Re: Undecided

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Here's a bit of David Sedaris from this week's New Yorker... as he often
 does, he made me laugh out loud.

 To be undecided in this election is to pause for a moment and then ask how
 the chicken is cooked.

Or to wonder how much poison is in the chicken.


  
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Re: Undecided

2008-10-26 Thread Rceeberger

On 10/26/2008 8:39:29 AM, John Williams ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
 From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]

  Here's a bit of David Sedaris from this week's New Yorker... as he
 often
  does, he made me laugh out loud.

 
 To be undecided in this election is to pause for a moment and then ask 
 how
  the chicken is cooked.

 Or to wonder how much poison is in the chicken.

Pft..
All chicken is poisoned.


xponent
Way Of The World Maru
rob 

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Re: Undecided

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Rceeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 On 10/26/2008 8:39:29 AM, John Williams ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:

  Or to wonder how much poison is in the chicken.
 
 All chicken is poisoned.

Hence how much?. Other questions include:

Is it just enough poison to enhance the flavor but to make me sick to my
stomach later? Or is my hair going to fall out and impotence soon follow? 
Perhaps it is actually methylenedioxymethamphetamine and the rape is 
coming a little later? Or is it a slow-acting poison that will gradually build 
up in my body to kill me long after the chicken is gone?


  
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Re: 'Heroes': Five Ways to Fix a Series In Crisis

2008-10-26 Thread Claes Wallin
William T Goodall wrote:
 On 25 Oct 2008, at 00:45, Charlie Bell wrote:
 
 And the UK - forget it, 'cause if you don't have satellite TV or
 cable, and many don't, it takes a year or more to appear on
 terrestrial tv.
 
 The BBC is showing Heroes about a week after it airs in the USA. SKY  
 is showing Prison Break the day after it airs in the USA. Probably a  
 reaction to P2P.
 
 Realism Maru


No realism here in Sweden. I was talking to my sister about Heroes the 
other week and realized that she was in the middle of season 2 now. I 
gave up on TV a long time ago because of this. If the shows come here at 
all, they are at least one season behind.

/c

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Re: Undecided

2008-10-26 Thread xponentrob
- Original Message - 
From: John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Sunday, October 26, 2008 10:25 AM
Subject: Re: Undecided


 Rceeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 On 10/26/2008 8:39:29 AM, John Williams ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) 
 wrote:

  Or to wonder how much poison is in the chicken.

 All chicken is poisoned.

 Hence how much?. Other questions include:

 Is it just enough poison to enhance the flavor but to make me sick to my
 stomach later? Or is my hair going to fall out and impotence soon follow?
 Perhaps it is actually methylenedioxymethamphetamine and the rape is
 coming a little later? Or is it a slow-acting poison that will gradually 
 build
 up in my body to kill me long after the chicken is gone?


The chicken contains just enough poison that no one gets everything they 
want.
The taste is just good enough to remain edible to most people.

xponent
Spit Roasted Maru
rob 

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Re: Undecided

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
From: xponentrob [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 The chicken contains just enough poison that no one gets everything they 
 want.
 The taste is just good enough to remain edible to most people.

Until avian influenza strikes.


  
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Re: Undecided

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

 From: xponentrob [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 The chicken contains just enough poison that no one gets everything they
 want.
 The taste is just good enough to remain edible to most people.

 Until avian influenza strikes.

That's spread in the market, if the chicken is cooked, it's probably OK to 
eat.  Unless the cook was the one who dressed it, and then sneezed all 
over everything as it was coming out.

Julia

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Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Anecdote seen on the internet:

Today on my way to lunch I passed a homeless guy with a sign that read 'Vote 
Obama, I need the money.'  I laughed.  Once in the restaurant my server had on 
a 'Obama 08' tie, again I laughed as he had given away his political preference 
-- just imagine the coincidence.  When the bill came I decided not to tip the 
server and explained to him that I was exploring the Obama redistribution of 
wealth concept. He stood there in disbelief while I told him that I was going 
to redistribute his tip to someone who I deemed more in need -- the homeless 
guy outside. The server angrily stormed from my sight. I went outside, gave the 
homeless guy $10 and told him to thank the server inside as I've decided he 
could use the money more. The homeless guy was grateful.  At the end of my 
rather unscientific redistribution experiment I realized the homeless guy was 
grateful for the money he did not earn, but the waiter was pretty angry that I 
gave away the money he did earn
 even though the actual recipient needed money more.  I guess redistribution of 
wealth is an easier thing to swallow in concept than in practical application.


  
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Trust Us!

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams

http://www.overcomingbias.com/2008/10/trust-us.html#more


Few experts in our society could pull off saying:

'Emergency!!!  We will suffer terribly if you don't spend a trillion 
dollars right now overpaying for stuff from our friends!  No, you don't have 
time to study the problem, nor will we present an analysis for your review.  
No, other experts in our field cannot actually see this problem, and there will 
never be data showing the problem really existed.  You just have to trust us 
and give us the trillion right now!!'

US military experts said something similar on Iraq weapons of mass destruction, 
but at least they admitted we'd eventually be able to see if they were wrong 
(as they were).  Medical experts implicitly say something similar about the 
health value of the second half of medical spending that costs a trillion 
dollars a year, even when our best data show little value, but this is a steady 
problem not a sudden new problem.  Global warming experts have been trying, so 
far without much success, to get us to spend similar amounts on their problem, 
even though other experts can supposedly verify it. 



  
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Rceeberger

On 10/26/2008 12:39:28 PM, John Williams ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
 Anecdote seen on the internet:

 Today on my way to lunch I passed a homeless guy with a sign that read
 'Vote Obama, I need the money.'  I laughed.  Once in the restaurant my
 server had on a 'Obama 08' tie, again I laughed as he had given away his
 political preference -- just imagine the coincidence.  When the bill came
 I decided not to tip the server and explained to him that I was exploring
 the Obama redistribution of wealth concept. He stood there in disbelief
 while I told him that I was going to redistribute his tip to someone who I
 deemed more in need -- the homeless guy outside. The server angrily
 stormed from my sight. I went outside, gave the homeless guy $10 and told
 him to thank the server inside as I've decided he could use the money 
 more. The homeless guy was grateful.  At the end of my rather unscientific 
 redistribution experiment I realized the homeless guy was grateful for the 
 money he did not earn, but the waiter was pretty angry that I gave away 
 the money he did earn
 even though the actual recipient needed money more.  I guess 
 redistribution of wealth is an easier thing to swallow in concept than in 
 practical application.


http://www.sltrib.com/Opinion/ci_10815189

John McCain has been working Joe the Plumber overtime, calling on Joe to 
fix the broken pipes that are flooding his campaign.
Using Joe as a springboard, McCain is now labeling Obama's purposed tax 
cuts as welfare for the 40 percent of working-class Americans who pay no 
federal income taxes at all. As a guy who doesn't need to read his pay 
stub, McCain might be excused this ignorance of take-home pay reality; as a 
presidential candidate, I don't think so.
The truth? If you are legally employed in this country you pay federal 
income taxes, at a rate of around 15 percent of your gross pay, before your 
income taxes are ever calculated. I say around 15 percent because this 
bite is kept shrouded in tax code doublespeak, and it's a little hard to 
nail down.
As a master carpenter, self-employed for decades and now part owner of a 
small construction business, I know a bit about nailing. The self-employed 
can tell McCain about that first 15 percent. They confront it on form SE of 
their federal return, right after gross receipts and just before deductions. 
But for the majority of workers who receive a paycheck, it's more cleverly 
disguised.
This first 15 percent is called the payroll tax, and as the Bard once 
asked, What's in a name? It's entered on form 1040, just below the income 
tax box. You add the two figures, make a check out for the total, and send 
it to the IRS.
Now I'm probably missing some subtle distinction here, but when I write a 
check on my income to the IRS, I call it income tax. If you are a payroll 
employee you have already paid this tax in payroll deductions. The IRS 
suggests that your employer contributed half of the total. Don't believe 
it.
Let me put on my small-businessman hat. We don't contribute a dime to 
pay our employees' payroll taxes, at least we try not to. We have no lottery 
winnings or stock dividends to dip into when we pay our quarterly taxes.
Like every other viable business, we charge the full cost of employment 
for our crews, including the taxes they incur. And our guys earn every dime 
of this cost. If they didn't, we wouldn't last a quarter.
The chunk that FICA saws off of their checks doesn't end their 
liabilities. For example, we must pay 11 percent of payroll for workers' 
compensation insurance, a figure that never shows up on a carpenter's pay 
stub.
Some nit-picking accounting type will probably point out that this fee 
isn't an income tax either (though it is mandatory in every state). But when 
Joe rips open his pay envelope he is interested in the bottom line, not the 
semantics. As with payroll taxes, we have no magic pot of money to pay this 
mandate. Either our employees earn it or they are out of a job.
The truth is that our Joes are taxed out of more than 25 percent of 
their income before they even look at their income taxes. As Warren Buffet 
has pointed out, they pay a higher tax rate than he pays as one of the 
world's richest men.
And we working stiffs can probably handle the taxes that keep our 
parents in their own homes and give them medical care that the marketplace 
would never offer, and that might cushion our retirements when our hands and 
backs finally give out.
But I'll be damned if we want some soft-handed suit calling us welfare 
queens. I'm speaking here of the consultant types who probably wrote these 
lines for McCain. I doubt that he would repeat them if he had ever paid a 
quarterly tax or filled out a form SE.
And if Uncle Sam kicks back to our guys a portion of the quarterly 
checks that we cut, I'm here to tell him, those checks were paid for with 
blood, sweat, creativity and the occasional tear.

 

Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, Rceeberger wrote:


 http://www.sltrib.com/Opinion/ci_10815189

[snip]


* JOHN GRIZ THE CARPENTER GRISWOLD works in Salt Lake City.
 (Which BTW is in about the Reddest state there is.)

And that's from a paper that's endorsing Obama.

http://www.sltrib.com/ci_10761520

Mighty interesting things happening

Julia

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Rceeberger

On 10/26/2008 1:47:29 PM, Julia Thompson ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
 On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, Rceeberger wrote:
 
 
  http://www.sltrib.com/Opinion/ci_10815189
 
 [snip]
 
 
 * JOHN GRIZ THE CARPENTER GRISWOLD works in Salt Lake City.
  (Which BTW is in about the Reddest state there is.)
 
 And that's from a paper that's endorsing Obama.
 
 http://www.sltrib.com/ci_10761520
 
 Mighty interesting things happening
 

Even the Anchorage paper endorses Obama.
YeahI'd call that interestingG


xponent
Social Movement Maru
rob
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Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 I guess redistribution of wealth
 is an easier thing to swallow in
 concept than in practical application.

not so, the public seems to have swallowed the latest redistribution of wealth 
upwards...
jon







  
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Rceeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Even the Anchorage paper endorses Obama.
 YeahI'd call that interesting

I'd call it scary. The housing market is down, the stock market
is down, and the Fed chairman and Treasury Secretary have been
fear mongering for weeks now. We need someone to ride in
and save us from disaster! Obama will save us!

Of course, after Obama spends trillions of our money and our
children's future, and things go on pretty much as they would
have if the money had not been spent, maybe Obama won't look
like such a savior. But he'll be long gone by then. Not that McCain
would spend any less if he had the opportunity, but Obama will
have more of an opportunity with a Democratic congress.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
 Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 not so, the public seems to have swallowed the latest redistribution of 
 wealth 
 upwards...

More like the politicians stuffed it down our throats.


  

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Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Jon Louis Mann
  not so, the public seems to have swallowed 
 the latest redistribution of wealth upwards.

 More like the politicians stuffed it down our throats.

and the sheep accept it, like they accepted the bush/cheny agenda, like they 
believe that real threat to america was terrorism, and now socialism...
jon





  
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, Jon Louis Mann wrote:

 not so, the public seems to have swallowed
 the latest redistribution of wealth upwards.

 More like the politicians stuffed it down our throats.

 and the sheep accept it, like they accepted the bush/cheny agenda, like 
 they believe that real threat to america was terrorism, and now 
 socialism...

I'd like to be able to vomit up chunks of it.

Julia

p.s. if I need to refrain from using bodily functions in my analogies in 
the future for someone else's comfort, let me know
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Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Jon Louis Mann

 I'd call it scary. The housing 
 market is down, the stock market
 is down, and the Fed chairman 
 and Treasury Secretary have been
 fear mongering for weeks now. 

We do need need someone to ride in and save us from disaster! Obama is not 
responsible for this collapse.  It was the war and corporate greed.  

Obama is not spending our future, so things go on pretty much as they have 
been.  A Democratic congress will tax the wealthy and redistribute the wealth 
to the poor and middle class.

If McCain wins he will continue GOP policies of subsidizing the corporate state 
and cutting social programs.
Jon


  
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 and the sheep accept it, like they accepted the bush/cheny agenda, like they 
 believe that real threat to america was terrorism, and now socialism...

You wrote about the public and the sheep.

I wrote to and called my Congress representatives, before the bailout 
vote, to explain my opposition to the bailouts. I know a lot of other
people who did as well. And the numbers I've seen indicate that a
majority were against it. Considering that it is corporate welfare, it
is odd that a larger percentage of Democratic Congresspeople voted for
the bailout than Republicans. But there is so little difference these
days, both parties seem to want to spend our money and act like our
parents, protecting us and doing things for our own good even if we
don't like it. The choice isn't between shit and chicken. Everything
tastes like chicken.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Nick Arnett
Let's just put an end to ALL redistribution of wealth.

Let's start with the public schools and hospitals and keep going with the
hatchet until nobody gets *anything* that they didn't pay for.  Toll booths
on every road and park!

Go put a dollar in the streetlight, honey, I think the kids will be home
soon.

Don't bother dialing 911 unless you have your credit card handy.

And remember, the military only protects you to the extent that you're
paying their bill.  Pay no taxes and the terrorists are welcome to have you.

I think I might be channeling Heinlein, come to think of it.

Nick
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Nick Arnett
On Sun, Oct 26, 2008 at 12:50 PM, John Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote:


 I wrote to and called my Congress representatives, before the bailout
 vote, to explain my opposition to the bailouts. I know a lot of other
 people who did as well. And the numbers I've seen indicate that a
 majority were against it. Considering that it is corporate welfare, it
 is odd that a larger percentage of Democratic Congresspeople voted for
 the bailout than Republicans.


That's because it is corporate socialism, not welfare.

Nick
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 We do need need someone to ride in and save us from disaster!

God will save us, if we have faith.



  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

 Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 We do need need someone to ride in and save us from disaster!

 God will save us, if we have faith.

And what if we don't?

Julia

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Richard Baker
Nick said:

 Let's start with the public schools and hospitals and keep going  
 with the
 hatchet until nobody gets *anything* that they didn't pay for.  Toll  
 booths
 on every road and park!

You damn socialists and your free air and sunshine!

Rich
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, Richard Baker wrote:

 Nick said:

 Let's start with the public schools and hospitals and keep going
 with the
 hatchet until nobody gets *anything* that they didn't pay for.  Toll
 booths
 on every road and park!

 You damn socialists and your free air and sunshine!

Free as in beer, or free as in freedom?

Julia

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Let's just put an end to ALL redistribution of wealth.

Forced redistribution of wealth, for the sake of redistributing wealth,
definitely let's put an end to it. If government spending is for a public
good, or to provide food and shelter for those who have none, then 
that is a different story.

By the way, are you familiar with the charitable contributions of 
Obama/Biden vs McCain/Palin? It looks to me like it comes a lot 
easier to some to redistribute other people's wealth than their own.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Rceeberger

On 10/26/2008 2:50:36 PM, Nick Arnett ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
 Let's just put an end to ALL redistribution of wealth.

 Let's start with
 the public schools and hospitals and keep going with the
 hatchet until nobody gets *anything* that they
 didn't pay for.  Toll booths
 on every road and park!

 Go put a dollar in the streetlight, honey, I think the kids will be home
 soon.

 Don't
 bother dialing 911 unless you have your credit card handy.

 And remember, the military only protects you to the extent that you're
 paying their bill.  Pay no taxes and the terrorists are welcome to have 
 you.

 I think I might be channeling Heinlein, come to think of it.


Nopedefinitely L Neil Smith!


xponent
Pennies A Punt Maru
rob 

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

  God will save us, if we have faith.
 
 And what if we don't?

Then we could take responsibility and save ourselves. 

Nah, too hard. Let's hope God or Obama saves us!


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Bryon Daly
On Sun, Oct 26, 2008 at 1:39 PM, John Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote:

 Anecdote seen on the internet:

 Today on my way to lunch I passed a homeless guy with a sign that read
 'Vote Obama, I need the money.'  I laughed.  Once in the restaurant my
 server had on a 'Obama 08' tie, again I laughed as he had given away his
 political preference -- just imagine the coincidence.  When the bill came I
 decided not to tip the server and explained to him that I was exploring the
 Obama redistribution of wealth concept. He stood there in disbelief while I
 told him that I was going to redistribute his tip to someone who I deemed
 more in need -- the homeless guy outside. The server angrily stormed from my
 sight. I went outside, gave the homeless guy $10 and told him to thank the
 server inside as I've decided he could use the money more. The homeless guy
 was grateful.  At the end of my rather unscientific redistribution
 experiment I realized the homeless guy was grateful for the money he did not
 earn, but the waiter was pretty angry that I gave away the money he did earn
  even though the actual recipient needed money more.  I guess
 redistribution of wealth is an easier thing to swallow in concept than in
 practical application.


The analogy is full of crap:
1) Obama's proposal raises the top two marginal tax rates and capital gains
rate by a few percentage points, back to the Clinton-era level.  At best,
this is not taking the waiter's entire $10 - it'd be more like maybe $.50,
and even then, only if the waiter was in the top few percent of the richest
people in the country, and that money for the homeless person also went to
pay for things like his town's police force, fire dept, hospital and
schools.

2) Our current tax system under Bush, which McCain supports, is ALREADY a
progressive tax system.  The wealthy CURRENTLY pay more in taxes.
Redistribution of wealth through progressive taxation is already going on
and has been going on for probably at least 40-50 years.  The argument here
is about how much is appropriate, a debate about a few percentage points.
 And yet the republican reaction is like this:
Top marginal tax rate of 35% on the richest 2% of Americans?  Hell yeah, all
god-loving America supporters stand behind this!
Top marginal tax rate of 39.6% on the richest 2% of Americans?  It's
socialism!  The freedom-hating commies are coming to take our livelihoods
away!

You can make an honest case that these tax higher rates are bad for the
economy (though I'd disagree); there's certainly room for discussion and
debate there.  But these straw-man attacks like your anecdote and those
calling Obama a socialist make reasoned debate impossible and frankly make
it seem that those making the attacks are afraid they don't have a
legitimate argument and have to resort to these tactics instead.
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Nick Arnett
On Sun, Oct 26, 2008 at 1:00 PM, John Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote:

 Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]


  Let's just put an end to ALL redistribution of wealth.

 Forced redistribution of wealth, for the sake of redistributing wealth,
 definitely let's put an end to it. If government spending is for a public
 good, or to provide food and shelter for those who have none, then
 that is a different story.


Surely you don't think Obama, in mentioning redistribution of wealth, was
advocating it for its own sake?  Here's the context:

It's not that I want to punish your success. I just want to make sure that
everybody who is behind you, that they've got a chance for success too,
Obama responded. My attitude is that if the economy's good for folks from
the bottom up, it's gonna be good for everybody ... I think when you spread
the wealth around, it's good for everybody.

I think the political disagreement is whether or not it is good for
everybody to use government policy to spread the wealth around or to use
it to concentrate wealth in the hands of the wealthy.  Mind you, I'm not
arguing that the answer is one that is easy to determine.  But it sure seems
to be that there's a lot of evidence that we've gone too far in the latter
direction.


 By the way, are you familiar with the charitable contributions of
 Obama/Biden vs McCain/Palin? It looks to me like it comes a lot
 easier to some to redistribute other people's wealth than their own.


No.  I am familiar with their cash contributions, but I don't know what else
they might contribute in terms of time and talents... nor do I think it is
particularly my business.  I do know that the main beneficiaries of the
McCain's gifts are their childrens' schools and other areas where they have
a personal interest.  Must be nice to have millions and millions -- you can
give away a lot and still have so many houses you lose track.

Nick
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Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Jon Louis Mann
  and the sheep accept it, like they 
 accepted the bush/cheny agenda, and 
  swallow that the real threat to america 
 was terrorism, and now is socialism...

 You wrote about the public and the
 sheep. I wrote to and called my Congress 
 representatives, before the bailout 
 vote, to explain my opposition to the bailouts. 
 I know a lot of other people who did as well. 
 And the numbers I've seen indicate that a
 majority were against it. Considering that it 
 is corporate welfare, it is odd that a larger 
 percentage of Democratic Congresspeople voted 
 for the bailout than Republicans. But there is 
 so little difference these days, both parties 
 seem to want to spend our money and act
 like our parents, protecting us and doing things 
 for our own good even if we don't like it.  The 
 choice isn't between shit and chicken. Everything
 tastes like chicken.


a lot of people called congress,against the bailout,  but the people who didn't 
are the sheep and they are largely those who buy into the war and straw man 
attacks against obama.   

you can't equate the two parties even if they both passed it.  the final 
version was worse than the first, and the result was corporate welfare.  the 
extremes on the left were against it for completely different reason than the 
right wing nuts who got their way in the end.  

all this talk about socialism is chicken shit.  even european style socialist 
democracies buy into the globalism FREE trade scam.   what is needed is 
FAIR trade and an international socialist agenda.  


 These straw-man attacks like your anecdote and those calling
 Obama a socialist make reasoned debate impossible and
 frankly make it seem that those making the attacks are
 afraid they don't have a legitimate argument and have to
 resort to these tactics instead.

 I think the political disagreement is whether or not it is
 good for everybody to use government policy to spread
 the wealth around or to use it to concentrate wealth
 in the hands of the wealthy.  

 If government spending is for a public good, or to provide
 food and shelter for those who have none, then that is a
 different story.

i have no problem paying any kind of taxes for the common good; i do have a 
problem paying for bureaucratic waste, idiotic wars and bailing out crooked 
brokers, who commit insurance, mortgage and financial fraud!
jon


  
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Bryon Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 this is not taking the waiter's entire $10 - it'd be more like maybe $.50,

Ah, I see. Taking people's money to give to others is okay if you don't 
take too much.

 is about how much is appropriate, a debate about a few percentage points.

Right, a few trillion here, a few trillion there, not much difference.

  But these straw-man attacks like your anecdote and those
 calling Obama a socialist make reasoned debate impossible

Wow, just because you make a straw-man attack and call Obama
a socialist does not mean that I consider discussion with you impossible.

 it seem that those making the attacks are afraid they don't have a
 legitimate argument and have to resort to these tactics instead.

Don't worry, I don't think you are afraid or have no legitimate argument.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Surely you don't think Obama, in mentioning redistribution of wealth, was
 advocating it for its own sake?

Surely you don't believe everything politicians say?

 Must be nice to have millions and millions -- you can
 give away a lot and still have so many houses you lose track.

Or you can be like the Obama's and give virtually none of your millions
of dollars to the less fortunate. Better to give other people's money instead!


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 you can't equate the two parties even if they both passed it.

Indeed I don't. More Democrats voted for it than Republicans. Definitely
not equal.

 even european style socialist 
 democracies buy into the globalism FREE trade scam. 

What a bunch of wingnuts! How could they be so naive?


  

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Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 Ah, I see. Taking people's money to give to
  others is okay if you don't  take too much.

depends on who you take it from and who you give it to (robin hood!~)

 Right, a few trillion here, a few trillion 
 there, not much difference.

depends on if you waste those trillions on idiotic wars and bailing out 
corporate crooks, OR you spend it on developing alternate energy, jobs to 
rebuild america, education, saving people's homes, etc.
jon




  
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Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Jon Louis Mann
  you can't equate the two parties 
  even if they both passed it.

 Indeed I don't. More Democrats voted for it than
 Republicans. Definitely not equal.

what does that say about the republicans that did not vote for it?  they wanted 
even more corporate welfare?   at least those democrats who had the integrity 
to vote against the bailout did so for the right reasons.

  even european style socialist democracies 
  buy into the globalism FREE trade scam. 

 What a bunch of wingnuts! How could they be so naive?

always with the sarcasm, the last refuge...


  
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My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
For what it is worth, I have two simple rules for deciding which candidates get 
my vote:

1) Never vote for the incumbent

2) Of the remaining candidates, predict which two are most likely to win. Vote 
for the
one who is likely to spend less.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

 Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 you can't equate the two parties even if they both passed it.

 Indeed I don't. More Democrats voted for it than Republicans. Definitely
 not equal.

What proportion of each party voted for it?

Julia

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Re: My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

 For what it is worth, I have two simple rules for deciding which 
 candidates get my vote:

 1) Never vote for the incumbent

 2) Of the remaining candidates, predict which two are most likely to
win. Vote for the one who is likely to spend less.

Vote Libertarian much?

(I had more Libertarians on my ballot than Democrats.  More Republicans 
than Libertarians.  4 Republican judges running unopposed will do 
that)

Julia

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 what does that say about the republicans that did not vote for it? 

Hmmm, I guess it says there were more of them than Democrats.

 at least those democrats who had the integrity to 
 vote against the bailout did so for the right reasons.

To get re-elected!

 always with the sarcasm, the last refuge...

Don't worry, I have plenty of refuges. Do you need any?


  

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Re: My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Vote Libertarian much?

No, they are rarely in the top two. Probably because libertarians do much
less pandering to special interests.


  

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My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 1) Never vote for the incumbent
 2) Of the remaining candidates, predict which two are most
 likely to win. Vote for the
 one who is likely to spend less.


How does that work, John?  Something tells me you didn't vote for Gore or 
Kerry...  Incumbent are usually likely to win, or can steal an election.  Seems 
to me that the GOP has been doing the most spending..,  Clinton went out with a 
surplus. 
Jon


  
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Re: My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

 Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Vote Libertarian much?

 No, they are rarely in the top two. Probably because libertarians do much
 less pandering to special interests.

Well, on my ballot, if I were to not vote for the incumbent in a lot of 
the state  local races, that left me with a choice between a Democrat and 
a Libertarian in all of the cases where I was left with a choice of 2 
non-incumbents.  The Democrats would be more likely to spend more.  Which 
is why I came to the conclusion I did.

I guess your ballots are somewhat different from mine, then, in terms of 
how heavily any given party is represented, and how likely a candidate 
from a particular party is to beat one from another particular party.

Julia
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 What proportion of each party voted for it?

74.6% of Democrats in the House and Senate who cast a vote, voted aye for 
HR-1424.

50.4% of voting Republicans voted aye.

http://projects.washingtonpost.com/congress/110/house/2/votes/681/
http://projects.washingtonpost.com/congress/110/senate/2/votes/213/


  

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Re: My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Well, on my ballot, if I were to not vote for the incumbent in a lot of 
 the state  local races, that left me with a choice between a Democrat and 
 a Libertarian in all of the cases where I was left with a choice of 2 
 non-incumbents.  The Democrats would be more likely to spend more.  Which 
 is why I came to the conclusion I did.
 
 I guess your ballots are somewhat different from mine, then, in terms of 
 how heavily any given party is represented, and how likely a candidate 
 from a particular party is to beat one from another particular party.

I wish there were as many libertarians in the top 3 on my ballots as there
were on yours! You must live in a libertarian-friendly area.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
John Williams [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 50.4% of voting Republicans voted aye.

Or yea. I get those quaint words confused sometimes :-)


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

 Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 What proportion of each party voted for it?

 74.6% of Democrats in the House and Senate who cast a vote, voted aye 
 for HR-1424.

 50.4% of voting Republicans voted aye.

 http://projects.washingtonpost.com/congress/110/house/2/votes/681/
 http://projects.washingtonpost.com/congress/110/senate/2/votes/213/

Thank you for the information.

Julia

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Re: My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sun, 26 Oct 2008, John Williams wrote:

 Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Well, on my ballot, if I were to not vote for the incumbent in a lot of
 the state  local races, that left me with a choice between a Democrat and
 a Libertarian in all of the cases where I was left with a choice of 2
 non-incumbents.  The Democrats would be more likely to spend more.  Which
 is why I came to the conclusion I did.

 I guess your ballots are somewhat different from mine, then, in terms of
 how heavily any given party is represented, and how likely a candidate
 from a particular party is to beat one from another particular party.

 I wish there were as many libertarians in the top 3 on my ballots as there
 were on yours! You must live in a libertarian-friendly area.

North of Austin, TX.

Texas is somewhat interesting that way in some places

Julia

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Nick Arnett
On Sun, Oct 26, 2008 at 2:26 PM, John Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote:


 Or you can be like the Obama's and give virtually none of your millions
 of dollars to the less fortunate. Better to give other people's money
 instead!


May I have virtually none of your money, since you apparently think almost a
quarter of a million dollars is virtually none?

Sheesh.

Nick
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Re: My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Jon Louis Mann [EMAIL PROTECTED]

  Seems to me that the GOP has been doing the most spending.., 
 Clinton went out with a surplus. 

1) I am a fan of gridlock. I think if Obama wins, with a Democrat
dominated Congress, there will be a lot of new spending. I'm convinced
Clinton would have spent more if the Republicans didn't dominate 
Congress during most of his 8 years.

2) A surplus does not equal less spending. Clinton balanced the budget
by raising taxes and and keeping the rate of spending growth in control.
He was lucky to have a period of rapidly growing GDP and tax revenues,
and a Republican Congress for most of his years made it more difficult
to pass new spending bills. Not that a balanced budget is bad, but I'd
rather see the budget balanced by cutting spending rather than raising
taxes.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 May I have virtually none of your money, since you apparently think almost a
 quarter of a million dollars is virtually none?

And how does that compare to McCain and Palin?


  

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Re: My two rules of politics

2008-10-26 Thread Rceeberger

On 10/26/2008 5:16:57 PM, John Williams ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:
 Julia Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED]

  Well, on my ballot, if I were to not vote for the incumbent in a lot of

  the state  local races, that left me with a choice between a Democrat
 and
  a Libertarian in all of the cases where I was left with a choice of 2
  non-incumbents.  The Democrats would be more likely to spend more.
 Which
  is why I came to the conclusion I did.
 
  I guess your ballots are somewhat different from mine, then, in terms of

  how heavily any given party is represented, and how likely a candidate
  from a particular party is to beat one from another particular party.

 I wish there were as many libertarians in the top 3 on my ballots as
 there
 were on yours! You must live in a libertarian-friendly area.

I'm a couple of hundred miles from Julia. There are always Libertarians on 
the ballot here and I vote for them frequently.
Why?
Because I trust their conservatism more than I trust Republican conservatism 
and I want them promoted.
No, I don't support Ron Paul. (My high school economics teacher was his 
father-in-law) He is not much for pragmatism and seems to prefer polemics, 
but that makes his followers happy it seems.
Heh!
There are videos of me on the net talking to Paulies at a Republican 
convention.
(If you find them keep it quiet so I won't be namefagged.)

xponent
Most Famous For Maru
rob 

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Bryon Daly
On Sun, Oct 26, 2008 at 5:24 PM, John Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote:

 Bryon Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED]


  this is not taking the waiter's entire $10 - it'd be more like maybe
 $.50,

 Ah, I see. Taking people's money to give to others is okay if you don't
 take too much.


I'm not sure what your perspective is, here - are you against all forms of
taxes?  Because essentially this is what ANY sort of tax does, no?  I
dislike paying taxes, but I think government performs necessary functions
that cost money, and an ala carte government is infeasible.  So yes, I think
taxes are unfortunately necessary and thus okay if they don't take too much.
 Do you have a better alternative?

Is the current Bush/McCain taxation schedule also unacceptable to you, or
are you only against Obama's tax plan?  You anecdote, perfectly suited for
something linked with a Heh on Instapundit, made me think the latter.  But
maybe you are a no-taxer or a flat taxer?


  is about how much is appropriate, a debate about a few percentage points.

 Right, a few trillion here, a few trillion there, not much difference.


If it's a few trillions here or there in extra taxes collected, it's gotta
be on hundred(s) of trillions in income, ie: it's still just a few
percentage points - for the people reaping the pinnacle of benefit from our
society.  So I think they can spare it - the economy did quite fine with the
same rates in the Clinton era, and I don't see a strong argument that Bush's
cuts have somehow made things better.


  But these straw-man attacks like your anecdote and those
  calling Obama a socialist make reasoned debate impossible

 Wow, just because you make a straw-man attack and call Obama
 a socialist does not mean that I consider discussion with you impossible.


I didn't make any straw man attacks or call Obama a socialist, so I'm not
sure why you use the you above.  As for making reasoned debate impossible,
I meant in terms of broad public debate rather than personal discussion, but
in any case, very difficult would probably be fairer to say than
impossible.


  it seem that those making the attacks are afraid they don't have a
  legitimate argument and have to resort to these tactics instead.

 Don't worry, I don't think you are afraid or have no legitimate argument.


Again, I haven't made any straw man attacks or called Obama a socialist, so
I don't understand why you're turning this on me.
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Bryon Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED]


are you against all forms of  taxes? 

No.

 Do you have a better alternative?

Reduce spending.

 So I think they can spare it

I think you can spare a lot more of your own money before you start
sparing mine. Or are you living in a trailer park with 4 roommates and
accessing the internet through a library computer so that you can devote
the maximum amount of your wealth to helping others?

 I didn't make any straw man attacks or call Obama a socialist, so I'm not
 sure why you use the you above.

Wow, we have something in common then.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 04:14 PM Sunday 10/26/2008, Jon Louis Mann wrote:
   and the sheep accept it, like they
  accepted the bush/cheny agenda, and
   swallow that the real threat to america
  was terrorism, and now is socialism...

  You wrote about the public and the
  sheep. I wrote to and called my Congress
  representatives, before the bailout
  vote, to explain my opposition to the bailouts.
  I know a lot of other people who did as well.
  And the numbers I've seen indicate that a
  majority were against it. Considering that it
  is corporate welfare, it is odd that a larger
  percentage of Democratic Congresspeople voted
  for the bailout than Republicans. But there is
  so little difference these days, both parties
  seem to want to spend our money and act
  like our parents, protecting us and doing things
  for our own good even if we don't like it.  The
  choice isn't between shit and chicken. Everything
  tastes like chicken.


a lot of people called congress,against the 
bailout,  but the people who didn't are the 
sheep and they are largely those who buy into 
the war and straw man attacks against obama.


Many people who voted twice for GWB opposed 
it.  Most of them also knew even before they or 
others called their Congressional representatives 
that they were going to end up getting some 
version of it stuffed down their throats in any case.


. . . ronn!  :)

Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were 
a member of Congress. But I repeat myself. — Mark Twain, a Biography




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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread William T Goodall

On 26 Oct 2008, at 23:30, John Williams wrote:

 I think you can spare a lot more of your own money before you start
 sparing mine. Or are you living in a trailer park with 4 roommates and
 accessing the internet through a library computer so that you can  
 devote
 the maximum amount of your wealth to helping others?

Living like that I can see why you might come across as a bit  
irritable sometimes.

Do any of your three trailer-mates snore? Are you eating OK? You might  
find you can make more wealth to help others if you treat yourself a  
bit better first.


Charity begins at home Maru

-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit  
atrocities. ~Voltaire.

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Bryon Daly
On Sun, Oct 26, 2008 at 7:30 PM, John Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote:

 Bryon Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 are you against all forms of  taxes?

 No.


So to quote you from your last response:

 Ah, I see. Taking people's money to give to others is okay if you don't
 take too much.


Since that's what taxes do, you think it's OK, also?


  Do you have a better alternative?

 Reduce spending.


Good idea.  But do you think McCain would be any better at that?  Bush
certainly wasn't a cost-cutter (vast understatement).   And McCain's health
care plan added new taxes on people's health care benefits in order to
provide benefits to others.  I.e.: taking peoples money to give to others.
 Why is McCain not deserving of the same over-the-top anecdote you posted?


  So I think they can spare it

 I think you can spare a lot more of your own money before you start
 sparing mine.


So you rank among the very wealthiest people in America?  Congratulations!
 No wonder you think a quarter million dollars is virtually none.  :-)


  I didn't make any straw man attacks or call Obama a socialist, so I'm not
  sure why you use the you above.

 Wow, we have something in common then.


The anecdote you posted depicts Obama as wanting to take ALL the money from
the haves to give to the have-nots - i.e.: that he's a socialist.  This
is grossly and provably untrue and thus is a straw man.  Then it knocks down
the straw man by showing how upset his supporters would be if straw-man plan
was applied to them.  Ergo, I say the anecdote is a straw man attack on
Obama.  I never said you called Obama a socialist, but that's what the
anecdote you posted essentially does.  And that's generally the meme that
accompanies these types of anecdotes.  But my comments about ...resort to
these tactics weren't intended to be directed at you personally, but at the
campaigners and the originators/writers of this stuff - again I was thinking
in terms of the broad public debate, and not your particular posting of this
to the list.  I'm sorry I wasn't clearer.
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro
Jon Louis Mann wrote:

 A Democratic congress will tax the wealthy and redistribute the
 wealth to the poor and middle class.

 If McCain wins he will continue GOP policies of subsidizing the corporate
 state and cutting social programs. Jon

This is something I don't understand. If Obama is the anti-corporation
candidate, how he gets 2-3x more money for the campaing than
McPalin?

Alberto Monteiro

PS: former terrorist, bank-robber, kidnapper, communist, quasi-nudist 
and marijuana apologist Gabeira lost the Rio election with 48.5% of
the valid votes _for him_. That's a pity, he had some really 
interesting ideas.
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Bryon Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Since that's what taxes do, you think it's OK, also?

Government spending is a necessary evil that should be kept to the absolute
minimum.

 But do you think McCain would be any better at that?

I think it is highly likely that a McCain with a Democrat dominated
Congress will spend less than a Obama with a Democrat dominated
Congress.
 
 So you rank among the very wealthiest people in America?  Congratulations!
 No wonder you think a quarter million dollars is virtually none.  :-)

That is irrelevant. I pay taxes. Anyone who says they want to take my tax 
money to give to someone else, beyond the bare minimum required, should
first demonstrate their willingness to give away all of their money beyond the
bare minimum required for subsistence.

 The anecdote you posted depicts Obama as wanting to take ALL the money from
 the haves to give to the have-nots - i.e.: that he's a socialist.

Wow, there you go again with the straw-man arguments and calling Obama a
socialist. But don't worry, I won't hold it against you.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
William T Goodall [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Do any of your three trailer-mates snore? Are you eating OK? You might  
 find you can make more wealth to help others if you treat yourself a  
 bit better first.

The difference being, I'm not advocating forcibly taking other people's money
and redistributing it when I have not first exhausted every dollar of my own 
money to support my agenda.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread William T Goodall

On 27 Oct 2008, at 01:16, John Williams wrote:

 William T Goodall [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 Do any of your three trailer-mates snore? Are you eating OK? You  
 might
 find you can make more wealth to help others if you treat yourself a
 bit better first.

 The difference being, I'm not advocating forcibly taking other  
 people's money
 and redistributing it when I have not first exhausted every dollar  
 of my own
 money to support my agenda.

So people who believe having an army, navy and air force to defend the  
country  should make up the shortfall in funding when the pacifists  
decide they'd rather not pay for that? And unless that makes them  
completely broke they shouldn't expect the pacifists to contribute  
anything?

Necessities Maru


-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit  
atrocities. ~Voltaire.

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Nick Arnett
On Sun, Oct 26, 2008 at 6:12 PM, John Williams
[EMAIL PROTECTED]wrote:

 Bryon Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED]


  Since that's what taxes do, you think it's OK, also?

 Government spending is a necessary evil that should be kept to the absolute
 minimum.


I have never understood this attitude.  Why assume that government is
inevitably the worst way to accomplish anything?  Seems like there are many
things that government can do better than private industry.  Financial
regulation, for example.  Health care... I'd rather trust government, which
ultimately answers to the citizenry, than private industry, which ultimately
answers to stockholders.  It's not that I think government does everything
well.  It's the knee-jerk reaction that any alternative is better that I
don't get.  It doesn't seem logical.  Seems to me we should intelligently
assess what things government is best at (which varies depending on the
level of government -- cities v. counties v. states v. federal; toss in
special districts for extra flavor).

Nick
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Lance A. Brown
Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro said the following on 10/26/2008 8:44 PM:
 This is something I don't understand. If Obama is the anti-corporation
 candidate, how he gets 2-3x more money for the campaing than
 McPalin?

About 90% of Obama's fund raising comes from individuals.  After
withdrawing from Federal campaign financing, he announced he would not
accept any donations from political action committees and has not done
so to date.  Details available at
http://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/summary.php?cid=N9638

He isn't beholden to particular PACs or corporations because he's not
taken their money.

--[Lance]

-- 
 GPG Fingerprint: 409B A409 A38D 92BF 15D9 6EEE 9A82 F2AC 69AC 07B9
 CACert.org Assurer
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RE: My contribution to the bail-out

2008-10-26 Thread Dan M
After selling my house and resettling, I'm finally back to the point where I
can finish answers to old posts that the list (sorta) returned too.

 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of John Williams
 Sent: Tuesday, September 30, 2008 4:05 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: My contribution to the bail-out
 
 Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 
  As had been mentioned here before, they are both very highly leveraged.
 My
  memory is that Barclay's leveraged 30 to 1 and Deutsche Bank is
 leveraged about
  50 to 1.
 
  That means a modest run on ether bank will result in them becoming
 unable to
  give people who request the money they put in the bank that money.
 
 You persist in oversimplifying, and in ignoring creditors and bondholders.
 I wonder
 if you have ever studied the balance sheet of a bank?
 
 I have mentioned before, and even given a link to a nice explanation, that
 for the large US investment banks, if they are declared insolvent and put
 into receivership, that there is enough  debt to cover the bad assets 
 without costing the customers and countparties a dime.

First, it isn't that simple, as the cascade of events following LB's
bankruptcy illustrated very nicely.  Second, I looked at a number of your
posts, and the link I found was to a Hoover Institute guy (I hope you can
see how I find this ironically apropos) who argued for a market based
solution based on

1) Allowing a return to the accounting rules under which the SL collapse
occurred.

2) Eliminating (or drastically reducing reserve requirements.

I was in Houston when it was the epicenter of the SL mess (which also came
after a spell of regulators looking the other way because government
regulation was bad.another of many coincidences, I suppose).  What
happened was simple to understand.  The oil market had collapsed around '87.
US rig count had fallen to around 750 IIRC. There were massive layoffs (in
the 50% range) of good paying jobs.

As a result, the Houston housing market had a collapse of epic proportions.
Maybe the Nevada collapse matched it in absolute terms, but there were new
2200 sq. ft. homes in nice new neighborhoods going for $30,000.  Granted,
there's been inflation since then, but that's about $60k in today's money.  

But, banks hid their exposure to this by keeping the homes listed at the old
values, not the new market values.  On paper, they had no problem.  Homes
that couldn't be sold for 50k were being listed at 100k.  This accounting
fiction lasted only for a while, during which things continued to get worse.
Finally, the Feds were caught paying a bundle.

The second part of the proposal would allow banks to play it closer to the
edge.  But, if you noticed the folks who got in trouble first were the
highest leveraged folks.and that the banks with 10% M1 reserves were a
more manageable problem.  I cannot imagine why 2% margins or 0.2% margins
would make everything all right.


 
 I haven't looked at the balance sheets of Barclay's or Deutsche Bank, but
 I would guess that they are in the same situation. 

There are two things worth noting.  The balance sheets in question changed
daily, aye, hourly.  Since the SL crisis, mark to market was demanded.  So,
the best guess of the market value had to be used as the value in the
accounting.

So, yes, I've looked at a number of balance sheets, including those which
involved smoke and mirrors.  I did look at the 2007 Barkley's and Deutsche
Bank, and it was clear to me that the short term debt overwhelmed any
ability of short term assets and subordinate bonds (which I think are the
ones you are referring tothose folks who don't have accounts with the
bank but own bonds issued by the bank like Ford issues bonds to raise money.


They were clearly held up by the long term value of their loan packages, and
were in no position to handle a run on the bank by those folks who had the
right to ask for their money NOW.


There are 40 _trillion_ of credit default swaps out there.  Financial
institutions have made such complicated deals, and, with the leverage they
have, they can wake up on Wednesday with a +10 billion balance sheet and go
to bed below water.

Let's look 

If you disagree, then perhaps you can
 take a look at their balance sheets and tell us what you find?

I hope you think I covered that fairly well above.  The data shows that if
there was a run on short term liabilities (savings, checking, short term
paper) for either of these banks, then the banks didn't have the assets
(even assuming all of the bondholders assets were included) to cover those
assets.
 
Even with the intervention, I can personally see the effects of credit
tightening. Checks from in-state banks which always cleared overnight took
eight days to clear.  When we closed on our house, the buyers had to
reconfirm that they had the loan the day of the closinga new standard
procedureeven though they had 20% 

Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread William T Goodall

On 27 Oct 2008, at 02:25, Lance A. Brown wrote:

 Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro said the following on 10/26/2008  
 8:44 PM:
 This is something I don't understand. If Obama is the anti- 
 corporation
 candidate, how he gets 2-3x more money for the campaing than
 McPalin?

 About 90% of Obama's fund raising comes from individuals.  After
 withdrawing from Federal campaign financing, he announced he would not
 accept any donations from political action committees and has not done
 so to date.  Details available at
 http://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/summary.php?cid=N9638

 He isn't beholden to particular PACs or corporations because he's not
 taken their money.

The internet candidate. McCain doesn't know how to use a computer.

The Future Maru
-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant  
market share. No chance - Steve Ballmer


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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Lance A. Brown
William T Goodall said the following on 10/26/2008 10:38 PM:
 
 The internet candidate. McCain doesn't know how to use a computer.
 
 The Future Maru

Pigs Flying Maru!

We agree on something, William. :-)

--[Lance]

-- 
 GPG Fingerprint: 409B A409 A38D 92BF 15D9 6EEE 9A82 F2AC 69AC 07B9
 CACert.org Assurer
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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread Rceeberger

On 10/26/2008 8:12:54 PM, John Williams ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) wrote:

 That is irrelevant. I pay taxes. Anyone who says they want to take my tax
 money to give to someone else, beyond the bare minimum required, should
 first demonstrate their willingness to give away all of their money beyond
 the bare minimum required for subsistence.

LOL
Las Vegas!


xponent
Da Moneez Maru
rob 

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
William T Goodall [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 So people who believe having an army, navy and air force to defend the  
 country  should make up the shortfall in funding when the pacifists  
 decide they'd rather not pay for that?

Defending the country is a public good, not redistributing wealth.


  

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Re: Redistribute the wealth

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]


  Why assume that government is
 inevitably the worst way to accomplish anything?

Why assume that you or anyone can determine how other people's
money should be spent?

 Seems like there are many
 things that government can do better than private industry.  Financial
 regulation, for example.

I can't stop laughing long enough to formulate a rational reply to that.

  Health care... I'd rather trust government, which
 ultimately answers to the citizenry, than private industry, which ultimately
 answers to stockholders.

I'd rather trust myself to spend my health care dollars as I see fit.

 It doesn't seem logical.  Seems to me we should intelligently
 assess what things government is best at

I think government is best at taking other people's money and spending it less
desirably than those who earned it. Most people agree with me, judging by the
tiny number of people who voluntarily pay more taxes. But believing you know
better than others how to best spend their money is apparently quite seductive
to many people.


  

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Re: My contribution to the bail-out

2008-10-26 Thread John Williams
Dan M [EMAIL PROTECTED]


 First, it isn't that simple,

Yes, you do tend to oversimplify.

the SL mess (which also came
 after a spell of regulators looking the other way because government
 regulation was bad.another of many coincidences, I suppose).

Actually, a large contributor to the SL failures was poor government 
regulations.
When inflation shot up, the SL's were prohibited by regulation Q from paying
high enough interest on deposits to attract enough money. Furthermore, SL's
were required to make mortgage loans mostly to customers within a small radius
of the SL. With little ability to attract new deposits, and almost no 
geographical
diversification, it is no surprise that they made a lot of desperate, bad 
investments
that ultimately led to many SL failures.
 
 the short term debt overwhelmed any
 ability of short term assets and subordinate bonds (which I think are the
 ones you are referring tothose folks who don't have accounts with the
 bank but own bonds issued by the bank like Ford issues bonds to raise money.

No, I was referring to all debt, subordinate to senior.

 The data shows that if
 there was a run on short term liabilities (savings, checking, short term
 paper) for either of these banks, then the banks didn't have the assets
 (even assuming all of the bondholders assets were included) to cover those
 assets.

If you only include short term assets, I think that is probably true. That is
not what I was referring to. If a bank is insolvent, then it does not have 
enough
total assets to pay all of its liabilities. There is a complicated set of rules 
that
determines who gets paid and who doesn't, but generally customers (depositors)
get paid first and equity holders last. Usually it goes something like 
customers, 
creditors, senior debt, subordinated debt, preferred shareholders, common 
shareholders.
As you say, it is likely that the short term assets are not enough to cover a 
run
on the bank. But in every balance sheet I am familiar with, the senior debt on
down is more than enough to cover the depositors and creditors. It would just
take some time to get them their money (or to arrange a takeover of the viable
portions of the bank).

 Checks from in-state banks which always cleared overnight took
 eight days to clear.  When we closed on our house, the buyers had to
 reconfirm that they had the loan the day of the closing

Oh, the horrors!


  

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