Re: [LUAU] short RHAT?

2006-10-26 Thread Julian Yap
Red Hat's early response:

http://www.redhat.com/promo/unfakeable/

On another note, Fedora Core 6 ISO's for i386 are available from
the HOSEF mirrors site here:

http://mirrors.hosef.org/fedora/core/6/i386/iso/

~ Julian

--- Jim Thompson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Oracle plans to offer $99/year (two cpu) support to current
 Red Hat  
 customers.   This is about 1/2 the RHAT rate for the same
 offering:
 
 http://www.informationweek.com/software/showArticle.jhtml? 
 articleID=193402336subSection=Operating+Systems
 
 RHAT is down over 16% (currently $16.33, lower than the 52
 week low  
 of 18.13) in after-hours trading.



Re: [LUAU] short RHAT?

2006-10-26 Thread Jim Thompson


On Oct 26, 2006, at 12:03 AM, Julian Yap wrote:


Red Hat's early response:

http://www.redhat.com/promo/unfakeable/


I smell panic.

Its very nearly a response I'd expect from a proprietary (closed  
source) software vendor.


Moreover, Oracle has a very large direct salesforce and a metric ton  
of resellers.   They've got feet-on-the-street that Red Hat can only

fantasize about.

Oracle can prop-up its Unbreakable Linux with revenue from many  
other streams.

Oracle's top line (total revenue) is nearly 52X that of Red Hat.
Oracle's bottom line (net income) is over 42X that of Red Hats.

Red Hat generated a net income of $79.69M on $278.33M of total  
revenue.   (Annualized 2006)
Oracle generated a net income of $3,381M on $14,380M of total  
revenue.  (again, annualized 2006)


Oracles market cap is nearly 26 X that of Red Hat.
ORCL:   96.74 Billion
RHAT: 3.73 Billion

Meanwhile, any customer in a big sales situation with Red Hat now has  
a benchmark to force deep, deep discounts.


Question:  You're a Fortune 1000 company... you want to deploy some  
linux, but you require rock-solid support from a company

with real assets and a real reputation.   Your choices are:

Red Hat, Canonical (Ubuntu), Sun (Ubuntu), Novel or Oracle.

Who do you choose?

If you're a current Oracle, PeopleSoft, Siebel customer, its not RedHat.

There has to be a virtualization play in this for Oracle.

Jim



Re: [LUAU] short RHAT?

2006-10-26 Thread Julian Yap
On Thu, 2006-10-26 at 02:05 -1000, Jim Thompson wrote:
 On Oct 26, 2006, at 12:03 AM, Julian Yap wrote:
  Red Hat's early response:
 
  http://www.redhat.com/promo/unfakeable/
 
 I smell panic.

Probably.  But better this issue crop up now instead of 5 years down the
track.  It sure does complicate the Linux landscape.

 Oracles market cap is nearly 26 X that of Red Hat.
 ORCL:   96.74 Billion
 RHAT: 3.73 Billion

RHAT's around 2.8 Billion now.

Worse would be an Oracle buy out of Red Hat.

 Meanwhile, any customer in a big sales situation with Red Hat now has
 a benchmark to force deep, deep discounts.

This would probably annoy Red Hat the most.

 Question:  You're a Fortune 1000 company... you want to deploy some  
 linux, but you require rock-solid support from a company
 with real assets and a real reputation.   Your choices are:
 
 Red Hat, Canonical (Ubuntu), Sun (Ubuntu), Novel or Oracle.
 
 Who do you choose?

I wouldn't say that Oracle has proven anything with their Linux support.

 If you're a current Oracle, PeopleSoft, Siebel customer, its not RedHat.

That's mostly the advantage of dealing with the one vendor.

~ Julian




Re: [LUAU] short RHAT?

2006-10-26 Thread Peter Besenbruch

On Thu, 2006-10-26 at 02:05 -1000, Jim Thompson wrote:
Question:  You're a Fortune 1000 company... you want to deploy some  
linux, but you require rock-solid support from a company

with real assets and a real reputation.   Your choices are:

Red Hat, Canonical (Ubuntu), Sun (Ubuntu), Novel or Oracle.

Who do you choose?


Julian Yap wrote:


I wouldn't say that Oracle has proven anything with their Linux support.


I might take that a step further. I have yet to see a company manage 
security updates more slowly, or more sloppily than Oracle. If that in 
any way predicts what their Linux support will be like, then they should 
be chosen for mission critical systems.

--
Hawaiian Astronomical Society: http://www.hawastsoc.org
HAS Deepsky Atlas: http://www.hawastsoc.org/deepsky


Re: [LUAU] short RHAT?

2006-10-26 Thread Peter Besenbruch

Peter Besenbruch wrote:

On Thu, 2006-10-26 at 02:05 -1000, Jim Thompson wrote:
Question:  You're a Fortune 1000 company... you want to deploy some  
linux, but you require rock-solid support from a company

with real assets and a real reputation.   Your choices are:

Red Hat, Canonical (Ubuntu), Sun (Ubuntu), Novel or Oracle.

Who do you choose?


Julian Yap wrote:


I wouldn't say that Oracle has proven anything with their Linux support.


I might take that a step further. I have yet to see a company manage 
security updates more slowly, or more sloppily than Oracle. If that in 
any way predicts what their Linux support will be like, then they should 
be chosen for mission critical systems.


There should be a not in there, as in ...they should NOT be chosen...

--
Hawaiian Astronomical Society: http://www.hawastsoc.org
HAS Deepsky Atlas: http://www.hawastsoc.org/deepsky


[LUAU] short RHAT?

2006-10-25 Thread Jim Thompson
Oracle plans to offer $99/year (two cpu) support to current Red Hat  
customers.   This is about 1/2 the RHAT rate for the same offering:


http://www.informationweek.com/software/showArticle.jhtml? 
articleID=193402336subSection=Operating+Systems


RHAT is down over 16% (currently $16.33, lower than the 52 week low  
of 18.13) in after-hours trading.