: Saturday, January 3, 2004 9:55 am
Subject: Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle
I thought the explanation for the grouping of releases around
holidays was that that was when the box office was biggest. Why
release movies at any other time? If you have a movie that isn't
that great you release
of *plausible prize-winners*
(many of which are not big grossers) around Xmas.
- Original Message -
From: William Dickens [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Saturday, January 3, 2004 9:55 am
Subject: Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle
I thought the explanation for the grouping of releases around
holidays
, January 3, 2004 9:55 am
Subject: Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle
I thought the explanation for the grouping of releases around
holidays was that that was when the box office was biggest. Why
release movies at any other time? If you have a movie that isn't
that great you release it at another
Bryan Caplan [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
The Political Business Cycle story has not fared well empirically
in recent years (though Kevin Grier has done interesting work on
Mexico's PBC). But it seems overwhelming in the Oscars. It seems
like roughly half of the big nominees get released in December.
On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Bryan Caplan wrote:
The Political Business Cycle story has not fared well empirically in
recent years (though Kevin Grier has done interesting work on Mexico's
PBC). But it seems overwhelming in the Oscars. It seems like roughly
half of the big nominees get released in
But this wouldn't explain the clustering of *plausible prize-winners* (many of which
are not big grossers) around Xmas.
- Original Message -
From: William Dickens [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Saturday, January 3, 2004 9:55 am
Subject: Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle
I thought
PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bryan
Caplan
Sent: Wednesday, December 31, 2003 2:07 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Oscar Political Business Cycle
The Political Business Cycle story has not fared well empirically in recent
years (though Kevin Grier has done interesting work on Mexico's PBC
I would suggest it's a self-enforcing cycle. In the
past, the Academy has tended to award its Best Picture
/ Best Director cherries to movies released closer to
its decision-making time. The studios, seeking Oscars
to add to their prestige, notice this, and release
more of what they consider
The Political Business Cycle story has not fared well empirically in recent years
(though Kevin Grier has done interesting work on Mexico's PBC). But it seems
overwhelming in the Oscars. It seems like roughly half of the big nominees get
released in December. What gives? Is there any way to
Speaking of December 2003 and January 2004, in the spirit of all the
predictions made each year at this time by media talking heads I'd like to make the
following equally insightful predictions:
In 2004, the world will experience an earthquake, a flood, and some sunny
days. The US Post Office
10 matches
Mail list logo
