Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-24 Thread Brad DeLong
i am not entirely sure about that. it is difficult to tell if things have got worse in tamil nadu, given that the rivers were dry when they were not transporting sewage and industrial waste even back in 1980, but the increased pollution has made life quite difficult in the big cities like madras

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-23 Thread ravi narayan
brad, thanks once again for a great response. Brad DeLong wrote: Jeff Sachs (who I heard talk about this last fall, when he was giving his Tropical Underdevelopment talk http://www.cid.harvard.edu/cidwp/057.htmhttp://www.cid.harvard.edu/cidwp/057.pdf) would answer your question with

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-22 Thread Brad DeLong
brad, thanks for your response. your answers are helpful but perhaps i should also mention the hidden question: do you see this rise in growth/GDP as a "good thing" (for india)? Yes... do these numbers translate to anything for the common man? Not (or not yet) for the bottom 40% (or the

Re: What Is Going On?

2001-04-22 Thread Rob Schaap
13: The Turkish people hear, for the first time, from an official source (and Turks seem to know what is going on without the aid of such aids) that their state bank is rotten to the core, and that the radical restructuring needed is gonna require instant and substantial international support

Re: Re: What Is Going On?

2001-04-22 Thread Sabri Oncu
--- Rob Schaap [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Maybe it's just because I did fall in love with Turkey (falling in love always induces pessimism in me), but I can't see a road heading anywhere good from here. If Dervis wins, half the population will be getting dinner off the tip, and if he

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-19 Thread ravi narayan
Brad DeLong wrote: 2) to what do you attribute this change? economic liberalisation? Well, that is economists' conventional wisdom--that the "neoliberal" economic reforms of the Narasimha Rao government in the early 1990s were the decisive change. Dani Rodrik, however, argues that the

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-18 Thread Louis Proyect
Argentina was in "G7 ranks" back before World War II. IIRC, Argentina was fifth in the world in automobile ownership per capita in 1929, and B.A. was twelfth in the world in telephones per capita in 1913. Ownership? G7 is about production, not consumption. I don't see anything "structural"

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-18 Thread jdevine
Brad DeLong wrote: And I do not understand the appeal of the BJP... ravi replies: why not? isnt it the same as a lot of the appeal of the republican party here? religious fundamentalism, nationalism, etc? yeah, why not? if Thomas Friedman and his ilk want to knock down all the "Olive

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-18 Thread jdevine
Brad, Argentina's success was largely a result of favorable terms of trade rather than any structural advance. Sort of like the success of Brunei or Kuwait. that makes sense to me. Just as with the former Confederacy after the US Civil War, when the relative price of the key export

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-18 Thread Brad DeLong
Brad, please refrain from the personal jibes. If you want to delete somebody, you are welcome to do so, but there is no reason to announce it. On Mon, Apr 16, 2001 at 10:04:04PM -0700, Brad DeLong wrote: While I agree that Brad's original note was certain to provoke, this discussion is

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-18 Thread Michael Perelman
Brad, you must know, of course, that I receive a good number of complaints about what other people perceived to be your lack of civility. When you ascribe what most is consider to be outlandish accusations regarding political events or movements, some people regard that as a lack of civility.

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread Brad DeLong
While I agree that Brad's original note was certain to provoke, this discussion is getting increasingly personal. I won't see Yates's stuff anymore...

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread Brad DeLong
You will also find horror stories with the CPM, and this is coming from a CPM sympathetizer (that's me). From a distance everything looks sanitized. The ground reality is far more complex. Reality is always more complex. But that doesn't mean that Kerala's accomplishments in education aren't

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread Brad DeLong
On this I will have to agree with Brad. I think the (advanced capitalist country) left tends to dismiss growth. It is possible that growth is likely to lead to inequality initially (Kuznets curve) but it does not have to remain that way. At the moment, however, the fact that so much of Indian

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread Brad DeLong
Anthony, I don't think any of the few paleo-Marxists on the list like myself would argue that developing countries can enjoy spurts of remarkable growth at a given time and in a given place. There is just too much empirical evidence against such a view. What we do argue is that such spurts tend

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread Brad DeLong
My questions to you would be: 1) do you see this as a sustained trend It has been ongoing for two decades. That doesn't mean that it won't be reversed, but rapid growth in India is definitely not just a flash in the pan. 2) to what do you attribute this change? economic liberalisation?

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread ravi narayan
Brad DeLong wrote: And I do not understand the appeal of the BJP... why not? isnt it the same as a lot of the appeal of the republican party here? religious fundamentalism, nationalism, etc? --ravi

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread Michael Perelman
Brad, please refrain from the personal jibes. If you want to delete somebody, you are welcome to do so, but there is no reason to announce it. On Mon, Apr 16, 2001 at 10:04:04PM -0700, Brad DeLong wrote: While I agree that Brad's original note was certain to provoke, this discussion is

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-17 Thread Michael Perelman
Brad, Argentina's success was largely a result of favorable terms of trade rather than any structural advance. Sort of like the success of Brunei or Kuwait. On Tue, Apr 17, 2001 at 05:02:59AM -0700, Brad DeLong wrote: I don't see anything "structural" about

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-16 Thread Louis Proyect
Anthony wrote: On this I will have to agree with Brad. I think the (advanced capitalist country) left tends to dismiss growth. It is possible that growth is likely to lead to inequality initially (Kuznets curve) but it does not have to remain that way. If as we find in the Korean case,

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-16 Thread Louis Proyect
correction: Anthony, I don't think any of the few paleo-Marxists on the list like myself would argue that developing countries can [should be CAN NOT] enjoy spurts of remarkable growth at a given time and in a given place. Louis Proyect Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-16 Thread Jim Devine
Anthony wrote: I think the (advanced capitalist country) left tends to dismiss growth. It is possible that growth is likely to lead to inequality initially (Kuznets curve) but it does not have to remain that way. If as we find in the Korean case, labor-intensive export-led growth did

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-16 Thread christian11
Not to flog a dead horse, but to return to Ken Hanly's response to the uses and abuses of GDP . . . The two options given were that the rich get $1 million and the poor 1c, and the poor all get $100 and the rich loose $100. Is there something about Pareto optimatlity that makes it impossible

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-16 Thread Ken Hanly
are. Hence even an increase in GDP that put the poor in a worse position would increase welfare according to standard welfare economics. - Original Message - From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Monday, April 16, 2001 11:52 AM Subject: [PEN-L:10276] Re: What is going on? N

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-16 Thread christian11
Ken wrote: P.S. My only interest in talking about Pareto optimality is that it is a key value assumption in mainstream welfare economics. Actually an increase in GDP itself does not entail Pareto Optiimality since some could be made worse off by the growth, but presumably it would be a

A late response to Michael's original invitation [was What is going on?]

2001-04-16 Thread Sabri Oncu
Friends, You are amazing. I checked my mailbox after a few days today and there were 82 unread mails. And I am using this address for PEN-L only. Like Michael, I also like to hear from other countries and I am writing this mail to tell this to the friends from these countries. Prior to June

Re: A late response to Michael's original invitation [was What is going on?]

2001-04-16 Thread phillp2
2) Most of these lists are dominated by posters from the first world. Most posters from the non-english speaking countries are from the first world. One potential reason is that, despite lack of real democracy, these countries are not as repressive as the non-first world countries and

Re: A late response to Michael's original invitation [was What is going on?]

2001-04-16 Thread Louis Proyect
How can we encourage those subscribers from S. Korea, Indoneasia, Brazil, Argentina, Turkey and the like, some of whom most likely are non-experts and some of whom most likely are not-so-well-known experts to join the discussions? Best, Sabri Perhaps we can encourage Michael Perelman to spend a

Re: Re: A late response to Michael's original invitation [was What is going on?]

2001-04-16 Thread Michael Perelman
Lou is absolutely correct about my narrow horizons. I have spent a week or so in Cuba, under the tutelage of Jim Devine, and a week in Puerto Rico. Not much, I admit. Perhaps we can encourage Michael Perelman to spend a year travelling in Africa and Asia. Actually Sabri wrote me before he

Re: Re: Re: A late response to Michael's original invitation [was What is going on?]

2001-04-16 Thread Louis Proyect
Actually Sabri wrote me before he came on the list, introducing himself as an Indonesian. I did not know where he was located. Now I am confused. I was under the distinct impression that Sabri was from Turkey! Louis Proyect Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/

Re: Re: Re: A late response to Michael's original invitation [was What is going on?]

2001-04-16 Thread Sabri Oncu
--- Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Actually Sabri wrote me before he came on the list, introducing himself as an Indonesian. I did not know where he was located. Michael, Sabri is an arabic/muslim name (not that I have any religion) so it is possible that an Indonesian with the

Re: Re: Re: A late response to Michael's original invitation [was What is going on?]

2001-04-16 Thread jdevine
Michael Perelman writes: Lou is absolutely correct about my narrow horizons. I have spent a week or so in Cuba, under the tutelage of Jim Devine... hey, I was under _your_ tutelage... In reality, we were both on an urban planning tour in 1970 (run by the late New York GUARDIAN). It's pretty

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Louis Proyect
Average life expectancy in India is 63 years, 44% of Indians over 15 are illiterate, 53% of Indians under 5 are malnourished. India's poverty rate appears to have held constant over the decade of the 1990s. But I don't see how anything is going to push India's poverty rate down until

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Ken Hanly
- From: Brad DeLong [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Saturday, April 14, 2001 10:04 PM Subject: [PEN-L:10226] Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on? Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-1980 1.1% per year 1980-1990 3.3% per year 1990-2000 4.2% per year

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Michael Perelman
Although this thread began with some early taunts and flames, I think it is helping to shape out a picture of what growth means. I have not seen any professional academic journal article -- probably due to my own ignorance -- that describes how growth affects difference classes and sub-classes.

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Yoshie Furuhashi
Brad says Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-19801.1% per year 1980-19903.3% per year 1990-20004.2% per year At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 years before

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Anthony D'Costa
Most recent studies on Indian poverty show that the level of poverty has fallen, has been falling since the 1980s. But sheer numbers are large and the official poverty line in India in reality is bare subsistence. The Indian "middle" class is a misnomer. It is really the upper class, given the

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Brad DeLong
Brad says Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-1980 1.1% per year 1980-1990 3.3% per year 1990-2000 4.2% per year At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 years before

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Brad DeLong
Although this thread began with some early taunts and flames, I think it is helping to shape out a picture of what growth means. I have not seen any professional academic journal article -- probably due to my own ignorance -- that describes how growth affects difference classes and sub-classes.

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Michael Perelman
A key component of Japan, S. Korea, Taiwan was land reform. Also, education of the lower classes, something that the World Bank has been discouraging by demanding payment. Also, you tend to take unrepresentative samples. Finally, of the countries that you names, Japan, China, S. Korea, and

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Anthony D'Costa
You will also find horror stories with the CPM, and this is coming from a CPM sympathetizer (that's me). From a distance everything looks sanitized. The ground reality is far more complex. xxx Anthony P. D'Costa,

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Anthony D'Costa
On this I will have to agree with Brad. I think the (advanced capitalist country) left tends to dismiss growth. It is possible that growth is likely to lead to inequality initially (Kuznets curve) but it does not have to remain that way. If as we find in the Korean case, labor-intensive

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-15 Thread Anthony D'Costa
But I don't recall that growth had to be free market oriented. It was simply growth, and as far as I know, India's growth rates over the various decades provided covered different regimes. Strictly speaking India does not play by market rules, although today it does more so than before.

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Ian Murray
Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-1980 1.1% per year 1980-1990 3.3% per year 1990-2000 4.2% per year At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 years before 1980). I can't help but think

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Doug Henwood
Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-1980 1.1% per year 1980-1990 3.3% per year 1990-2000 4.2% per year At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 years before

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread ravi narayan
Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-19801.1% per year 1980-19903.3% per year 1990-20004.2% per year At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 years before

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread jdevine
Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-19801.1% per year 1980-19903.3% per year 1990-20004.2% per year At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 years before 1980).

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Michael Perelman
And how reliable are the statistics? Doesn't the increased monetization of an economy almost invariably create an upward bias in the increased the measured rate of growth. Also, thank you Ravi for joining in. [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita,

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Ken Hanly
:26 AM Subject: [PEN-L:10209] Re: What is going on? And how reliable are the statistics? Doesn't the increased monetization of an economy almost invariably create an upward bias in the increased the measured rate of growth. Also, thank you Ravi for joining in. [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread jdevine
Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-19801.1% per year 1980-19903.3% per year 1990-20004.2% per year to sum up in a different way than Ken does, a utilitarian type might see "economic growth" as a good thing if the per capital benefit as measured by

Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Michael Yates
Brad DeLong quotes some dubious growth statistics about India and everyone goes bonkers. Why does anyone pay attention to him? This list is just an amusement for him. He likes to bait people and redbait the leftists from his perch at Berkeley (from which he waits for a Democrat to get elected

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Michael Perelman
While I agree that Brad's original note was certain to provoke, this discussion is getting increasingly personal. On Sat, Apr 14, 2001 at 08:07:13PM -0400, Michael Yates wrote: Brad DeLong quotes some dubious growth statistics about India and everyone goes bonkers. Why does anyone pay

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread jdevine
Mike Yates writes: Brad DeLong quotes some dubious growth statistics about India and everyone goes bonkers. Why does anyone pay attention to him? I think it's good to debate the mainstream economists, if nothing but to keep our wits sharp. It's better than intra-left flames. However, it usually

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Michael Perelman
Again, we will do better to discuss Brad's ideas rather than Brad as a person. On Sun, Apr 15, 2001 at 01:14:09AM +, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Mike Yates writes: Brad DeLong quotes some dubious growth statistics about India and everyone goes bonkers. Why does anyone pay attention to him?

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Brad DeLong
Brad DeLong quotes some dubious growth statistics about India and everyone goes bonkers. Why does anyone pay attention to him? This list is just an amusement for him. He likes to bait people and redbait the leftists from his perch at Berkeley (from which he waits for a Democrat to get

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Brad DeLong
Mike Yates writes: Brad DeLong quotes some dubious growth statistics about India and everyone goes bonkers. Why does anyone pay attention to him? I think it's good to debate the mainstream economists, if nothing but to keep our wits sharp. It's better than intra-left flames. However, it

Re: Re: Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread Brad DeLong
Brad DeLong wrote: Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India: 1950-1980 1.1% per year 1980-1990 3.3% per year 1990-2000 4.2% per year At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 years before 1980).

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-14 Thread ravi narayan
Brad DeLong wrote: So the answer to your question is that the bottom 20-40% aren't better off not (much, if any). On the other hand, India's middle class--the 50th to the 90th percentile--are still very poor by U.S. standards, and their incomes have grown remarkably. again, i am not

What is going on?

2001-04-13 Thread Michael Perelman
We have people on the list from Turkey, Argentina, Korea, and many other places where very important changes are taking place. Unfortunately, we hear almost nothing from the people on the ground in days places. Instead, we hear a great deal about the United States and Canada, but not the rest

Re: What is going on?

2001-04-13 Thread ravi narayan
Michael Perelman wrote: We have people on the list from Turkey, Argentina, Korea, and many other places where very important changes are taking place. Unfortunately, we hear almost nothing from the people on the ground in days places. i am from india and i have contributed some thoughts,

Re: Re: What is going on?

2001-04-13 Thread Brad DeLong
Michael Perelman wrote: We have people on the list from Turkey, Argentina, Korea, and many other places where very important changes are taking place. Unfortunately, we hear almost nothing from the people on the ground in days places. i am from india and i have contributed some thoughts,