do not break this

2008-12-12 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://img249.imageshack.us/img249/401/djia6monthny7.gif








[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA HNS for chart lover

2008-12-10 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA update 11 DEC

Pull back to 8600 level would be a good sign for a stronger 
conviction before 9500

http://img266.imageshack.us/img266/8975/djia11deczx7.gif








--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 DJIA updated 08 dec, crossing 9000
 
 http://img262.imageshack.us/img262/289/djia08decrl4.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Inggih pak.
  
  Sekalian tambahan dari post sebelumnya
  
  DJIA one year chart:
   
http://img377.imageshack.us/img377/8166/djia1decrx5.gif
   
DJIA 10 years chart:
   
http://img399.imageshack.us/img399/7435/djia10yearsdec1uo2.gif
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Dean Earwicker 
  dean.earwicker@ wrote:
  
   Inverted HNS kali (-- bullish signal)
   
   Regards,
   DE
   
   2008/12/3 tirta858 tirta858@
   
   
   
http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/4053/djia2monthsns6.gif
   
   
   
   

   
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+ + + + +
Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
+ + + + +
+ +Yahoo! Groups Links
   
   
   
   
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA HNS for chart lover

2008-12-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
Up up and away Here we go 9500 :)




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Buy now on weakness and distribute through out january. Lame duck 
 will get roasted and black pepper will serve as the catalyst.
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frendy wildwildwest84@ 
 wrote:
 
  yakin bullish signal ?
  bagaimana dengan asia ? hehehehe..
  
  
- Original Message - 
From: Dean Earwicker 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2008 10:39 AM
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA HNS for chart lover
  
  
Inverted HNS kali (-- bullish signal)
  
Regards,
DE
  
  
  
2008/12/3 tirta858 tirta858@
  
  
  
  http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/4053/djia2monthsns6.gif
  
  
  
  
  
  
  + +
  + + + + +
  Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
  kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
  + + + + +
  + +Yahoo! Groups Links
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Daisy ML : BUMI TP 550

2008-12-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
Ini ada research MER si Daisy bulan october punya, bedanya jauh juga 
yah, disini target price dia Rp 8000

http://www.mediafire.com/?
sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9a91b20cc0d07ba4d2e376198bdd471662






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Paulus Tangke Allo 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 kalau sekarang Neng Daisy bilang TP BUMI 550 dan orang2 pada ngamuk,
 yah itu emang cerita lamahehehe
 
 apa sudah lupa, waktu dulu (Dec 2007) Neng Daisy bilang Maintain 
Sell utk ANTM,
 banyak orang yang ngamuk-ngamuk, tapi ternyata terbukti juga.
 
 
 --pta





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA HNS for chart lover

2008-12-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
DJIA updated 08 dec, crossing 9000

http://img262.imageshack.us/img262/289/djia08decrl4.gif





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Inggih pak.
 
 Sekalian tambahan dari post sebelumnya
 
 DJIA one year chart:
  
   http://img377.imageshack.us/img377/8166/djia1decrx5.gif
  
   DJIA 10 years chart:
  
   http://img399.imageshack.us/img399/7435/djia10yearsdec1uo2.gif
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Dean Earwicker 
 dean.earwicker@ wrote:
 
  Inverted HNS kali (-- bullish signal)
  
  Regards,
  DE
  
  2008/12/3 tirta858 tirta858@
  
  
  
   http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/4053/djia2monthsns6.gif
  
  
  
  
   
  
   + +
   + + + + +
   Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
   kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
   + + + + +
   + +Yahoo! Groups Links
  
  
  
  
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: 2012, the year of Industrial boom

2008-12-08 Terurut Topik tirta858
I thought world is going to end on 2012, here is the link :P

http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/2007-03-27-maya-2012_n.htm


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Elaine Sui [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 *I need to be honest with everyone here. Earlier this year, I was 
trying,
 with my own way, to provoke everybody so less ppl could be caught 
in such a
 disastrous financial turmoil. NOW, I'm again provoking YOU to get 
the most
 benefit from it. From my point of view, trading is MUCH more 
expensive than
 investing, because most trader prefers to watch running trades than 
spending
 his/her precious time with family  friends. Some even think 
dragonfly doji
 is sexier than Jessica Alba. (nuts!)
 
 Come on, appreciate your life.
 
 Elaine**
 *





[obrolan-bandar] Re: BUMI

2008-12-04 Terurut Topik tirta858
EU cut rate, EL beli SPX, semuanya happy :)




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, jsx_consultant jsx-
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JsxTrader jsxtrader@ 
 wrote:
 
  BUMI - mulai Ada  upside pressure - EL lagi belanja nih.hehe
 
 
 SP Future naik cepet sekali, mungkin ada beritanya ?





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA HNS for chart lover

2008-12-03 Terurut Topik tirta858
Buy now on weakness and distribute through out january. Lame duck 
will get roasted and black pepper will serve as the catalyst.





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Frendy [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 yakin bullish signal ?
 bagaimana dengan asia ? hehehehe..
 
 
   - Original Message - 
   From: Dean Earwicker 
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
   Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2008 10:39 AM
   Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] DJIA HNS for chart lover
 
 
   Inverted HNS kali (-- bullish signal)
 
   Regards,
   DE
 
 
 
   2008/12/3 tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 
 
 http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/4053/djia2monthsns6.gif
 
 
 
 
 
 
 + +
 + + + + +
 Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
 + + + + +
 + +Yahoo! Groups Links





[obrolan-bandar] Re: GILA semua TEKTOK ketangkep ama ini grafik...

2008-12-03 Terurut Topik tirta858
China sent man to moon couple years ago, but US sent monkey in the 
80's. Sorry decoupling is like seperating tits from boobs which is 
really an impossible thing to do. Pull all major market charts and 
find out if it moves in sync. As long as you eat mcdonalds, wear 
durex and watch cnbc, it still the US that leads :P 








--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Elaine Sui [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 *Scenario? What scenario? BBUU!!! fgod sake. Don't look too 
much on DJI,
 it'll fool ya. I repeat, DO NOT GET CONFUSED WITH US MARKET, BUMI 
or GMAN.
 Focus on fundamental. Check it yourself, ASIA is decoupling. China
 apparently contain their domestic problem.
 
 BUY COMMODITIES, ENERGY AND AGRICULTURE STOCKS. These've been 
grossly
 undervalued today. Stop worrying about tomorrow, think about years 
later.
 Really, don't you wanna be rich? Nanti di take over institutional 
lagi
 jangan meneysal ya.
 
 Here's my top picks (subject for discussion):
 *
 
- *Plantation: Astra Agro Lestari, PP London Sumatera*
- *Energy: ALL. Bukit Asam, Adaro, Bumi Resources, Indotambang, 
etc*
- *Metals: INCO, Timah (okay, antam..lol)*
- *Others: Gas Negara, United Tractors*
- *Penny stocks: ask Oentoeng [?]*
- *Bank: BRI only.*
 
 *Laggards:
 *
 
- *Telecomm sector (unless they do massive layoffs, i dunno)
*
 
 *Nanti Elaine share projection untuk 1H09.
 
 **Elaine**
 *
 2008/12/1 SyIFA Fund [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
*Let's DOWN it one more time before the end of December Mbah, 
ONE BIG
  CUT in PRICE..EL it has been worked...I mean the beautiful 
scenario*
  **
  *Regards,*
  **
  *SF FM*
  *Where you can trust your fund*
 
 
  --- On *Mon, 12/1/08, jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]*wrote:
 
  From: jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: GILA semua TEKTOK ketangkep ama ini 
grafik...
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Monday, December 1, 2008, 8:40 AM
 
   Level 1220 akan jadi LEVEL PENENTUAN...
 
  http://www.obrolanb andar.com/ piwuptrend. 
htmhttp://www.obrolanbandar.com/piwuptrend.htm
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com obrolan-bandar%
40yahoogroups.com,
  Vincent Chase
  chase.vincent@ ... wrote:
  
   kl tembus?cut loss yee?
  
   jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ ...
  wrote: HAJAR LAGI... masih ada 90 menit
  ampe closing...
  
   --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. comobrolan-bandar%
40yahoogroups.com,
  jsx_consultant jsx-
   consultant@ wrote:
   
JIKA 1220 engga tembus, HAJAR KANAN LAGI...
   
Ini UPTREND... euy
   
--- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. comobrolan-bandar%
40yahoogroups.com,
  Petualang Saham
petualang.saham@  wrote:

 He3x..
 Ketangkep basah sama Embah nih...


 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. comobrolan-bandar%
40yahoogroups.com,
  jsx_consultant jsx-
 consultant@ wrote:
 
  IHSG 1223,
 
  GILA semua TEKTOK ketangkep ama ini grafik...
 
  http://www.obrolanb andar.com/ piwuptrend. 
htmhttp://www.obrolanbandar.com/piwuptrend.htm
 

   
  
 
 
   
 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF

2008-12-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
GS BUMI research 1 dec 08

http://www.mediafire.com/?
sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9a91b20cc0d07ba4d2e376198bdd471662






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 
 CLSA 26nov research report
 
 http://www.mediafire.com/?sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9ad2db6fb9a8902bda
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
 wrote:
 
  Barusan saja saya kalkulasi BUMI using simple DCF calculation.
  
  Datanya saya ambil dari
  
  http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?
  stmtType=INCperType=ANNsymbol=BUMI.JK
  
  Saya pakai angka yang agak conservative saja.
  
  Net income saya ambil dari permulaan tahun 2004(first positive 
  earning) lalu net income growth saya pakai tahun 2004 dan 2005 
 yaitu 
  12.2%(pre comodity euphoria). FV net income(2008) = 1.122^4 x 
108.8 
 = 
  $172.42mil (sangat conservative compare to actual 2007 $789mil)
  
  Assumptionnya :
  
  Exchange rate = Rp 10,000
  Net income 2008 = $172.42 mil
  1-5 year growth = 12.2% 
  Terminal = 3%
  Shares out = 19,404 mil 
  WACC = 17%
  
  Plug in the numbers: 
  
  IV = Rp 922
  IV with 40% margin of safety = Rp 553
  
  Comments are welcome :)
 





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA HNS for chart lover

2008-12-02 Terurut Topik tirta858


http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/4053/djia2monthsns6.gif





[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA HNS for chart lover

2008-12-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
Inggih pak.

Sekalian tambahan dari post sebelumnya

DJIA one year chart:
 
  http://img377.imageshack.us/img377/8166/djia1decrx5.gif
 
  DJIA 10 years chart:
 
  http://img399.imageshack.us/img399/7435/djia10yearsdec1uo2.gif




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Dean Earwicker 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Inverted HNS kali (-- bullish signal)
 
 Regards,
 DE
 
 2008/12/3 tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 
 
  http://img100.imageshack.us/img100/4053/djia2monthsns6.gif
 
 
 
 
  
 
  + +
  + + + + +
  Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus
  kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
  + + + + +
  + +Yahoo! Groups Links
 
 
 
 





[obrolan-bandar] Ancora Capital Management take over 5% BUMI share from JP

2008-11-30 Terurut Topik tirta858
oem





[obrolan-bandar] DJIA 28nov08 rsi, macd divergence sign of the bottom or bear trap??

2008-11-28 Terurut Topik tirta858
See the charts and decide yourself.


DJIA one year chart:

http://img377.imageshack.us/img377/8166/djia1decrx5.gif

DJIA 10 years chart:

http://img399.imageshack.us/img399/7435/djia10yearsdec1uo2.gif











[obrolan-bandar] Re: DJIA 28nov08 rsi, macd divergence sign of the bottom or bear trap??

2008-11-28 Terurut Topik tirta858
Menurut pendapat saya tidak tau cuma kebetulan ato indicator MACD dan 
RSI memang berguna. 

Kuncinya adalah positive negative divergence. Positive divergence 
kalo susunan bacanya RSI dan MACD berada dibawah DJIA bentuknya  
yang artinya index drop tetapi RSI dan MACD up kalo negative 
divergence bentuknya  DAN the best kalo MACD and RSI CONFIRM.

Contohnya check aja di chart 10 tahun, 

Tahun 2000 DJIA peak di higher high 12000 tetapi MACD and RSI(both 
confirm) making lower low  dan gak lama kemudian DJIA tank ke 7400 
di 09/2002  


Tahun 2002 bulan september tepat sebelum 7400an ketika DJIA hit lower 
low, tetapi RSI making higher high  walau tidak di confirm dengan 
macd lalu DJIA naik setinggi tingginya ke 14169

Tahun 2007 bulan september tepat sebelum higher high di 14169 bisa di 
confirm MACD dan RSI making lower low again  dan tidak lama 
kemudia crashhh.

Present day : DJIA hit lower low ke 7392 tetapi RSI making higher 
high  walaupun MACD belom confirm.

Kesimpulannya kalo kita check chartnya dan study market peak and 
bottom, volume, crossover mungkin kita masih bisa exit or enter 
dengan selamat, walaupun detail detailnya masi banyak lagi. Saat ini 
kita keliahatannya dalam proses positive divegence 


Semoga berguna :)







 







--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, jsx_consultant jsx-
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@
 wrote:
 
  See the charts and decide yourself.
 
 
  DJIA one year chart:
 
  http://img377.imageshack.us/img377/8166/djia1decrx5.gif
 
  DJIA 10 years chart:
 
  http://img399.imageshack.us/img399/7435/djia10yearsdec1uo2.gif
 
 
 Pak Tirta,
 
 Bisakah sekalian diuraikan:
 - Apa hasil analisa dan kesimpulan dari hasil analisanya ?
 
 Seperti kita tahu, TA adalah suatu ilmu, TAPI TA juga bersifat seni,
 sehingga hasil interpretasi dan kesimpulan TA bisa berbeda
 beda tergantung pengalaman, kemahiran dan wawasan
 sang INTERPRETATOR..
 
 Mohon bimbingannya pak Tirta..





[obrolan-bandar] Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF

2008-11-26 Terurut Topik tirta858

CLSA 26nov research report

http://www.mediafire.com/?sharekey=3f16d386c635ce9ad2db6fb9a8902bda






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Barusan saja saya kalkulasi BUMI using simple DCF calculation.
 
 Datanya saya ambil dari
 
 http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?
 stmtType=INCperType=ANNsymbol=BUMI.JK
 
 Saya pakai angka yang agak conservative saja.
 
 Net income saya ambil dari permulaan tahun 2004(first positive 
 earning) lalu net income growth saya pakai tahun 2004 dan 2005 
yaitu 
 12.2%(pre comodity euphoria). FV net income(2008) = 1.122^4 x 108.8 
= 
 $172.42mil (sangat conservative compare to actual 2007 $789mil)
 
 Assumptionnya :
 
 Exchange rate = Rp 10,000
 Net income 2008 = $172.42 mil
 1-5 year growth = 12.2% 
 Terminal = 3%
 Shares out = 19,404 mil 
 WACC = 17%
 
 Plug in the numbers: 
 
 IV = Rp 922
 IV with 40% margin of safety = Rp 553
 
 Comments are welcome :)





[obrolan-bandar] US gas price vs Indo

2008-11-22 Terurut Topik tirta858
Harga bensin indo vs amrik

http://www.gasbuddy.com/

Kemaren di Amrik yang salah satu negara terbesar pengimport minyak, 
gas price sekitar $1.37 per gallon setara dengan Rp 4,686 per liter 
dengan kurs Rp 13,000. Di bandingkan dengan di Indonesia negara 
penghasil minyak yang bensin bersubsidi Rp 6,000 plus curang ditiup 
angin, bensin kotor, jalan hancur dan macet bikin bensin nguap di 
tempat yang mungkin rata rata konsumsi bahan bakar mobil sedan 2400cc 
akhirnya jadi 1 liter : 6 km ,  belom lagi resiko bulak balik di 
tabrak motor gara gara jalan kekecilan, shock breaker mati gara gara 
jalan ala padang golf, kopling tipis, kampas rem cepet abis, ban 
botak dan bocor kena ranjau, dompet tipis bayar tol kota yang 
seringnya macet dan di tilang setan. 

Ditimbang timbang even bensin di amrik pas mahal mahalnya $4 per 
gallon atau setara Rp 13,684 per liter dengan kurs Rp 13,000. rasanya 
masih murah juga yah consider mobil sedan 2400cc bisa menempuh  1 
liter : 13 km plus tanpa resiko resiko di curangin, mobil rusak dan 
aus seperti di atas :)



 



[obrolan-bandar] Re: Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF

2008-11-20 Terurut Topik tirta858
Excel nya ada di sini, oh yah ini cuma SIMPLE DCF yah, jadi
assumptionnya juga base on 2004-2005 growth jaman komoditas baru mulai
naek daun. Lebih bagus pake free cash flow sih, cuma untuk lebih
mudahnya pakai saja net income. Silakan kalau ada yang mau kasih
penyempurnaan excelnya lagi. Thx


http://www.mediafire.com/?sharekey=4754fc02fcc14c35d2db6fb9a8902bda
















--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, john.nuel [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Hitungan yang menarik. kapan KPC DAN ARUTMIN masuk BUMI uda dimasukkan
 dlm hitungan? masuknya Herald ?
 thanks utk hitungannya
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  Barusan saja saya kalkulasi BUMI using simple DCF calculation.
  
  Datanya saya ambil dari
  
  http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?
  stmtType=INCperType=ANNsymbol=BUMI.JK
  
  Saya pakai angka yang agak conservative saja.
  
  Net income saya ambil dari permulaan tahun 2004(first positive 
  earning) lalu net income growth saya pakai tahun 2004 dan 2005 yaitu 
  12.2%(pre comodity euphoria). FV net income(2008) = 1.122^4 x 108.8 = 
  $172.42mil (sangat conservative compare to actual 2007 $789mil)
  
  Assumptionnya :
  
  Exchange rate = Rp 10,000
  Net income 2008 = $172.42 mil
  1-5 year growth = 12.2% 
  Terminal = 3%
  Shares out = 19,404 mil 
  WACC = 17%
  
  Plug in the numbers: 
  
  IV = Rp 922
  IV with 40% margin of safety = Rp 553
  
  Comments are welcome :)
 





[obrolan-bandar] Iseng2x kalkulasi BUMI pakai simple DCF

2008-11-19 Terurut Topik tirta858
Barusan saja saya kalkulasi BUMI using simple DCF calculation.

Datanya saya ambil dari

http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?
stmtType=INCperType=ANNsymbol=BUMI.JK

Saya pakai angka yang agak conservative saja.

Net income saya ambil dari permulaan tahun 2004(first positive 
earning) lalu net income growth saya pakai tahun 2004 dan 2005 yaitu 
12.2%(pre comodity euphoria). FV net income(2008) = 1.122^4 x 108.8 = 
$172.42mil (sangat conservative compare to actual 2007 $789mil)

Assumptionnya :

Exchange rate = Rp 10,000
Net income 2008 = $172.42 mil
1-5 year growth = 12.2% 
Terminal = 3%
Shares out = 19,404 mil 
WACC = 17%

Plug in the numbers: 

IV = Rp 922
IV with 40% margin of safety = Rp 553

Comments are welcome :)












[obrolan-bandar] The Eight Rules of Carney

2008-11-17 Terurut Topik tirta858
1. Never get into something you can't get out of by the closing bell. 
Every trade you make, you're looking for the exit point. Always keep 
your eyes on the exit point.

2. Don't ever take anything at face value. Because face value is the 
biggest lie of any market. Nothing is ever priced at its true worth. 
The key is to figure out the real, intrinsic value-- and get it for 
much, much less.

3. One minute, you have your feet on the ground and you're moving 
forward. The next minute, the ground is gone and your're falling. The 
key is to never land. keep it in the air as long as you fxxking can.

4. You walk into a room with a granade, and your best case scenario 
is walking back out still holding that granade. Your worst case 
scenario is that the granade explodes, blowing you into little bloody 
pieces. The moral of the story: don't make bets with no upside.

5. Don't overthink. If it looks like shit and smells like shit- it's 
a shit.

6. Fear is the greatest motivator. Motivation is what it takes to 
find profit.

7. The first place to look for a solution is within the problem 
itself.

8. The ends justify the means, but there's only one end that realy 
matters. Ending up on a beach with a bottle of champagne.


From the book  UGLY AMERICAN$



 



[obrolan-bandar] Re: Bocoran ttg BXXX, dan knp Index bisa ke 900

2008-11-12 Terurut Topik tirta858
Bocoran dari salah satu private bank indo yang kantornya di SCBD. 
Orang indo yang kalah forex di total around USD $150 mill, the only 
big player yang make money adalah RGM group, dan RGM kalo sekali 
ambil posisi jarang salah, dan mereka keep buying dollar so far which 
mean dollar akan melemah terus. RGM terkenal pelornya bisa lawan sapa 
aja even BI, karena tink tanknya isinya orang bajakan bank luar 
terkenal yang sahamnya sekarang sekitar $10. Banyak group group besar 
laennya yang masi ngotot gak mau beli dollar and sekali mereka mulai 
beli rupiah akan melemah lagi. ironically alot of people masi belom 
kapok akan krisi 98 yang banyak perusahaan gak hedge utang 
dollarnya :)








--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Happy Pinguin 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Pak G-Man,
 
 NOTHING TO SAY UNLESS GOOD POSTING.
 
 Jgn lupa always keep sharing pak.
 
 Rgds
 
 
 
 
 
 
 From: G - MAN [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Sent: Wednesday, November 12, 2008 5:43:26 PM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Bocoran ttg BXXX, dan knp Index bisa ke 
900
 
  
 Mengenai BXXX yg lg hot… sedikit bocoran yg saya dapat
 dari kawan saya yg deket dengan ABuBa
 dari kontrak2 yg dibatalkan AbuBa bahwa AbuBa dalam keadaan
 terdesek.
 Kalau saya sendiri, saya pikir dengan segala tindakan yg dia
 jalankan hampir ngga mungkin org yg berada di posisi terkaya
 Itu tiba2 hilang… wush… 
 Kalau anda sekalian tau cara mereka merekrut org, anda akan
 sadar kehebatan orang ini.
 Pucuk pimpinan ABuBa bukanlah ABuBa, tapi si….Ba, silahkan
 isi sendiri.
 Yg ada menurut saya adalah suatu taktik yg sangat hebat untuk
 mengakuisisi `kekayaan' kita.
 Knp?  Krn saat ini informasi sgt simpang siur, sdg yg dr
 sumber aslinya tutup mulut rapat2.
 Saya pikir malah bakal ada action yg menghebohkan sebentar
 lagi…
  
 Soal si tk. Pentung ini saya pernah mention bahwa org ini bisa
 baca teknikal, suka pelototin running trade dan sangat rajin liat
 Perubahan chart harian..  tangannya pun setiap saat
 mengecheck mail yg masuk ke OB.  Tebak kira2 kerjaannya.
  
 Hanya orang yg maaf.. agak oneng, yg ga bisa baca grafik, yg
 baru, yg ga punya fasilitas grafik aja yg mau nelen mentah2 omongan 
orang ini,
 yg saya liat agak keterlaluan negatifnya.  Kebetulan nebak bener 
bangganya
 2 langit.  Gara2 mao brp lot aja nakutin org se OB.
  
 Saya sih ngga pinter2 amat, Cuma kita rasional aja, wahai para
 penurut pentungers yg keblinger….
  
 Anda semua ada perhatikan ngga bhw pd saat ini telah terjadi
 krisis global?  Di negara2 yg sangat maju informasinya lagi…
 Semua kabar buruk tersebar luas.  Tapi anda semua juga liat
 ngga?
  
 Bahwa :
  
 · Semua Negara  bersatu padu buat menangani krisis ini 
dengan
 jurus whatever it cost untuk mencegah resesi global.
  
 · Terjadi perubahan kekuasaan yg significant di AS, dengan 
voters
 yg mencapai rekor dari tahun2 sebelumnya.
 · Menandakan adanya optimism yg tinggi dari warga AS
  
 · Bahkan sebelum BO terpilih jadi presiden, banyak negara2 
Eropa,
 Timur Tengah dan Asia yg menunjukkan
 · Dukungan kepada si BO ini.
  
 · Tentu saja ekonomi ngga bisa sulap, lgs baik, seperti 
pohon, yg
 jelek dipotong, yg bagus survive. Ada naik, ada turun,
 · Sampai pada suatu saat ada kepastian bahwa krisis 
berakhir,
 nah….
  
 · Apalagi soal BXXX yg menyangkut triliunan duit blom lagi 
BC2
 unggulan lainnya yg terkapar.  Siapa sih yg goblok amat 
 · Mau kehilangan duit segitu gede?
  
 Yg Bener :
  
 · Sadarlah coy, kalo udah bbrp hari naik, PT lah… AS itu
 skrg lagi volatile, dow fut ijo, djia tutupnya bisa merah
 JGN SERAKAH… ADA UNTUNG AMBIL, BIAR SEDIKIT
  
 · Kalo ngga sempet monitor, ya jangan main.  Jgn pikir 
baek /
 ijo terus, saat gini adalah sideways yg panjang,
 At least sampe 1st quarter AS.  Stay away, kalo
 ngga canggih / Cuma dengerin orang.
  
 · Semua analis disini sgt jarang yg bener2 tulus kasih 
ilmu, hanya
 bbrp spt DE, HMin, JSXTrader dan bbrp
 Saja yg bener2 berdedikasi.  Kebanyakan punya maksud
 terselubung.
  
 · Secara Global :  Apa negara2 dunia yg diisi oleh org2
 pinter yg sdh mengeluarkan dana talangan yg segede2nya
 Akan begitu gobloknya menyerah pada nasib dan resesi global,
 mengorbankan kemakmuran mereka?  Coba pikirin 
 Deh poin ini mateng2.
 Kasat mata : suku bunga overnight di Eropa  AMerika turun
 krn banjir likuiditas..
  
 · Kenapa bisa ada target 900 / 700 ?  knp PTBA 2500? 
 Gini aje para pentungers yg keblingers.  Seandainya, monyet bisa 
ngomong
 dan baca grafik, monyet aja pasti tau, karena disitulah terdapat 
titik support
 long time punya.  Apa setelah lewat
 700 bisa stop / balik? Blom tentu karena ada support lagi di 400
 an.
 Bgt juga PTBA, apa stlh 2500 akan balik? Blom tentu, krn dia ada
 support kuat dan lama di 1800 – 2000. Nyaho lu!
 Ada juga support di 900… nah pusing kan?
  
 Bila akhirnya sampe kesitu kenapa ?  

[obrolan-bandar] BUMI news WSJ

2008-11-02 Terurut Topik tirta858
By Tom Wright 

Of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL 

JAKARTA (Dow Jones)--PT Bakrie  Brothers (BNBR.JK), a conglomerate 
which borrowed heavily from foreign and local banks, became the 
highest-profile Indonesian victim of the global credit crisis 
Saturday when it agreed to sell a 35% stake in a hugely profitable 
coal mining company to a consortium led by a local affiliate of TPG 
Inc. for $1.3 billion. 

PT Northstar Pacific Partners of Indonesia, which runs a $400 million 
private-equity fund in which TPG has invested, said it is leading the 
bid to purchase Bakrie  Brothers' entire stake in PT Bumi Resources. 
Two years ago, Northstar Pacific made an unsuccessful bid for Bumi 
Resources, which owns two coal mines in the Indonesian portion of the 
island of Borneo. 

(This story and related background material will be available on The 
Wall Street Journal Web site, WSJ.com.) 

Bakrie  Brothers, controlled by Indonesia's welfare minister, 
Aburizal Bakrie, is a major loser from the credit crisis. Recently, 
the company has borrowed heavily from Credit Suisse Group AG and J.P. 
Morgan Chase  Co., amongst other lenders, to fund acquisitions like 
the takeover earlier this year of Australia's Herald Resources Ltd. 

But those banks - mindful of a re-run of the 1997-98 Asian financial 
crisis in which Bakrie  Brothers defaulted on tens of millions of 
dollars in borrowings - demanded the loans be collateralized by 
shares of Bakrie family companies. As those shares tumbled in value 
over the past month amid an outflow of foreign funds from emerging 
markets and lower commodities prices, Bakrie has faced pressure from 
creditors to repay the debt, which may amount to as much as $1.5 
billion, say two people close to the Bumi Resources deal. 

Any agreement between Northstar Pacific and Bakrie to acquire Bumi 
Resources would need the agreement of creditors who hold the 
company's shares as collateral, those people say. The consortium of 
buyers is likely to include state-owned Indonesian companies such as 
PT Tambang Batubara, a coal miner, they added. 

Northstar will pay 2,115 rupiah (US 19 cents) per share for Bumi 
Resources, a 3% discount to the company's last traded share price, 
BNP Paribas said in a research note. Although a reasonably good 
price given the global meltdown and pressure on Bakrie to raise 
funds, the deal values Bumi Resources below other Asian coal 
producers, BNP Paribas said. The selling price is also well below the 
IDR5,432 per share that Bakrie  Brothers paid for the Bumi Resources 
stake earlier this year during a reorganization of its businesses. 

Shares in three of Bakrie  Brothers' listed companies, including 
Bumi Resources, have been suspended from the Indonesian Stock 
Exchange since Oct. 7, after they fell sharply in value amid rumors 
of the group's debt problems. Analysts said that despite the 
Northstar deal, Bumi Resource's shares could fall further if they 
restart trading this week because a number of local broking firms 
hold the stock and desperately need liquidity. 

Bumi Resources shares are a huge component of the local stock market 
index, accounting earlier this year for about a third of Indonesia's 
daily average market turnover of $500 million. The stock soared more 
than 700% in 2007, fueled by large U.S. hedge and pension funds, 
which bet that strong demand for coal from China and India would 
underpin the stock. The credit crisis, which prompted many foreign 
equity investors in Indonesia to bail out, coupled with declining 
coal prices due to concerns about the global economy, have made that 
bet look like a risky one. 

-By Tom Wright, The Wall Street Journal 

Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's 
most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: 
http://www.djnewsplus.com/al?rnd=n%2Fjj%2FVabU%2BNlgzrsWWrJGQ%3D%3D. 
You can use this link on the day this article is published and the 
following day. 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

November 02, 2008 05:59 ET (10:59 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2008 Dow Jones  Company, Inc.- - 05 59 AM EST 11-02-08 




[obrolan-bandar] Re: BEI Terapkan Auto Rejection Asimetris Mulai Jumat [31 Okt 2008]

2008-10-30 Terurut Topik tirta858
Hebat di indo tidak ada yang mustahill :))






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, l s l o l e l m l r l i l n l g 
l a l h l [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Batas Autoreject akan diterapkan secara asimetris.
 Batas atas + 20%, Batas Bawah -10%
 
 sumber:
 http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/10/30/221227/1028806/6/bei-
terapkan-auto-rejection-asimetris-mulai-jumat
 
 Salam Soemringah





[obrolan-bandar] Re: BEI Terapkan Auto Rejection Asimetris Mulai Jumat [31 Okt 2008]

2008-10-30 Terurut Topik tirta858
Hebat di indo tidak ada yang mustahill :))






--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, l s l o l e l m l r l i l n l g 
l a l h l [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Batas Autoreject akan diterapkan secara asimetris.
 Batas atas + 20%, Batas Bawah -10%
 
 sumber:
 http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/10/30/221227/1028806/6/bei-
terapkan-auto-rejection-asimetris-mulai-jumat
 
 Salam Soemringah





[obrolan-bandar] Re: MBAH TOLONG KOMENTAR TTG PGAS

2008-10-29 Terurut Topik tirta858
Utang PGAS dalam yen 33% yen sudah menguat 45% dalam seminggu ini, 
itu lah alasannya kenapa pgas di hajar turun




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Happy Pinguin 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Mbah, 
 
 Pgas  knp payah sekali, turun terus tanpa perlawanan, Mbah bisa 
tolong di analisa?
 
 Rgd/Nini
 
 
 
 
 
 From: jsx_consultant [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2008 10:04:40 AM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz
 
 SEMUA SEKTOR akan naik pada penutupan...
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Thomas Frederick 
 thomaszone_2000@ wrote:
 
  sektor apa mbah?? suerr nih pusing mikirin sektornya... kepukul 
 kiri kanan nih mbahh
  
  
  
  Thank You! 
   
  ThomaS FredericK
  
  --- On Tue, 10/28/08, jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ wrote:
  
  From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2008, 9:56 PM
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, tjoa_to_hing 
  tjoa_to_hing@ ... wrote:
  
   mbah ada apa nih kok ihsg ngak bisa naik?
   menurut bandarmologi gimana?
  
  
  SIALAN, mau istirahat, BD muncul lagi
  
  JANGAN MAU KETEPU... HOLD+BUY... IHSG pasti naik banyak hari 
ini...
 
 
 
 
 
 
 + +
 + + + + +
 Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
 + + + + +
 + +Yahoo! Groups Links





[obrolan-bandar] Re: MBAH TOLONG KOMENTAR TTG PGAS

2008-10-29 Terurut Topik tirta858
Sorry dari 1H08 


--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Tommy Jayamudita 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Yen menguat 45% atas USD, nggak salah pak? Bukankah tertinggi Yen 
kemarin hanya sampai 92.
 
 Salam,
 TJ
 
 
   - Original Message - 
   From: tirta858 
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
   Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2008 3:27 PM
   Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: MBAH TOLONG KOMENTAR TTG PGAS
 
 
   Utang PGAS dalam yen 33% yen sudah menguat 45% dalam seminggu 
ini, 
   itu lah alasannya kenapa pgas di hajar turun
 
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Happy Pinguin 
   pinguinhappy@ wrote:
   
Mbah, 

Pgas knp payah sekali, turun terus tanpa perlawanan, Mbah bisa 
   tolong di analisa?

Rgd/Nini





From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2008 10:04:40 AM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz

SEMUA SEKTOR akan naik pada penutupan...



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Thomas Frederick 
thomaszone_2000@ wrote:

 sektor apa mbah?? suerr nih pusing mikirin sektornya... 
kepukul 
kiri kanan nih mbahh
 
 
 
 Thank You! 
 
 ThomaS FredericK
 
 --- On Tue, 10/28/08, jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ wrote:
 
 From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2008, 9:56 PM
 
 
 
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, tjoa_to_hing 
 tjoa_to_hing@ ... wrote:
 
  mbah ada apa nih kok ihsg ngak bisa naik?
  menurut bandarmologi gimana?
 
 
 SIALAN, mau istirahat, BD muncul lagi
 
 JANGAN MAU KETEPU... HOLD+BUY... IHSG pasti naik banyak hari 
   ini...






+ +
+ + + + +
Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
+ + + + +
+ +Yahoo! Groups Links
   





[obrolan-bandar] Re: MBAH TOLONG KOMENTAR TTG PGAS

2008-10-29 Terurut Topik tirta858
PGAS :

JPY mn loan 1H08 = 36,375 in Rp 3,154 bln as of 28 Oct Rp 4577 bln 
different 45% 

Angsuran 1 taun 2013 mature 2043




--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Sorry dari 1H08 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Tommy Jayamudita 
 jayamudita@ wrote:
 
  Yen menguat 45% atas USD, nggak salah pak? Bukankah tertinggi Yen 
 kemarin hanya sampai 92.
  
  Salam,
  TJ
  
  
- Original Message - 
From: tirta858 
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2008 3:27 PM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: MBAH TOLONG KOMENTAR TTG PGAS
  
  
Utang PGAS dalam yen 33% yen sudah menguat 45% dalam seminggu 
 ini, 
itu lah alasannya kenapa pgas di hajar turun
  
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Happy Pinguin 
pinguinhappy@ wrote:

 Mbah, 
 
 Pgas knp payah sekali, turun terus tanpa perlawanan, Mbah 
bisa 
tolong di analisa?
 
 Rgd/Nini
 
 
 
 
 
 From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2008 10:04:40 AM
 Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz
 
 SEMUA SEKTOR akan naik pada penutupan...
 
 
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Thomas Frederick 
 thomaszone_2000@ wrote:
 
  sektor apa mbah?? suerr nih pusing mikirin sektornya... 
 kepukul 
 kiri kanan nih mbahh
  
  
  
  Thank You! 
  
  ThomaS FredericK
  
  --- On Tue, 10/28/08, jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ 
wrote:
  
  From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2008, 9:56 PM
  
  
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, tjoa_to_hing 
  tjoa_to_hing@ ... wrote:
  
   mbah ada apa nih kok ihsg ngak bisa naik?
   menurut bandarmologi gimana?
  
  
  SIALAN, mau istirahat, BD muncul lagi
  
  JANGAN MAU KETEPU... HOLD+BUY... IHSG pasti naik banyak 
hari 
ini...
 
 
 
 
 
 
 + +
 + + + + +
 Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus 
 kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas.
 + + + + +
 + +Yahoo! Groups Links

 





[obrolan-bandar] Re: MBAH TOLONG KOMENTAR TTG PGAS

2008-10-29 Terurut Topik tirta858
Ini statement dari research pake. 

1H08 ratenya 86.72
28 Oct 125.83

Coba aja di check lagi kebenarannya





--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, kangduren [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 itu statement ato perhitungan sendiri mas? saya ga jelas.
 
 salam
 
 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ wrote:
 
  PGAS :
  
  JPY mn loan 1H08 = 36,375 in Rp 3,154 bln as of 28 Oct Rp 4577 
bln 
  different 45% 
  
  Angsuran 1 taun 2013 mature 2043
  
  
  
  
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 tirta858@ 
  wrote:
  
   Sorry dari 1H08 
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Tommy Jayamudita 
   jayamudita@ wrote:
   
Yen menguat 45% atas USD, nggak salah pak? Bukankah tertinggi 
Yen 
   kemarin hanya sampai 92.

Salam,
TJ


  - Original Message - 
  From: tirta858 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
  Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2008 3:27 PM
  Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: MBAH TOLONG KOMENTAR TTG PGAS


  Utang PGAS dalam yen 33% yen sudah menguat 45% dalam 
seminggu 
   ini, 
  itu lah alasannya kenapa pgas di hajar turun

  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Happy Pinguin 
  pinguinhappy@ wrote:
  
   Mbah, 
   
   Pgas knp payah sekali, turun terus tanpa perlawanan, Mbah 
  bisa 
  tolong di analisa?
   
   Rgd/Nini
   
   
   
   
   
   From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
   Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2008 10:04:40 AM
   Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz
   
   SEMUA SEKTOR akan naik pada penutupan...
   
   
   
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Thomas Frederick 
   thomaszone_2000@ wrote:
   
sektor apa mbah?? suerr nih pusing mikirin sektornya... 
   kepukul 
   kiri kanan nih mbahh



Thank You! 

ThomaS FredericK

--- On Tue, 10/28/08, jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ 
  wrote:

From: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Re: mbah komentar plz
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2008, 9:56 PM






--- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, tjoa_to_hing 
tjoa_to_hing@ ... wrote:

 mbah ada apa nih kok ihsg ngak bisa naik?
 menurut bandarmologi gimana?


SIALAN, mau istirahat, BD muncul lagi

JANGAN MAU KETEPU... HOLD+BUY... IHSG pasti naik banyak 
  hari 
  ini...
   
   
   
   
   
   
   + +
   + + + + +
   Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama 
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[obrolan-bandar] JSX Chart new outlook

2008-10-27 Terurut Topik tirta858
Mudah mudahan dapat membantu

http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/8608/dsdahq5.gif






[obrolan-bandar] Dow could drop 1100 pts at open

2008-10-26 Terurut Topik tirta858
Dow future auto reject di max turun 550



[obrolan-bandar] Re: VERY Very important! Dow is making the notorious bear pennant

2008-10-24 Terurut Topik tirta858
Hang on!!! almost there. Probably 2000pts drop from the break down of 
the triangle!








--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, tirta858 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:

 Bear pennant is the begining of long bear market. 
 
 After a big dump, this bear flag sets the stage for another 
quick 
 and even larger fall.  Volume decreases considerably in the flag, 
but 
 the break to the downside is accompanied by a big increase in 
activity 
 
 
 Here is 22/10/08 INDU 9:00 AM US Chart
 
 http://img241.imageshack.us/img241/6894/djiaoe6.gif
 
 
 Here is all the explaination.
 
 http://www.chartpatterns.com/flagandpennantcharts.htm
 
 INDU has all the characteristic.
 
 Hopefully the chart was wrong but if its correct hopefully we all 
 prepare and have time to cover safely. The breaks up or down could 
 happen this or next week.





[obrolan-bandar] Bloomberg :Hundreds of hegde fund will fail and market will shut down.

2008-10-24 Terurut Topik tirta858
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchivesid=ax3ZRmJRccyo






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