RE: About Probability

2000-09-20 Thread David A. Heiser
I would like to enter the arena. I see the original question as two questions, one about probability in a general sense, and the second about probability as used within Bayes Theorem. This is in line with the historical arguments. Most statisticians (from Fisher down to the present

Re: About Probability

2000-09-19 Thread Herman Rubin
In article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Alan Mclean [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Herman Rubin wrote: In article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Alan McLean [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I am sure there is a multitude of possible answers to this one. One way I would answer it is to say that probability is only applicable

Re: About Probability

2000-09-19 Thread Christopher Tong
On 19 Sep 2000, Herman Rubin wrote: This would exclude the application of probability to such things as nuclear physics. While we have to use observations to draw inferences, the probabilities of interest are not those about the observations, but about the underlying process. No, the

Re: About Probability

2000-09-19 Thread Herman Rubin
In article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Christopher Tong [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: On 19 Sep 2000, Herman Rubin wrote: This would exclude the application of probability to such things as nuclear physics. While we have to use observations to draw inferences, the probabilities of interest are not

Re: About Probability

2000-09-19 Thread Christopher Tong
On 19 Sep 2000, Herman Rubin wrote: No, the probabilities of interest are both those about the observations and those associated with the underlying process. I would disagree with this in most cases. The probabilities of the observations are not likely to give insight, at least in many

About Probability

2000-09-18 Thread Valar
Hello to everyone! I has a question for you that comes from a discussion that I had with a friend of mine. Due to the fact that with the Bayes Probability definition we can define a probability even for events that doesn't occur necessarily several times he say that is possible to associate a

Re: About Probability

2000-09-18 Thread Herman Rubin
In article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Valar [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Hello to everyone! I has a question for you that comes from a discussion that I had with a friend of mine. Due to the fact that with the Bayes Probability definition we can define a probability even for events that doesn't occur

Re: About Probability

2000-09-18 Thread Alan McLean
I am sure there is a multitude of possible answers to this one. One way I would answer it is to say that probability is only applicable to *observable* events - that is, the occurrence of something which is in some way directly measurable. The existence of God is not observable in this sense, so

Re: About Probability

2000-09-18 Thread Herman Rubin
In article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Alan McLean [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I am sure there is a multitude of possible answers to this one. One way I would answer it is to say that probability is only applicable to *observable* events - that is, the occurrence of something which is in some way directly