RE: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread David Fotland
This implies that the top UCT programs are still over 1000 ELO points from the top human amateurs. From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Andy Sent: Thursday, January 31, 2008 9:32 AM To: computer-go Subject: [computer-go] Go rating math information There were some

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Jason House
How do you compute that? I think the ELO values given are the rating differences that correspond to the particular upset (win) rate. They're not absolute ELO values. A truly absolute value is also tough to define. CGOS picked its value somewhat arbitrarily. On Jan 31, 2008 12:54 PM, David

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Gian-Carlo Pascutto
Don Dailey wrote: I don't know how David figures 1000 ELO, but I would expect the difference to be much larger than that for 19x19 go. I don't believe they are yet very close to 1 Dan. http://www.gokgs.com/graphPage.jsp?user=CrazyStone You're right. They're closer to 2 Dan. :) --

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Don Dailey
ELO ratings don't have to be absolute, just self consistent. So if you beat someone 7.2% of the time, that means you are about 440 ELO stronger than him. However, I don't understand what the K-factor has to do with anything. scaling it up or down doesn't change anything. It's common

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Andy
Sorry, the KGS formula uses a constant k which is different from the K-factor in Elo. P(A wins) = 1 / ( 1 + exp(k*(RankB-RankA)) ) This would be equivalent to changing the constant 400 in: P(A wins) = 1 / ( 1 + 10^((Ra-Rb)/400)) ) EGF has a similar scheme except of course they use different

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Gian-Carlo Pascutto
Andy wrote: CrazyStone hasn't played since the initial spike to 1k in December. The movement of the chart afterwards is rating drift. Ok. For me this is actually GOOD news :) -- GCP ___ computer-go mailing list computer-go@computer-go.org

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Andy
CrazyStone hasn't played since the initial spike to 1k in December. The movement of the chart afterwards is rating drift. On Jan 31, 2008 12:49 PM, Gian-Carlo Pascutto [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Don Dailey wrote: I don't know how David figures 1000 ELO, but I would expect the difference to

RE: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread dave.devos
There seems to be a discrepancy: 11.5% between 2d and 5d in EGF rating system versus 2.0% between 2d and 5d in KGS rating system. I think this can be explained by hidden biases in the EGF statistics: 1: To be a 5d in real tournaments in Europe does not mean your rating is between 2450 and 2550

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread terry mcintyre
From: Andy [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sorry, the KGS formula uses a constant k which is different from the K-factor in Elo. P(A wins) = 1 / ( 1 + exp(k*(RankB-RankA)) ) This would be equivalent to changing the constant 400 in: P(A wins) = 1 / ( 1 + 10^((Ra-Rb)/400)) ) EGF has a similar scheme except

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Jason House
I was shocked for a second, until I check Crazy Stone's playing record. Its rating shot up after it stopped playing! It hasn't played a single rated game on KGS since Dec 2, 2007. On Jan 31, 2008 1:49 PM, Gian-Carlo Pascutto [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Don Dailey wrote: I don't know how David

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Don Dailey
So if I get rated on KGS all I have to do is stop playing and my rank will shoot up a few ranks? - Don Jason House wrote: I was shocked for a second, until I check Crazy Stone's playing record. Its rating shot up after it stopped playing! It hasn't played a single rated game on KGS since

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Don Dailey
That's a crazy looking graph!It looks like CrazyStone was close to 1d last spring, then a version change (perhaps) dropped it back to 2k. Then suddenly in Dec (a new version?) it jumped suddenly to 1d then gradually increased to 1.5d - Don Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote: Don Dailey

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Andy
A little more information on what CrazyStone's real performance on KGS has been like during the time the graph depicts: http://www.gokgs.com/gameArchives.jsp?user=crazystoneyear=2007month=3 http://www.gokgs.com/gameArchives.jsp?user=crazystoneyear=2007month=4

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Andy
Yes, the math is attempting to model reality. :) That's why I also included the EGF data which is based on observed statistical upset rate. Of course those ratings are calculated using a formula which pre-supposes an upset rate. Round and round. :) On Jan 31, 2008 1:26 PM, terry

Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread Jason House
On Jan 31, 2008 2:20 PM, Don Dailey [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: So if I get rated on KGS all I have to do is stop playing and my rank will shoot up a few ranks? It's a pretty common phenomenon on KGS... I've seen it happen many times ___ computer-go

RE: [computer-go] Go rating math information

2008-01-31 Thread dave.devos
The other way around happens too: in 2006 I had a 4 month pause on KGS and my rank dropped from 4d to 4k. Van: [EMAIL PROTECTED] namens Jason House Verzonden: do 31-1-2008 20:33 Aan: computer-go Onderwerp: Re: [computer-go] Go rating math information On Jan