Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-05 Thread David Cantrell
On Thu, Dec 04, 2008 at 11:08:49AM -0600, Jack Bates wrote: 911 services are heavily used when a geographical area has an emergency, and that emergency usually includes not having power. Yes, and it usually involves several thousand people all phoning to report the same damned thing, clogging

RE: [SPAM-HEADER] - Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-05 Thread Rod Beck
Folks, I doubt the incumbents are the most vulnerable in this situation. It is debt-laden competitive providers that face the greatest difficulty. Look at balance sheets and who is struggling to generate a profit or who has never generated a profit. Roderick S. Beck Director of European

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-05 Thread Marshall Eubanks
On Dec 5, 2008, at 9:01 AM, David Cantrell wrote: On Thu, Dec 04, 2008 at 11:08:49AM -0600, Jack Bates wrote: 911 services are heavily used when a geographical area has an emergency, and that emergency usually includes not having power. Yes, and it usually involves several thousand

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-05 Thread David Cantrell
On Fri, Dec 05, 2008 at 09:21:53AM -0500, Marshall Eubanks wrote: On Dec 5, 2008, at 9:01 AM, David Cantrell wrote: On Thu, Dec 04, 2008 at 11:08:49AM -0600, Jack Bates wrote: Unless you live in a natural disaster prone location. So don't do that. There is literarily no place on the planet

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-05 Thread Jack Bates
David Cantrell wrote: A natural disaster prone location would, by a normal person, be taken to be one where there is a high probability of being visited by nature's Fuckup Fairies. Such as flood plains (eg much of the Thames estuary) and the sides of active volcanoes (Naples). Most places have

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-05 Thread Marc Manthey
Also, where I live, if the power goes out hard (for example, during the last Hurricane), the cell phone will not have service either. hello What about GPS ? simply sending such data would help more then a unreliable mobile phone call right ? (we have enough places where i live and

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Russell J. Lahti
: Thursday, December 04, 2008 2:11 AM To: Alex Rubenstein Cc: nanog@nanog.org Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? That makes two of us... Anyways, for residential VOIP, where are we these days with E911? Are providers like Vonage and such providing reliable E911 when people call 911? That is one

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Marshall Eubanks
: Telecom Collapse? That makes two of us... Anyways, for residential VOIP, where are we these days with E911? Are providers like Vonage and such providing reliable E911 when people call 911? That is one of the major problems I see with the residential realm going with VOIP offerings... -Mike On Wed

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Church, Charles
Rubenstein' Cc: nanog@nanog.org Subject: RE: Telecom Collapse? That is the one and only thing keeping a land line at my home. I have two young children, and I need to be sure that if something were to ever happen that: 1.) The phone would work even if the power was out, or the Internet

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Chris Adams
Once upon a time, Paul Ferguson [EMAIL PROTECTED] said: I deliberated for a while on whether to send this, or not, but I figure it might be of interest to this community: http://techliberation.com/2008/12/04/telecom-collapse/ One thing doesn't make sense in that article: it talks about POTS

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Tomas L. Byrnes
; 'Alex Rubenstein' Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? On Dec 4, 2008, at 7:47 AM, Russell J. Lahti wrote: That is the one and only thing keeping a land line at my home. I have two young children, and I need to be sure that if something were to ever happen that: 1.) The phone would work even

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Tomas L. Byrnes
- From: William Warren [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2008 7:02 AM To: nanog@nanog.org Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? Chris Adams wrote: Once upon a time, Paul Ferguson [EMAIL PROTECTED] said: I deliberated for a while on whether to send this, or not, but I figure it might

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Joe Abley
On 2008-12-04, at 09:47, Josh Potter wrote: I believe there is a law that requires just that, even if you don't have an active service plan the phone must still be able to access 911. With GSM phones you don't even need a SIM in the phone to call 911 (and equivalent numbers in other

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Paul Stewart
@nanog.org Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? On 2008-12-04, at 09:47, Josh Potter wrote: I believe there is a law that requires just that, even if you don't have an active service plan the phone must still be able to access 911. With GSM phones you don't even need a SIM in the phone to call 911

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Joe Greco
That is the one and only thing keeping a land line at my home. I have two young children, and I need to be sure that if something were to ever happen that: 1.) The phone would work even if the power was out, or the Internet connectivity was flaking out. 2.) 911 would function exactly the way

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Chris Adams
Once upon a time, Paul Stewart [EMAIL PROTECTED] said: What worries me the most is a power outage longer than say 8 hours. This is the typical battery time at most cell sites, telco remotes and many telco CO's. Beyond those 8 hours, it's quite probable that the site will go down and you'll

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Josh Potter
People have been digging up fiber thinking it's copper anyways, but yeah that's a big problem. On Thu, Dec 4, 2008 at 9:43 AM, Joe Greco [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: That is the one and only thing keeping a land line at my home. I have two young children, and I need to be sure that if something

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Chris Marlatt
Joe Abley wrote: I seem to remember when I *did* have dial-tone from Bell Canada I'd pick up the handset and get dead air a disturbing proportion of the time. The idea that copper wire-line providers are the only ones who can provide stable telephony doesn't ring true, for me. There's a

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Chris Marlatt
Paul Stewart wrote: There's at least two cell phones in our house whenever the family is home and I have neighbors within quick walking distance. That's assuming they're not doing the same thing you are, are home, or are willing to let you borrow their phone. You're assuming a lot. I find

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Paul Bosworth
In my experience with a fiber to the home deployment I feel that the trend of moving away from the stability of POTS lines for emergency service is acceptable for most people. Most battery backups allow for around 36 hours of dialtone. The overwhelming majority of power outages last nowhere near

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Alexander Harrowell
Solar is civil defence - that goes for Node Bs as well as citizens. In the UK, I have absolutely no confidence in the reliability of our major cable op, because everywhere I go I find their street cabinets broken into, presumably by scum looking for copper (how long will they take to respond to

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Steven M. Bellovin
On Thu, 4 Dec 2008 10:13:14 -0600 Paul Bosworth [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: In my experience with a fiber to the home deployment I feel that the trend of moving away from the stability of POTS lines for emergency service is acceptable for most people. Most battery backups allow for around 36

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Alex Rubenstein
The ATT (BellSouth) remotes around here installed in the last 10 years or so typically have natural gas generators installed, and the COs have a pair of generators for redundancy. Even many of the cell towers have generators. The telco infrastructure is pretty well backed up (I don't know

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Paul Bosworth
Many proposed regulations are struck down before they become required regulation. Just like the FCC mandates that POTS and fiber have guaranteed battery, the FCC will mandate that cellular towers do the same. This is inevitable. The telco industry is notorious for litigating to death anything that

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Jack Bates
Chris Adams wrote: Once upon a time, Paul Stewart [EMAIL PROTECTED] said: What worries me the most is a power outage longer than say 8 hours. This is the typical battery time at most cell sites, telco remotes and many telco CO's. Beyond those 8 hours, it's quite probable that the site will go

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Alex Rubenstein
And it gets better: ATT to reduce workforce by 12,000 - ATT Inc. will layoff 12,000 of its employees, or 4 percent of its total workforce, in response to recent economic pressures. Sprint/Nextel has had negative net income of $326mm, $829mm, and $505mm for the last three quarters. Verizon

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Joe Abley
On 2008-12-04, at 11:06, Chris Marlatt wrote: That's assuming they're not doing the same thing you are, are home, or are willing to let you borrow their phone. You're assuming a lot. I find it surprising that many people replying haven't kept a 911 only POTS line. This is straying far

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Jack Bates
Paul Bosworth wrote: On a personal note, when I worked in telecom I never once saw a cell tower that was down due to power loss. Every tower I have worked with had some form of power generation, be it natural gas or diesel. In addition, as a cellular service consumer I have also never

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Paul Bosworth
There will always be exceptions to the rule. Nature can be quite ugly to service infrastructure and the best service providers can do is pull double duty to get services back up as quickly as possible. As you said, cellular was torn up pretty badly, but then again so was the power grid and the

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Wed, 03 Dec 2008 22:59:00 PST, Paul Ferguson said: I deliberated for a while on whether to send this, or not, but I figure it might be of interest to this community: http://techliberation.com/2008/12/04/telecom-collapse/ The article goes on to quote some other source regarding Hawaiian

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Jack Bates
Joe Abley wrote: This is straying far from network operations, but I think 911 generally engenders an unnecessary degree of hysteria. As I suggested before, the marketing of this fear from certain quarters has apparently been quiet effective. Many will agree with you; unless 911 saved their

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Paul Bosworth
Large scale Tesla coils would be pretty awesome :) On Thu, Dec 4, 2008 at 11:13 AM, Justin M. Streiner [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: On Thu, 4 Dec 2008, Steven M. Bellovin wrote: What about the cell site? See http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/12/03/ap5776571.html The FCC proposed in

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Wayne E. Bouchard
That the old ILECs are having problems due to the fact that few if any of them know how to run a decent business is not exactly news. IMO, it might be best if some of them were finaly placed in the position of figuring out how to come into the 21st century and actually compete for business. But I

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread mike
For my own $0.02 worth, I would like to point out the kind of engineering that was done during the days of Ma Bell - when it was THE phone company, and had the world in it's pocket - was quite spectacular and resulted in telecommunications systems that largely stood up and continued

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Jim Cowie
On Thu, Dec 4, 2008 at 12:20 PM, Wayne E. Bouchard [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: That the old ILECs are having problems due to the fact that few if any of them know how to run a decent business is not exactly news. IMO, it might be best if some of them were finaly placed in the position of

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Mike Lyon
I think we've figured out the next get together for the next nanog. Make sure there is a gun range within an hour drive On 12/4/08, Wayne E. Bouchard [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: That the old ILECs are having problems due to the fact that few if any of them know how to run a decent business is

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Martin List-Petersen
Daniel Senie wrote: Mike Lyon wrote: That makes two of us... Anyways, for residential VOIP, where are we these days with E911? Are providers like Vonage and such providing reliable E911 when people call 911? That is one of the major problems I see with the residential realm going with VOIP

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Joe Greco
On Thu, Dec 4, 2008 at 12:20 PM, Wayne E. Bouchard [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: That the old ILECs are having problems due to the fact that few if any of them know how to run a decent business is not exactly news. IMO, it might be best if some of them were finaly placed in the position of

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Jason Frisvold
On Dec 4, 2008, at 12:20 PM, Wayne E. Bouchard wrote: That the old ILECs are having problems due to the fact that few if any of them know how to run a decent business is not exactly news. IMO, it might be best if some of them were finaly placed in the position of figuring out how to come into

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Brett Frankenberger
On Thu, Dec 04, 2008 at 08:48:27AM -0600, Chris Adams wrote: Once upon a time, Paul Ferguson [EMAIL PROTECTED] said: I deliberated for a while on whether to send this, or not, but I figure it might be of interest to this community: http://techliberation.com/2008/12/04/telecom-collapse/

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Michael Thomas
Joe Abley wrote: This is straying far from network operations, but I think 911 generally engenders an unnecessary degree of hysteria. As I suggested before, the marketing of this fear from certain quarters has apparently been quiet effective. The probability of any single individual needing

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Steven M. Bellovin
On Thu, 04 Dec 2008 11:18:42 -0800 Michael Thomas [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Joe Abley wrote: This is straying far from network operations, but I think 911 generally engenders an unnecessary degree of hysteria. As I suggested before, the marketing of this fear from certain quarters has

RE: [SPAM-HEADER] - Re: Telecom Collapse? - Email has different SMTP TO: and MIME TO: fields in the email addresses

2008-12-04 Thread Rod Beck
I am not sure. Business lines are significantly higher priced than residential lines and the conventional wisdom was that there is a cross sudsidy. How it shakes out across all phone lines is unclear to me. A lot depends on the economic realism of depreciation schedule. I'm not familiar with

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Erik (Caneris)
, December 04, 2008 11:06 AM To: Paul Stewart; nanog@nanog.org Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? Paul Stewart wrote: There's at least two cell phones in our house whenever the family is home and I have neighbors within quick walking distance. That's assuming they're not doing the same thing you

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Chris Marlatt
Erik (Caneris) wrote: So it can be argued both ways. Ultimately, it all comes down to marketing and hype. With everything going to IP at both the core and edge (yes, I chose the terms deliberately) and analogue-digital-analogue or TDM-IP-TDM-IP conversation happening so many times, the

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Frank Bulk
] Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2008 3:24 PM To: nanog@nanog.org Subject: RE: Telecom Collapse? On Thu, 4 Dec 2008, Frank Bulk wrote: The ILEC is the carrier of last resort. The wireless carrier doesn't have to build coverage everywhere. They don't need to serve that hog barn that requires a 10,000

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Lorell Hathcock
Adams'; nanog@nanog.org Subject: RE: Telecom Collapse? The ILEC is the carrier of last resort. The wireless carrier doesn't have to build coverage everywhere. They don't need to serve that hog barn that requires a 10,000 feet copper loop while playing $17/month. The problem is that whether

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Jay Farrell
The Verizon lay-offs article you linked to (Verizon just laid off thousands of people http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9900E2DE113CF93AA15751C1A9649C8B63) in the blog post is dated December 29, *2002* Cheers, Jayfar On Thu, Dec 4, 2008 at 12:36 PM, Jim Cowie [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Jack Bates
Lorell Hathcock wrote: The classic problem of the ILECs is that they have a government backed monopoly on the local loops everywhere and they leverage that monopoly to compete with companies that don't have government backing. Monopoly? Really? I could have sworn someone devised the idea of

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Scott Weeks
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: - On Wed, 03 Dec 2008 22:59:00 PST, Paul Ferguson said: I deliberated for a while on whether to send this, or not, but I figure it might be of interest to this community: http://techliberation.com/2008/12/04/telecom-collapse/ The article

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread bill fumerola
On Wed, Dec 03, 2008 at 11:10:57PM -0800, Mike Lyon wrote: Anyways, for residential VOIP, where are we these days with E911? Are providers like Vonage and such providing reliable E911 when people call 911? That is one of the major problems I see with the residential realm going with VOIP

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Alexander Harrowell
On Thu, Dec 4, 2008 at 7:18 PM, Michael Thomas [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: We haven't really had a major catastrophe where we've been totally dependent on IP yet, AFIAK. Maybe all of the qos, call gapping and the rest of the stuff the TDM networks do to deal with disasters will be left in

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Skywing
Lyon'; 'Alex Rubenstein' Cc: nanog@nanog.org Subject: RE: Telecom Collapse? That is the one and only thing keeping a land line at my home. I have two young children, and I need to be sure that if something were to ever happen that: 1.) The phone would work even if the power was out

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Skywing
way. (Not that I would have to worry about hurricanes in the middle of the continental US, anyway.) - S -Original Message- From: Chris Marlatt [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2008 11:07 AM To: Paul Stewart; nanog@nanog.org Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? Paul

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Stephen Sprunk
Skywing wrote: No POTS line here. New office is all VoIP, too. For my own use, though, I'm sticking with cell. Don't recall the last time that there was an outage to the point where I couldn't make a voice call in the past few years (though I've seen EVDO data go down for my region and

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread b nickell
- From: Mike Lyon [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2008 2:11 AM To: Alex Rubenstein Cc: nanog@nanog.org Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? That makes two of us... Anyways, for residential VOIP, where are we these days with E911? Are providers like Vonage

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Frank Bulk
Even disconnected customers due to non-pay have access to E-911 Frank -Original Message- From: b nickell [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2008 10:12 PM To: Russell J. Lahti Cc: nanog@nanog.org; Alex Rubenstein Subject: Re: Telecom Collapse? I believe its still

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-04 Thread Paul Ferguson
-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE- Hash: SHA1 On Wed, Dec 3, 2008 at 10:59 PM, Paul Ferguson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I deliberated for a while on whether to send this, or not, but I figure it might be of interest to this community: http://techliberation.com/2008/12/04/telecom-collapse/

RE: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-03 Thread Alex Rubenstein
I deliberated for a while on whether to send this, or not, but I figure it might be of interest to this community: http://techliberation.com/2008/12/04/telecom-collapse/ Good god. If there is even the mention of a LEC bailout, I am going to go insane and probably shoot someone (those who

Re: Telecom Collapse?

2008-12-03 Thread Mike Lyon
That makes two of us... Anyways, for residential VOIP, where are we these days with E911? Are providers like Vonage and such providing reliable E911 when people call 911? That is one of the major problems I see with the residential realm going with VOIP offerings... -Mike On Wed, Dec 3, 2008