[tips] Compare and contrast

2013-08-19 Thread michael sylvester
Mike P took a shot at conservative republicans re an updated version of Twain's
 faith perspective.However,President Obama seemed to have issued a statement
about some folks clinging on to their guns.This seems to be more than political.

michael
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Re: [tips] Did Mark Twain say

2013-08-19 Thread michael sylvester


- Original Message - 
From: "Mike Palij" 
To: "Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)" 


Cc: "Michael Palij" 
Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 7:41 PM
Subject: re: [tips] Did Mark Twain say



On Mon, 19 Aug 2013 18:50:02 -0700, Michael Sylvester wrote:
something like this "Faith is what people cling to when they know it ain't 
so?"


Yes, in that it was something like that. In Twain's "Following the
Equator", he starts chapters with an epigraph and in Chapter 12 he
wrote:

|There are those who scoff at the schoolboy, calling him frivolous and
|shallow: Yet it was the schoolboy who said "Faith is believing what you
|know ain't so."
|--Pudd'nhead Wilson's New Calendar.
http://www.literaturecollection.com/a/twain/following-equator/13/

Today, however, instead of faith one is more likely to see the phrase
"Conservative Republican Policy positions".

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu


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Re: [tips] Did Mark Twain say

2013-08-19 Thread Mike Palij

On Mon, 19 Aug 2013 19:29:44 -0700, Christopher Green wrote:
"Faith is believing what you know ain't so" is what is usually attributed 
to
him (without specific citation). Some take this to be a witty rendering of 
a
verse in Hebrews about believing n "things not seen." Others know better. 
:-)

Here's something else attributed to Twain: "It is wiser to find out than
suppose."


See, that's what you get when you specialize in history instead of American
literature.  So let me drop some knowledge on you all and lead you to all
of the Pudd'nhead Maxims from Twain's "Following the Equator" (1897): see
http://twain.lib.virginia.edu/wilson/pwequat.html

One epigraph that seems particularly apt for U.S. politics is:

|It could probably be shown by facts and figures that there is no distinctly
|native American criminal class except Congress.

Yer welcome.

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu

On 2013-08-19, at 9:51 PM, "michael sylvester"  
wrote:

something like this "Faith is what people cling to when they know it ain't
so?" 



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re: [tips] Did Mark Twain say

2013-08-19 Thread Mike Palij

On Mon, 19 Aug 2013 18:50:02 -0700, Michael Sylvester wrote:
something like this "Faith is what people cling to when they know it ain't 
so?"


Yes, in that it was something like that. In Twain's "Following the
Equator", he starts chapters with an epigraph and in Chapter 12 he
wrote:

|There are those who scoff at the schoolboy, calling him frivolous and
|shallow: Yet it was the schoolboy who said "Faith is believing what you
|know ain't so."
|--Pudd'nhead Wilson's New Calendar.
http://www.literaturecollection.com/a/twain/following-equator/13/

Today, however, instead of faith one is more likely to see the phrase
"Conservative Republican Policy positions".

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu


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Re: [tips] Did Mark Twain say

2013-08-19 Thread Christopher Green
"Faith is believing what you know ain't so" is what is usually attributed to 
him (without specific citation). Some take this to be a witty rendering of a 
verse in Hebrews about believing n "things not seen." Others know better. :-)

Here's something else attributed to Twain: "It is wiser to find out than 
suppose."

Chris
...
Christopher D Green
Department of Psychology
York University
Toronto, ON M6C 1G4

chri...@yorku.ca
http://www.yorku.ca/christo

On 2013-08-19, at 9:51 PM, "michael sylvester"  wrote:

>  
> 
> 
>  
> 
> 
>  
> 
> 
> something like this "Faith is what people cling to when they know it ain't 
> so?"
>  
> michael
> 
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[tips] Did Mark Twain say

2013-08-19 Thread michael sylvester
something like this "Faith is what people cling to when they know it ain't so?"

michael
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RE:[tips] Question...

2013-08-19 Thread Marc Carter

Okay then, I shall think on this some more, and relax more.  :)

Thanks!

m

--
Marc Carter, PhD
Associate Professor of Psychology
Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences
College of Arts & Sciences
Baker University
--


> -Original Message-
> From: Jim Clark [mailto:j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca]
> Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 2:18 PM
> To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> Subject: RE:[tips] Question...
>
> Hi
>
> Consider the binomial distribution.  One calculates an exact
> probability that for n = 20 and p = .5, p(x = 13) = .xx (whatever .xx
> is).   If one now approximates this with a normal distribution, we find
> the area between 7.5 and 8.5 and report p = .yy (roughly).  That is, we
> do not (cannot?) say that p is < .yy, as that would be nonsense.
> Considering now the tails of the distribution, if we want to
> approximate the p value for x >= 8, then we report (estimated) p
> between 7.5 and 20, and it would be nonsense to say p <= some value as
> it could actually be greater given it is an estimate.
>
> Extending this thinking to the p value for a statistical results, we
> are calculating (estimating) the probability that our test statistic is
> greater than or equal to the observed value.  That is, p = .05 = p(z >=
> 1.645) = an area or the interval between 1.645 and infinity.
>
> I guess another way to think about this is that our observed value may
> have noise associated with it, but the probability distribution does
> not.  That is, given a specified value for z, t, F, whatever, the
> probability for that value is exact.
>
> Take care
> Jim
>
> Jim Clark
> Professor & Chair of Psychology
> 204-786-9757
> 4L41A
>
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Marc Carter [mailto:marc.car...@bakeru.edu]
> Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 2:00 PM
> To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> Subject: RE:[tips] Question...
>
> Hi, Jim --
>
> But that's my point (no pun intended): if I report p = .xx, then I'm
> reporting a point, not an interval.  If I report p < .xx, then I'm
> reporting an interval.
>
> Am I misunderstanding?  (It's been known to happen...)
>
> m
>
> --
> Marc Carter, PhD
> Associate Professor of Psychology
> Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences College of Arts &
> Sciences Baker University
> --
>
>
> > -Original Message-
> > From: Jim Clark [mailto:j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca]
> > Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 1:47 PM
> > To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> > Subject: RE:[tips] Question...
> >
> > Hi
> >
> > I think this is a miss-application of that rule.  The p value is an
> > area, not a point estimate.
> >
> > Take care
> > Jim
> >
> > Jim Clark
> > Professor & Chair of Psychology
> > 204-786-9757
> > 4L41A
> >
> > -Original Message-
> > From: Marc Carter [mailto:marc.car...@bakeru.edu]
> > Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 1:42 PM
> > To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> > Subject: [tips] Question...
> >
> > Hi, All --
> >
> > Hope your school years are off to a good start, if they've started
> (we
> > start Wednesday and I am SO not ready).
> >
> > But I have a question: am I being a pedant if I insist that my
> > students never report an exact _p_ value?  IIRC from my calc days,
> the
> > probability of obtaining an exact value of a random variable is zero.
> >
> > I suppose I should just go with the flow, but it sort of rankles...
> >
> > What do you all think?
> >
> > m
> >
> > --
> > Marc Carter, PhD
> > Associate Professor of Psychology
> > Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences College of Arts &
> > Sciences Baker University
> > --
> >
> >
> >
> > The information contained in this e-mail and any attachments thereto
> > ("e-mail") is sent by Baker University ("BU") and is intended to be
> > confidential and for the use of only the individual or entity named
> > above. The information may be protected by federal and state privacy
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> > message is not the intended recipient, you are notified that
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> > strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error please
> > immediately notify Baker University by email reply and immediately
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> > permanently delete this e-mail message and any attachments thereto.
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> >
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RE:[tips] Question...

2013-08-19 Thread Jim Clark
Hi

Consider the binomial distribution.  One calculates an exact probability that 
for n = 20 and p = .5, p(x = 13) = .xx (whatever .xx is).   If one now 
approximates this with a normal distribution, we find the area between 7.5 and 
8.5 and report p = .yy (roughly).  That is, we do not (cannot?) say that p is < 
.yy, as that would be nonsense.  Considering now the tails of the distribution, 
if we want to approximate the p value for x >= 8, then we report (estimated) p 
between 7.5 and 20, and it would be nonsense to say p <= some value as it could 
actually be greater given it is an estimate.

Extending this thinking to the p value for a statistical results, we are 
calculating (estimating) the probability that our test statistic is greater 
than or equal to the observed value.  That is, p = .05 = p(z >= 1.645) = an 
area or the interval between 1.645 and infinity.

I guess another way to think about this is that our observed value may have 
noise associated with it, but the probability distribution does not.  That is, 
given a specified value for z, t, F, whatever, the probability for that value 
is exact.

Take care
Jim

Jim Clark
Professor & Chair of Psychology
204-786-9757
4L41A


-Original Message-
From: Marc Carter [mailto:marc.car...@bakeru.edu] 
Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 2:00 PM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: RE:[tips] Question...

Hi, Jim --

But that's my point (no pun intended): if I report p = .xx, then I'm reporting 
a point, not an interval.  If I report p < .xx, then I'm reporting an interval.

Am I misunderstanding?  (It's been known to happen...)

m

--
Marc Carter, PhD
Associate Professor of Psychology
Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences College of Arts & Sciences 
Baker University
--


> -Original Message-
> From: Jim Clark [mailto:j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca]
> Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 1:47 PM
> To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> Subject: RE:[tips] Question...
>
> Hi
>
> I think this is a miss-application of that rule.  The p value is an 
> area, not a point estimate.
>
> Take care
> Jim
>
> Jim Clark
> Professor & Chair of Psychology
> 204-786-9757
> 4L41A
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Marc Carter [mailto:marc.car...@bakeru.edu]
> Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 1:42 PM
> To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> Subject: [tips] Question...
>
> Hi, All --
>
> Hope your school years are off to a good start, if they've started (we 
> start Wednesday and I am SO not ready).
>
> But I have a question: am I being a pedant if I insist that my 
> students never report an exact _p_ value?  IIRC from my calc days, the 
> probability of obtaining an exact value of a random variable is zero.
>
> I suppose I should just go with the flow, but it sort of rankles...
>
> What do you all think?
>
> m
>
> --
> Marc Carter, PhD
> Associate Professor of Psychology
> Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences College of Arts & 
> Sciences Baker University
> --
>
>
>
> The information contained in this e-mail and any attachments thereto
> ("e-mail") is sent by Baker University ("BU") and is intended to be 
> confidential and for the use of only the individual or entity named 
> above. The information may be protected by federal and state privacy 
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> message is not the intended recipient, you are notified that 
> retention, dissemination, distribution or copying of this e-mail is 
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> immediately notify Baker University by email reply and immediately and 
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RE:[tips] Question...

2013-08-19 Thread Marc Carter
Hi, Jim --

But that's my point (no pun intended): if I report p = .xx, then I'm reporting 
a point, not an interval.  If I report p < .xx, then I'm reporting an interval.

Am I misunderstanding?  (It's been known to happen...)

m

--
Marc Carter, PhD
Associate Professor of Psychology
Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences
College of Arts & Sciences
Baker University
--


> -Original Message-
> From: Jim Clark [mailto:j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca]
> Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 1:47 PM
> To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> Subject: RE:[tips] Question...
>
> Hi
>
> I think this is a miss-application of that rule.  The p value is an
> area, not a point estimate.
>
> Take care
> Jim
>
> Jim Clark
> Professor & Chair of Psychology
> 204-786-9757
> 4L41A
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Marc Carter [mailto:marc.car...@bakeru.edu]
> Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 1:42 PM
> To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
> Subject: [tips] Question...
>
> Hi, All --
>
> Hope your school years are off to a good start, if they've started (we
> start Wednesday and I am SO not ready).
>
> But I have a question: am I being a pedant if I insist that my students
> never report an exact _p_ value?  IIRC from my calc days, the
> probability of obtaining an exact value of a random variable is zero.
>
> I suppose I should just go with the flow, but it sort of rankles...
>
> What do you all think?
>
> m
>
> --
> Marc Carter, PhD
> Associate Professor of Psychology
> Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences College of Arts &
> Sciences Baker University
> --
>
>
>
> The information contained in this e-mail and any attachments thereto
> ("e-mail") is sent by Baker University ("BU") and is intended to be
> confidential and for the use of only the individual or entity named
> above. The information may be protected by federal and state privacy
> and disclosures acts or other legal rules. If the reader of this
> message is not the intended recipient, you are notified that retention,
> dissemination, distribution or copying of this e-mail is strictly
> prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error please
> immediately notify Baker University by email reply and immediately and
> permanently delete this e-mail message and any attachments thereto.
> Thank you.
>
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RE:[tips] Question...

2013-08-19 Thread Jim Clark
Hi

I think this is a miss-application of that rule.  The p value is an area, not a 
point estimate.

Take care
Jim

Jim Clark
Professor & Chair of Psychology
204-786-9757
4L41A

-Original Message-
From: Marc Carter [mailto:marc.car...@bakeru.edu] 
Sent: Monday, August 19, 2013 1:42 PM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: [tips] Question...

Hi, All --

Hope your school years are off to a good start, if they've started (we start 
Wednesday and I am SO not ready).

But I have a question: am I being a pedant if I insist that my students never 
report an exact _p_ value?  IIRC from my calc days, the probability of 
obtaining an exact value of a random variable is zero.

I suppose I should just go with the flow, but it sort of rankles...

What do you all think?

m

--
Marc Carter, PhD
Associate Professor of Psychology
Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences College of Arts & Sciences 
Baker University
--



The information contained in this e-mail and any attachments thereto ("e-mail") 
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protected by federal and state privacy and disclosures acts or other legal 
rules. If the reader of this message is not the intended recipient, you are 
notified that retention, dissemination, distribution or copying of this e-mail 
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[tips] Question...

2013-08-19 Thread Marc Carter
Hi, All --

Hope your school years are off to a good start, if they've started (we start 
Wednesday and I am SO not ready).

But I have a question: am I being a pedant if I insist that my students never 
report an exact _p_ value?  IIRC from my calc days, the probability of 
obtaining an exact value of a random variable is zero.

I suppose I should just go with the flow, but it sort of rankles...

What do you all think?

m

--
Marc Carter, PhD
Associate Professor of Psychology
Chair, Department of Behavioral and Health Sciences
College of Arts & Sciences
Baker University
--



The information contained in this e-mail and any attachments thereto ("e-mail") 
is sent by Baker University ("BU") and is intended to be confidential and for 
the use of only the individual or entity named above. The information may be 
protected by federal and state privacy and disclosures acts or other legal 
rules. If the reader of this message is not the intended recipient, you are 
notified that retention, dissemination, distribution or copying of this e-mail 
is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error please 
immediately notify Baker University by email reply and immediately and 
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