Re: Observation selection effects

2004-09-30 Thread "Hal Finney"
Eric Cavalcanti writes regarding http://plus.maths.org/issue17/features/traffic/index.html: > I agree with the general conclusion: > "when we randomly select a driver and ask her > whether she thinks the next lane is faster, more > often than not we will have selected a driver from > the lane whic

Observation selection effects

2004-09-30 Thread Eric Cavalcanti
I have read some stuff on Nick Bostrom's page (http://nickbostrom.com/) and while in general I agree with his conclusions about observation-selection effects, there is one example which I am not sure I understand. It is the one about cars in the next lane going faster: (http://plus.maths.org/iss