[osint] Tsunami-hit Thais told: Buy six planes or face EU tariffs

2005-01-20 Thread R.A. Hettinga

http://news.scotsman.com/print.cfm?id=66782005referringtemplate=http%3A%2F%2Fnews%2Escotsman%2Ecom%2Ftopics%2Ecfmreferringquerystring=tid%3D591%26id%3D66782005


The Scotsman

Wed 19 Jan 2005

Tsunami-hit Thais told: Buy six planes or face EU tariffs

FRASER NELSON
POLITICAL EDITOR


 TSUNAMI-struck Thailand has been told by the European Commission that it
must buy six A380 Airbus aircraft if it wants to escape the tariffs against
its fishing industry.

 While millions of Europeans are sending aid to Thailand to help its
recovery, trade authorities in Brussels are demanding that Thai Airlines,
its national carrier, pays £1.3 billion to buy its double-decker aircraft.

 The demand will come as a deep embarrassment to Peter Mandelson, the trade
commissioner, whose officials started the negotiation before the disaster
struck Thailand - killing tens of thousands of people and damaging its
economy.

 While aid workers from across Europe are helping to rebuild Thai
livelihoods, trade officials in Brussels are concluding a jets-for-prawns
deal, which they had hoped to announce next month.

 As the world's largest producer of prawns, Thailand has become so
efficient that its wares are half the price of those caught by Norway, the
main producer of prawns for the EU.

 To ensure the Thais cannot compete, EU officials five years ago removed
its shrimp industry from the EU's generalised system of preferential
tariffs - designed to share Western wealth with developing countries by
trade.

 The EU has instead slapped a tariff of 12 per cent on its fish - three
times that imposed on prawns from Malaysia, its neighbour. This is still
less than the US tariff on Thai prawns: 97 per cent.

 The prawn tax is one in a series of protectionist measures expected to
cost east Asia some £130 million each year - money being taken from its
economies while EU citizens donate millions in charity.

 Five days after the tsunami struck, the EU legislated against Thailand by
slapping a new tariff designed to extinguish its booming trade in cumarin,
a plant extract used in perfume.

 On 31 December, the EU imposed duties of ¤3,480 (£2,430) a tonne for Thai
exports of cumarin - a move entirely designed to protect Rhodia, a French
chemicals firm and the EU's only producer of cumarin.

 Oxfam has attacked the tariffs, saying: When countries are lying
prostrate before us, it is criminal to continue to tax them on what they
sell.

 Sri Lanka has already pleaded to be exempt from EU and US textiles tariffs
as it tries to recover.

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[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience. -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'


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[osint] Tsunami’s limited impact on international relations

2005-01-13 Thread gwen831


http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?ID=10549

Tsunami's limited impact on international relations

The energy released by the Indian Ocean earthquake was equal to more
than 10'000 atomic bombs, and the resulting waves dislocated many
millions of lives, but the quake will have little impact on the
trajectory of world politics.

By Andrew Tait for ISN Security Watch 

Compared with the scale of the tsunami that struck Southeast Asia
after Christmas, the loss of human lives in the 11 September 2001
terror attacks in the US dwindles in significance, but those attacks
triggered a seismic upheaval in international relations. 
More than three years later, there is little left of the liberal
certainty that the end of the Cold War marked the end of ideological
conflict and the beginning of gradual, unexciting progress. Since 11
September, the consensus has been that the civilized world (the
industrialized west) is locked in combat with irrational and violent
elements from the underdeveloped world (especially the Muslim world).
The war on terror has shifted geopolitical reality closer to Samuel
Huntingdon's vision of a clash of civilizations than to Francis
Fukuyama's more optimistic end of history. There is little room in
such an us-or-them worldview for coping effectively with natural
disasters on a global scale. 
The Asian tsunami may have been the most lethal in history, but it is
certainly not the only humanitarian tragedy the world has faced in
recent times – a little over a decade ago, about 138'000 people died
in flooding from a cyclone in Bangladesh, and in 1970's Cyclone Bhola,
an estimated 500'000 died. And tragic though the death toll from the
Asian tsunami is, diseases such as malaria and tuberculosis are a much
greater disaster, and far easier to prevent. It is estimated that
malaria kills between 1.5 million and 2.7 million people a year – one
child every second. The death toll in natural disasters can often be
drastically reduced by better preventive and predictive technology and
better emergency services - but in most recent disasters, a high death
toll in a Third World country has not been enough to propel disaster
management into a secure place on the global agenda. 

More disasters likely 

This is unfortunate, as further humanitarian catastrophes on a similar
or larger scale are absolutely certain as a result of continued global
population growth colliding with stagnating economic growth,
especially in the Third World. The world's population has increased
rapidly over the last couple of centuries with the spread of
industrialization and scientific medicine; it has risen astronomically
in the last half-century. But economic growth has not always kept pace
with population growth, especially in the last two decades. 
Some communities, such as the fishing villages on the Indian Ocean's
coast eke out a precarious traditional living, facing not only
competition from other traditional fishermen, but more seriously, from
the commercial fishing industry that supplies demand in the advanced
economies. 
In other countries, such as Turkey and Iran, rapid urbanization
without corresponding economic growth has led to unemployment and
poor-quality, high-density accommodation. In both cases, these
populations are vulnerable to natural disasters, and in both cases the
root cause is the poverty of these communities. The negative economic
effects of disasters affecting subsistence farmers and fishers are
simply too insignificant on a national, let alone a global scale to
call forth the necessary investment to prevent the repeat of
large-scale death tolls, while shoddy building techniques and
overcrowding mean that urban dwellers in the Third World are more
vulnerable to earthquakes and fires. Exactly one year before the Asian
tsunami, a relatively small earthquake (6.3 on the Richter scale)
flattened the southern Iranian city of Bam, killing an estimated
26'271 people. Earthquakes up to 8.0 on the Richter scale have been
measured in Japan without causing any casualties. 

Prevention and response 

California Institute of Technology seismologist Dr Kerry Sieh told the
New York Times that poor countries did not suffer more natural
disasters than rich countries, but were less prepared for them and
less able to cope in the aftermath. Had the tsunami originated off the
eastern coast of Indonesia, in the Pacific Ocean, the cost in human
lives would have been dramatically checked by the sophisticated
Pacific tsunami warning system – an international network of
seismological instruments and deep-sea sensors linked by satellite to
24-hour monitoring stations. According to an academic interviewed by
the Los Angeles Times, a similar tsunami warning system covering the
whole globe, not just the Indian Ocean, could be set up for as little
as US$150 million. 
While the media is now dominated by reports of the massive aid efforts
currently underway and the even more massive promises for the future,
aid on its own is 

[osint] Tsunami must be fault of the US

2004-12-31 Thread R.A. Hettinga

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/printpage/0,5942,11813903,00.html
The Australian: Gerard Baker:


 Tsunami must be fault of the US

31dec04

INEVITABLY, confronted with a tragedy of unimaginable scale, the human mind
looks for someone to blame. In the Dark Ages, disasters were ascribed to
the wrath of God. Now, in an odd inversion that we like to think of as
progress, they are adduced as evidence of no God.

 In the absence of a deity to decry or appease when the earth moves in such
devastating fashion, humankind reaches for the next best thing - worldly
authority. Authority should have known it was coming. Authority didn't do
enough to prevent it. Authority was too preoccupied with its own nefarious
priorities to care.

 There is plenty of authority to blame for the devastation caused by the
Sumatran earthquake this week. Governments in Bangkok, Jakarta and Colombo
will shoulder some of it. Governments farther afield will be inculpated for
the poverty of their response. Media organisations will be attacked for
being too callous and too mawkish. Unsurprisingly, perhaps the most
inviting target is the US.

 In the past three days I have been impressed by the originality of the
latest critiques of the evil Americans. The earthquake and tsunami
apparently had something to do with global warming, environmentalists say,
caused of course by greedy American motorists. Then there was the rumour
that the US military base at Diego Garcia was forewarned of the impending
disaster and presumably because of some CIA-approved plot to undermine
Islamic movements in Indonesia and Thailand did nothing about it.

 To be fair, even the most animated America-hater, though, baulks at the
idea of blaming George W. Bush for the destruction and death in southern
Asia. But the US is blamed for not responding generously enough to help the
victims of the catastrophe. A UN official this week derided Washington's
contribution as stingy.

 It is a label that fits the general image abroad of greedy, self-absorbed
Americans. They neither know nor care much about the woes of the rest of
the world, do they? Did the tsunami even get a look-in on US TV news
between the holiday schmalz and the football games, I have been sneeringly
asked once or twice this week by contemptuous British friends.

 The answer is yes, it did. News coverage of the event has been extensive,
and for the most part intelligent and mercifully free of the sort of
parochialism about holidaymakers that characterises so much of the European
press accounts. There have been some lapses -- the New York newspaper that
carried on its front page the Manhattan supermodel's harrowing tale of
survival as her boyfriend was swept away by a tidal wave. There has perhaps
been a little too much what if it happened here? alarmist self-absorption.

 But for the most part Americans have watched a sobering, heartbreaking
tale of unimagined calamity unfold halfway across the world. You get a
sense of the heterogeneity of this country when something such as this
happens. Every newspaper in every big city has been carrying stories about
local Sri Lankan, Indonesian, Thai and Malaysian communities traumatised by
the long-distance search for relatives and friends.

 Further, in financial terms, it is not at all clear that the US is
shirking its responsibilities, pledging an initial $US35 million
($45.1million) in aid, with the prospect of much more to come, and offering
military assistance. You can be sure that the private US response will be
even more impressive. Don't misunderstand me. I am not suggesting that
Americans are any more generous than anyone else -- simply that they, too,
are moved to mercy by the plight of others.

 But even as we seek to apportion blame when catastrophe strikes, we are
gripped too by a kind of fatalism. We stand in awe of nature and feel
helpless before its apparently insuperable power. The rising death toll in
Southeast Asia seems to mock our pretensions to progress. We may have been
to the moon, eradicated smallpox and created eBay, we think, but when the
tectonic plates move we are no more secure than were the barefoot citizens
of Pompeii.

 Yet the truth is not so grim. For centuries, steady progress has been made
in the struggle to limit the effects of natural disasters. Last year, an
earthquake that measured 6.6 on the Richter scale killed more than 40,000
people in the Iranian city of Bam. In 1989, a more powerful earthquake
struck outside San Francisco. The death toll was fewer than 100. Of course
there were demographic and geologic differences that contributed to the
disparity. Of course there will never be a fail-safe protection against the
most destructive efforts of nature. But it is within our reach to build
systems that can mitigate their effects.

 Years of scientific effort and technological investment have given the
world seismic sensors; early warning systems; buildings that can bounce up
and down on stilts buried deep in the earth; flood 

[osint] Tsunami

2004-12-29 Thread R.A. Hettinga

Click the link for a rather riveting series of pictures.

http://coreykoberg.com/Tsunami/

These were taken by my former roommate's co-worker who was visiting Thailand.  
 I think it shows the force of the water more than anything I've seen on TV
so far and how truly unaware people were of the destructive power of waves
of this size.








Europeans are by far the largest group of tourists to frequent the areas
affected, but sadly their stinginess and hesitation to aid the areas
they've enjoyed for years is apparent.
 C'mon Europe, do the right thing and donate!
email me

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 






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... however it may deserve respect for its usefulness and antiquity,
[predicting the end of the world] has not been found agreeable to
experience. -- Edward Gibbon, 'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'


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