asia.nikkei.com 
<https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Defense/Serbia-relies-on-China-for-weapons-as-tensions-with-Kosovo-rise>
  


Serbia relies on China for weapons as tensions with Kosovo rise


Staff Writer

7–9 minutes

  _____  

Kosovo police officers patrol Banjska village after a nearby attack by local 
ethnic armed Serbs in late September.   © Reuters 

HAMBURG, Germany -- Serbia's military is relying on Chinese arms suppliers as 
tensions ratchet up with its smaller neighbor Kosovo, seeking to fill the void 
left by Russian defense companies that are tooling up their own army against 
Ukraine.

Serbia's main Western arms suppliers -- France, Germany and the U.S. -- were 
surprised by an unprecedented military buildup along its border with Kosovo in 
late September. Serbia's move was triggered by an attack on the Kosovan police 
by local ethnic Serb armed groups.

Serbia and China also recently announced a second round of joint police patrols 
in cities in the Balkan state, a move considered inflammatory by some European 
politicians. Such patrols were initiated in 2019 with the declared aim of 
protecting Chinese tourists.

"To take such a step at a time of high tensions, and to import Chinese weaponry 
while threatening Serbia's neighbor state Kosovo with military aggression, 
sends a clear, but very unfortunate signal about where Serbia's leader 
[President Aleksandar] Vucic sees his allegiance: not with Europe, but with 
authoritarian regimes," said Reinhard Buetikofer, head of the European 
Parliament's delegation for European Union-China relations and a member of the 
German Greens, the party that oversees Germany's foreign and economic 
ministries.

Buetikofer has called for a European moratorium on arms sales to Serbia.

The Serbian army demonstrates its Chinese medium-range missile system FK-3 near 
Belgrade as part of a bigger display of its air defence capabilities in April 
last year.   © Reuters 

Kosovo sought independence from Serbia after the breakup of Yugoslavia in the 
1990s. Over 90% of Kosovo's population of 1.8 million is Albanian Muslim, while 
Serbs only make up 6%. But Serbia considers Kosovo its territory and waged a 
bloody war on it until a NATO military campaign ended the fighting.

Kosovo declared independence in 2008 but the government in Belgrade does not 
recognize it, even though the U.S., U.K. and many other countries do.

By early October, the Serbian army had withdrawn some of its troops from the 
border following White House warnings of a "very destabilizing" situation as 
calls for tougher action against Serbia grew louder among EU politicians.

Western misgivings were fueled by Serbia becoming the first operator of Chinese 
weapons systems in Europe last year when it imported the HQ-22 surface-to-air 
missile systems and CH-92 armed drones from China.

These big-ticket items, worth $310 million, made China Serbia's top arms source 
in trade value in 2022, ending Russia's long dominance, according to the 
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. Russia's overall arms exports 
have been plummeting since it invaded Ukraine in February 2022, with the war 
dragging on much longer than Moscow had anticipated.

Serbia's geographical position between Central Europe and Western Asia makes 
the country important for China's Belt and Road Initiative. China became 
Serbia's largest single-country investor by pumping in more than 700 million 
euros ($737 million) in 2021.

China sees Serbia as a gateway to penetrate the European market, with arms 
transfer being a notable facet of this partnership, said Daniel Sunter, 
executive director of Belgrade-based defense and security portal Balkan 
Security Network in Belgrade.

Serbia is not part of the EU but it does receive preferential trade terms with 
the bloc, which Sunter suggests Chinese entities are hoping to exploit.

"From Serbia's vantage point, Serbia's four-pillar policy, a pragmatic approach 
driven by the enduring Kosovo dilemma, aims to balance its relations with four 
major powers: the EU, the U.S., Russia and China," Sunter told Nikkei Asia.

Chinese police officers pose with Serbian counterparts during a joint patrol in 
Republic Square in Belgrade in September 2019.    © Reuters 

"The acquisition of Chinese weapons systems is not an emblem of aggression or 
alignment, but a pragmatic move rooted in its four-pillar policy, armed forces 
modernization endeavors, and a [public relations] opportunity for the local 
political elite to underscore investments in national defense."

That Chinese defense companies are eagerly tapping into Serbia's market 
potential was demonstrated at the Serbian government-sponsored 11th 
International Armament and Military Equipment Fair held in Belgrade in late 
September.

China National Precision Machinery Import & Export Corp. (CNPMIEC) displayed 
laser weapon systems, which use high-energy beams to strike incoming targets, 
including low-altitude and low-speed drones.

ELINC China pitched electronic warfare and counter-drone systems. Norinco Group 
presented anti-tank missiles and armored vehicles. CATIC showed the Wing Loong 
II surveillance and combat drone. CNPMIEC, ELINC and Norinco said that was 
their first exhibition at a Serbian defense event, according to U.S.-based 
Defense News.

Much of the business that Serbia gives these Chinese companies could be in 
upgrading existing military technologies that were based on Soviet-era designs, 
said Wendell Minnick, a Taipei-based defense analyst and publisher of the China 
in Arms newsletter.

"Serbia already has an impressive defense industry, which could be complemented 
with more advanced Chinese equipment that syncs with its types of weapons and 
equipment, particularly with retrofits and midlife upgrades," said Minnick.

Timothy R. Heath, senior international defense researcher at U.S.-based think 
tank RAND Corp., told Nikkei that Serbia's purchase of Chinese weapons will 
reduce NATO countries' willingness to sell arms to the country, as they add to 
Serbia's military advantage over Kosovo. NATO could also be deterred from 
intervening in the event of further provocation, given that China's modern 
HQ-22 surface-to-air missiles could effectively challenge its efforts to 
operate in the airspace.

"NATO may not be able to seize air superiority so easily in an intervention 
without destroying the missiles on the ground, which could raise the risks of 
an escalating conflict," Heath said.

"With Russia's defense industry consumed by the Ukraine war, China's defense 
relationship with Serbia could expand further in coming years," he added.

 

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