Re: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-02 Thread Wolfram Kuss

A very sad day indeed :-(. Our thoughts are with you, especially
relatives and those connected to the Shuttle.

Tony wrote:

I find it a little hard to believe that a piece of insulation could have
such an effect.  Those tiles are designed to be impact tolerant and it
seemed clear from the press conference that this sort of thing has
occurred several times before.

I did not see the press conference, but I think that in the past only
single tiles went missing. If the impact has removed several
neighbouring tiles, I would guess the heat will get to the metal
underneath...

 Jon

Bye bye,
Wolfram.

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Re: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-02 Thread Arnt Karlsen
On Sat, 1 Feb 2003 22:47:00 -0600, 
Jon Berndt [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]:

   Dunno, prpbably their energy wasn't enough, but couldn't they try
   to make it to the IIS and use a Progress (IIRC) to make it back,
   if they figured out that this shuttle wasn't save enough to
   return?
 
  ..assuming the orbits were close enough, would it work for 10
  people?
 
 They were in the wrong orbit - and not nearly enough fuel to change
 inclinations. And Progress isn't made for people - only cargo. The
 Soyuz on which it is based *shoehorns* in only 3 people (barely).

..and we still talk about the IIS re-entry lifeboat?

-- 
..med vennlig hilsen = with Kind Regards from Arnt... ;-)
...with a number of polar bear hunters in his ancestry...
  Scenarios always come in sets of three: 
  best case, worst case, and just in case.



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[Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Jon Berndt
For those of you who may not have heard, the Space Shuttle Columbia
appears to have broken up on entry as it passed south of Dallas while at a
speed of mach 10+.



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Re: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Matthew Johnson
On Sat, 2003-02-01 at 06:42, Jon Berndt wrote:
 For those of you who may not have heard, the Space Shuttle Columbia
 appears to have broken up on entry as it passed south of Dallas while at a
 speed of mach 10+.

Oh my God :(.

No other words I am afraid...

Any thoughts on what may have happened?

Matt


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Re: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Elad Yarkoni
Once upon a time, you were sitting and writing:

 For those of you who may not have heard, the Space Shuttle Columbia
 appears to have broken up on entry as it passed south of Dallas while at a
 speed of mach 10+.

Sad day for all of us.

From the Israeli POV, it is especially sad, as
the first Israeli astronaut has been on the Columbia.

I really don't know what to say...


~
 ___  Elad (elady)_@__  ___
(   \  J. Yarkoni  .-'`-.  /   )
   ( \_   /  (O  O)  \   _/ )
  (`-(  ) )-')
   ( _\  \/  /_ )
 (__/  `-..-'  \__)

  Elady for friends or
  Oh my God... - It's Him ! for fans (or turbofans).

  [EMAIL PROTECTED]|
  http://www.ee.bgu.ac.il/~elady|
  .---.
  ECE. BGU, Beer-Sheva,Israel' ___ ' 972-8-6472417
  84105-'  .-.  '-
   _'  '-'  '_
''-|---|/  \==][^',_m_,'^][==/  \|---|-''
\__/~\__/

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RE: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Jim Wilson
Jon Berndt [EMAIL PROTECTED] said:

 
 During ascent there was some ice that broke loose and impacted the left wing
 underside near the elevon and the ice chunk disintegrated on impact. There
 was some concern that the protective tiles that cover the surfaces which are
 exposed to the most heat during reentry might have been damaged. That
 concern was addressed and dismissed by NASA before entry. However, in
 hindsight, perhaps that might end up being viewed as premature. There are
 other criticality 1 items that could have played into this, though.
 

No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm wondering, is
there anything that could have been done had the assessment gone the other way?

..heavy sigh...

Best,

Jim

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RE: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Jon Berndt
 No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm
wondering, is
 there anything that could have been done had the assessment gone the
other way?

 ..heavy sigh...

I do not believe so. Perhaps there ought to be, though. The focus probably
will be more on preventing insulation shedding, though.

Jon



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Re: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Arnt Karlsen
On Sat, 1 Feb 2003 22:07:48 -, 
Jim Wilson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 Jon Berndt [EMAIL PROTECTED] said:
 
  
  During ascent there was some ice that broke loose and impacted the
  left wing underside near the elevon and the ice chunk disintegrated
  on impact. There was some concern that the protective tiles that
  cover the surfaces which are exposed to the most heat during reentry
  might have been damaged. That concern was addressed and dismissed by
  NASA before entry. However, in hindsight, perhaps that might end up
  being viewed as premature. There are other criticality 1 items
  that could have played into this, though.
  
 
 No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm
 wondering, is there anything that could have been done had the
 assessment gone the other way?
 
 ..heavy sigh...

..I don't know, but we could try model it right now, to see if there
_are_ viable options, such as abandoning the launch, jettisoning the 
tank and boosters somewhere (out towards the sea) and return for a 
rather prompt landing, it would have prevented re-entry heat loads 
to the airframe.


-- 
..med vennlig hilsen = with Kind Regards from Arnt... ;-)
...with a number of polar bear hunters in his ancestry...
  Scenarios always come in sets of three: 
  best case, worst case, and just in case.



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Re: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Christian Mayer
Arnt Karlsen wrote:
 
 On Sat, 1 Feb 2003 22:07:48 -,
 Jim Wilson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 
  Jon Berndt [EMAIL PROTECTED] said:
 
  
   During ascent there was some ice that broke loose and impacted the
   left wing underside near the elevon and the ice chunk disintegrated
   on impact. There was some concern that the protective tiles that
   cover the surfaces which are exposed to the most heat during reentry
   might have been damaged. That concern was addressed and dismissed by
   NASA before entry. However, in hindsight, perhaps that might end up
   being viewed as premature. There are other criticality 1 items
   that could have played into this, though.
  
 
  No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm
  wondering, is there anything that could have been done had the
  assessment gone the other way?
 
  ..heavy sigh...
 
 ..I don't know, but we could try model it right now, to see if there
 _are_ viable options, such as abandoning the launch, jettisoning the
 tank and boosters somewhere (out towards the sea) and return for a
 rather prompt landing, it would have prevented re-entry heat loads
 to the airframe.

Dunno, prpbably their energy wasn't enough, but couldn't they try to
make it to the IIS and use a Progress (IIRC) to make it back, if they
figured out that this shuttle wasn't save enough to return?

CU,
Christian


--
The idea is to die young as late as possible.-- Ashley Montague

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RE: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Tony Peden
On Sat, 2003-02-01 at 14:56, Jon Berndt wrote:
  No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm
 wondering, is
  there anything that could have been done had the assessment gone the
 other way?
 
  ..heavy sigh...
 
 I do not believe so. Perhaps there ought to be, though. The focus probably
 will be more on preventing insulation shedding, though.

I find it a little hard to believe that a piece of insulation could have
such an effect.  Those tiles are designed to be impact tolerant and it
seemed clear from the press conference that this sort of thing has
occurred several times before.

 
 Jon
-- 
Tony Peden
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
We all know Linux is great ... it does infinite loops in 5 seconds. 
-- attributed to Linus Torvalds


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RE: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Matthew Johnson
On 1 Feb 2003, Tony Peden wrote:

 On Sat, 2003-02-01 at 14:56, Jon Berndt wrote:
   No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm
  wondering, is
   there anything that could have been done had the assessment gone the
  other way?
  
   ..heavy sigh...
 
  I do not believe so. Perhaps there ought to be, though. The focus probably
  will be more on preventing insulation shedding, though.

 I find it a little hard to believe that a piece of insulation could have
 such an effect.  Those tiles are designed to be impact tolerant and it
 seemed clear from the press conference that this sort of thing has
 occurred several times before.


I'm going to wait until they actually find out what went wrong. I assume
they are capable of this? Considering the speed and height of the
breakup.

Matt


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RE: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Tony Peden
On Sat, 2003-02-01 at 16:51, Matthew Johnson wrote:
 On 1 Feb 2003, Tony Peden wrote:
 
  On Sat, 2003-02-01 at 14:56, Jon Berndt wrote:
No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm
   wondering, is
there anything that could have been done had the assessment gone the
   other way?
   
..heavy sigh...
  
   I do not believe so. Perhaps there ought to be, though. The focus probably
   will be more on preventing insulation shedding, though.
 
  I find it a little hard to believe that a piece of insulation could have
  such an effect.  Those tiles are designed to be impact tolerant and it
  seemed clear from the press conference that this sort of thing has
  occurred several times before.
 
 
 I'm going to wait until they actually find out what went wrong. I assume
 they are capable of this? Considering the speed and height of the
 breakup.


It doesn't sound like they'll have a whole lot to go on.  It may come
down to playing out what-if scenarios.

 
 Matt
 
 
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Re: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Arnt Karlsen
On Sun, 02 Feb 2003 00:59:04 +0100, 
Christian Mayer [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 Arnt Karlsen wrote:
  
  On Sat, 1 Feb 2003 22:07:48 -,
  Jim Wilson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
  [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
  
   Jon Berndt [EMAIL PROTECTED] said:
  
   
During ascent there was some ice that broke loose and impacted
the left wing underside near the elevon and the ice chunk
disintegrated on impact. There was some concern that the
protective tiles that cover the surfaces which are exposed to
the most heat during reentry might have been damaged. That
concern was addressed and dismissed by NASA before entry.
However, in hindsight, perhaps that might end up being viewed as
premature. There are other criticality 1 items that could have
played into this, though.
   
  
   No doubt now that the focus will be on the left wing.  But I'm
   wondering, is there anything that could have been done had the
   assessment gone the other way?
  
   ..heavy sigh...
  
  ..I don't know, but we could try model it right now, to see if there
  _are_ viable options, such as abandoning the launch, jettisoning the
  tank and boosters somewhere (out towards the sea) and return for a
  rather prompt landing, it would have prevented re-entry heat loads
  to the airframe.
 
 Dunno, prpbably their energy wasn't enough, but couldn't they try to
 make it to the IIS and use a Progress (IIRC) to make it back, if they
 figured out that this shuttle wasn't save enough to return?

..assuming the orbits were close enough, would it work for 10 people?  

..I'm talking about modelling the _launch_, we _have_ the re-entry
(tentatively) modelled.  Then, it would be possible to play the 
what-if games, such as aborting the launch, jettison the boosters 
and fuel tank, and possibly shoot touch-and-go's with the onboard 
fuel meant for leaving the athmosphaere and initial re-entry.

-- 
..med vennlig hilsen = with Kind Regards from Arnt... ;-)
...with a number of polar bear hunters in his ancestry...
  Scenarios always come in sets of three: 
  best case, worst case, and just in case.


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RE: [Flightgear-devel] [OT] Shuttle breaks up

2003-02-01 Thread Jon Berndt
  Dunno, prpbably their energy wasn't enough, but couldn't they try to
  make it to the IIS and use a Progress (IIRC) to make it back, if they
  figured out that this shuttle wasn't save enough to return?

 ..assuming the orbits were close enough, would it work for 10 people?

They were in the wrong orbit - and not nearly enough fuel to change
inclinations. And Progress isn't made for people - only cargo. The Soyuz
on which it is based *shoehorns* in only 3 people (barely).

Jon



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