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The Western Balkans as a Geopolitical Chessboard? - European Western Balkans


EWB

6-7 minutes

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Conference "Global Actors in the Western Balkans"; Photo: BiEPAG"

BELGRADE - While the renewed EU interest in the Western Balkans is without
doubt positive, it rests on several myths and misconceptions, claim authors
of the new Policy Brief of the Balkans in Europe Policy Advisory Group
Florian Bieber, Professor of Southeast European History and Politics and
Director of the Centre for the Southeast European Studies of the University
of Graz and Nikolaos Tzifakis, Associate Professor of International
Relations and Chairman of the Department of Political Science and
International Relations of the University of Peloponnese, members of BiEPAG.

On many occasions, the negative influence of the external actors in the
Western Balkans such as Russia, China, Turkey and the Gulf countries was in
the focus of Brussels politics towards the region, since it is said that
those actors could create risks that could undermine democracy and the rule
of law.

"There are external actors, but their role is to a large degree a functional
weakness of the EU. It is not that these external actors are influential by
themselves but the main findings of this brief are the role they are able to
play because the EU is losing its way in the Western Balkans," says Bieber
at the conference "Global Actors in the Western Balkans" held on Monday,
June 17 in Belgrade.

He explains that we need to look at these external actors without talking
about global threats but rather looking at it one by one.

The authors of the policy brief "
<https://biepag.eu/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/The_Western_Balkans_as_a_Geopo
litical_Chessboard.pdf> The Western Balkans as a Geopolitical Chessboard?
Myths, Realities and Policy Options" claim that the EU concerns about the
increase of external actors' activities in the Western Balkans are not
unfounded, noting that Russia, Turkey, China and the UAE have used a variety
of instruments to exercise influence on the region.

"The EU considers itself involved, against its will, in a traditional
geopolitical game of influence in a European periphery where its competitors
allegedly strive to redefine the rules of the game, to the disadvantage of
the Western Balkan region and the EU," it is stated in the policy brief.

That could be seen as the reason for the EU's renewed commitment towards the
region with the European Commission's enlargement strategy by which
Montenegro and Serbia could join the EU as soon as 2025.

"In the last couple of years, the EU officials have been saying that the EU
should contain the negative influence of Russia, China, Turkey and the Gulf
states in the countries of the Balkans. We saw that the EU enlargement has
resurfaced in the EU political agenda. While this EU renewed interest in the
Western Balkans is positive it rests on several myths and misconceptions,"
says Tzifakis at the conference organised by the Balkans in Europe Policy
Advisory Group and the European Western Balkans, and supported by the
European Fund for the Balkans.

One of the myths is that the Western Balkans are drifting away from their
Euro-Atlantic orientation due to the EU not showing enough commitment
towards the enlargement policy, low popularity of the enlargement and the
region welcoming the economic and political influence of the external
actors.

"The danger here is that sceptics of the Western Balkan's EU accession may
perceive the linkages of external actors with the region as a confirmation
of their belief that the process of EU enlargement should discontinue,"
Tzifakis and Bieber noted in their policy brief.

Other myths are that the external non-Western engagement is altogether
negative and that the Western Balkan countries cannot insulate themselves
from negative external influences.

The authors claim that although the pattern of investments has raised a
concern about whether this external economic engagement is weakening state
institutions and formal procedures, some of this engagement can or could
help in the transformation of the region.

Having all this in mind, the authors are pointing out that the EU should not
be "hysterical" about the influence of external actors in the Western
Balkans and that the EU does not need to change its overall approach to the
region.

"The EU has considerably more leverage in structuring the region and
engaging with external actors to limit their pernicious effect. If this
fails in the Western Balkans, it is unlikely to succeed elsewhere," Bieber
and Tzifakis explain in the policy brief.

The authors recommend that the EU needs to remain committed to the process
of enlargement and it should learn how to communicate its commitments. In
order to do that, the authors suggest several recommendations - first and
foremost - the rule of law.

"In order to help the region to become immune to the disruptive aspects of
external engagement, the EU should focus on the fundamentals and on rule of
law reforms. The EU should also prioritize the transfer of the acquis to the
chapters on energy, environment, public procurement and competition policy,"
authors point out in the policy brief.

Other recommendations include associating the region more closely to the EU
in policy domains such as energy and transport, support citizens'
empowerment, engagement and involvement, provide independent media access,
seek more persistently for EU common positions on all bilateral disputes in
the Balkans and develop greater EU self-confidence in the Western Balkans.

Finally, the authors of the policy brief suggest that the EU should improve
its soft power.

"Learning from public diplomacy and self-presentation of other external
actors is crucial. In particular, culturally proximate countries are
regularly overestimated in the region due to their visible and high-profile
support," they stated, adding that Brussels needs to find a way to increase
the visibility of EU engagement.

 

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