Re: Whither the Fed?

2004-08-07 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
... and make the next POTUS John Kerry a weak president without a
big mandate at the same time.)
Is there a subtle flaw here?  If either Kerry or Bush is elected
they will have a big mandate. It just won't be from the people, but
the corporate purchasers. I fear the people's mandate can no
longer be given through the present electoral process.
Dan Scanlan
The larger the shares of popular votes for the Democratic and
Republican presidential candidates, the bigger the next POTUS's
mandate will be, though the mandate is more apparent than real, as
you say.
--
Yoshie
* Critical Montages: http://montages.blogspot.com/
* Greens for Nader: http://greensfornader.net/
* Bring Them Home Now! http://www.bringthemhomenow.org/
* Calendars of Events in Columbus:
http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/calendar.html,
http://www.freepress.org/calendar.php,  http://www.cpanews.org/
* Student International Forum: http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/
* Committee for Justice in Palestine: http://www.osudivest.org/
* Al-Awda-Ohio: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Al-Awda-Ohio
* Solidarity: http://www.solidarity-us.org/


re PPP comparisons

2004-08-07 Thread michael a. lebowitz


I
don't know anything myself about the way the PPP is constructed or the
neoclassical assumptions that Paul proposed were used. Intuitively,
though, it makes real sense to select the PPP measure (ie., something
that takes into account prices) over one using market exchange rates.
Eg., according to the dollar/cuban peso market exchange rate, we might
conclude that Cubans live on the equivalent of $20 USD per month. Anyone
think that tells us very much about the Cuban standard of living?
michael
PPP comparisons
by sam pawlett
05 August 2004 14:54 UTC

  
Thread
Index

  


Take a simple example of Japan and the US. Say the market
exchange rate


is 110 Yens = One US$. Now take an equivalent basket--in quantity
and


quality--that contains a burger with fries and a drink. It costs
450


Yens in Tokyo and US$ 2.50 in New York. The PPP exchange rate is
then


180 Yens = One US$ (450/2.50). There is nothing imaginary about the
PPP


exchange rate since it gives you the purchasing power of a
country's


currency vis-a-vis the US dollar.





One thing I've never understood about PPP, is it an attempt to
measure
-what it is like living in a poor country- or is the idea more modest
as
the above paragraph suggests trying to demonstrate what the
market
equivalent amount of currency buys in a given country? For example the
PPP GDP or GNP per capita of a country is $US 500. Does this mean that
living in that country on that given amount of money is like living in
the USA on the same amount of money?

PPP (and the averaging and aggregating that goes on) can be
misleading.A string sampling bias exists. There are no price
differences
between countries in goods and services that are offered by MNC's. The
costs of Mcdonalds,Bechtel water, Enron nat. gas, or a Blockbuster
video
is the same across geographical space with very limited differential.
The IMF and its coat-tailers always (and ,yes, still) say that the most
important economic fundamental is getting prices right. The right price
or international market price always seems to be what the good or
service costs in the USA. How could it be otherwise, inflation always
exists and the bulk of demand for the goods and services offered
by
MNC's is still in the North hemisphere. Ultimately, the WTO project
gets
more goods and services to cost what they cost in the USA and
Europe.
And as that happens, people's access to those goods and services
becomes
more limited, Bechtel water in South Africa for example.

 The products offered by local or import substituting businesses
cost
much less. The marlboro, pizza hut or coca-cola knockoff costs %25 as
much. The more foreign based products it counts in its basket of goods,
the bigger the PPP number will be. As the world becomes globalized
and
the stricter that gov'ts enforce WTO rules, the Atlas rather than ppp
will come closer to the truth especially with imports and exports being
priced in US dollars and the ongoing dollarization of world economies.
I
don't think this is an unimportant quibble, as it represents trends
sometimes called combined and uneven development.

Sam Pawlett




Michael A. Lebowitz
Professor Emeritus
Economics Department
Simon Fraser University
Burnaby, B.C., Canada V5A 1S6

Currently based in Venezuela. Can be reached at
Residencias Anauco Suites
Departamento 601
Parque Central, Zona Postal 1010, Oficina 1
Caracas, Venezuela
(58-212) 573-4111
fax: (58-212) 573-7724



Al Gore for overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2000

2004-08-07 Thread Louis Proyect
The New Yorker
January 22, 2001
LETTER FROM WASHINGTON
THE IRAQ FACTOR;
Will the new Bush team's old memories shape its foreign policy?
BYLINE: NICHOLAS LEMANN
Let's assume, just for argument's sake, that George W. Bush's Presidency
will have certain similarities to his father's-even that it will be a
continuation of his father's, with the added elements of a surer
political touch (especially in dealing with the conservative wing of the
Republican Party) and a predilection for settling scores with people who
did the old man wrong. The Presidential term limit has automatically
taken care of Bill Clinton, the dethroner of George H. W. Bush. So who
else might there be who was a major enemy to Bush Administration One,
and could be given a comeuppance in Bush Administration Two? Might not
the first name on the list be Saddam Hussein?
It is true that Bush One administered a swift and splendid thrashing to
Saddam in the Gulf War, but he is still defiantly in power in Iraq. His
longevity rivals Fidel Castro's-Saddam has effectively been running Iraq
since the Nixon Administration. In 1993, a year when Saddam was supposed
to be history and Bush was supposed to be President, Saddam tried to
have Bush assassinated. For almost ten years, the Bush One team has had
to endure the accusation, rich in retrospective wisdom, that it could
have nailed Saddam if only it had been willing to prosecute the Gulf War
for a few more days. Now two of the leading accusees, Colin Powell and
Dick Cheney, are assuming positions at the very top of the American
government, subordinate only to the firstborn son of another of the
leading accusees. Lots of other, lesser known Gulf War planners will
probably be high-level officials in the new Bush Administration.
The idea of overthrowing Saddam is not an idle fantasy-or, if it is,
it's one that has lately occupied the minds of many American officials,
including people close to George W. Bush. In 1998, during the period
when Saddam was resisting the international inspection team that was
trying to make sure he wasn't manufacturing weapons of mass destruction,
Congress passed, and President Clinton signed, the Iraq Liberation Act,
which made available ninety-seven million dollars in government aid to
organizations dedicated to the overthrow of Saddam. Two of the act's
co-sponsors were Senators Trent Lott and Joseph Lieberman-not peripheral
figures on Capitol Hill. Clinton was unenthusiastic about the Iraq
Liberation Act and has spent almost none of the money it provides, but
Al Gore, during the Presidential campaign, put some distance between
himself and Clinton on the issue of removing Saddam. In the second
Presidential debate, after defending his Administration's Iraq record,
he said, I want to go further. I want to give robust support to the
groups that are trying to overthrow Saddam Hussein.
(clip)
It is noteworthy that so many members of the Bush officialdom, including
Bush himself, have publicly toyed with the option of toppling Saddam,
because that is not the consensus position in the foreign-policy world.
In January of 1999, shortly after the passage of the Iraq Liberation
Act, Foreign Affairs published a devastating article called The
Rollback Fantasy, which said that arming the Iraqi National Congress
is militarily ludicrous and so flawed and unrealistic that it would
lead inexorably to a replay of the Bay of Pigs. Still, the idea keeps
coming up. Kenneth Adelman, the former head of the Arms Control and
Disarmament Agency and a member of the Cheney-Rumsfeld camp, told me,
Ideally, the first crisis would be something with Iraq. It would be a
way to make the point that it's a new world.
The Washington headquarters of the Iraq-liberation cause is located in
the basement of a brick town house in Georgetown, where a man named
Francis Brooke, who constitutes the entire (unpaid) staff of the Iraq
Liberation Action Committee, lives with his wife and children. Not long
ago, I spent a morning with Brooke, who calls to mind a
twenty-years-older Holden Caulfield. He has neatly parted blond hair,
round wire-rimmed glasses, and a boy's open face, innocent manner, and
undimmed capacity for outrage. In 1992, Brooke got a job in London with
a public-relations agency run by a former Carter Administration
political operative named John Rendon. He was assigned to publicize
atrocities committed by Saddam Hussein, and was given a peculiarly high
budget (including compensation for him of nineteen thousand dollars a
month); Rendon wouldn't name the client. Brooke soon realized that he
was working for the C.I.A. He then maneuvered himself into the most
sensitive part of the operation, assisting the Iraqi National Congress.
The congress had just been set up, with blessings and funding from the
Bush Administration, which evidently had spent the better part of the
year following the Gulf War in the hope that Saddam would fall, and
then, realizing that he wouldn't, had settled on supporting an armed
opposition. 

Re: Tariq Ali on the US election

2004-08-07 Thread Carl Remick
From: Yoshie Furuhashi [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Before getting to the point of actually being able to split the
Democratic and Republican Parties, we need an intermediate goal: do
what we can to make the next POTUS a weak president, rather than a
strong one.  To do so, we need to decrease the shares of popular
votes that go to the Democratic and Republican presidential
candidates.
--
Yoshie
Fewer votes mean a weaker president?  Dream on.  GWB lost the popular vote,
and that didn't stop him from being the rootin'-tootin'-est,
sure-as-shootin'-est hombre north, south, east, and west of the Pecos once
he got into office.  Mandates are for girlie men, as the governor of CA
might put it.
Carl
Badges? We ain't got no badges. We don't need no badges. I don't have to
show you any stinking badges!
 -- Gold Hat, The Treasure of the Sierra Madre
_
Check out Election 2004 for up-to-date election news, plus voter tools and
more! http://special.msn.com/msn/election2004.armx


The New School of the Americas

2004-08-07 Thread ken hanly
Apologies if this was posted earlier. It seems that renaming is regarded as
a good substitute for doing away with torture and repression.


Cheers, Ken Hanly

http://www.laweekly.com/ink/04/35/news-ireland.php

LA Weekly July 23 - 29, 2004

Teaching Torture

Congress quietly keeps School of the Americas alive

by Doug Ireland

Remember how congressional leaders on both sides of the aisle deplored the
torture of prisoners at Abu Ghraib as un-American? Last Thursday, however,
the House quietly passed a renewed appropriation that keeps open the U.S.'s
most infamous torture-teaching institution, known as the School of the
Americas (SOA), where the illegal physical and psychological abuse of
prisoners of the kind the world condemned at Abu Ghraib and worse has been
routinely taught for years.

A relic of the Cold War, the SOA was originally set up to train military,
police and intelligence officers of U.S. allies south of the border in the
fight against insurgencies Washington labeled Communist. In reality, the
SOA's graduates have been the shock troops of political repression, propping
up a string of dictatorial and repressive regimes favored by the Pentagon.

The interrogation manuals long used at the SOA were made public in May by
the National Security Archive, an independent research group, and posted on
its Web site after they were declassified following Freedom of Information
Act requests by, among others, the Baltimore Sun. In releasing the manuals,
the NSA noted that they describe 'coercive techniques' such as those used
to mistreat the detainees at Abu Ghraib.

The Abu Ghraib torture techniques have been field-tested by SOA graduates -
seven of the U.S. Army interrogation manuals that were translated into
Spanish, used at the SOA's trainings and distributed to our allies, offered
instruction on torture, beatings and assassination. As Dr. Miles Schuman, a
physician with the Canadian Centre for Victims of Torture who has documented
torture cases and counseled their victims, graphically wrote in the May 14
Toronto Globe and Mail under the headline Abu Ghraib: The Rule, Not the
Exception:

The black hood covering the faces of naked prisoners in Abu Ghraib was
known as la capuchi in Guatemalan and Salvadoran torture chambers. The metal
bed frame to which the naked and hooded detainee was bound in a crucifix
position in Abu Ghraib was la cama, named for a former Chilean prisoner who
survived the U.S.-installed regime of General Augusto Pinochet. In her case,
electrodes were attached to her arms, legs and genitalia, just as they were
attached to the Iraqi detainee poised on a box, threatened with
electrocution if he fell off. The Iraqi man bound naked on the ground with a
leash attached to his neck, held by a smiling young American recruit,
reminds me of the son of peasant organizers who recounted his agonizing
torture at the hands of the Tonton Macoutes, U.S.-backed dictator
John-Claude (Baby Doc) Duvalier's right-hand thugs, in Port-au-Prince in
1984. The very act of photographing those tortured in Abu Ghraib to
humiliate and silence parallels the experience of an American missionary,
Sister Diana Ortiz, who was tortured and gang-raped repeatedly under
supervision by an American in 1989, according to her testimony before the
Congressional Human Rights Caucus.

The long history of torture by U.S.-trained thugs in Latin and Central
America under the command of SOA graduates has also been capaciously
documented by human-rights organizations like Amnesty International (in its
2002 report titled Unmatched Power, Unmet Principles) and in books like
A.J. Langguth's Hidden Terrors, William Blum's Rogue State and Lawrence
Weschler's A Miracle, a Universe. In virtually every report on human-rights
abuses from Latin America, SOA graduates are prominent. A U.N. Truth
Commission report said that over two-thirds of the Salvadoran officers it
cites for abuses are SOA graduates. Forty percent of the Cabinet members
under three sanguinary Guatemalan dictatorships were SOA graduates. And the
list goes on . . .

In 2000, the Pentagon engaged in a smoke-screen attempt to give the SOA a
face-lift by changing its name to the Western Hemispheric Institute for
Security Cooperation (WHINSEC) as part of a claimed reform program. But,
as the late GOP Senator Paul Coverdale of Georgia (where SOA-WHINSEC is
located) said at the time, the changes to the school were basically
cosmetic.

The lobbying campaign to close SOA-WHINSEC has been led by School of the
Americas Watch, founded by religious activists after the 1990s murder of
four U.S. nuns by Salvadoran death squads under command of one of SOA's most
infamous graduates, Colonel Roberto D'Aubuisson. Lest you think that the
school's links to atrocities are all in the distant past, SOA Watch has
documented a raft of recent scandals postdating the Pentagon's chimerical
reform. Here are just a few of them:

In June 2001, Colonel Byron Lima Estrada, an SOA grad who was head of

Re: Al Gore for overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2000

2004-08-07 Thread Marvin Gandall
Louis Proyect quoting the New Yorker article:

 The idea of overthrowing Saddam is not an idle fantasy-or, if it is,
 it's one that has lately occupied the minds of many American officials,
 including people close to George W. Bush. In 1998, during the period
 when Saddam was resisting the international inspection team that was
 trying to make sure he wasn't manufacturing weapons of mass destruction,
 Congress passed, and President Clinton signed, the Iraq Liberation Act,
 which made available ninety-seven million dollars in government aid to
 organizations dedicated to the overthrow of Saddam. Two of the act's
 co-sponsors were Senators Trent Lott and Joseph Lieberman-not peripheral
 figures on Capitol Hill. Clinton was unenthusiastic about the Iraq
 Liberation Act and has spent almost none of the money it provides, but
 Al Gore, during the Presidential campaign, put some distance between
 himself and Clinton on the issue of removing Saddam. In the second
 Presidential debate, after defending his Administration's Iraq record,
 he said, I want to go further. I want to give robust support to the
 groups that are trying to overthrow Saddam Hussein.
---
But this -- the Iraq Liberation Act -- is old news. It's well established
that it was under the Clinton admin that the Iraq policy shifted from
containment to the overthrow of Saddam. But this was to be accomplished via
an internal military coup using Iraqi exile groups as a conduit, with the
conditions for such to be created by economic sanctions, acting in
conjunction with the UN and the Europeans. It was also, as the article
notes, a back burner issue for the Democrats.

As we know, the Republicans made overthrowing the Baathist regime a foreign
policy priority. They decided to invade and occupy Iraq with US forces,
forcefully breaking with the US foreign policy establishment, the UN, and
the Europeans over this matter. Gore, again as the article notes, continued
with the Clinton line of support to groups inside Iraq.

Whether you think invasion/occupation versus sanctions/subversion represents
only a nuance of difference or is more significant than that is a matter of
judgment, of course. Certainly, you can make a case that the sanctions cost
many lives -- perhaps as many or more than the invasion and subsequent
occupation. But I think, if forced to choose, the Iraqis would still have
preferred to continue contesting and evading the sanctions rather than face
occupation by an invading American army. To be sure, I haven't seen any
evidence of Iraqis shrugging their shoulders and dismissing the US invasion
as being really no different than the UN sanctions. I've only seen this
view expressed by a minority of the US left which appears to dismiss that
there are any differences within the American ruling class and between
states which can and should be exploited in the interest of the world's
peoples.

Marv Gandall


Re: Al Gore for overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2000

2004-08-07 Thread Louis Proyect
Marvin Gandall wrote:
Whether you think invasion/occupation versus sanctions/subversion represents
only a nuance of difference or is more significant than that is a matter of
judgment, of course. Certainly, you can make a case that the sanctions cost
many lives -- perhaps as many or more than the invasion and subsequent
occupation. But I think, if forced to choose, the Iraqis would still have
preferred to continue contesting and evading the sanctions rather than face
occupation by an invading American army.
Of course. That is why the US ruling class opted for war rather than
sanctions. They were becoming ineffective. Wars are made by a class, not
individuals by the way.
--
Marxism list: www.marxmail.org


The West's pursuit of democracy in the Arab world

2004-08-07 Thread ken hanly
Toronto Star July 20, 2004

Why tyrants rule Arabs

For 60 years, the West has propped up Arab despots, creating poverty and
illiteracy where education once thrived

By Gwynne Dyer

It was just a random statistic, but a telling one: Only 300 books were
translated into Arabic last year. That is about one foreign title per
million Arabs. For comparison's sake, Greece translated 1,500
foreign-language books, or about 150 titles per million Greeks. Why is the
Arab world so far behind, not only in this but in practically all the arts
and sciences?

The first-order answer is poverty and lack of education: Almost half of
Arabic-speaking women are illiterate.

But the Arab world used to be the most literate part of the planet; what
went wrong? Tyranny and economic failure, obviously. But why is tyranny such
a problem in the Arab world? That brings us to the nub of the matter.

In a speech in November, 2003, President George W. Bush revisited his
familiar refrain about how the West has to remake the Arab world in its own
image in order to stop the terrorism: Sixty years of Western nations
excusing and accommodating the lack of freedom in the Middle East did
nothing to make us safe ... because in the long run, stability cannot be
purchased at the expense of liberty - as if the Arab world had wilfully
chosen to be ruled by these corrupt and incompetent tyrannies.

But the West didn't just excuse and accommodate these regimes. It created
them, in order to protect its own interests - and it spent the latter half
of the 20th century keeping them in power for the same reason.

It was Britain that carved the kingdom of Jordan out of the old Ottoman
province of Syria after World War I and put the Hashemite ruling family on
the throne that it still occupies.

France similarly carved Lebanon out of Syria in order to create a loyal
Christian-majority state that controlled most of the Syrian coastline - and
when time and a higher Muslim birth rate eventually led to a revolt against
the Maronite Christian stranglehold on power in Lebanon in 1958, U.S. troops
were sent in to restore it. The Lebanese civil war of 1975-'90, tangled
though it was, was basically a continuation of that struggle.

Britain also imposed a Hashemite monarchy on Iraq after 1918, and
deliberately perpetuated the political monopoly of the Sunni minority that
it had inherited from Turkish rule.

When the Iraqi monarchy was finally overthrown in 1958 and the Baath party
won the struggle that followed, the CIA gave the Iraqi Baathists the names
of all the senior members of the Iraqi Communist party (then the main
political vehicle of the Shias) so they could be liquidated.

It was Britain that turned the traditional sheikhdoms in the Gulf into
separate little sovereign states and absolute monarchies, carving Kuwait out
of Iraq in the process. Saudi Arabia, however, was a joint Anglo-U.S.
project.

The British Foreign Office welcomed the Egyptian generals' overthrow of King
Farouk and the destruction of the country's old nationalist political
parties, failing to foresee that Gamal Abdul Nasser would eventually take
over the Suez Canal. When he did, the foreign office conspired with France
and Israel to attack Egypt in a failed attempt to overthrow him.

Once Nasser died and was succeeded by generals more willing to play along
with the West - Anwar Sadat, and now Hosni Mubarak - Egypt became
Washington's favourite Arab state. To help these thinly disguised dictators
to hang on to power, Egypt has ranked among the top three recipients of U.S.
foreign aid almost every year for the past quarter-century. And so it goes.


Britain welcomed the coup by Col. Moammar Gadhafi in Libya in 1969,
mistakenly seeing him as a malleable young man who could serve the West's
purposes.

The United States and France both supported the old dictator Habib Bourguiba
in Tunisia, and still back his successor Ben Ali today. They always backed
the Moroccan monarchy no matter how repressive it became, and they both gave
unquestioning support to the Algerian generals who cancelled the elections
of 1991. They did not ever waver in their support through the savage
insurgency unleashed by the suppression of the elections that killed an
estimated 120,000 Algerians over the next 10 years.

Excuse and accommodate? The West created the modern Middle East, from its
rotten regimes down to its ridiculous borders, and it did so with
contemptuous disregard for the wishes of the local people.

It is indeed a problem that most Arab governments are corrupt autocracies
that breed hatred and despair in their own people, which then fuels
terrorism against the West, but it was the West that created the problem -
and invading Iraq won't solve it.

If the U.S. really wants to foster Arab democracy, it might try making all
that aid to Egypt conditional on prompt democratic reforms. But I wouldn't
hold my breath.



Gwynne Dyer is a Canadian journalist based in London.



Maria Full of Grace

2004-08-07 Thread Louis Proyect
The 1989 British TV miniseries Traffik showed how the tentacles of the 
heroin trade reached both upwards and downwards, to rich and poor alike. 
One of the main characters was an impoverished opium farmer in Pakistan, 
who is forced into becoming a low-level employee of a trafficker after 
the army destroys his crops in an anti-drug sweep. When Steven 
Soderbergh remade the film as Traffic in 2000 and relocated it in the 
Mexican drug trade, he dispensed with all of the economically marginal 
characters who made the British film so compelling in class terms.

Writer-director Joshua Marston's Maria Full of Grace, now showing in 
New York theaters, turns Traffic upside down. Dispensing completely 
with wealthy or powerful characters, either in the drug trade or in law 
enforcement, it focuses on lowly mules. At the low end of business, 
this is the easiest way to avoid detection. Desperately poor Colombians 
are enticed into swallowing dozens of heroin pellets wrapped in condoms 
in exchange for a few thousand dollars. A promise of such a small 
fortune is worth the risk of a pellet breaking inside one's stomach and 
certain death.

Maria (Catalina Sandino Moreno) is a pregnant seventeen year old who has 
a job removing thorns from rose stems in a suburb of Bogotá. When an 
attack of morning sickness forces her to ask permission from the foreman 
to go to the bathroom, he tells her that she has already had a break and 
to continue working. She then throws up on a pile of roses, which he 
tells her to clean up and put back on the assembly line. In this 
Colombia factory, low wages and indignity go hand in hand. Despite 
lacking an alternative, she decides to quit.

Maria's boyfriend is in no position to help out, even if he loved her. 
He lives with ten other family members in a small house. But it is not 
his meager economic prospects that repel her. Rather it is his limited 
horizons on life overall. Early in the film she invites him to climb to 
the roof of her family's house so that they can make love in privacy 
while enjoying the view. He turns her down, thus symbolizing his own 
pedestrian nature. She, on the other hand, scales the walls and surveys 
the surrounding countryside with a victorious expression on her face. 
This is not a woman willing to be bound by social and familial conventions.

Since her economic prospects are so limited, she becomes a willing 
recruit to the drug trade. In a Bogotá saloon, she is introduced to a 
local dealer who lays out the job description as if she were applying to 
be a nurse or a secretary. They provide the passport, visa and drugs. 
She flies to New York City, where she will be greeted by his henchmen 
who will retrieve the drugs which by that point will have reached the 
final passages of her digestive system. Then and only then will she be 
paid. If any of the drugs are stolen, her family will be paid a visit by 
gang members. This veiled threat, uttered in a matter-of-fact manner, is 
emblematic of a film that has little use for the sort of pyrotechnics 
that typifies Traffic, Scarface et al. In this film, economic duress 
rather than a gun regulates behavior.

Her biggest trial is learning how to swallow the pellets. Lucy (Guilied 
Lopez), a veteran of the Bogotá-New York City connection, trains her 
with large grapes. After she has mastered this inhuman task, she is 
brought to the headquarters of the drug gang where she is fed more than 
fifty pellets during a long night. When she is allowed a meal break, 
they make sure to put a pellet in a bowl of soup. In either the 
Taylorist flower or drug trade, not a moment is wasted.

When Maria arrives in New York City, everything goes wrong. After Lucy, 
Maria and another mule--a fellow flower factory employee and friend 
named Blanca (Yenny Paola Vega)--are brought to a cheap hotel, Lucy 
becomes seriously ill from a pellet that has broken in transit. She is 
then killed by the two gangsters there to gather up the drugs. Maria and 
Blanca flee to a Colombian neighborhood in Queens, where they take 
refuge in the cramped apartment of Lucy's sister. The remainder of the 
film is involved with their desperate struggle to get a foothold in the 
United States, a country that Lucy described to her as too perfect 
when she first met her. At this point, the film unites drug and 
immigration themes in a seamless manner and begins to evoke El Norte, 
the memorable story of Guatemalan refugees trying to make it in Los 
Angeles. If Maria has not succeeded in the flower or drug business, 
surely there will be some other way for her to make it in the Land of 
Plenty. Her prospects for success remain an open question at the end of 
this powerfully realistic film.

If she will make it, it will be because of people like Don Fernando, a 
character who helps recent immigrants out from his travel agency office. 
Don Fernando is played by Orlando Tobon, who runs a travel agency in 
Jackson Heights.

The Los Angeles Times (Aug. 4, 

Richard Falk on the ICJ decision on Israeli wall.

2004-08-07 Thread ken hanly
Kerry is obviously not a whit better that Bush on this  matter..If the
Israelis just wanted to protect their own territory they could legally build
the wall on their territory instead of within occupied territory. The self
defence defence is a non-starter.

Cheers, Ken Hanly

http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/opinion/9194447.htm?1c

Miami Herald July 20, 2004

Support for wall mocks international law

By Richard Falk

What is most remarkable about the International Court of Justice decision on
Israel's security barrier in the West Bank is the strength of the
consensus behind it. By a vote of 14-1, the 15 distinguished jurists who
make up the highest judicial body on the planet found that the barrier is
illegal under international law and that Israel must dismantle it, as well
as compensate Palestinians for damage to their property resulting from the
barrier's construction.

The International Court of Justice has very rarely reached this degree of
unanimity in big cases. The July 9 decision was even supported by the
generally conservative British judge Rosalyn Higgins, whose intellectual
force is widely admired in the United States.

One might expect the government of Ariel Sharon to wave off this notable
consensus as an immoral and dangerous opinion. But one might expect the
United States -- even as it backed its ally Israel -- at least to take
account of the court's reasoning in its criticisms. Instead, both the Bush
administration and leading Democrats, including Senators John Kerry and
Hillary Clinton, mindlessly rejected the decision.

Even the American justice in The Hague, Thomas Buergenthal, was careful in
his lone dissent. He argued that the court did not fully explore Israel's
contention that the wall-and-fence complex is necessary for its security
before arriving at its sweeping legal conclusions. But Judge Buergenthal
also indicated that Israel was bound to adhere to international humanitarian
law, that the Palestinians were entitled to exercise their right of
self-determination and, insofar as the wall was built to protect Israeli
settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, that he had serious doubt
that the wall would. . .satisfy the proportionality requirement to qualify
as legitimate self-defense.

The nuance in Buergenthal's narrow dissent contrasts sharply with, for
instance, Kerry's categorical statement that Israel's barrier is not a
matter for the ICJ.

To the contrary, Israel's construction of the wall in the West Bank has
flagrantly violated clear standards in international law. The clarity of the
violations accounts for the willingness of the U.N. General Assembly to
request an advisory opinion on the wall from the court, a right it has never
previously exercised in relation to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The
clarity also helps to explain Israel's refusal to participate in the ICJ
proceedings -- not even to present its claim that the barrier under
construction has already reduced the incidence of suicide bombing by as much
as 90 percent.

Significantly, the court confirms that Israel is entitled to build a wall to
defend itself from threats emanating from the Palestinian territories if it
builds the barrier on its own territory. The justices based their objection
to the wall on its location within occupied Palestinian territories, as well
as the consequent suffering visited upon affected Palestinians.

If Israel had erected the wall on its side of the boundary of Israel prior
to the 1967 war, then it would not have encroached on Palestinian legal
rights. The court's logic assumes the unconditional applicability of
international humanitarian law, including the Fourth Geneva Convention, to
Israel's administration of the West Bank and Gaza (a principle affirmed by
Judge Buergenthal). That body of law obliges Israel to respect the property
rights of Palestinians without qualification, and to avoid altering the
character of the territory, including by population transfer.

The decision creates a clear mandate. The ICJ decision, by a vote of 13-2,
imposes upon all states an obligation not to recognize the illegal
situation created by the construction of the wall. This is supplemented by
a 14-1 vote urging the General Assembly and Security Council to consider
what further action is required to bring an end to the illegal situation.

Such a plain-spoken ruling from the characteristically cautious
International Court of Justice will test the respect accorded international
law, including U.S. willingness to support international law despite a
ruling against its ally. The invasion of Iraq and the continuing scandals
have already tarnished the reputation of the United States as a law-abiding
member of the international community. When U.S. officials dismiss the
nearly unanimous ICJ decision without even bothering to engage its
arguments, America's reputation suffers further. In fact, elsewhere in the
world, U.S. repudiation of this decision can only entrench existing views of

Re: Al Gore for overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2000

2004-08-07 Thread Marvin Gandall
Louis Proyect wrote:


 Marvin Gandall wrote:
  Whether you think invasion/occupation versus sanctions/subversion
represents
  only a nuance of difference or is more significant than that is a matter
of
  judgment, of course. Certainly, you can make a case that the sanctions
cost
  many lives -- perhaps as many or more than the invasion and subsequent
  occupation. But I think, if forced to choose, the Iraqis would still
have
  preferred to continue contesting and evading the sanctions rather than
face
  occupation by an invading American army.

 Of course. That is why the US ruling class opted for war rather than
 sanctions. They were becoming ineffective. Wars are made by a class, not
 individuals by the way.
-
You seriously misunderstand the nature of the conflict when you state that
the US ruling class opted for war. The US ruling class was and remains
very divided over the invasion of Iraq, over whether it served or hurt US
strategic interests. I think its closer to the truth to characterize the
Iraq invasion as a hubristic adventure by the Bush administration, acting in
maverick fashion against the wishes of a large, probably major, part of its
own ruling class and the international bourgeoisie. That operation, as
anticipated, turned into a debacle, and the Bushites have since been reined
in and their early foreign policy doctrines discredited.

I don't think you would argue the sanctions were becoming ineffective in
terms of the harm they were inflicting on the Iraqi population. It's true
that they had been ineffective in fostering the hoped-for coup, and were
being evaded and loosened in negotations through the UN. Nevertheless, it
doesn't follow from this (and there is no evidence to indicate) that a Gore
administration would have launched an invasion, especially when this would
have precipitated a rupture with its traditional and would-be allies and
weakened the authority of the UN, which the Democrats and many Republican
leaders properly view as a useful instrument of US foreign policy. As
Clinton has noted, and I believe this to be so, the Democrats would have
continued to work through the UN, prodding Blix and the inspectors to
disarm, humiliate, and neuter Saddam -- accepting this as a less certain,
but less risky, means of regime change than an invasion. They didn't have
the peculiar Saddam obsession of the Bushites, nor did they think it would
be easy to secure Iraq. Like you and I, the bipartisan foreign policy
establishment thinks more in terms of its overall class interests than
individuals.

Marv Gandall


Tariq Ali on the US election

2004-08-07 Thread Charles Brown
by Shane Mage



No, its garden-variety Pabloism.

war in Iraq...is very much a neocon agenda,
dominated by the need to get the oil and appease the Israelis. (as
if Kerry wasn't gung-ho to appease the Isrealis!)

^^

Next thing you know we'll be quoting the Protocols. Just kidding !

Charles


Re: Al Gore for overthrow of Saddam Hussein in 2000

2004-08-07 Thread Louis Proyect
Marvin Gandall wrote:
You seriously misunderstand the nature of the conflict when you state that
the US ruling class opted for war. The US ruling class was and remains
very divided over the invasion of Iraq, over whether it served or hurt US
strategic interests. I think its closer to the truth to characterize the
Iraq invasion as a hubristic adventure by the Bush administration, acting in
maverick fashion against the wishes of a large, probably major, part of its
own ruling class and the international bourgeoisie. That operation, as
anticipated, turned into a debacle, and the Bushites have since been reined
in and their early foreign policy doctrines discredited.
If the invasion went as well as the invasion of Panama or Grenada, there
would be no differences. The differences, such as they are, have not
been reflected in the choice of candidates. I don't recall huge amounts
of money being directed from Wall Street to Howard Dean.
I don't think you would argue the sanctions were becoming ineffective in
terms of the harm they were inflicting on the Iraqi population. It's true
that they had been ineffective in fostering the hoped-for coup, and were
being evaded and loosened in negotations through the UN. Nevertheless, it
doesn't follow from this (and there is no evidence to indicate) that a Gore
administration would have launched an invasion, especially when this would
have precipitated a rupture with its traditional and would-be allies and
weakened the authority of the UN, which the Democrats and many Republican
leaders properly view as a useful instrument of US foreign policy.
I have no idea what Gore would have done or not done. The main point I
was stressing was his counter-revolutionary appetites. How such an
execrable creature can be refashioned as some kind of leftist is beyond me.

--
Marxism list: www.marxmail.org


Re: Tariq Ali on the US election

2004-08-07 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
From: Yoshie Furuhashi [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Before getting to the point of actually being able to split the
Democratic and Republican Parties, we need an intermediate goal: do
what we can to make the next POTUS a weak president, rather than a
strong one.  To do so, we need to decrease the shares of popular
votes that go to the Democratic and Republican presidential
candidates.
--
Yoshie
Fewer votes mean a weaker president?  Dream on.  GWB lost the
popular vote, and that didn't stop him from being the
rootin'-tootin'-est, sure-as-shootin'-est hombre north, south, east,
and west of the Pecos once he got into office.  Mandates are for
girlie men, as the governor of CA might put it.
Carl
Actually, Bush was a weak president until 9/11/01: a big inauguration
protest, Enron, unimpressive ratings, etc.  According to Fox, for
instance, Bush's approval rating during 1/24-25/01 was a mere 46%!
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 3-4, 2004. N=900 registered
voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.
Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as president?
  Approve   Disapprove   Don't Know
 %   %   %
9/19-20/01   81 12   7
8/22-23/01   55 32  13
7/25-26/01   59 25  16
7/11-12/01   56 30  14
6/6-7/01 59 28  13
5/9-10/0159 26  15
4/18-19/01   63 22  15
3/28-29/01   57 24  19
3/14-15/01   56 23  21
2/21-22/01   61 16  23
2/7-8/01 55 16  29
1/24-25/01   46 14  40
ABC News/Washington Post  Poll. July 30-Aug. 1, 2004. N=1,200 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS. Trend includes polls conducted
independently by ABC News and by the Washington Post.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling
his job as president?
  Approve   Disapprove   Don't Know
 %   %   %
9/13/01  86 12   2
9/6-9/01 55 41   3
7/26-30/01   59 38   3
5/31-6/3/01  55 40   6
4/19-22/01   63 32   5
3/22-25/01   58 33   8
2/21-25/01   55 23  22
CBS News Poll. July 30-Aug. 1, 2004. N=1,052 adults nationwide. MoE ±
3 (total sample).
Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling
his job as president?
  Approve   Disapprove   Don't Know
 %   %   %
9/11-12/01   72 15  13
8/28-31/01   50 38  12
6/14-18/01   53 34  13
5/10-12/01   57 30  13
4/23-25/01   56 29  15
4/4-5/01 53 35  12
3/8-12/0160 22  18
2/10-12/01   53 21  26
(a href=http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm;President Bush:
Job Ratings/a)
I do think that Governor Terminator got it right, his sexist
expression notwithstanding: liberals and leftists in the USA are more
lily-livered than our counterparts in Spain.
Big foreign terrorist attacks happen in the United States, and too
many US liberals and leftists cancel planned protests, get all
defensive about our alleged deficiency in patriotism, wave flags,
call for war (under a UN mandate, naturally) on Afghanistan, inveigh
against other liberals and leftists whose convictions against
imperialism do not weaken after terrorism, etc.
Big foreign terrorist attacks happen in Spain, and almost all Spanish
liberals and leftists get galvanized, organize a gigantic
demonstration, vote out the party in power, and bring their troops
home from Iraq.
What US leftists need is a stronger backbone and a harder ass.
--
Yoshie
* Critical Montages: http://montages.blogspot.com/
* Greens for Nader: http://greensfornader.net/
* Bring Them Home Now! http://www.bringthemhomenow.org/
* Calendars of Events in Columbus:
http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/calendar.html,
http://www.freepress.org/calendar.php,  http://www.cpanews.org/
* Student International Forum: http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/
* Committee for Justice in Palestine: http://www.osudivest.org/
* Al-Awda-Ohio: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Al-Awda-Ohio
* Solidarity: http://www.solidarity-us.org/


Re: More on Venezuela and oil numbers

2004-08-07 Thread Daniel Davies
I'm well out of my depth on this one but it doesn't strike me that there is
any great mystery here on the investment numbers.  The investment budget of
PDVSA is $5.3bn.  Minus $1.7bn which has been diverted into the social
housing budget gives $3.6bn.  The capital expenditure needed to cover
depreciation is $2.7bn.  So, all parties are fairly near the truth; it
doesn't look as if PDVSA is systematically and/or chronically underinvesting
and mortgaging the future, but it equally doesn't look as if they're going
to be spending enough  to seriously ramp up production.  I'd add two things:
first I would be very sceptical about the assumption of a linear
input/output function; the one thing that we do know about oil wells is that
they tend to come in big lumps and I would guess it would be pretty
difficult to drill half of one (I may well be bum-talking at this point
though).  And second, it is not obvious to me that PDVSA could have spent
the extra money anyway, since Chavez tin-tacked a lot of their senior
management during the strike.  Most of the people sacked were bourgeois
revisionists, etc and all around bad lots, but it's likely that most of them
also knew a bit about oil, and experienced oilfolk can't always be replaced
in a hurry.

I would be surprised if the distance between government and independent bpd
figures was down to omitting the petroleum products.  It might be something
as simple as the independent analyst having driven past one of the fields on
a day when the donkeys weren't nodding and counting it as not yet producing,
then PDVSA got it back onstream later in the month.  Alternatively, one of
the PDVSA managers might have fibbed to the government in order to get a
bonus.  As you say, though, the figures aren't so massively different as to
be worth cutting up rough about; everyone is agreed on the broad historical
sweep of things which is that the Venezuelans are doing a surprisingly good
job in getting the oilfields back in order after the political purge.

In general, oil analysts at stockbroking firms are among the most
trustworthy you will find, as they almost always have experience in the oil
industry.

cheers

dd







-Original Message-
From: PEN-L list [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Robert
Naiman
Sent: 06 August 2004 00:51
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: More on Venezuela and oil numbers


I'd like our broker colleague -- and others -- to consider the following.

In Peter Millard's (Dow Jones) article Venezuela 's PdVSA Ramps Up
Publicity Ahead Of Recall (July 30), the second-to-last paragraph reads:

The government claims the new PdVSA has brought oil production back to
the 3.1 million barrels a day Venezuela was producing before the strike,
but independent analysts put the figure closer to 2.6 million b/d.

I suspect that there is an apples-and-oranges issue here. I think the
government is counting 200,000 bpd in petroleum products that the analysts
are not counting. If so, the govt and independent analyst numbers are
closer than usually acknowledged.

The last paragraph reads:

Furthermore, oil analysts warn that the focus on social spending has
diverted funds from needed investments in exploration and production,
making it difficult for PdVSA to increase production in the near term.

I have no doubt that *some* oil analysts do say this (especially the ones
that used to work for PDVSA!), but I think the numbers tell a different
story.

On July 16, Millard reported that PdVSA has a total investment budget of
$5.3 billion this year, but noted that analysts warn that the company will
fall short of this target.

On July 12, Matthew Robinson, reporting for Reuters, cited Jan Dehn,
emerging markets analyst for Credit Suisse First Boston in London: I would
expect that unless they meet the $2.7 billion capital spending they need
every year, production would start to suffer in 2005.

Now, if we assume that the numbers here ($2.7b and $5.3b) are
apples-and-apples, and we suppose that in the range we're talking about,
future production capacity is a roughly linear function of investment, then
those numbers would suggest to me that PDVSA could miss its investment
target by a country mile and still invest enough to increase production. If
this is so, then, unless one takes it as an axiom that any amount of social
spending by PDVSA is intrinsically offensive to oil markets -- which I'm
sure some people do! -- isn't social spending by PDVSA totally irrelevant
to the question of future oil production? Might it be the case that some
independent oil analysts simply have an ideological bias against the
notion of using some of PDVSA's profits for social spending? What am I
missing?

By the way, in an article on July 24 in the New York Times, Juan Forero
reported that many oil analysts and executives of large oil companies doing
business in Venezuela say that the government may be able to spend big on
social programs and still invest adequately in production.

What do you make of all 

Re: Tariq Ali on the US election

2004-08-07 Thread Carl Remick
From: Yoshie Furuhashi [EMAIL PROTECTED]
From: Yoshie Furuhashi [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Before getting to the point of actually being able to split the
Democratic and Republican Parties, we need an intermediate goal: do
what we can to make the next POTUS a weak president, rather than a
strong one.  To do so, we need to decrease the shares of popular
votes that go to the Democratic and Republican presidential
candidates.
--
Yoshie
Fewer votes mean a weaker president?  Dream on.  GWB lost the
popular vote, and that didn't stop him from being the
rootin'-tootin'-est, sure-as-shootin'-est hombre north, south, east,
and west of the Pecos once he got into office.  Mandates are for
girlie men, as the governor of CA might put it.
Carl
Actually, Bush was a weak president until 9/11/01...
Yes, he's fortune's child is GWB.
Carl
_
Express yourself instantly with MSN Messenger! Download today - it's FREE!
http://messenger.msn.click-url.com/go/onm00200471ave/direct/01/


Ha!

2004-08-07 Thread Dan Scanlan
Ha!  You think you're just going to leave the country when things get
bad? Think again.
U.S. TO IMPLANT ID TAGS IN PASSPORTS
The U.S. State Department plans to implant electronic ID chips in
U.S. passports to allow computer face-recognition systems to match
facial characteristics of the digital passport photo on the chip
against a photo taken at the passport control station and against
photos on government watch lists. The change is planned despite
warnings that face-recognition technology has a high error rate.
Critics suggest using fingerprint identification instead, as a more
reliable technology. The new passports are scheduled to enter use in
2005.
Washington Post, 6 August 2004
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A43944-2004Aug5.html


get stoppo

2004-08-07 Thread Dan Scanlan
Ashcroft Orders Libraries To Destroy Copies Of Laws
Federal Statutes On Asset Forfeiture May Not Be Published,
In another move towards federal tyranny, the Attorney General John
Ashcroft has ordered the
American Library Association to destroy all copies of the federal
laws on asset forfeiture and to
deny access to those laws to the general public.
The unprecedented move, in which US citizens would be unable to read
or know the text of the laws
they are expected to obey, was another stage in the growing power of
President George W Bush.
The American Library Association has refused the request of the
Justice Department to destroy
copies of the law, and made the following statement:
Statement regarding DOJ request for removal of government
publications by depository libraries
The following statement has been issued by President-Elect Michael
Gorman, representing President
Carol Brey-Casiano, who is currently in Guatemala representing the Association:
July 30, 2004
Statement from ALA President-Elect Michael Gorman:
Last week, the American Library Association learned that the
Department of Justice asked the
Government Printing Office Superintendent of Documents to instruct
depository libraries to destroy
five publications the Department has deemed not appropriate for
external use. The Department of
Justice has called for these five these public documents, two of
which are texts of federal
statutes, to be removed from depository libraries and destroyed,
making their content available
only to those with access to a law office or law library.
The topics addressed in the named documents include information on
how citizens can retrieve items
that may have been confiscated by the government during an investigation.
The documents to be removed and destroyed include: Civil and Criminal
Forfeiture Procedure; Select
Criminal Forfeiture Forms; Select Federal Asset Forfeiture Statutes;
Asset forfeiture and money
laundering resource directory; and Civil Asset Forfeiture Reform Act
of 2000 (CAFRA).
ALA has submitted a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request for the
withdrawn materials in order
to obtain an official response from the Department of Justice
regarding this unusual action, and
why the Department has requested that documents that have been
available to the public for as long
as four years be removed from depository library collections. ALA is
committed to ensuring that
public documents remain available to the public and will do its best
to bring about a satisfactory
resolution of this matter.
Librarians should note that, according to policy 72, written
authorization from the Superintendent
of Documents is required to remove any documents. To this date no
such written authorization in
hard copy has been issued.
Keith Michael Fiels
Executive Director
American Library Association
(800) 545-2433 ext.1392


Nader 2004 Nader 2000

2004-08-07 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
Nader 2004  Nader 2000 (The best kept secret of this presidential
election year is that Ralph Nader has been polling better in 2004
than 2000, despite the relentless barrage of attacks by Anybody But
Nader intellectuals.  Compare the Gallop survey results in 2000 and
2004.  Intellectuals who aid and abet the Democratic Party's crime of
excluding Nader from the ballots and disenfranchising working-class
voters on the left are committing the same crime as those who aid and
abet the disenfranchisement of working-class voters -- especially
working-class Black voters -- through criminal disenfranchisement
laws. After all, voting rights mean nothing if voters are allowed to
vote for only the candidates pre-approved by the power elite.)
[Full Text with charts: Nader 2004  Nader 2000,
http://montages.blogspot.com/2004/08/nader-2004-nader-2000.html.]
--
Yoshie
* Critical Montages: http://montages.blogspot.com/
* Greens for Nader: http://greensfornader.net/
* Bring Them Home Now! http://www.bringthemhomenow.org/
* Calendars of Events in Columbus:
http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/calendar.html,
http://www.freepress.org/calendar.php,  http://www.cpanews.org/
* Student International Forum: http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/
* Committee for Justice in Palestine: http://www.osudivest.org/
* Al-Awda-Ohio: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Al-Awda-Ohio
* Solidarity: http://www.solidarity-us.org/


in defence of Tariq Ali

2004-08-07 Thread michael a. lebowitz


Tariq Ali has been criticised for the following statement in an
interview:
DH: You've said that a defeat of Bush would be regarded globally as
a
victory. What did you mean?

TA: As you know, I travel a great deal, and everywhere I go there is
growing
anger and if one can be totally blunt real hatred of this 
administration
because of what it did in Iraq - the war it waged, the civilians it
killed,
the mess it's made, and its inability to understand the scale of what
it's
done. And from that point of view, if the American population were to
vote
Bush out of office, the impact globally would be tremendous. People
would
say this guy took his country to war, surrounded by neocons who
developed
bogus arguments and lies, he lied to his people, he misused 
intelilgence
information, and the American people have voted him out. That in itself
could have a tremendous impact on world public opinion A defeat for
a
warmonger regime in Washington would be seen as a step forward. I don't
go
beyond that, but it would have an impact globally.

If
I were living in the States, I would not organise or vote for Kerry---
for the same reasons that people on the list have given--- although I'm
certain that I would prefer to be living under and organising against a
Kerry government than a Bush one. Why? Because of all the illusions
(about the good capitalist,etc party) that would be retained in the
absence of the former and the greater possibility for revealing the
nature of the system.
 But, I
wonder if this might not be a bit of a self-indulgent perspective when I
think about Tariq's statement. There's no question in my mind that in
Cuba (which I visit often) Bush's defeat would be regarded as a victory.
Similarly, in Venezuela (where I am) the end of a Bush government would
be welcomed. I suspect the same would have been true in El Salvador
recently among FMLN supporters (and in another time and setting in
Nicaragua). Conversely, the victory of Bush would be viewed as a big
defeat... and, indeed, as a mandate for new aggressive international
adventures. (Certainly, in Cuba they worry about the implications of a
new Bush mandate.) As I see the perspective of those outside the US
(which is what Tariq was addressing), the defeat of the Bush government
would be seen as providing a bit of space and a bit of hope. But, no
illusions. Simply the breathing space that comes when the rulers are
disrupted a bit.
in
solidarity,

michael

Michael A. Lebowitz
Professor Emeritus
Economics Department
Simon Fraser University
Burnaby, B.C., Canada V5A 1S6

Currently based in Venezuela. Can be reached at
Residencias Anauco Suites
Departamento 601
Parque Central, Zona Postal 1010, Oficina 1
Caracas, Venezuela
(58-212) 573-4111
fax: (58-212) 573-7724



Re: in defence of Tariq Ali

2004-08-07 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
At 4:22 PM -0400 8/7/04, michael a. lebowitz wrote:
Simply the breathing space that comes when the rulers are disrupted a bit.
That makes sense, and I'm sure that in 2008 there will be another
disruption, as John Kerry will be a one-term president.
--
Yoshie
* Critical Montages: http://montages.blogspot.com/
* Greens for Nader: http://greensfornader.net/
* Bring Them Home Now! http://www.bringthemhomenow.org/
* Calendars of Events in Columbus:
http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/calendar.html,
http://www.freepress.org/calendar.php,  http://www.cpanews.org/
* Student International Forum: http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/
* Committee for Justice in Palestine: http://www.osudivest.org/
* Al-Awda-Ohio: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Al-Awda-Ohio
* Solidarity: http://www.solidarity-us.org/


Re: Tariq Ali on the US election

2004-08-07 Thread Michael Hoover
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 08/07/04 1:25 AM 
Before getting to the point of actually being able to split the
Democratic and Republican Parties, we need an intermediate goal: do
what we can to make the next POTUS a weak president, rather than a
strong one.  To do so, we need to decrease the shares of popular
votes that go to the Democratic and Republican presidential
candidates.
Yoshie


what poli sci people called 'political capital' is mixture of public
approval  party seats in congress, kerry prez - almost by definition -
would be weak, win will likely be close, dems unlikely to regain control
of either congressional chamber (jfk campaign appears to have taken page
from '96 clinton playbook in that regard)...   michael hoover






--
Please Note:
Due to Florida's very broad public records law, most written communications to or from 
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regarding College business are public records, available to the public and media upon 
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Re: Whither the Fed?

2004-08-07 Thread Michael Hoover
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 08/07/04 2:11 AM 
... and make the next POTUS John Kerry a weak president without a
big mandate at the same time.)

Is there a subtle flaw here?  If either Kerry or Bush is elected
they will have a big mandate. It just won't be from the people, but
the corporate purchasers. I fear the people's mandate can no
longer be given through the present electoral process.

Dan Scanlan

The larger the shares of popular votes for the Democratic and
Republican presidential candidates, the bigger the next POTUS's
mandate will be, though the mandate is more apparent than real, as
you say.
Yoshie


notion (hesitate to call it theory) of presidential mandate is myth, of
course, myths can have powerful influence...

some occupants of white house start terms with more 'political capital'
than others (i.e., lbj began first full term with deep reservoir
following '64 landslide victory, gerald ford, on other hand, had little
after becoming prez because of 2 resignations - as if to confirm
latter's precarious position, reps loss of seats to dems in '74
congressional elections was large enough to result in smallest
congressional minority for sitting prez in 20th century *and* ford had
largest percentage of vetoes subjected to congressional override in
country's history)...

prez attempts to claim mandates are part of pseudo-democratization of
office, reagan claimed mandate following '80 election even though he
received just over 50% of 'popular' vote by pointing to number of states
he won and - more importantly - number of electoral college votes he
received (about 495 if memory serves), 'winner-take-all' distribution of
ec votes in 48 states gives some prez winners opportunities to claim
mandates by transforming small 'popular' majorities into 'super' ec
majorities...
michael hoover




--
Please Note:
Due to Florida's very broad public records law, most written communications to or from 
College employees
regarding College business are public records, available to the public and media upon 
request.
Therefore, this e-mail communication may be subject to public disclosure.


Re: Tariq Ali on the US election

2004-08-07 Thread Michael Hoover
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 08/07/04 1:27 PM 
Actually, Bush was a weak president until 9/11/01: a big inauguration
protest, Enron, unimpressive ratings, etc.  According to Fox, for
instance, Bush's approval rating during 1/24-25/01 was a mere 46%!
Yoshie


pre-9/11: congress passed major bush tax cut, education, energy bills
(latter 2 after jeffords became ind and dems gained control of senate),
congress also passed bush's so-called 'bankruptcy reform', bush
abandoned kyoto treaty, bush signed regressive executive orders re.
abortion, labor, health care, among other things...

while 9/11 'made' bush presidency, dems and conservative media had
already allowed bush to get out from under stigma of being 'his
fraudulency 2' (rutherford hayes was called 'his fraudulency' through
term after winning 'corrupt bargain' election of 1876)...
michael hoover


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Loath by the rich: Why Hugo Chavez is heading for a stunning victory

2004-08-07 Thread Michael Hoover
Loathed by the rich
Why Hugo Chavez is heading for a stunning victory
Richard Gott in Caracas
Saturday August 07 2004
The Guardian


To the dismay of opposition groups in Venezuela, and to the surprise of
international observers gathering in Caracas, President Hugo Chavez is
about to secure a stunning victory on August 15, in a referendum
designed to lead to his overthrow.

First elected in 1998 as a barely known colonel, armed with little more
than revolutionary rhetoric and a moderate social-democratic programme,
Chavez has become the leader of the emerging opposition in Latin America
to the neo-liberal hegemony of the United States. Closely allied to
Fidel Castro, he rivals the Cuban leader in his fierce denunciations of
George Bush, a strategy that goes down well with the great majority of
the population of Latin America, where only the elites welcome the
economic and political recipes devised in Washington.

While Chavez has retained his popularity after nearly six years as
president, support for overtly pro-US leaders in Latin America, such as
Vicente Fox in Mexico and Alejandro Toledo in Peru, has dwindled to
nothing. Even the fence-sitting President Lula in Brazil is struggling
in the polls. The news that Chavez will win this month's referendum will
be bleakly received in Washington.

Chavez came to power after the traditional political system in Venezuela
had self-destructed during the 1990s. But the remnants of the ancien
regime, notably those entrenched in the media, have kept up a steady
fight against him, in a country where racist antipathies inherited from
the colonial era are never far from the surface. Chavez, with his black
and Indian features and an accent that betrays his provincial origins,
goes down well in the shanty towns, but is loathed by those in the rich
white suburbs who fear he has mobilised the impoverished majority
against them.

The expected Chavez victory will be the opposition's third defeat in as
many years. The first two were dramatically counter-productive for his
opponents, since they only served to entrench him in power. An attempted
coup d'etat in April 2002, with fascist overtones reminiscent of the
Pinochet era in Chile, was defeated by an alliance of loyal officers and
civilian groups who mobilised spontaneously and successfully to demand
the return of their president.

The unexpected restoration of Chavez not only alerted the world to an
unusual leftwing, not to say revolutionary, experiment taking place in
Venezuela, but it also led the country's poor majority to understand
that they had a government and a president worth defending. Chavez was
able to dismiss senior officers opposed to his project of involving the
armed forces in programmes to help the poor, and removed the threat of a
further coup.

The second attempt at his overthrow - the prolonged work stoppage in
December 2002 which extended to a lockout at the state oil company,
Petroleos de Venezuela, nationalised since 1975 - also played into the
hands of the president. When the walkout (with its echoes of the
CIA-backed Chilean lorry owners' strike against Salvador Allende's
government in the early 1970s) failed, Chavez was able to sack the most
pampered sections of a privileged workforce. The company's huge surplus
oil revenues were redirected into imaginative new social programmes.
Innumerable projects, or missions, were established throughout the
country, recalling the atmosphere of the early years of the Cuban
revolution. They combat illiteracy, provide further education for school
dropouts, promote employment, supply cheap food, and extend a free
medical service in the poor areas of the cities and the countryside,
with the help of 10,000 Cuban doctors. Redundant oil company buildings
have been commandeered to serve as the headquarters of a new university
for the poor, and oil money has been diverted to set up Vive, an
innovative cultural television channel that is already breaking the
traditional US mould of the Latin American media.

The opposition dismiss the new projects as populist, a term
customarily used with pejorative intent by social scientists in Latin
America. Yet faced with the tragedy of extreme poverty and neglect in a
country with oil revenues to rival those of Saudi Arabia, it is
difficult to see why a democratically elected government should not
embark on crash programmes to help the most disadvantaged.

Their impact is about to be tested at the polls on August 15. Vote Yes
to eject Chavez from the presidency. Vote No to keep him there until
the next presidential election in 2006. The opposition, divided
politically and with no charismatic figure to rival Chavez to front
their campaign, continue to behave as though their victory is certain.
They discuss plans for a post-Chavez government, and watch closely the
ever-dubious and endlessly conflicting opinion polls, placing their
evaporating hopes on the don't knows. They still imagine fondly that
they can achieve a victory 

Kerry favored Missouri amendment against gay marriage

2004-08-07 Thread Louis Proyect
Los Angeles Times
August 7, 2004 Saturday
THE RACE TO THE WHITE HOUSE;
Kerry Backs Missouri Ban on Gay Marriage
BYLINE: Mark Z. Barabak, Times Staff Writer
DATELINE: KANSAS CITY, Mo.
Drawn into a Missouri debate over same-sex marriage, Sen. John F. Kerry
said in an interview published Friday that he would've voted for the gay
marriage ban passed overwhelmingly this week by state voters.
The Democratic presidential nominee, who spent parts of two days
campaigning across Missouri, told the Kansas City Star that the ballot
measure was the same as one his home state of Massachusetts passed a few
years ago. Kerry supported that measure.
In a separate interview with Kansas City's NBC affiliate, Kerry
reiterated that both he and his running mate, Sen. John Edwards of North
Carolina, are opposed to gay marriage, though they favor civil unions.
We support nondiscrimination against our fellow Americans, Kerry said.
We've always argued the states will be capable of taking care of this
by themselves. Massachusetts and Missouri are proving they are capable
of taking care of it by themselves. [That] I think bears out that we
didn't need a [federal] constitutional amendment in order to do what's
right.
Kerry was referring to a proposed amendment, backed by President Bush,
that would outlaw same-sex marriage. The amendment was derailed in the
Senate in July.
On Tuesday, about 70% of Missouri voters approved adding language to the
state Constitution reading, To be valid and recognized in this state, a
marriage shall exist only between a man and a woman.
A spokesman for the Human Rights Fund, a Washington group that lobbies
for gay rights, said Kerry's support for the Missouri amendment was not
surprising. This is consistent with what he's been saying all along,''
Steven Fisher, the group's communications director, said.
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Marxism list: www.marxmail.org


Art Spiegelman: In the Shadow of No Towers

2004-08-07 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
Art Spiegelman: In the Shadow of No Towers:
http://montages.blogspot.com/2004/08/art-spiegelman-in-shadow-of-no-towers.html.
--
Yoshie
* Critical Montages: http://montages.blogspot.com/
* Greens for Nader: http://greensfornader.net/
* Bring Them Home Now! http://www.bringthemhomenow.org/
* Calendars of Events in Columbus:
http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/calendar.html,
http://www.freepress.org/calendar.php,  http://www.cpanews.org/
* Student International Forum: http://sif.org.ohio-state.edu/
* Committee for Justice in Palestine: http://www.osudivest.org/
* Al-Awda-Ohio: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Al-Awda-Ohio
* Solidarity: http://www.solidarity-us.org/


Re: Loath by the rich: Why Hugo Chavez is heading for a stunning victory

2004-08-07 Thread Perelman, Michael
Right wing polls show Chavez loosing.  Isn't that correct, Michael L?
With the possibility of fraud, can we really expect a victory?


Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901



Re: Loath by the rich: Why Hugo Chavez is heading for a stunning victory

2004-08-07 Thread Shane Mage
Title: Re: Loath by the rich: Why Hugo Chavez is heading
for


Michael Perelman writes:

Right wing polls show Chavez losing.
Isn't that correct, Michael L?
With the possibility of fraud, can we
really expect a victory?

Cheer up, Michael. Those polls are fixed or
downright inventions.
The actual news is of a massive popular mobilization for the
NO. 
Expect squeals of fraud from the routed
oligarchy.

Les
Gracchus du sud surgiront triomphales
Au grand dépit
des sbires imperiales

Shane Mage

Thunderbolt steers all things...It consents and does not
consent to be called
Zeus.

Herakleitos of Ephesos



Re: Loath by the rich: Why Hugo Chavez is heading for a stunning victory

2004-08-07 Thread Shane Mage
Title: Re: Loath by the rich: Why Hugo Chavez is heading
for


See
VHeadline.com Venezuela

Right wing polls show Chavez loosing.
Isn't that correct, Michael L?
With the possibility of fraud, can we really expect a victory?


Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
michael at ecst.csuchico.edu
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901