Mark,

Good points.  But i'm still unclear about the
economics of large-scale commercial production. 
Whether you're using oil that is a byproduct of the 
livestock feed industry or getting biodiesel as a
byproduct of making soap, I don't see why that should
matter.  The point I'm making is that this is a
relatively new use for what was heretofore a
by-product, and that therefore the economics of
centralized production shouldn't be so unfavorable.

Sure, if you're trucking soybeans or the oil from afar
to a central facility just to make biodiesel and then
shipping it out again to hither and yon for sale, that
would hurt.  When you describe making biodiesel on a
large scale as an "inefficient process," I assume that
you're referring to the shipping aspect.  (Or are
there other inefficient aspects?)  But if you're
ALREADY bring the oil or beans to one place for a
different purpose, I would think that cost is subsumed
in that primary purpose.

And actually, in conversations with others I've been
told that the economics of small-scale commercial
production are unfavorable.  You don't get economies
of scale of collecting WVO or whatever your feedstock
is.  For example, if I wanted to open a facility in
Seattle, how much time and $ would it cost me to
collect WVO from all over town?  I can see that being
prohibitive.  Am I totally off-base here?  Any
thoughts anyone?

The best business-model for local production I've
heard of, and this came from Tomas Endicott at
Sequential Biofuels, is for an oil-leasing business. 
You "rent" virgin oil to restaurants and then take it
back to produce vegetable biodiesel.  Your delivery
trucks run full both ways.  It's very
"Cradle-to-Cradle."  If you run the oil-supply
business just as a break-even venture, then you have
essentially "free" WVO for your biodiesel production. 
THAT would cool.  Anyone want to invest some $ to see
how this would work in Seattle.  No pushing now, one
at a time. ;)

I just think that $3.00/gallon is a lot for something
that is a byproduct.

thor skov

Message: 8
   Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:36:11 -0000
   From: "skillshare" 
Subject: Re: price of world energy BD going up?

--- In biofuel@yahoogroups.com, Thor Skov  
wrote:
>
> 
> Here's my question though.  I thought that US virgin
> oil biodiesel production was largely a bi-product of
> the soap industry.  If true, I would expect this
> by-product to be somewhat insulated from price
shocks.
> 
It;s a byproduct of the livestock feed industry
actually- most soy in this country is grown for
livestock feed, and the oil is pressed out of it first
in the process of making the soy meal that goes into
the feed.

> Since I have no idea what the market is like for
> biodiesel, I don't know what demand is doing. 
> Growing, presumably, since a number of big plants
are
> coming on line in California.  But then, I would
hope
> to see a fall in the price once that production hits
> the market.
I think a lot of people expect this to happen but the
opposite is the case. But the profit margin for
commercial producers is tiny- they aren't getting rich
off of this, just wasting a lot of money in the
inefficient process by which biodiesel goes from being
raw oil to actually fueling a vehicle. 

This is where local production realy shines- the
economics of it are spectacular compared to
centralised big production.  But I think it takes a
mental shift for many people to see this (ie such 
as potential investors)- since we're used to the
paradigm in this economy that says that "economy of
scale" leads to cheaper prices. I don't htink it
applies as well to biodiesel, (at least WVO-sourced
biodiesel, which is the primary California 
feedstock, etc...).

mark



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