[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread John McMurry
On May 12, 1:33 am, Jim Thill - Hiawatha Cyclery thill@gmail.com
wrote:
 The discussion about the new Pacenti 650B tires momentarily ventured
 into commentary on the future of 650B. I thought this was worth a
 discussion of its own.

It can be interesting to try to predict the future.

 Two or three years ago we had 650B bikes at Hiawatha Cyclery from at
 least three manufacturers: Rivendell, Kogswell, and Rawland. Now
 Rivendell does 650B only on smaller sizes of certain models,

Not true: Betty Foys’ and Yves Gomez’ are 650b specific.  Also, (and I
know Jim didn't say this) just because Rivendell tends to size the
wheel to the size of the frame on other models doesn't mean Rivendell
is losing interest in any particular wheel size.

 Kogswell
 seems to be on an indefinite hiatus,

That has little to do with 650b.  As I understand it, Longleaf Cycles
plans to pickup that torch.

 and Rawland's new models have
 been displayed at various venues with 622 and 559 wheels (with disc
 brakes, 650B will still be an option).

As far as I know and as advertised on their website, Rawland's frames
are 650b specific.  Showing the frame's versatility with 622 and 559mm
wheelsets at venues may be just that.

 To the extent that 650B has gone mainstream, it is by and large in the
 27.5 wheel size for mountain bikes. It seems like new disc-specific
 rim and fat-knobby tire options are proliferating, but the 650B rim
 and tire options for road bikes have not expanded much, if at all,
 since I first read about 650B in the Rivendell Reader.

Huh?!  That must have been a very, very recent issue.  650b road
options have blossomed since the Riv Reader first mentioned 650b.

 There are some
 small importers/manufacturers like Jan Heine with the Gran Bois and
 now Pacenti with his Pari-Moto, but they have yet to get their tires
 into the QBP catalog or on any Treks. I was pleasantly surprised to
 see another of my mainstream distributors pick up some 650B stuff, but
 again, it was mostly of the MTB variety.

Do small market products have to go mainstream or corporate in order
to maintain?

 I'm not sure Rivendell and a few custom framebuilders can sell enough
 650B bikes to support much expansion, or even maintain current levels
 of the 650B rim/tire selection and availability. Unless the 650B size
 gets picked up by Trek or some other major player, I think its future
 will be at best as a niche item with limited selection and spotty
 availability.

It appears that some folks feel that for a product to continue to be
produced, that it must have exponential sales numbers from year to
year.  While my economics classes are far, far behind me; I just don’t
see that as a necessity.

 I'd encourage 650B bike owners and aficionados to
 stockpile an extra set of rims and a couple sets of favorite tires,
 just in case.

That is a nice suggestion, but it also sparks unwarranted fear.

John McMurry
Burlington, VT

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Re: [RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread Rob Harrison
My take, having just bought my first 650b bike, is that there will  
always be *something* available. We can still get a nice range of  
freewheels, what, 20 years after Trek stopped spec'ing them?


650b was always a niche market in a niche market. I've been in those  
kinds of spaces my whole personal and professional life, and I'm quite  
comfortable there.


And hey, maybe we'll have a big article on 700c conversions in RR 62

Rob in Seattle

On May 12, 2010, at 8:53 AM, John McMurry johnmcmu...@gmail.com wrote:


I'd encourage 650B bike owners and aficionados to
stockpile an extra set of rims and a couple sets of favorite tires,
just in case.


That is a nice suggestion, but it also sparks unwarranted fear.


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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread JoelMatthews
 We can still get a nice range of freewheels, what, 20 years after Trek 
 stopped spec'ing them?

But Freewheels made up a much larger percentage of the market than
650B ever did.

The more apt comparison is VHS and Beta.  You can still get both, but
VHS is much easier to find than Beta.

On May 12, 11:12 am, Rob Harrison robha...@gmail.com wrote:
 My take, having just bought my first 650b bike, is that there will  
 always be *something* available. We can still get a nice range of  
 freewheels, what, 20 years after Trek stopped spec'ing them?

 650b was always a niche market in a niche market. I've been in those  
 kinds of spaces my whole personal and professional life, and I'm quite  
 comfortable there.

 And hey, maybe we'll have a big article on 700c conversions in RR 62

 Rob in Seattle

 On May 12, 2010, at 8:53 AM, John McMurry johnmcmu...@gmail.com wrote:

  I'd encourage 650B bike owners and aficionados to
  stockpile an extra set of rims and a couple sets of favorite tires,
  just in case.

  That is a nice suggestion, but it also sparks unwarranted fear.

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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread Jim Thill - Hiawatha Cyclery
Huh?!  That must have been a very, very recent issue.  650b road
options have blossomed since the Riv Reader first mentioned 650b.

No this was several years ago, when the Saluki/Wilbury/Glorius/Bleriot
650B bikes were first being discussed. Grant mentioned several 650B
tires apparently available at the time that I have never actually seen
in person (under the brands Michelin, Mitsuboshi, etc). Our 650B stock
and sales are limited to the same tires that Riv sells now, all of
which have been around for several years (CdlV, NS/MF, FR, a couple
Schwalbes). All have limited distribution channels and often spotty
availability. I hear the GB tires are wonderful, but the combination
of high price, low margin, and even lower sales volume means that it's
not something I plan to stock. I'm hopeful that the Pacenti tire will
be more feasible for me to have in stock (i.e. available through QBP),
but I haven't laid my hands on any yet. I'm not sure I'd describe this
as a set of options that has blossomed. Seems to me that there is a
very small handful of people/companies (Grant, Jan, VO) who could
shift priorities in life, and the 650B supply would quickly get pretty
thin.


On May 12, 10:53 am, John McMurry johnmcmu...@gmail.com wrote:
 On May 12, 1:33 am, Jim Thill - Hiawatha Cyclery thill@gmail.com
 wrote:

  The discussion about the new Pacenti 650B tires momentarily ventured
  into commentary on the future of 650B. I thought this was worth a
  discussion of its own.

 It can be interesting to try to predict the future.

  Two or three years ago we had 650B bikes at Hiawatha Cyclery from at
  least three manufacturers: Rivendell, Kogswell, and Rawland. Now
  Rivendell does 650B only on smaller sizes of certain models,

 Not true: Betty Foys’ and Yves Gomez’ are 650b specific.  Also, (and I
 know Jim didn't say this) just because Rivendell tends to size the
 wheel to the size of the frame on other models doesn't mean Rivendell
 is losing interest in any particular wheel size.

  Kogswell
  seems to be on an indefinite hiatus,

 That has little to do with 650b.  As I understand it, Longleaf Cycles
 plans to pickup that torch.

  and Rawland's new models have
  been displayed at various venues with 622 and 559 wheels (with disc
  brakes, 650B will still be an option).

 As far as I know and as advertised on their website, Rawland's frames
 are 650b specific.  Showing the frame's versatility with 622 and 559mm
 wheelsets at venues may be just that.

  To the extent that 650B has gone mainstream, it is by and large in the
  27.5 wheel size for mountain bikes. It seems like new disc-specific
  rim and fat-knobby tire options are proliferating, but the 650B rim
  and tire options for road bikes have not expanded much, if at all,
  since I first read about 650B in the Rivendell Reader.

 Huh?!  That must have been a very, very recent issue.  650b road
 options have blossomed since the Riv Reader first mentioned 650b.

  There are some
  small importers/manufacturers like Jan Heine with the Gran Bois and
  now Pacenti with his Pari-Moto, but they have yet to get their tires
  into the QBP catalog or on any Treks. I was pleasantly surprised to
  see another of my mainstream distributors pick up some 650B stuff, but
  again, it was mostly of the MTB variety.

 Do small market products have to go mainstream or corporate in order
 to maintain?

  I'm not sure Rivendell and a few custom framebuilders can sell enough
  650B bikes to support much expansion, or even maintain current levels
  of the 650B rim/tire selection and availability. Unless the 650B size
  gets picked up by Trek or some other major player, I think its future
  will be at best as a niche item with limited selection and spotty
  availability.

 It appears that some folks feel that for a product to continue to be
 produced, that it must have exponential sales numbers from year to
 year.  While my economics classes are far, far behind me; I just don’t
 see that as a necessity.

  I'd encourage 650B bike owners and aficionados to
  stockpile an extra set of rims and a couple sets of favorite tires,
  just in case.

 That is a nice suggestion, but it also sparks unwarranted fear.

 John McMurry
 Burlington, VT

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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread NickBull
Actually, when one of our VHS players broke, recently, I couldn't find
a replacement at Best Buy, Sears, or Target, except for more-expensive
($100) dual-purpose machines that combine tape and DVD.

Nick

On May 12, 12:35 pm, JoelMatthews joelmatth...@mac.com wrote:
  We can still get a nice range of freewheels, what, 20 years after Trek 
  stopped spec'ing them?

 But Freewheels made up a much larger percentage of the market than
 650B ever did.

 The more apt comparison is VHS and Beta.  You can still get both, but
 VHS is much easier to find than Beta.

 On May 12, 11:12 am, Rob Harrison robha...@gmail.com wrote:



  My take, having just bought my first 650b bike, is that there will  
  always be *something* available. We can still get a nice range of  
  freewheels, what, 20 years after Trek stopped spec'ing them?

  650b was always a niche market in a niche market. I've been in those  
  kinds of spaces my whole personal and professional life, and I'm quite  
  comfortable there.

  And hey, maybe we'll have a big article on 700c conversions in RR 62

  Rob in Seattle

  On May 12, 2010, at 8:53 AM, John McMurry johnmcmu...@gmail.com wrote:

   I'd encourage 650B bike owners and aficionados to
   stockpile an extra set of rims and a couple sets of favorite tires,
   just in case.

   That is a nice suggestion, but it also sparks unwarranted fear.

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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread John McMurry
On May 12, 12:46 pm, Jim Thill - Hiawatha Cyclery
thill@gmail.com wrote:
 Huh?!  That must have been a very, very recent issue.  650b road
 options have blossomed since the Riv Reader first mentioned 650b.

 No this was several years ago, when the Saluki/Wilbury/Glorius/Bleriot
 650B bikes were first being discussed.

There are several scattered years between those frame discussions.  In
my recollection, the Readers started seriously discussing 650b about 6
or 7 years ago.

 Grant mentioned several 650B
 tires apparently available at the time that I have never actually seen
 in person (under the brands Michelin, Mitsuboshi, etc).

About 6 years ago, this is what was generally available:

Schwalbe HS 159,
Mitsuboshi Trimline,
Panaracer Col de la Vie and,
Michelin Megamium.

 Our 650B stock
 and sales are limited to the same tires that Riv sells now, all of
 which have been around for several years (CdlV, NS/MF, FR, a couple
 Schwalbes). All have limited distribution channels and often spotty
 availability. I hear the GB tires are wonderful, but the combination
 of high price, low margin, and even lower sales volume means that it's
 not something I plan to stock.

Where our differences lie is probably due to the seats we sit in.  As
a consumer, I needn't worry about stocking, margins, and volume,
whereas as a merchant, I would.

 I'm hopeful that the Pacenti tire will
 be more feasible for me to have in stock (i.e. available through QBP),
 but I haven't laid my hands on any yet.

I just got word my LBS's have them in hand.  I hope to buy a pair this
week.  I'd guess your shipment is near.

 I'm not sure I'd describe this
 as a set of options that has blossomed.

No?  Here are the 584mm road tires consumers have available now:

Schwalbe HS 159,
Schwalbe Marathon,
Panaracer Col de la Vie,
Sunlite Street Tire,
Panaracer Nifty Swifty,
Panaracer Maxy Fasty,
Panaracer Fatty Rumpkin,
Panaracer/SOMA New Xpress,
Grand Bois Cypres,
Grand Bois Ourson,
Grand Bois Hetre,
Pacenti Pari-Moto,
Nokian A10.

I'd think that quantitatively, that qualifies near a blossom.

 Seems to me that there is a
 very small handful of people/companies (Grant, Jan, VO) who could
 shift priorities in life, and the 650B supply would quickly get pretty
 thin.

Sure, Riv, Grand Bois, VO, Schwalbe, Pacenti, Panaracer, and
Continental could all simultaneously shift priorities, but that
doesn't change the demand.  I'd bet somebody would seize that
opportunity.

John McMurry
Burlington, VT

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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread JoelMatthews
 Actually, when one of our VHS players broke, recently, I couldn't find
 a replacement at Best Buy, Sears, or Target, except for more-expensive
 ($100) dual-purpose machines that combine tape and DVD.

I was thinking more the aftermarket.  Just as there are many NOS or
otherwise workable freewheels available on eBay so to there are many
NOS VHS.  You can find Beta aftermarket and you can find 650B
aftermarket.  Depending what you want though, the look can take a lot
of effort.

To your point, however, there is at least one mainstream - IRdD -
company making freewheels and they are readily available.

On May 12, 11:58 am, NickBull nick.bike.b...@gmail.com wrote:
 Actually, when one of our VHS players broke, recently, I couldn't find
 a replacement at Best Buy, Sears, or Target, except for more-expensive
 ($100) dual-purpose machines that combine tape and DVD.

 Nick

 On May 12, 12:35 pm, JoelMatthews joelmatth...@mac.com wrote:





   We can still get a nice range of freewheels, what, 20 years after Trek 
   stopped spec'ing them?

  But Freewheels made up a much larger percentage of the market than
  650B ever did.

  The more apt comparison is VHS and Beta.  You can still get both, but
  VHS is much easier to find than Beta.

  On May 12, 11:12 am, Rob Harrison robha...@gmail.com wrote:

   My take, having just bought my first 650b bike, is that there will  
   always be *something* available. We can still get a nice range of  
   freewheels, what, 20 years after Trek stopped spec'ing them?

   650b was always a niche market in a niche market. I've been in those  
   kinds of spaces my whole personal and professional life, and I'm quite  
   comfortable there.

   And hey, maybe we'll have a big article on 700c conversions in RR 62

   Rob in Seattle

   On May 12, 2010, at 8:53 AM, John McMurry johnmcmu...@gmail.com wrote:

I'd encourage 650B bike owners and aficionados to
stockpile an extra set of rims and a couple sets of favorite tires,
just in case.

That is a nice suggestion, but it also sparks unwarranted fear.

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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread JoelMatthews
 No?  Here are the 584mm road tires consumers have available now:

To Jim's point, I recently was in the market for a 40 hole 650b rim.
I did not find any current makes.  Fortunately, Jan Heine had one NOS
set of Mavic MA-1s he was willing to sell.  Otherwise I would not have
been able to use the hubs I had in mind.

On May 12, 12:59 pm, John McMurry johnmcmu...@gmail.com wrote:
 On May 12, 12:46 pm, Jim Thill - Hiawatha Cyclery

 thill@gmail.com wrote:
  Huh?!  That must have been a very, very recent issue.  650b road
  options have blossomed since the Riv Reader first mentioned 650b.

  No this was several years ago, when the Saluki/Wilbury/Glorius/Bleriot
  650B bikes were first being discussed.

 There are several scattered years between those frame discussions.  In
 my recollection, the Readers started seriously discussing 650b about 6
 or 7 years ago.

  Grant mentioned several 650B
  tires apparently available at the time that I have never actually seen
  in person (under the brands Michelin, Mitsuboshi, etc).

 About 6 years ago, this is what was generally available:

 Schwalbe HS 159,
 Mitsuboshi Trimline,
 Panaracer Col de la Vie and,
 Michelin Megamium.

  Our 650B stock
  and sales are limited to the same tires that Riv sells now, all of
  which have been around for several years (CdlV, NS/MF, FR, a couple
  Schwalbes). All have limited distribution channels and often spotty
  availability. I hear the GB tires are wonderful, but the combination
  of high price, low margin, and even lower sales volume means that it's
  not something I plan to stock.

 Where our differences lie is probably due to the seats we sit in.  As
 a consumer, I needn't worry about stocking, margins, and volume,
 whereas as a merchant, I would.

  I'm hopeful that the Pacenti tire will
  be more feasible for me to have in stock (i.e. available through QBP),
  but I haven't laid my hands on any yet.

 I just got word my LBS's have them in hand.  I hope to buy a pair this
 week.  I'd guess your shipment is near.

  I'm not sure I'd describe this
  as a set of options that has blossomed.

 No?  Here are the 584mm road tires consumers have available now:

 Schwalbe HS 159,
 Schwalbe Marathon,
 Panaracer Col de la Vie,
 Sunlite Street Tire,
 Panaracer Nifty Swifty,
 Panaracer Maxy Fasty,
 Panaracer Fatty Rumpkin,
 Panaracer/SOMA New Xpress,
 Grand Bois Cypres,
 Grand Bois Ourson,
 Grand Bois Hetre,
 Pacenti Pari-Moto,
 Nokian A10.

 I'd think that quantitatively, that qualifies near a blossom.

  Seems to me that there is a
  very small handful of people/companies (Grant, Jan, VO) who could
  shift priorities in life, and the 650B supply would quickly get pretty
  thin.

 Sure, Riv, Grand Bois, VO, Schwalbe, Pacenti, Panaracer, and
 Continental could all simultaneously shift priorities, but that
 doesn't change the demand.  I'd bet somebody would seize that
 opportunity.

 John McMurry
 Burlington, VT

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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread John McMurry
On May 12, 2:05 pm, JoelMatthews joelmatth...@mac.com wrote:
  No?  Here are the 584mm road tires consumers have available now:

 To Jim's point, I recently was in the market for a 40 hole 650b rim.
 I did not find any current makes.  

According to the original post, Jim's point is that the future of 650b
is uncertain due to his recent observations.  That you can't find a 40-
hole, 650b rim is an entirely different point.

John McMurry
Burlington, VT

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Re: [RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread Bruce
Add the Continental Tour Ride also in 42mm and 54 mm





 Schwalbe HS 159,
 Schwalbe Marathon,
 Panaracer Col de la Vie,
 Sunlite Street Tire,
 Panaracer Nifty Swifty,
 Panaracer Maxy Fasty,
 Panaracer Fatty Rumpkin,
 Panaracer/SOMA New Xpress,
 Grand Bois Cypres,
 Grand Bois Ourson,
 Grand Bois Hetre,
 Pacenti Pari-Moto,
 Nokian A10.

 I



  

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[RBW] Re: 650B market is plenty alive

2010-05-12 Thread JoelMatthews
 According to the original post, Jim's point is that the future of 650b
 is uncertain due to his recent observations.  That you can't find a 40-
 hole, 650b rim is an entirely different point.

Seems like we are splitting hairs here.

Certainly it underscores that 650b is not as well supported as other
wheel sizes, which is the take away I get from Jim's point.

And why I at least think is does make sense to buy a spare set of 650b
rims and tires that fit my long term plans as I come across them.

On May 12, 1:12 pm, John McMurry johnmcmu...@gmail.com wrote:
 On May 12, 2:05 pm, JoelMatthews joelmatth...@mac.com wrote:

   No?  Here are the 584mm road tires consumers have available now:

  To Jim's point, I recently was in the market for a 40 hole 650b rim.
  I did not find any current makes.  

 According to the original post, Jim's point is that the future of 650b
 is uncertain due to his recent observations.  That you can't find a 40-
 hole, 650b rim is an entirely different point.

 John McMurry
 Burlington, VT

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