Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Joshua Tree Earth & Space Museum
Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so... Thanks for your general positive comment on this discussion. I would agree with you on the .'more and more skeptical' about some output of so called scientific knowlegde over the years. Say any s

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
They are certainly not. And who was it that brought forward this gelogical analysis to the wider scientific community. It was me. I certainly didn't do any science on it. I found it on their site. And posted it here. New Scientist then wrote their first positive scientific article as Carancas b

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Michael Bross
te-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so... Thanks for your general positive comment on this discussion. I would agree with you on the .'more and more skeptical' about some output of so called scientific knowlegde over the years. Say any scientist or

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
Thanks for your general positive comment on this discussion. I would agree with you on the .'more and more skeptical' about some output of so called scientific knowlegde over the years. Say any scientist or budding scientist have a model on some kind of aspect of nature. The model can be quite o

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Chris Spratt
The posted orbit for the Russian meteor doesn't resemble in any way 2012 DA14. There is a difference of 7 degrees in the inclination alone - about 4 degrees for the meteor and 2012 DA's inclination is 11.6 degrees. Both the Node and Arg Peri are also different. Chris. Spratt Victoria, BC _

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Michael Bross
Thank you Chris I learned with your great answer. Best regards Michael B. -- From: "Chris Peterson" Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2013 9:50 PM To: Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Chris Peterson
It takes a large amount of energy to split a massive body into components with radically different orbits (and that these bodies have radically different orbits is known beyond reasonable doubt). That energy could be supplied explosively, as when a pair of bodies collide. But that amount of ene

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Michael Bross
Hi Rob Your 1+1=2 doesn't convince me BUT your Devil's Advocate much more... I am glad I pursued on this, because NOW I am getting a tangible answer Thank you ! best regards to all Michael B. -- From: "Rob Matson" Sent: Saturday, February 16,

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Rob Matson
Hi Michael, > ... I have learned to be more and more skeptical about the common/obvious > knowledge over the years... You might be right... but be careful about your > high level of "certainty"... The level of celestial mechanical certainty involved here is comparable to the uncertainty that 1+1

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Michael Bross
y, February 16, 2013 9:21 PM To: Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so... Skepticism does not require having significant doubt about things which are well understood. The suggestion that has been offered is either the product of extreme igno

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Chris Peterson
Skepticism does not require having significant doubt about things which are well understood. The suggestion that has been offered is either the product of extreme ignorance or of outright pseudoscience (well, the question was a fair one, but the insistence upon sticking with the belief in light

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Michael Bross
ssia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so... The orbital elements are precisely known for DA14, and the estimated elements for the meteor are certainly not far off. You don't understand orbital dynamics at all if you believe these two bodies could have been in paral

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Chris Peterson
The orbital elements are precisely known for DA14, and the estimated elements for the meteor are certainly not far off. You don't understand orbital dynamics at all if you believe these two bodies could have been in parallel orbits. They were not. There is no plausible mechanism that could have

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Michael Bross
;t listen to the "reasonable", classical, main stream comments and deductions anymore... Cheers Michael B. -- From: "Bjorn Sorheim" Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2013 8:04 PM To: Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
I must be starting praying for you MIke!!? That's the most clueless article about these events I have ever seen. Or someone purporting to know anything about celestial mechanics. Wired and author Helene McLaughlin doesn't know a thing about celestial mechanics. The diagram is totally wrong, and

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Mike Hankey
Esko posted these yesterday on meteor obs. This is estimated. The wired article said it used SETI results. Using mainly the video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZxXYscmgRg and the weather satellite image, with no real good calibrations, I get a rough solar system orbit ( the last stage by means

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
Where are these elements posted?? It's impossible that they could be as different as you state here. My mailbox got full yesterday, so if they have been posted on this list while I could not receive any new messages, I must apologize. But if not, post the elements or supply a link. It is interest

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Mike Hankey
good article that shows graphically why/how these are not related. http://www.wired.com/geekmom/2013/02/asteroids-and-meteors-same-day/ On Sat, Feb 16, 2013 at 10:11 AM, Chris Peterson wrote: > I'm talking about two different trajectories. Different inclinations, > different semimajor axes, (ve

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Chris Peterson
I'm talking about two different trajectories. Different inclinations, different semimajor axes, (very) different eccentricities, (very) different geocentric velocities. There is no plausible mechanism for ending up with two pieces of the same body in such radically different orbits- it would re

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-16 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
I would think there would be more objects trailing a (small) asteroid, yes. But what forces releases a smaller fragment from an asteroid/meteoroide? Rotation, tension in the rock, gas release underneath? Some of these forces could be strong and send them forwards with some speed. I'm not shure

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-15 Thread Michael Brooks
Bjorne just a quick thought, wouldn't this impact been after the fact given the passage of the NEO 2012DA14 instead of before if the events were related? Sent from my iPhone On Feb 15, 2013, at 11:35 PM, Bjorn Sorheim wrote: > > Two completely different trajectories?? > What the heck are you

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-15 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
Two completely different trajectories?? What the heck are you talking about? They are quite similar. It would not at this point say they are identical. In WHAT way are they _completely different_, elaborate please. And don't be so d** arrogant, for christ sake. I could mention that the foremost c

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-15 Thread Chris Peterson
It is 100% certain that the two bodies are unrelated, given the physical impossibility of a single object producing the two completely different trajectories involved. I'd suggest you study orbital dynamics before making scientifically unsound suggestions. NASA has made no "final verdict". It'

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-15 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
The trajectory through the siberian atmosphere doesn't seem to be known with very great precisison at the time. I am working out from this statement from Jeremie Vaubaillon on the [IMO-News] saying: "the bolide was heading very roughly North-East towards South-West". Looking at the geometry of

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-15 Thread Michael Farmer
Wow. Sent from my iPhone On Feb 15, 2013, at 9:21 PM, Jodie Reynolds wrote: > Hello Bjørn, > > Ok, what _evidence_ do you have to the contrary? > > /DA14's trajectory is trivially established precisely. Show us this > new body matches that trajectory. It either does or it doesn't. You > ar

Re: [meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-15 Thread Jodie Reynolds
Hello Bjørn, Ok, what _evidence_ do you have to the contrary? /DA14's trajectory is trivially established precisely. Show us this new body matches that trajectory. It either does or it doesn't. You are claiming it does, so now you need to present your case. Finger-pointing and innuendo does n

[meteorite-list] Russia mega meteor and asteroid 2012DA14 related, yes I think so...

2013-02-15 Thread Bjorn Sorheim
All the various arguments against it being a connection between the russian meteor of today and the asteroid passage also today of 2012 DA14 are quite shallow and actually faulty. The closest passage of a very large asteroid object ever and the the most damaging (for humans) meteorite fall ev