Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

2014-10-05 Thread Shenoy N
On 5 October 2014 10:04, SS cybers...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Sat, 2014-10-04 at 18:47 +0530, Udhay Shankar N wrote:
  Spencer Tracy’s character,
  fashioned after the defense attorney Clarence Darrow, stands in the
  empty courtroom, picks up a Bible in one hand and Darwin’s “Origin of
  Species” in the other, gives a knowing smile and claps them together
  before putting both under his arm. Would that it were so simple.

 This is a uniquely American problem. If the problem exists in Europe, I
 have not heard about it.

 As an outsider in every one of several different ways, I think that
 the Bible has some good things (morality) that should not have been
 discarded and other things (like creationism) that need to be discarded.
 The church-rationality/church-science conflict has raged for centuries.
 The church lost a major battle in the mid 1600s after the Thirty years
 war and the Peace of Westphalia. The untrammelled power of the Church
 was broken back then but it continued to hold out till the 1950s and 60s
 when science began to play God by solving human problems where God did
 not appear to be helping out much.

 What America has done after that time is to discard morality as demanded
 by religion in favour of a mixture of rights mandated by laws. I am
 not sure that this has helped society in America. I think morality has
 been discarded simply as a reaction against religion and
 pseudo-scientific reasoning has been applied (along with, I believe)
 fake and contrived evidence to show that Biblical morality can be
 trumped by science.

 shiv


 My armchair theory explaining the rise in the numbers of the loonies,
FWIW: The problem with deciding to follow one part of religion because it
makes sense and jettisoning another because it doesn't is that the follower
comes up against the very reasonable question - if parts of it are silly,
is it really divine at all? and soon concludes in the negative. That leaves
with only the everything-is-literally-true people whose tribe seems to be
increasing not so much because their numbers are swelling as because the
more rational guys are choosing not to believe in any of it at all. And
politics being what it is, the loonies are always the first to be heard.


-- 
Narendra Shenoy
http://narendrashenoy.blogspot.com


Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

2014-10-05 Thread SS
On Sun, 2014-10-05 at 15:59 +0530, Shenoy N wrote:
 FWIW: The problem with deciding to follow one part of religion because
 it
 makes sense and jettisoning another because it doesn't is that the
 follower
 comes up against the very reasonable question - if parts of it are
 silly,
 is it really divine at all? and soon concludes in the negative. That
 leaves
 with only the everything-is-literally-true people whose tribe seems to
 be
 increasing not so much because their numbers are swelling as because
 the
 more rational guys are choosing not to believe in any of it at all.
 And
 politics being what it is, the loonies are always the first to be
 heard. 

Yes. But this is the religionists viewpoint of the uncomfortable
questions that religion faces.

How about science? How come no one is asking science uncomfortable
questions about why science finds it OK to discard morality, or not
question the discarding of morality without having a clue about why and
where morality came from. And no. Religion did not bring in morality.
The very same concepts of morality pre-date the religions and exist
outside religion.

For example, look at this article
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/14/opinion/sunday/beyond-marriage.html?_r=0

The author (an economist, I think, certainly not a biologist of priest)
starts by saying:

 MARRIAGE is disappearing. More than 40 percent of new mothers are
 unmarried. 
 
 
Later she says:

 Can marriage be restored as the standard way to raise children? As
 much as we might welcome a revival, I doubt that it will happen. The
 genie is out of the bottle. 

This statement brought a contemptuous smile on my face because the woman
is bluffing. This is a classic example of GIGO by an ignoramus who is
accustomed to bluffing her way through and does not require to meet the
standards that a scientist is supposed to reach.

For anything to be declared as impossible, one must first try and
understand why something happens and then decide whether it is
impossible or not. For example - 150 years ago, flying was thought to be
impossible while people were experimenting with perpetual motion
machines. Physics teaches us that perpetual motion without the input of
energy is impossible, but heavier than air objects flying is possible.

But what about marriage? Why have marriages existed before anyone can
remember? Why have marriages been known from before many religions? If
you do not know why marriages were thought necessary in human society
for over 3000 years of recorded history, how on earth can the concept of
marriage be simply dismissed? This is no better than alchemists trying
to make gold from base metals. 

And this is the 21st century? 

shiv






Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

2014-10-05 Thread Udhay Shankar N
On Sun, Oct 5, 2014 at 8:33 PM, SS cybers...@gmail.com wrote:

 How about science? How come no one is asking science uncomfortable
 questions about why science finds it OK to discard morality, or not
 question the discarding of morality without having a clue about why and
 where morality came from.

Perhaps because science only concerns itself with making falsifiable,
repeatable predictions. (Continuing your anthropomorphism to make a
philosophical point)

Udhay
-- 
((Udhay Shankar N)) ((udhay @ pobox.com)) ((www.digeratus.com))



Re: [silk] Financial planning

2014-10-05 Thread Deepak Shenoy
I'm late to this discussion :) Thanks Lahar for pointing out my post!

I've changed on one thing since that post. Index funds may not be the best
option in India - and this is due to:
- bad construction of indexes (we use a free float market cap weighted
index largely, like the Sensex or Nifty, which have stock and sectoral
biases. The broad indexes have little acceptance, and we don't have stuff
like equal weighted indexes yet)
- dividends are a good source of income but don't reflect in the index
values. There's something called total returns index, but no one mentions
that for comparisons (it shoudl be the only thing compared)
- non index stocks do well because the indexes of choice like Sensex or
Nifty aren't broad enough.

I wrote a post about the data:
http://capitalmind.in/2014/08/in-india-mutual-funds-have-beaten-the-nifty-no-survivor-bias-edition/

The point was - let's take the TOP funds as they were in 2005, and assume
you invested in the top 5 or 6 of them. Nearly all of them have beaten the
Nifty (total returns, assuming reinvestment of dividends). THere's no
survivor bias - I took the top 5 or 6 and all have survived, and I took
only the top ones because they are the ones you would have bought.

The fact remains that they aren't the top funds today, and some nowhere
near the top, but they have still beaten the indexes, after accounting for
fees. This I cannot ignore, so I should say I'm probably wrong about index
funds.

On the point about should investing be left to the professionals I'm with
Mahesh that this is more like hubris. I think of investing like the great
Chef Gusteau said about cooking in Ratatouille, that anyone can cook. This
doesn't mean cooking is so easy that anyone can do it, but that it's a
thing that anyone can excel at if they put their mind to it (and probably
aren't even professionals). You can be a phenomenal investor and yet, have
a day job.

DIRECT mode - I've spent way too much time rescuing people from shitty
advice from silly intermediaries who have ruined very solid portfolios -
timing stocks I understand, and I do it, and I tell people that if they
don't have the time, they should just use a fund to invest. But timing and
rejigging investments in mutual funds is by and large a waste of time, and
for every such rejig I have NEVER met a manager who has evaluated how much
worse (or better) the investor would have been, had those rejigs not been
done at all.

The DIRECT mode gives you an edge of about 1% a year on equities. This,
plus any fees you pay an advisor, add up to a layer of outperformance that
the advisor has to provide just to break even with the direct mode.

Good advisors too don't know what will happen, and tend to get into the
herd mentality, the crowd, the loss aversion and all those little
behavioural biases that screw up our investments. This happens with
professional fund managers too...and the only real edge that professionals
used to have was insider trading knowledge, which has become a little
harder to come by. Advisors have almost no edge in fund selection; at best,
they can use some data, which is just driving with your eyes in the rear
view mirror.

(Advisors though can help with things like setting up HUFs, creating
inheritance structures, doing goal oriented investments etc. )





Deepak Shenoy
http://www.capitalmind.in
Twitter: @deepakshenoy

On 2 October 2014 10:04, Deepak Misra yahoogro...@deepakmisra.com wrote:

 Jumping into this  a bit late, but will try to avoid repititions


 1) Open a PPF account in every member in the houses name. This is an
 absolute must and try to put as much as possible there. The high tax
 free return with compounding at zero risk  is something that is
 difficult to match

 2) The first house/real estate is not an investment. The subsequent
 ones are. While the ROI in terms of rent maybe low, the caital
 appreciation is what counts. As some earlier pointed out, the tax
 breaks on loans makes effective interest low.

 3) An approximate cash flow statement needs to be prepared to plan for
 big ticket expenses. The savings/retirement strategy and allocation
 depends a lot on this.

 4) Assume that good fund managers know more than you and have much
 better data. If you treat mutual funds as investing then this holds
 true over investing directly in stocks. Many peeople do make money on
 stocks but lots more do loose. In case you have the time, expertize
 and drive, then it make sense to research stocks and buy directly.

 5) Allocate an ideal percent of cash to debt, small cap, balanced and
 large cap depending on risk profile and adjust investment accordingly.
 Even if the amount per month is miniscule, it all adds up

 6) Regular SIP is a must. That is the key 

 7) For equity keep long term in view. If Mukesh Ambani sneezes, the
 stock market crashes, but that does not mean that all  business are
 going to sink. ONce he starts smiling the market may boom. Over a 10+
 year horizon this hardly matters. 

Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

2014-10-05 Thread SS
On Sun, 2014-10-05 at 22:37 +0530, Udhay Shankar N wrote:
 Perhaps because science only concerns itself with making falsifiable,
 repeatable predictions. (Continuing your anthropomorphism to make a
 philosophical point) 

Mostly, no disagreement with that.

But science has spread itself over a vast domain and its record of
making falsifiable, repeatable predictions is sketchy in some areas.
Mind you it's still called science. Few people call it art or
astrology or mumbo-jumbo and the scientists in those areas would be
greatly upset at such accusations and get their knickers in a massive
twist.

The methods of research used in science is applied in the field of
animal and human behaviour and social extrapolations are regularly made
using the findings of such studies that are passed off as science

For example, I read one more recent article that pointed out that
homosexuality occurs in animals and therefore it should be acceptable to
man. Fine. Let me not argue with that. But if you are going to apply
animal models to man, how about intercourse as soon as menarche is
reached. Why is that normal behaviour for animals but underage sex
for humans? 

Among animals one finds polygamy, polyandry and the one partner for
life model. Once could take one's pick and say all are right, but all
can't be right. Convenience, politics and social norms dictate what
science says and does and what is cherry-picked as the truth

Scientists have failed to ask hard and uncomfortable questions that need
to be asked and have lowered themselves to a level where religion, with
some absurd theories is fighting neck and neck with science to win
hearts and minds.

What a come-down that is.

shiv




Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

2014-10-05 Thread Mahesh Murthy
Shiv,

Once again, I'm glad to see your sexist, misogynist, low IQ and completely
bullshit comments on a well-researched piece.

Once again, just because it contrasts with your equally bullshit theories
of Ram Rajya and Ye Olde English Way Of Life:)

Good to have you here, man :-)

M
On 05-Oct-2014 11:03 pm, SS cybers...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Sun, 2014-10-05 at 15:59 +0530, Shenoy N wrote:
  FWIW: The problem with deciding to follow one part of religion because
  it
  makes sense and jettisoning another because it doesn't is that the
  follower
  comes up against the very reasonable question - if parts of it are
  silly,
  is it really divine at all? and soon concludes in the negative. That
  leaves
  with only the everything-is-literally-true people whose tribe seems to
  be
  increasing not so much because their numbers are swelling as because
  the
  more rational guys are choosing not to believe in any of it at all.
  And
  politics being what it is, the loonies are always the first to be
  heard.

 Yes. But this is the religionists viewpoint of the uncomfortable
 questions that religion faces.

 How about science? How come no one is asking science uncomfortable
 questions about why science finds it OK to discard morality, or not
 question the discarding of morality without having a clue about why and
 where morality came from. And no. Religion did not bring in morality.
 The very same concepts of morality pre-date the religions and exist
 outside religion.

 For example, look at this article
 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/14/opinion/sunday/beyond-marriage.html?_r=0

 The author (an economist, I think, certainly not a biologist of priest)
 starts by saying:

  MARRIAGE is disappearing. More than 40 percent of new mothers are
  unmarried.
 
 
 Later she says:

  Can marriage be restored as the standard way to raise children? As
  much as we might welcome a revival, I doubt that it will happen. The
  genie is out of the bottle.

 This statement brought a contemptuous smile on my face because the woman
 is bluffing. This is a classic example of GIGO by an ignoramus who is
 accustomed to bluffing her way through and does not require to meet the
 standards that a scientist is supposed to reach.

 For anything to be declared as impossible, one must first try and
 understand why something happens and then decide whether it is
 impossible or not. For example - 150 years ago, flying was thought to be
 impossible while people were experimenting with perpetual motion
 machines. Physics teaches us that perpetual motion without the input of
 energy is impossible, but heavier than air objects flying is possible.

 But what about marriage? Why have marriages existed before anyone can
 remember? Why have marriages been known from before many religions? If
 you do not know why marriages were thought necessary in human society
 for over 3000 years of recorded history, how on earth can the concept of
 marriage be simply dismissed? This is no better than alchemists trying
 to make gold from base metals.

 And this is the 21st century?

 shiv







Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

2014-10-05 Thread Udhay Shankar N
ADMIN: can we have less of (by which I mean NONE whatsoever) the ad
hominem posts please? Make your points without namecalling.

Udhay



Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

2014-10-05 Thread Shyam Sunder
Udhay, could you also clarify please if there are any group editorial 
guidelines regarding language? I generally keep it clean, but I was recently 
tempted.

-Original Message-
From: Udhay Shankar N ud...@pobox.com
Sent: ‎06-‎10-‎2014 08:10
To: Silk List silklist@lists.hserus.net
Subject: Re: [silk] God, Darwin and College Biology

ADMIN: can we have less of (by which I mean NONE whatsoever) the ad
hominem posts please? Make your points without namecalling.

Udhay



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[silk] ADMIN: The rules of silklist

2014-10-05 Thread Udhay Shankar N
On Mon, Oct 6, 2014 at 8:29 AM, Shyam Sunder shyam.sun...@peakalpha.com wrote:

 Udhay, could you also clarify please if there are any group editorial 
 guidelines regarding language? I generally keep it clean, but I was recently 
 tempted.

The three basic guidelines, which exist on the list homepage, and also
in the welcome message sent to everyone who joins the list:

0. Assume goodwill.
1. No ad hominem.
2. No spam.



Re: [silk] ADMIN: The rules of silklist

2014-10-05 Thread Amit Varma
On Mon, Oct 6, 2014 at 8:50 AM, Udhay Shankar N ud...@pobox.com wrote:

 The three basic guidelines, which exist on the list homepage, and also
 in the welcome message sent to everyone who joins the list:

 0. Assume goodwill.
 1. No ad hominem.
 2. No spam.


3. No top-posting. ;)


-- 
Amit Varma
http://www.indiauncut.com
http://www.twitter.com/amitvarma


Re: [silk] ADMIN: The rules of silklist

2014-10-05 Thread Madhu Menon
On 6 October 2014 08:50, Udhay Shankar N ud...@pobox.com wrote:
 0. Assume goodwill.
 1. No ad hominem.
 2. No spam.

You'd think Be civil at all times would be obvious, but sometimes it
would appear not. :)


-- 
Madhu Menon
Food Photography: http://madhumenonphoto.com
Twitter: http://twitter.com/madmanweb