Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Greg
Greg, you didn't actually say that IRV is good, you just said that it's unlikely to be bad. Huh? One reason I think it's good in part because it's very likely to elect elect the Condorcet candidate, if that's what you mean by unlikely to be bad. Some other reasons I think it's good is that it

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Michael Poole
Jonathan Lundell writes: On Nov 25, 2008, at 8:45 PM, Kevin Venzke wrote: --- En date de : Mar 25.11.08, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : What Approval sincerely represents from a voter is a *decision* as to where to place an Approval cutoff. But is it not true that what

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Brian Olson
On Nov 26, 2008, at 5:53 AM, Greg wrote: Greg, you didn't actually say that IRV is good, you just said that it's unlikely to be bad. Huh? One reason I think it's good in part because it's very likely to elect elect the Condorcet candidate, if that's what you mean by unlikely to be bad. Some

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax
At 04:29 PM 11/25/2008, Jonathan Lundell wrote: On Nov 25, 2008, at 1:19 PM, Markus Schulze wrote: Or are only IRV supporters allowed to use polling data to show the greatness of IRV, while advocates of other methods have to use complete ballot data? I think we must be careful about using

Re: [EM] language/framing quibble

2008-11-26 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm
Fred Gohlke wrote: Good Morning, Kristofer re: You may say that parties, wanting to be re-elected, would stay in center ... I think parties are more inclined to keep one foot in the center while stretching as far as they can toward the extreme with the other. That's why we so often

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Nov 26, 2008, at 8:30 AM, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote: Personally, I don't think that any available single-winner method, IRV not excepted, is particularly great, though I prefer ranked-ordinal methods to FPTP or TTR. It's almost certainly true that TTR has generally better results than

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm
It seems that voting method Approval has cut its ties to English term approval (at least at the EM list). In ranking based methods EM people seem to assume that voters have some easy to identify transitive order of the candidates in their mind (=sincere opinion). I find it revealing that there

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Kristofer Munsterhjelm
Kevin Venzke wrote: Hi Kristofer, --- En date de : Mar 25.11.08, Kristofer Munsterhjelm [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : If IRV does elect the true Condorcet winner in all realistic elections (as opposed to the CW according to strategic ballots), and the Australian two-party (two and a third?)

[EM] Unmanipulable Majority strategy criterion

2008-11-26 Thread Chris Benham
I have a suggestion for a new strategy criterion I might call  Unmanipulable Majority. *If (assuming there are more than two candidates) the ballot rules don't constrain voters to expressing fewer than three preference-levels, and A wins being voted above B on more than half the ballots, then

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Juho Laatu
--- On Wed, 26/11/08, Jonathan Lundell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: There's nothing *wrong* with voting insincerely (or, equivalently, strategically), in this sense; a voter has a right to do their best to achieve an optimum result in a particular context. I think it would be better not to

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Juho Laatu
- Yes, I agree with most of this - Voters should be made aware of the different approaches so that they can use the intended one (or the one that suits them better) - Computerized methods could add something (e.g. more sincere input data, possibility of loops in the strategy changes) to the

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Juho Laatu
--- On Wed, 26/11/08, Kristofer Munsterhjelm [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: From: Kristofer Munsterhjelm [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Date: Wednesday, 26 November, 2008, 7:53 PM Kevin Venzke wrote: Hi

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Jonathan Lundell
On Nov 26, 2008, at 1:50 PM, Juho Laatu wrote: --- On Wed, 26/11/08, Jonathan Lundell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: There's nothing *wrong* with voting insincerely (or, equivalently, strategically), in this sense; a voter has a right to do their best to achieve an optimum result in a particular

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Dave Ketchum
A good summary. If we only cared about the easy ones Plurality would be good enough. DWK On Wed, 26 Nov 2008 08:43:42 -0500 Brian Olson wrote: On Nov 26, 2008, at 5:53 AM, Greg wrote: Oh, and actually it _is_ likely to be bad. See that first graph? See how over thousands of simulated

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Ralph Suter
To Greg Dennis: I appreciate your efforts to express your arguments clearly and defend them with good data. Nevertheless, I find them mostly unpersuasive. You say in your latest post that IRV resists strategic voting and Condorcet is susceptible to burial. But both of these beliefs have

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Greg
That is incorrect. There have been tight (not easy) elections where IRV chose the Condorcet winner. The recent Pierce County Executive and Assessor-Recorder races are two examples. Also, there's actually a decent amount of real world ranking data available. IRV data from San Francisco,

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Juho Laatu
Yes, one could use also some more neutral terms than (in)sincere and manipulation (or falsify). Terms like personal opinion based or personal utility based would be quite neutral (but longer). If one wants to replace also strategic one could try something like optimized or tactically best. (I'm

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Dave Ketchum
Topic is IRV vs Condorcet. My point last time was that easy races are no challenge to either. Now I concede that not all hard races are a challenge, but the few that IRV has handled do not guarantee that it will do all well, considering the opportunity for failure. DWK On Wed, 26 Nov 2008

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Kevin Venzke
Hi Juho, --- En date de : Mer 26.11.08, Juho Laatu [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : It is also far from obvious to me that Approval uniquely requires a strategic decision. In the EM discussions people seem to assume that at least one should put the cutoff between some leading candidates.

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread fsimmons
Greg, When someone asks for examples of IRV not working well in practice, they are usually protesting against contrived examples of IRV's failures. Sure any method can be made to look ridiculous by some unlikely contrived scenario. I used to sympathize with that point of view until I

Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed.

2008-11-26 Thread Juho Laatu
--- On Thu, 27/11/08, Kevin Venzke [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: From: Kevin Venzke [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Why the concept of sincere votes in Range is flawed. To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Date: Thursday, 27 November, 2008, 3:25 AM Hi Juho, --- En date de : Mer 26.11.08, Juho Laatu