Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-04-01 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 10:56 PM 3/29/03 +, Alberto Monteiro wrote:
Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

 Ok, so we can assume that the Sun will keep its current orbit around
 the Galaxy. But what about other stars?

 Then you could always do what you do to extrapolate solar system
 positions:  start with the current positions and velocities of all the
 stars for which you have data, compute the gravitational forces between
 each pair of stars, then do a stepwise integration.  (Of course, you do
 have access to large blocks of time on a Cray, don't you?)

:-)
No, but I guess I have some quite weird ideas that I _could_
use if I needed to do that
 And you'll need
 to approximate the general gravitational field of the galaxy as a
 whole.  For a description of that, as well as the kind of orbits stars
 follow in the galactic gravitational field, probably the standard text

Ok, I will take a look at them when I am (allegedly) working O:-)
[anything that has any semblance to orbital dynamics is fair
game in my job]

However, I suspect that over the time periods you're talking about (a few
x10^6 years), there will be at most only a few close enough encounters
between stars to significantly affect the paths of the stars.  Stars are
really w—i—d—e—ly separated in our neighborhood of the galaxy.  (You are
not concerned with the stars in the central regions of a globular cluster
or near Sgr A*, which are about the only places they are really crowded 
. . . )

Unless I am trying to identify Trantor :-)


http://www.eso.org/outreach/press-rel/pr-2002/pr-17-02.html
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap021025.html
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap020707.html
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap020521.html
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap011229.html


BTW, is Proxima gravitationally bound with Alfa Centauri A and B?


Short answer:  It seems to have the same space motion, but the orbital 
period (if it is in orbit) is so long that no one has observed any orbital 
motion.

For the latest information on the system:

http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap030323.html
http://www.eso.org/outreach/press-rel/pr-2003/pr-05-03.html
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap020715.html
http://www.eso.org/outreach/press-rel/pr-2002/pr-22-02.html
Some other information on the solar neighborhood:

http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap010318.html
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap000411.html
http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap000412.html

On a tangential note, the Jijo books mention that Izmunuti is 1 light-year
away from Jijo-S [whose name is Ganjoo - I guess]. Is it possible that
they can keep such a long distance for millions of years? I don't think
they can be gravitationally bound that far


Maybe.  Maybe not.

http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/solarsystem/nemesis_010320-1.html

(If you really want to know what the author had in mind, I suppose you 
could always try asking him . . . ;-)  )



-- Ronn! :)

Ronn Blankenship
Instructor of Astronomy/Planetary Science
University of Montevallo
Montevallo, AL
Disclaimer:  Unless specifically stated otherwise, any opinions contained 
herein are the personal opinions of the author and do not represent the 
official position of the University of Montevallo.

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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-29 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 01:28 AM 3/29/03 +, Alberto Monteiro wrote:

Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

 I'm not sure about _accelerations_,

That's the problem, isn't it? But maybe if we don't expect any two
stars to get close enough,


Well, let's see:  the distance from the Sun to alpha Centauri is about 
30,000,000 solar diameters or 60,000,000 solar radii, so what is the 
attraction between the two stars?

An illustration I have heard (not necessarily precise) is that two stars in 
our Galaxy have about the same chance of colliding as two flies which start 
from opposite ends of the Grand Canyon.



they will just follow some 200 or so
million year orbit around the Galaxy, which will reduce to an
almost straight line in anything of the order of 10 million years.


That is clearly what the author of the ST article (below) did.  10my/225my 
= 0.28 radians or 16°, a little large for using the small angle formulas 
(although technically the angle is only +/- 8° from the present 
position).  I suppose one might try approximating the path as an arc of a 
circle rather than a straight line, though the particular curve fit one 
used might be as likely to make it less accurate as more accurate than the 
straight-line approximation.



 but the Hipparcos/Tycho catalog has the
 best currently available information on the motions of
 the stars it lists

Ok
 There was an article in _Sky and
 Telescope_ within the past few years in which that data was used to
 determine which star was the apparently brightest star as seen from Earth
 at any given time during the interval 5 mybp to 5 myap.


I believe this is the article:

Computers in Astronomy — Once and Future Celestial Kings
  By Jocelyn Tomkin | April 1998,  p. 59-63 (PDF: 255 kilobytes)
To purchase a copy of the article in PDF format for $2.95US, go to:
http://skyandtelescope.com/shopatsky/_additem.asp?aaid=199804059063
Also, here's an item about a red dwarf which will come within 1 ly of the 
Sun about a million years from now:

http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap970626.html



m = 1/1000. Do you mean My or ky?


mybp is frequently used by geologists as an abbreviation for million 
years before present.



(Frex, Alberio
will be the brightest star in the sky about 4.5 my from now.)
 Does this sound like what you need?

Yep - ** if ** they explicitly give an error
 If so, are you familiar with the Hip/Tyc catalog
 and its data format, or do you need more information?

No; but I guess I can find it quickly with a google
search. It's free, isn't it? Probably some Megabytes of data


Home 
page: 
http://astro.estec.esa.nl/SA-general/Projects/Hipparcos/hipparcos.html



I've been using the Gliese3 catalog for some time


Unless they've updated it with Hipparcos data, the parallax/proper motion 
data is out of date.



-- Ronn! :)

Ronn Blankenship
Instructor of Astronomy/Planetary Science
University of Montevallo
Montevallo, AL
Disclaimer:  Unless specifically stated otherwise, any opinions contained 
herein are the personal opinions of the author and do not represent the 
official position of the University of Montevallo.

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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-29 Thread Alberto Monteiro

Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

That's the problem, isn't it? But maybe if we don't expect any two
stars to get close enough,

An illustration I have heard (not necessarily precise) is that two stars in 
our Galaxy have about the same chance of colliding as two flies which start 
from opposite ends of the Grand Canyon.

But I am not talking about _collision_. I am talking about getting
close enough for enough time to change their speeds more than
the initial errors in the measurement of those speeds.

And there are 100 thousand million flies, or 10 thousand trillion
pairs of stars :-)


Also, here's an item about a red dwarf which will come within 1 ly of the 
Sun about a million years from now:

http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap970626.html

Ok, so we can assume that the Sun will keep its current orbit around
the Galaxy. But what about other stars?


 m = 1/1000. Do you mean My or ky?

 mybp is frequently used by geologists as an abbreviation for million 
 years before present.

Bloody non-standard bastards. What is the abbreviation of year?
yr? _Certainly_ m stands for 1/1000, not 10^6


Alberto Monteiro


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RE: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-29 Thread Horn, John
 From: Alberto Monteiro [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 Does anyone have any idea of the accelerations [in a non-rotating
 frame of reference, relative to the Sun] of the stars in the Sun 
 neighbourhood and the bright stars in our sky for some long time?
 
 I'm not worried about the _precision_ of the acceleration, as long
 as I have it for thousands or even millions of years

Uh... no...

  - jmh

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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-29 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 03:57 PM 3/29/03 +, Alberto Monteiro wrote:

Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

That's the problem, isn't it? But maybe if we don't expect any two
stars to get close enough,

An illustration I have heard (not necessarily precise) is that two stars in
our Galaxy have about the same chance of colliding as two flies which start
from opposite ends of the Grand Canyon.

But I am not talking about _collision_. I am talking about getting
close enough for enough time to change their speeds more than
the initial errors in the measurement of those speeds.
And there are 100 thousand million flies, or 10 thousand trillion
pairs of stars :-)


With the average distance between closest pairs comparable to the size of 
the Grand Canyon.  The whole Galaxy at that scale would likely fill a fair 
amount of the solar system . . .



Ok, so we can assume that the Sun will keep its current orbit around
the Galaxy. But what about other stars?


Then you could always do what you do to extrapolate solar system 
positions:  start with the current positions and velocities of all the 
stars for which you have data, compute the gravitational forces between 
each pair of stars, then do a stepwise integration.  (Of course, you do 
have access to large blocks of time on a Cray, don't you?)  And you'll need 
to approximate the general gravitational field of the galaxy as a 
whole.  For a description of that, as well as the kind of orbits stars 
follow in the galactic gravitational field, probably the standard text is:

http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/2537.html

and this book goes along with it:

http://pup.princeton.edu/titles/6358.html

However, I suspect that over the time periods you're talking about (a few 
x10^6 years), there will be at most only a few close enough encounters 
between stars to significantly affect the paths of the stars.  Stars are 
really w—i—d—e—ly separated in our neighborhood of the galaxy.  (You are 
not concerned with the stars in the central regions of a globular cluster 
or near Sgr A*, which are about the only places they are really crowded . . . )



 m = 1/1000. Do you mean My or ky?

 mybp is frequently used by geologists as an abbreviation for million
 years before present.

Bloody non-standard bastards. What is the abbreviation of year?
yr? _Certainly_ m stands for 1/1000, not 10^6


OK, it probably ought to be Mybp.  But what can you expect out of 
geologists?  After all, they have rocks in their heads . . .



 If so, are you familiar with the Hip/Tyc catalog
 and its data format, or do you need more information?

No; but I guess I can find it quickly with a google
search. It's free, isn't it? Probably some Megabytes of data
Home page: 
http://astro.estec.esa.nl/SA-general/Projects/Hipparcos/hipparcos.html


Actually, the Celestia 2000 program mentioned there fits on a CD-ROM, and 
I think that must include the data from the catalog, since it runs without 
needing anything else.  That program is mainly for statistical searches, 
e.g., list all the stars in the HIP/TYC catalog within n parsecs of the 
Sun (i.e. with parallax greater than 1/n arcseconds) whose annual motion is 
between lower limit and upper limit, but that's not really what you 
need.  So you'll need to download the catalog and write a program to read 
it and do the calculations you need.



-- Ronn! :)

Ronn Blankenship
Instructor of Astronomy/Planetary Science
University of Montevallo
Montevallo, AL
Disclaimer:  Unless specifically stated otherwise, any opinions contained 
herein are the personal opinions of the author and do not represent the 
official position of the University of Montevallo.

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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-29 Thread Alberto Monteiro
Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

 Ok, so we can assume that the Sun will keep its current orbit around
 the Galaxy. But what about other stars?

 Then you could always do what you do to extrapolate solar system
 positions:  start with the current positions and velocities of all the
 stars for which you have data, compute the gravitational forces between
 each pair of stars, then do a stepwise integration.  (Of course, you do
 have access to large blocks of time on a Cray, don't you?)

:-)

No, but I guess I have some quite weird ideas that I _could_
use if I needed to do that

 And you'll need
 to approximate the general gravitational field of the galaxy as a
 whole.  For a description of that, as well as the kind of orbits stars
 follow in the galactic gravitational field, probably the standard text

Ok, I will take a look at them when I am (allegedly) working O:-)
[anything that has any semblance to orbital dynamics is fair
game in my job]


However, I suspect that over the time periods you're talking about (a few
x10^6 years), there will be at most only a few close enough encounters
between stars to significantly affect the paths of the stars.  Stars are
really w—i—d—e—ly separated in our neighborhood of the galaxy.  (You are
not concerned with the stars in the central regions of a globular cluster
or near Sgr A*, which are about the only places they are really crowded . . . )

Unless I am trying to identify Trantor :-)


BTW, is Proxima gravitationally bound with Alfa Centauri A and B?

On a tangential note, the Jijo books mention that Izmunuti is 1 light-year
away from Jijo-S [whose name is Ganjoo - I guess]. Is it possible that
they can keep such a long distance for millions of years? I don't think
they can be gravitationally bound that far


Actually, the Celestia 2000 program mentioned there fits on a CD-ROM, and
I think that must include the data from the catalog, since it runs without
needing anything else.  That program is mainly for statistical searches,
e.g., list all the stars in the HIP/TYC catalog within n parsecs of the
Sun (i.e. with parallax greater than 1/n arcseconds) whose annual motion is
between lower limit and upper limit, but that's not really what you
need.  So you'll need to download the catalog and write a program to read
it and do the calculations you need.

I once trying to find Nexon-Solaria, based on the fact that they should
be G-type stars that lie about 2 parsecs apart. I ended up with too many
pairs :-(


Alberto Monteiro



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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-29 Thread Matt Grimaldi
Alberto Monteiro wrote:
 
(snip)
 and spend a lot of time doing funny things while
 the real world explodes around me

They've got to be done sometime.

-- Matt
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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-28 Thread Alberto Monteiro

William Taylor wrote:

 Are you trying to figure out where the sapient dinosaurs ran off to
 before they aimed that comet at Earth to help cover their tracks?

No - this would require precision of hundreds of millions of years.

I just want to map the Robot/Empire/Foundation Galaxy, determine
the exact date of the awakening of the Elves in Middle-earth, determine
the exact hours of the transitions in The Number of the Beast, and
spend a lot of time doing funny things while the real world explodes
around me

Alberto Monteiro



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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-28 Thread Alberto Monteiro

Nick Arnett wrote:
 
 Does anyone have any idea of the accelerations [in a non-rotating
 frame of reference, relative to the Sun] of the stars in the Sun 
 neighbourhood and the bright stars in our sky for some long time?
 
 I'm not worried about the _precision_ of the acceleration, as long
 as I have it for thousands or even millions of years

 Planning a trip?  

Yes. Or, rather, analysing some trips

 Can I go?

Only if you have good information to share :-P

Alberto Monteiro


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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-28 Thread Joshua Bell
From: Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED]

I just want to map the Robot/Empire/Foundation Galaxy, determine
the exact date of the awakening of the Elves in Middle-earth,
That could be tricky; I just read the Silmarillion, and even if you believe 
the Elvish propaganda to be entirely accurate I don't recall clear 
mentioning of enough stars to judge time. Days would also be hard to count 
before the Sun and Moon were created.

Plus the fact that Ilúvatar sorta kinda reshaped the whole universe around 
Arda after the whole Númenor debacle.

But that shouldn't stop you. :)

Joshua

_
The new MSN 8: smart spam protection and 2 months FREE*  
http://join.msn.com/?page=features/junkmail

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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-28 Thread Ronn!Blankenship
At 11:05 PM 3/27/03 +, Alberto Monteiro wrote:
Does anyone have any idea of the accelerations [in a non-rotating
frame of reference, relative to the Sun] of the stars in the Sun
neighbourhood and the bright stars in our sky for some long time?
I'm not worried about the _precision_ of the acceleration, as long
as I have it for thousands or even millions of years


Alberto,

I'm not sure about _accelerations_, but the Hipparcos/Tycho catalog has the 
best currently available information on the motions of the stars it lists 
(except for the handful of stars which have had very precise measurements 
made by the HST Fine Guidance Sensors).   There was an article in _Sky and 
Telescope_ within the past few years in which that data was used to 
determine which star was the apparently brightest star as seen from Earth 
at any given time during the interval 5 mybp to 5 myap.  (Frex, Alberio 
will be the brightest star in the sky about 4.5 my from now.)  Does this 
sound like what you need?  If so, are you familiar with the Hip/Tyc catalog 
and its data format, or do you need more information?



-- Ronn! :)

Ronn Blankenship
Instructor of Astronomy/Planetary Science
University of Montevallo
Montevallo, AL
Disclaimer:  Unless specifically stated otherwise, any opinions contained 
herein are the personal opinions of the author and do not represent the 
official position of the University of Montevallo.

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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-28 Thread Alberto Monteiro

Joshua Bell wrote:

That could be tricky; I just read the Silmarillion, and even if you believe
the Elvish propaganda to be entirely accurate I don't recall clear
mentioning of enough stars to judge time. Days would also be hard to count
before the Sun and Moon were created.

It's not tricky, and I am reduced to _refining_ what I already have
http://www.geocities.com/albmont/medating.htm

Plus the fact that Ilúvatar sorta kinda reshaped the whole universe around
Arda after the whole Númenor debacle.

But that shouldn't stop you. :)

Of course not. The change of the world was philosophical, with
no observable effects :-)

I will refine the time of the Awakening as long as I have planetary
ephemeris with known errors for 6000 - 4000 BC.

Alberto Monteiro


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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-28 Thread Alberto Monteiro

Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

 I'm not sure about _accelerations_, 

That's the problem, isn't it? But maybe if we don't expect any two
stars to get close enough, they will just follow some 200 or so
million year orbit around the Galaxy, which will reduce to an
almost straight line in anything of the order of 10 million years.

 but the Hipparcos/Tycho catalog has the 
 best currently available information on the motions of
 the stars it lists 

Ok

 There was an article in _Sky and 
 Telescope_ within the past few years in which that data was used to 
 determine which star was the apparently brightest star as seen from Earth 
 at any given time during the interval 5 mybp to 5 myap.  

m = 1/1000. Do you mean My or ky?

(Frex, Alberio 
will be the brightest star in the sky about 4.5 my from now.)  

 Does this sound like what you need?  

Yep - ** if ** they explicitly give an error

 If so, are you familiar with the Hip/Tyc catalog 
 and its data format, or do you need more information?

No; but I guess I can find it quickly with a google
search. It's free, isn't it? Probably some Megabytes of data

I've been using the Gliese3 catalog for some time

Alberto Monteiro


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RE: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-27 Thread Nick Arnett
 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Behalf Of Alberto Monteiro
 Sent: Thursday, March 27, 2003 3:06 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris
 
 
 Does anyone have any idea of the accelerations [in a non-rotating
 frame of reference, relative to the Sun] of the stars in the Sun 
 neighbourhood and the bright stars in our sky for some long time?
 
 I'm not worried about the _precision_ of the acceleration, as long
 as I have it for thousands or even millions of years

Planning a trip?  Can I go?

Nick
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Re: Irregulars Question: long term stellar ephemeris

2003-03-27 Thread Medievalbk
In a message dated 3/27/2003 5:40:02 PM US Mountain Standard Time, 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

 Does anyone have any idea of the accelerations [in a non-rotating
  frame of reference, relative to the Sun] of the stars in the Sun 
  neighbourhood and the bright stars in our sky for some long time?
  
  I'm not worried about the _precision_ of the acceleration, as long
  as I have it for thousands or even millions of years
  
  Alberto Monteiro
  
  PS: yes, I will use them in timelines
  
  

Are you trying to figure out where the sapient dinosaurs ran off to
before they aimed that comet at Earth to help cover their tracks?

...just an irregular thought. ;-)

William Taylor
-
Contacting Aliens gave away too many clues.
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