Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/13/15 11:28 AM, Michael Karadjis via Marxism wrote:



Paneuropean Gallup International poll, December 2014. 52% in Greece
favor return to national currency.
opinion.co.uk/per…/resources/global-we-tables-weight1-v6.pdf



In small print at the bottom of the 52 percent findings:

http://www.orb-international.com/perch/resources/europeanattitudesresults.pdf

Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not 
related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no 
longer a member of Gallup International Association.
Gallup International Association does not accept responsibility for 
opinion polling other than its own. We require that our surveys be 
credited fully as Gallup International (not Gallup or Gallup Poll).

For further details see website: www.Gallup-international.com


Plus this:

http://openeurope.org.uk/blog/revisting-grexit-part-2/

First off, it still seems that Greeks want to stay in the euro. While a 
poll at the end of 2014 by Gallup International found that 52% of Greeks 
would prefer to have the Drachma over the euro, this seems to be 
something of a rogue poll. All other polls have consistently shown Greek 
support for the euro.

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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Shalva Eliava via Marxism
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Did anyone read my post last night with the subject line Overwhelming Greek 
opposition to Grexit? As Dimitri Lascaris pointed out on TRNN on Sunday, the 
Greek polls re: Grexit are deeply suspect. A series of post-deal interviews 
with people on the street by one of the wire services revealed a chorus of why 
not just exit? (not a poll, of course, but not something to dismiss either).

 14 июля 2015 г., в 7:13, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
 marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu написал(а):
 
 Plus this:
 
 http://openeurope.org.uk/blog/revisting-grexit-part-2/
 
 First off, it still seems that Greeks want to stay in the euro. While a poll 
 at the end of 2014 by Gallup International found that 52% of Greeks would 
 prefer to have the Drachma over the euro, this seems to be something of a 
 rogue poll. All other polls have consistently shown Greek support for the 
 euro.
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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Marv Gandall via Marxism
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On Jul 14, 2015, at 7:12 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

 First off, it still seems that Greeks want to stay in the euro. While a poll 
 at the end of 2014 by Gallup International found that 52% of Greeks would 
 prefer to have the Drachma over the euro, this seems to be something of a 
 rogue poll. All other polls have consistently shown Greek support for the 
 euro.

There has been a lot of informed comment in academic circles and in the 
financial as well as left-wing media that Greece would be better off leaving 
the eurozone than continuing to be subjected to the grinding austerity and deep 
depression, with little hope of economic recovery, which characterizes its 
current situation. The argument is that Greece would recover if it were free to 
devalue its own currency - that it could less painlessly recover its 
competitiveness though an “external” devaluation of the drachma as opposed to a 
savage “internal” devaluation based on driving down the cost of labour and 
social benefits. Even the initial shock of the transition to a new currency 
could be eased if Greece were able to negotiate an orderly exit with the 
eurozone powers who, together with the US, have a strategic interest in 
ensuring a stable Greece on their borders. 

Whatever you may think of that argument, this debate has never really filtered 
down to the Greek masses who support Syriza’s social program, largely because 
the pro-euro party leadership has rejected this option from the beginning. This 
is the foremost reason why most public opinion polls skew heavily in favour of 
continued eurozone membership.

However much the two issues are linked, however, the referendum wasn’t about 
continued eurozone membership but about the austerity package. And the deeper 
issue, as always, is: Who decides these life-or-death issues: the people or the 
party, the leaders or the working class?

We wouldn’t be having this discussion if the Greeks had voted by 61% to accept 
the austerity package that was proposed to them in the referendum. The Tsipras 
leadership would have had the result it was hoping for, despite its cosmetic 
campaign in favour of a No, and that would be that. It could return to Brussels 
to sign the surrender terms with the mandate of the Greek people securely in 
its pocket. We might still lament the outcome, but case closed. It is for the 
Greeks themselves to decide, not us, not the leaders they elected.

We’re having this discussion precisely because the Tsipras leadership chose to 
ignore the overwhelming rejection of the austerity package. It acted as if as 
the popular democracy did not exist, and the popular classes had not decisively 
pronounced on the issue. It promptly signalled its willingness to the eurozone 
powers that, despite the referendum result, it was prepared to continue 
negotiating the terms of surrender. And it did so in concert with the widely 
despised opposition parties . 

How can we condone this about-face by the leadership, any more than we can 
condone a union leadership arbitrarily and unexpectedly capitulating to the 
employer the day after its members roundly reject an agreement assaulting their 
living standards and working conditions? Even if it were a well-intentioned 
union leadership which considered it was acting in the best interests of its 
poor benighted members who did not really understand the implications of what 
they were voting for?

As an old comrade once remarked to me, “my first loyalty is to the working 
class, then to the party or trade union which purports to act in its name.”




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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Andrew Pollack via Marxism
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bravo

On Tue, Jul 14, 2015 at 9:18 AM, Marv Gandall via Marxism 
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

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 On Jul 14, 2015, at 7:12 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
 marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

  First off, it still seems that Greeks want to stay in the euro. While a
 poll at the end of 2014 by Gallup International found that 52% of Greeks
 would prefer to have the Drachma over the euro, this seems to be something
 of a rogue poll. All other polls have consistently shown Greek support for
 the euro.

 There has been a lot of informed comment in academic circles and in the
 financial as well as left-wing media that Greece would be better off
 leaving the eurozone than continuing to be subjected to the grinding
 austerity and deep depression, with little hope of economic recovery, which
 characterizes its current situation. The argument is that Greece would
 recover if it were free to devalue its own currency - that it could less
 painlessly recover its competitiveness though an “external” devaluation of
 the drachma as opposed to a savage “internal” devaluation based on driving
 down the cost of labour and social benefits. Even the initial shock of the
 transition to a new currency could be eased if Greece were able to
 negotiate an orderly exit with the eurozone powers who, together with the
 US, have a strategic interest in ensuring a stable Greece on their borders.

 Whatever you may think of that argument, this debate has never really
 filtered down to the Greek masses who support Syriza’s social program,
 largely because the pro-euro party leadership has rejected this option from
 the beginning. This is the foremost reason why most public opinion polls
 skew heavily in favour of continued eurozone membership.

 However much the two issues are linked, however, the referendum wasn’t
 about continued eurozone membership but about the austerity package. And
 the deeper issue, as always, is: Who decides these life-or-death issues:
 the people or the party, the leaders or the working class?

 We wouldn’t be having this discussion if the Greeks had voted by 61% to
 accept the austerity package that was proposed to them in the referendum.
 The Tsipras leadership would have had the result it was hoping for, despite
 its cosmetic campaign in favour of a No, and that would be that. It could
 return to Brussels to sign the surrender terms with the mandate of the
 Greek people securely in its pocket. We might still lament the outcome, but
 case closed. It is for the Greeks themselves to decide, not us, not the
 leaders they elected.

 We’re having this discussion precisely because the Tsipras leadership
 chose to ignore the overwhelming rejection of the austerity package. It
 acted as if as the popular democracy did not exist, and the popular classes
 had not decisively pronounced on the issue. It promptly signalled its
 willingness to the eurozone powers that, despite the referendum result, it
 was prepared to continue negotiating the terms of surrender. And it did so
 in concert with the widely despised opposition parties .

 How can we condone this about-face by the leadership, any more than we can
 condone a union leadership arbitrarily and unexpectedly capitulating to the
 employer the day after its members roundly reject an agreement assaulting
 their living standards and working conditions? Even if it were a
 well-intentioned union leadership which considered it was acting in the
 best interests of its poor benighted members who did not really understand
 the implications of what they were voting for?

 As an old comrade once remarked to me, “my first loyalty is to the working
 class, then to the party or trade union which purports to act in its name.”




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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/14/15 9:18 AM, Marv Gandall wrote:

Whatever you may think of that argument, this debate has never really
filtered down to the Greek masses who support Syriza’s social
program, largely because the pro-euro party leadership has rejected
this option from the beginning. This is the foremost reason why most
public opinion polls skew heavily in favour of continued eurozone
membership.



But you can be sure that things will turn around as a result of your and 
Jim Creegan's courageous and principled intervention here. In fact I can 
easily picture the dock workers in Athens right now huddled around a 
laptop beaming with joy as they look at the Marxmail archives saying, 
Now we have the heavy artillery on our side. German bankers, watch the 
fuck out.

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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Andrew Pollack via Marxism
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The fact of the matter is that Greek workers ARE watching to see who is
supporting them. I've seen the same thing in solidarity work around the
MENA region and elsewhere: activists in the country concerned always report
on encouraging conversations they have with workers after showing them even
just selfies from around the world supporting their cause.
There are now 2 or 3 dozen cities around the world holding support rallies
tomorrow for the Greek general strike and for a continued Oxi, and the
Panitches are hurting that effort.

On Tue, Jul 14, 2015 at 9:23 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

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 On 7/14/15 9:18 AM, Marv Gandall wrote:

 Whatever you may think of that argument, this debate has never really
 filtered down to the Greek masses who support Syriza’s social
 program, largely because the pro-euro party leadership has rejected
 this option from the beginning. This is the foremost reason why most
 public opinion polls skew heavily in favour of continued eurozone
 membership.


 But you can be sure that things will turn around as a result of your and
 Jim Creegan's courageous and principled intervention here. In fact I can
 easily picture the dock workers in Athens right now huddled around a laptop
 beaming with joy as they look at the Marxmail archives saying, Now we have
 the heavy artillery on our side. German bankers, watch the fuck out.

 _
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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Richard Fidler via Marxism
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The Troika's dictate to Greece is fundamentally an assault on its national
sovereignty. The Greeks are a proud people. Their No on July 5 was (as
Tsipras himself said in the final pro-No rally) a vote for democracy and
sovereignty. How will the Greeks react now to this decisive proof not only
of the incompatibility of anti-austerity with eurozone membership, but of
the incompatibility of eurozone membership with national sovereignty?

This has been a defeat for Greece, not just for Syriza. But it is not the
end of the war. The votes in the Parliament tomorrow are important. But
let's see what kind of reaction these latest developments spark in the
working class and the wider population before we draw definitive conclusions
as to the current state of Greek public opinion. A lot of things may change
in a very short period. The Greek experience is a huge learning experience
for us all, including the Greeks themselves.

Meanwhile, internationally we need to manifest and build solidarity with the
Greeks, as never before, while they try to cope with the new conditions and
work out alternative courses of action.

Richard

-Original Message-
From: Marxism [mailto:marxism-boun...@lists.csbs.utah.edu] On Behalf Of
Andrew Pollack via Marxism
Sent: Tuesday, July 14, 2015 9:54 AM
To: rfidle...@sympatico.ca
Cc: Activists and scholars in Marxist tradition
Subject: Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want
to stay in the Eurozone

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Louis YOU DIDN'T READ WHAT I SAID. I wasn't talking about marxmail, I was
talking about Greek workers seeing photos of SOLIDARITY DEMONSTRATIONS
around the world.
Marxmail and Facebook discussions matter because they encourage (or
discourage in Panitch's case) such REAL WORLD MOBILIZATION WHICH GREEK
WORKERS ARE FOLLOWING.

On Tue, Jul 14, 2015 at 9:48 AM, Louis Proyect l...@panix.com wrote:

 On 7/14/15 9:39 AM, Andrew Pollack wrote:

 The fact of the matter is that Greek workers ARE watching to see who is
 supporting them.


 Oh please. Writing anguished denunciations of Alexis Tsipras on Marxmail
 is not supporting Greek workers. I would describe it more as political
 onanism.


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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Andrew Pollack via Marxism
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Louis YOU DIDN'T READ WHAT I SAID. I wasn't talking about marxmail, I was
talking about Greek workers seeing photos of SOLIDARITY DEMONSTRATIONS
around the world.
Marxmail and Facebook discussions matter because they encourage (or
discourage in Panitch's case) such REAL WORLD MOBILIZATION WHICH GREEK
WORKERS ARE FOLLOWING.

On Tue, Jul 14, 2015 at 9:48 AM, Louis Proyect l...@panix.com wrote:

 On 7/14/15 9:39 AM, Andrew Pollack wrote:

 The fact of the matter is that Greek workers ARE watching to see who is
 supporting them.


 Oh please. Writing anguished denunciations of Alexis Tsipras on Marxmail
 is not supporting Greek workers. I would describe it more as political
 onanism.


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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/14/15 9:39 AM, Andrew Pollack wrote:

The fact of the matter is that Greek workers ARE watching to see who is
supporting them.


Oh please. Writing anguished denunciations of Alexis Tsipras on Marxmail 
is not supporting Greek workers. I would describe it more as political 
onanism.


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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Michael Karadjis via Marxism

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Original Message- 
From: Louis Proyect


On 7/13/15 11:28 AM, Michael Karadjis via Marxism wrote:

Paneuropean Gallup International poll, December 2014. 52% in Greece
favor return to national currency.
opinion.co.uk/per…/resources/global-we-tables-weight1-v6.pdf


In small print at the bottom of the 52 percent findings:

Disclaimer: Gallup International Association or its members are not
related to Gallup Inc., headquartered in Washington D.C which is no
longer a member of Gallup International Association.

MK:
Yes, but that doesn't prove that the Paneuropean Gallup International 
poll is wrong. Besides, my post noted two other, more recent polls:


Bridging Europe poll, March 2015. 53% of Greeks in favor of grexit:
https://twitter.com/bridgingeurope/status/578889140684648448

Bridging Europe poll, June 2015, not long before the referendum was
called. 63% not afraid of grexit. Compares very well with the 61.3% no
vote in the referendum which followed.
https://twitter.com/BridgingEurope/status/612669846568968192 

Now of course I have no way of knowing whether these polls, or the polls 
that show the opposite (that most Greeks want to stay in Eurozone) are 
more correct. However, I'm inclined to believe these polls showing 
greater Greek support for grexit. Why? Simply, the supposed *enormous, 
total* contradiction between majority Greek opposition to EU-imposed 
killer-austerity and huge majority Greek determination to stay in the 
Eurozone seems just not realistic. A certain amount of contradiction, of 
confusion, yes, that is possible, and likely; but the total 
contradiction scenario makes it look as if the bulk of Greek people are 
far too naiive, far more than they are. Is it really possible that after 
all this time, after all this evidence of the blood-sucking nature of 
the EU, that a significant percentage of Greeks have not yet understood 
the contradiction between Eurozone membership and no austerity? We talk 
about it every day as if it is just so obvious, and assume that hardly 
anyone is Greece has realised? Entirely unrealistic.


Is it really possible that 61% of Greeks voted to reject the EU's diktat 
and almost none of them figured out that their vote also meant 
potentially a grexit? Not a majority of them, not a significant majority 
of  them, but almost none? No, Greeks as a whole are somewhat more 
politically sophisticated than that. *Separate* to the issue of whether 
or not there was no alternative at this moment (due to Syriza 
leadership's decision to not plan a Plan B), I think it likely that the 
polls showing considerably greater Greek opposition to the Eurozone are 
far more realistic. 


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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/14/15 9:52 AM, Michael Karadjis wrote:


Now of course I have no way of knowing whether these polls, or the polls
that show the opposite (that most Greeks want to stay in Eurozone) are
more correct. However, I'm inclined to believe these polls showing
greater Greek support for grexit.



This will be put to the test soon enough. By all indications, Tsipras 
and those in the Syriza leadership who are aligned with him have thrown 
in their lot with the parliamentary bloc made up of the New Democracy, 
PASOK and To Potami.


If and when the Left Platform breaks with this grouping, it will be up 
to them and whoever they unite with to push for a Grexit. I am 
particularly interested to see how Antarsya fares since this group is 
obviously the one that Marvin Gandall and James Creegan would want to 
belong to if they were in Greece.


Btw, Antarsya means The Anticapitalist Left Cooperation for the 
Overthrow. The acronym is practically the same as the Greek word for 
mutiny (antarsia) according to Wikipedia. This is a group that has been 
blessed by Alex Callinicos so it will be put to the test in the months 
to come. I am fairly confident that they will never be thrust into a 
position of betraying the Greek people. In fact, I don't think that 
there has ever been such a group in the past 100 years that has been put 
in the position where they could sell out anybody or anything. Needless 
to say, this kind of freedom of sin comes at a certain cost not that 
this would make any difference to Alex Callinicos.

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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread ioannis aposperites via Marxism

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On 14/07/2015 04:39 μμ, Andrew Pollack via Marxism wrote:


*

The fact of the matter is that Greek workers ARE watching to see who is
supporting them. I've seen the same thing in solidarity work around the
MENA region and elsewhere: activists in the country concerned always report
on encouraging conversations they have with workers after showing them even
just selfies from around the world supporting their cause.
There are now 2 or 3 dozen cities around the world holding support rallies
tomorrow for the Greek general strike and for a continued Oxi, and the
Panitches are hurting that effort.

That's right! It's time for action. An #occupygermanembassy would be 
just fine


JA
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Re: [Marxism] Polls that challenge the mantra that most Greeks want to stay in the Eurozone

2015-07-14 Thread Marv Gandall via Marxism
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On Jul 14, 2015, at 11:00 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

 This will be put to the test soon enough. By all indications, Tsipras and 
 those in the Syriza leadership who are aligned with him have thrown in their 
 lot with the parliamentary bloc made up of the New Democracy, PASOK and To 
 Potami.
 
 If and when the Left Platform breaks with this grouping, it will be up to 
 them and whoever they unite with to push for a Grexit. I am particularly 
 interested to see how Antarsya fares since this group is obviously the one 
 that Marvin Gandall and James Creegan would want to belong to if they were in 
 Greece.

I can’t speak for Jim, but I would have to spend time on the ground in Greece 
to determine which of the various left groups I would support. I do know I 
could never support a party or faction whose parliamentary representatives vote 
for a rotten deal which will force working and lower middle class Greeks to 
further bend the knee and accept a further deterioration of their miserable 
conditions, particularly against their democratic will as expressed in the 
referendum. I assume if you were in the Greek Parliament you would be jumping 
to your feet to cast a vote for this latest, harshest, and most demeaning 
austerity package.

 Btw, Antarsya means “The Anticapitalist Left Cooperation for the Overthrow”… 
 I am fairly confident that they will never be thrust into a position of 
 betraying the Greek people. In fact, I don’t think that there has ever been 
 such a group in the past 100 years that has been put in the position where 
 they could sell out anybody or anything. 

Could you not say the same about every other Marxist and anarchist group in 
Europe or North America in the period we have been living through? 


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