Re: [Vo]:McKubre visitors who peer-reviewed his lab, then get (unethically) silent

2014-01-02 Thread Alain Sepeda
2014/1/2 Foks0904 . foks0...@gmail.com

 Garwin and Lewis


is it linked to that report
http://newenergytimes.com/v2/reports/GarwinLewisReport/garwin.shtml

what an irony that Lewis, who seems to be THE CAUSE of general LENR denial,
admitted in silence that it worked.


[Vo]:Was Garwin Lying on CBS 60 Minutes..Cold Fusion- Hot Again??

2014-01-02 Thread Ron Kita
Greetings Vortex-L

Was Garwin lying on CBS 60 Minutes- Cold Fusion, Hot Again 
CBS was 2009 and his Pentagon Letter was 1993:
http://www.scoop.it/t/lenr-revolution-in-process-cold-fusion

Respectfully,
Ron Kita, Chiralex
The Truth is Out There


Re: [Vo]:Was Garwin Lying on CBS 60 Minutes..Cold Fusion- Hot Again??

2014-01-02 Thread Foks0904 .
Garwin is in denial. He knows input power is a red herring, nonsense
argument. His public statements are motivated by politics.


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 8:55 AM, Ron Kita chiralex.k...@gmail.com wrote:

 Greetings Vortex-L

 Was Garwin lying on CBS 60 Minutes- Cold Fusion, Hot Again 
 CBS was 2009 and his Pentagon Letter was 1993:
 http://www.scoop.it/t/lenr-revolution-in-process-cold-fusion

 Respectfully,
 Ron Kita, Chiralex
 The Truth is Out There



Re: [Vo]:McKubre visitors who peer-reviewed his lab, then get (unethically) silent

2014-01-02 Thread David Roberson
I just read the paper again and believe that the author is not confident that 
excess heat is being generated.  He apparently has witnessed the small signal 
detected by the apparatus, but expresses caution that this result might contain 
measurement errors of an unknown type.  This reminds me of the feeling you get 
when you do not believe in something but see evidence before you that it is 
real.  Since, he also sees evidence against these systems being conducted at 
other labs, a large cloud obscures his view.

My conclusion is that this paper does not represent an endorsement by these 
guys.  It merely leaves the door open a tiny bit that the effect may be real.  
But, I get the impression that they do not completely accept the results and 
that it would take a much more extensive review to come to a positive 
conclusion.

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Alain Sepeda alain.sep...@gmail.com
To: Vortex List vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 3:16 am
Subject: Re: [Vo]:McKubre visitors who peer-reviewed his lab, then get 
(unethically) silent





2014/1/2 Foks0904 . foks0...@gmail.com

 Garwin and Lewis

is it linked to that report
http://newenergytimes.com/v2/reports/GarwinLewisReport/garwin.shtml



what an irony that Lewis, who seems to be THE CAUSE of general LENR denial, 
admitted in silence that it worked.







[Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

2014-01-02 Thread David Roberson
I have been toying with a new computer model of the ECAT that I constructed the 
other day.  The concepts that are being presented are based upon a simple model 
of the ECAT that has many assumptions since Rossi has not released many of the 
detailed technical information required to construct a truly accurate one.

This particular model run assumes that the internally generated heat power 
follows a forth order function in the region around the thermal run away 
temperature.  It can be adjusted to include any polynomial or other function 
once that has been verified.  The main idea at work is that the ECAT must use 
positive feedback in order to operate at a reasonable COP.  Negative internal 
feedback or no reinforcing heat from the powder will not work to a useful 
degree.

The model suggests that Rossi must carefully set the thermal resistance into 
which heat is delivered by the device.  If the coolant flow rate is excessive, 
which would represent someone attempting to extract too much heat from the 
system, the positive feedback can be defeated and the temperature would 
collapse.  This implies that there must be a tradeoff between the variables 
which is most likely where a lot of Rossi's time is being expended.

I did notice that under the ideal conditions operation slightly below the run 
away core temperature can be theoretically controlled and the gain large.  My 
model demonstrates this is possible, but the control system is subjected to a 
positive feedback behavior which it must overwhelm.  Operation at these types 
of location are tricky since any error in temperature of either direction tends 
to compound and the device heads ever stronger in that direction.  If the core 
experiences a slight increase in temperature it heads toward thermal run away 
and must be reversed by the control loop.  On the other hand a tiny drop in 
core temperature leads to total cooling unless compensated.  The control loop 
has to contend with environment changes such as input coolant temperature and 
flow rate, or for example changes to the activity of the powder with time.  I 
am confident that there are many other factors which attempt to influence the 
instantaneous balance required at the chosen operation temperature and all of 
these require an excess of control range for proper allowance.

The time constants associated with the device must also be contended with and 
of course these are not being revealed by Rossi at this time either.  Any 
delays built into the heat generation mechanism itself further complicate the 
control system.  For all of these reasons, a model such as the one I have 
constructed makes assumptions that will likely be found in error, but at least 
the trends should be revealed.

One of the model runs that I conducted assumed that an input power set to a 
constant 1000 watts(modified by the loop) could control a total output power of 
1 watts for a net COP of 10.  Other drives can of course be used which 
yield higher or lower values of COP, but this value has a nice ring to it!  The 
thermal run away trip point is within 5% of the absolute temperature of 
operation in this particular case.  I have noticed that most any other 
polynomial relationship between core power generation and temperature work in a 
similar fashion to the forth order where the higher ordered functions tend to 
be more critical.  This is to be expected.

Dave


RE: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

2014-01-02 Thread Jones Beene
Dave,

 

Did you consider a negative differential resistance scenario for the input?

 

This would make for nonlinear operation but it is closer to what Rossi is
suggesting. It implies a sweet spot in the parameters which should be
easier to control since there would be both positive and negative feedback.

 

From: David Roberson 

Subject: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

 

I have been toying with a new computer model of the ECAT that I constructed
the other day.  The concepts that are being presented are based upon a
simple model of the ECAT that has many assumptions since Rossi has not
released many of the detailed technical information required to construct a
truly accurate one.

This particular model run assumes that the internally generated heat power
follows a forth order function in the region around the thermal run away
temperature.  It can be adjusted to include any polynomial or other function
once that has been verified.  The main idea at work is that the ECAT must
use positive feedback in order to operate at a reasonable COP.  Negative
internal feedback or no reinforcing heat from the powder will not work to a
useful degree.

The model suggests that Rossi must carefully set the thermal resistance into
which heat is delivered by the device.  If the coolant flow rate is
excessive, which would represent someone attempting to extract too much heat
from the system, the positive feedback can be defeated and the temperature
would collapse.  This implies that there must be a tradeoff between the
variables which is most likely where a lot of Rossi's time is being
expended.

I did notice that under the ideal conditions operation slightly below the
run away core temperature can be theoretically controlled and the gain
large.  My model demonstrates this is possible, but the control system is
subjected to a positive feedback behavior which it must overwhelm.
Operation at these types of location are tricky since any error in
temperature of either direction tends to compound and the device heads ever
stronger in that direction.  If the core experiences a slight increase in
temperature it heads toward thermal run away and must be reversed by the
control loop.  On the other hand a tiny drop in core temperature leads to
total cooling unless compensated.  The control loop has to contend with
environment changes such as input coolant temperature and flow rate, or for
example changes to the activity of the powder with time.  I am confident
that there are many other factors which attempt to influence the
instantaneous balance required at the chosen operation temperature and all
of these require an excess of control range for proper allowance.

The time constants associated with the device must also be contended with
and of course these are not being revealed by Rossi at this time either.
Any delays built into the heat generation mechanism itself further
complicate the control system.  For all of these reasons, a model such as
the one I have constructed makes assumptions that will likely be found in
error, but at least the trends should be revealed.

One of the model runs that I conducted assumed that an input power set to a
constant 1000 watts(modified by the loop) could control a total output power
of 1 watts for a net COP of 10.  Other drives can of course be used
which yield higher or lower values of COP, but this value has a nice ring to
it!  The thermal run away trip point is within 5% of the absolute
temperature of operation in this particular case.  I have noticed that most
any other polynomial relationship between core power generation and
temperature work in a similar fashion to the forth order where the higher
ordered functions tend to be more critical.  This is to be expected.

Dave



Re: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

2014-01-02 Thread David Roberson
The model I constructed is fairly simple in form.  In this particular case I 
used a forth order function of power internally generated versus core internal 
temperature.  I also tried many other functions, but felt that the magnitude of 
the nonlinearity was within reason with the forth order function.  The assumed 
internally generated power begins at 0 watts and then rapidly increases with 
temperature as would be expected with the forth order relationship.

Could you offer a simple description of the behavior of the negative 
differential resistance function that you mention?  My model also generates a 
negative resistance once a certain internal temperature is reached.  The exact 
level at which this is reached depends also upon the thermal impendence that 
the core works into.   I can adjust this factor fairly easily in the model and 
in real life I suspect that Rossi would likely reduce the coolant flow rate and 
hence raise its associated thermal resistance value at startup to reduce the 
power input required to enter into the positive resistance dominated region.  
Once this region is breeched, the positive feedback, as evidenced by the 
negative resistance calculation, takes over and brings the ECAT up to an active 
core temperature near the thermal runaway level.  The control loop must rapidly 
begin to extract any excess power once this temperature is reached.  A failure 
at that time will cause the ECAT to melt.

It is evident from the model runs and common sense that the thermal runaway 
temperature can be modified on the fly by the settings of the coolant flow rate 
and input temperature.  This was demonstrated in one of Rossi's earlier test 
runs where he upped the flow rate significantly to pull the early model into 
safe turn off.  I suspect that even an intervention such as this has 
limitations unless applied soon enough.

Rossi has numerous variables at his disposal that he can modify at startup, 
operation, and turn off.  I hope that we can get more information from him 
before one of his final designs is thrown into our laps via production in 
volume.

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 12:47 pm
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled



Dave,
 
Did you consider anegative differential resistance scenario for the input?
 
This would make fornonlinear operation but it is closer to what Rossi is 
suggesting. It implies a “sweetspot” in the parameters which should be easier 
to control since therewould be both positive and negative feedback.
 

From:David Roberson 
Subject:[Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

 
I have been toying with a new computer model of the ECAT that Iconstructed the 
other day.  The concepts that are being presented arebased upon a simple model 
of the ECAT that has many assumptions since Rossi hasnot released many of the 
detailed technical information required to construct atruly accurate one.

This particular model run assumes that the internally generated heat 
powerfollows a forth order function in the region around the thermal run 
awaytemperature.  It can be adjusted to include any polynomial or otherfunction 
once that has been verified.  The main idea at work is that theECAT must use 
positive feedback in order to operate at a reasonable COP. Negative internal 
feedback or no reinforcing heat from the powder will not workto a useful degree.

The model suggests that Rossi must carefully set the thermal resistance 
intowhich heat is delivered by the device.  If the coolant flow rate 
isexcessive, which would represent someone attempting to extract too much 
heatfrom the system, the positive feedback can be defeated and the 
temperaturewould collapse.  This implies that there must be a tradeoff between 
thevariables which is most likely where a lot of Rossi's time is being expended.

I did notice that under the ideal conditions operation slightly below the 
runaway core temperature can be theoretically controlled and the gain large. My 
model demonstrates this is possible, but the control system is subjected toa 
positive feedback behavior which it must overwhelm.  Operation at thesetypes of 
location are tricky since any error in temperature of either directiontends to 
compound and the device heads ever stronger in that direction. If the core 
experiences a slight increase in temperature it heads towardthermal run away 
and must be reversed by the control loop.  On the otherhand a tiny drop in core 
temperature leads to total cooling unlesscompensated.  The control loop has to 
contend with environment changessuch as input coolant temperature and flow 
rate, or for example changes to theactivity of the powder with time.  I am 
confident that there are manyother factors which attempt to influence the 
instantaneous balance required atthe chosen operation temperature and all of 
these require an excess of controlrange for proper allowance.

The 

RE: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

2014-01-02 Thread Jones Beene
 

From: David Roberson 


Could you offer a simple description of the behavior of the negative 
differential resistance function that you mention?  

 

Looks like you are already doing something similar. Wiki has an entry for the 
electronic version. The image of the curve is an ascending double hump, so if 
your model accommodates that already, then that may be why it is so intuitive. 
If one is plotting P-in vs. P-out then there is good control functionality to 
the top of the first hump, where the negative feedback would start to show 
itself.

 

https://www.google.com/search?q=negative+differential+resistanceclient=firefox-ahs=bBTrls=org.mozilla:en-US:officialtbm=ischtbo=usource=univsa=Xei=JKTFUo6jBcvxoASVpoCABwved=0CDwQsAQbiw=1146bih=675

 



[Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
See:

http://www.nytimes.com/books/97/03/23/lifetimes/asi-v-fair.html

Too optimistic about many technologies, but not bad. Arthur Clarke did a
better job in my opinion.

- Jed


RE: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

2014-01-02 Thread MarkI-Zeropoint


Sounds like one of Rossi's controllability issues may come from the 
temperature stability of the cooling fluid itself.


Dave's explanation sounds as if the control loop is expecting a rather 
consistent cooling fluid inlet temperature... and that may be the case 
if running off the city water supply (at least no major differences in 
water temp for a running faucet), but if one gets a sudden drop of 
several degrees on inlet water temp, what will that do to the control 
loop???


-Mark Iverson

On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 10:33 AM, Jones Beene wrote:


From: David Roberson

Could you offer a simple description of the behavior of the negative 
differential resistance function that you mention?


Looks like you are already doing something similar. Wiki has an entry 
for the electronic version. The image of the curve is an ascending 
double hump, so if your model accommodates that already, then that may 
be why it is so intuitive. If one is plotting P-in vs. P-out then there 
is good control functionality to the top of the first hump, where the 
negative feedback would start to show itself.



https://www.google.com/search?q=negative+differential+resistanceclient=firefox-ahs=bBTrls=org.mozilla:en-US:officialtbm=ischtbo=usource=univsa=Xei=JKTFUo6jBcvxoASVpoCABwved=0CDwQsAQbiw=1146bih=675



Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread ChemE Stewart
Yeah, he missed the part about 1/55 kids with autism, amphibians
disappearing, starfish melting, birds dropping from the sky, trees
disappearing, reactors melting down, reefs bleaching, Earth warming,
Alzheimer's and
some cancers increasing.  Other than that it is one big f($$ worldwide
party... :)

On Thursday, January 2, 2014, Jed Rothwell wrote:

 See:

 http://www.nytimes.com/books/97/03/23/lifetimes/asi-v-fair.html

 Too optimistic about many technologies, but not bad. Arthur Clarke did a
 better job in my opinion.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Edmund Storms
Good point Stewart. People like to hear about all the good things the  
future holds but its the bad things that are worth knowing so that  
they can be avoid.  For example, people look forward to having their  
work done by robots but each robot puts several people out of work,  
who now cannot afford to buy a robot or anything else.  In spite of  
this problem becoming obvious, the right wing fights the solution.  
What does that say about the future?


Ed
On Jan 2, 2014, at 11:48 AM, ChemE Stewart wrote:

Yeah, he missed the part about 1/55 kids with autism, amphibians  
disappearing, starfish melting, birds dropping from the sky, trees  
disappearing, reactors melting down, reefs bleaching, Earth warming,  
Alzheimer's and some cancers increasing.  Other than that it is one  
big f($$ worldwide party... :)


On Thursday, January 2, 2014, Jed Rothwell wrote:
See:

http://www.nytimes.com/books/97/03/23/lifetimes/asi-v-fair.html

Too optimistic about many technologies, but not bad. Arthur Clarke  
did a better job in my opinion.


- Jed





Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
Here is a prediction he got way wrong, but you can't blame him. The
improvements in optical fibers beginning around 1970 were astounding:

Any number of simultaneous conversations between earth and moon can be
handled by modulated laser beams, which are easy to manipulate in space. On
earth, however, laser beams will have to be led through plastic pipes, to
avoid material and atmospheric interference. Engineers will still be
playing with that problem in 2014.

RD into optical fibers continues. In that sense engineers are still
playing around with the problem.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread James Bowery
To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution being
the unconditional basic income.  It was the last thing Martin Luther King,
Jr. recommended as the proper solution to inequality -- just before he was
assassinated.  The Southern Poverty Law Center has never advocated it
despite proclaiming itself the recipient of Dr. King's mantle subsequent to
his assassination.  Curious that they would fight a race-neutral cure for
inequality that Dr. King himself recommended, thereby setting white working
class against blacks due to affirmative action most directly impacting the
white working class.  No major Democratic party candidate has ever even
proposed it.  The closest anyone with any prominence in public policy has
come to a serious proposal for it has been a libertarian scholar with -- of
all places -- the Cato Institute:  Charles Murray's In Our Hands:  A Plan
to Replace the Welfare State http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=skDgS5nEY6c


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 1:01 PM, Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.com wrote:

 Good point Stewart. People like to hear about all the good things the
 future holds but its the bad things that are worth knowing so that they can
 be avoid.  For example, people look forward to having their work done by
 robots but each robot puts several people out of work, who now cannot
 afford to buy a robot or anything else.  In spite of this problem becoming
 obvious, the right wing fights the solution. What does that say about the
 future?

 Ed

 On Jan 2, 2014, at 11:48 AM, ChemE Stewart wrote:

 Yeah, he missed the part about 1/55 kids with autism, amphibians
 disappearing, starfish melting, birds dropping from the sky, trees
 disappearing, reactors melting down, reefs bleaching, Earth warming, 
 Alzheimer's and
 some cancers increasing.  Other than that it is one big f($$ worldwide
 party... :)

 On Thursday, January 2, 2014, Jed Rothwell wrote:

 See:

 http://www.nytimes.com/books/97/03/23/lifetimes/asi-v-fair.html

 Too optimistic about many technologies, but not bad. Arthur Clarke did a
 better job in my opinion.

 - Jed





Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

Yeah, he missed the part about 1/55 kids with autism, amphibians
 disappearing, starfish melting, birds dropping from the sky, trees
 disappearing, reactors melting down, reefs bleaching, Earth warming, 
 Alzheimer's and
 some cancers increasing. . . .


I think he did a pretty good job describing potential problems, especially
the population explosion. He nailed the present population pretty closely.
In his other work, Asimov often pointed out the dangers of pollution and
overpopulation.

I do not think there has been an actual increase in autism. More cases are
being diagnosed. I think some are not real. Alzheimer's and cancer is
increasing mainly because there is no cure for them and the population is
aging. People have to die of something. If you reduce heart disease and
people live longer cancer will increase.

If cancer and Alzheimer's are eliminated, some other old-age disease will
become more prevalent.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread James Bowery
Erratum:  Murray proposed this as a scholar with the American Enterprise
Institute, not the Cato Institute.


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 1:14 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution being
 the unconditional basic income.  It was the last thing Martin Luther King,
 Jr. recommended as the proper solution to inequality -- just before he was
 assassinated.  The Southern Poverty Law Center has never advocated it
 despite proclaiming itself the recipient of Dr. King's mantle subsequent to
 his assassination.  Curious that they would fight a race-neutral cure for
 inequality that Dr. King himself recommended, thereby setting white working
 class against blacks due to affirmative action most directly impacting the
 white working class.  No major Democratic party candidate has ever even
 proposed it.  The closest anyone with any prominence in public policy has
 come to a serious proposal for it has been a libertarian scholar with -- of
 all places -- the Cato Institute:  Charles Murray's In Our Hands:  A
 Plan to Replace the Welfare Statehttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=skDgS5nEY6c


 On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 1:01 PM, Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.comwrote:

 Good point Stewart. People like to hear about all the good things the
 future holds but its the bad things that are worth knowing so that they can
 be avoid.  For example, people look forward to having their work done by
 robots but each robot puts several people out of work, who now cannot
 afford to buy a robot or anything else.  In spite of this problem becoming
 obvious, the right wing fights the solution. What does that say about the
 future?

 Ed

 On Jan 2, 2014, at 11:48 AM, ChemE Stewart wrote:

 Yeah, he missed the part about 1/55 kids with autism, amphibians
 disappearing, starfish melting, birds dropping from the sky, trees
 disappearing, reactors melting down, reefs bleaching, Earth warming, 
 Alzheimer's and
 some cancers increasing.  Other than that it is one big f($$ worldwide
 party... :)

 On Thursday, January 2, 2014, Jed Rothwell wrote:

 See:

 http://www.nytimes.com/books/97/03/23/lifetimes/asi-v-fair.html

 Too optimistic about many technologies, but not bad. Arthur Clarke did a
 better job in my opinion.

 - Jed






Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution being
 the unconditional basic income.. . .


That is a little unfair to the left wing. The idea of an unconditional
basic income has been around for a while, but people only began taking it
seriously a few years ago. The movement in Switzerland is the first serious
effort to implement it.

The left wing knows that advocating it would be a tremendous overreach at
present. The U.S. is a conservative country. There is no way an
unconditional basic income would pass. The left cannot even get single
payer universal healthcare. I do not know any Democratic politicians who
thought that was a realistic prospect.

If many European countries pass an unconditional basic income, and it works
well, then there may a serious movement in favor of it in the U.S. At
present it is Utopian.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread ChemE Stewart
The future is uncertain and the end is always near - Doors, Roadhouse
Blues. 1970


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 2:01 PM, Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.com wrote:

 Good point Stewart. People like to hear about all the good things the
 future holds but its the bad things that are worth knowing so that they can
 be avoid.  For example, people look forward to having their work done by
 robots but each robot puts several people out of work, who now cannot
 afford to buy a robot or anything else.  In spite of this problem becoming
 obvious, the right wing fights the solution. What does that say about the
 future?

 Ed

 On Jan 2, 2014, at 11:48 AM, ChemE Stewart wrote:

 Yeah, he missed the part about 1/55 kids with autism, amphibians
 disappearing, starfish melting, birds dropping from the sky, trees
 disappearing, reactors melting down, reefs bleaching, Earth warming, 
 Alzheimer's and
 some cancers increasing.  Other than that it is one big f($$ worldwide
 party... :)

 On Thursday, January 2, 2014, Jed Rothwell wrote:

 See:

 http://www.nytimes.com/books/97/03/23/lifetimes/asi-v-fair.html

 Too optimistic about many technologies, but not bad. Arthur Clarke did a
 better job in my opinion.

 - Jed





Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread ChemE Stewart
Why Are ASDs Increasing?

[image: Prevalence of ASDs per 1,000 Children. 2002: 6.6, 2006: 9.0, 2008:
11.3]At CDC, we know that people want answers to what is causing this
increase, and so do we. The reasons for the increase in the identified
prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASDs) are not understood
completely. Some of the increase is due to the way children are identified,
diagnosed, and served in their local communities, although exactly how much
is due to these factors is unknown. Also, it is likely that reported
increases are explained partly by greater awareness by doctors, teachers,
and parents. To understand more, CDC will keep guiding and conducting
research into what is putting our children at risk.

However, the data tell us one thing with certainty—more children are being
identified as having ASDs than ever before and these children and their
families need help.





On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 2:19 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com wrote:

 Yeah, he missed the part about 1/55 kids with autism, amphibians
 disappearing, starfish melting, birds dropping from the sky, trees
 disappearing, reactors melting down, reefs bleaching, Earth warming, 
 Alzheimer's and
 some cancers increasing. . . .


 I think he did a pretty good job describing potential problems, especially
 the population explosion. He nailed the present population pretty closely.
 In his other work, Asimov often pointed out the dangers of pollution and
 overpopulation.

 I do not think there has been an actual increase in autism. More cases are
 being diagnosed. I think some are not real. Alzheimer's and cancer is
 increasing mainly because there is no cure for them and the population is
 aging. People have to die of something. If you reduce heart disease and
 people live longer cancer will increase.

 If cancer and Alzheimer's are eliminated, some other old-age disease will
 become more prevalent.

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
ChemE Stewart cheme...@gmail.com quotes the CDC:


 However, the data tell us one thing with certainty—more children are being
 identified as having ASDs than ever before and these children and their
 families need help.


No one disputes this. However, some experts believe the illness is being
over-diagnosed to some extent.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:McKubre visitors who peer-reviewed his lab, then get (unethically) silent

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:

I just read the paper again and believe that the author is not confident
 that excess heat is being generated.


He should be, though. Because as he himself says:

The uncertainty in excess power measurement is about 50 mW, but the excess
power appears to be on the order of 500 mW or even 1 W peak.

If he agrees that is true then there is no doubt the effect is real. He
does not give any reason to doubt this. He gives disingenuous reasons to
ignore this fact, starting with:

We also had extensive discussions of data from one of these cells, which
according to a summary chart has provided about 3% excess heat.

- Jed


[Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
See:

http://news.cnet.com/2300-13576_3-10017501-4.html

They are replacing the blimps with Zeppelin NTs designed by Zeppelin
Luftschifftechnik (ZLT) of Friedrichshafen, Germany. It is amazing that ZLT
is still in business after all this time. There have not been commercial
zeppelins since the Hindenburg as far as I know.

The Hindenburg was a marvelous way to travel, by all accounts. Except for
the explosion. It was spacious, luxurious, quiet, and so smooth the crew
would leave a glass milk bottle upside-down in the foyer, and it would not
topple over the whole trip. It was so quiet, one passenger did not realize
it was airborne. She thought it had not left yet.

Hydrogen was not a good choice. 22 civilian hydrogen airships exploded:

http://www.airships.net/hydrogen-airship-accidents

That is not counting the military zeppelins shot down during WWI, in
bombing raids over England.

- Jed


RE: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Chris Zell
Saying except for the explosion is rather Pythonesque.  Hopefully, they have 
enough helium.


Re: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled

2014-01-02 Thread David Roberson
I suspect that a change of the temperature of the incoming water will cause a 
disturbance to the loop.  Rossi must allow sufficient margin for his drive to 
account for this behavior since it will no doubt be encountered.  It would be a 
good idea for him to control the coolant flow rate on the fly as a means to 
compensate for this type of change.  
 

 Rossi now discusses having the internal temperature at around 1000 C while the 
coolant is heated up to 500 C.  I have long waited for him to make such a 
statement since the earlier testing did not indicate this situation.  Of 
course, he allowed radiation to cool the hot cats which now must be designed to 
work at a reasonable cooler output temperature.  The thermal resistance of this 
heat flow path directly impacts the positive feedback loop and must be 
controlled for a reliable product.

As I mentioned previously, he would be wise to keep the coolant at a zero flow 
rate condition at startup to enable the positive feedback to begin at a lower 
net temperature and input power.  The coolant could be heated quickly under 
this condition at the lower input power level.  The thermal masses of the 
system components and the coolant itself would retard the temperature rate of 
rise which would give him time for his control loop to initially stabilize.  It 
is not clear whether or not the coolant should be rapidly allowed to resume 
flow at its design value.  The shape of the flow transition might be used to 
his advantage.

The mention of negative resistance is a subject that I am comfortable with.  I 
have used this type of analysis for many years in the design of oscillator 
networks.  In the ECAT case, it is required in order for the COP to be much 
greater than unity.  Positive resistance appears in the form of heat 
transferring into the coolant.  At a given temperature, the thermal resistance 
can be expressed in a differential form.  The slope of the curve that defines 
core node temperature as a function of heat output power being absorbed by the 
load is one of the important factors in determining the net resistance of the 
system.  This slope at a given temperature yields the positive load thermal 
resistance seen by the core.  The internal power generation process of the core 
itself yields the other resistance term.  That one is negative since heat power 
is being generated by the core in greater quantities as the temperature rises.  
The slope again is also important and represents the instantaneous negative 
resistance at a given core temperature.

The interaction of the input heating power with the balance of the system is a 
bit complex but important.   It determines the temperature at which the 
positive feedback takes control.  It likewise allows control of the complete 
system as discussed in previous posts.

Dave

 

-Original Message-
From: MarkI-Zeropoint zeropo...@charter.net
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 1:44 pm
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Linear Operation of ECAT Modeled


Sounds like one of Rossi's controllability issues may come from the temperature 
stability of the cooling fluid itself.  


Dave's explanation sounds as if the control loop is expecting a rather 
consistent cooling fluid inlet temperature... and that may be the case if 
running off the city water supply (at least no major differences in water temp 
for a running faucet), but if one gets a sudden drop of several degrees on 
inlet water temp, what will that do to the control loop??? 


-Mark Iverson



On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 10:33 AM, Jones Beene wrote:


   
From: David Roberson 


Could you offer a simple description of the behavior of the negative 
differential resistance function that you mention?  
  
Looks like you are already doing something similar. Wiki has an entry for the 
electronic version. The image of the curve is an ascending double hump, so if 
your model accommodates that already, then that may be why it is so intuitive. 
If one is plotting P-in vs. P-out then there is good control functionality to 
the top of the first hump, where the negative feedback would start to show 
itself. 
  
https://www.google.com/search?q=negative+differential+resistanceclient=firefox-ahs=bBTrls=org.mozilla:en-US:officialtbm=ischtbo=usource=univsa=Xei=JKTFUo6jBcvxoASVpoCABwved=0CDwQsAQbiw=1146bih=675
 
  



Re: [Vo]:McKubre visitors who peer-reviewed his lab, then get (unethically) silent

2014-01-02 Thread David Roberson
He should have confidence in what he has seen, but I can think of other things 
that one might see on fleeting occasions but still have reservations.  I 
suppose UFO's, ghosts, and etc. fall into that category.

It just appears that many people maintain some level of doubt regardless of the 
evidence before them.   They always suspect that a trick of some sort is being 
conducted.   Consider the major problem we recently had convincing the skeptics 
that the latest Rossi 3rd party test was legitimate.  I seriously doubt that 
any of them changed their minds even though they could prove nothing of 
substance.  There is always room for doubt when a subject defies your belief 
system.

I think that his behavior is consistent with many peoples reactions.  I am not 
confident that he would have accepted any amount of excess power as beyond 
trickery.  It would have helped had the excess been 100%, but that might still 
have not been sufficient for him.

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 3:13 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:McKubre visitors who peer-reviewed his lab, then get 
(unethically) silent



David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote:


I just read the paper again and believe that the author is not confident that 
excess heat is being generated.


He should be, though. Because as he himself says:


The uncertainty in excess power measurement is about 50 mW, but the excess 
power appears to be on the order of 500 mW or even 1 W peak.


If he agrees that is true then there is no doubt the effect is real. He does 
not give any reason to doubt this. He gives disingenuous reasons to ignore this 
fact, starting with:

We also had extensive discussions of data from one of these cells, which 
according to a summary chart has provided about 3% excess heat.


- Jed








Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread David Roberson
Hey, if they really want to make a light ship, then figure a way to enclose a 
vacuum.  With material science advancing at the rate that it is that might 
actually become feasible one day.

Another idea would be to come up with a way to thermally insulate the container 
to a super degree and then heat the gas inside to a high temperature to supply 
the pressure needed to keep the container from crushing. :-)

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 4:56 pm
Subject: RE: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins



Saying except for the explosion is rather Pythonesque.  Hopefully, they have 
enough helium.



Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread fznidarsic
They are building a giant drone Zepplin here in Johnstown.  It will be tethered 
and fly at 20,000 feet.  The other parts will be built in Texas.  The 
technology is classified. What next?


Frank



-Original Message-
From: Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 4:56 pm
Subject: RE: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins



Saying except for the explosion is rather Pythonesque.  Hopefully, they have 
enough helium.




Fwd: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread fznidarsic
Maybe it will hold a death ray.  Such a thing was predicted 75 years ago.



-Original Message-
From: fznidarsic fznidar...@aol.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 5:45 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins


They are building a giant drone Zepplin here in Johnstown.  It will be tethered 
and fly at 20,000 feet.  The other parts will be built in Texas.  The 
technology is classified. What next?


Frank



-Original Message-
From: Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 4:56 pm
Subject: RE: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins



Saying except for the explosion is rather Pythonesque.  Hopefully, they have 
enough helium.





Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread James Bowery
When a prominent libertarian scholar with the premiere conservative public
policy think tank puts his credibility on the line for it and the Democrats
-- none of them -- do, I'm sorry, Jed:  There is something seriously amiss
with the Democrats.


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 1:24 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution being
 the unconditional basic income.. . .


 That is a little unfair to the left wing. The idea of an unconditional
 basic income has been around for a while, but people only began taking it
 seriously a few years ago. The movement in Switzerland is the first serious
 effort to implement it.

 The left wing knows that advocating it would be a tremendous overreach at
 present. The U.S. is a conservative country. There is no way an
 unconditional basic income would pass. The left cannot even get single
 payer universal healthcare. I do not know any Democratic politicians who
 thought that was a realistic prospect.

 If many European countries pass an unconditional basic income, and it
 works well, then there may a serious movement in favor of it in the U.S. At
 present it is Utopian.

 - Jed




RE: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Hoyt A. Stearns Jr.
With ECAT's just plain old hot air balloons have infinite endurance.

 

From: David Roberson [mailto:dlrober...@aol.com] 
Sent: Thursday, January 2, 2014 3:44 PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

 

Hey, if they really want to make a light ship, then figure a way to enclose
a vacuum.  With material science advancing at the rate that it is that might
actually become feasible one day.

Another idea would be to come up with a way to thermally insulate the
container to a super degree and then heat the gas inside to a high
temperature to supply the pressure needed to keep the container from
crushing. :-)

Dave

 

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 4:56 pm
Subject: RE: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

Saying except for the explosion is rather Pythonesque.  Hopefully, they
have enough helium.



---
This email is free from viruses and malware because avast! Antivirus protection 
is active.
http://www.avast.com


Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
fznidar...@aol.com wrote:

They are building a giant drone Zepplin here in Johnstown.


A zeppelin or a blimp? A zeppelin has internal structure.


   It will be tethered and fly at 20,000 feet.


That is quite a long tether! I wonder what it is made of.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread de Bivort Lawrence
Greetings, and a great 2014 to all.

I am guessing that what was meant was that the Zeppelin would be tethered while 
stationary, and could cruise at 20,000 feet if so desired.

Cheers,
Lawry

On Jan 2, 2014, at 5:30 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 fznidar...@aol.com wrote:
 
 They are building a giant drone Zepplin here in Johnstown.
 
 A zeppelin or a blimp? A zeppelin has internal structure.
  
  It will be tethered and fly at 20,000 feet.
 
 That is quite a long tether! I wonder what it is made of.
 
 - Jed
 



Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
Chris Zell chrisz...@wetmtv.com wrote:

 Saying except for the explosion is rather Pythonesque.  Hopefully, they
 have enough helium.


I am sure they will. They don't waste it. They only need to replace that
which leaks out.

It tells you something about people in the 1930s that they were willing to
fly in these things. The Hindenburg cost more than a first-class ocean
liner. It was only a little faster; 3 days versus 5. You could make the
trip in perfect safety and the same level of luxury on a ship, yet the
Hindenburg was booked full on every trip, I believe. You would think that
after the R101 explosion in 1930 no one would want to fly in one.

People were more cavalier about danger even in the 1950s and 60s. Everyone
knew that cigarettes cause cancer even before the 1964 Surgeon General's
report, yet people smoked. There was great resistance to seat belts when
they were first introduced. I have never understood why. Years ago I read a
document published in the 1950s (I think it was) saying something like:
'The best way to reduce casualties and injuries in an automobile collision
would be to use belts to hold the passengers in their seats, but obviously
this method is out of the question. . . .

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread de Bivort Lawrence
Hydrogen was imposed upon the German operators as helium was embargoed against 
Germany for political reasons.

Cheers,
Lawry


On Jan 2, 2014, at 2:33 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 See:
 
 http://news.cnet.com/2300-13576_3-10017501-4.html
 
 They are replacing the blimps with Zeppelin NTs designed by Zeppelin 
 Luftschifftechnik (ZLT) of Friedrichshafen, Germany. It is amazing that ZLT 
 is still in business after all this time. There have not been commercial 
 zeppelins since the Hindenburg as far as I know.
 
 The Hindenburg was a marvelous way to travel, by all accounts. Except for the 
 explosion. It was spacious, luxurious, quiet, and so smooth the crew would 
 leave a glass milk bottle upside-down in the foyer, and it would not topple 
 over the whole trip. It was so quiet, one passenger did not realize it was 
 airborne. She thought it had not left yet.
 
 Hydrogen was not a good choice. 22 civilian hydrogen airships exploded:
 
 http://www.airships.net/hydrogen-airship-accidents
 
 That is not counting the military zeppelins shot down during WWI, in bombing 
 raids over England.
 
 - Jed
 



Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread de Bivort Lawrence
The notion of a guaranteed basic income has serious pros and cons: what one 
thinks of the possibility seems to reelect ones basic attitudes toward human 
motivation and work, collective responsibility, social cohesion, leisure-time 
use and productivity, etc.

The idea is not a slam-dunk.  I would guess that scalable social innovations 
and experiments should take place before any large polity -- in which people 
are mostly starters to each other -- tries it.

Of course, if the amount guaranteed is paltry the idea and experiment become 
moot.  Before the real dynamics of a guaranteed basic income (sufficient to 
live on) can be understood, the guarantee has to be sufficient and the 
experiment followed for several years (perhaps even for at least one 
generation) before the idea can be really assessed.

Cheers,
Lawry



On Jan 2, 2014, at 4:00 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 When a prominent libertarian scholar with the premiere conservative public 
 policy think tank puts his credibility on the line for it and the Democrats 
 -- none of them -- do, I'm sorry, Jed:  There is something seriously amiss 
 with the Democrats.
 
 
 On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 1:24 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:
 James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:
 
 To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution being 
 the unconditional basic income.. . .
 
 That is a little unfair to the left wing. The idea of an unconditional basic 
 income has been around for a while, but people only began taking it seriously 
 a few years ago. The movement in Switzerland is the first serious effort to 
 implement it.
 
 The left wing knows that advocating it would be a tremendous overreach at 
 present. The U.S. is a conservative country. There is no way an unconditional 
 basic income would pass. The left cannot even get single payer universal 
 healthcare. I do not know any Democratic politicians who thought that was a 
 realistic prospect.
 
 If many European countries pass an unconditional basic income, and it works 
 well, then there may a serious movement in favor of it in the U.S. At present 
 it is Utopian.
 
 - Jed
 
 



Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread James Bowery
If it weren't for the fact that the Federal government is so dead-set
against any kind of decentralization of power and revenue, this and many
other ideas would have been tested long ago in the laboratory of the
States.  The hubris of arrogating, to the Federal level, social policy is
inhumane and unenlightened.


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 6:52 PM, de Bivort Lawrence ldebiv...@gmail.comwrote:

 The notion of a guaranteed basic income has serious pros and cons: what
 one thinks of the possibility seems to reelect ones basic attitudes toward
 human motivation and work, collective responsibility, social cohesion,
 leisure-time use and productivity, etc.

 The idea is not a slam-dunk.  I would guess that scalable social
 innovations and experiments should take place before any large polity -- in
 which people are mostly starters to each other -- tries it.

 Of course, if the amount guaranteed is paltry the idea and experiment
 become moot.  Before the real dynamics of a guaranteed basic income
 (sufficient to live on) can be understood, the guarantee has to be
 sufficient and the experiment followed for several years (perhaps even for
 at least one generation) before the idea can be really assessed.

 Cheers,
 Lawry



 On Jan 2, 2014, at 4:00 PM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 When a prominent libertarian scholar with the premiere conservative public
 policy think tank puts his credibility on the line for it and the Democrats
 -- none of them -- do, I'm sorry, Jed:  There is something seriously amiss
 with the Democrats.


 On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 1:24 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote:

 James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution
 being the unconditional basic income.. . .


 That is a little unfair to the left wing. The idea of an unconditional
 basic income has been around for a while, but people only began taking it
 seriously a few years ago. The movement in Switzerland is the first serious
 effort to implement it.

 The left wing knows that advocating it would be a tremendous overreach at
 present. The U.S. is a conservative country. There is no way an
 unconditional basic income would pass. The left cannot even get single
 payer universal healthcare. I do not know any Democratic politicians who
 thought that was a realistic prospect.

 If many European countries pass an unconditional basic income, and it
 works well, then there may a serious movement in favor of it in the U.S. At
 present it is Utopian.

 - Jed






Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Terry Blanton
No parachute, no potty, no problem:

http://www.cnn.com/2014/01/02/travel/goodyear-blimp-main/index.html


Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
de Bivort Lawrence ldebiv...@gmail.com wrote:

Hydrogen was imposed upon the German operators as helium was embargoed
 against Germany for political reasons.


True. But they went ahead and used it, and people flew with it.

Hydrogen was not imposed on the R101, or the Graf Zeppelin. They were
designed for it. The R101 barely flew even with hydrogen.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Jed Rothwell
James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

If it weren't for the fact that the Federal government is so dead-set
 against any kind of decentralization of power and revenue, this and many
 other ideas would have been tested long ago in the laboratory of the States.


Do you mean the way marijuana is being sold in Colorado as of yesterday? Or
the way a single payer health insurance was established in Vermont in 2011?

I am pretty sure that if a state wanted to established an unconditional
basic income, Uncle Sam would have no objection.


Interesting questions has been raised regarding Colorado. They now have a
state official in charge of regulating the sales and safety of marijuana.
Question: Does this official need to pass a drug test? And if so, which way?

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread H Veeder
On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 6:12 PM, Hoyt A. Stearns Jr. hoyt-stea...@cox.netwrote:

 With ECAT's just plain old hot air balloons have infinite endurance.



a prediction for 2064.

harry


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread James Bowery
No when I say revenue I mean it.

If the Feds take the lion's share of the revenue it hog-ties the States in
the most fundamental aspects of political economy experiments.


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 7:29 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 If it weren't for the fact that the Federal government is so dead-set
 against any kind of decentralization of power and revenue, this and many
 other ideas would have been tested long ago in the laboratory of the States.


 Do you mean the way marijuana is being sold in Colorado as of yesterday?
 Or the way a single payer health insurance was established in Vermont in
 2011?

 I am pretty sure that if a state wanted to established an unconditional
 basic income, Uncle Sam would have no objection.


 Interesting questions has been raised regarding Colorado. They now have a
 state official in charge of regulating the sales and safety of marijuana.
 Question: Does this official need to pass a drug test? And if so, which way?

 - Jed




Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread H Veeder
On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 9:31 PM, H Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote:




 On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 6:12 PM, Hoyt A. Stearns Jr. 
 hoyt-stea...@cox.netwrote:

 With ECAT's just plain old hot air balloons have infinite endurance.



 a prediction for 2064.

 harry




balloon cities

harry


Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread fznidarsic
I don't know Jed.  The details are unknown to me.  Why bother building such a 
thing?  As the found out in WWI they are extremely vulnerable.  Satellites are 
better and more secure.  


That is quite a long tether! I wonder what it is made of.
That's good question also.






Frank



-Original Message-
From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Thu, Jan 2, 2014 7:30 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins



fznidar...@aol.com wrote:


They are building a giant drone Zepplin here in Johnstown.


A zeppelin or a blimp? A zeppelin has internal structure.
 
  It will be tethered and fly at 20,000 feet.


That is quite a long tether! I wonder what it is made of.


- Jed







Re: [Vo]:OFF TOPIC? Goodyear blimps to be replaced with zeppelins

2014-01-02 Thread Analog Fan





On Thursday, January 2, 2014 1:34 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com 
wrote:
 

It is amazing that ZLT is still in business after all this time. 

It's not amazing - they are different companies. The original companies that 
constructed and operated the Hindenburg (Luftschiffbau Zeppelin, DELAG and DZR) 
were dissolved at the end of World War II. They built weapons for the Nazi 
regime, and most of their facilities were destroyed.

There have not been commercial zeppelins since the Hindenburg as far as I know.
The new company mentioned in the article (Zeppelin Luftschifftechnik GmbH) has 
been making commercial Zeppelins since 1993. Their subsidiary Deutsche 
Zeppelin-Reederei GmbH has been operating tours and charter flights since 2001. 
The new DZR bears no relation to the original DZR that operated during WWII.

AF

Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Eric Walker
On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 11:01 AM, Edmund Storms stor...@ix.netcom.comwrote:

For example, people look forward to having their work done by robots but
 each robot puts several people out of work, who now cannot afford to buy a
 robot or anything else.  In spite of this problem becoming obvious, the
 right wing fights the solution. What does that say about the future?


I think these movies capture the general direction pretty well:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Children_of_Men
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elysium_(film)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blade_Runner

Well worth seeing.

Since the agricultural revolution, economic scarcity has been an artificial
problem.  It persists because of ideology, lack of vision and political
gridlock.  As automation continues, it will reach unseemly levels.
 European countries will have the good sense to address it long before the
political will arises within the US, where we have infinite patience for
the suffering of our fellow citizens and little in the way of a shared
understanding about how to move forward.  I doubt things will get much
better in the US in any of our lifetimes.  It would be something else to
see Americans emigrating en mass to Ireland, Italy and eastern bloc
countries in order to make a better life for themselves and their children.

I assume cold fusion will make things worse initially, because of the
extent to which it will facilitate automation.

Eric


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Eric Walker
On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 11:14 AM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution being
 the unconditional basic income.  It was the last thing Martin Luther King,
 Jr. recommended as the proper solution to inequality -- just before he was
 assassinated.


I consider myself pretty liberal, and I think a basic income would be a
good thing, if the unintended consequences could be anticipated and
managed. (First one: if it's handled at the state level, how do you deal
with the internal migration problem?).  I do not believe a basic income
should be accompanied by a flat tax, as one sometimes hears.  I do like
some of the ideas you've mentioned about experimentation at the local
level.  I wonder if states could be selectively given block grants to carry
out these types of experiments in lieu of obligations under existing
federal programs.

I do not consider a basic income a realistic outcome in the US anytime
soon, because of political gridlock.

Eric


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread Eric Walker
I wrote:

It would be something else to see Americans emigrating en mass to Ireland,
 Italy and eastern bloc countries in order to make a better life for
 themselves and their children.


No offense intended to anyone in these countries.  This was just an
allusion to the large migrations of people in Ireland, Italy and eastern
Europe to the US during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries.  Many of
the people here are descendants of those early immigrants.

Eric


Re: [Vo]:Isaac Asimov predicts the world of 2014 in 1964

2014-01-02 Thread James Bowery
If you listen to the video by Charles Murray, you'll be listening not only
to a voice of reasonable compromise, but the voice of experience regarding
overcoming political gridlock.

I agree, however, that the US looks likely to be headed toward devolution
if it can't work out some means of localizing tests of social theory --
perhaps such as your block grant idea.  However, I fear we are now in a
situation that is similar to, but worse than that facing the protestant
reformation:  a de facto theocracy that is actively opposing not only of
freedom of association among those sharing social theories, but is
terrified of progress in the social sciences that might render the de facto
theocracy forever incapable of enslaving the minds of men again.


On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 11:16 PM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Thu, Jan 2, 2014 at 11:14 AM, James Bowery jabow...@gmail.com wrote:

 To be fair, Ed, the left wing fights the solution too.  The solution being
 the unconditional basic income.  It was the last thing Martin Luther King,
 Jr. recommended as the proper solution to inequality -- just before he was
 assassinated.


 I consider myself pretty liberal, and I think a basic income would be a
 good thing, if the unintended consequences could be anticipated and
 managed. (First one: if it's handled at the state level, how do you deal
 with the internal migration problem?).  I do not believe a basic income
 should be accompanied by a flat tax, as one sometimes hears.  I do like
 some of the ideas you've mentioned about experimentation at the local
 level.  I wonder if states could be selectively given block grants to carry
 out these types of experiments in lieu of obligations under existing
 federal programs.

 I do not consider a basic income a realistic outcome in the US anytime
 soon, because of political gridlock.

 Eric