Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-05-03 Thread Markus Schaber
Hi, Josh,

Josh Berkus wrote:

 Yes, actually.   We need 3 different estimation methods:
 1 for tables where we can sample a large % of pages (say, = 0.1)
 1 for tables where we sample a small % of pages but are easily estimated
 1 for tables which are not easily estimated by we can't afford to sample a 
 large % of pages.
 
 If we're doing sampling-based estimation, I really don't want people to lose 
 sight of the fact that page-based random sampling is much less expensive than 
 row-based random sampling.   We should really be focusing on methods which 
 are page-based.

Would it make sense to have a sample method that scans indices? I think
that, at least for tree based indices (btree, gist), rather good
estimates could be derived.

And the presence of a unique index should lead to 100% distinct values
estimation without any scan at all.

Markus


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-05-03 Thread Mischa Sandberg
Quoting Markus Schaber [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 Hi, Josh,
 
 Josh Berkus wrote:
 
  Yes, actually.   We need 3 different estimation methods:
  1 for tables where we can sample a large % of pages (say, = 0.1)
  1 for tables where we sample a small % of pages but are easily
 estimated
  1 for tables which are not easily estimated by we can't afford to
 sample a 
  large % of pages.
  
  If we're doing sampling-based estimation, I really don't want
 people to lose 
  sight of the fact that page-based random sampling is much less
 expensive than 
  row-based random sampling.   We should really be focusing on
 methods which 
  are page-based.

Okay, although given the track record of page-based sampling for
n-distinct, it's a bit like looking for your keys under the streetlight,
rather than in the alley where you dropped them :-)

How about applying the distinct-sampling filter on a small extra data
stream to the stats collector? 

-- 
Engineers think equations approximate reality.
Physicists think reality approximates the equations.
Mathematicians never make the connection.


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-05-03 Thread Josh Berkus
Mischa,

 Okay, although given the track record of page-based sampling for
 n-distinct, it's a bit like looking for your keys under the streetlight,
 rather than in the alley where you dropped them :-)

Bad analogy, but funny.

The issue with page-based vs. pure random sampling is that to do, for example, 
10% of rows purely randomly would actually mean loading 50% of pages.  With 
20% of rows, you might as well scan the whole table.

Unless, of course, we use indexes for sampling, which seems like a *really 
good* idea to me 

-- 
--Josh

Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-05-03 Thread Josh Berkus
John,

 But doesn't an index only sample one column at a time, whereas with
 page-based sampling, you can sample all of the columns at once. 

Hmmm.  Yeah, we're not currently doing that though.  Another good idea ...

-- 
--Josh

Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-05-03 Thread Mischa Sandberg
Quoting Josh Berkus josh@agliodbs.com: 
 
 Mischa, 
  
  Okay, although given the track record of page-based sampling for 
  n-distinct, it's a bit like looking for your keys under the 
 streetlight, 
  rather than in the alley where you dropped them :-) 
  
 Bad analogy, but funny. 
 
Bad analogy? Page-sampling effort versus row-sampling effort, c'est 
moot. It's not good enough for stats to produce good behaviour on the 
average. Straight random sampling, page or row, is going to cause 
enough untrustworthy engine behaviour,for any %ages small enough to 
allow sampling from scratch at any time. 
 
I'm curious what the problem is with relying on a start-up plus 
incremental method, when the method in the distinct-sampling paper 
doesn't degenerate: you can start when the table is still empty. 
Constructing an index requires an initial full scan plus incremental 
update; what's the diff? 
 
 Unless, of course, we use indexes for sampling, which seems like a 
 *really  
 good* idea to me  
 
distinct-sampling applies for indexes, too. I started tracking the 
discussion of this a bit late.  Smart method for this is in VLDB'92: 
Gennady Antoshenkov, Random Sampling from Pseudo-ranked B+-trees. I 
don't think this is online anywhere, except if you have a DBLP 
membership. Does nybod else know better? 
Antoshenkov was the brains behind some of the really cool stuff in DEC 
Rdb (what eventually became Oracle). Compressed bitmap indices, 
parallel competing query plans, and smart handling of keys with 
hyperbolic distributions.  
--  
Engineers think equations approximate reality. 
Physicists think reality approximates the equations. 
Mathematicians never make the connection. 


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-28 Thread Mischa Sandberg
Quoting Josh Berkus josh@agliodbs.com:

  Perhaps I can save you some time (yes, I have a degree in Math). If I
  understand correctly, you're trying extrapolate from the correlation
  between a tiny sample and a larger sample. Introducing the tiny sample
  into any decision can only produce a less accurate result than just
  taking the larger sample on its own; GIGO. Whether they are consistent
  with one another has no relationship to whether the larger sample
  correlates with the whole population. You can think of the tiny sample
  like anecdotal evidence for wonderdrugs.

 Actually, it's more to characterize how large of a sample we need.  For
 example, if we sample 0.005 of disk pages, and get an estimate, and then
 sample another 0.005 of disk pages and get an estimate which is not even
 close to the first estimate, then we have an idea that this is a table
which
 defies analysis based on small samples.   Wheras if the two estimates
are 
 1.0 stdev apart, we can have good confidence that the table is easily
 estimated.  Note that this doesn't require progressively larger
samples; any
 two samples would work.

We're sort of wandering away from the area where words are a good way
to describe the problem. Lacking a common scratchpad to work with,
could I suggest you talk to someone you consider has a background in
stats, and have them draw for you why this doesn't work?

About all you can get out of it is, if the two samples are
disjunct by a stddev, yes, you've demonstrated that the union
of the two populations has a larger stddev than either of them;
but your two stddevs are less info than the stddev of the whole.
Breaking your sample into two (or three, or four, ...) arbitrary pieces
and looking at their stddevs just doesn't tell you any more than what
you start with.

-- 
Dreams come true, not free. -- S.Sondheim, ITW 


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-28 Thread Marko Ristola
First I will comment my original idea.
Second I will give another improved suggestion (an idea).
I hope, that they will be useful for you.
(I don't know, wether the first one was useful at all because it showed,
that I and some others of us are not very good with statistics :( )
I haven't looked about the PostgreSQL code, so I don't know, that what 
is possible
now, and what is not. I do know, that the full table scan and after that 
incremental
statistics changes are a very big change, without looking at the code.


I meant the following  idea:
- compare two equal sized samples. Then redo the same thing with double
sized samples. So do lots of unnecessary work.
Check out the correlation of the two samples to try to guess the 
distribution.

So I tried to give you an idea, not to give you a full answer into the 
whole problem.

I did read some parts of the attached PDFs. They did convince me,
that it seems, that the heuristics for the hard cases would actually read
almost the whole table in many cases.
I did cover the too little sample problem by stating that the
user should be able to give the minimum size of samples. This way you would
avoid the too small sampling problem. My purpose was not to achieve at
most 5% wrong estimates, but to decrease the 2000% wrong estimates, that 
are
seen now sometimes.

Conclusions:
- No heuristics or similar thing of small samples will grant excellent 
results.
- If you need excellent estimates, you need to process the whole table!
- Some special cases, like primary keys and the unique indexes and special
case column types do give easy ways to make estimates:
For example, wether a boolean column has zero, one or two distinct 
values, it does not matter
so much ??? Hashing seems the right choise for all of them.

If I have understund correctly, the full table scans are out of
questions for large tables at this time.
The percentage idea of taking 10% samples seems good.
So here is another suggestion:
1. Do a full percentage scan, starting at an arbitrary position. If the 
user's data is not
homogenous, this hurts it, but this way it is faster.
During that scan, try to figure out all those columns, that have at most 
100 distinct values.

Of course, with it you can't go into 100% accuracy, but if the full 
table scan is out of question now,
it is better, if the accuracy is for example at most ten times wrong.

You could also improve accuracy by instead of doing a 10% partial table 
scan, you could
do 20 pieces of 0,5 percent partial table scans: This would improve 
accuracy a bit, but keep
the speed almost the same as the partial table scan.

Here are questions for the statisticians for distinct values calculation:
If we want at most 1000% tolerance, how big percentage of table's one
column must be processed?
If we want at most 500% tolerance, how big percentage of table's one
column must be processed?
If we want at most 250% tolerance, how big percentage of table's one
column must be processed?
Better to assume, that there are at most 100 distinct values on a table,
if it helps calculations.
If we try to get as much with one discontinuous partial table scan
(0,1-10% sample), here is the information, we can gather:
1. We could gather a histogram for max(100) distinct values for each 
column for every column.
2. We could measure variance and average, and the number of rows for 
these 100 distinct values.
3. We could count the number of rows, that didn't match with these 100 
distinct values:
they were left out from the histogram.
4. We could get a minimum and a maximum value for each column.

= We could get exact information about the sample with one 0,1-10% pass 
for many columns.

What you statisticans can gather about these values?
My idea is programmatical combined with statistics:
+ Performance: scan for example 100 blocks each of size 100Mb, because 
disc I/O
is much faster this way.
+ Enables larger table percentage. I hope it helps with the statistics 
formula.
   Required because of more robust statistics: take those blocks at random
   (not over each other) places to decrease the effect from hitting 
into statistically
   bad parts on the table.
+ Less table scan passes: scan all columns with limited hashing in the 
first pass.
+ All easy columns are found here with one pass.
+- Harder columns need an own pass each, but we have some preliminary
   knoledge of them on the given sample after all (minimum and maximum 
values
   and the histogram of the 100 distinct values).

Marko Ristola
Greg Stark wrote:
Dave Held [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
 

Actually, it's more to characterize how large of a sample
we need.  For example, if we sample 0.005 of disk pages, and
get an estimate, and then sample another 0.005 of disk pages
and get an estimate which is not even close to the first
estimate, then we have an idea that this is a table which 
defies analysis based on small samples.  
 

I buy that.
   

Better yet is to use the entire sample you've gathered of .01 and 

Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-28 Thread Andrew Dunstan

Mischa Sandberg wrote:
Perhaps I can save you some time (yes, I have a degree in Math). If I 
understand correctly, you're trying extrapolate from the correlation 
between a tiny sample and a larger sample. Introducing the tiny sample 
into any decision can only produce a less accurate result than just 
taking the larger sample on its own; GIGO. Whether they are consistent 
with one another has no relationship to whether the larger sample 
correlates with the whole population. You can think of the tiny sample 
like anecdotal evidence for wonderdrugs.  

 

Ok, good point.
I'm with Tom though in being very wary of solutions that require even 
one-off whole table scans. Maybe we need an additional per-table 
statistics setting which could specify the sample size, either as an 
absolute number or as a percentage of the table. It certainly seems that 
where D/N ~ 0.3, the estimates on very large tables at least are way way 
out.

Or maybe we need to support more than one estimation method.
Or both ;-)
cheers
andrew

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-27 Thread Simon Riggs
On Tue, 2005-04-26 at 15:00 -0700, Gurmeet Manku wrote:

  2. In a single scan, it is possible to estimate n_distinct by using
 a very simple algorithm:
 
  Distinct sampling for highly-accurate answers to distinct value
   queries and event reports by Gibbons, VLDB 2001.
 
  http://www.aladdin.cs.cmu.edu/papers/pdfs/y2001/dist_sampl.pdf

That looks like the one...

...though it looks like some more complex changes to the current
algorithm to use it, and we want the other stats as well...

  3. In fact, Gibbon's basic idea has been extended to sliding windows 
 (this extension is useful in streaming systems like Aurora / Stream):
 
  Distributed streams algorithms for sliding windows
  by Gibbons and Tirthapura, SPAA 2002.
 
  http://home.eng.iastate.edu/~snt/research/tocs.pdf
 

...and this offers the possibility of calculating statistics at load
time, as part of the COPY command

Best Regards, Simon Riggs


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-27 Thread Josh Berkus
Mischa,

 Perhaps I can save you some time (yes, I have a degree in Math). If I
 understand correctly, you're trying extrapolate from the correlation
 between a tiny sample and a larger sample. Introducing the tiny sample
 into any decision can only produce a less accurate result than just
 taking the larger sample on its own; GIGO. Whether they are consistent
 with one another has no relationship to whether the larger sample
 correlates with the whole population. You can think of the tiny sample
 like anecdotal evidence for wonderdrugs.

Actually, it's more to characterize how large of a sample we need.  For 
example, if we sample 0.005 of disk pages, and get an estimate, and then 
sample another 0.005 of disk pages and get an estimate which is not even 
close to the first estimate, then we have an idea that this is a table which 
defies analysis based on small samples.   Wheras if the two estimates are  
1.0 stdev apart, we can have good confidence that the table is easily 
estimated.  Note that this doesn't require progressively larger samples; any 
two samples would work.

 I'm with Tom though in being very wary of solutions that require even
 one-off whole table scans. Maybe we need an additional per-table
 statistics setting which could specify the sample size, either as an
 absolute number or as a percentage of the table. It certainly seems that
 where D/N ~ 0.3, the estimates on very large tables at least are way way
 out.

Oh, I think there are several other cases where estimates are way out.  
Basically the estimation method we have doesn't work for samples smaller than 
0.10.   

 Or maybe we need to support more than one estimation method.

Yes, actually.   We need 3 different estimation methods:
1 for tables where we can sample a large % of pages (say, = 0.1)
1 for tables where we sample a small % of pages but are easily estimated
1 for tables which are not easily estimated by we can't afford to sample a 
large % of pages.

If we're doing sampling-based estimation, I really don't want people to lose 
sight of the fact that page-based random sampling is much less expensive than 
row-based random sampling.   We should really be focusing on methods which 
are page-based.

-- 
Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-27 Thread Dave Held
 -Original Message-
 From: Josh Berkus [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, April 27, 2005 10:25 AM
 To: Andrew Dunstan
 Cc: Mischa Sandberg; pgsql-perform; pgsql-hackers@postgresql.org
 Subject: Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks
 suggested?
 
 [...]
 Actually, it's more to characterize how large of a sample
 we need.  For example, if we sample 0.005 of disk pages, and
 get an estimate, and then sample another 0.005 of disk pages
 and get an estimate which is not even close to the first
 estimate, then we have an idea that this is a table which 
 defies analysis based on small samples.  

I buy that.

 Wheras if the two estimates are  1.0 stdev apart, we can
 have good confidence that the table is easily estimated. 

I don't buy that.  A negative indication is nothing more than
proof by contradiction.  A positive indication is mathematical
induction over the set, which in this type of context is 
logically unsound.  There is no reason to believe that two
small samples with a small difference imply that a table is
easily estimated rather than that you got unlucky in your
samples.

 [...]
 Yes, actually.   We need 3 different estimation methods:
 1 for tables where we can sample a large % of pages
 (say, = 0.1)
 1 for tables where we sample a small % of pages but are 
 easily estimated
 1 for tables which are not easily estimated by we can't 
 afford to sample a large % of pages.

I don't buy that the first and second need to be different
estimation methods.  I think you can use the same block
sample estimator for both, and simply stop sampling at
different points.  If you set the default to be a fixed
number of blocks, you could get a large % of pages on
small tables and a small % of pages on large tables, which
is exactly how you define the first two cases.  However,
I think such a default should also be overridable to a
% of the table or a desired accuracy.

Of course, I would recommend the distinct sample technique
for the third case.

 If we're doing sampling-based estimation, I really don't
 want people to lose sight of the fact that page-based random
 sampling is much less expensive than row-based random
 sampling.   We should really be focusing on methods which 
 are page-based.

Of course, that savings comes at the expense of having to
account for factors like clustering within blocks.  So block
sampling is more efficient, but can also be less accurate.
Nonetheless, I agree that of the sampling estimators, block
sampling is the better technique.

__
David B. Held
Software Engineer/Array Services Group
200 14th Ave. East,  Sartell, MN 56377
320.534.3637 320.253.7800 800.752.8129

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Simon Riggs
On Sun, 2005-04-24 at 00:48 -0400, Tom Lane wrote:
 Josh Berkus josh@agliodbs.com writes:
  Overall, our formula is inherently conservative of n_distinct.   That is, I 
  believe that it is actually computing the *smallest* number of distinct 
  values which would reasonably produce the given sample, rather than the 
  *median* one.  This is contrary to the notes in analyze.c, which seem to 
  think that we're *overestimating* n_distinct.  
 
 Well, the notes are there because the early tests I ran on that formula
 did show it overestimating n_distinct more often than not.  Greg is
 correct that this is inherently a hard problem :-(
 
 I have nothing against adopting a different formula, if you can find
 something with a comparable amount of math behind it ... but I fear
 it'd only shift the failure cases around.
 

Perhaps the formula is not actually being applied?

The code looks like this...
 if (nmultiple == 0)
 {
/* If we found no repeated values, assume it's a unique column */
stats-stadistinct = -1.0;
 }
 else if (toowide_cnt == 0  nmultiple == ndistinct)
 {
/*
 * Every value in the sample appeared more than once.  Assume
 * the column has just these values.
 */
stats-stadistinct = ndistinct;
 }
 else
 {
/*--
 * Estimate the number of distinct values using the estimator
 * proposed by Haas and Stokes in IBM Research Report RJ 10025:


The middle chunk of code looks to me like if we find a distribution
where values all occur at least twice, then we won't bother to apply the
Haas and Stokes equation. That type of frequency distribution would be
very common in a set of values with very high ndistinct, especially when
sampled.

The comment
 * Every value in the sample appeared more than once.  Assume
 * the column has just these values.
doesn't seem to apply when using larger samples, as Josh is using.

Looking at Josh's application it does seem likely that when taking a
sample, all site visitors clicked more than once during their session,
especially if they include home page, adverts, images etc for each page.

Could it be that we have overlooked this simple explanation and that the
Haas and Stokes equation is actually quite good, but just not being
applied?

Best Regards, Simon Riggs


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Josh Berkus
Simon,

 Could it be that we have overlooked this simple explanation and that the
 Haas and Stokes equation is actually quite good, but just not being
 applied?

That's probably part of it, but I've tried Haas and Stokes on a pure random 
sample and it's still bad, or more specifically overly conservative.

-- 
--Josh

Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Gurmeet Manku

 Hi everybody!

 Perhaps the following papers are relevant to the discussion here
 (their contact authors have been cc'd):


 1. The following proposes effective algorithms for using block-level 
sampling for n_distinct estimation:

 Effective use of block-level sampling in statistics estimation
 by Chaudhuri, Das and Srivastava, SIGMOD 2004.

 http://www-db.stanford.edu/~usriv/papers/block-sampling.pdf


 2. In a single scan, it is possible to estimate n_distinct by using
a very simple algorithm:

 Distinct sampling for highly-accurate answers to distinct value
  queries and event reports by Gibbons, VLDB 2001.

 http://www.aladdin.cs.cmu.edu/papers/pdfs/y2001/dist_sampl.pdf


 3. In fact, Gibbon's basic idea has been extended to sliding windows 
(this extension is useful in streaming systems like Aurora / Stream):

 Distributed streams algorithms for sliding windows
 by Gibbons and Tirthapura, SPAA 2002.

 http://home.eng.iastate.edu/~snt/research/tocs.pdf


 Thanks,
 Gurmeet

 
 Gurmeet Singh Manku  Google Inc.
 http://www.cs.stanford.edu/~manku(650) 967 1890
 


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Andrew Dunstan

Josh Berkus wrote:
Simon, Tom:
While it's not possible to get accurate estimates from a fixed size sample, I 
think it would be possible from a small but scalable sample: say, 0.1% of all 
data pages on large tables, up to the limit of maintenance_work_mem.  

Setting up these samples as a % of data pages, rather than a pure random sort, 
makes this more feasable; for example, a 70GB table would only need to sample 
about 9000 data pages (or 70MB).  Of course, larger samples would lead to 
better accuracy, and this could be set through a revised GUC (i.e., 
maximum_sample_size, minimum_sample_size).   

I just need a little help doing the math ... please?
 


After some more experimentation, I'm wondering about some sort of 
adaptive algorithm, a bit along the lines suggested by Marko Ristola, 
but limited to 2 rounds.

The idea would be that we take a sample (either of fixed size, or some 
small proportion of the table) , see how well it fits a larger sample 
(say a few times the size of the first sample), and then adjust the 
formula accordingly to project from the larger sample the estimate for 
the full population. Math not worked out yet - I think we want to ensure 
that the result remains bounded by [d,N].

cheers
andrew

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Andrew Dunstan

Tom Lane wrote:
Josh Berkus josh@agliodbs.com writes:
 

Overall, our formula is inherently conservative of n_distinct.   That is, I 
believe that it is actually computing the *smallest* number of distinct 
values which would reasonably produce the given sample, rather than the 
*median* one.  This is contrary to the notes in analyze.c, which seem to 
think that we're *overestimating* n_distinct.  
   

Well, the notes are there because the early tests I ran on that formula
did show it overestimating n_distinct more often than not.  Greg is
correct that this is inherently a hard problem :-(
I have nothing against adopting a different formula, if you can find
something with a comparable amount of math behind it ... but I fear
it'd only shift the failure cases around.
 

The math in the paper does not seem to look at very low levels of q (= 
sample to pop ratio).

The formula has a range of [d,N]. It appears intuitively (i.e. I have 
not done any analysis) that at very low levels of q, as f1 moves down 
from n, the formula moves down from N towards d very rapidly. I did a 
test based on the l_comments field in a TPC lineitems table. The test 
set has N = 6001215, D =  2921877. In my random sample of 1000 I got d = 
976 and f1 = 961, for a DUJ1 figure of 24923, which is too low by 2 
orders of magnitude.

I wonder if this paper has anything that might help: 
http://www.stat.washington.edu/www/research/reports/1999/tr355.ps - if I 
were more of a statistician I might be able to answer :-)

cheers
andrew

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Andrew Dunstan

Simon Riggs wrote:
The comment
 * Every value in the sample appeared more than once.  Assume
 * the column has just these values.
doesn't seem to apply when using larger samples, as Josh is using.
Looking at Josh's application it does seem likely that when taking a
sample, all site visitors clicked more than once during their session,
especially if they include home page, adverts, images etc for each page.
Could it be that we have overlooked this simple explanation and that the
Haas and Stokes equation is actually quite good, but just not being
applied?
 

No, it is being aplied.  If every value in the sample appears more than 
once, then f1 in the formula is 0, and the result is then just d, the 
number of distinct values in the sample.

cheers
andrew
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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Dave Held
 -Original Message-
 From: Gurmeet Manku [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Tuesday, April 26, 2005 5:01 PM
 To: Simon Riggs
 Cc: Tom Lane; josh@agliodbs.com; Greg Stark; Marko Ristola;
 pgsql-perform; pgsql-hackers@postgresql.org; Utkarsh Srivastava;
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks
 suggested?
 
 [...]
  2. In a single scan, it is possible to estimate n_distinct by using
 a very simple algorithm:
 
  Distinct sampling for highly-accurate answers to distinct value
   queries and event reports by Gibbons, VLDB 2001.
 
  http://www.aladdin.cs.cmu.edu/papers/pdfs/y2001/dist_sampl.pdf
 
 [...]

This paper looks the most promising, and isn't too different 
from what I suggested about collecting stats over the whole table
continuously.  What Gibbons does is give a hard upper bound on
the sample size by using a logarithmic technique for storing
sample information.  His technique appears to offer very good 
error bounds and confidence intervals as shown by tests on 
synthetic and real data.  I think it deserves a hard look from 
people hacking the estimator.

__
David B. Held
Software Engineer/Array Services Group
200 14th Ave. East,  Sartell, MN 56377
320.534.3637 320.253.7800 800.752.8129

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-26 Thread Mischa Sandberg
Quoting Andrew Dunstan [EMAIL PROTECTED]: 
 
 After some more experimentation, I'm wondering about some sort of  
 adaptive algorithm, a bit along the lines suggested by Marko 
Ristola, but limited to 2 rounds. 
  
 The idea would be that we take a sample (either of fixed size, or 
 some  small proportion of the table) , see how well it fits a larger 
sample 
  (say a few times the size of the first sample), and then adjust 
the  formula accordingly to project from the larger sample the 
estimate for the full population. Math not worked out yet - I think we 
want to ensure that the result remains bounded by [d,N]. 
 
Perhaps I can save you some time (yes, I have a degree in Math). If I 
understand correctly, you're trying extrapolate from the correlation 
between a tiny sample and a larger sample. Introducing the tiny sample 
into any decision can only produce a less accurate result than just 
taking the larger sample on its own; GIGO. Whether they are consistent 
with one another has no relationship to whether the larger sample 
correlates with the whole population. You can think of the tiny sample 
like anecdotal evidence for wonderdrugs.  
--  
Dreams come true, not free. -- S.Sondheim, ITW  


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-25 Thread Tom Lane
Simon Riggs [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
 My suggested hack for PostgreSQL is to have an option to *not* sample,
 just to scan the whole table and find n_distinct accurately.
 ...
 What price a single scan of a table, however large, when incorrect
 statistics could force scans and sorts to occur when they aren't
 actually needed ?

It's not just the scan --- you also have to sort, or something like
that, if you want to count distinct values.  I doubt anyone is really
going to consider this a feasible answer for large tables.

regards, tom lane

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-25 Thread Simon Riggs
On Mon, 2005-04-25 at 11:23 -0400, Tom Lane wrote:
 Simon Riggs [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
  My suggested hack for PostgreSQL is to have an option to *not* sample,
  just to scan the whole table and find n_distinct accurately.
  ...
  What price a single scan of a table, however large, when incorrect
  statistics could force scans and sorts to occur when they aren't
  actually needed ?
 
 It's not just the scan --- you also have to sort, or something like
 that, if you want to count distinct values.  I doubt anyone is really
 going to consider this a feasible answer for large tables.

Assuming you don't use the HashAgg plan, which seems very appropriate
for the task? (...but I understand the plan otherwise).

If that was the issue, then why not keep scanning until you've used up
maintenance_work_mem with hash buckets, then stop and report the result.

The problem is if you don't do the sort once for statistics collection
you might accidentally choose plans that force sorts on that table. I'd
rather do it once...

The other alternative is to allow an ALTER TABLE command to set
statistics manually, but I think I can guess what you'll say to that!

Best Regards, Simon Riggs


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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-25 Thread Josh Berkus
Simon, Tom:

While it's not possible to get accurate estimates from a fixed size sample, I 
think it would be possible from a small but scalable sample: say, 0.1% of all 
data pages on large tables, up to the limit of maintenance_work_mem.  

Setting up these samples as a % of data pages, rather than a pure random sort, 
makes this more feasable; for example, a 70GB table would only need to sample 
about 9000 data pages (or 70MB).  Of course, larger samples would lead to 
better accuracy, and this could be set through a revised GUC (i.e., 
maximum_sample_size, minimum_sample_size).   

I just need a little help doing the math ... please?

-- 
--Josh

Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-25 Thread Josh Berkus
Guys,

 While it's not possible to get accurate estimates from a fixed size sample,
 I think it would be possible from a small but scalable sample: say, 0.1% of
 all data pages on large tables, up to the limit of maintenance_work_mem.

BTW, when I say accurate estimates here, I'm talking about accurate enough 
for planner purposes which in my experience is a range between 0.2x to 5x.

-- 
--Josh

Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-25 Thread Dave Held
 -Original Message-
 From: Josh Berkus [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Sunday, April 24, 2005 2:08 PM
 To: Andrew Dunstan
 Cc: Tom Lane; Greg Stark; Marko Ristola; pgsql-perform;
 pgsql-hackers@postgresql.org
 Subject: Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks
 suggested?
 
 [...]
 Actually, that paper looks *really* promising.   Does anyone here have
 enough math to solve for D(sub)Md on page 6?   I'd like to test it on
 samples of  0.01%.
 [...]

D_Md = [1 - sqrt(f_1 / s)] D_b + sqrt(f_1 / s) D_B

s = block size

f~_1 = median frequency within blocks for distinct values occurring in
  only one block

D_b = d + f_1^(b+1)

d = distinct classes in the sample

f_1^(b+1) = number of distinct values occurring in a single block in
  a sample of b+1 blocks

D_B = d + [B / (b + 1)] f_1^(b+1)

b = sample size (in blocks)

B = total table size (in blocks)

f_k and f~_k are the only tricky functions here, but they are easy to 
understand:

Suppose our column contains values from the set {a, b, c, ..., z}.
Suppose we have a sample of b = 10 blocks.
Suppose that the value 'c' occurs in exactly 3 blocks (we don't care
how often it occurs *within* those blocks).
Suppose that the value 'f' also occurs in exactly 3 blocks.
Suppose that the values 'h', 'p', and 'r' occur in exactly 3 blocks.
Suppose that no other value occurs in exactly 3 blocks.

f_3^b = 5

This is because there are 5 distinct values that occur in exactly
3 blocks.  f_1^b is the number of distinct values that occur in
exactly 1 block, regardless of how often it occurs within that block.

Note that when you select a sample size of b blocks, you actually
need to sample b+1 blocks to compute f_1^(b+1).  This is actually
pedantry since all occurrences of b in the formula are really b+1.

f~ is slightly trickier.  First, we pick the distinct values that
occur in only one block.  Then, we count how often each value
occurs within its block.  To wit:

Suppose we have a set {d, q, y, z} of values that occur in only
one block.
Suppose that d occurs 3x, q occurs 1x, y occurs 8x, and z occurs 6x.

The function f- would take the mean of these counts to determine
the cluster frequency.  So f- here would be 4.5.  This allows
one to compute D_MF.

The function f~ takes the median of this sample, which is 3 or 6
(or I suppose you could even take the mean of the two medians if
you wanted).

No tricky math involved.  That should be enough to tell you how to
write the estimator.

__
David B. Held
Software Engineer/Array Services Group
200 14th Ave. East,  Sartell, MN 56377
320.534.3637 320.253.7800 800.752.8129

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-25 Thread Tom Lane
Simon Riggs [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
 On Mon, 2005-04-25 at 11:23 -0400, Tom Lane wrote:
 It's not just the scan --- you also have to sort, or something like
 that, if you want to count distinct values.  I doubt anyone is really
 going to consider this a feasible answer for large tables.

 Assuming you don't use the HashAgg plan, which seems very appropriate
 for the task? (...but I understand the plan otherwise).

The context here is a case with a very large number of distinct
values... keep in mind also that we have to do this for *all* the
columns of the table.  A full-table scan for each column seems
right out to me.

regards, tom lane

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-25 Thread Dave Held
 -Original Message-
 From: Andrew Dunstan [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Monday, April 25, 2005 3:43 PM
 To: josh@agliodbs.com
 Cc: pgsql-perform; pgsql-hackers@postgresql.org
 Subject: Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks
 suggested?
 
 Josh Berkus wrote:
 
 Simon, Tom:
 
 While it's not possible to get accurate estimates from a 
 fixed size sample, I think it would be possible from a
 small but scalable sample: say, 0.1% of all data pages on
 large tables, up to the limit of maintenance_work_mem.  

Note that the results obtained in the cited paper were obtained
from samples of 5 and 10%.  It should also warrant caution
that the authors don't offer any proofs of confidence bounds, 
even for the average case.

 [...]
 After some more experimentation, I'm wondering about some
 sort of adaptive algorithm, a bit along the lines suggested
 by Marko Ristola, but limited to 2 rounds.

One path might be to use the published algorithm and simply
recompute the statistics after every K blocks are sampled,
where K is a reasonably small number.  If it looks like the
statistics are converging on a value, then take a few more
samples, check against the trend value and quit.  Otherwise 
continue until some artificial limit is reached.

 The idea would be that we take a sample (either of fixed 
 size, or some small proportion of the table), see how well
 it fits a larger sample (say a few times the size of the
 first sample), and then adjust the formula accordingly to
 project from the larger sample the estimate for the full
 population. Math not worked out yet - I think we want to
 ensure that the result remains bounded by [d,N].

The crudest algorithm could be something like the Newton-
Ralphson method for finding roots.  Just adjust the predicted
value up or down until it comes within an error tolerance of
the observed value for the current sample.  No need to choose
powers of 2, and I would argue that simply checking every so
often on the way to a large sample that can be terminated
early is more efficient than sampling and resampling.  Of
course, the crude algorithm would almost certainly be I/O
bound, so if a more sophisticated algorithm would give a
better prediction by spending a few more CPU cycles on each
sample block gathered, then that seems like a worthwhile
avenue to pursue.

As far as configuration goes, the user is most likely to
care about how long it takes to gather the statistics or
how accurate they are.  So it would probably be best to
terminate the sampling process on a user-defined percentage
of the table size and the minimum error tolerance of the
algorithmic prediction value vs. the computed sample value.

If someone wants a fast and dirty statistic, they set the
row percent low and the error tolerance high, which will
effectively make the blocks read the limiting factor.  If
they want an accurate statistic, they set the row percent
as high as they feel they can afford, and the error 
tolerance as low as they need to in order to get the query 
plans they want.

__
David B. Held
Software Engineer/Array Services Group
200 14th Ave. East,  Sartell, MN 56377
320.534.3637 320.253.7800 800.752.8129

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-24 Thread Marko Ristola
Here is my opinion.
I hope this helps.
Maybe there is no one good formula:
On boolean type, there are at most 3 distinct values.
There is an upper bound for fornames in one country.
There is an upper bound for last names in one country.
There is a fixed number of states and postal codes in one country.
On the other hand, with timestamp, every value could be distinct.
A primary key with only one column has only distinct values.
If the integer column refers with a foreign key into another table's
only primary key, we could take advantage of that knolege.
A column with a unique index has only distinct values.
First ones are for classifying and the second ones measure continuous
or discrete time or something like the time.
The upper bound for classifying might be 3 (boolean), or it might be
one million. The properties of the distribution might be hard to guess.
Here is one way:
1. Find out the number of distinct values for 500 rows.
2. Try to guess, how many distinct values are for 1000 rows.
   Find out the real number of distinct values for 1000 rows.
3. If the guess and the reality are 50% wrong, do the iteration for 
2x1000 rows.
Iterate using a power of two to increase the samples, until you trust the
estimate enough.

So, in the phase two, you could try to guess with two distinct formulas:
One for the classifying target (boolean columns hit there).
Another one for the timestamp and numerical values.
If there are one million classifications on one column, how you
can find it out, by other means than checking at least two million
rows?
This means, that the user should have a possibility to tell the lower
bound for the number of rows for sampling.
Regards,
Marko Ristola
Tom Lane wrote:
Josh Berkus josh@agliodbs.com writes:
 

Overall, our formula is inherently conservative of n_distinct.   That is, I 
believe that it is actually computing the *smallest* number of distinct 
values which would reasonably produce the given sample, rather than the 
*median* one.  This is contrary to the notes in analyze.c, which seem to 
think that we're *overestimating* n_distinct.  
   

Well, the notes are there because the early tests I ran on that formula
did show it overestimating n_distinct more often than not.  Greg is
correct that this is inherently a hard problem :-(
I have nothing against adopting a different formula, if you can find
something with a comparable amount of math behind it ... but I fear
it'd only shift the failure cases around.
regards, tom lane
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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-24 Thread Josh Berkus
Andrew,

 The math in the paper does not seem to look at very low levels of q (=
 sample to pop ratio).

Yes, I think that's the failing.   Mind you, I did more testing and found out 
that for D/N ratios of 0.1 to 0.3, the formula only works within 5x accuracy 
(which I would consider acceptable) with a sample size of 25% or more (which 
is infeasable in any large table).The formula does work for populations 
where D/N is much lower, say 0.01.  So overall it seems to only work for 1/4 
of cases; those where n/N is large and D/N is low.   And, annoyingly, that's 
probably the population where accurate estimation is least crucial, as it 
consists mostly of small tables.

I've just developed (not original, probably, but original to *me*) a formula 
that works on populations where n/N is very small and D/N is moderate (i.e. 
0.1 to 0.4):

N * (d/n)^(sqrt(N/n))

However, I've tested it only on (n/N  0.005 and D/N  0.1 and D/N  0.4) 
populations, and only 3 of them to boot.   I'd appreciate other people trying 
it on their own data populations, particularly very different ones, like D/N 
 0.7 or D/N  0.01.

Further, as Andrew points out we presumably do page sampling rather than 
purely random sampling so I should probably read the paper he referenced.  
Working on it now 

-- 
Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-24 Thread Josh Berkus
Folks,

 I wonder if this paper has anything that might help:
 http://www.stat.washington.edu/www/research/reports/1999/tr355.ps - if I
 were more of a statistician I might be able to answer :-)

Actually, that paper looks *really* promising.   Does anyone here have enough 
math to solve for D(sub)Md on page 6?   I'd like to test it on samples of  
0.01%.

Tom, how does our heuristic sampling work?   Is it pure random sampling, or 
page sampling?

-- 
Josh Berkus
Aglio Database Solutions
San Francisco

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-24 Thread Tom Lane
Josh Berkus josh@agliodbs.com writes:
 Tom, how does our heuristic sampling work?   Is it pure random sampling, or 
 page sampling?

Manfred probably remembers better than I do, but I think the idea is
to approximate pure random sampling as best we can without actually
examining every page of the table.

regards, tom lane

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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-23 Thread Andrew Dunstan
Josh Berkus said:


 Well, unusual distributions are certainly tough.  But I think the
 problem  exists even for relatively well-distributed populations.
 Part of it is, I  believe, the formula we are using:

 n*d / (n - f1 + f1*n/N)

[snip]

 This is so broken, in fact, that I'm wondering if we've read the paper
 right?   I've perused the paper on almaden, and the DUJ1 formula
 appears considerably  more complex than the formula we're using.

 Can someone whose math is more recent than calculus in 1989 take a look
 at  that paper, and look at the formula toward the bottom of page 10,
 and see if  we are correctly interpreting it?I'm particularly
 confused as to what q  and d-sub-n represent.  Thanks!


Math not too recent ...

I quickly read the paper and independently came up with the same formula you
say above we are applying. The formula is on the page that is numbered 6,
although it's the tenth page in the PDF.

q = n/N  = ratio of sample size to population size
d_sub_n = d = number of distinct classes in sample

cheers

andrew





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Re: [HACKERS] [PERFORM] Bad n_distinct estimation; hacks suggested?

2005-04-23 Thread Tom Lane
Josh Berkus josh@agliodbs.com writes:
 Overall, our formula is inherently conservative of n_distinct.   That is, I 
 believe that it is actually computing the *smallest* number of distinct 
 values which would reasonably produce the given sample, rather than the 
 *median* one.  This is contrary to the notes in analyze.c, which seem to 
 think that we're *overestimating* n_distinct.  

Well, the notes are there because the early tests I ran on that formula
did show it overestimating n_distinct more often than not.  Greg is
correct that this is inherently a hard problem :-(

I have nothing against adopting a different formula, if you can find
something with a comparable amount of math behind it ... but I fear
it'd only shift the failure cases around.

regards, tom lane

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