Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-27 Thread Owen DeLong
Depends.

On some services (L3, etc.), yes, they compete.
That should not be conflated with competing at the L1 service.
MSOs deliver L1 co-ax or HFC.
RLECs deliver copper pairs and/or GPON.
Satellite is it’s own peculiar sets of L1 transport.

None of them compete head-to-head on the same technology on L1.

Owen

On Mar 26, 2014, at 10:11 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:

 And MSOs, wireless carriers, and satellite providers aren't competitors to
 RLECs?
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Owen DeLong [mailto:o...@delong.com] 
 Sent: Monday, March 24, 2014 9:05 PM
 To: Frank Bulk
 Cc: Naslund, Steve; nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 Since a second build-out is impractical (if not actually impossible) and
 they don't
 sell UNEs, they are, in fact, pretty much exempt from direct competition for
 the
 same services.
 
 Owen
 
 On Mar 23, 2014, at 8:20 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:
 
 I think I understand what you're saying -- you believe that RLECs that
 don't
 have to provide UNE's are exempt from competition.  I guess I don't see
 the
 lack of that requirement meaning that there's no competition -- it just
 means that the kind of competition is different.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com] 
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:16 PM
 To: Frank Bulk
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 Many rural LECs are not required to provide unbundled network elements.
 As
 a network provider you can resell their service but they are not required
 to
 provide unbundled elements necessary to compete against them as a
 facilities
 based provider.  So, for example, in Alamo Tennessee or Northern Wisconsin
 you can get a T-1 from a competitive carrier that resells their services
 but
 you cannot get competitive POTS service.  You can buy DSL service from
 anyone but they are reselling the RLECs DSL access services not just
 running
 on their cable pairs.  One of the biggest players that specializes in
 being
 a rural LEC is Frontier Communications.
 
 Yes, there are wireless carriers and satellite providers but especially in
 rural areas they are not a real viable alternative for high speed data
 since
 we know the characteristic of satellite service and WISPs have the same
 density problem in providing service in rural areas.  It is hard for a
 WISP
 to be profitable when you only have a handful of customers per mile.  Same
 formula, low density, long distances, high infrastructure per customer
 cost
 for the WISP.
 
 Steven Naslund
 Chicago IL
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com] 
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:08 PM
 To: Naslund, Steve
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are
 effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition
 because
 it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline
 infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete
 against RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any
 exclusivity.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
 To: Joe Greco
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 snip
 
 In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where
 universal access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are
 exempt
 from competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable
 easily they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a
 chance.  Will your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?
 
 snip
 
 Steven Naslund
 Chicago IL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 




RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-26 Thread Frank Bulk
And MSOs, wireless carriers, and satellite providers aren't competitors to
RLECs?

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Owen DeLong [mailto:o...@delong.com] 
Sent: Monday, March 24, 2014 9:05 PM
To: Frank Bulk
Cc: Naslund, Steve; nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Since a second build-out is impractical (if not actually impossible) and
they don't
sell UNEs, they are, in fact, pretty much exempt from direct competition for
the
same services.

Owen

On Mar 23, 2014, at 8:20 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:

 I think I understand what you're saying -- you believe that RLECs that
don't
 have to provide UNE's are exempt from competition.  I guess I don't see
the
 lack of that requirement meaning that there's no competition -- it just
 means that the kind of competition is different.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com] 
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:16 PM
 To: Frank Bulk
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 Many rural LECs are not required to provide unbundled network elements.
As
 a network provider you can resell their service but they are not required
to
 provide unbundled elements necessary to compete against them as a
facilities
 based provider.  So, for example, in Alamo Tennessee or Northern Wisconsin
 you can get a T-1 from a competitive carrier that resells their services
but
 you cannot get competitive POTS service.  You can buy DSL service from
 anyone but they are reselling the RLECs DSL access services not just
running
 on their cable pairs.  One of the biggest players that specializes in
being
 a rural LEC is Frontier Communications.
 
 Yes, there are wireless carriers and satellite providers but especially in
 rural areas they are not a real viable alternative for high speed data
since
 we know the characteristic of satellite service and WISPs have the same
 density problem in providing service in rural areas.  It is hard for a
WISP
 to be profitable when you only have a handful of customers per mile.  Same
 formula, low density, long distances, high infrastructure per customer
cost
 for the WISP.
 
 Steven Naslund
 Chicago IL
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com] 
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:08 PM
 To: Naslund, Steve
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are
 effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition
because
 it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline
 infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete
 against RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any
 exclusivity.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
 To: Joe Greco
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 snip
 
 In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where
 universal access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are
exempt
 from competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable
 easily they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a
 chance.  Will your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?
 
 snip
 
 Steven Naslund
 Chicago IL
 
 
 
 
 
 






Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-25 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Steve Naslund snasl...@medline.com

 You are right but that is usually how it works with fiber because that
 last drop to the home is a pretty expensive piece that you don't
 usually want installed until it is needed. The LECS usually don't even
 light a building unless there is a service that requires it. I was
 trying to make the point that $700 - 800 per premise as quoted seems
 extremely low to me. The cost of the cable, splices, cases, MPOEs, and
 especially labor make that number unbelievable to me. I am coming at
 this as someone who was in charge of a similar project that connected
 every building on US Air Force bases to a fiber backbone. An Air Force
 base is very similar to a suburb in a lot of respects in terms of
 density and utilities structure. I was responsible for the design,
 pricing, procurement, and contractor management on that project. We
 had 3,000 buildings in approximately a eight square mile area and the
 total project cost was in excess of $12 million dollars which equates
 to something like $4000 per building. Granted we were doing 12 strands
 per building but cable costs have fallen since this project so they
 should be pretty close.

Marine, Aviation, Mil-Spec, Aerospace, Man-Rated:  The five most expensive
adjectives in the English language, in ascending order.

(When I need rule-of-thumb multipliers, I use 5, 10, 20, 400, and 5000, resp.)

For the record, I don't recall whether $800 was all-in -- inclusive of all 
the central building equipment and labor -- or not.  Time to exhume the
thread from the archives.

It was quite informative.

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates   http://www.bcp38.info  2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  BCP38: Ask For It By Name!   +1 727 647 1274



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Mark Tinka
On Monday, March 24, 2014 04:26:11 AM Naslund, Steve wrote:

 If you are going to try to do a fiber build out to the
 home, what would be the monthly cost of just the cable
 if I cannot sell services on it and is anyone will the
 pay the much.  If I have to pay something like say $40 a
 month for a fiber connection, how much is service and
 equipment going to cost on top of that?  If you have the
 choice of being a service provider or an infrastructure
 provider, why would anyone in their right mind want to
 be the infrastructure provider.  The infrastructure guy
 eats the lion share of the capital expense and takes all
 of the risk that someone at the home will continue to
 want the service.  That separated model just does not
 work except in the case of the ILEC which has
 capitalized that network over the last 50 years.

All dark fibre providers I know of, that eventually start 
off as pure dark fibre players, will eventually enter into 
the services game.

Even those that do so cautiously, but only deploying DWDM 
spectrum before to maintain the darkness of the fibre, 
will eventually add yet more serices on top of that.

It's just like how wholesale providers have to, at some 
point, look into enterprise business. You can't just survive 
being an infrastructure-only provider, in the long run.

Mark.


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Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Joe Greco
 The economic reality is that if I build out an expensive infrastructure I 
 have to pile on as many high priced services as possible to order to maximize 
 the revenue from it.  A customer who does not balk at a $200 a  month 
 TV/voice/Internet service is not going to be happy getting a bill of $50 a 
 month for a fiber loop.  The services are what the customer really wants and 
 where you can add bells and whistle with little added expense.  The 
 infrastructure is the expensive part.

That's correct, but it is still the wrong way to try to approach the
problem.  It is simply not practical for N different companies to all
try to build out their own networks; we already had the cable and telco
monopolies each building out communications infrastructure, which in
hindsight seems a little foolish, though it was largely due to the
available technologies at the time.

 BTW, if you think that NRC infrastructure charge would ever go away, you are 
 kidding yourself.  

The N in NRC means non-recurring.

 Here in Illinois, we have been paying for the construction of our tollway in 
 perpetuity.  When it was originally built the state promised to remove the 
 tolls as soon as construction costs were recovered.  We are still waiting and 
 will be forever.

As someone who has worked in the Loop on and off for twenty years, I am 
fully aware of the history and folly of the Illinois trollway.  As an 
out-of-stater, I've watched the way that the tollways have been modified 
over the years to more heavily impact those of us coming from the north 
(Deerfield/Waukegan restructuring), to more heavily impact those paying
cash, etc.  I note that it wasn't all that many years ago that I was 
paying 40c cash at the Waukegan toll; today that same toll is $2.80.


 If you want, you can criticize the model of the free economic that use profit 
 to determine viability but unfortunately someone pays the bill in the end.  
 Whether it is government funded, a grant, or a commercial enterprise, 
 expenses get recovered.  The only difference is that in a free market the 
 customer gets to choose what they pay for.  In any other model, everyone pays 
 whether they like it or not.  I think our communications model had to develop 
 as a managed monopoly otherwise it would not have been the universal solution 
 that it is today.  Now we have to deal with the downside of the monopoly as 
 well.
 

The problem is that if you accept such a fatalistic position as the only
possible way, you end up with Comcast and U-Verse.

Unfortunately it is a fallacy to imagine that this is the only way it can
be.  We've seen last mile infrastructure built by municipalities, for
example.  We know from the historical examples of gas, water, sewer, power,
oh and also telephone and cable that it is perfectly possible to create a
monopoly to deliver basic services.  The entire point, in fact, of my first
post in this thread was to point out that this is in fact what Ma Bell had
promised to deliver as part of the NII, to provide the last mile fiber to
the house, and then to allow competitive access to that network.  They did
want - and in fact got - concessions and other inducements to actually
deliver such a network, by some accounts as much as $200 billion in
incentives, which they promptly kept, but then slowly chipped away at what
they were expected to deliver in return, until they were finally allowed
to just deliver their own services on the infrastructure.

So guess what.  In this case, we actually spent the money to do it already
and in return we got shafted with U-Verse.

... JG
-- 
Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net
We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I
won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN)
With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Tei
On 24 March 2014 10:47, Joe Greco jgr...@ns.sol.net wrote:
 Here in Illinois, we have been paying for the construction of our tollway in 
 perpetuity.  When it was originally built the state promised to remove the 
 tolls as soon as construction costs were recovered.  We are still waiting 
 and will be forever.

 As someone who has worked in the Loop on and off for twenty years, I am
 fully aware of the history and folly of the Illinois trollway.

I heard you guys have been paying taxes for the war against my country
(Spain) since 1898.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_telephone_excise_tax

So yea. Is much easier to create a new tax, than to remove it.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Lamar Owen

On 03/23/2014 11:08 PM, Frank Bulk wrote:

Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.
This is a quagmire;but it boils down to if the FCC says they're exempt, 
then they're exempt and have a 'rural monopoly' (there's a lot of 
caselaw and a number of FCC Report and Orders (and further Report and 
Orders and Notices of Rulemaking and Public Notices and the like) on the 
subject, but it goes back essentially to the definition found in 47 USC 
§ 153(37) of a Rural Telephone Company).


Just being covered by an NECA (National Exchange Carriers Association) 
tariff doesn't automatically grant this, since there is a subsection in 
47 CFR § 61 dealing with Rural CLEC's and their exemptions.  This 
landscape is changing constantly, and it has been quite some time since 
I've traced the threads in the various RO's and PN's from the FCC on 
the subject; it would take probably a full week just to get up to date 
on the current state of things, since it's been five years since I last 
looked at it.


This is one case where you would have to ask a good communications 
attorney to know for sure.





Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Bob Evans b...@fiberinternetcenter.com

 Well, don't forget the labor, taxes, business licenses fees, county
 taxes on chairs, Obama care, accountants and time required.

$ enable
# conf t
(conf)# Obamacare
^ command not understood

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates   http://www.bcp38.info  2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  BCP38: Ask For It By Name!   +1 727 647 1274



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Steve Naslund snasl...@medline.com

 What do you mean by average monthly bill? That is the issue here. The
 average monthly bill includes the services you are getting. In the
 Chicago area a fiber optic access circuit unbundled from the imcumbent
 carrier to a competitive carrier is something like $10 a month or so.
 How could you possibly think you can fund a build out in a new area
 for that price? It may be possible to pay for that over 20 years. The
 problem is that no one goes into business to break even over 20 years.

Well, Steve, happens we had this conversation in some detail last year
when I was up for a City IT director position, and contemplating fibering
12,000 passings.

The magic number is apparently $700-800 per passing, not the $2400 you
seem to suggest...

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates   http://www.bcp38.info  2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  BCP38: Ask For It By Name!   +1 727 647 1274



RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Naslund, Steve
That number will change depending on distance, terrain, and a lot of other 
factors.  I have personally installed a lot of outside plant fiber and $700 can 
turn into $2400 the first time you find a rock or need to add a manhole 
somewhere.  It also depends on distance between customers and their distance 
from a right of way.  Are we talking New York labor or Atlanta labor charges?  
Big difference there.  Did the municipality require conduit?  Some do and it 
becomes much more expensive.  Are you digging up any pavement or direct boring 
it all?

It does not matter much though.  Bottom line is that if you can get a 
residential customer to pay even $700 construction charge very often, I will be 
impressed.

Steve

-Original Message-
From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com] 
Sent: Monday, March 24, 2014 12:25 PM
To: NANOG
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

- Original Message -
 From: Steve Naslund snasl...@medline.com

 What do you mean by average monthly bill? That is the issue here. The 
 average monthly bill includes the services you are getting. In the 
 Chicago area a fiber optic access circuit unbundled from the imcumbent 
 carrier to a competitive carrier is something like $10 a month or so.
 How could you possibly think you can fund a build out in a new area 
 for that price? It may be possible to pay for that over 20 years. The 
 problem is that no one goes into business to break even over 20 years.

Well, Steve, happens we had this conversation in some detail last year when I 
was up for a City IT director position, and contemplating fibering
12,000 passings.

The magic number is apparently $700-800 per passing, not the $2400 you seem to 
suggest...



RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Naslund, Steve
Thinking about this again, let's take Jay at his word that he can make a 
passing for $700-800.  Unfortunately, the ISP or service provider does not 
pay for a passing, they pay for an entry.  After all we can't let them make 
their own entry or we will have everyone and their brother in our splice case.  
We will also have third world aerial spaghetti as they all run their own drop 
cables using God knows who as skilled labor.  I will take my home here in 
residential Chicago as a best case example because the neighborhood is dense.  
All of our utilities here are aerial so there are no underground conduits 
available to you.  I assume to keep costs down you are going to try to use 
what's there and go aerial.  If you are in the suburbs that cable is all 
underground so at a minimum you will need a directional boring machine and put 
in the necessary pedestals and hand holes.  In this county you are required to 
use conduit every time you go under a public street as well.  I digress though, 
let's take the easy case.  

1.  You need to decide how many strands you are going to drop to my home.  You 
could drop a single fiber or pair but then you have to put mux equipment on the 
end of it.  After all I want choice and that might include TV from provider X, 
phone from provider Y, and high speed data from provider Z.

2.  Since you are the sole provider of the physical layer, you now have to roll 
a two man crew with a bucket truck and an experienced splicer.  By the way, 
this is Chicago so we have to have a two man crew at a minimum and they are 
both IBEW union contractors since this city will NEVER hire non-union labor.  
Figure they might have a 20-30 minute drive here is traffic cooperates.  They 
get paid hourly so they don't much care how long it takes but let's say they 
are feeling frisky today and only take about two hours on the job itself plus 
the hour of travel.

3.  Let's assume that the best case exists and the splice case is directly in 
my alley behind my house.  Your crew needs to splice a drop cable in at the 
splice case (you did pay to install the splice cases right?) and run it about 
100 ft to the back of my house and anchor it to my brick home at the prescribed 
height above ground.  You can't get the bucket truck in my yard so they break 
out the extension ladder.  In most case though the splice case will not be that 
close and certainly can't afford to put a case at every home at $700 per 
passing.  So in reality that cable probably runs to the alley and several poles 
down the block, they have to anchor that cable at every poll so Tarzan can't 
use your fiber for fun.

4.  Now that they have the cable at my house you have to place a MPOE (minimum 
point of entry) device on my house.  That box probably costs a couple bucks and 
has to be anchored into brick.

Are we getting closer to that $2,400 per home yet?  What if this is the suburbs 
and you have to direct bury enough cable to reach the pedestal on the corner 
and cross my one acre lot with it?

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL



 
-Original Message-
From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com]
Sent: Monday, March 24, 2014 12:25 PM
To: NANOG
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

- Original Message -
 From: Steve Naslund snasl...@medline.com

 What do you mean by average monthly bill? That is the issue here. The 
 average monthly bill includes the services you are getting. In the 
 Chicago area a fiber optic access circuit unbundled from the 
 imcumbent carrier to a competitive carrier is something like $10 a month or 
 so.
 How could you possibly think you can fund a build out in a new area 
 for that price? It may be possible to pay for that over 20 years. The
 problem is that no one goes into business to break even over 20 years.

Well, Steve, happens we had this conversation in some detail last year when I 
was up for a City IT director position, and contemplating fibering
12,000 passings.

The magic number is apparently $700-800 per passing, not the $2400 you seem to 
suggest...



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Matthew Petach
On Sun, Mar 23, 2014 at 6:59 PM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.comwrote:

 [...]
 The economic reality is that if I build out an expensive infrastructure I
 have to pile on as many high priced services as possible to order to
 maximize the revenue from it.  A customer who does not balk at a $200 a
  month TV/voice/Internet service is not going to be happy getting a bill of
 $50 a month for a fiber loop.  The services are what the customer really
 wants and where you can add bells and whistle with little added expense.
  The infrastructure is the expensive part.


Oh good lord, if anyone could deliver a fiber loop to my property for
$50/month, I would prepay the next 20 years
right now to make it happen.  Heck, I'd pay 10x that for a fiber loop to
the property, if I could have it cross
connected to the ISP of my choice at the far end.

I think you might underestimate what people would be willing to pay for
competitive infrastructure access to their property.

Conversely, I'd be happy to pay $5,000 in NRC installation charges
to get a fiber run to the property, with a correspondingly lower MRC.

Matt


Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Steve Naslund snasl...@medline.com

 Thinking about this again, let's take Jay at his word that he can make
 a passing for $700-800. 

Let's not.

I was quoting vendors who had themselves been quoted by other NANOGers.
Whether those other NANOGers had *paid* that price is unclear, but the
price was assuming a bulk greenfield install.  Whether it included TAs
I don't remember, and would have to look at the archives.

Unfortunately, the ISP or service provider
 does not pay for a passing, they pay for an entry. After all we can't
 let them make their own entry or we will have everyone and their
 brother in our splice case.

They will terminate their equipment in my building, and I will feed 
them cross-connects.

   We will also have third world aerial
 spaghetti as they all run their own drop cables using God knows who as
 skilled labor. 

No, cause the fiber that's in the ground is all that's ever going there,
since it was installed by the city.

You're running with my number, you need to run with *all* the context 
which accompanied it, none of which you inquired about.

 1. You need to decide how many strands you are going to drop to my
 home. You could drop a single fiber or pair but then you have to put
 mux equipment on the end of it. After all I want choice and that might
 include TV from provider X, phone from provider Y, and high speed data
 from provider Z.

I was going to install 3-pair per passing, except in multi-unit res and
business, where the ratio would drop off to about 1.2 or so at 500 
units.

 2. Since you are the sole provider of the physical layer, you now have
 to roll a two man crew with a bucket truck and an experienced splicer.

I do like hell; I have Mongo walk over into the wire room and feed a 
patch cord.  Everything is already wired.

 By the way, this is Chicago so we have to have a two man crew at a
 minimum and they are both IBEW union contractors since this city will
 NEVER hire non-union labor. Figure they might have a 20-30 minute
 drive here is traffic cooperates. They get paid hourly so they don't
 much care how long it takes but let's say they are feeling frisky
 today and only take about two hours on the job itself plus the hour of
 travel.

It's clear that you're making the assumptions for *your* environment,
so I won't leave any more of these in now that I've made my point.

 Are we getting closer to that $2,400 per home yet? What if this is the
 suburbs and you have to direct bury enough cable to reach the pedestal
 on the corner and cross my one acre lot with it?

Probably, but $2400 got nothing to do with *my* environment.

100% passings, 100% MPOE, on a pedestal for empty lots, of which there
aren't many. 

Helps to be aiming at the target before you pull the trigger, Steve.

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates   http://www.bcp38.info  2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  BCP38: Ask For It By Name!   +1 727 647 1274



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Owen DeLong
A natural monopoly exists without force of arms or regulation very easily.

Any place where the market density is insufficient to support the cost of 
multiple providers building out the infrastructure for a given service, a 
natural monopoly exists.

For example, if cities were to simply open up the provision of sewer services* 
to residential areas, you wouldn’t have a bunch of companies choosing to 
suddenly get into the sewer business. Instead, whoever has pipes already in the 
ground will continue to serve customers and no competitor is going to see 
enough market upside to build a second set of pipes out or build a pipe network 
on an ad-hoc basis.

So it also goes with other similar types of services, such as copper pairs 
(telephony/DSL), co-ax (Cable), Fiber (GPON, Active Ethernet, Etc).

Companies have created the illusion of competition by convincing regulators 
that cellular competes with cable competes with copper pair, but in reality, 
the service profiles of those media are so radically different that in most 
areas, any perceived competition is mostly imaginary.

($99 for 50Mbps/10Mbps co-ax does not, IMHO, compete with $50 for 
1.5Mbps/384Kbps DSL, for example)

Very few, if any neighborhoods have copper pairs from more than one phone 
company. You can argue that there are regulations preventing a second phone 
company from deploying, but in reality, even if such regulations were removed, 
there wouldn’t be a second phone company laying copper in most areas. In many 
areas, the regulation is the result of the USF process attempting to get at 
least one phone company to do a subsidized build-out into the area because 
subscriber density was so low that it didn’t even support a natural monopoly, 
let alone competitive
environment.

Even if the incumbents gave up their “right-of-way”, you wouldn’t see enough of 
a market in any but the most densely populated areas to support establishment 
of a competitor and you likely wouldn’t even see initial build-out into most 
locations.

Instead, the part that needs to be heavily regulated, the natural monopoly, the 
last-mile local loop should be provided by an independent operator who does not 
have a conflict of interest with regards to serving all of the providers trying 
to provide higher layer services. An owner of the physical infrastructure that 
is allowed to use that physical infrastructure in anti-competitive ways against 
other higher-layer service providers will do so to the detriment of the 
customers. Prohibiting them from owning the last-mile physical infrastructure 
and, instead, requiring that to be managed by an independent system operator 
who provides equal footing to all comers just makes sense.

Owen

*By sewer services in this context, I mean the actual sewers themselves and the 
waste-removal service that they provide, not services such as 
roto-rooter/rescue-rooter/etc.


On Mar 21, 2014, at 8:45 PM, Eric Wieling ewiel...@nyigc.com wrote:

 
 Make the regulation and force of arms be as targeted as reasonable.   In the 
 case of telecommunications as targeted as reasonable means the last mile 
 or, more correctly, the local loop.I advocate stringent ongoing 
 oversight and regulation of the local loop and very little regulation for the 
 rest of the communications industry. 
 
 If the incumbent telcos want to compete on equal footing in a free market 
 then I invite them to give up their government granted right of ways to run 
 their copper or fiber and compete on a level playing field.  They will never 
 do that and therefore the last mile can never be a free market.   
 
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Larry Sheldon [mailto:larryshel...@cox.net] 
 Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 9:54 PM
 To: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 *too old, failing memory and all, I'll have to go read up on natural 
 monopoly--I can not think of one that does not require regulation and force 
 of arms to exist.
 




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Owen DeLong
Since a second build-out is impractical (if not actually impossible) and they 
don’t
sell UNEs, they are, in fact, pretty much exempt from direct competition for the
same services.

Owen

On Mar 23, 2014, at 8:20 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:

 I think I understand what you're saying -- you believe that RLECs that don't
 have to provide UNE's are exempt from competition.  I guess I don't see the
 lack of that requirement meaning that there's no competition -- it just
 means that the kind of competition is different.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com] 
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:16 PM
 To: Frank Bulk
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 Many rural LECs are not required to provide unbundled network elements.  As
 a network provider you can resell their service but they are not required to
 provide unbundled elements necessary to compete against them as a facilities
 based provider.  So, for example, in Alamo Tennessee or Northern Wisconsin
 you can get a T-1 from a competitive carrier that resells their services but
 you cannot get competitive POTS service.  You can buy DSL service from
 anyone but they are reselling the RLECs DSL access services not just running
 on their cable pairs.  One of the biggest players that specializes in being
 a rural LEC is Frontier Communications.
 
 Yes, there are wireless carriers and satellite providers but especially in
 rural areas they are not a real viable alternative for high speed data since
 we know the characteristic of satellite service and WISPs have the same
 density problem in providing service in rural areas.  It is hard for a WISP
 to be profitable when you only have a handful of customers per mile.  Same
 formula, low density, long distances, high infrastructure per customer cost
 for the WISP.
 
 Steven Naslund
 Chicago IL
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com] 
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:08 PM
 To: Naslund, Steve
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are
 effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition because
 it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline
 infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete
 against RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any
 exclusivity.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
 Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
 To: Joe Greco
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 snip
 
 In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where
 universal access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are exempt
 from competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable
 easily they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a
 chance.  Will your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?
 
 snip
 
 Steven Naslund
 Chicago IL
 
 
 
 
 
 




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Owen DeLong
This assumes installing a single home on demand.

In reality, if you’re going to implement what Jay and I are suggesting, then 
you dig up a neighborhood at a time and drop a bunch of strands of fiber (I’d 
guess 8 or 16 as likely numbers) per household.

Owen

On Mar 24, 2014, at 11:57 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:

 Thinking about this again, let's take Jay at his word that he can make a 
 passing for $700-800.  Unfortunately, the ISP or service provider does not 
 pay for a passing, they pay for an entry.  After all we can't let them make 
 their own entry or we will have everyone and their brother in our splice 
 case.  We will also have third world aerial spaghetti as they all run their 
 own drop cables using God knows who as skilled labor.  I will take my home 
 here in residential Chicago as a best case example because the neighborhood 
 is dense.  All of our utilities here are aerial so there are no underground 
 conduits available to you.  I assume to keep costs down you are going to try 
 to use what's there and go aerial.  If you are in the suburbs that cable is 
 all underground so at a minimum you will need a directional boring machine 
 and put in the necessary pedestals and hand holes.  In this county you are 
 required to use conduit every time you go under a public street as well.  I 
 digress though, let's take the easy case.  
 
 1.  You need to decide how many strands you are going to drop to my home.  
 You could drop a single fiber or pair but then you have to put mux equipment 
 on the end of it.  After all I want choice and that might include TV from 
 provider X, phone from provider Y, and high speed data from provider Z.
 
 2.  Since you are the sole provider of the physical layer, you now have to 
 roll a two man crew with a bucket truck and an experienced splicer.  By the 
 way, this is Chicago so we have to have a two man crew at a minimum and they 
 are both IBEW union contractors since this city will NEVER hire non-union 
 labor.  Figure they might have a 20-30 minute drive here is traffic 
 cooperates.  They get paid hourly so they don't much care how long it takes 
 but let's say they are feeling frisky today and only take about two hours on 
 the job itself plus the hour of travel.
 
 3.  Let's assume that the best case exists and the splice case is directly in 
 my alley behind my house.  Your crew needs to splice a drop cable in at the 
 splice case (you did pay to install the splice cases right?) and run it about 
 100 ft to the back of my house and anchor it to my brick home at the 
 prescribed height above ground.  You can't get the bucket truck in my yard so 
 they break out the extension ladder.  In most case though the splice case 
 will not be that close and certainly can't afford to put a case at every home 
 at $700 per passing.  So in reality that cable probably runs to the alley and 
 several poles down the block, they have to anchor that cable at every poll so 
 Tarzan can't use your fiber for fun.
 
 4.  Now that they have the cable at my house you have to place a MPOE 
 (minimum point of entry) device on my house.  That box probably costs a 
 couple bucks and has to be anchored into brick.
 
 Are we getting closer to that $2,400 per home yet?  What if this is the 
 suburbs and you have to direct bury enough cable to reach the pedestal on the 
 corner and cross my one acre lot with it?
 
 Steven Naslund
 Chicago IL
 
 
 
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com]
 Sent: Monday, March 24, 2014 12:25 PM
 To: NANOG
 Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 - Original Message -
 From: Steve Naslund snasl...@medline.com
 
 What do you mean by average monthly bill? That is the issue here. The 
 average monthly bill includes the services you are getting. In the 
 Chicago area a fiber optic access circuit unbundled from the 
 imcumbent carrier to a competitive carrier is something like $10 a month or 
 so.
 How could you possibly think you can fund a build out in a new area 
 for that price? It may be possible to pay for that over 20 years. The
 problem is that no one goes into business to break even over 20 years.
 
 Well, Steve, happens we had this conversation in some detail last year when 
 I was up for a City IT director position, and contemplating fibering
 12,000 passings.
 
 The magic number is apparently $700-800 per passing, not the $2400 you seem 
 to suggest...
 




RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Naslund, Steve
You are right but that is usually how it works with fiber because that last 
drop to the home is a pretty expensive piece that you don't usually want 
installed until it is needed.  The LECS usually don't even light a building 
unless there is a service that requires it.  I was trying to make the point 
that $700 - 800 per premise as quoted seems extremely low to me.  The cost of 
the cable, splices, cases, MPOEs, and especially labor make that number 
unbelievable to me.  I am coming at this as someone who was in charge of a 
similar project that connected every building on US Air Force bases to a fiber 
backbone.  An Air Force base is very similar to a suburb in a lot of respects 
in terms of density and utilities structure.  I was responsible for the design, 
pricing, procurement, and contractor management on that project.  We had 3,000 
buildings in approximately a eight square mile area and the total project cost 
was in excess of $12 million dollars which equates to something like $4000 per 
building.  Granted we were doing 12 strands per building but cable costs have 
fallen since this project so they should be pretty close.

That project included the backbone and the drops into each building.  Between 
those two, the drops into each building was the biggest challenge for 
underground deployments since no underground conduits were usually available 
and there was a lot of existing infrastructure to be avoided.  I would imagine 
that if it was a new subdivision it would be much easier but in a 50 plus year 
old neighborhood there are tons of unknown obstacles and challenges.

The labor for splicing and cable pulling itself was provided by Air Force cable 
technicians so did not factor into the costs.  The costs were mostly civil 
construction under streets where duct were full and the addition of many 
manholes and handholes because original manholes were not in the right 
positions to support the infrastructure or were decayed from being in ground 
for 50 plus years.  I would say that about half of the money went for civil 
construction of duct infrastructure and the remainder went to cable and various 
hardware items.  Yes, you could go all direct burial but under streets, that is 
a maintenance nightmare that you are going to pay for someday.  The Air Force 
required manholes and conduit under streets to allow for future serviceability 
and it was probably a good move since we did use a lot of pre-existing conduit 
going from copper to fiber.


Steven Naslund

This assumes installing a single home on demand.

In reality, if you're going to implement what Jay and I are suggesting, then 
you dig up a neighborhood at a time and drop a bunch of strands of fiber (I'd 
guess 8 or 16 as likely numbers) per household.

Owen




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-24 Thread Gary Buhrmaster
On Tue, Mar 25, 2014 at 3:56 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:
 You are right but that is usually how it works with fiber because that last 
 drop to the home is a pretty expensive piece that you don't usually want 
 installed until it is needed.  The LECS usually don't even light a building 
 unless there is a service that requires it.  I was trying to make the point 
 that $700 - 800 per premise as quoted seems extremely low to me.

If one believes the estimates from the Google Fibre rollout in Kansas City
(and I suspect they are all wrong, but they probably have the magnitude right)
the cost was (about) $600/premise passed.  As you point out, the passed
part is important, and did not include that last 100 yards of install and
equipment.  But that last 100 yards (and equipment) does not need to be
spent until a subscriber signs on the dotted line.  So the order of magnitude
to pass a premise is roughly consistent between this known example of
a recent build-out, and Jay's numbers, with all the right stars in alignment
(I believe Google Fibre got agreements in advance regarding abbreviated and
expedited zoning and permitting, which would likely have substantially
decreased their costs (having seen how long/expensive that can take, I
can understand why they wanted those agreements in place up front)).

Now, whether a city would want to float a 30 year bond for city fibre, or
for a new ballpark, or a new pier (or do all three and increase taxes by
maybe 10%) and trust that if you build it, they will come is a different
question.



RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Naslund, Steve
 We don't know because the service provider rolls that cost up along 
 with th= e services they sell.  That is my point.  They are able to 
 spread the costs=  out based on the profitable services they sell.

Okay.

 If they were not able to =
 sell us services I am not sure they could afford to provide that 
 infrastruc= ture.

That's a crock.  You can always provide infrastructure without selling 
services on top of it.  It's wire.  Or fiber.  Or whatever.  If you're not 
able to subsidize the infrastructure with services, then what you actually 
get is a less distorted reality where you can actually identify the component 
costs (circuit, services, etc).

Sure you could do that.  I'm not denying that you could.  I am saying good luck 
making money on that or getting that business model funded.

 In fact, having been a service provider I can tell you that I paid t= 
 he LEC about $4 a month for a copper pair to your house to sell DSL 
 service=  at around ten times that cost.  I am sure the LEC was not 
 making money at = the $4 a month and I know I could not fund a build out for 
 that price.


Why would you try to fund a build out on that?

How are you going to get more than that?  I am saying you CAN'T fund a build 
out that way.  That's why a pure infrastructure model is not economically 
viable unless you have exclusivity that forces people to use it.

Why wouldn't you instead charge for the build out as a NRC and then charge for 
maintenance as a MRC?

Because your customer will not pay a NRC for a residential build-out.  I know 
from experience that it is hard to get even business customers to eat a 
reasonable construction cost of a couple thousand dollars.  Try that model 
against an incumbent cable company and see how that works.  Will they be 
willing to pay thousands to be on your fiber network not knowing what the 
service is like until they commit or will they be more likely to go with the 
incumbent cable company with a simple monthly charge.  

In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where universal 
access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are exempt from 
competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable easily 
they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a chance.  Will 
your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?

What you're suggesting reeks of the deliberate cost distortion games that go 
on so often.  My personal favorite is cell phone contracts where the cost of 
the phone is *cough* subsidized by the carrier.  But what's really 
happening is that the customer is paying for the phone over the term of the 
contract, and if the customer doesn't get a different phone at the end of the 
contract, then the carrier ...  lowers their monthly rate accordingly?  No, of 
course not...  they 
keep it as profit.

The carriers do subsidize the cost of phones and often they are free.  You can 
also get your phone upgraded on a schedule that is usually a couple years at 
most, you just have to ask.This is a legacy model to get customers past the 
entry point of phones that might have cost up to $1,000.  Just look at the cost 
of a cell phone without any service attached to it.  It is much greater than 
what you pay when you buy a phone with service.  It is the customer spreading 
the costs out over the life of a contract because more people care more about 
monthly costs than overall cost.  Do you think people want to fund 
communications infrastructure to a home they might move out of in a year or 
two?  By the way, how do you continue to collect the NRC if I do move?   I can 
sell my home tomorrow,  Do I still have to pay for your fiber build?  Can you 
mandate that the grandma that moves in has to pay for it now even if she does 
need high speed services?

It's not a cost distortion game.  What is going on is that the LECs originally 
built their network out with the model of a captive customer that they could 
recover costs from for the life of the infrastructure so a 20 - 30 year payout 
was reasonable.  Unfortunately for the competitive communications provider, the 
capital markets will not fund a model like that and the customer is not captive 
anymore.  Would you bet that any of your customers will be with you 20 -30 
years from now?  Just about every transport level provider of fiber networks 
got in serious financial trouble.  Look at MFS, Global Crossing, Williams, etc. 
 The more successful model is like Level 3 who sold service on top of an 
infrastructure (much of which was bought out from under failed transport only 
providers).  It was hard to make money on the city to city and country to 
country fiber network.  The fiber to the home will be completely unprofitable 
without exclusive access or the ability to sell multiple services on it.

The economic reality is that if I build out an expensive infrastructure I have 
to pile on as many high priced services as possible to order to 

RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Naslund, Steve
 ... In fact, having been a service provider I can tell you  that I 
 paid the LEC about $4 a month for a copper pair to your house to  sell 
 DSL service at around ten times that cost.  I am sure the LEC was not
making money at the $4 a month and I know I could not fund a build out for 
that price.


I take it you have not been a service provider for a while? Thanks to its 
removal from the tariff list, that $4 DSL pair from the ILEC for a third party 
ISP now costs $34... That doesn't include ISP cost.

That price is not what a licensed CLEC pays today for an unbundled pair, that 
is the price of a DSL access loop which includes electronics.  As a CLEC 
providing DSL we had our own terminal equipment collocated,  however the 
increased cost you quote only strengthens the point.  If you are buying a DSL  
transport loop then the ILEC is actually selling a service on the dry loop 
(they are working at least at layer 2).  In the model being discussed they 
would not be able to do that, they would only provide the copper path.  As a 
DSL provider you would have to collocate to keep the distance down.  In a FTTH 
model you would have to at least locate some kind of aggregation equipment near 
the area or the fiber count gets unmanageable.

The company I work for now builds a lot of warehouses nationwide.  Some of them 
in rural areas like Alabama.  If the LEC did not have to provide access to that 
building they wouldn't.  It just would not be profitable for them to install 
that much cable (in some cases miles of it) and equipment just to sell loops to 
competitive carriers.  Picture this:  our average building has maybe four POTS 
lines as backups to several MPLS high speed connections that carry the bulk of 
the voice and data.  The LEC gets to charge for four POTS lines and a couple of 
fiber or copper loops to competitive carriers.  That is just not profitable for 
them.  They only do it because those are the ground rules for an incumbent 
carrier.  As residential POTS lines continue to die off, their model has become 
one of trying to move into the service provider area for video and high speed 
data.  Many of them are also cellular carriers in their own right.  If they 
could not sell these services, the model does not work without drastically 
increasing costs to the CLECs.  This may happen in any case since the 
residential POTS service was the cash cow that funded the entire network they 
have today.  They were able to rely on that monthly revenue with very little 
overhead for over 50 years, it required little maintenance and technology 
upgrades.

If you are going to try to do a fiber build out to the home, what would be the 
monthly cost of just the cable if I cannot sell services on it and is anyone 
will the pay the much.  If I have to pay something like say $40 a month for a 
fiber connection, how much is service and equipment going to cost on top of 
that?  If you have the choice of being a service provider or an infrastructure 
provider, why would anyone in their right mind want to be the infrastructure 
provider.  The infrastructure guy eats the lion share of the capital expense 
and takes all of the risk that someone at the home will continue to want the 
service.  That separated model just does not work except in the case of the 
ILEC which has capitalized that network over the last 50 years.


Steven Naslund
Chicago IL





RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Naslund, Steve
There may not need to be competition in the capitalist sense of the word but 
there needs to be some feedback loop for the consumer of a service to provide 
feedback on their satisfaction with it.  In the case of a government provided 
service people vote at the polls.  With a commercially provided service people 
vote with their money.

Without any recourse for the consumer of a service there is no motivation to 
improve or advance the technology.

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL

-Original Message-
From: Keegan Holley [mailto:no.s...@comcast.net] 
Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 1:08 PM
To: David Miller
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

How come no one ever asks if competition is required?




RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Frank Bulk
Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are
effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition because
it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline
infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete
against RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any
exclusivity.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com] 
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
To: Joe Greco
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

snip

In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where
universal access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are exempt
from competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable
easily they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a
chance.  Will your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?

snip

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL







RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Naslund, Steve
Many rural LECs are not required to provide unbundled network elements.  As a 
network provider you can resell their service but they are not required to 
provide unbundled elements necessary to compete against them as a facilities 
based provider.  So, for example, in Alamo Tennessee or Northern Wisconsin you 
can get a T-1 from a competitive carrier that resells their services but you 
cannot get competitive POTS service.  You can buy DSL service from anyone but 
they are reselling the RLECs DSL access services not just running on their 
cable pairs.  One of the biggest players that specializes in being a rural LEC 
is Frontier Communications.

Yes, there are wireless carriers and satellite providers but especially in 
rural areas they are not a real viable alternative for high speed data since we 
know the characteristic of satellite service and WISPs have the same density 
problem in providing service in rural areas.  It is hard for a WISP to be 
profitable when you only have a handful of customers per mile.  Same formula, 
low density, long distances, high infrastructure per customer cost for the WISP.

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL

-Original Message-
From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com] 
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:08 PM
To: Naslund, Steve
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are 
effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition because 
it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline 
infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete against 
RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any exclusivity.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
To: Joe Greco
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

snip

In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where universal 
access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are exempt from 
competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable easily 
they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a chance.  Will 
your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?

snip

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL







RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Frank Bulk
I think I understand what you're saying -- you believe that RLECs that don't
have to provide UNE's are exempt from competition.  I guess I don't see the
lack of that requirement meaning that there's no competition -- it just
means that the kind of competition is different.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com] 
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:16 PM
To: Frank Bulk
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Many rural LECs are not required to provide unbundled network elements.  As
a network provider you can resell their service but they are not required to
provide unbundled elements necessary to compete against them as a facilities
based provider.  So, for example, in Alamo Tennessee or Northern Wisconsin
you can get a T-1 from a competitive carrier that resells their services but
you cannot get competitive POTS service.  You can buy DSL service from
anyone but they are reselling the RLECs DSL access services not just running
on their cable pairs.  One of the biggest players that specializes in being
a rural LEC is Frontier Communications.

Yes, there are wireless carriers and satellite providers but especially in
rural areas they are not a real viable alternative for high speed data since
we know the characteristic of satellite service and WISPs have the same
density problem in providing service in rural areas.  It is hard for a WISP
to be profitable when you only have a handful of customers per mile.  Same
formula, low density, long distances, high infrastructure per customer cost
for the WISP.

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL

-Original Message-
From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com] 
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:08 PM
To: Naslund, Steve
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are
effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition because
it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline
infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete
against RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any
exclusivity.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
To: Joe Greco
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

snip

In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where
universal access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are exempt
from competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable
easily they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a
chance.  Will your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?

snip

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL









RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Naslund, Steve
Here is the legal definition of an RLEC. 

http://definitions.uslegal.com/r/rural-telephone-company/

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL


-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com] 
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:16 PM
To: Frank Bulk
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Many rural LECs are not required to provide unbundled network elements.  As a 
network provider you can resell their service but they are not required to 
provide unbundled elements necessary to compete against them as a facilities 
based provider.  So, for example, in Alamo Tennessee or Northern Wisconsin you 
can get a T-1 from a competitive carrier that resells their services but you 
cannot get competitive POTS service.  You can buy DSL service from anyone but 
they are reselling the RLECs DSL access services not just running on their 
cable pairs.  One of the biggest players that specializes in being a rural LEC 
is Frontier Communications.

Yes, there are wireless carriers and satellite providers but especially in 
rural areas they are not a real viable alternative for high speed data since we 
know the characteristic of satellite service and WISPs have the same density 
problem in providing service in rural areas.  It is hard for a WISP to be 
profitable when you only have a handful of customers per mile.  Same formula, 
low density, long distances, high infrastructure per customer cost for the WISP.

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL

-Original Message-
From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com] 
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:08 PM
To: Naslund, Steve
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are 
effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition because 
it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline 
infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete against 
RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any exclusivity.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
To: Joe Greco
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

snip

In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where universal 
access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are exempt from 
competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable easily 
they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a chance.  Will 
your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?

snip

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL








RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-23 Thread Naslund, Steve
Correct,  there is competition to them including the local cable company (if 
there is one).  You just cannot get competitive access to their infrastructure. 
 You have to pay at least the full wholesale rate.  That tends to make them the 
most cost effective choice for wireline services like DSL and local T-1s and 
makes it impossible to sell facilities based POTS service in their area.  The 
idea was that they are at a competitive disadvantage because the cost of their 
infrastructure to serve these areas so they deserved some special 
consideration.  If these guys were put in a fully competitive situation that 
made them insolvent, who would step up to provide POTS service to grandma on 
the end of that five mile cable run out to the farm.  That was the thinking 
when the Telecom Act passed.

The RLEC are where a lot of your universal access charges go to help 
subsidize their buildouts.

My point was that there is some regulation in place that recognizes that in 
some areas (actually a lot of the US in terms of square miles) it is just not 
cost effective to provide infrastructure in a fully competitive environment.  
If you think you can make money just selling infrastructure without services, 
it might work in a major metro area but not in these areas.

Steven Naslund

-Original Message-
From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com] 
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:21 PM
To: Naslund, Steve
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

I think I understand what you're saying -- you believe that RLECs that don't 
have to provide UNE's are exempt from competition.  I guess I don't see the 
lack of that requirement meaning that there's no competition -- it just means 
that the kind of competition is different.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:16 PM
To: Frank Bulk
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Many rural LECs are not required to provide unbundled network elements.  As a 
network provider you can resell their service but they are not required to 
provide unbundled elements necessary to compete against them as a facilities 
based provider.  So, for example, in Alamo Tennessee or Northern Wisconsin you 
can get a T-1 from a competitive carrier that resells their services but you 
cannot get competitive POTS service.  You can buy DSL service from anyone but 
they are reselling the RLECs DSL access services not just running on their 
cable pairs.  One of the biggest players that specializes in being a rural LEC 
is Frontier Communications.

Yes, there are wireless carriers and satellite providers but especially in 
rural areas they are not a real viable alternative for high speed data since we 
know the characteristic of satellite service and WISPs have the same density 
problem in providing service in rural areas.  It is hard for a WISP to be 
profitable when you only have a handful of customers per mile.  Same formula, 
low density, long distances, high infrastructure per customer cost for the WISP.

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL

-Original Message-
From: Frank Bulk [mailto:frnk...@iname.com]
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 10:08 PM
To: Naslund, Steve
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

Not sure which rural LECs are exempt from competition.  Some areas are 
effectively exempt from facilities-based (i.e. wireline) competition because 
it's unaffordable, without subsidy, to build a duplicate wireline 
infrastructure.  There are also wireless carriers and WISPs the compete against 
RLECs, as well as satellite providers.  I'm not aware of any exclusivity.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Naslund, Steve [mailto:snasl...@medline.com]
Sent: Sunday, March 23, 2014 9:00 PM
To: Joe Greco
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

snip

In a low density area you can never fund a build out which is where universal 
access charges came from and the reason that rural LECs are exempt from 
competition.  In return for building a network that is not profitable easily 
they get exclusive access to sell services on it to give them a chance.  Will 
your NRC be reasonable anywhere outside a major metro area?

snip

Steven Naslund
Chicago IL









RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread Bryan Socha
There's no monopoly.   Stop your lines with them and they are just fiber
mpls. If they can't get people are changing and not peering with them,
or refusing free ports its their bad. I'll take it up next week.  Tell
me what you all need.

Bryan digitalocean.
PS, were not ipv6 because we had to update for growth.   2 weeks you'll be
happy.
On Mar 21, 2014 11:46 PM, Eric Wieling ewiel...@nyigc.com wrote:


 Make the regulation and force of arms be as targeted as reasonable.   In
 the case of telecommunications as targeted as reasonable means the last
 mile or, more correctly, the local loop.I advocate stringent ongoing
 oversight and regulation of the local loop and very little regulation for
 the rest of the communications industry.

 If the incumbent telcos want to compete on equal footing in a free market
 then I invite them to give up their government granted right of ways to run
 their copper or fiber and compete on a level playing field.  They will
 never do that and therefore the last mile can never be a free market.


 -Original Message-
 From: Larry Sheldon [mailto:larryshel...@cox.net]
 Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 9:54 PM
 To: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

 *too old, failing memory and all, I'll have to go read up on natural
 monopoly--I can not think of one that does not require regulation and
 force of arms to exist.





Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread TGLASSEY

I want to ask you folks something...

How do you as the people operating the network think two exabytes of 
data gets pushed across your networks to each of the PRISM Collection 
Sites (daily) with no one noticing... Know what I mean?


Todd Glassey


On 3/21/2014 6:54 PM, Larry Sheldon wrote:
On 3/21/2014 9:13 AM, Sholes, Joshua wrote: How do you get around the 
problem of natural monopolies, then?


My strongly held belief is that if the natural monopoly* becomes 
oppressive somebody in their garage will find another way, and absent 
regulation and force of arms available to the natural monopoly, 
eliminate the monopoly situation and maybe the natural monopolist.


   Or should
 we be moving to a world where, say, a dozen or more separate 
companies are
 all running fiber or coax on the poles on my street in an effort to 
get to

 my house?

Could be--we have two energy companies at our house.  And two 
communications companies have boxes on the back wall.  Beyond the 
piped-in water service, we have several competing beverage sources 
(including for water) in service.  The house across the street has, it 
appears, at least three companies providing TV service (and Internet 
service?).  Three outfits provide waste disposal service in the 
neighborhood, although I am not bright enough to see a competitor for 
the sewage component.  I wasn't bright enough to see the World Wide 
Web, either.



Nobody uses poles.

 IMHO, the only way to get real competition on the last mile is to 
have the

 actual fiber/wire infrastructure being owned by a neutral party that's
 required to pass anyone's traffic.

As soon as required is in the discussion, we have a monopoly, and a 
monopoly has the power to abuse the situation.


Wire and glass are not the only media available, as if that mattered. 
And we already have duplicates; what is the big deal?


OH!  And the reason why one set of wires is idle, is that provider got 
beat by the completion on the other set.  (For this discussion, 
coaxial cable is a set of wires.)


*too old, failing memory and all, I'll have to go read up on natural 
monopoly--I can not think of one that does not require regulation and 
force of arms to exist.


--
-

Personal Email - Disclaimers Apply




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread Matthew Petach
On Sat, Mar 22, 2014 at 7:18 AM, TGLASSEY tglas...@earthlink.net wrote:

 I want to ask you folks something...

 How do you as the people operating the network think two exabytes of data
 gets pushed across your networks to each of the PRISM Collection Sites
 (daily) with no one noticing... Know what I mean?

 Todd Glassey



I'm sure you're aware there's no such thing as the network.

There are thousands of individual networks, with no high
level correlation happening between them.  It's trivially
easy for an entity wanting to stay somewhat inconspicuous
to buy a few dozen waves from provider A, another bunch
from provider B, another bunch from provider C, etc.
At the end of the day, they've amassed a significant
chunk of bandwidth; but unless the providers all get
together and start comparing customer lists, circuit
locations, delivery dates, etc.  nobody is going to
realize that all the small individual orders add up to
one very big monitoring and collection infrastructure.

Thanks!

Matt

PS--unless my math is off the mark, 2 exabytes a
day works out to less than 200Gbps sustained.
Even allowing for uneven distribution across the
day, a 1Tbps network is almost trivial to build
these days without incurring undue notice from
providers, especially if you split it across 3 or 4
providers.


RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread Frank Bulk
It's my understanding and experience that most gov't jurisdictions will give
CLECs and other telecommunication providers access to the RoW -- generally
speaking it's not exclusive to ILECs or MSOs.  Now the challenge may be
finding room in the existing RoW for another provider, but the challenges
are not typically politically or regulatorily motivated.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Eric Wieling [mailto:ewiel...@nyigc.com] 
Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 10:45 PM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica


Make the regulation and force of arms be as targeted as reasonable.   In the
case of telecommunications as targeted as reasonable means the last mile
or, more correctly, the local loop.I advocate stringent ongoing
oversight and regulation of the local loop and very little regulation for
the rest of the communications industry. 

If the incumbent telcos want to compete on equal footing in a free market
then I invite them to give up their government granted right of ways to run
their copper or fiber and compete on a level playing field.  They will never
do that and therefore the last mile can never be a free market.   


-Original Message-
From: Larry Sheldon [mailto:larryshel...@cox.net] 
Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 9:54 PM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

*too old, failing memory and all, I'll have to go read up on natural
monopoly--I can not think of one that does not require regulation and force
of arms to exist.







Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread Niels Bakker

* snasl...@medline.com (Naslund, Steve) [Fri 21 Mar 2014, 17:00 CET]:

I see no reason why the US model would not work in any market economy.


Why would market economies switch to the US model?  Consumers there 
pay a lot more for much less performance.



-- Niels.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread Randy Bush
 Why would market economies switch to the US model?  Consumers there 
 pay a lot more for much less performance.

stateside consumer internet is a third world country ruled by robber
barons supported by a corrupt government.

skip the politics and hyperbole and judge by the bottom line.  at home
in tokyo, i pay a bit over USD30/mo for real 100/100.

randy



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread Larry Sheldon

On 3/22/2014 12:24 PM, Frank Bulk wrote:

It's my understanding and experience that most gov't jurisdictions will give
CLECs and other telecommunication providers access to the RoW -- generally
speaking it's not exclusive to ILECs or MSOs.  Now the challenge may be
finding room in the existing RoW for another provider, but the challenges
are not typically politically or regulatorily motivated.


IANAL

I agree that the nasty gubbermint (much as I would rather be wrong here) 
has little to do with any of the RoW (Rights of Way) I know anything at 
all (precious little, it is) about.


There are RoW and there are RoW.  And the rules for each are different 
and codified (so far as I know) in the deed.


There are railroad RoW granted in most case as a freebie from the 
gubbermint and over which the owning railroad has absolute control.


There is the RoW around the perimeter of my property which is open it 
appears to me to any utility.  I don't know what all is in it here, 
but at a minimum it is the power company, the telephone company, and 
the cable company.  I know of people whose property has no access to a 
public street and the owners thereof have a RoW across other people's 
property which right grants authority to build and maintain a roadway.


There are power line and pipeline RoW where the owner has full rights to 
the surface as long as access to the facility involved is involved.


Of course there are RoW owned and maintained by a variety of agencies 
for roadways and canals and I suppose they can be a little stuff about 
sharing.




--
Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
of System Administrators:
Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
learn from their mistakes.
  (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-22 Thread Paul WALL
On Sat, Mar 22, 2014 at 10:18 AM, TGLASSEY tglas...@earthlink.net wrote:

 How do you as the people operating the network think two exabytes of data
 gets pushed across your networks to each of the PRISM Collection Sites
 (daily) with no one noticing... Know what I mean?

Wouldn't You Like To Know?

drive slow...
Paul



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Sholes, Joshua
How do you get around the problem of natural monopolies, then?   Or should
we be moving to a world where, say, a dozen or more separate companies are
all running fiber or coax on the poles on my street in an effort to get to
my house?

IMHO, the only way to get real competition on the last mile is to have the
actual fiber/wire infrastructure being owned by a neutral party that's
required to pass anyone's traffic.

-- 
Josh Sholes



On 3/21/14, 12:28 AM, Larry Sheldon larryshel...@cox.net wrote:

On 3/20/2014 10:47 PM, David Miller wrote:
 Unless I am reading the tea leaves wrong competition will require
 regulation.

regulation prevents competition.  That is why people want regulation.

Look at this thread at the people who do not want to be competed-with at
L1, for example.

-- 
Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
 of System Administrators:
Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
 learn from their mistakes.
   (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)





RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Naslund, Steve

How do you get around the problem of natural monopolies, then?   Or should
we be moving to a world where, say, a dozen or more separate companies are 
all running fiber or coax on the poles on my street in an effort to get to my 
house?

We already did it.  The Telecommunications Act allows competitive service 
providers to buy access circuits on the incumbents infrastructure.  There are 
some limitations in that you can't always get competitive access to new 
networks like FIOS (this to allow the incumbent to recoup their costs by 
exclusive access for some period of time).  The access rates are low only when 
the infrastructure is already in the ground.  That is why the new stuff is not 
factored in.


IMHO, the only way to get real competition on the last mile is to have the 
actual fiber/wire infrastructure being owned by a neutral party that's 
required to pass anyone's traffic.

Nice idea, too bad no one can make any money on building infrastructure but not 
selling the services on top of it.  Remember Global Crossing?  You are asking 
one company to put up all the capital expense and then try to recover it by 
allowing access to their infrastructure to anyone at low rates.  Not gonna 
work.  Just on a piece of paper, figure out what it costs to get fiber to your 
neighborhood from the nearest central office and then how much you have to 
charge to pay for that.  If you can get a reasonable price that returns your 
investment within 20 years, I will be impressed.

The other way that is often suggested is that the municipality own the 
backbone.  That might work except they want to tax you and then also nail the 
service providers so they do exclusive deals like you see in cable franchises 
that screw the consumer.

Steven Naslund




On 3/21/14, 12:28 AM, Larry Sheldon larryshel...@cox.net wrote:

On 3/20/2014 10:47 PM, David Miller wrote:
 Unless I am reading the tea leaves wrong competition will require
 regulation.

regulation prevents competition.  That is why people want regulation.

Look at this thread at the people who do not want to be competed-with at
L1, for example.

-- 
Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
 of System Administrators:
Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
 learn from their mistakes.
   (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)






Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Joe Greco
 How do you get around the problem of natural monopolies, then?   Or should
 we be moving to a world where, say, a dozen or more separate companies are
 all running fiber or coax on the poles on my street in an effort to get to
 my house?
 
 IMHO, the only way to get real competition on the last mile is to have the
 actual fiber/wire infrastructure being owned by a neutral party that's
 required to pass anyone's traffic.

Which closely resembles what the original goal of the National Infrastructure
Initiative was, back in the early 1990's.  Fiber to the homes.  86 million
of them by 2006.  The Bells volunteered to do it in exchange for incentives,
which they got, and kept, and then never delivered what was promised.

The best short summary of what happened is probably here:

http://www.newnetworks.com/ShortSCANDALSummary.htm

This boooklet is now maybe ~5-10 years old so it doesn't reflect more 
recent developments.

We *let* the monopolies (er, duopolies in some cases) get away with the
regulatory and legislative manipulation that led to the current outcome,
and the irony that the message I'm responding to was authored by someone
who appears to work for one of those companies would write such a message
is not lost upon me.

... JG
-- 
Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net
We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I
won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN)
With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Sholes, Joshua
http://www.newnetworks.com/ShortSCANDALSummary.htm

This boooklet is now maybe ~5-10 years old so it doesn't reflect more
recent developments.

We *let* the monopolies (er, duopolies in some cases) get away with the
regulatory and legislative manipulation that led to the current outcome,

That's definitely its own set of problems completely outside of where one
stands on any idea in the space or on the regulation vs. competition
debate in general.   Regulation does no good unless it's enforced, and
competition can't exist meaningfully in an environment where unfair
business practices are allowed to exist.

and the irony that the message I'm responding to was authored by someone
who appears to work for one of those companies would write such a message
is not lost upon me.

I'm not wearing that hat right now, and I'm a Linux engineer anyway. =P

--
Josh Sholes




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Mark Tinka
On Friday, March 21, 2014 04:25:09 PM Naslund, Steve wrote:

 Nice idea, too bad no one can make any money on building
 infrastructure but not selling the services on top of
 it.  Remember Global Crossing?  You are asking one
 company to put up all the capital expense and then try
 to recover it by allowing access to their infrastructure
 to anyone at low rates.  Not gonna work.  Just on a
 piece of paper, figure out what it costs to get fiber to
 your neighborhood from the nearest central office and
 then how much you have to charge to pay for that.  If
 you can get a reasonable price that returns your
 investment within 20 years, I will be impressed.

Like I mentioned, some countries Asia-Pac and Africa have 
seen some of their governments deploying this infrastructure 
for the citizens. 

Things go belly-up when the governments sub-contract the 
actual operations of the network. Either they use the same 
old incumbents to run it, or they employ private contractors 
(who are, sometimes, equipment vendors that build the 
network - which means even more sub-contracting).

I've seen such builds focusing on access to the homes, as 
well as core national backbones. I haven't yet seen both 
initiatives at the same time in one country.

Mark.


signature.asc
Description: This is a digitally signed message part.


Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Jim Popovitch
On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 10:25 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:
 Nice idea, too bad no one can make any money on building infrastructure but 
 not selling the services on top of it.  Remember Global Crossing?  You are 
 asking one company to put up all the capital expense and then try to recover 
 it by allowing access to their infrastructure to anyone at low rates.  Not 
 gonna work.  Just on a piece of paper, figure out what it costs to get fiber 
 to your neighborhood from the nearest central office and then how much you 
 have to charge to pay for that.  If you can get a reasonable price that 
 returns your investment within 20 years, I will be impressed.

IIRC, GLBX didn't receive taxpayer funded subsidies, nor municipal
bonds, in order to roll out their infrastructure.

I would gather that a fiber plant, on whole, costs less than the
number of subscribers, multiplied by average monthly bill, and again
by average length of service not to mention 20 years.

-Jim P.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Bob Evans
Well, don't forget the labor, taxes, business licenses fees, county taxes
on chairs,
Obama care, accountants and time required.

Bob Evans
CTO
Bob Evans
CTO
Do you need IPv4 space to lease, space you can use until IPv6 is the
standard?





 On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 10:25 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com
 wrote:
 Nice idea, too bad no one can make any money on building infrastructure
 but not selling the services on top of it.  Remember Global Crossing?
 You are asking one company to put up all the capital expense and then
 try to recover it by allowing access to their infrastructure to anyone
 at low rates.  Not gonna work.  Just on a piece of paper, figure out
 what it costs to get fiber to your neighborhood from the nearest central
 office and then how much you have to charge to pay for that.  If you can
 get a reasonable price that returns your investment within 20 years, I
 will be impressed.

 IIRC, GLBX didn't receive taxpayer funded subsidies, nor municipal
 bonds, in order to roll out their infrastructure.

 I would gather that a fiber plant, on whole, costs less than the
 number of subscribers, multiplied by average monthly bill, and again
 by average length of service not to mention 20 years.

 -Jim P.







Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Wayne E Bouchard
On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 02:30:45PM +, Sholes, Joshua wrote:
 http://www.newnetworks.com/ShortSCANDALSummary.htm
 
 This boooklet is now maybe ~5-10 years old so it doesn't reflect more
 recent developments.
 
 We *let* the monopolies (er, duopolies in some cases) get away with the
 regulatory and legislative manipulation that led to the current outcome,
 
 That's definitely its own set of problems completely outside of where one
 stands on any idea in the space or on the regulation vs. competition
 debate in general.   Regulation does no good unless it's enforced, and
 competition can't exist meaningfully in an environment where unfair
 business practices are allowed to exist.

Which are both permitted and perpetuated in large part by the
regulatory environment we are made to operate under. Monopolies
usually require some sort of government support in order to survive.
Don't forget that it is the old companies (regardless of their current
name) making life difficult for the content carriers. They don't want
to adapt so they are lobbying to enact policies which make it easier
for them to sit there and be stagnant dinosaurs while the rest of the
world moves on. It's the same thing the record companies are doing on
with a different flavor.

-Wayne

---
Wayne Bouchard
w...@typo.org
Network Dude
http://www.typo.org/~web/



RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Naslund, Steve
What do you mean by average monthly bill?  That is the issue here.  The average 
monthly bill includes the services you are getting.  In the Chicago area a 
fiber optic access circuit unbundled from the imcumbent carrier to a 
competitive carrier is something like $10 a month or so.  How could you 
possibly think you can fund a build out in a new area for that price?  It may 
be possible to pay for that over 20 years.  The problem is that no one goes 
into business to break even over 20 years.  Would you fund my business model if 
I told you I needed hundreds of millions of dollars in capital expense and I 
might show you a profit in 20 years?

How much are you willing to have added to your cable and Internet service bills 
for the access component of the service?

Now think of this.  I am the guy who owns all of the layer 1 in your area.  
What if I go out of business?  What if I overcharge you?  What if I charge $100 
a month to access the infrastructure?  Who fixes that.  The government 
regulations. 

I think this business model existed before.  It was called the Bell System and 
the only way they could pay for it was to charge you high rates for services.

Steven Naslund



-Original Message-
From: Jim Popovitch [mailto:jim...@gmail.com] 
Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 10:15 AM
To: Naslund, Steve
Cc: Sholes, Joshua; Larry Sheldon; nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 10:25 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:
 Nice idea, too bad no one can make any money on building infrastructure but 
 not selling the services on top of it.  Remember Global Crossing?  You are 
 asking one company to put up all the capital expense and then try to recover 
 it by allowing access to their infrastructure to anyone at low rates.  Not 
 gonna work.  Just on a piece of paper, figure out what it costs to get fiber 
 to your neighborhood from the nearest central office and then how much you 
 have to charge to pay for that.  If you can get a reasonable price that 
 returns your investment within 20 years, I will be impressed.

IIRC, GLBX didn't receive taxpayer funded subsidies, nor municipal bonds, in 
order to roll out their infrastructure.

I would gather that a fiber plant, on whole, costs less than the number of 
subscribers, multiplied by average monthly bill, and again by average length of 
service not to mention 20 years.

-Jim P.



RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Naslund, Steve
Well, we were originally talking about regulation in the US as discussed by 
Level 3 in the subject article, but we can get into the international space if 
you like.

So, as far as the government or Wall Street funding the build out of the 
commercial Internet, that is not what happened.

I was there in the beginning selling dial-up service, dedicated data circuits, 
and finally DSL.  Wall Street got into the game very late.  We built our 
company into a $30 million operation before they cared to notice.  The 
government, while they did the initial research that created the Internet, did 
not help us and was in fact a huge hinderance to progress until the 
Telecommunications Act where they attempted to deal with us upstarts trying to 
upset the status quo.  Why people think the government was instrumental in the 
commercial Internet is beyond me.  I think some politicians might want you to 
think so.

I see no reason why the US model would not work in any market economy.  It is a 
simple matter of supply and demand.  If your economy cannot afford the 
infrastructure or the people have no money to pay for services, you are going 
to have a problem.  There is a huge problem in that people think GOVERNMENT 
FUNDED=FREE,  it does not and in most cases is more expensive than the 
commercial alternatives since there is no motivation to be efficient.

In that case a hybrid approach like I used in helping schools in the 
Philippines will work better.  We used government funding and private grants to 
provide high speed internet to rural schools and we did it by buying commercial 
available wireless and cable services.  This helps the people and also helps 
grow the communications industry there.  The government does nothing but pay 
the bills (and they rarely even do that right).

Steven Naslund

-Original Message-
From: Mark Tinka [mailto:mark.ti...@seacom.mu] 
Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 10:01 AM
To: Naslund, Steve
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

On Friday, March 21, 2014 04:46:13 PM Naslund, Steve wrote:

 First question to ask yourself is who is paying for it. 
 The governments don't do things out of the kindness of their hearts.  
 They will want to be paid for it.
 Control means power and people in power want to get paid.

No one is denying that.

If I have the opportunity for my taxes to do real work like build a national 
optical backbone, instead of lining some guy's pockets, I'm fine with that.

 Who else would run the network?  Do we think the government can or 
 should be operating communications networks?  Do you want the 
 government controlling what content you get or producing that content?  
 I think not.
  Look at the wonderful job they are doing maintaining our 
 transportation infrastructure.

My point was the governments do not know how to seek information on how best to 
sub-contract running of the network.

I certainly don't want the government running my network. 
Heck, they barely know how to use the lift in their building.

But what we need is a more transparent process on choosing the right person 
(and model) to operate the network. In most deployments, this has been the 
weakest link.

 That is because we don't need a government initiative to do that.  
 Most people in the US have access to broadband networks today because 
 they wanted it and they were willing to pay someone for it.  That is 
 called a business initiative and it is much more efficient than any 
 government initiative.

Right, but that is the U.S. (which is why I specifically mentioned Asia-Pac and 
Africa).

Other countries with smaller economies have realized that the quickest way to 
close the digital gap is, perhaps for better or worse, have the government 
fund the projects (in part or whole).

Malaysia and Singapore have been relatively successful in this. Australia is 
still wanting, and Tanzania is not something I'd say was done well but works 
for the most part. 
But the use-cases are there, at the very least, for learning.

 As far as core national backbones the government has built several 
 over the years including the ARPANET, Defense Data Network, NSFnet, 
 etc.  None of those really helped the consumer except as models for 
 the public networks.  Our service providers have built global 
 backbones that are more resilient and outrun all of those networks 
 because market forces had them do it.  I needed an MPLS circuit from 
 my backbone to Shanghai China recently and I could get that from 
 several service providers at reasonable rates.
 
 We did get two initiatives to build out access to the home as well as 
 the national backbone.  It is called the Internet.  Backbone speeds 
 increased at the same time access to the home went from dial up to DSL 
 to cable to FTTH.  What's the problem here.

Again, you're looking at it from where the U.S. came from, which, for all 
intents and purposes, is where the Internet started. Great! But that does not 
help other economies

Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Jim Popovitch
On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 11:48 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:
 What do you mean by average monthly bill?

What is the average monthly (non-subsidized) access cost that your
friends and family pay each month?

-Jim P.



RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Naslund, Steve
We don't know because the service provider rolls that cost up along with the 
services they sell.  That is my point.  They are able to spread the costs out 
based on the profitable services they sell.  If they were not able to sell us 
services I am not sure they could afford to provide that infrastructure.  In 
fact, having been a service provider I can tell you that I paid the LEC about 
$4 a month for a copper pair to your house to sell DSL service at around ten 
times that cost.  I am sure the LEC was not making money at the $4 a month and 
I know I could not fund a build out for that price.

Steven Naslund

-Original Message-
From: Jim Popovitch [mailto:jim...@gmail.com] 
Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 11:07 AM
To: Naslund, Steve
Cc: Sholes, Joshua; Larry Sheldon; nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 11:48 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:
 What do you mean by average monthly bill?

What is the average monthly (non-subsidized) access cost that your friends and 
family pay each month?

-Jim P.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Mark Tinka
On Friday, March 21, 2014 05:59:54 PM Naslund, Steve wrote:

 So, as far as the government or Wall Street funding the
 build out of the commercial Internet, that is not what
 happened.

Lots of terrestrial and submarine optical fibre was built in 
the late 90's, and much of it has either gone unused until 
now, or saw lots of MA's as a result of the bust that left 
hundreds-of-millions of dollars in investment with just a 
few cents on the dollar, over night.

Many of those cable systems go by other names you may know 
today.

The Internet isn't one thing.

 I see no reason why the US model would not work in any
 market economy.  It is a simple matter of supply and
 demand.  If your economy cannot afford the
 infrastructure or the people have no money to pay for
 services, you are going to have a problem.  There is a
 huge problem in that people think GOVERNMENT
 FUNDED=FREE,  it does not and in most cases is more
 expensive than the commercial alternatives since there
 is no motivation to be efficient.

No one said they wanted anything free. Everyone knows free 
Internet only exists at Starbucks and your next Internet 
communit conference - and even that is not always reliable.

In Africa and parts of Asia, supply and demand is equally 
rife. In fact, in some cases, supply outstrips demand. We 
could get into a lot of reasons why supply won't reach out 
to demand, but I'd be digressing.

Suffice it to say, while over-supply may be present, it's in 
the hands of the few who all concert (mostly unknowingly) to 
keep prices high. As you know, no one will invest in 
something for a 20-year return. But by the same token, fibre 
lives for a long while; trying to recoup your investment in 
six months is not going to help anyone (except open up 
competition against you, the one who probably went in 
first).

The need for neutral infrastructure which is reasonably 
and well commercially run is likely a solution to better 
pricing with professional quality, or the knife that butters 
the price decline wheat.

 In that case a hybrid approach like I used in helping
 schools in the Philippines will work better.  We used
 government funding and private grants to provide high
 speed internet to rural schools and we did it by buying
 commercial available wireless and cable services.  This
 helps the people and also helps grow the communications
 industry there.  The government does nothing but pay the
 bills (and they rarely even do that right).

And I do agree that a hybrid approach with a neutral fibre 
backbone is what is lacking with these national projects.

The governments building these backbones know little about 
how the Internet really works (which includes DNS, ICANN, 
and that free things don't work :-). What is needed is clue 
going into these projects that help turn the national 
project into a well-run, commercial businesses that looks 
after itself, but also fufills the goal of ubiquitous 
connectivity.

The hurdle isn't running the network. The hurdle is getting 
the fibre into the ground - and that is a monumentous 
hurdle. Running the network is where it all falls apart if 
unchecked.

Mark.


signature.asc
Description: This is a digitally signed message part.


Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Keegan Holley

On Mar 21, 2014, at 12:13 PM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:

 We don't know because the service provider rolls that cost up along with the 
 services they sell.  That is my point.  They are able to spread the costs out 
 based on the profitable services they sell.  If they were not able to sell us 
 services I am not sure they could afford to provide that infrastructure.

Monthly fees do much more than finance the cost of infrastructure.  Most large 
providers take a significant margin.  It’s all about how these services are 
perceived.  The preservation of this margin is the number one reason why 
internet access isn’t considered a utility or a basic right today.  It also 
allows prices to increase unchecked, based on nothing other than the goals of 
specific companies. 

There are many places where infrastructure is subsidized and controlled by the 
government.  To them some things are more important than the need to make 
markets.  They just trust that the overall benefit to society is worth 
modifying the market.

  In fact, having been a service provider I can tell you that I paid the LEC 
 about $4 a month for a copper pair to your house to sell DSL service at 
 around ten times that cost.  I am sure the LEC was not making money at the $4 
 a month and I know I could not fund a build out for that price.

Being a LEC is more profitable than anything else because they control the 
prices.  If you found an iLEC that charged $4 for something worth $40 that 
doesn’t mean being a LEC isn’t profitable.  After the long-distance carriers 
were forced to divest from local the LEC’s grew and quickly bought them.  It’s 
more profitable to be a LEC than to resell their services.  The only large 
carriers left are former LEC’s AKA baby bells.
 

 -Original Message-
 From: Jim Popovitch [mailto:jim...@gmail.com] 
 Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 11:07 AM
 To: Naslund, Steve
 Cc: Sholes, Joshua; Larry Sheldon; nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica
 
 On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 11:48 AM, Naslund, Steve snasl...@medline.com wrote:
 What do you mean by average monthly bill?
 
 What is the average monthly (non-subsidized) access cost that your friends 
 and family pay each month?
 
 -Jim P.
 




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Keegan Holley
How come no one ever asks if competition is required?

On Mar 20, 2014, at 11:47 PM, David Miller dmil...@tiggee.com wrote:

 Unless I am reading the tea leaves wrong competition will require 
 regulation.
 
 
 
  Original message 
 From: Mike. the.li...@mgm51.com 
 Date: 03/20/2014  21:56  (GMT-05:00) 
 To: nanog@nanog.org 
 Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on 
 
  Technica 
 
 On 3/20/2014 at 4:17 PM Bryan Fields wrote:
 
 |On 3/20/14, 12:34 PM, Blake Hudson wrote:
 | The solution seems to be competition or regulation.
 |I'd prefer competition to regulation.  
 =
 
 If real and true competition exists, yes.
 
 
 
 




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Adrian
On Friday 21 March 2014 09:13:28 Naslund, Steve wrote:
 ... In fact, having been a service provider I can tell you
  that I paid the LEC about $4 a month for a copper pair to your house to
  sell DSL service at around ten times that cost.  I am sure the LEC was not 
making money at the $4 a month and I know I could not fund a build out for 
that price.


I take it you have not been a service provider for a while? Thanks to its 
removal from the tariff list, that $4 DSL pair from the ILEC for a third party 
ISP now costs $34... That doesn't include ISP cost.


Adrian




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Jared Mauch

On Mar 21, 2014, at 2:08 PM, Keegan Holley no.s...@comcast.net wrote:

 How come no one ever asks if competition is required?

I think the issue here is there is competition, but those you are seen as 
competing with are in a different strata providing the same service.

eg: Cellular data competes with DSL/DOCSIS/FTT*

Now, due to speed, caps, etc.. it may not be a fair comparison, but this 
isn't about fair, it's about is there competition in the market.  I know many 
folks that live outside the wired high-speed boundaries and things are not 
getting any better there.  Most use some hotspot or similar for their home 
connectivity.

Is there a market for high speed there?  certainly, but it's being filled by 
other technology.  

There are many folks that work around these issues with other solutions, 
including satellite, fixed wireless and/or microwave or even localized fiber 
build-outs.  Look at the RUS/NTIA/BTOP focus, it was on getting the anchor 
institutions well connected to provide a sense of community.  The challenge is 
not everyone is equally equipped.  Merit (in my area) has fiber close to me, 
but they don't offer services to anyone but existing members and have no 
consumer offerings.

Market segmentation happens for a variety of reasons, sometimes economic, 
sometimes complete differences in ROI models.

Nobody can afford to run universal fiber everywhere as a greenfield build, but 
there are localized markets where it can make sense.  Certainly it can make 
sense to connect some islands to each other via some other technology.  Taking 
list prices from providers webpages, what cogent used to list $4/meg, so that 
means (assuming everything is perfect) offering 10Mb/s service at a home could 
possibly cost $40/mo for a provider, not counting capital costs and other 
elements (support, customer acquisition costs, bad debt, etc).

I'm sure folks can build networks for low cost, you can get a 1G 
active-ethernet NID for sub-$150 with optics, but you still need to aggregate 
and account for it somewhere.

- Jared


Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Joe Greco
 We don't know because the service provider rolls that cost up along with th=
 e services they sell.  That is my point.  They are able to spread the costs=
  out based on the profitable services they sell. 

Okay.

 If they were not able to =
 sell us services I am not sure they could afford to provide that infrastruc=
 ture. 

That's a crock.  You can always provide infrastructure without selling
services on top of it.  It's wire.  Or fiber.  Or whatever.  If you're
not able to subsidize the infrastructure with services, then what you
actually get is a less distorted reality where you can actually identify
the component costs (circuit, services, etc).

 In fact, having been a service provider I can tell you that I paid t=
 he LEC about $4 a month for a copper pair to your house to sell DSL service=
  at around ten times that cost.  I am sure the LEC was not making money at =
 the $4 a month and I know I could not fund a build out for that price.


Why would you try to fund a build out on that?

Why wouldn't you instead charge for the build out as a NRC and then charge 
for maintenance as a MRC?

What you're suggesting reeks of the deliberate cost distortion games that
go on so often.  My personal favorite is cell phone contracts where the
cost of the phone is *cough* subsidized by the carrier.  But what's
really happening is that the customer is paying for the phone over the
term of the contract, and if the customer doesn't get a different phone
at the end of the contract, then the carrier ...  lowers their monthly
rate accordingly?  No, of course not...  they keep it as profit.

... JG
-- 
Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net
We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I
won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN)
With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Jared Mauch

On Mar 21, 2014, at 11:01 AM, Joe Greco jgr...@ns.sol.net wrote:

 Why wouldn't you instead charge for the build out as a NRC and then charge 
 for maintenance as a MRC?

I for one would be willing to bear a high NRC start-up cost for someone 
building fiber to my home.  Not everyone would make that tradeoff.  I know 
people who trade between the two local DSL/DOCSIS incumbents every year because 
it's $5 cheaper/mo to get the next 12-month deal as a switcher.  While their 
time may not be worth ($5*12)/hour to account for this minimal switching cost, 
it's certainly a real economic cost if you're waiting for a 4 hour window for a 
tech to show-up and do an install.

aside:

I recently got natural gas at my home, the install cost was something like $2k, 
the utility had an option, pay an extra $27/mo for however many months, or pay 
the $2k up-front.  Some folks can't absorb a cost like that, others can.  I've 
heard from FTTH providers their install cost is in that same ballpark.  Really 
wish they would have been able to pull fiber at the same time as the HDPE.  The 
fact that it was a contractor as well certainly means they could run a 
side-business building their own fiber using the other utility as the main 
seed-money and have a wholesale fiber network for cheap.

- Jared


Re: competition (was: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica)

2014-03-21 Thread Keegan Holley

On Mar 21, 2014, at 2:21 PM, Jared Mauch ja...@puck.nether.net wrote:

 
 On Mar 21, 2014, at 2:08 PM, Keegan Holley no.s...@comcast.net wrote:
 
 How come no one ever asks if competition is required?
 
 I think the issue here is there is competition, but those you are seen as 
 competing with are in a different strata providing the same service.

My question is competition and the market the goal at all?
 
 eg: Cellular data competes with DSL/DOCSIS/FTT*
 
 Now, due to speed, caps, etc.. it may not be a fair comparison, but this 
 isn't about fair, it's about is there competition in the market.  I know 
 many folks that live outside the wired high-speed boundaries and things are 
 not getting any better there.  Most use some hotspot or similar for their 
 home connectivity.
 
 Is there a market for high speed there?  certainly, but it's being filled by 
 other technology.  

Again why is the market so important?  The inhabitants of this list operate 
(some help develop) the most complex system created by our species to date.  It 
is one of the few truly global systems and brought with it a new era in human 
development.  We now have more information at our fingertips than at any point 
in history.  What do we argue about?  How to profit from it?  I’m not saying 
that profit is bad. I’m arrogant but not arrogant enough to think I can answer 
such a question.  It just fascinates me that no one questions it.

If an area isn’t considered not to be profitable it’s just fine that the 
internet doesn’t stretch there.  We don’t even have a definition of what 
profitable means.  It’s completely up to the ISP’s.  Still, businesses in that 
area are limited, children don’t do as well in school and in turn don’t have as 
much opportunity.  All of this happens, unquestioned in the name of profits.

 
 There are many folks that work around these issues with other solutions, 
 including satellite, fixed wireless and/or microwave or even localized fiber 
 build-outs.  Look at the RUS/NTIA/BTOP focus, it was on getting the anchor 
 institutions well connected to provide a sense of community.  The challenge 
 is not everyone is equally equipped.  Merit (in my area) has fiber close to 
 me, but they don't offer services to anyone but existing members and have no 
 consumer offerings.
 
 Market segmentation happens for a variety of reasons, sometimes economic, 
 sometimes complete differences in ROI models.

Market segmentation doesn’t happen as much as market consolidation.  There are 
now three (with a 4th that is close) major carriers in the US with enough 
market share to compete with each other.  There isn’t much segmentation because 
segmentation isn’t as profitable.

 
 Nobody can afford to run universal fiber everywhere as a greenfield build, 
 but there are localized markets where it can make sense.  

That’s totally untrue.  What is affordable to a multi-billion dollar ISP 
anyway?  Are you saying they’d go bankrupt if they ran fiber everywhere?  No, 
it’s just that the infrastructure isn’t profitable in the short term.  There’s 
a reason why energy companies can’t make the same decision.

 Certainly it can make sense to connect some islands to each other via some 
 other technology.  Taking list prices from providers webpages, what cogent 
 used to list $4/meg, so that means (assuming everything is perfect) offering 
 10Mb/s service at a home could possibly cost $40/mo for a provider, not 
 counting capital costs and other elements (support, customer acquisition 
 costs, bad debt, etc).
 
 I'm sure folks can build networks for low cost, you can get a 1G 
 active-ethernet NID for sub-$150 with optics, but you still need to aggregate 
 and account for it somewhere.

Again why does everything have to move at the speed of profit?  At least here 
in the US anything that could remotely benefit society is always first shot 
through the prism of profit and the so-called free market.  Is a market with 
three major players and a 9-figure entry cost really free though?


 
 - Jared




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Owen DeLong

On Mar 21, 2014, at 12:13 , Jared Mauch ja...@puck.nether.net wrote:

 
 On Mar 21, 2014, at 11:01 AM, Joe Greco jgr...@ns.sol.net wrote:
 
 Why wouldn't you instead charge for the build out as a NRC and then charge 
 for maintenance as a MRC?
 
 I for one would be willing to bear a high NRC start-up cost for someone 
 building fiber to my home.  Not everyone would make that tradeoff.  I know 
 people who trade between the two local DSL/DOCSIS incumbents every year 
 because it's $5 cheaper/mo to get the next 12-month deal as a switcher.  
 While their time may not be worth ($5*12)/hour to account for this minimal 
 switching cost, it's certainly a real economic cost if you're waiting for a 4 
 hour window for a tech to show-up and do an install.
 
 aside:
 
 I recently got natural gas at my home, the install cost was something like 
 $2k, the utility had an option, pay an extra $27/mo for however many months, 
 or pay the $2k up-front.  Some folks can't absorb a cost like that, others 
 can.  I've heard from FTTH providers their install cost is in that same 
 ballpark.  Really wish they would have been able to pull fiber at the same 
 time as the HDPE.  The fact that it was a contractor as well certainly means 
 they could run a side-business building their own fiber using the other 
 utility as the main seed-money and have a wholesale fiber network for cheap.
 
 - Jared

Which is why, in many cases, the most plausible solution is something like muni 
fiber where the infrastructure is rolled out as many initial public utility 
builds with tax dollars and/or government bonds, then operated on a 
cost-recovery basis where the costs considered include both operating and 
bond-repayment. All L2+ service providers are given equal pricing and access to 
any subscribers that choose to sign up.

Nothing wrong with $27/month for 'however many months' so long as 'however many 
months' doesn't exceed about 9 years (108 months = 2,916, which I believe 
approximates reasonable interest for the period in question). If it's $27/month 
in perpetuity, however, then that's as disingenuous as cellular rates that 
include phones and is the kind of pricing distortion that people are 
complaining about.

Owen




Re: competition (was: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica)

2014-03-21 Thread William Herrin
On Fri, Mar 21, 2014 at 3:21 PM, Keegan Holley no.s...@comcast.net wrote:
 Again why is the market so important?  It just fascinates me
 that no one questions it.

Howdy,

The impact of competition was extensively questioned and researched
with respect to U.S. Government contracting rules in the early '80s.
This led to the Competition in Contracting Act of 1984. Since then
there's been the routine grumble about the lowest quality bidder and
the periodic scandal involving a no-bid contract but no serious
question about whether competition reduces cost and improves options.
Unless the data starts to suggest otherwise, it's basically a settled
matter.

No one questions that the sky is blue either and few bother to learn why.

Regards.
Bill Herrin


-- 
William D. Herrin  her...@dirtside.com  b...@herrin.us
3005 Crane Dr. .. Web: http://bill.herrin.us/
Falls Church, VA 22042-3004



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Joe Greco
 On Mar 21, 2014, at 11:01 AM, Joe Greco jgr...@ns.sol.net wrote:
  Why wouldn't you instead charge for the build out as a NRC and then =
 charge=20
  for maintenance as a MRC?
 
 I for one would be willing to bear a high NRC start-up cost for someone =
 building fiber to my home.  Not everyone would make that tradeoff.  

I was discussing the cost that the service provider had to pay in the
context of a $4/mo copper pair for rental of a copper pair that the
ILEC almost certainly did not need to install.  I do not see why the
cost for build out needs to be included in the actual monthly cost an
ILEC needs to charge.

I think that utilities have a long history of proving that the cost
for build out can be successfully charged to the property owner in
several ways as you note.  I don't see it as being an insurmountable
problem to find some way for an intermediate service provider to
deal with this if needed.

... JG
-- 
Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net
We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I
won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN)
With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Jared Mauch

On Mar 21, 2014, at 12:22 PM, Joe Greco jgr...@ns.sol.net wrote:

 On Mar 21, 2014, at 11:01 AM, Joe Greco jgr...@ns.sol.net wrote:
 Why wouldn't you instead charge for the build out as a NRC and then =
 charge=20
 for maintenance as a MRC?
 
 I for one would be willing to bear a high NRC start-up cost for someone =
 building fiber to my home.  Not everyone would make that tradeoff.  
 
 I was discussing the cost that the service provider had to pay in the
 context of a $4/mo copper pair for rental of a copper pair that the
 ILEC almost certainly did not need to install.  I do not see why the
 cost for build out needs to be included in the actual monthly cost an
 ILEC needs to charge.
 
 I think that utilities have a long history of proving that the cost
 for build out can be successfully charged to the property owner in
 several ways as you note.  I don't see it as being an insurmountable
 problem to find some way for an intermediate service provider to
 deal with this if needed.

Sure, but for POTS this installation NRC was regulated for residential (at 
least last time I ordered a POTS line for a home, which was )

The cost of the OM on the switch and OSP is likely less than what I pay them.  
The history was they were allowed to show costs and add on a margin and rate 
increases would be approved.  I don't want to know what their costs are after 
ice storms...

Here in Michigan there was a recent law passed to allow ending of service in 
areas starting January 2017.

http://www.legislature.mi.gov/%28S%28la3cxz45kfy2bs55wvsiqy55%29%29/mileg.aspx?page=GetObjectobjectname=2013-SB-0636

- Jared


Re: competition (was: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica)

2014-03-21 Thread Wayne E Bouchard
 The impact of competition was extensively questioned and researched
 with respect to U.S. Government contracting rules in the early '80s.
 This led to the Competition in Contracting Act of 1984. Since then
 there's been the routine grumble about the lowest quality bidder and
 the periodic scandal involving a no-bid contract but no serious
 question about whether competition reduces cost and improves options.
 Unless the data starts to suggest otherwise, it's basically a settled
 matter.

And that, of course, is that the government doesn't have to care about
profit and loss nor quality of workmanship. If they don't like it,
they just throw more money at it. A private entity, on the other hand,
may cease to be a going concern if they don't weigh carefully who does
work for them and how it is done. They also learn very quickly that
lowest cost is not necessarily lowest cost because of the problem of
compensating for shoddy work. Government doesn't have to learn this
lesson, especially when palms are getting greased and spoils are being
distributed.

-Wayne

---
Wayne Bouchard
w...@typo.org
Network Dude
http://www.typo.org/~web/



Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Larry Sheldon
On 3/21/2014 9:13 AM, Sholes, Joshua wrote: How do you get around the 
problem of natural monopolies, then?


My strongly held belief is that if the natural monopoly* becomes 
oppressive somebody in their garage will find another way, and absent 
regulation and force of arms available to the natural monopoly, 
eliminate the monopoly situation and maybe the natural monopolist.


   Or should
 we be moving to a world where, say, a dozen or more separate 
companies are
 all running fiber or coax on the poles on my street in an effort to 
get to

 my house?

Could be--we have two energy companies at our house.  And two 
communications companies have boxes on the back wall.  Beyond the 
piped-in water service, we have several competing beverage sources 
(including for water) in service.  The house across the street has, it 
appears, at least three companies providing TV service (and Internet 
service?).  Three outfits provide waste disposal service in the 
neighborhood, although I am not bright enough to see a competitor for 
the sewage component.  I wasn't bright enough to see the World Wide Web, 
either.



Nobody uses poles.

 IMHO, the only way to get real competition on the last mile is to 
have the

 actual fiber/wire infrastructure being owned by a neutral party that's
 required to pass anyone's traffic.

As soon as required is in the discussion, we have a monopoly, and a 
monopoly has the power to abuse the situation.


Wire and glass are not the only media available, as if that mattered. 
And we already have duplicates; what is the big deal?


OH!  And the reason why one set of wires is idle, is that provider got 
beat by the completion on the other set.  (For this discussion, coaxial 
cable is a set of wires.)


*too old, failing memory and all, I'll have to go read up on natural 
monopoly--I can not think of one that does not require regulation and 
force of arms to exist.

--
Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
of System Administrators:
Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
learn from their mistakes.
  (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)



RE: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-21 Thread Eric Wieling

Make the regulation and force of arms be as targeted as reasonable.   In the 
case of telecommunications as targeted as reasonable means the last mile or, 
more correctly, the local loop.I advocate stringent ongoing oversight and 
regulation of the local loop and very little regulation for the rest of the 
communications industry. 

If the incumbent telcos want to compete on equal footing in a free market then 
I invite them to give up their government granted right of ways to run their 
copper or fiber and compete on a level playing field.  They will never do that 
and therefore the last mile can never be a free market.   


-Original Message-
From: Larry Sheldon [mailto:larryshel...@cox.net] 
Sent: Friday, March 21, 2014 9:54 PM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

*too old, failing memory and all, I'll have to go read up on natural 
monopoly--I can not think of one that does not require regulation and force of 
arms to exist.




Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-20 Thread David Miller
Unless I am reading the tea leaves wrong competition will require 
regulation.



 Original message 
From: Mike. the.li...@mgm51.com 
Date: 03/20/2014  21:56  (GMT-05:00) 
To: nanog@nanog.org 
Subject: Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on 
  
  Technica 
 
On 3/20/2014 at 4:17 PM Bryan Fields wrote:

|On 3/20/14, 12:34 PM, Blake Hudson wrote:
| The solution seems to be competition or regulation.
|I'd prefer competition to regulation.  
=

If real and true competition exists, yes.






Re: Level 3 blames Internet slowdowns on Technica

2014-03-20 Thread Larry Sheldon

On 3/20/2014 10:47 PM, David Miller wrote:

Unless I am reading the tea leaves wrong competition will require
regulation.


regulation prevents competition.  That is why people want regulation.

Look at this thread at the people who do not want to be competed-with at 
L1, for example.


--
Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
of System Administrators:
Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
learn from their mistakes.
  (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)