Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

2020-04-09 Thread uǝlƃ ☣
Sorry. I didn't imply that _reopening_ businesses for a couple of days/week would reduce infections. I was talking in the context of Jim's comments about underdampening. I feel like reopening businesses for 2 fixed days per week (and only those 2 days, same days for every business) would *drive*

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

2020-04-08 Thread thompnickson2
l.com https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ -Original Message- From: Friam On Behalf Of Steven A Smith Sent: Wednesday, April 8, 2020 7:12 PM To: friam@redfish.com Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data I think there are two issues... what your risk of bec

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

2020-04-08 Thread Steven A Smith
I think there are two issues...  what your risk of becoming infected and what is your contribution to the larger risk of infecting others.  The first is linear with the number of people you encounter, the percentage of the population currently infected and the amount of de-coupling your various mea

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

2020-04-08 Thread uǝlƃ ☣
My guess would be parka, hood, glasses, 6' distance, and limited trips will go first because they have very limited effect. If you doubt masks have an effect, then these should be so doubtful as to be silly. But sanitation and aerosol/spittle measures have clear support. The conversation you f

Re: [FRIAM] Fwd: [NICAR-L] AP/Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data

2020-04-08 Thread thompnickson2
Friammers, Jim Girard and I have been having a conversation about the period between the bent curve and the vaccine. His responses have been fascinating, but in some particulars, are more technical than this old rejected English major can parse. I therefore wanted you all to get the benefi