NZ on track to miss targets by huge margin, 28 Oct, 2013
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/news/2013/10/28/policy-politics/nz-track-miss-targets-huge-margin


Climate
Policy & Politics

Reuters Point Carbon

New Zealand’s greenhouse gas emissions are set to rise nearly 50 per cent
by 2040, according to new government modelling, taking the country well off
course to meet its commitment to cut emissions in half by mid-century.*

A report from the ministry of environment showed the country’s net
emissions are expected to grow to nearly 90 million tonnes of CO2
equivalent in 2040 from current levels of around 60 million, while the
government target is to bring emissions down to 30 million tonnes by 2050.

“The trend in net emissions is dominated by our projections of emissions
and removals from forestry,” the report said.

A large number of CO2-absorbing trees planted in the country in the 1990s
are set to be harvested at the end of this decade, meaning overall
emissions are likely to rise throughout the 2020s, it added.

Asked by the Green Party in parliament about the projections on Wednesday,
Simon Bridges, associate minister for climate change, said emissions were
projected to rise because of current low carbon prices in the country’s
Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS).

Critics have said New Zealand’s carbon market is too weak to incentivise
forest-planting, with carbon prices so low that foresters make more profit
chopping down trees to sell the timber.

“We know that as we make progress in international (climate change)
negotiations, that carbon price will surely rise,” Bridges said.

“The emissions trading scheme is a long-term tool, and it is not hard to
imagine that with a good outcome on a new global agreement and leadership
from the major economies, we will need to adjust our own domestic policy
response, as well.”

Domestic emissions permits in the New Zealand ETS currently trade at
NZ$3.75 ($3.15), but companies are also allowed to comply by buying
U.N.-backed carbon credits, which are available for only 30 cents each.

The New Zealand government last year removed legislation that would have
forced big companies to pay for a bigger share of their emissions and
restrict access to international credits - both moves that would have
driven up carbon prices.

It also put on hold indefinitely including in the scheme emissions from
agriculture, which accounts for nearly 50 per cent of New Zealand’s
emissions.

“It is policy incoherence of this breath-taking dimension that wins us
fossil awards at the U.N. conferences – with Warsaw beckoning next month,”
said Greens MP Kennedy Graham on his blog on Wednesday.

He was referring to the infamous prizes awarded by green groups at U.N.
climate negotiations to the countries they deem to be failing to act to
tackle climate change.

The main annual meeting takes place next month in Poland, where countries
will be tasked with making progress towards a 2015 global pact to bind all
nations into curbing emissions from 2020.

A spokesman for Climate Change Minister Tim Groser told Reuters on Thursday
that the government had no plans to reform the nation’s carbon market.

He said government will continue to fund research on greenhouse gases from
food production.

“The Government is investing $45 million into the Global Research Alliance
on Greenhouse Gases, bringing together 40 countries to find ways to grow
more food without growing greenhouse gas emissions,” he added
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