Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-06-26 Thread Gil Skillman
I'm sorry to hear this. This posting has been a reliable and informative aspect of PEN-L for a long time. Thanks, Dave. Gil is no more. There are apparently valid concerns here at BLS that prevent me from forwarding it, or any part of it, on a regular basis. I hope that it has been of

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-04-15 Thread ravi
Sabri Oncu wrote: Hey, I also hired a few science Ph.Ds from very respectable schools for boring programing jobs (Ravi would know what I mean if I say they were required to write FORTRAN programs) for about $50K. i see what you mean, but fortran is a pleasure compared to what a lot of

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-04-10 Thread F G
From: Sabri Oncu [EMAIL PROTECTED] Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: PEN-L [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [PEN-L:24781] Re: BLS Daily Report Date: Tue, 09 Apr 2002 16:19:02 -0700 From today's BLS daily report: Education increases income, says USA Today, in its page 3B box showing median

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-04-10 Thread Sabri Oncu
You wrote: The income is by household, not individual. I know. Of all the ones I hired, only one of the PhDs was married but his wife did not work so his income was his household income. That means all of the incomes I mentioned were household incomes since, with the exception of him, my guys

Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-04-09 Thread Sabri Oncu
From today's BLS daily report: Education increases income, says USA Today, in its page 3B box showing median household income, based on education. According to it, households in which there is a professional degree have an income of $100,000; those with a doctorate degree, $97,325;

RE: BLS Daily Report

2002-03-05 Thread Devine, James
BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, DAILY REPORT, TUESDAY, MARCH 5, 2002: Average job tenure fell to 7 years in 2001 from 8 years in 2000 and 9 in 1999, says a survey of about 2,900 of its laid-off clients by outplacement concern Drake Beam Morin (The Wall Street Journal, Work Week feature, page A1).

RE: Re: RE: BLS Daily Report

2002-03-05 Thread Eric Nilsson
RE It's not easy to read the tenure numbers - tenure could rise in a weak job market, as people hold on to what they have, and fall in a strong one, as they feel confident about changing jobs The national numbers don't show that much of a change between 1983 and 2000 And I believe I read

Re: Re: RE: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-25 Thread Ken Hanly
South Africa and 1 from Poland. Saskatchewan is noted for its lack of Canadian trained doctors in rural areas. Cheers, Ken Hanly - Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Wednesday, January 23, 2002 4:39 PM Subject: [PEN-L:21814] Re: RE: BLS

RE: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-23 Thread Devine, James
so what does pen-l think of the following? California hospitals will need 5,000 more workers to meet proposed minimum nurse-staffing levels released Tuesday by California Gov. Gray Davis. Davis' plan requires a minimum of one nurse for every five patients in medical wards -- and fewer patients

Re: RE: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-23 Thread Michael Perelman
The nurses do not exist in those numbers. He is grandstanding -- unless we can kidnap nurses from elsewhere. On Wed, Jan 23, 2002 at 02:28:26PM -0800, Devine, James wrote: so what does pen-l think of the following? California hospitals will need 5,000 more workers to meet proposed minimum

RE: Re: RE: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-23 Thread Devine, James
it also encourages hospitals to kick patients out. Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine Michael Perelman writes: The nurses do not exist in those numbers. He is grandstanding -- unless we can kidnap nurses from elsewhere. so what does pen-l think of the

Re: Re: RE: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-23 Thread phillp2
PROTECTED] Subject:[PEN-L:21814] Re: RE: BLS Daily Report Send reply to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] The nurses do not exist in those numbers. He is grandstanding -- unless we can kidnap nurses from elsewhere. On Wed, Jan 23, 2002 at 02:28:26PM -0800, Devine, James wrote: so what

Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-08 Thread phillp2
Dave Richardson's daily report notes: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, DAILY REPORT, MONDAY, JANUARY 7, 2002l The unemployment rate increased 0.2 percentage point to 5.8 percent in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced. U.S. payrolls declined by 124,000 in December and have

RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-08 Thread Max Sawicky
State revenue forecasts came in below expectations last year, so retrenchment has already begun. As state legislatures begin convening I suspect they will take a pessimistic view of revenues (which probably are a lagging indicator anyway) and move accordingly. There is little indication the

Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-02 Thread William S. Lear
On Wednesday, January 2, 2002 at 09:10:51 (-0500) Richardson_D writes: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, DAILY REPORT, FRIDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2001: Mass layoff events totaled 2,699 in November resulting in job losses for 293,074 workers while 350 of those events were directly or indirectly related to

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2002-01-02 Thread Doug Henwood
William S. Lear wrote: On Wednesday, January 2, 2002 at 09:10:51 (-0500) Richardson_D writes: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, DAILY REPORT, FRIDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2001: Mass layoff events totaled 2,699 in November resulting in job losses for 293,074 workers while 350 of those events were directly or

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-11-19 Thread Michael Perelman
Richardson_D wrote: For the economists among us: how much does industrial production have to fall before the US is ineligible to be called an industrialized country? :-) Boswell, James. 1934-64. Life of Johnson, 6 vols. (Oxford: Oxford University Press). ii, p. 464: Very little business

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-11-02 Thread William S. Lear
On Friday, November 2, 2001 at 14:39:57 (-0500) Richardson_D writes: ... The U.S. auto industry recorded its best month in history, using the lure of no-interest loans to boost sales 24.4 percent, but risking future damage to the companies' bottom line. None of the Detroit-area Big Three

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-11-02 Thread Jim Devine
At 02:39 PM 11/2/01 -0500, you wrote: One government measure shows that deflation is here, says Floyd Norris writing in The New York Times (page C1). The government's quarterly growth report, which showed that the economy shrank in the third quarter, reported a decline of 0.4 percent, at

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-11-02 Thread SOncu
Jim wrote: hey, cool! we can see if Irving Fisher's debt-deflation theory of depressions works.I hope it doesn't. Dear Jim, Can what is below may be related with that theory as well? I would appreciate your comments, as well as the comments of others. Sabri Oncu + Warning

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-11-02 Thread Jim Devine
This looks bad, very bad. It's a good article, though. One crucial thing that leaps out it that it wasn't fixed exchange rates weren't the problem. The exchange-rate regime simply changes the form of a crisis. Further the E. Asian banks and financial systems didn't completely recover from

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-12 Thread Doug Henwood
Tom Walker wrote: Doug Henwood wrote, remember, the U.S. economy has expanded for about 75% of the time since the end of WW II That sounds like an underestimate to me. All I've got handy is annual GDP figures for Canada, 1962-99. They show 3 years out of 38 contracting. Assuming those 3

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-12 Thread Charles Brown
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 07/11/01 05:34PM - remember, the U.S. economy has expanded for about 75% of the time since the end of WW II, though you'd never know that by reading PEN-L - CB: What percentage of the time before WWII did the U.S. economy expand ?

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-12 Thread Tom Walker
If I didn't know you better, Doug, I'd have guessed the So let me see if I've got this right gambit is a holdover from your adolescent right-wing Yale period. You can take the boy out of the Buckley, but you can't take the Buckley out of the boy. Jez kiddin'. No, of course you don't have it

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-11 Thread Rob Schaap
Sales at wholesalers fell in May and inventories rose more than at any time in the last 6 months, a sign that businesses may be reluctant to order more goods until the economy picks up. A bit of rational behaviour that helps put the whole at risk: I won't buy until things get better, which

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-11 Thread Doug Henwood
Rob Schaap wrote: All very nice, except the BLS Report told us yesterday of ... a little secret in the employment report that you should know about. The Labor Department said payroll employment fell 114,000 in June. What it did not tell you is that this reported change includes a bias

Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-11 Thread Rob Schaap
G'day Doug, It's wrong at turning points; it underestimates job creation early in recoveries, and overestimates it at peaks and early in recessions. But that's not most of the time (which you'd never know from reading PEN-L). Fair enough. But we have had evidence for well over a year (in

Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-11 Thread enilsson
Rob Schaap wrote: Which little statistical fib. . . Doug responded: This is not a fib. I generally have a lot of respect for the data produced by the BLS. They do a very good job at trying to figure out what is going on in the economy. They occasionally do introduce adjustments to take

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-07-11 Thread Tom Walker
Doug Henwood wrote, remember, the U.S. economy has expanded for about 75% of the time since the end of WW II That sounds like an underestimate to me. All I've got handy is annual GDP figures for Canada, 1962-99. They show 3 years out of 38 contracting. Assuming those 3 minus years contracted

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-06-25 Thread Rob Schaap
Richardson_D wrote: said a senior economist at CIBC World Markets Inc. in Toronto. When trade is falling in both directions, that is a sign that both domestic and foreign demand are falling. (The New York Times, page C6). Concise, coherent and cogent. Where would we be without senior

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-05-03 Thread Jim Devine
The BLS wrote: Labor Secretary Chao, in her first budget presentation to congressional appropriators, outlined on May 2 what she views as highlights in the Bush Administration's first budget proposal for the Labor Department. These include an $8.1 million funding increase for the Bureau

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-04-19 Thread jdevine
BLS DAILY REPORT, WEDNESDAY, APRIL 18, 2001: The Federal Reserve reports a rebound in manufacturing, especially in autos, boosted total production of the nation's industrial sector to a 0.4 percent seasonally adjusted rise in March. But the burst of factory output could not make up for a very

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-04-19 Thread christian11
nonetheless, the Fed cut rates in a seemingly panicked way. Is it possible that they're freaking out about international events? or rising saving by consumers? or what? -- Jim Devine There is a clear tone of consternation in the WSJ's front page account of the decision to cut. AG has been

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-03-27 Thread Jim Devine
from the BLS daily report: Excessive consumer and business debt, coupled with the fallout from the recent downturn in the stock market, are the primary threats to U.S. economic growth, according to a survey by the National Association for Business Economics. this sure fits with what I've

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-03-02 Thread Margaret Coleman
Nurses are distinctly underpaid in relation to their responsibilities -- in the hospital, they are the ones who keep you alive. maggie Jim Devine wrote: I have no complaints about PAs. When I was on the HMO, the doc's office assigned me to the PA (since they treated me as a second-class

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-02-27 Thread Margaret Coleman
Also, full time nurses work short staffed and forced over time on a routine basis. My mother was just is for cancer surgery and the night nurses worked 12 hour shifts all the time. maggie coleman Michael Perelman wrote: Part time nurses under temporary contracts are doing quite well,

Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-02-27 Thread Margaret Coleman
Yeah, but Physicians Assistants make more, on average, than nurses and can go into practice for themselves. Also, at least for women, PAs often provide better care than MDs -- for ex., PAs are midwives and provide routine gynecological care. I went to a PA for years instead of a gyno, and she

Re: Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-02-27 Thread Jim Devine
I have no complaints about PAs. When I was on the HMO, the doc's office assigned me to the PA (since they treated me as a second-class citizen). Then I went on the Preferred Provider plan and got the doc himself. He's fine, but too much into prescribing pills as a solution to all ills. I'm

Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-02-26 Thread Michael Perelman
Part time nurses under temporary contracts are doing quite well, although hospitals are downgrading many traditional nursing jobs to have non-professionals take over. -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University [EMAIL PROTECTED] Chico, CA 95929 530-898-5321 fax

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2001-02-26 Thread Jim Devine
Some nursing jobs have been taken over by Physicians' Assistants, who are basically low-paid MDs. At 12:17 PM 2/26/01 -0800, you wrote: Part time nurses under temporary contracts are doing quite well, although hospitals are downgrading many traditional nursing jobs to have non-professionals

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-11-30 Thread Michael Perelman
I always appreciate Dave's posts -- a valuable service to us all, especially since the latest one has the Morgan Stanley forecast that agrees with my feeling that the odds for a recession are increasing. Here is the beginning of the article that I mentioned: Tech Equipment makers such as Lucent

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-11-22 Thread Jim Devine
At 11:06 AM 11/22/00 -0500, you wrote: The New York Times profiles a family on page A22 that it describes as "an average American family in nearly every way, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics". There are two children, both parents work, and they earned about $40,000 combined last year,

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-11-22 Thread Charles Brown
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 11/22/00 11:48AM aren't all working people trapeze artists, in a way? ((( CB: I know balancing my budget has been quite an act for years.

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-29 Thread Michael Perelman
Marc Linder seems to lead several lives. Remember Anti-Samuelson. Richardson_D wrote: The issue of mandatory overtime has become one of concern in the labor relations arena. Employee advocates contend that employers use mandatory overtime to reduce the costs of hiring more workers and

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-29 Thread Doug Henwood
Michael Perelman wrote: Marc Linder seems to lead several lives. Remember Anti-Samuelson. He's a law prof at the University of Iowa, who seems to publish a book a year. He co-authored a history of Brooklyn that came out about a year ago, and Void Where Prohibited, which uses restrictions on

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-20 Thread Charles Brown
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 09/20/00 12:08PM BLS DAILY REPORT, TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 19, 2000: -clip- The percentage of young Americans holding summer jobs fell again this year, due to the strong economy, expanded summer-school programs and the growing popularity of unpaid internships, the Labor

RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-20 Thread Max Sawicky
-Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Charles Brown Sent: Wednesday, September 20, 2000 12:43 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [PEN-L:2089] Re: BLS Daily Report [EMAIL PROTECTED] 09/20/00 12:08PM BLS DAILY REPORT, TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-20 Thread Max Sawicky
sure. if your family is wealthy enough so that you don't care about money, they're a way to build your resume. They're a way to use family and other connections. In effect, it's a way that the class origins of the privileged are preserved. mbs (( CB: Gee, I wonder why UNpaid

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-20 Thread Joel Blau
These figures sound like an underestimate. I thought the figure in the latest edition of State of Working America was an additional 250 hours a year, with couples in $30,000-$75,000 range averaging 3800 hours annually. Time pressures like these mean that it is ever harder to maintain the myth

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-18 Thread Charles Brown
Is this Black hole a metaphor , or is it mathematically exact analogy ? CB (( __The current account deficit -- the broadest measure of the U.S. trade gap -- hit yet another record high last quarter. But there is little evidence so far that it is hurting the U.S. economy or the

RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-18 Thread Lisa Ian Murray
Is this Black hole a metaphor , or is it mathematically exact analogy ? CB In either the July or August Federal Reserve Bulletin, they do sound pretty scared about the trade deficit. Also the latest issue of Foreign Policy has a piece by Martin Wold titled "The Mother of All Meltdowns"

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-09-13 Thread Jim Devine
The durability of the recent productivity surge will help ensure that the U.S. economy stays on a steady path of solid expansion without threat of inflation heating up and ending the longest period of growth in the nation's history, a Federal Reserve official and leading business economists

Re: BLS Daily Report -- frictional U and political suppression

2000-07-26 Thread Timework Web
Once one gets beyond the quips of a Conference Board wag, one finds a residue of "so-call frictional employment", to the extent that "Even in the nation's burgeoning high-tech hubs, thousands of well-educated people are out of work." Following the excerpt from the BLS, I have appended a

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-07-21 Thread Michael Perelman
This article might be worth discussing in more detail. Max, is it on the EPI web? Richardson_D wrote: BLS DAILY REPORT, THURSDAY, JULY 20, 2000 An important but frequently overlooked factor in the nationwide decline in crime over the past few years has been the corresponding decline in the

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-06-27 Thread Michael Perelman
Everything that I read suggests that flexible hours means that employers want workers to be more flexible. Richardson_D wrote: BLS DAILY REPORT, FRIDAY, JUNE 23, 2000: Flexible hours -- "the most strongly sought, but most elusive workplace benefit" -- are likely to occupy an

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-04-21 Thread M A Jones
Thanks for this, I've forwarded it to the crashlist but without attribution: in future do you want me to forward it in your name, or would you like me to sub you to the List? Mark Jones http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList - Original Message - From: "Richardson_D" [EMAIL PROTECTED]

RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-04-21 Thread Max B. Sawicky
Thanks for this, I've forwarded it to the crashlist but without attribution: in future do you want me to forward it in your name, or would you like me to sub you to the List? Mark Jones http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList I have subbed you to my new list, LongWave2000, where we will discuss

Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-04-21 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: Doug Henwood wrote: Hmm, well last I checked, which was year-end 1999, the SP 500 was at 2.9 times its long-term trend price (long-term defined as since 1871). So just going back to the trendline would take the index down by 2/3, to a Dow-equivalent of 3735. And, as

RE: Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-04-21 Thread Mark Jones
Doug Henwood wrote: I think the great bull market (1982-2000?) is basically over Bull markets aren't usually followed by plateaux, are they? My infamous bet with poor Max was also based on a back-of-envelope calculation that the Dow would logically fall to 3k. BTW, even that would not mean

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-03-13 Thread Jim Devine
At 05:27 PM 3/10/00 -0500, you wrote: With little evidence from the survey or other data that growth has slowed-despite four interest-rate increases since last June--the Fed is expected to raise rates again at a March 21 policy making meeting. The Fed wants slower growth to make sure

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-03-06 Thread Michael Perelman
I thought that this stuff had been put to rest. Richardson_D wrote: BLS DAILY REPORT, WEDNESDAY, MARCH 1,2000 More than three years after concluding that the Consumer Price Index overstated inflation by 1.1 percentage points a year, a group of prominent economists says changes made to the

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-02-27 Thread Timework Web
BLS Daily Report: "The number of work stoppages hit an all-time low in 1999, with only 17 reported, BLS said. The 17 work stoppages amounted to half the number reported in 1998 and the lowest since BLS started keeping records in 1947. In the early 1950s, the high point of work stoppages, nearly

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-01-29 Thread Peter Dorman
Hey, Paul, haven't you heard? We can't afford the social insurance programs we've had in the past. Because of decades of capital accumulation and increasing GDP/capita, our societies have become poorer. Anyone who doesn't know this hasn't been reading the papers or watching TV. Peter [EMAIL

Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-01-28 Thread phillp2
Can anyone tell me why the US economy, reputably the strongest and most vibrant (in terms of technological improvement) in the world, is increasingly forced to dragoon its aged to work in order to maintain the minimal (frequently poverty level) standard of its senior citizens? Is this the

Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

2000-01-28 Thread Joel Blau
Child labor? Not quite. The narrow-gauged answer is that unlike most social insurance systems, the American social security system is supposed to be self-financing--i.e. it is supposed to be financed from payroll taxes alone and not take money from general revenues. This means that in the last

[PEN-L:12977] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-27 Thread Peter Dorman
Is there a document that explains the difference between the new and old classification systems and (ideally) demonstrates a crosswalk? Peter Richardson_D wrote: BLS DAILY REPORT, TUESDAY, OCTOBER 26, 1999 Under the new industrial classification system devised by the federal government,

[PEN-L:12961] Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-26 Thread Ken Hanly
If someone said that "high school" is affordable to most Americans that would probably be found quite unacceptable. Why is it that the state's obligation to provide education to everyone who can benefit does not extend to post-secondary education?University should be free, as it is in Cuba. I

[PEN-L:12952] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-26 Thread Doug Henwood
William S. Lear wrote: Is there information available as to the increases in tuition at various levels over, say, the past 20 years? See http://nces.ed.gov/pubs/Digest97/d97t312.html. Full listing of tables is at http://nces.ed.gov/pubs/Digest97/listtables.html. Doug

[PEN-L:12951] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-26 Thread michael
Tuition might be affordable, but in my classes I would guess the typical student works 15 to 20 hours a week. This outside work has increased enormously in the past two decades and represents the chief cause in the decline in what we can teach in a typical semester. -- Michael Perelman

[PEN-L:12950] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-26 Thread William S. Lear
On Tuesday, October 26, 1999 at 12:11:05 (-0400) Richardson_D writes: ... For most Americans, college remains affordable, according to a graph in USA Today (page 1A). More than half of the students who were attending a 4-year institution during 1999 to 2000 paid less than $4,000 in tuition and

[PEN-L:12798] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-19 Thread Doug Henwood
Jim Devine wrote: Does anyone know what the theory is that the new definition of the poverty line is based on? is this based on Patricia Ruggles' research? Among others. See http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/povmeas.html. Doug

[PEN-L:12791] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-19 Thread Jim Devine
The Census Bureau has begun to revise its definition of what constitutes poverty in the United States, experimenting with a formula that would drop millions more families below the poverty line. The bureau's new approach would in effect raise the income threshold for living above poverty to

[PEN-L:12730] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-10-14 Thread Jim Devine
At 04:59 PM 10/14/99 -0400, Dave Richardson forwarded: BLS DAILY REPORT, THURSDAY, OCTOBER 14, 1999: ... As the economy continues to grow and suburban jobless rats remain at record low levels, seasonal employees have become such rare finds that retailers warn that this holiday season

[PEN-L:9857] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-08-06 Thread Peter Dorman
A brief response to the latest word from BLS about workplace fatalities: 1. BLS attempts to tabulate fatal workplace injuries primarily; most fatal diseases are not recorded. The rule of thumb in this business is that there are 10 occupational disease fatalities for each fatal injury. 2. BLS

[PEN-L:8995] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-07-08 Thread Jim Devine
Though it may be bad manners to bask in the misfortune of others, it is now apparent that the economic crisis that began in Asia 2 years ago turned out to be a great tonic to the U.S. economy. But now, with Asian economics on the mend, their gain could mean some pain here. The U.S. economy now

[PEN-L:8997] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-07-08 Thread Doug Henwood
Jim Devine wrote: In what way was the 1997 Asian economic crisis a "great tonic" to the US economy? Is it because the price of US imports fell? That, plus massive capital inflows (ca. $1 trillion since 1995). How much real recovery is there in Asia? or is it just financial markets and banks

[PEN-L:8603] Re: BLS Daily Report and the offending piece

1999-06-30 Thread Tom Walker
More good news? The Washington Post views the record personal savings deficit as "giving the Fed ammunition" to justify a rate rise. But the other side of the coin is that it makes the upward adjustment of interest rates precarious. An increase in debt service costs has to either erode

[PEN-L:3276] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-02-11 Thread Doug Henwood
William S. Lear wrote: Dave, any way you can turn off the Microsoft crud that always follows the text? I don't get any Microsoft crud at the bottom of mine. Maybe Eudora's smart enough to repress it. Doug

[PEN-L:3275] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-02-11 Thread William S. Lear
Dave, any way you can turn off the Microsoft crud that always follows the text? Bill On Thu, February 11, 1999 at 15:42:40 (-0500) Richardson_D writes: BLS DAILY REPORT, THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 11, 1999: ...

[PEN-L:2981] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-02-05 Thread Peter Dorman
It would be interesting to know what the composition of this NAS panel is. Any friends of EPI? Peter Dorman Richardson_D wrote: BLS DAILY REPORT, THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 4, 1999 Next month, a newly appointed committee convened by the National Academy of Sciences will begin a 2-year study of

[PEN-L:2986] RE: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-02-05 Thread Max Sawicky
It would be interesting to know what the composition of this NAS panel is. Any friends of EPI? Peter Dorman Next month, a newly appointed committee convened by the National Academy of Sciences will begin a 2-year study of a wide range of issues related to cost of living indexes .

[PEN-L:2843] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-02-03 Thread Doug Henwood
Richardson_D forwarded from the BLS: BLS has asked for $7 million to complete the revisions to the CPI to make it reflect more accurately cost-of-living changes Wanna bet that means a still-lower CPI? Doug

[PEN-L:2801] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-02-02 Thread Tom Walker
BLS DAILY REPORT, MONDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 1999 "This economy is the wonder of the economic world," Robert Dederick, consultant with the Northern Trust Co., tells the Bureau of National Affairs. "This is rewrite the [economic] textbook time. While the consumer continues to buy as if there is no

[PEN-L:2657] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-27 Thread Tom Walker
__The AFL-CIO, pointing to new statistics from BLS that show membership in unions increased by more than 100,000 in 1998, says the organizing strategy laid out by the federation's leadership more than three years ago is working. In what is called putting a positive spin . . . The density of

[PEN-L:2416] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-21 Thread Doug Henwood
Tom Walker wrote: RELEASED TODAY: Median weekly earnings of the nation's 96.2 million full-time wage and salary workers were $541 in the fourth quarter of 1998. This was 5.9 percent higher than a year earlier, compared with a gain of 1.5 percent in the CPI-U over the same period. ... Four and

[PEN-L:2005] Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-08 Thread Rob Schaap
G'day Ellen and Jim, Jim writes: IMHO, the strength of the US stock market first and foremost reflects the strength of the US profit rate I get confused here. Many 1998 annual reports within the Fortune 500 pointed at DECLINING profits, no? And might we not be conflating 'core business'

[PEN-L:2003] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-07 Thread Jim Devine
Ellen quotes: BLS DAILY REPORT, WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 6, 1999 The prevailing view at the three-day meeting of the American Economic Association was that high stock prices probably reflect the economy's actual strength and not a speculative bubble that could burst. ... In the minds of many

[PEN-L:2004] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-07 Thread Tom Walker
strength and not a speculative bubble that could burst...In the minds of many economists, the stock market serves mainly as a gauge of the real economy and a stimulus for spending. I guess that means that "in the minds of many economists" the real economy grew 2.5% yesterday but then shrunk a

[PEN-L:2002] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-07 Thread Ellen T. Frank
At 10:45 AM 1/7/99 -0500, you wrote: BLS DAILY REPORT, WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 6, 1999 The prevailing view at the three-day meeting of the American Economic Association was that high stock prices probably reflect the economy's actual strength and not a speculative bubble that could burst. ... In the

[PEN-L:2007] Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-07 Thread Tavis Barr
On Thu, 7 Jan 1999, Jim Devine wrote: Ellen writes: Over the last few days, I have been looking over data on wages, exports, bankruptcies, etc. in the former so-called emerging markets. International capital, it seems, is really putting the screws to the laboring classes in Asia and

[PEN-L:2010] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-07 Thread Charles Brown
Seems like "a" ,not "the", triumph of capitalism. Charles Brown "Ellen T. Frank" [EMAIL PROTECTED] 01/07 12:16 PM At 10:45 AM 1/7/99 -0500, you wrote: BLS DAILY REPORT, WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 6, 1999 The prevailing view at the three-day meeting of the American Economic Association was that high

[PEN-L:2008] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-07 Thread Rosser Jr, John Barkley
Gosh, well I didn't get to any of those sessions where people were being so pollyannaish about the US stock market. OTOH lots of us have gotten burned predicting imminent collapses, etc., that have not happened, or were followed more than compensatory runups, as in the second half of

[PEN-L:2009] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-07 Thread Tom Walker
Barkley Rosser wrote, Of course he could be wrong and this is January, when the "January Effect" of unusually rapidly rising stock prices frequently happens. But then October is often a time of unusual declines and this last one saw a record runup. Oh well, we shall just have to wait

[PEN-L:1988] Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-06 Thread Jim Devine
Doug writes: Ok, the adjustments to the CPI so far have lowered it by 0.4 points, and here we've got another 0.2. It looks like the Boskinites have won. Last time I said that, people disagreed, but I'm going to say it again. Not to minimize the bad news concerning this reestimation, but the good

[PEN-L:1994] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-06 Thread Tom Walker
Doug Henwood wrote, sounds like the Fed is worried about the stock market, now that the crisis period in Asia is fading. The president of the Atlanta Fed gave a speech the other day that evoked bubblish fears, though in that careful way Fedsters do. I was wondering when someone was going to

[PEN-L:1992] Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-06 Thread Doug Henwood
Jim Devine wrote: Not to minimize the bad news concerning this reestimation, but the good news, as Dave Richardson pointed out awhile back, is that lower measured inflation rates mean that the Fed is less likely to get pressured to step on the brakes. I'm way out of touch here in southwestern

[PEN-L:1962] Re: BLS Daily Report

1999-01-04 Thread Doug Henwood
Richardson_D wrote: "Consumer Choice and the CPI: Tossing a Variable Into the Market Basket" is the title of a "Trendlines" article by John M. Berry in the Washington Post. Berry says that BLS has been publishing an experimental version of the CPI that adjusts for consumer substitution of an

Re: [PEN-L:1576] Re: Re: Re: BLS Daily report

1998-12-18 Thread Anthony D'Costa
On Tue, 15 Dec 1998, Doug Henwood wrote: Michael Perelman wrote: In response to Tom's question below, I suspect that the Bank of International Settlements may be correct in so far as they go. The norm is not for a company to remove jobs via direct investment in a facility abroad.

Re: [PEN-L:1573] Re: BLS Daily report

1998-12-16 Thread Anthony D'Costa
There is plenty of arguments and evidence as why FDI in LDCs do not displace jobs in the home countries in the same magnitude as popular perceptions might warrant. The reason is different segments of the production process or different types of production are normally farmed out. In other words

Re: [PEN-L:1573] Re: BLS Daily report

1998-12-16 Thread Peter Dorman
There's a huge literature on this topic, which I don't have time to get into right now. (I summarized and critiqued the first wave of it in a report I wrote to the Labor Dept. back in 1995.) All I will say right now is that the question has generally been ill-posed. (1) It looks for absolute

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