Re: Prediction Model Question (long)

2000-01-24 Thread Donald F. Burrill
Thanks, Milo! I agree with everything you write, with the exception of (essentially) one matter of fact, as noted below. On Fri, 21 Jan 2000, Milo Schield wrote in part: > Consider the Minitab PULSE dataset. > Pulse1 is first measurement of pulse (beats per minute) > Pulse2 is second measu

Re: Prediction Model Question (long)

2000-01-21 Thread Milo Schield
Interpretation requires a knowledge of the subject matter -- not just of p-values. One should look for plausible explanations for the coefficients: Plausibility is a sign of a good model. A lack of plausibility raises questions about a model. Plausibility requires a knowledge of the subjects matte

Re: Prediction Model Question (long)

2000-01-17 Thread Rich Ulrich
Here is a bit of Don's example, and then a closing comment about what I had said, about interpreting coefficients. On 10 Jan 2000 00:20:59 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Donald F. Burrill) wrote: < snip, much example > > the coefficients b3 and b4 are indistinguishable from zero. Dropping > SEX a

Re: Prediction Model Question (long)

2000-01-10 Thread David A. Heiser
>From Burrill and Ulrich's discussion. All this orthagonalization is fine. To me the bottom line is still the residuals and if the model can do a reasonable prediction just outside the data set boundaries. Obviously the different methods and pruning out of variables will give different values of

Re: Prediction Model Question (long)

2000-01-10 Thread Donald F. Burrill
Sorry, this turned out to be rather longer than I'd anticipated. Maybe I should have broken it into parts... On Wed, 22 Dec 1999, Rich Ulrich wrote: << There were several earlier messages, and then I thought Don Burrill said most of what needed to be said -- >> [ snip, vario

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-29 Thread Frank E Harrell Jr
Well put Donald. The only additional points I wish to make are that in my career I've never seen balanced factorial data with normal errors. Only in the case where the study was done in a balanced way (i.e., experimental study, no missing data, etc.) AND where the model is a regression model wit

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-28 Thread Donald F. Burrill
In response to a comment of mine: > Incidentally, I'd strongly recommend constructing interaction variables > that are orthogonal at least to their own main effects (and lower-order > interactions, when there are any), and possibly orthogonal to some or all > of the apparently irrelevant other pr

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-22 Thread Rich Ulrich
There were several earlier messages, and then I thought Don Burrill said most of what needed to be said -- On 20 Dec 1999 22:43:52 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Donald F. Burrill) wrote: > > For openers, I quote from Pedhazur (2nd edition), p 329 (summary for > Chapter 9), so that we're all on th

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-21 Thread Frank E Harrell Jr
"Donald F. Burrill" wrote: > Inicidentally, I'd strongly recommend constructing interaction variables > that are orthogonal at least to their own main effects (and lower-order > interactions, when there are any), and possibly orthogonal to some or all > of the apparently irrelevant other predic

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-20 Thread Donald F. Burrill
For openers, I quote from Pedhazur (2nd edition), p 329 (summary for Chapter 9), so that we're all on the same wavelength, more or less: "... Regardless of the coding method used, the results of the overall analysis are the same. ..." (This is the point that other respondents

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-20 Thread Burke Johnson
Thanks for your replies, I have 5 minutes to reply to some of your comments because my wife and friends are waiting for me to get home so we can go to New Orleans. 1. I agree with Joe that the term "dummy" in dummy coding is a rather dumb term to use for indicator variables. The terms is widely

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-19 Thread Donald F. Burrill
On Thu, 16 Dec 1999, Burke Johnson wrote: > A student of mine is getting ready to develop a GLM prediction model > that will include a mixture of categorical and quantitative predictor > variables. We will probably not include interaction terms in the model > (i.e., it will be a main effects on

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-17 Thread Rich Ulrich
On 16 Dec 1999 09:55:51 -0800, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Burke Johnson) wrote (with no control on line length) : < snip -- a GLM prediction model ... a main effects only model > " Here's my question: Do you suggest using dummy coding (0,1) or effects coding (1,0,-1) for the categorical variables

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-17 Thread Frank E Harrell Jr
Furthermore, if you stick to doing sensible tests, the tests are independent of the coding. For example, interaction tests are invariant to coding and so are global tests of combined main effect + interaction (e.g., H0: age is not a risk factor for either sex vs. Ha: age is a risk factor for at

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-17 Thread Paige Miller
Burke Johnson wrote: > > Hi, > > A student of mine is getting ready to develop a GLM prediction model that will >include a mixture of categorical and quantitative predictor variables. We will >probably not include interaction terms in the model (i.e., it will be a main effects >only model). >

Re: Prediction Model Question

1999-12-16 Thread Joe Ward
- Original Message - From: Burke Johnson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Thursday, December 16, 1999 9:13 AM Subject: Prediction Model Question | Hi, | | A student of mine is getting ready to develop a GLM prediction model tha

Prediction Model Question

1999-12-16 Thread Burke Johnson
Hi, A student of mine is getting ready to develop a GLM prediction model that will include a mixture of categorical and quantitative predictor variables. We will probably not include interaction terms in the model (i.e., it will be a main effects only model). Here's my question: Do you suggest