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Even a Mine Needed to Fight Climate Change Isn’t Proving Popular - BNN Bloomberg


Thomas Biesheuvel and Misha Savic

5-6 minutes

  _____  

(Bloomberg) -- Prices for lithium, the building block of electric-vehicle 
batteries, shot to a record this year, amplifying concerns there won’t be 
enough of the metal to fuel the switch away from combustion engines. In that 
climate, now should be a prime time to build a mine.

Rio Tinto Group is finding out otherwise. Within months of unveiling plans for 
a $2.4 billion mine in western Serbia, local opponents organized a movement 
that’s rocked the government and brought cities to a standstill as thousands of 
protesters march in the streets. Authorities subsequently suspended a land-use 
plan for the proposed mine, though they didn’t reject the project completely.

“The entire Jadar project is just another way for multinational companies, with 
the help of our state, to make profit and cause damage to the people of 
Serbia,” said Slavisa Miletic, an activist living near the planned mine.

The opposition Rio faces is replicating around the world, and industry 
executives consider it their biggest challenge going forward. Southern Copper 
Corp. is struggling to get government support for a controversial $1.4 billion 
project in Peru, and Lithium Americas Corp. was taken to U.S. federal court 
over its planned mine in Nevada. 

Historically, mining offered jobs and economic development to typically poor 
areas, with taxation and royalties to fill government coffers. But all too 
often, people living nearby paid a price for environmental degradation and 
occasional catastrophe.

That’s changing. Locals are pushing back, deciding that the economic benefits 
don’t outweigh the costs to their quality of life. Governments also are 
increasingly unwilling or unable to override those concerns.

“It’s become more difficult to build a mine today than it ever was before,” 
said Ben Davis, a mining analyst at Liberum. “It’s far easier to organize 
opposition, often in rural and isolated communities.”

To placate critics, the Serbian government offered a referendum on the mine, 
but that itself became controversial, with the opposition saying recent legal 
revisions tilted the balance in the government’s –- and Rio’s -- favor.

Protesters also blasted an effort to speed up ownership changes for both state 
and private projects. The outrage forced President Aleksandar Vucic to send the 
proposal back to parliament for reworking.

“Environmental issues were long neglected in Serbia because economy and living 
standard dominated for years,” said Bojan Klacar, director of the 
Belgrade-based Center for Free Elections and Democracy, or CESID. “Priorities 
have changed.”

When Rio, the world’s second-biggest miner, announced the project in July, it 
seemed like a slam dunk for new Chief Executive Officer Jakob Stausholm.

Lithium is a future-facing commodity critical for global decarbonization. The 
biggest automakers, from Tesla Inc. to Volkswagen AG to Toyota Motor Corp., 
need an ever-growing supply of battery materials to accelerate the roll out of 
EVs, with BloombergNEF expecting demand for the minerals in lithium-ion packs 
to grow fivefold by 2030.

A global index of lithium prices has more than tripled this year, and BNEF 
forecasts that lithium-ion battery prices will increase next year for the first 
time since 2010.

Plus, the mine would be built on farmland, not virgin forest, and be just a 
10-hour drive from Germany’s car-making epicenter. The project, which Rio says 
could create more than 2,000 jobs, is scheduled to open in 2026 and hit full 
production in 2029.

Yet that laundry list of supposed benefits doesn’t matter to many. Mining’s 
dark past includes a plethora of deadly disasters, from cyanide leaks to dam 
collapses.

Just last year, Rio’s CEO was forced out after the company destroyed an ancient 
Aboriginal site at Juukan Gorge in Australia.

“We do have a history of things in our organization that we’re not proud of, 
and Juukan is No. 1 on that list,” said Sinead Kaufman, head of the Rio unit 
planning to build the Serbian mine.

And it’s not just lithium that’s becoming problematic. Copper is an essential 
metal for the energy transition, with demand expected to grow by almost 50% in 
the next decade, according to Chilean miner Antofagasta Plc. Mines typically 
take about 15 years to go from discovery to production.

Even so, many of the best prospects are in limbo. Rio’s proposed Resolution 
copper mine in Arizona, which could satisfy a quarter of U.S. demand, is being 
reviewed by the federal government after opposition from the San Carlos Apache 
tribe, whose leader refused to meet Rio’s CEO earlier this year.

“Despite mining’s contribution to almost every aspect of modern life, the 
industry is still seen as one that takes more than it gives,” Mark Cutifani, 
CEO of Anglo American Plc, said in a speech in London this month.

Rio’s challenge now is to convince Serbs the Jadar mine won’t be like the mines 
of old. The company says it will be built to the highest standards, reuse 
nearly all its water, and use electric trucks.

“A mine that’s going to get built in the 2020s, that’s going to be around for 
decades, is going to look very different from something built 50 years ago, or 
even 20 years ago,” Rio’s Kaufman said. “That’s the message we need to get 
across.”

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

 

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