Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-15 Thread Michael Thomas
On 4/14/21 7:00 AM, Brian Johnson wrote: There is no profit motive for a non-profit company. It’s completely relevant to your response. This is patently absurd. It's an industry group/organization. It's raison d'etre is to serve its industry which definitely has a profit motive. That and

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-15 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 20:25, Stan Barber wrote: I would say that under normal circumstances, 45 days might work (Personally, I would prefer 90 days). However, I suggest we are not dealing with a normal circumstance because of the fall out from the winter incident. Agreed. Mark.

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Stan Barber
I would say that under normal circumstances, 45 days might work (Personally, I would prefer 90 days). However, I suggest we are not dealing with a normal circumstance because of the fall out from the winter incident. On Wed, Apr 14, 2021 at 11:35 AM Mark Tinka wrote: > > > On 4/14/21 18:03,

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mike Hammett
ay, April 14, 2021 10:32:25 AM Subject: Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13 On 4/14/21 17:12, Patrick W. Gilmore wrote: > Bringing it back to the topic on hand: How do we keep the grid up? Or > plan for it not being up? I think "planning for the grid not being up&quo

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread John Levine
It appears that Stan Barber said: >-=-=-=-=-=- > >I would suggest that the regulation paradigm in Texas does not allow >coordinated maintenance scheduling to adapt to supply and load issues >(especially in the face of a disaster like the Winter event earlier this >year). That would mean a

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 18:31, Brian Johnson wrote: Not going to get into this, but this is simply not true on multiple fronts. On a large scale, I agree that numbers can look odd. But on a smaller, community scale, it does look good. Mark.

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 18:07, Niels Bakker wrote: The relevant virtue that's signaled with green energy is that its MWh prices are WAY lower than traditional fossil fuel-based generators. Particularly when you factor in close to no maintenance costs for things like PV, and a nominal 1% drop in

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 18:03, Stan Barber wrote: I would suggest that the regulation paradigm in Texas does not allow coordinated maintenance scheduling to adapt to supply and load issues (especially in the face of a disaster like the Winter event earlier this year). That would mean a stronger

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Brian Johnson
> On Apr 14, 2021, at 11:07 AM, Niels Bakker wrote: > > * brian.john...@netgeek.us (Brian Johnson) [Wed 14 Apr 2021, 17:37 CEST]: >> Not what I was saying. The demand for virtue-signaling green energy is not >> an effective strategy to actually having power available. > > The relevant

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Niels Bakker
* brian.john...@netgeek.us (Brian Johnson) [Wed 14 Apr 2021, 17:37 CEST]: Not what I was saying. The demand for virtue-signaling green energy is not an effective strategy to actually having power available. The relevant virtue that's signaled with green energy is that its MWh prices are WAY

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Stan Barber
I would suggest that the regulation paradigm in Texas does not allow coordinated maintenance scheduling to adapt to supply and load issues (especially in the face of a disaster like the Winter event earlier this year). That would mean a stronger regulatory framework and that smacks of government

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Brian Johnson
Patrick - I hope that your determination of failure isn't dictated by the federal government telling you so.  Again, green-energy solves none of these issues. In fact, it is likely less green, and more expensive than the traditional solutions. Much resect for you and I really appreciate your

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 17:35, Brian Johnson wrote: I appreciate the nuances, but the need to imply that a profit motive was the issue is not proven. This issue was NOT foreseeable except with the perfect reverse 20/20 vision. It’s like saying that I shouldn’t have built the house where the tornado

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
The issue was not only perfectly foreseeable, ERCOT has a ten year old document explaining PRECISELY how to avoid such an occurrence happening. Did you miss the second paragraph below? -- TTFN, patrick > On Apr 14, 2021, at 11:35 AM, Brian Johnson wrote: > > Not what I was saying. The

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Brian Johnson
Not what I was saying. The demand for virtue-signaling green energy is not an effective strategy to actually having power available. I appreciate the nuances, but the need to imply that a profit motive was the issue is not proven. This issue was NOT foreseeable except with the perfect reverse

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 17:12, Patrick W. Gilmore wrote: Bringing it back to the topic on hand: How do we keep the grid up? Or plan for it not being up? I think "planning for the grid not being up" is more within our control than the former :-). Data centres serving base power load from solar PV,

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
Brian: The idea that because ERCOT is a non-profit somehow means they would never do anything to save money, or management is not granted bonuses or salary increases based on savings, or have no financial incentive is ridiculous. E.g. Salaries for the top ERCOT executives increased 50% from

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Brian Johnson
There is no profit motive for a non-profit company. It’s completely relevant to your response. For profit companies have similar issues with power generation and maintenance as the way power is generated requires maintenance. No power system is generating at 100% of capability at any single

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread John Levine
It appears that Mark Tinka said: >On 4/14/21 13:35, Billy Croan wrote: >> Sounds like we all need to start keeping a few days reserve of energy >> on hand at home now because the utilities can't be trusted to keep >> their system online in 2021. If you're in Texas, yes, and for other reasons

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 15:34, Mike Bolitho wrote: Can we keep this mailing list free of politics please? Being for or against renewable energy has nothing to do with network operations. Not necessarily as all those large data centres popping up in my neighborhood means better Internet for me and my

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 15:04, Mike Hammett wrote: --- Even as I support renewable plants, I am not yet fully convinced that a quick and massive decommissioning of fossil fuels for base load generation is feasible. --- Nuclear is the only way to have a reliable base load generation that doesn't release

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mike Bolitho
Can we keep this mailing list free of politics please? Being for or against renewable energy has nothing to do with network operations. - Mike Bolitho On Wed, Apr 14, 2021, 6:31 AM Izaac wrote: > On Wed, Apr 14, 2021 at 06:54:55AM +0200, Mark Tinka wrote: > > So looks like ERCOT have 32,000MW

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Izaac
On Wed, Apr 14, 2021 at 06:54:55AM +0200, Mark Tinka wrote: > So looks like ERCOT have 32,000MW of capacity offline for maintenance and > repairs, which they claim is not unusual for this time of the year as they > gear up for the summer. So generation capacity was only 50,000MW, while > demand

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Tom Beecher
Brian- I am aware. That's also not relevant at all to the point. On Wed, Apr 14, 2021 at 9:22 AM Brian Johnson wrote: > Tom, > > You do realize that ERCOT is a non-profit organization…. > > On Apr 14, 2021, at 8:04 AM, Tom Beecher wrote: > > > Funny how this obsession with a green grid has

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Brian Johnson
Tom, You do realize that ERCOT is a non-profit organization…. > On Apr 14, 2021, at 8:04 AM, Tom Beecher wrote: > > > Funny how this obsession with a green grid has made the grid > > unreliable, resulting in sales of gas-burning generators and > > perishable fuel. Dare I say it's not been

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mike Hammett
3, 2021 11:54:55 PM Subject: Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13 On 4/14/21 03:49, Sean Donelan wrote: > > ERCOT ISO Texas has announced the end of today's emergency energy > conservation appeal due to a shortage of generation capacity and > higher than forecasted d

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Tom Beecher
> Funny how this obsession with a green grid has made the grid > unreliable, resulting in sales of gas-burning generators and > perishable fuel. Dare I say it's not been worth it? Yes, desire for renewable power sources is totally the reason that power generators neglect proper preventative

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 13:35, Billy Croan wrote: Sounds like we all need to start keeping a few days reserve of energy on hand at home now because the utilities can't be trusted to keep their system online in 2021. It just makes sense to plan along those lines, really. Despite popular belief, power

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-14 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 07:44, Yang Yu wrote: a watch that has been cancelled, not an emergency http://www.ercot.com/services/comm/mkt_notices/opsmessages/2021/04 Apr 13 2021 19:22:55 CST Physical Responsive Capability < 2500 MW: ERCOT has cancelled the following notice: ERCOT is issuing a Watch due to

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-13 Thread Yang Yu
On Tue, Apr 13, 2021 at 8:51 PM Sean Donelan wrote: > > > ERCOT ISO Texas has announced the end of today's emergency energy > conservation appeal due to a shortage of generation capacity and higher > than forecasted demand caused by a cold front. > > No this is not an old message. Yep, Texas is

Re: Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-13 Thread Mark Tinka
On 4/14/21 03:49, Sean Donelan wrote: ERCOT ISO Texas has announced the end of today's emergency energy conservation appeal due to a shortage of generation capacity and higher than forecasted demand caused by a cold front. No this is not an old message. Yep, Texas is having power

Texas ERCOT power shortages (again) April 13

2021-04-13 Thread Sean Donelan
ERCOT ISO Texas has announced the end of today's emergency energy conservation appeal due to a shortage of generation capacity and higher than forecasted demand caused by a cold front. No this is not an old message. Yep, Texas is having power shortages again in mild April weather.