http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2005-11/25/content_3834995.htm
Xinhua - English
Carbon dioxide levels highest in 650,000 years: studies

www.chinaview.cn 2005-11-25 16:44:24

    LOS ANGELES, Nov. 25 (Xinhuanet) -- With the first in-depth 
analysis of the air bubbles trapped in the ice core of east 
Antarctica, scientists have discovered that today's atmospheric 
carbon dioxide levels are the highest in 650,000 years.

    The analysis highlights the fact that today's rising atmospheric 
carbon dioxide concentration, at 380 parts per million by volume, is 
already 27 percent higher than its highest recorded level during the 
last 650,000 years, reported scientists in two papers in the Nov. 25 
issue of the journal Science.

    One study chronicles the stable relationship between climate and 
the carbon cycle during the Pleistocene (650,000 to 390,000 years 
ago). The second paper documents atmospheric methane and nitrous 
oxide levels over the same period.

    Carbon dioxide and methane, known as greenhouse gases, are blamed 
for global warming. Scientists believe that humans have been 
accelerating the global warming trend by emitting more greenhouse gas 
through industrialization.

    The ice core from Antarctica, containing hundreds of thousands of 
years-worth of atmospheric air samples within tiny bubbles trapped in 
the ice, adds to this argument by extending Earth's greenhouse gas 
record by 210,000 years.

    The new records should help scientists better understand climate 
change and the nature of the current warm period on Earth, and may 
also aid researchers in reducing uncertainty in predictions of future 
climate change, said the researchers.

    "We have added another piece of information showing that the 
timescales on which humans have changed the composition of the 
atmosphere are extremely short compared to the natural time cycles of 
the climate system," Thomas Stocker, senior author for both studies, 
said in a statement.

    The new studies confirm the stable relationship between the 
Antarctic climate and greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane 
during the last four glacial cycles.

    The ice core analysis also extends this relationship back another 
two glacial cycles, to a time when the warm "interglacial" periods 
were milder and longer than more recent warm periods, according to 
the researchers.

    The new atmospheric and climate records from the ice core also 
indicate that the response of the natural carbon cycle to climate 
warming remains the same over time, explained the researchers.

    The new ice core analysis provides insights on our present 
interglacial warm period through a glimpse into Antarctic climate and 
greenhouse gas concentrations during the most recent warm period that 
is relatively similar to our current warm period. Known as Marine 
Isotope Stage 11 or MIS 11, this analog warm period occurred between 
420,000 and 400,000 years ago.

    The similarities between our current warm period and MIS 11 are 
primarily due to a similar configuration of the orbits of the Earth 
around the Sun: the relative positions of the Earth and Sun are 
thought to be the key driver of ice age cycles.

    "MIS 11 shows us that the climate system can indeed reside in a 
warm period for 20,000 or 30,000 years, something that we can't say 
based on the last three warm phases which are no longer than about 
10,000 years each," said Stocker.

    The greenhouse gas record also provides indirect evidence for 
abrupt climate change in the past, the researchers found. This 
suggests that abrupt climatic events on time scales relevant to 
societies may be common features of the last climatic cycles.

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