Re: normal approx. to binomial

2001-04-10 Thread Alan McLean
I think you are confusing the idea of a sample with the source of a binomial random variable. The binomial model applies when some action is repeated a specified number of times, n; when we are interested in the occurrence or not of some outcome; when the probability of that outcome is the same

Re: normal approx. to binomial

2001-04-10 Thread Donald Burrill
On Tue, 10 Apr 2001, Gary Carson wrote: It's the proportion of success (x/n) which has approxiatmenly a normal distribution for large n, not the number of success (x). Both are approximately normal. (If the r.v. W = (x/n) is (approximately) normally distributed, then the r.v. V = x = n*W

ARIMA forecasting using EViews

2001-04-10 Thread Matt Kaar
I have a question that probably applies to ARIMA forecasting in general, but the specific piece of econometrics software I'm using is EViews. When I use an ARIMA(1,1,0) model to model ~150 pieces of stock market data and then use the EViews software to forecast the next 100 values, Every

Re: normal approx. to binomial

2001-04-10 Thread Jason Owen
[EMAIL PROTECTED] (James Ankeny) writes: [snip] Typically, a binomial rv is not thought of as a statistic, at least in these books, but this is the only way that the approximation makes sense to me. Actually, the binomial rv is the sufficient statistic for the data, which are represented as

Re: normal approx. to binomial

2001-04-10 Thread Jason Owen
[EMAIL PROTECTED] (Jason Owen) writes: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (James Ankeny) writes: [snip] Typically, a binomial rv is not thought of as a statistic, at least in these books, but this is the only way that the approximation makes sense to me. Actually, the binomial rv is the sufficient statistic

Re: Correlation of vectors

2001-04-10 Thread W. D. Allen Sr.
If I remember correctly two vectors are independent if their cross product is zero. Check a vector analysis book for verification of this. WDA end "Peter J. Wahle" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message N%FA6.403$[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:N%FA6.403$[EMAIL PROTECTED]... What can I tell about the

Re: ARIMA forecasting using EViews

2001-04-10 Thread Vadim and Oxana Marmer
Without any relation to the type of your data (stock market) : ARMA is a way to model a data with no long-range dependence. Correlation among observations dies out really fast ( at exponential rate ), so when you trying to forecast out of sample, you realise very soon that the past data contains

Re: normal approx. to binomial

2001-04-10 Thread David Lane
You may be interested in an applet I have on my website demonstrating the normal approximation to the binomial. http://www.ruf.rice.edu/~lane/stat_sim/normal_approx/index.html --David From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] (James Ankeny) Organization: None Newsgroups: sci.stat.edu Date: 9 Apr 2001

Re: Correlation of vectors

2001-04-10 Thread Peter J. Wahle
The cross product is another vector. Two vectors are orthogonal if their dot product is zero. This is not what I'm looking for. I have two sets of 2-D vectors that I need to determine their correlation or dependence. If I remember correctly two vectors are independent if their cross product