Re: [WISPA] Broadband Baloney full text

2007-07-25 Thread Marlon K. Schafer

Finally!  Someone upstairs get it!
marlon

- Original Message - 
From: Mike Hammett [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To: WISPA List wireless@wispa.org
Sent: Tuesday, July 24, 2007 1:12 PM
Subject: [WISPA] Broadband Baloney full text


Broadband Baloney (Opinion) FCC Commissioner Robert McDowell


Broadband Baloney

The Wall Street Journal
07/24/2007

American consumers are poised to reap a windfall of benefits from a new wave 
of broadband deployment. But you would never know it by the rhetoric of 
those who would have us believe that the nation is falling behind, indeed in 
free fall.


Looming over the horizon are heavy-handed government mandates setting 
arbitrary standards, speeds and build-out requirements that could favor some 
technologies over others, raise prices and degrade service. This would be a 
mistaken road to take -- although it would hardly be the first time in 
history that alarmists have ignored cold, hard facts in pursuit of bad 
policy.


Exhibit A for the alarmists are statistics from the Organization for 
Economic Cooperation and Development. The OECD says the U.S. has dropped 
from 12th in the world in broadband subscribers per 100 residents to 15th.


The OECD's methodology is seriously flawed, however. According to an 
analysis by the Phoenix Center, if all OECD countries including the U.S. 
enjoyed 100% broadband penetration -- with all homes and businesses being 
connected -- our rank would fall to 20th. The U.S. would be deemed a 
relative failure because the OECD methodology measures broadband connections 
per capita, putting countries with larger household sizes at a statistical 
disadvantage.


The OECD also overlooks that the U.S. is the largest broadband market in the 
world, with over 65 million subscribers -- more than twice the number of 
America's closest competitor. We got there because of our superior household 
adoption rates. According to several recent surveys, the average percentage 
of U.S. households taking broadband is about 42%; the EU average is 23%.


Furthermore, the OECD does not weigh a country's geographic size relative to 
its population density, which matters because more consumers may live 
farther from the pipes. Only one country above the U.S. on the OECD list 
(Canada) stretches from one end of a continent to another like we do. Only 
one country above us on this list is at least 75% rural, like the U.S. In 
fact, 13 of the 14 countries that the OECD ranks higher are significantly 
smaller than the U.S.


And if we compare many of our states individually with some countries that 
are allegedly beating us in the broadband race, we are actually winning. 
Forty-three American states have a higher household broadband adoption rate 
than all but five EU countries. Even large rural western states such as 
Montana, Wyoming, Colorado and both Dakotas exhibit much stronger household 
broadband adoption rates than France or Britain. Even if we use the OECD's 
flawed methodology, New Jersey has a higher penetration rate than 
fourth-ranked Korea. Alaska is more broadband-saturated than France.


The OECD conclusions really unravel when we look at wireless services, 
especially Wi-Fi. One-third of the world's Wi-Fi hot spots are in the U.S., 
but Wi-Fi is not included in the OECD study unless it is used in a so-called 
fixed wireless setting. I can't recall ever seeing any fixed wireless 
users cemented into a coffee shop, airport or college campus. Most American 
Wi-Fi users do so with personal portable devices. It is difficult to 
determine how many wireless broadband users are online at any given moment, 
since they may not qualify as subscribers to anyone's service.


In short, the OECD data do not include all of the ways Americans can make 
high-speed connections to the Internet, therefore omitting millions of 
American broadband users. Europe, with its more regulatory approach, may 
actually end up being the laggard because of latent weaknesses in its 
broadband market. It lacks adequate competition among alternative broadband 
platforms to spur the faster speeds that consumers and an ever-expanding 
Internet will require.


Europe also suffers from a dearth of robust competition from cable modem and 
fiber. Cable penetration is only about 21% of households. In the U.S., cable 
is available to 94% of all households. Also, the U.S. is home to the world's 
fastest fiber-to-home market, with a 99% annual growth rate in subscribers 
compared with a relatively anemic 13% growth rate in Europe.


In fact, the European Competitive Telecommunications Association reported 
last fall that Europe is experiencing a significant slowdown in the annual 
growth rate of broadband subscriptions, falling to 14% from 23% annual 
growth. Growth stalled in a number of countries, including Denmark and 
Belgium (4% in each country). And France -- a relative star -- exhibited 
just 10% growth. Yet all of these nations are ahead of us on the 
much-talked-about OECD chart.


Here

Re: [WISPA] Broadband Baloney full text (rant)

2007-07-24 Thread Peter R.

Mike Hammett wrote:
Broadband Baloney (Opinion) FCC Commissioner Robert McDowell 
  


According to several recent surveys, the average percentage of U.S. households taking broadband is about 42%; the EU average is 23%. 


And wait until 2009, when our economy comes to a screeching halt. And the EU 
economy will look strong. There are cultural difference why the EU is lower, 
but their cellular usage is much greater.



In the next few years, we will witness a tremendous explosion of 
entrepreneurial brilliance in the broadband market, if the government doesn't 
micromanage.

That explosion will not be here. Likely in all the far flung places that the Fortune 500 is moving HQ's to like India and Dubai. 


But that's just me being grumpy at the whole deal as a former Comptel guys goes 
to the dark side.

- Peter


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